DA Russia Aerospace

8/12/2019 DA Russia Aerospace

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Russian Aerospace DA JM DD1 2011

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RUSSIA AEROSPACE DA

***1NC Shell***.....................................................................................................................................................2***Uniqueness***...................................................................................................................................................3

Competitiveness.......................................................................................................................................................3Economy..................................................................................................................................................................4Aerospace................................................................................................................................................................5ussian !nvestment.................................................................................................................................................."America #eclinin$.................................................................................................................................................1%***&in'***............................................................................................................................................................12(eneral...................................................................................................................................................................12Satellites.................................................................................................................................................................13E)port Controls......................................................................................................................................................14***!nternal &in'***..............................................................................................................................................15Space !nvestments.................................................................................................................................................15

Soyu +o,erniation.............................................................................................................................................1-Economic #iversiication......................................................................................................................................1/***!mpact***........................................................................................................................................................10(eneral...................................................................................................................................................................10allistic +issile rolieration................................................................................................................................2%ussiaChina +o,ule.............................................................................................................................................2%***urns ***......................................................................................................................................................22US Economy..........................................................................................................................................................22China a,..............................................................................................................................................................22ussia +iscalculation............................................................................................................................................23he !SS..................................................................................................................................................................23

***A***.............................................................................................................................................................2-&in' urn...............................................................................................................................................................2-Corruption..............................................................................................................................................................2/

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***1NC Shell***he lac' o a US space pro$ram is uelin$ the $ro6th o ussia7s aerospace in,ustry no6Mack 118#avi, +ac' 32511 9ice resi,ent: he +i,,le East !nstitute o the CS!S: Center or Strate$ic an, !nternational Stu,ies:http;csis.or$

ussia7s space pro$ram in recent years has


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***)niueness***

Co!petiti+eness

Co!petiti+eness is increasin" no& !ultiple &arrants

,nside S-T 2010 JDhe ussian Bli$ht Simulator !n,ustry: +ay 10: http;hall,ale.cominsi,esntrussian=li$ht=simulator=in,ustryK

hese are still not the $lory ,ays o the ormer Soviet Union:


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/cono!%

Russias econo!% is hi"h no& $ut capital has not solidiied thats the !ost i!portant internal link

RT ne&s 11: Economic outloo' or 2%11: 11%2%11: http;rt.com


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Aerospace/nd o Constellation

Arkipo+ 118!lya Ar'ipov an,&yu


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Russian aerospace unctionin" on all c%linders no&aerospace !o+es pro+e

RT 108Russian Ti!es: 12%2%10Devitaliin$ ussia7s aviation in,ustry : http;rt.comne6srussia=aviation=in,ustry=su'hoi>Must ten years a$o ussia7s aviation in,ustry 6as all


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;isl%ako+ 108An,rei Oislya'ov: 6riter or 9oice o ussia: 121"2%10DNe6 impulse to ussian space roc'ets:http;en$lish.ruvr.rura,io@


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R,A No+osti= 118Gnline ussian ne6s service: Mune 2%th: 2%11: RChinaQs 5( i$hter Qa sho6oQR:http;en.rian.ru6orl,2%11%-2%1-4/2/--4.html

ChinaQs ith=$eneration i$hter pro$ram is more or eect than su


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Russia has !assi+el% increased its in+est!ents in space $ecause the )S is $ackin" do&n

5'l%nn >108Oevin G7Blynn is a Fournalist at he +osco6 imes 6ho has live, an, 6or'e, in ussia or ten years: 3241%:http;r

Gn April 2: ne6 Soyu cre6 mem


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)S decline is ke% to Russian aerospace

SRAS 108School o ussian an, Asian Stu,ies= 1%22%1%: Dussia +ay ecome QA


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,ntera#ABN 10 !ntera)=A9N 232%1%: DussiaQs space e)ploration plans 6onQt chan$e = a$ency chie: supplie,

+osco6: 2 Be


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?eneral

The plan kills the incenti+e or Russian aerospace in+est!ent

Euenelle 118enFamin Vuenelle is a riter or orl,crunch ne6s a$ency: orl, Crunch: /2111http;666.6orl,crunch.comamerica=s=shuttle=no6=$roun,e,=russia=loo's=e,$e=ahea,=$lo

he en, o the U.S. space shuttle pro$ram coul,


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Russias ahead in satellite launches

,NA .98,NA .92%11: Dussia ,i, t6ice as many space launches as U.S. in 2%1%>+GSCG. Be< 20 8!ntera)> = ussia has 114 satellites in or oar,. Russia remains the lea,er in the num


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Russian aerospace technolo"% is co!petiti+e no& due to A!erican eport controls

Fenni"an :9178.M. Fenni"an: aerospace 6riter or the &A imes: :9172%11 DU.S. arms ma'ers loo' overseas as ,omestic,eman, shrin's: http;articles.latimes.com2%11Fun15

Althou$h U.S. military technolo$y is 6i,ely vie6e, as cream o the crop: it ,oes not al6ays 6in lucrative contractsoverseas. !n April: !n,ia announce, its short list o


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Space ,n+est!ents

Space in+est!ents are ke% to sustainin" Russias econo!%

)SA Toda% (8Ne6spaper: citin$ +e,ve,ev 1112%" http;666.usato,ay.comne6s6orl,2%%"[email protected]>

+GSCG 8A> ussia nee,s to she, its ,epen,ence on e)ports o ra6 materials an, to


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So%u4 !oderni4ation is ke% to !aintain Russian econo!ic co!petiti+eness

8orenstein and 8ula% 118A science 6riter Seth orenstein in ashin$ton an, An,rey ulay in +osco6: /1"11:http;666.mail.com

A!OGNU: Oaa'hstan he moth


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Di+ersiication is crucial to Russian econo!ic sta$ilit%technolo"ical de+elop!ent is a ke% actor

8o"etic et al >68elF'o: &ea, Economist or ussia an, E+ Country Sector Coor,inator. he team mem: Ser$ey Ulatov 8Economist>: Stepan itov 8Senior Economist>: Gl$a Emelyanova 8esearch Analyst> an, +arcoernan,e 8Economist>. Dussian Economic eport No.1/:http;siteresources.6orl,


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?eneral

eads to loose nukes= &ar &ith China and spillo+er to other hotspots

Da+id ((8Steven #avi,=is a roessor o olitical Science at Mohns op'ins: Savin$ America rom the Comin$ Civil ars: ManBe

he secon, is ussia7s $ro6in$ strate$ic im


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Russia Miscalculation

Turns their Russia !iscalc scenario $ecause reducin" aerospace undin" causes ault% earl% &arnin"

net&orks

Fitchens 0.heresa itchens is the ,irector o Center or #eense !normation an, the ormer e,itor o #eense Ne6s. R+onstersan, Sha,o6s; &et Unchec'e,: American Bears e$ar,in$ hreats to Space Assets ill #rive eaponiation.R #isarmament Borum.No. 1 82%%3> http;666.uni,ir.or$p,articlesp,=art1004.p,>

As a lon$=time space po6er: the ussian Be,eration is hi$hly concerne, a


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The ,SS

Collapse o the aerospace industr% causes $rain drain

illia!son (78ay: !nternational Security an, Space ro$ram: DU.S. ussian Co=operation in Space:http;666.as.or$otareports"54-.p,:>

A com


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,ts uniue # Russian $rains are not $ein" drained "o+ern!ent eorts &ill succeed= $ut not $% !uch

Schreck 0(8Carl: Borei$n Correspon,ent: ussia see's a cure or its


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Asteroids

Russia sol+es asteroids no& $ut !aintainin" their rocket capa$ilit% is crucial

A"ence 'rance#3resse 0:=the ol,est Brench ne6s a$ency in the 6orl,: Gcto


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Space De$ris

Maintainin" Russias aerospace industr% sol+es space de$ris

Atkinson 10 8NancyAt'inson 1%: space Fournalist: Novem


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***A9T***

ink Turn

Tensions !ean no link turn

'eier (8(re$ory Beier is an E,itor an, Senior Correspon,ent or N 4"%" http;666.npr.or$templatesstorystory.phpIstory!,W1%32"-4%2

!n the near uture: the ate o AmericaQs manne, space pro$ram rests: in part: at a massive: han$arli'e


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)niueness pro+es Russias in+estin" no& $ecause the% think the% &ill eclusi+el% ha+e space

capa$ilities the plan eli!inates that

A'3 118A$ency Brance ress: Ne6spaper: /311: httpH99&&&@rance2@co!9en920110

o recoup its costs: os'osmos hopes to


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Corruption

,n+estors ha+e tolerance or so!e corruption ### other e!er"in" !arkets pro+e@

/r"o= 2010. Consulting firm for investors in Russia/CIS. Building a Silicon Valley in Russia: An Ill-Fated remlin!"#eriment$% &ovem'er (tt#://))).ergo.net/Building-Silicon-Valley-Russia.#df.

hile the ussian $overnment is toutin$ the promise o S'ol'ovo: potential investors in the city7s companies an, acilitiesare ace, 6ith consi,era


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5li"archs "ot &recked $% the inancial crisis ### the% lost their political inluence@

Schepp (*+att(ias Sc(e## ,,/,/0. 1lo'al 2o)nturn Brings Russia3s 4ligarc(s to 5(eir nees6% 2er S#iegel6(tt#://))).s#iegel.de/international/'usiness/6,7,68,89-6.(tml.

ut the halcyon ,ays no6 appear to

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