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Creating Benefits for New England: Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable February 29, 2008 Jim Robb Northeast Utilities Energy / Growth / Leadership

Creating Benefits for New England: Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

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Creating Benefits for New England: Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable February 29, 2008 Jim Robb Northeast Utilities. Energy / Growth / Leadership. New England is at Significant Cross Roads. Continuing Rate Pressure. Record high electric prices - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

Creating Benefits for New England:

Putting the Pieces Together

Power from the North Roundtable

February 29, 2008

Jim Robb

Northeast Utilities

Energy / Growth / Leadership

Page 2: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

2

New England is at Significant Cross Roads

System Reliability

Continuing Rate

Pressure

Increasing Environmental

Pressure

Record high electric prices

Significant infrastructure investment on horizon

Regulator and customer frustration

Resource Adequacy

Fuel Diversity

Grid Reliability

System Operability

Growing consensus on climate change with policy action

Federal GHG legislation likely in next 2 years

RGGI already here in Northeast

Renewable Portfolio Standards

Aggressive demand side / energy efficiency aspirations

Page 3: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

3

Development of New England Renewable Resources

• Wind

• Biomass

• Northern New England

The Four Pieces of the Puzzle

Supportive Regulatory & Legislative Policy

• Renewable Qualifications

• Transmission Pricing

• Carbon Policies

• Contract Options

New Energy Efficiency and Demand Response Models

• Funding

• Programs

• New Business Models

Economic Low Emissions Imports

• Quebec

• New Brunswick

• Newfoundland & Labrador

Page 4: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

4

Northern New England and Eastern Canada Will

Become Valuable Sources to Meet New England’s Needs

H

N

W

Hydro

Nuclear

Wind

B Biomass

General Movement Of Power

New England’s Most Attractive Renewable Energy Locations

W

W

WW

W

B

B

B

B

N

H

H

H

QuebecHydro Quebec plans $20 Billion investment in Hydro and export transmission

Newfoundland & LabradorExploring development

of large Hydro facilities

New BrunswickExploring development

of 1 or 2 nuclear units

W

Eastern Canadian Development

Page 5: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

5

Transmission Enablers for the Integration of Renewable and Low

Emissions Generation Resources

New HVDC Line from Hydro Quebec to central NH

New HVDC Line from Hydro Quebec to central NH

New HVDC Line Newington, NH to Boston Area

New HVDC Line Newington, NH to Boston Area

Utilizes exisiting and future 345 kV grid in NH and VT to meet future reliability needs (in RSP today).

Utilizes exisiting and future 345 kV grid in NH and VT to meet future reliability needs (in RSP today).

Maine Power Reliability Program solves Maine reliability problems

Maine Power Reliability Program solves Maine reliability problems

Maine Power Connection helps integrate renewable resources from northern Maine

Maine Power Connection helps integrate renewable resources from northern Maine

Northern New Hampshire 115 kV upgrades for the integration of renewable resources

Northern New Hampshire 115 kV upgrades for the integration of renewable resources

Page 6: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

6

Components of a Portfolio

Component Description Contribution

DSM and Energy Efficiency

$5.2 B of investment through 2025 ($1.1 B more than current levels)

Reduces energy growth rate from 1.3% to 0.9%

12.8 million MWh reduction by 2025

New Renewable resources in New England

100 MW Biomass (NH – 80% capacity factor)

300 MW Wind (NH – 30% capacity factor)

1,300 MW Wind (ME – 30% capacity factor)

500 MW Wind (Queue – 30% capacity factor)

6.2 million MWh

New Tie Line with Hydro Quebec

1,500 MW (80% capacity factor) 10.5 million MWh

Page 7: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

7

A Portfolio Approach for Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

GW

h

Gap 20.7

million MWh

RPS Requirements

Existing Renewables

Page 8: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

8

A Portfolio Approach for Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

GW

h

Gap 17.7

million MWh

RPS Savings (millon MWh)

DSM 3.0

RPS Requirements

Existing Renewables

Page 9: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

9

A Portfolio Approach for Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

GW

h

Gap 14.5

million MWh

Renewables 6.2

RPS Requirements

Existing Renewables

RPS Savings (millon MWh)

DSM 3.0

Page 10: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

10

A Portfolio Approach for Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

GW

h

New HQTie Line*

10.5

* Assumes large hydro from Canada qualifies as a renewable resource.

RPS Requirements

Existing Renewables

Gap 4.0 million

MWh

Renewables 6.2

RPS Savings (millon MWh)

DSM 3.0

Page 11: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

11

A Portfolio Approach for Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

(RGGI) Requirements

RGGI CO2 Emissions

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

Mil

lio

ns

of

To

ns

Projected New England CO2 Emissions @ 1.3% energy growth

New England RGGI Budget

Gap 21.1 million

Tons

Page 12: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

12

A Portfolio Approach for Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

(RGGI) Requirements

RGGI CO2 Emissions

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

Mil

lio

ns

of

To

ns

Projected New England CO2 Emissions @ 1.3% energy growth

New England RGGI Budget

DSM/EE reduces energy growth to 0.9%

(7.1 MTons)

Gap 14.0

million Tons

Page 13: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

13

A Portfolio Approach for Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

(RGGI) Requirements

RGGI CO2 Emissions

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

Mil

lio

ns

of

To

ns

Projected New England CO2 Emissions @ 1.3% energy growth

New England RGGI Budget

Gap 10.6 million

Tons

New NE Renewables (3.4 MTons)

DSM/EE reduces energy growth to 0.9%

(7.1 MTons)

Page 14: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

14

A Portfolio Approach for Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

(RGGI) Requirements

RGGI CO2 Emissions

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Year

Mil

lio

ns

of

To

ns

Projected New England CO2 Emissions @ 1.3% energy growth

New England RGGI Budget

New HQ Tie Line (5.8 MTons)

New NE Renewables (3.4 MTons)

DSM/EE reduces energy growth to 0.9%

(7.1 MTons)

Gap 4.8 million

Tons

Page 15: Creating Benefits for New England:  Putting the Pieces Together Power from the North Roundtable

15

The Power of a Portfolio Approach

Less risk – utilizes a mix of resources

Transmission additions to enable remote resources to reach New England load centers

Tangible benefits for customers

Economic

CO2 Reduction

Renewable Resources

Fuel Diversity and System Operability

Despite seemingly aggressive targets, a portfolio of solutions pursued aggressively could succeed at addressing reliability

issues, economic concerns, and environmental priorities

Despite seemingly aggressive targets, a portfolio of solutions pursued aggressively could succeed at addressing reliability

issues, economic concerns, and environmental priorities