13
CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 '01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09 February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

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Page 1: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

February 25

Source: Conference Board

Page 2: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Real Gross Domestic Product

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08

Ann

. %

Cha

nge

Source: Commerce Department

Page 3: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Unemployment Rate

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

(%)

January 7.6 %

Source: Labor Department

Page 4: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Nonfarm Payrolls Monthly Changes SA

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Tho

usan

ds

Source: Labor Department

Latest: January 2009

Page 5: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Consumer Price Index 1970 to Present

5.6

8.7

12.3

6.9

4.9

6.7

9.0 8.9

3.8 3.8 4.04.4 4.4

4.7

6.1

3.1 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.5

1.7 1.6

2.7

1.6

2.41.9

4.1

0.0

12.5

0.1

2.5

3.4

3.3

3.4

3.3

3.43.3

13.3

1.1

3.8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08

Year-over-year percent change

Source: Labor Department

Page 6: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Interest Rates 1988-2008

0123456789

1011

88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Fed Funds 10-yr Treas

Source: Federal Reserve Board

Page 7: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Interest Rates 1988-2008

0123456789

1011

88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

3-month 6-Month 1-year

Source: Federal Reserve Board

Page 8: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Mortgage Rates (Conventional, FHLMC)1988-2008

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Source: Federal Reserve Board

Page 9: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

CONSUMER DEBTPercent change at annual rate

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08

Source: Federal Reserve Board

Latest: December 2008

Page 10: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Vehicle SalesMonthly Data, SAAR

9000

11000

13000

15000

17000

19000

21000

23000

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Thousands

Source: Commerce Department and Economy.com

Latest: January 2009

Page 11: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Retail Sales ($Millions, SA)

10000

60000

110000

160000

210000

260000

310000

360000

410000

'92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Source: Commerce Department

Page 12: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

New Home Sales (Thousands, SAAR)

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Source: Commerce Department

Page 13: CUNA Consumer Confidence 1980 to Present February 25 Source: Conference Board

CUNA

Existing Home Sales (Millions, SAAR)

4

5

6

7

8

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

Source: National Association of Realtors