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CSSD: Epidemiology and Control Epidémiologie et Contrôle J M Thresh Formerly WACRI / EMRS / NRI

CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

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Page 1: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD: Epidemiology and Control

Epidémiologie et Contrôle

J M Thresh

Formerly WACRI / EMRS / NRI

Page 2: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Epidemiology Epidémiologie

“The study of disease in host populations”

“L„Etude la maladie dans la population d'accueil”

Page 3: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Disease prevalence/severity

Means of spread

Temporal patterns of spread

Spatial patterns of spread

Rates of spread

Sources of inoculum

Alternative hosts

Crop loss

Epidemiology: A Quantitative Science

Epidémiologie Une Science Quantatitive

Page 4: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Detailed long-term observations

Farmer plantings

- e.g. Old Station, Tafo

- Koransang and elsewhere, Gh.

- Koroboto, Nigeria

Block plantings, Ghana

Research trials

- Planned experiments: Gh./Nig.

- BRT, Ghana

- Coppicing trials:Gha./Nig.

Field maps/observations

- Survey teams Ghana/Nigeria

CSSD Epidemiology: Sources of Information

CSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information

Page 5: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Rate of Spread

Effect on yield

Mild strain protection

Evaluation of resistance

Barrier crops

Effectiveness of insecticides

Planned Experiments

Expériences Plannifiees

Page 6: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

NOT seed

Indigenous tree hosts

Cacao (plantation/abandoned)

Herbaceous hosts?

Sources of Infection

Expériences Plannifiees

Page 7: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSV: Indigenous host Baobab( Adansonia digitata)

Page 8: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Silk cotton (Ceiba pentandra)

Page 9: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSV in Indigenous Forest Trees in Ghana

Page 10: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Temporal Patterns of Virus Spread

Page 11: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD: Disease progress curves: Nig./Gh./Trin.

Courbes Qui Illustrent La Progression De La Maladie

Page 12: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Mealybug-transmitted cocoa virus in Trinidad: Spread at

different rates

Page 13: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Spread of Cocoa Swollen Shoot Virus in Ghana

(Kenten & Legg 1971)

Page 14: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD: Pattern of Spread

Motifs de Progression

Page 15: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD: Gradients of Infection

CSSD: Gradients de l„Infection

Page 16: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Infection in 1945/1946 Adonkwonta Block Planting

Page 17: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

after re-planting

Page 18: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Influence of Plot Size and Plot Shape

Page 19: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Plot margin as percentage of total area

Marges de tracé en pourcentage de la superficie totale

Page 20: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Incidence of infection in relation to plot size Incidence de l'infection par rapport à la taille de la parcelle

Page 21: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Possible Arrangement Of Barrier Crop Or Unplanted Area Arrangement Possible D'une Plantation Agissant de Barriere ou Alors

d' Une Zone Non Ensemencee

Page 22: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD is a "crowd disease" - "one that does

not spread far in any considerable amount“

Therefore amenable to control by eradication

Trees at margins of plantings are at greatest

risk

Epidemiology: the Crucial Findings

Epidémiologie: Les Decouvertes Cruciales

Page 23: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

Nearby sources of inoculum are greatest threat

Plantings should be compact and large

NOT small or of irregular shape

Epidemiology: the Crucial Findings Epidémiologie: les conclusions cruciales

Page 24: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

"Quantitative" (partial) resistance highly

beneficial and should be deployed

Epidemiology: the Crucial Findings Epidémiologie: les conclusions cruciales

Page 25: CSSD: Epidemiology and · PDF fileCSSD Epidémiologie Sources d„Information Rate of Spread Effect on yield Mild strain protection ... Cocoa Swollen Shoot Disease: Adonkwonta 6 years

CSSD can and should be controlled.

CSSD Peut et Doit être Contrôle

However, this is only possible if control

measures and cropping systems are based

on sound epidemiological principles

Conclusion