Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 1
MARKET COMMENTARY
Markets at a Glance HSX HNX
Close 564.13 76.69
1 Day Change (%) +0.15% +0.08%
Volume (Shares) 74,657,307 26,467,617
Value (VNDbn) 1,224 289
HSX/HNX-30 576.78 142.32
Gainers/Ceiling 104/8 80/9
Losers/Floor 85/9 98/10
Unchanged 88 66
Foreign Activity HSX HNX
Foreign Buying (VNDbn) 175.2(14.6%)* 6.1(2.1%)*
Foreign Selling (VNDbn) 198.4(16.5%)* 46.0(15.9%)*
Net Buying/Selling (23.2) (39.9)
* % Total Value
Table of Contents:
Market Commentary Page 1-2
Technical Analysis Page 3
HSX Indices Page 4
Recommendation Page 5-6
Major Market Movers Page 7
HSX Sector Performance Page 8
Top 5 (By Market Cap) For Each Sector Page 9
Foreign ETF Trading Page 10
Domestic ETF Trading Page 11
International Markets Page 12
Neighboring Markets Page 13
Contact Information & Disclaimer Page 14-15
BID had excess selling orders for millions of
shares at its floor after being dropped from the
VNM ETF. The market remained otherwise quiet.
Van Eck Global suddenly announced last evening that
BID would not be added to its VNM ETF portfolio after
the Q3 2015 review came out. This unprecedented
incident in Vietnam surprised all investors and BID
was immediately sent to its floor right from the
beginning of the session with excess selling orders in
the ATO session of nearly 10.7 million shares. Very
few transaction orders of BID were matched and the
stock had excess selling orders of millions of shares
until the market closed. (See our detailed report here)
This seemed to make investors more cautious with
other bank stocks such as CTG, MBB, and EIB, leading
them to fall. Other stocks including HAG and KDC
attracted strong demand and increased as their
weights in the VNM ETF were predicted to go up. The
recovery of these stocks and other blue chips such as
BVH, DPM, GAS, HPG, MSN, PPC, and PVD helped the
VN-Index to increase slightly by 0.15 percent to 564.13.
On the HNX, losers still outnumbered gainers but
positive movements of CEO, HUT, PVC, PVS, SHB,
VCG, and VND were enough to pull the HNX-Index
slightly up by 0.08 percent to close at 76.69. The
market was generally quiet, pushing liquidity to low
levels on both exchanges.
Foreign investors unexpectedly net sold VND23.2
billion (USD1.03 million) on the HSX while they net
bought VND55.7 billion (USD2.48 million) yesterday.
Top sells on this exchange were VIC, BVH, STB, TTF,
and MSN. They also net sold VND39.9 billion (USD1.77
million) on the HNX, focusing on VCG with net selling
value of VND38.6 billion (USD1.72 million), followed
by NTP, PGS, PLC, and PVC.
DAILY MARKET REVIEW September 16, 2015
Please read the disclaimer at the end of this report
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 2
Today’s small gain did not change the market trend as the VN-Index stayed barely above the MA10 while the HNX-
Index remained right below its MA20. Low liquidity again showed that both buyers and sellers were highly cautious.
Only stocks related to the Q3 review of two ETFs, which ended this Friday, experienced strong demand but this did
not affect other stocks significantly. Thus, we recommend that investors observe the market from the sidelines.
Vietnam recorded trade surplus in August despite yuan devaluations
Contrary to the estimated trade deficit of USD100 million, previously released by the General Statistics Office (GSO),
yesterday’s report from the General Custom Office showed that Vietnam achieved a trade surplus of USD356.43
million in August, the second monthly surplus this year. The previous trade surplus was for USD150 million in April.
In the eight months through August 2015, export turnover increased 9.5 percent to reach USD106.5 billion, mainly
thanks to FIEs which contributed 67.35 percent of total export turnover. Meanwhile, import turnover was USD110.26
billion, up 17.1 percent y-o-y. These led to a trade deficit of USD3.76 billion through the end of August versus a
trade surplus of USD3.07 billion for the same period last year.
Source: General Custom Office, VPBS
Major exported items include mobile phones and accessories (USD20.18 billion, up 32.6 percent), textiles (USD14.88
billion, up 9.9 percent), computers and accessories (USD9.99 billion, up 53.5 percent), and shoes and sandals
(USD7.95 billion, up 19.1 percent). Meanwhile, major imports were machinery, equipment and spare parts
(USD18.54 billion, up 30.9 percent), computers and components (USD15.19 billion, up 35.6 percent), mobile phones
and spare parts (USD7.18 billion, up 37.5 percent).
The US and EU are the largest and second largest export markets of Vietnam with total export turnover of
USD21.85billion and USD20.2 billion, respectively. They are followed by ASEAN, China, Japan and Korea.
Meanwhile, China is Vietnam’s largest import market with total import value of USD32.55 billion, accounting for
29.52 percent of the total import turnover.
The recent devaluations of Chinese yuan were expected to enlarge Vietnam’s trade deficit as China is Vietnam’s
largest import market and a major competitor to Vietnam’s export markets and that in turn could hurt the country’s
economy. However, the August trade surplus indicates that the recent adjustments by the State Bank of Vietnam,
which included devaluing the dong by one percent and widening the trading band to three percent, have partly
eased the impacts of yuan devaluation.
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
-20000
-15000
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000Export (USD Bn, L) Import (USD Bn, L)
Trade Balance (USD bn, R)
Monthly trade balance
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 3
HSX – Daily Chart (3 Month)
VN-Index
Inched up: The VN-Index rose slightly today because
of its MA20 support level at 560. Buying force was not
very strong with liquidity lower than yesterday. The
technical chart shows a small white candle, barely
crossing the MA10 at 563. However, it still closed
below the MA5 at 566 to generate mixed signals for
the short-term trend. Therefore it remains neutral.
Outlook: The VN-Index could drop tomorrow from its
MA5 at 566.
HNX-Index
Moved sideways: Retreating from an early gain, the
HNX-Index spent most of the session fluctuating in the
red (below the reference point of 76.64). It closed with
a small loss amid selling force that was not particularly
aggressive. The technical chart shows a hammer
candle with lower volume than yesterday, indicating a
degree of reluctance from investors. It closed below
the MA10 and MA20 resistance levels at 77 to remain
bearish.
Outlook: The HNX-Index could decline tomorrow due
to its resistance level at 77.
VN30 - Index
Rebounded to test resistance: The VN30 rose today
as investors went bottom-fishing for some large cap
stocks. The technical chart shows a white candle but
liquidity was barely lower than yesterday. This
indicates buying force in high price areas was not
particularly strong. Because of this, the index still
closed below its resistance level at 580, formed by a
combination of the MA5 and MA10. Thus the short-
term signal remains bearish.
Outlook: The VN30 could decline tomorrow from its
resistance level at 580.
HNX – Daily Chart (3 Month)
Vn30 – Daily Chart (3 Month)
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 4
Source: HSX
VNSmall 632.79 0.12% VNMidcap 639.16 0.18%
VN100 537.14 0.77% VNAllshare 543.21 0.71%
590
605
620
635
650
665
680
695
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
590
605
620
635
650
665
680
695
710
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
500
515
530
545
560
575
590
605
620
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15510
525
540
555
570
585
600
615
630
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
HSX INDICES
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 5
Ticker
Current
Price
(9/16/2015)
Recommen
-dation
Long-term
Value
Target
Price
(FA)
Short-
term
Trend
Support
Level
Resistance
Level P/E P/B
EPS
2015
Growth
Foreign
ownership
BTP 12,400 BUY Undervalued 14,100 Neutral 12,000 15,000 14.2 0.8 76% 9.8%
CSM 27,600 BUY Undervalued 36,100 Neutral 23,500 35,000 6.4 1.5 -13% 16.1%
FCN 20,100 BUY Undervalued 23,200 Neutral 20,000 23,000 7.1 1.2 2% 31.9%
FPT 43,700 BUY Undervalued 55,500 Neutral 42,500 45,000 10.0 2.0 14% 49.0%
GMD 32,300 BUY Undervalued 38,200 Neutral 30,500 36,000 15.4 0.8 204% 20.4%
HAG 15,300 BUY Undervalued 21,100 Neutral 12,500 21,000 7.3 0.9 -22% 18.5%
HUT 10,400 BUY Undervalued 12,800 Neutral 8,500 12,500 3.6 0.8 -69% 20.5%
IJC 8,600 BUY Undervalued 14,300 Neutral 8,000 14,000 9.1 0.8 20% 10.1%
IMP 42,000 BUY Undervalued 53,000 Neutral 35,000 48,000 11.0 1.4 -15% 49.0%
MBB 14,800 BUY Undervalued 15,700 Neutral 13,000 16,500 7.1 1.1 -8% 10.0%
PGS 18,500 BUY Undervalued 25,500 Neutral 17,000 24,000 6.3 1.0 10% 21.7%
PPC 17,100 BUY Undervalued 19,400 Neutral 15,500 23,000 4.3 1.0 -42% 15.3%
PVT 10,100 BUY Undervalued 15,000 Neutral 9,000 15,000 7.4 0.8 -35% 15.4%
SHB 6,700 BUY Undervalued 6,750 Neutral 6,500 9,000 8.0 0.6 -16% 11.5%
SSI 24,500 BUY Undervalued 26,600 Neutral 24,000 26,000 15.6 1.9 40% 48.1%
STB 16,200 BUY Undervalued 17,700 Neutral 15,000 21,000 8.7 1.0 -87% 9.8%
TRC 22,900 BUY Undervalued 35,400 Neutral 18,500 30,000 7.6 0.5 -44% 12.5%
VIC 41,700 BUY Undervalued 50,500 Neutral 41,000 48,000 35.9 3.3 3% 14.7%
VNS 32,000 BUY Undervalued 35,800 Neutral 32,000 34,000 6.8 1.3 -13% 49.0%
VSH 14,300 BUY Undervalued 14,900 Bullish 13,000 15,000 6.5 1.0 74% 27.4%
ACB 18,700 HOLD Fully-valued 20,200 Neutral 18,000 24,000 17.8 1.4 62% 30.0%
BID 26,600 HOLD Overvalued 19,000 Bullish 22,000 28,500 14.2 2.5 11% 1.9%
DBC 24,400 HOLD Fully-valued 25,400 Neutral 22,000 27,000 5.8 0.8 -16% 29.8%
DCM 12,800 HOLD Undervalued 15,000 Bearish 11,800 13,800 8.3 1.2 -14% 3.3%
DHG 64,500 HOLD Undervalued 81,000 Bearish 63,000 90,000 10.8 2.5 19% 49.1%
DMC 38,000 HOLD Undervalued 46,200 Bearish 36,500 46,000 7.4 1.4 2% 49.0%
DPM 30,500 HOLD Undervalued 34,600 Bearish 30,000 34,000 9.5 1.3 43% 26.5%
DRC 44,400 HOLD Undervalued 48,600 Bearish 42,500 63,000 10.7 2.8 7% 38.1%
EIB 11,800 HOLD Fully-valued 11,400 Neutral 10,000 14,200 NA 1.0 6% 26.5%
HBC 15,000 HOLD Undervalued 21,500 Bearish 14,000 18,000 8.8 1.1 125% 44.2%
HPG 29,700 HOLD Undervalued 33,533 Bearish 25,000 36,000 6.7 1.7 -48% 39.5%
HSG 40,200 HOLD Undervalued 45,000 Bearish 40,000 45,000 6.3 1.5 -3% 45.3%
MSN 76,000 HOLD Undervalued 94,000 Bearish 72,000 90,000 31.9 3.6 44% 35.2%
MWG 59,000 HOLD Undervalued 97,000 Bearish 50,000 82,000 9.9 4.3 26% 49.1%
PHR 17,200 HOLD Undervalued 24,600 Bearish 16,500 21,500 6.6 0.6 -28% 19.4%
REE 25,000 HOLD Undervalued 30,700 Bearish 24,000 31,000 6.6 1.1 -11% 43.7%
TRA 79,000 HOLD Undervalued 89,100 Bearish 75,000 90,000 12.0 2.5 16% 45.7%
VHC 36,200 HOLD Undervalued 49,000 Bearish 32,500 42,500 6.6 1.7 -23% 30.1%
RECOMMENDATION
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 6
VNM 97,500 HOLD Undervalued 113,000 Bearish 92,000 109,000 17.4 5.6 -1% 49.0%
BVH 44,800 SELL Overvalued 30,500 Neutral 42,500 52,000 22.5 2.5 -9% 24.8%
CTG 19,700 SELL Overvalued 18,300 Neutral 19,500 23,000 12.8 1.3 -6% 29.5%
HCM 36,100 SELL Overvalued 33,800 Bearish 35,000 40,000 17.7 2.1 -27% 49.0%
TCM 34,000 SELL Overvalued 30,000 Bearish 33,000 40,000 9.8 2.0 5% 49.1%
VCB 44,000 SELL Overvalued 32,300 Neutral 42,000 55,000 23.2 2.6 30% 21.1%
VND 13,600 SELL Overvalued 12,400 Bearish 11,000 15,000 10.2 1.2 -27% 44.7%
Note:
Undervalued: Expected return, including dividends, over the next 12 months is greater than 10 percent.
Fully-valued: Expected return, including dividends, over the next 12 months is from zero to 10 percent.
Overvalued: Expected return, including dividends, over the next 12 months is below zero.
Stock with changed in recommendation
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 7
Top 5 Gainers on HSX (*)
Top 5 Gainers on HNX (*)
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
SHI 12,500 800 6.8% 2.5% 2,573,350
HUT 10,400 400 4.0% 5.1% 1,242,832
TTF 18,000 800 4.7% 3.4% 653,580
VCG 11,000 300 2.8% -2.7% 4,022,208
KSA 4,800 200 4.3% 11.6% 678,070
WSS 8,200 200 2.5% - 1,010,300
HAG 15,300 600 4.1% 3.4% 2,887,340
SHN 8,800 200 2.3% -1.1% 164,600
ITA 5,300 200 3.9% -1.9% 1,483,370
PVS 20,500 400 2.0% -1.0% 591,535
Top 5 Losers on HSX (*)
Top 5 Losers on HNX (*)
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
BID 26,600 (1,900) -6.7% 6.4% 130,560
VMI 24,200 (2,600) -9.7% -26.7% 384,600
DIC 7,200 (200) -2.7% -4.0% 192,030
ACM 3,700 (300) -7.5% -5.1% 191,170
HNG 29,300 (600) -2.0% 4.3% 216,990
ITQ 9,000 (500) -5.3% -5.3% 414,300
HAR 5,800 (100) -1.7% -6.5% 3,748,650
NHA 13,100 (500) -3.7% -9.7% 518,200
AMD 11,700 (200) -1.7% 2.6% 835,690
DCS 3,100 (100) -3.1% -6.1% 100,627
(*) (Market cap. > 150 VNDbn, Volume > 100,000
Top 5 Volume on HSX
Top 5 Volume on HNX (*)
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
Code Price Net Chg %+/- T %+/-T+3 Volume
HAR 5,800 (100) -1.7% -6.5% 3,748,650
VCG 11,000 300 2.8% -2.7% 4,022,208
SBT 13,900 200 1.5% 5.3% 3,176,700
TIG 11,100 (100) -0.9% -1.8% 3,232,100
FLC 6,500 100 1.6% -1.5% 3,045,230
KLF 4,500 - - -2.2% 1,685,996
HAG 15,300 600 4.1% 3.4% 2,887,340
SHB 6,700 100 1.5% -1.5% 1,542,757
SHI 12,500 800 6.8% 2.5% 2,573,350
HUT 10,400 400 4.0% 5.1% 1,242,832
Top 5 Net Buying on HSX by Foreign Investors
Top 5 Net Buying on HNX by Foreign Investors
Code Price Buy Vol. Sell Vol. Net Vol. Net Value
Code Price Buy Vol. Sell Vol. Net Vol. Net Value
NT2 25,200 882,140 126,700 755,440 19,047
HUT 10,400 100,000 - 100,000 1,040
SSI 24,500 625,700 55,200 570,500 14,092
BCC 13,100 40,000 1,200 38,800 520
E1VFVN30 9,100 1,100,000 - 1,100,000 10,040
SHB 6,700 29,000 - 29,000 194
VCB 44,000 141,570 1,370 140,200 6,126
CMS 10,200 18,400 - 18,400 187
CTG 19,700 172,200 15,760 156,440 3,099
DXP 44,400 2,400 - 2,400 106
Top 5 Net Selling on HSX by Foreign Investors
Top 5 Net Selling on HNX by Foreign Investors
Code Price Buy Vol. Sell Vol. Net Vol. Net Value
Code Price Buy Vol. Sell Vol. Net Vol. Net Value
VIC 41,700 464,420 1,114,580 (650,160) (27,131)
VCG 11,000 15,600 3,605,000 (3,589,400) (38,617)
BVH 44,800 186,720 555,360 (368,640) (16,401)
NTP 46,000 - 40,000 (40,000) (1,845)
STB 16,200 - 475,200 (475,200) (7,536)
PGS 18,500 - 26,000 (26,000) (480)
TTF 18,000 - 399,850 (399,850) (7,134)
PLC 31,900 - 13,228 (13,228) (421)
MSN 76,000 499,270 581,380 (82,110) (6,124)
PVC 19,900 170,000 190,000 (20,000) (386)
Value: in VNDmn and Volume: in shares Source: HSX, HNX, Bloomberg
MAJOR MARKET MOVERS
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 8
% G
ain
/(L
oss
)
Outperforming
Underperforming
Note: We have chosen to present the sector index graphs on an equal weighting basis, whereas the 1-day and 30-day changes in the table
below are on a market-cap weighted basis. We have done this because a few large-cap companies can often dominate the performance
of a sector when measured on a market cap weighted basis, but this does not give investors an accurate picture of the investment
opportunities available there.
GICS SECTORS Market Cap Weighted Change 1D (%) Change 30D (%) P/E P/B
Consumer Staples 24.2% 0.5% -6.1% 13.2 1.4
Energy 1.6% 0.7% -8.6% 6.7 1.4
Financials 46.1% -0.4% 2.8% 17.4 1.0
Health Care 1.1% -0.6% -6.8% 9.2 1.0
Industrials 7.7% 0.5% -2.9% 9.1 1.4
Information Technology 1.9% 0.2% -4.1% 10.0 1.4
Materials 6.5% 0.9% -4.7% 9.2 0.9
Utilities 10.8% 0.8% -5.9% 6.1 1.4
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
09/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 01/15 02/15 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
HSX (Equal Weighted) Consumer Technology Utilities Industrials
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
09/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 01/15 02/15 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
HSX (Equal Weighted) Energy Financials Health Care Materials
HSX SECTOR PERFORMANCE
% G
ain
/(L
oss
)
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 9
Outperforming Sectors on HSX
Underperforming Sectors on HSX
Technology
Healthcare
Code P/E P/B ROE Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Code P/E P/B ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Average 10.0 1.4 21.5%
Average 9.2 1.4 16.2%
FPT 10.0 2.0 21.4% 17,369 -6.6%
DHG 10.8 2.5 24.6% 5,608 -11.6%
MWG 20.4 4.3 41.2% 8,243 -16.9%
TRA 12.0 2.5 21.8% 1,949 -3.7%
DGW 3.0 1.2 43.8% 1,043 -8.8%
IMP 11.0 1.4 11.9% 1,216 -1.6%
CMG 8.2 1.1 15.8% 888 -5.0%
DMC 7.4 1.4 19.8% 1,015 -6.2%
ELC 10.2 1.0 10.2% 670 1.9%
OPC 8.3 1.5 16.1% 662 1.2%
Consumers
Materials
Code P/E P/B ROE Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Code P/E P/B ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Average 13.2 1.4 20.4%
Average 9.2 0.9 13.0%
VNM 17.4 5.6 34.6% 117,014 -7.1%
HPG 6.7 1.7 27.1% 21,768 -8.9%
MSN 31.9 3.6 12.0% 56,751 -11.6%
DPM 9.5 1.3 13.6% 11,588 -4.1%
HNG 15.4 1.7 11.6% 20,749 4.6%
HT1 10.2 1.7 18.7% 7,027 -0.5%
KDC 1.0 0.5 65.1% 5,573 -5.6%
HSG 6.3 1.5 24.3% 3,872 -6.3%
VCF 16.4 3.0 20.3% 4,598 -7.0%
POM - 0.5 -1.3% 1,192 -7.2%
Industrials
Financials
Code P/E P/B ROE Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Code P/E P/B ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Average 9.1 1.0 11.4%
Average 17.4 1.0 9.4%
REE 6.6 1.1 18.2% 6,727 -10.4%
VCB 23.2 2.6 10.7% 117,261 1.6%
CII 4.8 1.3 30.2% 4,438 -14.1%
VIC 35.9 3.3 9.9% 76,981 -0.2%
ITA 19.2 0.5 2.5% 4,443 -8.6%
CTG 12.8 1.3 10.6% 73,351 -4.8%
BMP 9.8 2.4 27.0% 4,502 -2.0%
BVH 22.5 2.5 11.4% 30,485 -8.2%
CTD 10.0 1.6 16.1% 3,995 0.5%
STB 8.7 1.0 11.8% 18,509 -6.9%
Utilities
Energy
Code P/E P/B ROE Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Code P/E P/B ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn) Change 30D
Average 6.1 1.4 18.8%
Average 6.7 1.4 28.4%
PPC 4.3 1.0 23.6% 5,440 -15.8%
GAS 7.1 2.2 34.4% 87,332 -12.2%
VSH 6.5 1.0 16.5% 2,949 2.1%
PVD 6.4 0.9 17.5% 12,077 -11.9%
TMP 7.5 2.2 30.3% 2,121 1.0%
PGD 9.1 1.8 21.1% 2,298 2.7%
TBC 12.3 2.0 16.1% 1,753 6.2%
CNG 7.5 2.1 30.7% 794 -0.7%
SJD 5.8 1.1 19.9% 1,196 -10.3%
PGC 8.2 1.1 13.6% 719 -0.7%
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
TOP 5 (BY MARKET CAP) FOR EACH SECTOR
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 10
FOREIGN ETF TRADING
Ticker NAV
Daily
change
NAV
Shares
Outstanding
Daily
Change in
Share
Outstanding
Last
price
Daily
Change
price
Premium/
Discount
Date of
announcements
VNM $15.68 -0.47% 26,450,000 (300,000) $15.56 0.06% -0.79% Price at 09/15/2015,
NAV at 09/15/2015
FTSE Vietnam $22.52 -0.84% 15,592,900 0 $23.08 2.53% -0.03% Price at 09/16/2015,
NAV at 09/15/2015
Total Shares Outstanding Difference between Price and NAV (%)
VNM
FTSE
Vietnam
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
31
03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
12
13
14
15
16
03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 11
DOMESTIC ETF TRADING
Ticker NAV
Daily
change
NAV
Shares
Outstanding
Daily
Change in
Share
Outstanding
Last
price
Daily
Change
price
Premium/
Discount
Date of
announcements
VFMVN30 VND9,198 - 34,800,000 0 VND9,100 0.00% 1.10% Price at 09/16/2015,
NAV at 09/02/2015
E1SSHN30 VND7,886 - 10,100,010 0 VND9,500 0.00% 20.46% Price at 09/16/2015,
NAV at 09/11/2015
Total Shares Outstanding Difference between Price and NAV (%)
VFMVN
30
E1SSHN
30
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 12
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
Dow Jones 16,599.85 1.40% Nasdaq 4,860.52 1.14%
FTSE 6,172.02 0.56% DAX 10,252.84 0.64%
NIKKEI 225 18,171.60 0.81% SHANGHAI 3,152.26 4.89%
9,000
9,600
10,200
10,800
11,400
12,000
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
2,500
3,100
3,700
4,300
4,900
5,500
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
4,200
4,500
4,800
5,100
5,400
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
5,200
5,600
6,000
6,400
6,800
7,200
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
15,000
15,700
16,400
17,100
17,800
18,500
06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 13
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
09/14 11/14 01/15 03/15 05/15 07/15 09/15
Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange MSCI EFM ASIA Index Bangkok Stock Exchange
Jakarta Stock Exchange Philippines Stock Exchange
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
P/E P/B ROE ROA
Bangkok Stock Exchange Jakarta Stock Exchange
Philippines Stock Exchange Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
Market
Bangkok
Stock
Exchange
Jakarta
Stock
Exchange
Philippines
Stock
Exchange
Ho Chi
Minh Stock
Exchange
P/E 17.2 22.4 20.1 11.1
P/B 1.8 2.1 2.5 1.7
ROE 10.7 10.1 13.2 15.8
ROA 2.6 2.5 3.0 2.9
Market Cap.
(USDbn) 359.8 288.5 176.2 48.7
Foreign Net Inflow
- YTD (USDmn) (2667.7) (604.8) (794.5) 199.7
Foreign Net Inflow
- 5D (USDmn) (9.3) (54.0) (557.8) 10.0
Government bond
yield 5Y %) 2.11% 9.12% 3.62% 6.69%
Source: Bloomberg, VPBS collected
NEIGHBORING MARKETS
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 14
CONTACT INFORMATION
For further information regarding this report, please contact the following members of the VPBS
research department:
Barry David Weisblatt
Head of Research
Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh
Director – Macro & Financials
Vu Minh Duc
Director - Technical Analysis
Nguyen Ba Hoan
Senior Analyst
Vu Ngoc Tram
Research Assistant
Hoang Thuy Luong
Research Analyst
For any questions regarding your account, please contact the following:
Marc Djandji, CFA
Head of Institutional Sales & Brokerage
& Foreign Individuals
+848 3823 8608 Ext: 158
Ly Dac Dung
Director of Retail Sales & Brokerage
+ 84 1900 6457 Ext: 1700
Vo Van Phuong
Vice President of Retail Sales &
Brokerage
+848 6296 4210 Ext: 130
Domalux
Vice President of Retail Sales &
Brokerage
+848 6296 4210 Ext: 128
Tran Cao Dung
Director, Head of Wealth Advisory
PRESTIGE VP Private Banking
+848 3910 0868
Tran Duc Vinh
Vice President of Retail Sales &
Brokerage
+848 3835 6688 Ext: 369
Nguyen Danh Vinh
Associate Vice President of Retail
Sales & Brokerage
+848 3823 8608 Ext: 146
Nguyen Thanh Cong
Senior Institutional Sales
Institutional Sales & Brokerage
+848 3823 7090 Ext: 259
www.VPBS.com.vn Page | 15
Disclaimer This research report is prepared and issued by VPBank Securities Co. Ltd. (“VPBS”). This report is not
directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or
located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or
use would be contrary to law or regulation. This document is not for public distribution and has been
furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other
person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe restrictions.
Each research analyst involved in the preparation of a research report is required to certify that the views and
recommendations expressed therein accurately reflect his/her personal views about any and all of the
securities or issuers that are the subject matter of this research report, and no part of his/her compensation
was, is and will be directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed by the
research analyst in the research report. The research analyst involved in the preparation of a research report
does not have authority whatsoever (actual, implied or apparent) to act on behalf of any issuer mentioned in
such research report.
Any research report is provided, for information purposes only, to institutional investor and retail clients of
VPBS. A research report is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities
discussed herein.
The information contained in a research report is prepared from publicly available information, internally
developed data and other sources believed to be reliable, but has not been independently verified by VPBS
and VPBS makes no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy, correctness or completeness
of such information and they should not be relied upon as such. All estimates, opinions and
recommendations expressed herein constitute judgment as of the date of a research report and are subject to
change without notice. VPBS does not accept any obligation to update, modify or amend a research report or
to otherwise notify a recipient of a research report in the even that any estimates, opinions and
recommendations contained herein change or subsequently becomes inaccurate or if a research report is
subsequently withdrawn.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied,
is made regarding future performance of any security mentioned in this research report. The price of the
securities mentioned in a research report and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely
affected by market factors or exchange rates, and investors may realize losses on investments in such
securities, including the loss of investment principal. Furthermore, the securities discussed in a research
report may not be liquid investments, may have a high level of volatility or may subject to additional and
special risks associated with securities and investments in emerging markets and/or foreign countries that
may give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. VPBS accepts no liability whatsoever
for any loss arising from any use or reliance on a research report or the information contained herein.
The securities in a research report may not be suitable for all types of investors and such reports do not take
into account particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances of a particular investor. An
investor should not rely solely on investment recommendations contained in this research report, if any, as a
substitution for the exercise of their own independent judgment in making an investment decision and, prior
to acting on any of contained in this research report, investors are advised to contact his/her investment
adviser to discuss their particular circumstances.
VPBS and its affiliated, officers, directors and employees world-wide may, from time to time, have long or
short position in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or be engaged in
any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market
maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act advisor or lender/borrower to
such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
Any reproduction or distribution in whole or in part of a research report without permission of VPBS is
prohibited.
If this research report has been distributed by electronic transmission, such as e-mail, then such transmission
cannot be guaranteed to be secure or error-free as information could be intercepted, corrupted, lost,
destroyed, arrive late, in complete, or contain viruses. Should a research report provide web addresses of, or
contain hyperlinks to, third party web sites, VPBS has not reviewed the contents of such links and takes no
responsibility whatsoever for the contents of such web site. Web addresses and/or hyperlinks are provided
solely for the recipient’s convenience and information, and the content of third party web sites is not in any
way incorporated into this research report. Recipients who choose to access such web addresses or use such
hyperlinks do so at their own risk.
Hanoi Head Office
362 Hue St., Hai Ba Trung
District, Hanoi
T - +84 1900 6457
F - +84 (0) 4 3974 3656
Ho Chi Minh City Branch
76 Le Lai St.
District 1, Ho Chi Minh City
T - +84 (0) 8 3823 8608
F - +84 (0) 8 3823 8609
Danang Branch
112 Phan Chau Trinh St.
Hai Chau District, Danang
T - +84 (0) 511 356 5419
F - +84 (0) 511 356 5418