DCA Adjustments

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  • 2/9/2011

    1

    the

    adjustment

    process

    under direct

    comparison

    Direct Comparison Approach

    Market value is developed by comparing the

    subject to recently sold, similar properties

  • 2/9/2011

    2

    APPRAISAL PRINCIPLES

    Relationship to Economic Principles

    Principle of supply and demand

    Shifts in supply and demand factors may cause

    shifts in prices of properties in a market area

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    3

    Relationship to Economic Principles

    Principle of substitution

    The price paid for a property will be equal to the

    cost of acquiring an equally desirable substitute

    under the same market conditions

    It sets the upper limit to the direct comparison

    approach

    Relationship to Economic Principles

    Principle of balance

    The relationship between a property and its

    environment must be in balance to achieve

    optimum market value

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    4

    Relationship to Economic Principles

    Principle of externalities

    Market value will be influenced by external

    factors within the propertys market area

    APPLICABILITY AND

    LIMITATIONS

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    5

    Applicability and Limitations of DCA

    Advantages

    Best reflects the actions of buyers and sellers

    Easily understood, explainable and defensible

    Disadvantages

    Must have adequate sales data

    Can be difficult comparing between properties

    and locations

    Data has a shelf-life

    Three Easy Steps!

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    6

    Research

    AdjustAdjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Begin the Hunt

    Search for market transactions

    Sales of recent, similar arms length

    transactions

    The more compsthe better!

    Dont give up quality just to get

    quantity

    Research

    AdjustAdjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Similar Building Characteristics

    Design

    Size, floor plan, additives

    Construction and Maintenance

    Quality of construction

    Level of maintenance

    Equipment/Fixtures

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    7

    Research

    AdjustAdjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Similar Building Characteristics

    Age

    Effect can be altered through

    renovations

    Can be affected by location

    Research

    AdjustAdjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Similar Lot Characteristics

    Natural Features

    Topography, shape, view, etc.

    Proximity to Amenities

    Shopping, schools, employment, CBD,

    transportation routes, etc.

    Services, tax levels

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    Research

    AdjustAdjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Similar Lot Characteristics

    Lot Size

    Will determine what kind of building

    can be erected

    Shape can also affect value

    Area vs Depth vs Frontage

    Whats important?

    6300

    sq ft6500

    sq ft

    Which Lot Is Worth More?

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    9

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Site Adjustments

    Irregular Shape

    Based on the loss of utility of the lot

    MAKE ADJUSTMENTS

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    10

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Make Adjustments

    Identify differences between the

    subject and comparables

    Adjust the comps to be equivalent

    to the subject

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Elements of Comparison

    Each difference between the subject and

    comps that could affect market value is

    identified as an

    ELEMENT OF COMPARISON

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    11

    Pro

    pe

    rtyP

    rop

    erty

    Elements of Comparison

    1. Real property rights conveyed

    2. Financing terms

    3. Conditions of sale (motivation)

    4. Money spent after purchase

    5. Market conditions (time)

    6. Location

    7. Physical characteristics

    8. Economic characteristics

    9. Use/Zoning

    10. Non-realty components

    Order of

    these

    first five is

    mandatory!

    Tran

    sactio

    na

    l

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Real Property Rights Conveyed

    Easements, leases, restrictive covenants

    Refers to bundle of rights being the

    same as the subject

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    12

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Financing Terms

    Price may be affected by a mortgage at

    higher- or lower-than-current market

    rates

    Comps with unusual financing are

    typically omitted

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Conditions of Sale (Motivation)

    Price may be affected by:

    Seller being forced to sell quickly

    Buyer being forced to buy quickly

    Non arms-length transactions should be

    avoided

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    13

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Money Spent After Purchase

    Price may be lowered to account for

    expenditures that the buyer has to make

    immediately after the purchase

    Note: This only applies to sales where the

    buyer knew about this cost in advance

    and reduced the offer accordingly

    This is not about latent defects

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Market Conditions (Time)

    To account for market shifts between sale

    dates and the valuation date

    Important to know when the contract

    was signed, not when the deal closed

    Long closing dates can distort the

    effect of market conditions on sale

    price

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    14

    Location

    Different neighbourhoods,

    corner lots, etc.

    Reference to

    positive/negative locational

    influences

    Excessive locational

    differences may exclude a

    property from comparison

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Physical Characteristics

    Site

    Size, shape, view, topography, etc.

    Improvements

    Size, quality, condition, age, amenities,

    etc.

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    15

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Economic Characteristics

    For income-producing properties

    Operating expenses

    Quality of management

    Lease terms

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Use/Zoning

    Highest and best use of comps and

    subject should be the same

    Zoning is especially important in valuing

    vacant land

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    16

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Non-Realty Components

    Chattels, fixtures, equipment, etc.

    When non-realty components are

    included in sale price of comps

    Comp price will be inflated

    This adjustment can include tangible and

    intangible items

    Which Doughnut Shop Will You Buy?

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    17

    TYPES OF ADJUSTMENTS

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Two Types of Adjustments

    Quantitative adjustments

    Dollar or percentage amounts

    Use if sufficient information is available

    Qualitative adjustments

    Non-numerical

    Use if sufficient information is not available

    Requires considerable appraisal judgment

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    18

    QUANTITATIVE ADJUSTMENTS

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Methods

    Dollar adjustments

    A dollar amount is attached to the

    difference between the subject and

    the comp

    Best suited to physical, motivation,

    financial adjustments

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    19

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Methods

    Percentage adjustments

    A percentage amount is attached to

    the difference between the subject

    and the comp

    Best suited to market (time) and

    location adjustments

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Dollar Adjustment Method

    Example

    Houses are valued at $40 per square foot

    Subject has 1,000 sq ft

    Comp has 1,100 sq ft

    Diff = 100 sq ft (1,100 1,000 = 100)

    100 sq ft x $40 per sq ft = $4,000

    Adjust the comp downward by $4,000

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    20

    Percentage Adjustment Method

    Example

    Bedrooms impact market value by 10% each

    Subject has 3 Bedrooms

    Comp has 2 Bedrooms

    Comp Sale Price = $90,000

    1 Bedroom Diff = $9,000 (10% $90,000)

    Adjust the comp upward by $9,000

    Value = $99,000 ($90,000 + $9,000)

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Assumptions

    1. The valuation function is linear

    Dollar adjustments have a constant

    value

    regardless of the magnitude of the

    characteristic

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    Valuation Function is Linear

    1,000 sq ft2,000 sq ft

    5,000 sq ft

    $40/sq ft

    $40/sq ft

    $40/sq ft

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Assumptions

    1. The valuation function is linear

    Percentage adjustments are constant

    in percentage terms

    but, therefore, not in dollar terms

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    Valuation Function is Linear

    Bedrooms impact market value by 10% each

    $300,000 house

    with 3 bedrooms

    1 Bedroom = $30,000

    $250,000 house

    with 3 bedrooms

    1 Bedroom = $25,000

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Assumptions

    2. All influences on value are

    independent of one another

    This means that we assume

    strongly correlated factors act

    independently of each other, and

    can be adjusted for separately

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    QUALITATIVE ADJUSTMENTS

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Qualitative Methods

    Relative comparison analysis

    Ranking analysis

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    24

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Example of Using Qualitative Adjustments

    After all possible QT adjustments have

    been made

    There is no data available (no similar

    comps) to assist in defining location

    Subject Comp #1 Comp #2

    Adj Sale Price - $185,000 $192,000

    Location - Inferior Superior

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Example of Using Quantitative Adjustments

    The only conclusion may be

    $185,000 $192,000Subject<

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    25

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Data Before Discretion

    QT analysis should always be used as the

    primary adjustment technique

    If certain elements of a property can be

    defined no further than inferior or

    superior . . . .

    (No comps are similar to the subject in

    a particular element)

    Then QL techniques will help define the

    top or bottom of a value range

    Making Adjustments

    Comparable Property Adjustment

    When a feature of the

    comparable is INFERIOR

    to the subject property

    ADD to the sale price

    of the comparable

    When a feature of the

    comparable is SUPERIOR

    to the subject property

    SUBTRACT from the sale price

    of the comparable

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    26

    DATA ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Data Analysis Techniques

    Paired Sales

    Statistical Analysis

    Cost Analysis

    Capitalization of Rent Loss

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    27

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Paired Sales

    When two properties are equivalent in all

    respects but one, the difference in price is

    the value of the single difference

    between the two properties

    Process of determining an adjustment by

    analyzing sales isolated with and without

    an element affecting value

    Paired Sales Example

    Sale House Size Sale Date Location Condition Sale Price

    1 1,969 September Good Average $222,250

    2 2,055 September Poor Good $231,000

    3 2,055 July Poor Good $233,000

    4 1,969 March Poor Average $223,500

    5 1,969 March Good Average $226,900

    6 2,055 July Poor Average $230,000

  • 2/9/2011

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    Paired Sales Example

    Sale House Size Sale Date Location Condition Sale Price

    1 1,969 September Good Average $222,250

    5 1,969 March Good Average $226,900

    5

    1

    $226,900

    September$222,250

    March

    $4,650

    $4,650 / $226,900 = 2.05%

    2.05% / 6 mths = 0.34% decrease per mth

    6 mths

    Sale House Size Sale Date Location Condition Sale Price

    2 2,055 September Poor Good $231,000

    3 2,055 July Poor Good $233,000

    Paired Sales Example

    3

    2

    $233,000

    September$231,000

    July

    $2,000

    $2,000 / $233,000 = 0.86%

    0.86% / 2 mths = 0.43% decrease per mth

    2 mths

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    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Paired Sales Example

    Sales 1 and 5 show a 0.34% decrease per

    month

    Sales 2 and 3 show a 0.43% decrease per

    month

    A reasonable estimate of a time

    adjustment for the market area

    would be 0.39% decrease per

    month

    Paired Sales Example

    Sale House Size Sale Date Location Condition Sale Price

    4 1,969 March Poor Average $223,500

    5 1,969 March Good Average $226,900

    5

    4

    $226,900

    Poor$223,500

    Good

    $3,400

    $3,400 / $223,500 = 1.52%

    A good location is 1.52% better than a

    poor location

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    30

    Subject is a 12-unit

    apartment building

    located downwind

    of a new asphalt

    batching plant

    Sale A is a vacant

    lot adjacent to the

    subject, zoned for a

    12-unit apartment

    building, which sold

    for $36,000

    Sale B is a vacant

    lot on the other side

    of town, zoned for a

    12-unit apartment

    building, which sold

    for $48,000

    Sale C is a 9-unit

    apartment building

    in the subjects

    neighbourhood,

    which sold for

    $459,000

    Sale D is a 10-unit

    apartment building

    on the other side of

    town, which sold for

    $540,000

    Paired Sales Example

    Prop Type Zoning Neg Infl SP

    Subject Apt 12 unit Yes

    Sale A VL 12 unit Yes $36,000

    Sale B VL 12 unit No $48,000

    Sale C Apt 9 unit Yes $459,000

    Sale D Apt 10 unit No $540,000

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    Sale D (unaffected) $540,000 /10 = $ 54,000 per unit

    Sale C $459,000 / 9 = $ 51,000 per unit

    Difference $ 3,000 per unit

    12 units = $36,000

    Sale B (unaffected) $48,000 /12 = $ 4,000 per unit

    Sale A $36,000 /12 = $ 3,000 per unit

    Difference $ 1,000 per unit

    12 units = $12,000

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    Property Adjustment $3,000 12 units = $36,000

    Less Land Adjustment $1,000 12 units = $12,000

    Building Adjustment $2,000 12 units = $24,000

    The negative influence affecting the:

    subject building = $24,000

    subject land = $12,000

    Total Location Adjustment = $36,000

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    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Statistical Analysis

    Appraisers should recognize the differences

    between statistical processes in the collection of

    data and should be able to distinguish between

    descriptive and inferential statistics. Without an

    understanding of these issues, any use of

    statistical calculations is dangerous or ill-

    advised.The Appraisal of Real Estate,

    Third Canadian Edition,

    Appraisal Institute of Canada

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

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    Cost Analysis

    Adjustments based on cost indicators

    such as cost to cure or depreciated

    building costs

    Caution cost and market value are often

    not synonymous

    Only used if the appraiser can show that

    cost equals value, or if no market data is

    available

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    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Cost to Cure

    Cost to tear out or remove existing

    component

    + Cost of correct-replacement component

    + Any costs above and beyond total cost if

    included in initial construction

    Salvage value (if any)

    Cost to cure

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Capitalization of Rent Loss

    Analysis of loss in rental income due to

    specific elements

    Process

    1. Calculate lost rent

    2. Capitalizelost rent

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    Capitalize Lost Rent

    Taken from Income Approach

    Converts a propertys capacity to generate Future Benefits into an indication of Present Value

    V = Value

    I = Income

    R = Capitalization Rate

    ResearchResearch

    Adjust

    ReconcileReconcile

    Capitalization of Rent Loss Example

    Consider a 4,000 sq. ft. retail establishment in an oversupplied market

    In a normal market, net operating income would be $8/sq. ft.

    However, since the oversupply began, net operating income has fallen to $6.25/sq. ft.

    The overall capitalization rate as indicated by the market is 10%

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    Capitalization of Rent Loss Example

    Mkt Cap Rate = 10%

    Subject Size = 4,000 sq ft

    Market Rent = $8.00/sq ft

    Actual Rent = $6.25/sq ft

    Rent Loss = $1.75/sq ft ($8.00 $6.25)

    Total Rent Loss = $7,000 ($1.75 4,000 sq ft)

    Locational

    Influence = $70,000 ($7,000 10%)

    RECONCILIATION

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    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    Rationale

    Reconcile the adjusted sale prices into a FINAL ESTIMATE OF VALUE

    Your reconciliation should include a

    discussion of the strengths & weaknesses

    of each comparable and the reliability of

    adjustments made

    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    3 Principal Considerations of Adjustments

    in Reconciliation

    Total NUMBER of adjustments

    Total NET adjustment

    Total GROSS adjustment

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    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    Net and Gross

    Net Adjustment

    Difference between sale price and

    adjusted sale price

    Gross Adjustment

    Total adjustments (ignoring negative

    signs)

    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    Net v. Gross

    Example A:

    Sale Price $ 200,000

    Time + 10,000

    Location 5,000

    Size 6,000

    Adj S/P $199,000

    Net Adj = -1,000

    Gross Adj= 21,000

    Example B:

    Sale Price $ 200,000

    Time + 2,500

    Location 1,000

    Size + 1,500

    Adj S/P $203,000

    Net Adj = 3,000

    Gross Adj = 5,000

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    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    20% Rule for Adjustments

    Net adjustments to comps should be

    LESS THAN 20% of the original sale price

    Net adjustments greater than 20%

    indicate the comp is too different from

    the subject to be useful

    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    Reliability of Adjustments

    Must also determine which adjustments

    are most reliable

    Remember not to equate cost to value

    when using the direct comparison

    approach

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    ResearchResearch

    AdjustAdjust

    Reconcile

    Mark LeavensReal Property Administration Program

    (416) 4915050, Ext. 6390

    [email protected]

    Kent PeelSchool of Public and Legal

    Administration

    (416) 4915050, Ext. 2198

    [email protected]