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CFA Institute Research Challenge
RyanYvonne
MattDevinHenry
• Industry• Motion Picture and Television Production and Distribution
• Niche• “Pure” Content Creator
• Concern• Recent Underperformance post-Hunger Games
Company Summary
Market Profile
Closing Price (April 1, 2016) $21.13
52 Week High $41.41
52 Week Low $16.21
Average Volume (3M) 2,689,580
Diluted Shares Outstanding 159,412,000
Market Cap 3.03B
Dividend Yield 1.76%
Beta 1.01874
EV / Revenue 2.09
EV / EBITDA 68.72
Institutional Holdings 71.90%
Insider Holdings 29.01%
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Investment Summary
Team Estimate Target Price:
$14.97
Price as of (4/1/16):$21.13
Drivers• Motion Picture Margins• Home Entertainment
Capitalization• Television Strength• Disciplined Strategy
Risks• Uncertainty/Flaw in
Content Production Results/Process
• Distributors becoming Content Creators
• “One-Trick Pony”
8.27%
8.39%
70.64%
12.71%
2012-2015 Box Office Market Share
Lions Gate Paramount
Major Studios (5) Other Studios
Lionsgate: #7 Film Studio
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Five-Forces ModelBargaining Power of Buyers• Ticket Sales • Cinema venue• Home Entertainment platforms
Threat of New Entrants• Digital Distributors
Degree of Rivalry• Competitive Industry• Consolidations
Bargaining Power of Supplier
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Threat of SubstitutionThreat of New Entrants
Degree of Rivalry
012345
0 = No threat to LGF5 = High Threat to LGF
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Threat of Substitution• Piracy• Alternative Entertainment
Bargaining Power of Suppliers• Talent Costs• Production Costs
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Bargaining Power of Supplier
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Threat of SubstitutionThreat of New Entrants
Degree of Rivalry
012345
0 = No threat to LGF5 = High Threat to LGF
Five-Forces Model
20052006
20072008
20092010
20112012
20132014
$-
$500.00
$1,000.00
$1,500.00
$2,000.00
$2,500.00
$3,000.00
$3,500.00
$4,000.00
$-
$100.00
$200.00
$300.00
$400.00
$500.00
$600.00
$700.00
Spending Trend
Avg Ann HH Exp on EntertainmentUS GDP Entmt & Rec Spending
($bi
llion
s)
20052006
20072008
20102009
20112012
20132014
2015 $-
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
$14,000.00
$16,000.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Demand Driver
Disposable Personal Income Consumer Confidence
($bi
llion
s)
Sources: BEA, BLS
Consumer Economy
Macro Industry
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Consumer Purchasing Expenditures for Motion Picutre
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
7
Sources: National Association of Theatre Owners
20052006
20072008
20092010
20112012
20132014
201536000
36500
37000
37500
38000
38500
39000
39500
40000
40500
5400
5500
5600
5700
5800
5900
6000
6100
6200
Theatrical Exhibitors
Number of U.S. cinemas Number of U.S. screens
Scre
ens
Cine
mas
19951997
19992001
20032005
20072009
20112013
2015 $-
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Box Office
Domestic Box Office ($B) Average Ticket Price ($)Tickets (billion)
Axis Title
Tick
ets
Theater
Macro Industry
8
Consumer Purchasing Expenditures for Motion Picutre
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Sources: National Association of Theatre Owners
19951997
19992001
20032005
20072009
20112013
2015 $-
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Box Office
Domestic Box Office ($B) Average Ticket Price ($)Tickets (billion)
Axis Title
Tick
ets
Theater
Macro Industry
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
3-D FIlm
3-D Screens 3-D Releases
9
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $-
$5,000.00
$10,000.00
$15,000.00
$20,000.00
$25,000.00
$30,000.00
$35,000.00
Television
Basic Cable Networks Broadcast networksSyndication InternationalPay TV
($bi
llion
)
Micro Industry
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $-
$20,000.00
$40,000.00
$60,000.00
$80,000.00
$100,000.00
$120,000.00 Total Filmed Entertainment
Film content revenue TV content revenue Total Entertainment Revenues
($bi
llion
s)
Industry Revenue
Sources: SNL Kagan
10
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $-
$20,000.00
$40,000.00
$60,000.00
$80,000.00
$100,000.00
$120,000.00 Total Filmed Entertainment
Film content revenue TV content revenue Total Entertainment Revenues
($bi
llion
s)
Sources: SNL KaganMicro Industry
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000Motion Picture
Domestic International
($bi
llion
)
Industry Revenue
11
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $-
$5,000.00
$10,000.00
$15,000.00
$20,000.00
$25,000.00
$30,000.00 Motion Picture
Domestic International
($bi
llion
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $-
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
$14,000.00 Motion Picture - Domestic
Theatrical rentals Basic cable (TV licensing) Pay TV PPV/VOD Home video
($bi
llion
)
Industry Revenue
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Micro Industry Sources: SNL Kagan
12
Sources: Digital Entertainment Group, Euromonitor International from trade sources/national statistics
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
14,000.00
16,000.00
18,000.00
20,000.00 Home Entertainment
Total Home Entertainment Sell Through Rental Digital
($m
illio
ns)
Internet Consumption
Micro Industry
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Focus on content• 16,000 Content Library• Television
Diversification• Distribution• Partners/Affiliates• Movie Genre
Disciplined Approach• Greenlighting• Productions and Acquisitions
Business Operation - Strategy
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Submit Project to
Committee
• Artistic Merit
• Commercial Viability
Revenue - Cost
Projections
• Legal Review
• Financing Options
Committee Decision
Final Decision
Greenlighting Process
Disciplined Approach• Greenlighting• Productions and Acquisitions
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Co-Production Agreements
Pre-Selling International
Distribution Rights
Incentive Programs
Talent Contractual Agreements
Financial Risk
Mitigation
15
$140 million Budget
$10 million at loss
$90 million Budget
$10 million at loss
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Financial Model
16
Business Overview
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Source: Lionsgate, 10-K
Series1 $-
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,200,000.00
$1,400,000.00
$1,600,000.00
$1,800,000.00
$2,000,000.00
$1,320,012.00
$1,135,110.00
$433,546.00 $421,112.00
$1,753,558.00
$1,556,222.00
Revenue Nine Months ending Dec. 31
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Revenue
($th
ousa
nds)
2015
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00%
75.43%
24.57%
27.31%
RevenueNine Months Ending Dec. 31, 2015
Home Entertainment Television Production Motion Pictures
2015 2014Fiscal 2016 Theatrical Slate: Fiscal 2015 Theatrical SlateMockingjay - Part 2 Mockingjay - Part 1Love the Coopers John WickThe Last Witch Hunter Addicted*Freeheld* The Expendables 3Sicario** Step Up All InShaun the Sheep Movie The Quiet OnesAmerican Ultra Draft DayThe Age of AdalineChild 44*Fiscal 2015 Theatrical Slate: Fiscal 2014 Theatrical SlateInsurgent DivergentMockingjay - Part 1 Catching FireLove & Mercy A Most Wanted ManUn Gallo Con Muchos Huevos Cantinflas
*limited release**limited release initially; wide release in Oct., 2015
2014 2015 -
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Motion Picture SubsegmentRevenues
Theatrical Home Entertainment TelevisionInternational Other
($m
illio
ns)
Motion Picture
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
18
Budget ($M) 28 90 160 140 110
Box Office 15.4 140.4 653 132.9 137.4
Source: 10-Q
Source: Box Office Mojo
2014 2015 -
50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000
Gross Profit
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Gross Profit
($Th
ousa
nds)
2014 2015 -
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Net Profit
Motion Pictures Television ProductionTotal Profit
($th
ousa
nds)
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
19
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
-60.0%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets Return on Capital Return on Equity
FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Margin Analysis
Gross Margin EBITDA Margin Net Income Margin Free Cash Flow Margin
20
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Source: Bloomberg
ROE Profit Margin Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%DuPont Equation
2007 2011 2015
2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter Total Dec. 31, 2015
Production loans 138,099.00 710,249.00 21,600.00 - - 869,948.00 869,948.00 Average Interest Rate 3.63 3.54 3.60 - -
5.25% Senior Notes - - - 225,000.00 - 225,000.00 231,750.00 Average Interest Rate - - - 5.25 -
Term Loan Due 2022 - - - - 400,000.00 400,000.00 396,500.00
Average Interest Rate - - - - 5.00
January 2012 4.00% Notes - 41,850.00 - - - 41,850.00 41,707.00 Average Interest Rate - 4.00 - - -
April 2013 1.25% Notes - - - 60,000.00 - 60,000.00 53,218.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 1.25 -
Debt/ year 138,099.00 752,099.00 21,600.00 285,000.00 400,000.00 1,596,798.00 1,593,123.00
22
Valuation
• Free Cash Flow to Firm
Discounted Cash Flow
• EV/EBITDA Multiple
Relative Valuation
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
18
• Quirky, diversified film slate• Failed blockbuster films• Young-Adult loss of appeal
Motion Picture
• Diversified distribution strategy• Box office-to-home
entertainment
Home Entertainmen
t
• Strong, diversified television slate
• Pilgrim StudiosTelevision
23
Valuation
• Perpetuity growth: 2.00%
Discounted Cash Flow
• Industry avg.: 12.78%
Relative Valuation
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
18
• Dependence on television• Uncertain box-office
performanceRevenue
• Decreased expenses• Demand from distributorsMargin
• Starz Entertainment• Summit Entertainment, Pilgrim
StudiosConsolidation
24
In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%Operating Margins 4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
WACC2015-16
8.6%
25
In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%Operating Margins 4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
Worst Case
• -2% yoy growth• -1% perpetuity growth• -2% operating margins• Higher tax rate
Best Case
• +2-3% yoy growth• -2% perpetuity growth• +2% operating margins• Same tax rate
26
In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%Operating Margins 4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
NOPAT
(87)
34
273
201
186
15
282
273
284
255
267
Free Cash Flow
(225)
66
(91)
31
486
(2) 244
223
300
313
270
EBITDA
64
68
38
281
267
229
25
330
330
363
323
27
Valuation
DCF Analysis
• $18.71
Relative Valuation
• $17.71
Target Price$18.21
2Estimated Downside Potential:
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
22
Risks
Business operations
Competition
Consumers
Business Value
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
28
23Perpetuity Growth Model
WACC/Growth 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%
6.6% 20.45 24.23 29.65 38.08 53.00
7.6% 16.88 19.56 23.20 28.42 36.54
8.6% 14.15 16.13 18.71 22.22 27.25
9.6% 11.98 13.49 15.41 17.90 21.28
10.6% 10.23 11.41 12.87 14.71 17.12
Relative Valuation – EV/EBITDA Multiple
WACC/ Multiple 8.6x 10.1x 11.6x 13.1x 14.6x
6.6% 13.99 16.35 18.70 21.05 23.41
7.6% 13.60 15.90 18.20 20.50 22.79
8.6% 13.21 15.46 17.71 19.95 22.20
9.6% 12.84 15.03 17.23 19.42 21.62
10.6% 12.47 14.62 16.76 18.91 21.06
29
Sell
Target$ 18.21
Current: $21.31
Positive: Home Entertainment, Television
Negative: Motion Picture
Conclusion
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
27
• Affiliates• Senior Management• Board of Directors• Board Committee Struct
ure• Operating Activities• Financing Activities• Investing Activities• Debt Table• Total Debt
• Maturity Profile• Bond• Total Loans• International Expansion• Stakeholders • Theatrical Slate• Current Television Slate • Conglomerate• Merger and Acquisition• Top 10 Shareholder
• Debt Analysis• Sensitivity Analysis
30
Appendix
Average
Dreamworks (B-)
Lionsgate (BB-)
Viacom (BBB-)
Sony (BBB-)
Time Warner (BBB)
21st Century Fox (BBB+)
Comcast (A-)
Disney (A)
MGM Holdings
0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 100.00%
42.72%
23.09%
60.96%
76.29%
13.81%
50.21%
50.31%
48.80%
26.30%
15.05%
Total Debt/ Book Cap
Average
Lionsgate
(BB-)
Viacom (B
BB-)
Sony (B
BB-)
Time W
arner
(BBB)
21st Century Fox (
BBB+)
Comcast
(A-)
Disney (A
)
MGM Holdings0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Interest Coverage
EBITDA minus CAPEX/ Interest EBITDA/ Interest
(tim
es)
Top 10 Stockholders(as of April 1, 2016)
Holder Name % Ownership No. of Shares Held Institution Type
1. MHR FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 20.14% 30,213,805 Hedge Fund Manager
2. CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
3. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
4. FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH 7.23% 10,840,751 Investment Advisor
5. JANA PARTNERS LLC 5.69% 8,527,645 Hedge Fund Manager
6. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 4.37% 6,559,000 Investment Advisor7. VANGUARD GROUP INC 4.24% 6,360,972 Investment Advisor
8. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.95% 5,919,005 Investment Advisor
9. KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC 2.97% 4,453,970 Investment Advisor
10. NAYA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT UK LTD 2.94% 4,414,250 Hedge Fund Manager
Affiliates
Lionsgate
Motion Picture
Pantelion Films
Roadside Attraction
Summit EntertainmentCelestial Tiger Entertainment
Channels
Pop
EPIX
Starz
Nonscipted TV Production
Defy Media
Demar Mercury
Pilgrim Studio
34
Senior ManagementJon Feltheimer
Chief Executive Officer & DirectorMichael Burns
Vice Chairman & Director
James W BargeChief Financial Officer
Steven BeeksCo-Chief Operating Officer
Co-President of Motion Picture Group President of Lions Gate Entertainment, Inc.
Brian GoldsmithCo-Chief Operating Officer
Wayne LevinGeneral Counsel & Chief Strategic Officer
Summary Executive CompensationName and Principal Year Salary Bonus Stock Awards Option
AwardsNon-Euqity
Incentive Plan Compensation
All Other Compensatio
nTotal
Jon Feltheimer 2015 $1,500,000.00 $- $1,000,000.00 $- $4,050,000.00 $220,311.00 $6,770,311.00 Chief Executive Officer
2014 $1,465,428.00 $- $14,402,803.00 $41,513,029.00 $8,750,000.00 $197,201.00 $66,328,461.00
2013 $1,264,070.00 $6,000,000.00 $3,625,278.00 $- $1,500,000.00 $184,535.00 $12,573,883.00 Michael Burns* 2015 $1,000,000.00 $- $4,500,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $146,965.00 $8,646,965.00 Vice Chairman 2014 $1,000,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $- $4,400,000.00 $78,205.00 $8,478,205.00
2013 $970,962.00 $4,000,000.00 $7,900,172.00 $13,995,430.00 $1,300,000.00 $33,484.00 $28,200,048.00 James W. Barge 2015 $812,500.00 $- $1,212,000.00 $719,637.00 $450,000.00 $2,921.00 $3,197,058.00 Chief Financial Officer 2014 $381,538.00 $1,100,000.00 $936,250.00 $2,597,054.00 $- $477.00 $5,015,319.00 Steven Beeks 2015 $900,000.00 $- $1,285,500.00 $1,665,285.00 $371,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,224,956.00 Co-COO 2014 $900,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $3,657.00 $1,728,657.00 VP Motion Picture 2013 $900,000.00 $850,000.00 $- $- $- $5,960.00 $1,755,960.00 President of LGF
Wayne Levin 2015 $825,000.00 $- $1,987,680.00 $1,596,786.00 $471,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,883,637.00 General Counsel 2014 $825,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $2,932.00 $1,652,932.00 Chief Strategic Officer 2013 $751,442.00 $612,750.00 $1,896,000.00 $1,258,600.00 $187,500.00 $2,960.00 $4,709,252.00
36
Board of DirectorMark H Rachesky,
M.D.(Chairman of board,
member of the Strategic Advisory Committee and Compensation
Committee)
Founder and President of MHR
Fund Management LLC
27.2% ownership
Michael Burns (Vice Chairman)
Past Managing Director and Head
of Office at Prudential Securities Inc. of Los Angeles
Investment Banking Office
2.4% ownership
Jon Feltheimer(CEO and Director)
Founder and past President of TriStar Television and past
President of Columbia TriStar
Television
2.6% ownership
Dr. John C. Malone(Director)
Chairman of the Board of Liberty
Media Corporation; Director of Discovery
Communication, Inc.
3% ownership
Frank Giustra(Current Director,
founded Lionsgate and past Chairman, 1997-
2003)
CEO of Fiore Financial
Corporation
Harald Ludwig(Director)
President and CEO of Macluan Capital
Corporation
37
Board of DirectorHardwick Simmons
(Chairman of the Strategic Advisory
Committee and member of the Audit
& Risk Committee)
Past Chairman and CEO of the NASDAQ Stock
Market Inc.; past President
and CEO of Prudential
Securities Inc.
Arthur Evrensel(Chairman of the
Compensation Committee)
Founding partner of the
law firm of Michael,
Evrensel & Pawar LLP
G. Scott Paterson(Chairman of the
Audit & Risk Committee and
Financial Expert)
Past Chairman & CEO of Yorkton
Securities Inc.; past Chairman
of the Canadian
Venture Stock Exchange and Vice Chairman of the Toronto
Stock Exchange
Daryl Simm(Member of
Nominating and Corporate
Governance Committee and member of the Compensation
Committee)
Chairman and CEO of
Omnicorn Media Group
Gordon Crawford(Member of Strategic Advisory Committee)
Past SVP at Capital
Research and Management
Phyllis Yaffe(Member of the
Audit & Risk Committee and member of the Nominating and
Corporate Governance Committee)
Past CEO and director of
Alliance Atlantis
Communications; Lead
Director, the Chair of the Nominating
and Governance
Committee of Torstar
Corporation
38
Board Committee StructureChairman
Vice Chairman Board Committee
Audit & Risk
Financial Expert
CompensationNominating
and Corporate Governance
Strategic Advisory
Operating ActivitiesOperating Activities 2015 2014 Net Change
Operating income (loss) $ (4,843) $ 194,421 $ (199,264)Amortization of films and television programs 655,288 639,472 15,816 Non-cash share-based compensation 47,399 48,691 (1,292)Cash interest (32,561) (29,546) (3,015)Current income tax provision (10,292) (19,622) 9,330 Other non-cash charges included in operating activities 9,677 14,661 (4,984)Cash flows from operations before changes in operating assets and liabilities 664,668 848,077 (183,409) Changes in operating assets and liabilities: Accounts receivable, net (36,663) (94,803) 58,140 Investment in films and television programs (771,255) (815,469) 44,214 Other changes in operating assets and liabilities 32,699 (100,846) 133,545 Changes in operating assets and liabilities (775,219) (1,011,118) 235,899 Net Cash Flows Used In Operating Activities $ (110,551) $ (163,041) $ 52,490 39
40
Investing ActivitiesInvesting Acitivies 2015 2014Proceeds from the sale of equity method investees $ - $ 14,575
Investment in equity method investees (3,954) (14,750)
Purchase of Pilgrim Studios, net of cash acquired of $15,816 (126,892) -
Purchases of property and equipment (13,680) (11,293)
Other investing activities (750) (2,000)
Net Cash Flows Used In Investing Activities $ (145,276) $ (13,468)
41
Financing ActivitiesFinancing Activities 2015 2014
Senior revolving credit facility - borrowings $ 238,000 $ 681,500 Senior revolving credit facility - repayments (238,000) (618,619)Net proceeds from senior revolving credit facility - 62,881 Term Loans $ 24,036.00 $ - Convertible senior subordinated notes - repurchases $ (5.00) $ (16.00)Net proceeds from corporate debt $ 24,031.00 $ 62,865.00 Production loans - borrowings $ 509,569.00 $ 533,781.00 Production loans - repayments $ (240,565.00) $(261,868.00)Net proceeds from production loans $ 269,004.00 $ 271,913.00 Repurchase of common shares $ - $(129,859.00)Other financing activities $ (50,791.00) $ (27,304.00)Net Cash Flows Provided By Financing Activities $ 242,244.00 $ 177,615.00
Debt Table 2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter Total Dec. 31, 2015
Production loans 138,099.00 710,249.00 21,600.00 - - 869,948.00 869,948.00
Average Interest Rate 3.63 3.54 3.60 - -
5.25% Senior Notes - - - 225,000.00 - 225,000.00 231,750.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 5.25 -
Term Loan Due 2022 - - - - 400,000.00 400,000.00 396,500.00
Average Interest Rate - - - - 5.00
January 2012 4.00% Notes - 41,850.00 - - - 41,850.00 41,707.00
Average Interest Rate - 4.00 - - -
April 2013 1.25% Notes - - - 60,000.00 - 60,000.00 53,218.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 1.25 -
Debt/ year 138,099.00
752,099.00 21,600.00
285,000.00 400,000.00
1,596,798.00
1,593,123.00
Total LoansTotal Loans
Production loans(2) 5.25% Senior Notes(3)Term Loan Due 2022(4) January 2012 4.00% NotesApril 2013 1.25% Notes
2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter -
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
800,000.00
Debt Maturity
2016 2017 2018 -
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
800,000.00
3.48
3.50
3.52
3.54
3.56
3.58
3.60
3.62
3.64
Production Loan
Production loans(2) Average Interest Rate
Off-balance production loan
Expenses(Nine Months ending Dec. 31)
2014 2015 -
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000
1,000,000
Direct Operating Expense
Motion Pictures Television ProductionTotal Direct Operating Expense
($th
ousa
nds)
2014 2015 -
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
General and Administration
Motion Pictures Television ProductionTotal General and Administration
($th
ousa
nds)
2014 2015 -
50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000
Distribution and Marketing
Motion Pictures Television ProductionTotal Distribution and Marketing
($th
ousa
nd)
Maturity Profile
Date Total Bond Prin Term Loan Out Amount Avail
2016 208.3529 0 208.3529358 0
2017 41.85 41.85 0 800
2018 285 285 0 0
2022 400 0 400 0
BondIssuer Cpn Maturity Amt Out(M) Curr Mty Type Principal Due(M) Interest Due(M)
Lions Gate Entertainment Inc 401/11/2017 41850USDCONVERTIBLE 41850 818.4
Lions Gate Entertainment Inc 1.2504/15/2018 60000USDCONVERTIBLE 60000 375
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp 5.2508/01/2018 225000USDAT MATURITY 225000 5906.25
47
StakeholdersWalmart• 8%
Verizon• 3.81%
AT&T • 2.32%
Best Buy• 1.46%Target • 1.21%
Source: Bloomberg
• LGF’s Revenue Sources
• Top 5 Stakeholder’s account for 16.8% of revenue
48
Theatrical Slate
Source: Boxofficemojo and J.P. Morgan Estimates
49
Current Television Slate
The Royals E!Rocket Jump: The Show HuluCasual HuluDeadbeat HuluNashville ABCOrange is the New Black Netflix
ConglomerateConglomerate Studio Parent Major Film Unit Other Film Unit
Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. Fox Filmed Entertainment 20th Century Fox Searchlight, Blue Sky
The Walt Disney Co. Walt Disney Studios Walt Disney Pictures Pixar Animation, Lucasfilm, Marvel Studios
Comcast Corp. NBCUniversal Universal Pictures Illumination, Focus Features
Time Warner Inc. Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. Warner Bros. Pictures DC Comics, New Line, Village Roadshow
Viacom Inc. Paramount Motion Pictures Group Paramount Pictures
Sony Corp. Sony Pictures Entertainment Columbia Pictures Sony Pictures, TriStar, Screen Gems
Statement of Cash FlowsCash Flow FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015Net Income 20.3 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8 Depreciation & Amort., Total 218.7 4.5 3.7 5.5 7.7 12.5 5.8 4.3 8.3 6.5 6.6 Other Non-Cash Adj 10.6 217.6 306.2 453.5 512.7 563.9 639.9 643.2 984.8 1,076.1 955.3 Changes in Non-Cash Capital (154.0) (105.2) (277.6) (295.8) (443.8) (691.8) (573.0) (771.8) (949.1) (982.2) (1,047.2) Cash from Ops. 95.5 123.0 59.7 89.2 (101.9) (135.0) 42.3 (163.5) 276.1 252.5 96.5
Capital Expenditure (2.5) (5.5) (8.3) (3.6) (8.7) (3.7) (2.8) (1.9) (2.6) (8.8) (17.0)Sale of Property, Plant, and Equipment
- 34.9 - - - - - - - - -
Cash Acquisitions - - - - (28.8) (1.4) (1.0) (4.7) - - - Proceeds from Investment - - - - - - - - - 13.3 - Invest. in Marketable & Equity Securt.
- - (870.9) (235.7) (18.0) (14.0) (14.0) - (2.0) - (52.7)
Other Investing Activities 1.2 (194.7) 771.6 438.9 (243.1) (24.8) (10.6) (545.6) 9.1 (13.1) 14.6 Cash from Investing (1.3) (165.3) (107.6) 201.3 (298.6) (43.9) (28.4) (552.2) 4.5 (8.6) (55.2)Net Short Term Debt Issued/Repaid
(325.1) - - - 222.8 76.1 8.9 820.7 (265.7) (261.3) 84.4
Long-Term Debt Issued 314.8 - 97.1 166.1 - - - - - - 370.7 Long-Term Debt Repaid (1.9) (23.9) (49.0) (111.4) (5.4) (75.3) - - (3.7) - (229.5)Total Debt Issued/Repaid (12.2) (23.9) 48.1 54.8 217.4 0.8 8.9 820.7 (269.4) (261.3) 225.6 Pref. Dividends Paid - - - - - - - - - (6.9) (33.4)Total Dividends Paid - - - - - - - - - (6.9) (33.4)Increase in CapItal Stocks 24.7 1.4 4.3 1.3 2.9 - - 3.5 2.9 12.0 6.8 Decrease in Capital Stocks - - - (22.3) (45.0) - - (77.1) - - (144.8)Other Financing Activities (1.0) (1.0) 0.0 (4.1) (8.0) 108.9 (5.7) (53.6) (16.0) (24.4) (18.6) Cash from Financing 11.6 (23.5) 52.4 29.7 167.4 109.6 3.2 693.5 (282.5) (280.6) 35.7
Net Change in Cash 105.8 (65.9) 4.5 320.1 (233.1) (69.2) 17.2 (22.1) (1.9) (36.7) 77.0
Balance SheetBalance Sheet FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015ASSETS
Cash And Equivalents 112.8 47.0 51.5 371.6 138.5 69.2 86.4 64.3 62.4 25.7 102.7 Short Term Investments - 182.0 237.5 6.9 - - - - - - -
Total Cash & ST Investments 112.8 229.0 289.0 378.5 138.5 69.2 86.4 64.3 62.4 25.7 102.7 Accounts & Notes Receivable 150.0 182.7 130.5 260.3 227.0 292.9 330.6 784.5 787.2 885.6 891.9
Total Receivables 150.0 182.7 130.5 260.3 227.0 292.9 330.6 784.5 787.2 885.6 891.9 Restricted Cash 2.9 0.8 4.9 10.3 17.0 11.1 43.5 11.9 10.7 8.9 2.5
Other Current Assets (2.9) - - - - - 44.3 - 82.7 66.0 - Total Current Assets 262.9 412.5 424.4 649.1 382.5 373.3 504.8 860.8 942.9 986.2 997.1
Net Property, Plant & Equipment 30.8 7.2 13.1 13.6 42.4 12.4 9.1 9.8 8.5 14.6 26.7 Long-term Investments - - - - - - - - - - 438.3
Deferred Charges, LT - - - - - - - - - - 50.1 Other Long-Term Assets 560.9 633.6 699.6 875.0 1,242.3 1,141.5 1,055.2 1,917.5 1,809.5 1,850.9 1,779.9
Total Assets 854.6 1,053.2 1,137.1 1,537.8 1,667.3 1,527.2 1,569.2 2,788.0 2,760.9 2,851.6 3,292.1 LIABILITIES
Short-term Borrowings 1.2 14.8 - - 255.0 242.2 296.1 949.7 1,240.1 741.5 825.9 Accounts Payable 134.2 188.8 155.6 245.4 - - - - - - -
Other Current Liabilities 130.8 285.0 339.0 663.9 946.9 556.4 528.5 934.1 823.1 882.8 859.9 Total Current Liabilities 266.1 488.6 494.7 909.3 1,201.9 798.6 824.6 1,883.8 2,063.2 1,624.3 1,685.9
Long-Term Debt 408.6 385.0 325.0 328.7 281.5 192.0 358.3 108.3 87.2 354.5 489.1 Unearned Revenue, Non-Current 62.5 30.4 69.5 111.5 142.1 130.9 150.9 228.6 254.0 288.3 274.8
Other Non-Current Liabilities (0.0) - - - - 321.8 96.5 477.5 - - - Total Liabilities 737.2 904.0 889.2 1,349.5 1,625.6 1,443.3 1,430.3 2,698.2 2,404.3 2,267.1 2,449.8
Additional Paid In Capital 305.7 328.8 398.8 434.7 494.7 521.2 643.2 712.6 672.9 743.8 830.8 Retained Earnings (183.2) (177.1) (149.7) (223.6) (441.2) (460.6) (502.9) (542.0) (309.9) (157.9) 13.7
Comprehensive Inc. and Other (5.3) (2.4) (1.3) (0.5) (11.9) (6.6) (1.4) (3.7) (6.5) (1.4) (2.2) Total Common Equity 117.4 149.3 247.9 188.2 41.7 83.9 138.9 89.8 356.5 584.5 842.3
Total Equity 117.4 149.3 247.9 188.2 41.7 83.9 138.9 89.8 356.5 584.5 842.3 Total Liabilities And Equity 854.6 1,053.2 1,137.1 1,537.8 1,667.3 1,527.2 1,569.2 2,788.0 2,760.9 2,851.6 3,292.1
Income StatementIncome Statement FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015Revenue 842.6 951.2 976.7 1,361.0 1,466.4 1,489.5 1,582.7 1,587.6 2,708.1 2,630.3 2,399.6 Total Revenue 842.6 951.2 976.7 1,361.0 1,466.4 1,489.5 1,582.7 1,587.6 2,708.1 2,630.3 2,399.6 Cost Of Goods Sold 359.1 460.9 436.8 660.9 793.8 778.0 795.7 908.4 1,390.6 1,369.4 1,315.8 Gross Profit 483.5 490.3 539.9 700.1 672.6 711.5 787.0 679.2 1,317.6 1,260.9 1,083.9 Selling General & Admin Exp.
66.3 469.6 495.2 754.7 806.1 649.2 718.6 641.4 1,036.2 994.4 855.0
Depreciation & Amort. 3.2 2.5 2.8 5.5 7.7 12.5 5.8 4.3 8.3 6.5 6.6 Other Operating Expense/(Income)
364.3 - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Expense., Total 433.7 472.1 498.0 760.2 813.8 661.7 724.4 645.7 1,044.5 1,000.9 861.6 Operating Income 49.8 18.2 41.9 (60.1) (141.2) 49.9 62.5 33.5 273.1 259.9 222.3 Interest Expense 20.4 19.9 17.8 16.4 34.3 47.2 38.9 62.4 75.3 49.0 52.5 Interest Income - 4.3 11.9 11.3 5.8 1.5 1.7 2.8 4.0 6.0 2.8 Net Interest Exp. 20.4 15.6 5.9 5.1 28.5 45.6 37.1 59.7 71.3 42.9 49.7 Currency Exchange (Gains) Loss
- - - - 3.1 (0.0) 1.5 (0.3) 2.1 (2.1) -
Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.)
0.7 (0.1) 0.9 4.7 2.9 22.6 50.0 19.5 43.3 26.7 (40.8)
EBT Excl. Unusual Items 28.7 2.7 35.2 (69.9) (175.7) (18.3) (26.1) (45.4) 156.4 192.5 213.4 Gain (Loss) On Sale Of Assets
(0.7) (4.9) - - - - - (11.0) - - -
Other Unusual Items 1.3 9.7 - - - - - 21.9 - (22.5) - EBT Incl. Unusual Items 29.3 7.5 35.2 (69.9) (175.7) (18.3) (26.1) (34.4) 156.4 185.0 213.4 Income Tax Expense 8.9 1.4 7.7 4.0 2.7 1.2 4.3 4.7 (75.8) 32.9 31.6 Earnings from Cont. Ops. 20.4 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8 Minority Int. in Earnings 0.1 - - - - - - - - - - Net Income 20.3 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8
Summary Executive CompensationName and Principal Year Salary Bonus Stock Awards Option Awards
Non-Euqity Incentive Plan Compensation
All Other Compensation Total
Jon Feltheimer* 2015 $1,500,000.00 $- $1,000,000.00 $- $4,050,000.00 $220,311.00 $6,770,311.00
Chief Executive Officer 2014 $1,465,428.00 $- $14,402,803.00 $41,513,029.00 $8,750,000.00 $197,201.00 $66,328,461.00
2013 $1,264,070.00
$6,000,000.
00 $3,625,278.00 $- $1,500,000.00 $184,535.00 $12,573,883.00
Michael Burns* 2015 $1,000,000.00 $- $4,500,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $146,965.00 $8,646,965.00
Vice Chairman 2014 $1,000,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $- $4,400,000.00 $78,205.00 $8,478,205.00
2013 $970,962.00
$4,000,000.
00 $7,900,172.00 $13,995,430.00 $1,300,000.00 $33,484.00 $28,200,048.00 James W. Barge 2015 $812,500.00 $- $1,212,000.00 $719,637.00 $450,000.00 $2,921.00 $3,197,058.00
Chief Financial Officer 2014 $381,538.00
$1,100,000.
00 $936,250.00 $2,597,054.00 $- $477.00 $5,015,319.00 Steven Beeks 2015 $900,000.00 $- $1,285,500.00 $1,665,285.00 $371,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,224,956.00 Co-Chief Operating 2014 $900,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $3,657.00 $1,728,657.00
Officer and Co-President, 2013 $900,000.00
$850,000.00 $- $- $- $5,960.00 $1,755,960.00 Motion Picture Group Wayne Levin 2015 $825,000.00 $- $1,987,680.00 $1,596,786.00 $471,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,883,637.00 General Counsel and 2014 $825,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $2,932.00 $1,652,932.00
Chief Strategic Officer 2013 $751,442.00
$612,750.00 $1,896,000.00 $1,258,600.00 $187,500.00 $2,960.00 $4,709,252.00
Top 10 Stockholders(as of April 7, 2016)
Holder Name % Ownership No. of Shares Held Institution Type
1. MHR FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 20.14% 30,213,805 Hedge Fund Manager
2. CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
3. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
4. FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH 7.23% 10,840,751 Investment Advisor
5. JANA PARTNERS LLC 5.69% 8,527,645 Hedge Fund Manager
6. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 4.37% 6,559,000 Investment Advisor
7. VANGUARD GROUP INC 4.24% 6,360,972 Investment Advisor
8. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.95% 5,919,005 Investment Advisor
9. KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC 2.97% 4,453,970 Investment Advisor10. NAYA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT UK LTD 2.94% 4,414,250 Hedge Fund Manager
Statement of Cash FlowsCash Flow FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015Net Income 20.3 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8 Depreciation & Amort., Total 218.7 4.5 3.7 5.5 7.7 12.5 5.8 4.3 8.3 6.5 6.6 Other Non-Cash Adj 10.6 217.6 306.2 453.5 512.7 563.9 639.9 643.2 984.8 1,076.1 955.3 Changes in Non-Cash Capital (154.0) (105.2) (277.6) (295.8) (443.8) (691.8) (573.0) (771.8) (949.1) (982.2) (1,047.2) Cash from Ops. 95.5 123.0 59.7 89.2 (101.9) (135.0) 42.3 (163.5) 276.1 252.5 96.5
Capital Expenditure (2.5) (5.5) (8.3) (3.6) (8.7) (3.7) (2.8) (1.9) (2.6) (8.8) (17.0)Sale of Property, Plant, and Equipment
- 34.9 - - - - - - - - -
Cash Acquisitions - - - - (28.8) (1.4) (1.0) (4.7) - - - Proceeds from Investment - - - - - - - - - 13.3 - Invest. in Marketable & Equity Securt.
- - (870.9) (235.7) (18.0) (14.0) (14.0) - (2.0) - (52.7)
Other Investing Activities 1.2 (194.7) 771.6 438.9 (243.1) (24.8) (10.6) (545.6) 9.1 (13.1) 14.6 Cash from Investing (1.3) (165.3) (107.6) 201.3 (298.6) (43.9) (28.4) (552.2) 4.5 (8.6) (55.2)Net Short Term Debt Issued/Repaid
(325.1) - - - 222.8 76.1 8.9 820.7 (265.7) (261.3) 84.4
Long-Term Debt Issued 314.8 - 97.1 166.1 - - - - - - 370.7 Long-Term Debt Repaid (1.9) (23.9) (49.0) (111.4) (5.4) (75.3) - - (3.7) - (229.5)Total Debt Issued/Repaid (12.2) (23.9) 48.1 54.8 217.4 0.8 8.9 820.7 (269.4) (261.3) 225.6 Pref. Dividends Paid - - - - - - - - - (6.9) (33.4)Total Dividends Paid - - - - - - - - - (6.9) (33.4)Increase in CapItal Stocks 24.7 1.4 4.3 1.3 2.9 - - 3.5 2.9 12.0 6.8 Decrease in Capital Stocks - - - (22.3) (45.0) - - (77.1) - - (144.8)Other Financing Activities (1.0) (1.0) 0.0 (4.1) (8.0) 108.9 (5.7) (53.6) (16.0) (24.4) (18.6) Cash from Financing 11.6 (23.5) 52.4 29.7 167.4 109.6 3.2 693.5 (282.5) (280.6) 35.7
Net Change in Cash 105.8 (65.9) 4.5 320.1 (233.1) (69.2) 17.2 (22.1) (1.9) (36.7) 77.0
Balance SheetBalance Sheet FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015ASSETS
Cash And Equivalents 112.8 47.0 51.5 371.6 138.5 69.2 86.4 64.3 62.4 25.7 102.7 Short Term Investments - 182.0 237.5 6.9 - - - - - - -
Total Cash & ST Investments 112.8 229.0 289.0 378.5 138.5 69.2 86.4 64.3 62.4 25.7 102.7 Accounts & Notes Receivable 150.0 182.7 130.5 260.3 227.0 292.9 330.6 784.5 787.2 885.6 891.9
Total Receivables 150.0 182.7 130.5 260.3 227.0 292.9 330.6 784.5 787.2 885.6 891.9 Restricted Cash 2.9 0.8 4.9 10.3 17.0 11.1 43.5 11.9 10.7 8.9 2.5
Other Current Assets (2.9) - - - - - 44.3 - 82.7 66.0 - Total Current Assets 262.9 412.5 424.4 649.1 382.5 373.3 504.8 860.8 942.9 986.2 997.1
Net Property, Plant & Equipment 30.8 7.2 13.1 13.6 42.4 12.4 9.1 9.8 8.5 14.6 26.7 Long-term Investments - - - - - - - - - - 438.3
Deferred Charges, LT - - - - - - - - - - 50.1 Other Long-Term Assets 560.9 633.6 699.6 875.0 1,242.3 1,141.5 1,055.2 1,917.5 1,809.5 1,850.9 1,779.9
Total Assets 854.6 1,053.2 1,137.1 1,537.8 1,667.3 1,527.2 1,569.2 2,788.0 2,760.9 2,851.6 3,292.1 LIABILITIES
Short-term Borrowings 1.2 14.8 - - 255.0 242.2 296.1 949.7 1,240.1 741.5 825.9 Accounts Payable 134.2 188.8 155.6 245.4 - - - - - - -
Other Current Liabilities 130.8 285.0 339.0 663.9 946.9 556.4 528.5 934.1 823.1 882.8 859.9 Total Current Liabilities 266.1 488.6 494.7 909.3 1,201.9 798.6 824.6 1,883.8 2,063.2 1,624.3 1,685.9
Long-Term Debt 408.6 385.0 325.0 328.7 281.5 192.0 358.3 108.3 87.2 354.5 489.1 Unearned Revenue, Non-Current 62.5 30.4 69.5 111.5 142.1 130.9 150.9 228.6 254.0 288.3 274.8
Other Non-Current Liabilities (0.0) - - - - 321.8 96.5 477.5 - - - Total Liabilities 737.2 904.0 889.2 1,349.5 1,625.6 1,443.3 1,430.3 2,698.2 2,404.3 2,267.1 2,449.8
Additional Paid In Capital 305.7 328.8 398.8 434.7 494.7 521.2 643.2 712.6 672.9 743.8 830.8 Retained Earnings (183.2) (177.1) (149.7) (223.6) (441.2) (460.6) (502.9) (542.0) (309.9) (157.9) 13.7
Comprehensive Inc. and Other (5.3) (2.4) (1.3) (0.5) (11.9) (6.6) (1.4) (3.7) (6.5) (1.4) (2.2) Total Common Equity 117.4 149.3 247.9 188.2 41.7 83.9 138.9 89.8 356.5 584.5 842.3
Total Equity 117.4 149.3 247.9 188.2 41.7 83.9 138.9 89.8 356.5 584.5 842.3 Total Liabilities And Equity 854.6 1,053.2 1,137.1 1,537.8 1,667.3 1,527.2 1,569.2 2,788.0 2,760.9 2,851.6 3,292.1
Income StatementIncome Statement FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
3/31/2005 3/31/2006 3/31/2007 3/31/2008 3/31/2009 3/31/2010 3/31/2011 3/31/2012 3/31/2013 3/31/2014 3/31/2015Revenue 842.6 951.2 976.7 1,361.0 1,466.4 1,489.5 1,582.7 1,587.6 2,708.1 2,630.3 2,399.6 Total Revenue 842.6 951.2 976.7 1,361.0 1,466.4 1,489.5 1,582.7 1,587.6 2,708.1 2,630.3 2,399.6 Cost Of Goods Sold 359.1 460.9 436.8 660.9 793.8 778.0 795.7 908.4 1,390.6 1,369.4 1,315.8 Gross Profit 483.5 490.3 539.9 700.1 672.6 711.5 787.0 679.2 1,317.6 1,260.9 1,083.9 Selling General & Admin Exp.
66.3 469.6 495.2 754.7 806.1 649.2 718.6 641.4 1,036.2 994.4 855.0
Depreciation & Amort. 3.2 2.5 2.8 5.5 7.7 12.5 5.8 4.3 8.3 6.5 6.6 Other Operating Expense/(Income)
364.3 - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Expense., Total 433.7 472.1 498.0 760.2 813.8 661.7 724.4 645.7 1,044.5 1,000.9 861.6 Operating Income 49.8 18.2 41.9 (60.1) (141.2) 49.9 62.5 33.5 273.1 259.9 222.3 Interest Expense 20.4 19.9 17.8 16.4 34.3 47.2 38.9 62.4 75.3 49.0 52.5 Interest Income - 4.3 11.9 11.3 5.8 1.5 1.7 2.8 4.0 6.0 2.8 Net Interest Exp. 20.4 15.6 5.9 5.1 28.5 45.6 37.1 59.7 71.3 42.9 49.7 Currency Exchange (Gains) Loss
- - - - 3.1 (0.0) 1.5 (0.3) 2.1 (2.1) -
Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.)
0.7 (0.1) 0.9 4.7 2.9 22.6 50.0 19.5 43.3 26.7 (40.8)
EBT Excl. Unusual Items 28.7 2.7 35.2 (69.9) (175.7) (18.3) (26.1) (45.4) 156.4 192.5 213.4 Gain (Loss) On Sale Of Assets
(0.7) (4.9) - - - - - (11.0) - - -
Other Unusual Items 1.3 9.7 - - - - - 21.9 - (22.5) - EBT Incl. Unusual Items 29.3 7.5 35.2 (69.9) (175.7) (18.3) (26.1) (34.4) 156.4 185.0 213.4 Income Tax Expense 8.9 1.4 7.7 4.0 2.7 1.2 4.3 4.7 (75.8) 32.9 31.6 Earnings from Cont. Ops. 20.4 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8 Minority Int. in Earnings 0.1 - - - - - - - - - - Net Income 20.3 6.1 27.5 (74.0) (178.5) (19.5) (30.4) (39.1) 232.1 152.0 181.8
59
Industry Outlook
5.53%
83.62%
10.85%
2015 Box Office Market Share
Lions Gate Major 6 Studio Other Studio
Lions Gate; 8.27%
Major 6 Studio; 79.02%
Other Studio; 12.71%
2012-2015 Box Office Market Share
Lions Gate Major 6 Studio Other Studio
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
8
Source: Box-office Mojo
2015 Major Studio Market Share
13.97%
20.71%
21.60%
12.70%
6.17%
8.47%
5.53%
Industry Outlook
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E2018E2019E0
500010000150002000025000
U.S. Home Entertainment Spending
Rental Digital Sell Through
In M
illio
ns U
.S. D
olla
rs
• Producers will place greater emphasis on distributing at-home content
• Online streaming services expected to exceed movie ticket sales in 2017
$10,500.00
$11,000.00
$11,500.00
$12,000.00
$12,500.00
$13,000.00 Industry Value Added
Industry Value AddedExponential (Industry Value Added)Source: www.ibisworld.com
In M
illio
ns U
.S. D
olla
rs
2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E332003340033600338003400034200344003460034800
Forecasted Industry Revenue
Forecasted Industry RevenueExponential (Forecasted Industry Revenue)
In M
illio
ns U
.S. D
olla
rs
61
Financial Exposure • Australian Tax Credit• Distribution Rights
• Production Budget: $140 million
• LGF’s risk capital: under $10 million
• Domestic Box Office: $30.5 million
• International Box Office: $102.4 million
Source: The Numbers
Financial Exposure• Pittsburgh Tax Credit• Talent Contracts
• Production Budget: $90 million• LGF at risk: $10 million
• Domestic Box Office: $27.3 million
• International Box Office: $113 million
62Source: Box Office Mojo
LGF’s International Expansion• China's Hunan TV will incur 25%
of film production costs
• Alibaba provides an International distribution platform in China
• IDC distributes a portion of LGF’s films in Latin America
63
64
Equity Method InvestmentNine Months ended Dec. 31: 2015 2014
(Ownership Percentage)
(Amount in millions)
EPIX (31.20%) $ 34.10 $ 27.40
Pop (50.00%) 0.60 (4.70)
Other (Various) (5.30) 14.60
Total $ 29.40 $ 37.30
65
Consumer Purchasing Expenditure
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20149.510
10.511
11.512
12.513
13.5
Consumer Purchasing Expenditures for Motion Picutre
(Bill
ion$
)
66
Video Release Window
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Average Video Release Window
Days
67
Demographic
Euromonitor International Analyst Pulse survey; August 2015
68
Theatrical20%
Home Enter-tainment
34%
Television14%
International29%
Other2%
Motion Picture Segment
Business OverviewMotion Picture
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
3
Source: Lionsgate, 10-K
69
Domestic Television
64%
International27%
Home Entertainment Revenue
9%
Other1%
Television Production
Business OverviewTelevision ProductionScripted
Non-scripted
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
4
Source: Lionsgate, 10-K
70
37%
63%
Current Equity and Debt Structure
Equity = 955.4 Mil USD
Debt = 1620.10 Mil USD
40%
60%
2018E Equity and Debt Structure
Equity = 1097.15 Mil USD
Debt = 1617.93 Mil USD
Debt to Equity Ratio Lions Gate 1.60Industry Average 1.41 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Long Term Debt to AssetsFinancial AnalysisDebt Analysis
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
17
Sensitivity AnalysisPerpetuity Growth EV/EBITDA
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 8.6x 10.1x 11.6x 13.1x 14.6x
6.6% 20.45 24.23 29.65 38.08 53.00 13.99 16.35 18.70 21.05 23.41
7.6% 16.88 19.56 23.20 28.42 36.54 13.60 15.90 18.20 20.50 22.79
8.6% 14.15 16.13 18.71 22.22 27.25 13.21 15.46 17.71 19.95 22.20
WACC 9.6% 11.98 13.49 15.41 17.90 21.28 12.84 15.03 17.23 19.42 21.62
10.6% 10.23 11.41 12.87 14.71 17.12 12.47 14.62 16.76 18.91 21.06
6.6% -4% 14% 39% 79% 149% -34% -23% -12% -1% 10%
7.6% -21% -8% 9% 33% 71% -36% -25% -15% -4% 7%
8.6% -34% -24% -12% 4% 28% -38% -27% -17% -6% 4%
9.6% -44% -37% -28% -16% 0% -40% -29% -19% -9% 1%
10.6% -52% -46% -40% -31% -20% -41% -31% -21% -11% -1%
72
DCF ValuationPerpetuity Growth Method - Value per Share
Free Cash Flow at Year 5 270 WACC 8.6% Perpetuity Growth Rate 2.0% Perpetuity Value at End of Year 5 4,179
Present Value of Perpetuity (@ 8.6% WACC) 2,766
(+) Present Value of Free Cash Flows (@ 8.6% WACC) 1,091 (=) Current Enterprise Value 3,857 Short Term Debt 826 (+) Long Term Debt 489 (-) Cash and Marketable Securities 265 (-) Current Net Debt 1,050 (-) Current Preferred and Minority Interest - (=) Equity Value 2,807 Shares outstanding 150 Estimated Value per Share (USD) 18.71 Current Price (USD) 21.31 3/24/2016 Estimated Upside -12%
73
Relative ValuationEBITDA Multiple Method - Value per Share
Terminal EBITDA at Year 5 339 WACC 8.6% Exit Enterprise Value / EBITDA 11.6x Terminal Value at End of Year 5 3,951 Present Value of Terminal Value (@ 8.6% WACC) 2,615 (+) Present Value of Free Cash Flows (@ 8.6% WACC) 1,091 (=) Current Enterprise Value 3,706.0 Short Term Debt 826 (+) Long Term Debt 489 (-) Cash and Marketable Securities 265 (-) Current Net Debt 1,050 (-) Current Preferred and Minority Interest - (=) Equity Value 2,656 Shares outstanding 150 Estimated Value per Share (USD) 17.71 Current Price (USD) 21.31 Estimated Upside -17%
74
Valuation
Company Market Capitalization Debt Cash Shares Enterprise
Value Current
Stock Price
Relative Stock Price
Disney $148,700.00 $17,330.00 $4,269.00 1,600.00 $161,761.00 $98.82 $101.10
Twenty-First Century Fox $27,500.00 $7,262.00 $8,428.00 2,039.00 $26,334.00 $27.84 $12.92
Time Warner $50,800.00 $22,502.00 $1,170.00 283.20 $72,132.00 $194.43 $254.70
Viacom $11,200.00 $12,285.00 $506.00 346.50 $22,979.00 $39.02 $66.32
Lions gate $3,443.00 $1,595.00 $103.00 150.00 $4,292.00 $ 22.92 $28.61
Dream Works $1,600.00 $515.00 $34.00 78.10 $2,081.00 $25.79 $26.65
Comcast $117,700.00 $52,621.00 $2,295.00 2,100.00 $168,026.00 $59.92 $80.01
Sony $25,600.00 $9,336.12 $9,490.00 1,300.00 $25,446.12 $22.11 $19.57
Enterprise ValuationRelative Premium of Est. Enterprise
Value over Stock Price
Disney 2.3%Twenty First Century Fox -53.6%
Time Warner 40.0%%Viacom 69.9%
Lions Gate 25.8%DreamWorks 3.3%
Comcast 33.5%Sony -11.5%
Source: Yahoo Finance In Billions
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
21
75
Relative Valuation – P/EProjected EPS (Quarterly) P/E Ratio
Q1 2016E Q2 2016E Q3 2016E Q4 2016E FY 2016 2016E
Disney 1.43 1.55 1.22 1.6 5.8 15.84Twenty First Century Fox
.45 .45 .48 .59 1.97 14.43
Time Warner 1.74 1.84 1.8 2.1 7.48 24.04Viacom 1.01 1.54 1.67 1.26 5.48 5.98
LionsGate .29 .53 .22 .32 1.36 30.41DreamWorks .16 -.04 .02 .31 .45 42.57
Comcast .8 .86 .94 .94 3.54 15.79Sony 1.72 11.78
Industry Average P/E
Motion Picture 16.7Broadcast and Cable TV 21.8
Source: Nasdaq and eTrade
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
20
76
Relative Valuation – EV/EBITDATicker EV/EBITDASTRZA 10.31DWA 36.02FOXA 10.72MGMB 15.82TWX 9.68VIAB 8.90CBS 11.25DIS 12.16CMCSA 7.74SNE 5.21
Industry EV/EBITDAMean 12.78Median 10.52IQR 4.46Up Limit 19.77
77
WACC2015-16
8.6%
Weight Cost W x C
Cost of Equity 75.3% 10.8% 8.1%
Cost of Debt 24.7% 1.9% .5%
Cost of Equity 2015-16 2016-18
Risk Free Rate* 2.25% 2.75%
Adjusted Beta 1.10 1.10
MRP 7.75% 7.25%
Cost of Equity 10.80% 10.73%
Cost of Debt 2015-16 2016-18Cost of Debt 1.9% 1.8%
* Expected 10-Year U.S. Treasury
Source: Morningstar
DCF Assumptions - WACC
Business Overview
Industry Outlook & Competitive
Positioning
Financial Analysis Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
19