1

•Daily Operations Briefing Monday, August 12, 2013

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

2

Significant Activity: Aug 9 – 12

Significant Events: Flash Flooding – CO (Aug 9)

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (30%); Area 2 (10%)

• Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%)

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – portions of KS & OK

• Heavy Rain Southern Mississippi Valley

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: portions of MT, ID & OR

• Red Flag Warnings: MT, ID, OR

• Space Weather: No storms observed or predicted past next 24 hrs

Earthquake Activity: M 4.8 - Hawaii

Declaration Activity: FMAG approved for Mile Post 10 Fire in WA (Aug 10)

3

Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

4

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

5

Eastern Pacific – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 1,175 miles SW of the southern tip of Baja

California, Mexico

• Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally

conducive for development over the next several days

• Moving W at around 15 mph

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Medium chance (30%)

• Next 5 days: Medium chance (40%)

6

Eastern Pacific – Area 2

As of 2:00 a.m. EDT

• Area of low pressure located 1,200 miles ESE of the Big

Island of Hawaii

• Moving W at about 15 mph over the next few days

• Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized

• Development of this disturbance, if any, should be slow to

occur

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low chance (10%)

• Next 5 days: Low chance (10%)

7

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

8

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

9

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

10

Observed Precipitation: August 3-10

Observed 7-day Precipitation Percent of Normal

11

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3

DAY 1

DAY 2

DAY 3

12

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

13

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

14

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 3-8

Day 1 Day 2

15

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: August 12 – 16

18

www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

20

Flash Flooding – Colorado August 9

Heavy rains over the Waldo Canyon burn scar area produced

flash flooding and mudslides in Manitou Springs, CO (El Paso,

County)

• One home destroyed; several homes & businesses damaged

• One fatality, 3 injuries (media reports 3 individuals are missing)

State/Local Response:

• City of Manitou Springs & El Paso County declared States of

Emergency

• No shelters are open (ESF-6; 7:00 a.m. EDT Aug 12)

• Local damage assessments are ongoing

• CO State EOC is at normal operations

FEMA Response:

• Region VIII remains at Watch/Steady State

• No requests for FEMA assistance

Colorado

= El Paso County

21

M 4.8 Earthquake

• Occurred Sunday, August 11 at 11:54 a.m. EDT

• 6 mi SSW of Volcano, HI

• 29 mi SSW of Hilo, HI

• Depth of 20 miles

• USGS issued a Green PAGER alert, indicating:

• Population exposed to Weak-to-Light shaking

• Low likelihood of casualties and damage

• No tsunami generated

• No damage or injury reported/identified

Earthquake Activity – Hawaii

22

U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of August 12, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 4 Description: Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists

between Geographic Areas. Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed.

PL 4

PL 3

PL 2

PL 3

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 2

PL 4

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 3

23

http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

Monday, August 12, 2013

• National Preparedness Level: 4

• Initial Attack Activity: Moderate (190 new fires)

• New Large Fires: 6

• Large Fires Contained: 0

• Uncontained Large Fires: 32

• Area Command Teams committed: 0

• NIMOs committed: 1

• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 8

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 17

National Fire Activity

24

Milepost 10 Fire – Washington

Fire

Name Location Acres burned

%

Contained

Est. Full

Containment FMAG Approved

Structures Lost /

Threatened

Fatalities /

Injuries

Mile Post 10 Chelan County 6,000 15% TBD August 10, 2013 0 / 230 0 / 0

Situation

• Fire began August 9, presumably due to lightning (InciWeb)

• Located 8 miles south of Wenatchee (pop. 32,562)

• Mandatory evacuations for 150 residents in four communities

• One shelter is open with no occupants

Response

• 350 total personnel; Type-1 IMT assumes command today

• WA State EOC is at Normal Operations

• Region X RRCC at Watch/Steady State; Bothell MOC is monitoring

= Chelan County

Washington

25

Wildfire Summary

Fire Name

(County) FMAG #

Acres

burned

% Contained Est. Containment

date

Evacuations Structures

Threatened Structures Destroyed

Fatalities /

Injuries

Oregon (1)

Douglas Complex (Douglas County)

FEMA-5037-FM-OR

July 28, 2013 45,411 48% Voluntary 545 4 0/7

Washington (1)

Milepost 10 (Chelan County)

August 10, 2013 6,000 15%

(+15) Mandatory 230 0 0/0

California (1)

Silver Fire (FINAL)

(Riverside County)

FEMA-5041-FM-CA

August 7, 2013

20,292

(+1,292) 90% (+20)

August 12, 2013 None 0 48 0/12

26

FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 2 Grouse Mountain Fire, OR

Elk Complex Fire, ID

Requests APPROVED 1 Milepost 10 Fire, WA

As of August 9, 2013 FY2013 FY2012*

FMAGs Approved 21 32

FMAGs Denied 7 15

* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in FY2012

27

Disaster Requests & Declarations

Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

0 Date Requested 0 2

AZ – DR Yarnell Hill Fire Request: July 9, 2013

Amend: July 12, 2013 August 9, 2013

PA – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and

Mudslides July 25, 2013 August 8, 2013

30

Open Field Offices as of August 12, 2013

31

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Federal Coordinating Officer

Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

24 2 10 1 37

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

12* 2 6 2 2

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

7 2 1 9 10

As of: 08/9/2013

32

MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 08/11/13 @ 1500

33

Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 08/11/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

34

IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 11, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4117 - OK 15,047 3,502 $9,536,356 $4,277,667 $13,814,023

4122 - AK 348 237 $1,044,801 $1,426,914 $2,471,714

Totals 15,395 3,739 $10,581,157 $5,704,581 $16,285,738

48 hour change +25 +9 +$37,746 +$16,517 +$54,263

NPSC Call Data for August 8, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 3,878

Average time to answer call 13 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 33 seconds / 10 seconds

35

Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of August 11, 2013 @ 1500

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4117 - OK 6 8,115 8,035 99.01% 1.9

4122 - AK 1 368 348 94.57% 3.0

TOTAL 7 8,483 8,383 98.82% 2.0

48 hour change +1 +24 +18 -0.07% 0.0

Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To Other

Activities or Exempt

from Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,348 3,584 (53%) 2,135 (35%) 629 (12%) Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response

Employees (CORE) 2,564 959 (40%) 1,590 (60%) 15 (0%) Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,990 1,968 (40%) 532 (10%) *2,490 (50%) Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 161 (54%) 148 (46%) Mission Capable

DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,876 1,622 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,254 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 18,087 8,133 (45%) 4,418 (24%) 5,536 (31%)

= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable

= >80% Deployed

= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel

**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 8/9/13

38

IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*

Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

39

Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

40

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Level III 24/7

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

41

National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

42

Date Exercise Event Capability Focus Target Audience/

FEMA Participation Location

8/10-16 Vibrant Response 13.2 Functional Exercise Type I, IND

ARNORTH, FEMA

Region V, Denver MERS,

FEMA HQ NRCC SimCell

(limited staffing)

Camp Atterbury,

IN and FEMA HQ

8/13-15

National Exercise

Program (NEP)

Capstone Exercise* /

Alaska Shield 14

Midterm Planning

Meeting/MSEL Writing Multiple

State of Alaska,

FEMA HQ, FEMA Region

X, inter-agency reps

Anchorage, AK

8/14

NEP Capstone

Exercise* / Eagle

Horizon 14

Initial Planning Meeting COOP/COG

FEMA National Continuity

Programs, inter-agency

reps

Washington, DC

8/22 NEP Capstone

Exercise* / NUWAIX 14

Incident Management

Workshop Consequence Management

DOE/NNSA, inter-agency

reps TBD, Colorado

* The 2013 NEP Capstone Exercise will be held from March 27-April 10, 2014 and consists of five main exercises: Alaska

Shield 2014, Ardent Sentry 2014, Nuclear Weapon Accident Incident Exercise (NUWAIX) 2014, Eagle Horizon 2014, and

Long-Term Recovery Tabletop Exercise

FEMA Exercise Branch 30-day Outlook

43

Regional Comparison

44