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D E C E M B E R 1 2 , 2 0 0 6
I N F R A S T R U C T U R E F I N A N C I N G S T R A T E G I E S
FHWA: Northern Border Finance WorkshopDetroit, Michigan
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Overview
Private Sector Capital: A financing tool
A new Detroit River International Crossing
Federal Sector Capital: Co-investment
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Private Capital Can Add Value
Aggressive use of capital to maximize asset value given a projected stream of tolls
Private capital structure using both debt and equity
Equity demands a higher rate of return, but may be more flexible during ramp up
Optimal use of debt
Upfront payment to sponsoring government, even in a new construction project
Extract value from existing assets
Infrastructure private purchasing power > $200 billion
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Infrastructure Financing Alternatives
Conventional Innovative
Initial Public Offering
Separate assets into operating company
Offer shares to public and maintain significant ownership
Sell additional ownership percentages over time
Likely to give more autonomy to management and attract local retail investors
Possibly lower initial proceeds than sale or concession
Leverage Asset with Debt
Debt Service coverage levels to Baa/BBB rating category
Debt proceeds fund Project
No asset sale or transfer
Comply with existing bond covenants, if applicable
Transfer Asset to Public Authority
Create a new Public Authority in which the sponsor has significant participation
Authority borrows funds for purchase
Authority purchases transportation assets or concession
Apply purchase price to pay existing debt and to finance new projects
Public Private Concession Agreement
Accept bids for long term lease from private operators and investors
Retain asset ownership
Critical controls negotiated in concession agreement
Potential for upfront cash and revenue sharing
Direct Asset Sale
Direct sale of either a portion of or entire asset
Complete divestiture of transportation assets
Parent company likely to assume control over day-to-day operations
Likely to produce maximum proceeds
Brownfield or Greenfield
Brownfield
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Infrastructure Assets are Attractive to Investors
Long term, stable cashflows, inflation adjusted
Low correlation to other asset classes
Increase in share price due to revaluation and growth
Income stream with tax deferred components
Predictable Cashflow
DiversificationCapital
AppreciationTax Benefits
Unique Investment
Class
Previously unavailable for investment
Broad Appea
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Traditional institutions
Pension plans
Hedge funds
Retail investors
Rapid Shift to Funded Pension Systems Shift to funded pension systems Duration match of liabilities to assets
Incentive for Private Sector Participation Investment encouraged by government
Long-Term Investment Returns Valued Using Discounted Cash Flow Investors seek high-yield, low risk, bond-like returns with potential for capital
growth
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Striking the “Right” Public-Private Partnership Balance
Deliver project Promote economic development Maximize financial resources
Build project if it produces good financial return
Generate stable long-term equity returns Maximize return on investment
Public Agency Objectives:Public Agency Objectives: Private Sector Objectives:Private Sector Objectives:
• Long-term mindset• Tailored agreements
MaximizeEquity Returns
Maximize Traffic Flow and Economic
Development
Public Sector
Private Sector
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1 Includes concession ($67mm for 100% implied) and construction $621mm
Recent North American Road Privatizations
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U.S. Transportation PPP Projects In-Progress
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Projects Completed Between US and Canada
Blue Water Bridge
Managed by: Michigan Dept. of Transportation (MDOT) & Blue Water Bridge Authority (BWBA)
Description: Connects Port Huron, MI and Sarnia, ON
Financing: MDOT 2005 Refunding of $54.5MM 1996 Bonds; C$100MM BWBA bonds outstanding
Security: State Trunk Line Fund (MDOT); Toll revenues (BWBA)
Traffic1: Two way traffic
Notes: AA- rating from S&P (MDOT & BWBA) Bridge is tolled in both directions
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
5,687,559
5,596,911
5,441,207
5,568,845
5,513,809
International Bridge
Managed by: Federal Bridge Corporation Limited
Description: Connects Sault Ste. Marie, MI and Sault St Marie, ON
Financing: No bonds outstanding - $16MM issued in 1960 have been retired
Security: Toll revenues
Traffic1: One way traffic
Notes: Nov. 06, JIBA proposed a toll increase to meet long term needs and decreasing revenue
Bridge is tolled in both directions
1Respective websites
2003 2004 2005 2006 est.
1,898,580
1,849,382
1,926,660
1,941,353
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Detroit River International Border Crossings
Canada and the US have the largest bilateral trading partnership in the world Over $1 billion (USD) in daily trade1
28% of surface trade between Canada and the US passes through the Detroit River Area2
Currently, crossing occurs via: Ambassador Bridge
— Privately owned by the Detroit International Bridge Company and the Canadian Transit Company
Detroit-Windsor Tunnel— $53.5MM Macquarie concession for US side – January 2001
Detroit Windsor Rail Tunnel— Controlled by Canadian Pacific Railway, owned by CPR and Borealis Infrastructure Fund
1Detroit River International Crossing Study - Evaluation of Illustrative Alternative on US Side of Border – Volume 22 Detroit River International Crossing Study - Travel Demand Forecasts
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Forecasted Need for a New Detroit River International Crossing
By 2035, base forecast traffic is expected to increase1: Passenger traffic – 57% Truck traffic - 128% Capacity of the connections and plaza operations will be exceeded sooner than
roads
Since 1999 traffic in the Detroit River area has declined by 25%
1Detroit River International Crossing Study – Travel Demand Forecasts (Sept. 2005)
Source: DRIC Study - Travel Demand Forecast
Bridge and Tunnel Operators Associations Bridge and Tunnel Operators Associations
Annual Passenger CarsAnnual Passenger Cars Annual Commercial VehiclesAnnual Commercial Vehicles
2001 – US Attacked on 9/112003 – SARS outbreak in Canada
Historical Events1989 – FTA Agreement1999 – Casinos open in Detroit
Average annual growth rates:
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Forecasted Need for a New Detroit River International Crossing
Crossing speed and capacity
Source: Detroit River International Crossing Study – Travel Demand Forecasts1Based on PCE factor of 3 for commercial vehicles
Base forecast physical crossing capacity exceeded: Ambassador Bridge – 2020 Detroit Windsor Tunnel - 2035
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Detroit River International Crossing Project
Proposed Bridge
Canadian Inspection
Plaza
US Inspection
Plaza
Canadian Highway
Connection
US Highway Connection
A new border crossing will have five components
Access roads leading to the border crossing
Toll collection facilities Physical crossing Border inspection system
— Primary and secondary Egress roads leading from border
crossing
Source: Detroit River International Crossing Study – Travel Demand Forecasts
Summary of future Detroit River crossings capacity needs
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Recent Border Processing Improvements
Ambassador Bridge Four new truck customs booths – Jan. 8, 2004 New Fast and Secure Trade (FAST) program improvements – Nov. 1, 2004
Improved technology and staffing levels have improved mobility patterns
Mean Commercial Travel TimesMean Commercial Travel Times
Source: Detroit River International Crossing Study – Travel Demand Forecast
1Detroit River International Crossing Study – Travel Demand Forecasts
Crossing Times – Canada to USCrossing Times – Canada to US
Delay times on the critical US-bound Ambassador Bridge crossing reduced by 80%1
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Political Risk
Market Position Existing competition
— Bridges— Rail— Ferries
Alternate proposals — Detroit River Tunnel Partnership - Jobs Tunnel (~$400 million to construct)— Mich-Can - Rouge River Bridge Project (~$400-$500 million to construct)
Traffic and Revenue Forecasting
Competing truck toll ($USD)
Investor Considerations: Detroit River Crossing Greenfield Project
Socioeconomic
Event Risk
Source: DRIC Study – Travel Demand Forecast
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Funding Sources for a New Crossing
12006 State of Michigan – State Trunk Line Funds Official Statement, 2New and Publications – Michigan Infrastructure & Transportation Association
Public Private Partnerships
???
Canada Would concession be allowed across border? Would the restrictions from both countries deter investors from taking on the project? A number of other crossings are privately owned – agreements?
Michigan Department of Transportation In FY 2005 surface transportation
revenues - $1.97 billion1 Each year, Michigan falls more than $700
million short in meeting basic maintenance needs2
State of Michigan Senate approved 2007 capital outlay budget contains language prohibiting any state expenditures for renewed crossing over Detroit River
Federal Funding Transportation Infrastructure Finance and
Innovation Act (TIFIA)—Can TIFIA be applied to the US
portion? Private Activity Bonds (PABs)
—Potential for use with TIFIA if allowed—Would allow for less expensive
financing
Province of Ontario May 2005 - Ontario releases
infrastructure investment plan with transportation investments of $11.4 billion by 2010
Federal Funding Transport Canada manages the
Highways and Border Infrastructure Fund, with a commitment of $2.4 billion in 2006 budget
Strategic Highway Infrastructure Program
—5-year program to renew and enhance Canada’s highway infrastructure
—$600 million dedicated to overall program, with $65 million set aside for border crossings
Cost of the crossing is estimated at $1 billion
United StatesUnited States CanadaCanada
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Federal-Aid Highway Program (FAHP) funded by contract authority
Major criteria:
National or regional significance
Federal requirements (Civil Rights, NEPA, Titles 23/49 of U.S.C.)
Eligible project costs must be at least:
— At least $50 million or 33% or more of the State’s Federal-aid highway
apportionments
— Assistance cannot exceed 33% of total eligible costs
Sponsor must pledge a revenue source to repay the TIFIA obligation
State and local transportation approvals must be obtained
Dedicated Revenue Sources
Tolls, user fees, special assessments, tax increment financings and any portion of a
tax or fee that produces revenue pledged for debt retirement
General obligation pledges or Corporate Priority pledges
No pledge of US federal funds
Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act (TIFIA): Background
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Loan Guarantee
Direct Loan Will Generate Proceeds for Construction
Program Application
Direct Benefit
Original Proceeds
Generated?
Direct Loan
Line of Credit
Finance/refinance eligible
project costs
Sponsor receives a loan with more flexibility than
third party loans
Yes
Enhances participation by
third party lenders
NoGuarantees loan
for eligible project costs
Available only after Substantial
Completion
No
Pay debt service on obligations to finance eligible
costs, O&M costs, etc.
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Title 23 / Title 49
Project Definition
$15 billion limitation – No expiration date No annual limitation
PAB Authorization
PABs Can Allow Private Partners Access to Less Expensive Funding
Private Ownership
Can be loaned to a private entity to construct Private entity may own Private entity can keep all tolls and other revenue
Private Management
Can be owned by a governmental entity and leased to, or managed by, another private entity Management agreement need not comply with the limitations imposed by IRS Revenue Procedure 97-
13
“Qualified Highway and Surface Freight Transfer Facilities” (“Qualified Transportation Facilities”) include Any surface transportation project which receives Federal assistance under title 23, United States
Code Any project for an international bridge or tunnel for which an international entity authorized under
Federal or State law is responsible and which receives Federal assistance under title 23, United States Code
Any facility for the transfer of freight from truck to rail or rail to truck which receives Federal assistance under either title 23 or title 49, United States Code
Project must comply with Title 23 (United States Code) (Highway) and/or Section 5333(a) of Title 49 U.S.C.(Rail)
TIFIA funding qualifies as Title 23 funds and will establish eligibility for PAB approval
Subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (“AMT”) AMT premium of 15-30 basis points on long-term fixed rate bonds and the premium on floating-rate
securities is 5 basis points Primary buyers are institutional investors
AMT
Depreciation & Interest Expense
Private party can deduct depreciation if treated for tax purposes as the owner Generally, the private party is treated as the tax owner if:
Legal owner Lease or otherwise has the right to use for their full economic lives, or Lease with a bargain payment option
Private entity can deduct interest payments
Significant interest rate advantage relative to taxable rates
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Conclusion
A new crossing for the Detroit River –- or any similar project –- can only be done based on good underlying fundamentals
Federal sector co-investment: TIFIA can fund project costs, and can drive down capital costs directly and indirectly
Effective tool when used properly
Not a magic bullet
Not a pot of gold
Private sector capital
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Questions and Answers
Bob Walsh, JPMorgan Securities
Phone: (312) 732 – 2010
E-Mail: [email protected]
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