40
Current state and potential Current state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological and air , surface meteorological and climate monitoring networks. Oleg M. Pokrovsky Main Geophysical Observatory, Karbyshev str 7 St Petersburg 194021 Karbyshev str .7, St. Petersburg, 194021, Russian Federation e-mail: pokrov@main mgo rssi ru e-mail: pokrov@main.mgo.rssi.ru

Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

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Page 1: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological andair, surface meteorological and climate monitoring networks.

•Oleg M. Pokrovskyg y•Main Geophysical Observatory,

Karbyshev str 7 St Petersburg 194021Karbyshev str.7, St. Petersburg, 194021, Russian Federation

e-mail: pokrov@main mgo rssi rue-mail: [email protected]

Page 2: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Outlines:• New Climate Change Tendencies in

Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in NorthAtmospheric Circulation Regimes in North-East Asia

• Current state of Russian RAOB network• Suggestion to RAOB optimal design in SubSuggestion to RAOB optimal design in Sub

Arctic Siberia• Current state of Russian SYNOP network• Finding in key areas to be covered by newFinding in key areas to be covered by new

SYNOP stations

Page 3: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Latest Network StatisticsLatest Network StatisticsSurf SYN SYN RAO RAO GUASurfmet total

SYNOP (R)

SYNOP (IR)

RAOB (R)

RAOB (IR)

GUAN

total (R) (IR) (IR)

1610 396 119 49 53 10

Closed stations -241Closed stations -241

Page 4: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Short Historical ExcursionShort Historical Excursion

Page 5: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

RAOB in So iet PeriodRAOB in Soviet Period

Siberian RAOB configuration in 1970-1989

80

70

de

50

60

Latit

u

80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 18040

50

Longitude

Page 6: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

RAOB Problems After 1998RAOB Problems After 1998• Statistics: 1999: 4-7 sondes per dayp y• 2000: 10-12 sondes per day• 2001: 16 19 sondes per day• 2001: 16-19 sondes per day• 2002: 22-24 sondes per day• BUT: main problem is absence of regularity:• 1999: only 2 stations provided daily regular datay p y g• 2002: only 15 stations provided daily regular

datadata

Page 7: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

1999 O t b1999, October (Source: Meteo France database)

Daily Siberian sonde data available in October 1999y

70

80

60

Latit

ude

70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 17040

50

Latitude

Page 8: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

2003 January (Source: Meteo France database)2003, January (Source: Meteo France database)

Daily Siberian sonde data available in January 2003Daily Siberian sonde data available in January 2003

70

80

60

70La

titud

e

80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 18040

50

80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

longitude

Page 9: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

January 2005January 2005

Sonde stations provided profiles twice per day (0 Z and 12 Z) in January 2005

80

2211322217 23330 23472

24125

60

Latit

ude

2255023330 23472

249592591326063 27199

2844528698

2957229634

30230

30758

31004

3254034009

40

31736

3197732150

3400934560

3485834880

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180Longitude

Page 10: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

January 2007January 2007

Siberian RAOB configuration provided everyday 0Z and 12Z profiles in January 2007 8080

70 2194624125

70

60

Latit

ude

23472

2395524688

24908

2540025703

2591328275 29231 29263 29282

295722961229634 2969829862

3005430230

30309 3037230554

3108860

5029839 29862 30554

30715 3075830935 30965

3173631873 32150

32540

50

60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190Longitude

4060 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190

40

Page 11: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

January 2009

Regular RAOB at 31 stations in Siberia: January 2009Regular RAOB at 31 stations in Siberia: January 200980

20891

70

ude

20891 21824

24266

24641 246882472624908 24944

24959

2512325400 25428

25703

50

60

latit

u 24908 24944 25913300543023030309 30372

30554

30965

31004 31088

31300

3173632061

3238932540

100 120 140 160 180

50 31736

3197732150

100 120 140 160 180Longitude

Page 12: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

RAOB network configuration in gJan 2010

Page 13: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Nominal Sonde Network

75

80

70

75

60

65

tude

55

60

latit

50

100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 14: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Complete in time (Green), Non-complete (Red) and Dead (Blue Crosses) Sonde reports for January, 2010

75

80

70

75

60

65

tude

55

60

latit

50

100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 15: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Problem of RAOB optimization

Page 16: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Sufficient RAOB networkДолгота

80 20292

70

2143220674

25042

0 9

24125 24266 25123 251732194621824

60

70

ирота

23955

25594

29282

2426623472

2333023552

2393328225

2450724817 2494430054 31004

24343

2495925913

2540024688

25954

25563

50

60

Ши

31168

32215

3055436096

28698

8 5

3151031369

3238932618

40

5031873

31977

32150

60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Рис. . Достаточная аэрологическая сеть на АТР: 42 станции (информативность пропорциональна размеру зв

40

Page 17: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

O ti l i t l ti H500 RMS fi ldOptimal interpolation H500 RMS error fieldДолгота

80 20292 1080

70

8021432

20674

25042

20292

24125 25123 2517321946

2182485

10

70

80

60

70

ирота

23955

25594

29282

2412524266

2347223330

23552

23933

28225

24507

24817 2494430054 31004

24343

24959

25913

2540024688

25954

25563

65

60

70

50

60

Ши

3116829282

32215

30554

36096

28698

28225 31004

31510

31369

323893261845

50

60

40

5031873

31977

32150

5

25

40

50

60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Рис. . Поле ошибок восстановления поля Н500 (м) по данным достаточной аэрологической сети АТР из 42 ст

40 560 80 100 120 140 160 180

40

Page 18: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Climate GUAN

Page 19: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

долгота

RUSSIAN GUAN in 2003

80

20674

23472

219822426622271

60широта

30230

325402869835121

23472

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 18040

34731

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180Рис. . Карта-схема сети ГУАН Росгидромета, включающей 10 станций

GUAN network in 2005

80

23921

242662347222550

20674

3108860

23921

2986235121

2869831088

325403023027459

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 18040

Page 20: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Russian GUAN Optimization

Page 21: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

долгота

80

2067421982

60

широта

30230

23472

219822426622271

ш3254028698

35121

34731

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180Рис. . Карта-схема сети ГУАН Росгидромета, включающей 10 станций

40

2504220674

24266

2029280

22550259543108823955

24507

35121

60

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 18040

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180Рис. . Карта опимальной сети ГУАН Росгидромета, включающая 10 станций

Page 22: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networkSurface meteo network configuration (Jan 2010)g ( )

Page 23: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Nominal (black) and closed (red) meteorological stations

80

70

75

65

tude

55

60latit

50

100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 24: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Meteo network: regular (green), irregular (red) reports and dead (blue crosses) stations for Jan, 2010

75

80

70

75

60

65

itude

55

60

lati

50

100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 25: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Analysis of information contentf t kof networks

based on meteorological fieldbased on meteorological field variabilityy

Page 26: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface SYNOP stations:complete in time and non-

complete observations

Page 27: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Summer Surface Air Variability (C) and SYNOP networks: green - regular data, red - irregular data (January, 2010)

80

70

75

65

70

ude

55

60

latit

u

45

50

80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190

longitude

40

Page 28: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Winter Surface Air Variability (C) and SYNOP networks: green - regular data, red - irregular data (January, 2010)

80

70

75

60

65

atitu

de

50

55

l

40

45

80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190

longitude

40

Page 29: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

All available surface stations

Page 30: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (winter)

75

80

70

75

60

65

itude

55

60lat

50

110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 31: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (summer)

75

80

70

75

60

65

itude

55

60lat

50

110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 32: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (spring)

75

80

70

75

60

65

itude

55

60lat

50

110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 33: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (autumn)

75

80

70

75

60

65

itude

55

60lat

50

110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 19040

45

longitude

Page 34: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (summer): Chukcha Peninsula

74

76

72

70

66

68

latit

ude

64

66

62

160 165 170 175 180 185 190 195longitude

60

Page 35: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

SAT Variability and surface network configuration (winter): Chukcha Peninsula

Surface meteo networks: green triangles-regular synop, red rombes - irregular synop, black crosses-closed, black circles-nominal existed

74

Chukcha Peninsula

72

2198221982

7021978

21982

2503425042

2504425051

25062

25121 25123 25151 25173

25145

21965

25062

2517325123

66

68

latit

ude

25129 25138 25147

25248

25282

25325 25335 25356 25378 25399

25372

25145

2549625434

25138

25248

25399

25282

2532525356 25378

64

25428 25469

25526 25538

2555125561 25563

25591

25627 2564825677

25656

25621

254965 3

25568

25428

255632555125594

25677

62

25677

25745

2576725820

25932 2594125954 25956

25777

25858

25821

25956

25677

25745

2593225954

160 165 170 175 180 185 190 195longitude

60

25954 25956

Page 36: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface zonal wind variability (m/s): winter (0 and 12 h)

Zonal Wind Variability and surface network configuration (winter): Chukcha Peninsula

76

72

74

70

e

68Latit

ude

64

66

62

160 165 170 175 180 185 190 195Longitude

60

Page 37: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Surface meridional wind variability (m/s): winter (0 and 12 h). + -closed, o - up to 123 obs/month , triangles- more than 123 obs

Meridional Wind Variability and surface network configuration (winter): Chukcha Peninsula

76

72

74

70

e

68Latit

ude

64

66

62

160 165 170 175 180 185 190 195Longitude

60

Page 38: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Air Humidity Variability and surface network configuration (summer): Chukcha Peninsula

äî ëãî òà

76

74

70

72

68øèð

îòà

66

62

64

160 165 170 175 180 185 190 195Ðèñ. . Ï î ëå èçì åí ÷èâî ñòè î òí î ñèòåëüí î é âëàæí î ñòè (ã/êã) ï î äàí í û ì ðåàí àëèçà çà 0 è 12 ÷àñî â: çèì í èé ñåçî í + -closed, o - up to 123 obs/month , triangles- more than 1

60

Page 39: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

Conclusions• Existed RAOB and SYNOP networks in

Siberia is not uniformly distributed thereSiberia is not uniformly distributed – there are several gaps in informatively important d idomains:Chukotka, Arctic coast, East Siberia (high latitudes)

• There is urgent necessity in additional e e s u ge t ecess ty add t o aobservations, especially in North-Eastern part of Siberia.part of Siberia.

Page 40: Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential … · 2014. 2. 3. · Current state and potentialCurrent state and potential development of Russian upper air s rface meteorological

THANK YOU N OUFOR YOUR ATTENTION

St. Petersburg