Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
De toekomst van de stadZef Hemel, Wibautleerstoel UvA
@ZefHemel, www.zefhemel.nl
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjMmNTC1_7WAhXRLFAKHYbOAIIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_924.html&psig=AOvVaw1MLcJ7ZYYrUz4lraXrmqpl&ust=1508571058996217https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjMmNTC1_7WAhXRLFAKHYbOAIIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_924.html&psig=AOvVaw1MLcJ7ZYYrUz4lraXrmqpl&ust=1508571058996217
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjZpJ2i2f7WAhVNI1AKHdZkDFwQjRwIBw&url=https://www.pinterest.com/makihe1893/places-to-visit/&psig=AOvVaw3X5n6n8pkD2SyOlLDqne81&ust=1508571587102613https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjZpJ2i2f7WAhVNI1AKHdZkDFwQjRwIBw&url=https://www.pinterest.com/makihe1893/places-to-visit/&psig=AOvVaw3X5n6n8pkD2SyOlLDqne81&ust=1508571587102613
https://www.tes.com/lessons/GPHui1BSbLLotw/population-human-needs-lessonhttps://www.tes.com/lessons/GPHui1BSbLLotw/population-human-needs-lesson
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiUhYz52_7WAhWQZVAKHZ4dDF4QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/wright0405/geoffrey-west-predictive-science-of-cities-speed-february-2012atlas-iedc-sanantoniogeoffreywestslides&psig=AOvVaw3qn43aBHdB7TaqrUmNceNa&ust=1508572297025183https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiUhYz52_7WAhWQZVAKHZ4dDF4QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/wright0405/geoffrey-west-predictive-science-of-cities-speed-february-2012atlas-iedc-sanantoniogeoffreywestslides&psig=AOvVaw3qn43aBHdB7TaqrUmNceNa&ust=1508572297025183
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwibpZOR2_7WAhUCLlAKHX59AV0QjRwIBw&url=https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/314049/scale-by-geoffrey-west/9781594205583/&psig=AOvVaw2jwgPlcSlMfn60-xh0NK4h&ust=1508572086437356https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwibpZOR2_7WAhUCLlAKHX59AV0QjRwIBw&url=https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/314049/scale-by-geoffrey-west/9781594205583/&psig=AOvVaw2jwgPlcSlMfn60-xh0NK4h&ust=1508572086437356
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwivxtuF2v7WAhVFU1AKHUXTCksQjRwIBw&url=https://medium.com/sidewalk-talk/innovation-cities-and-the-optimistic-case-for-economic-growth-in-the-digital-age-3e76a7e0eea6&psig=AOvVaw3WtBE4QrJcmX1Q6XDuiVIK&ust=1508571707209124https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwivxtuF2v7WAhVFU1AKHUXTCksQjRwIBw&url=https://medium.com/sidewalk-talk/innovation-cities-and-the-optimistic-case-for-economic-growth-in-the-digital-age-3e76a7e0eea6&psig=AOvVaw3WtBE4QrJcmX1Q6XDuiVIK&ust=1508571707209124
Successive cycles of superlinear innovation reset the singularity and postpone instability and subsequent collapse. (a) Schematic representation: vertical dashed lines indicate the sequence of potential singularities. Eq. 4, with N ≈106, predicts tc in decades. (b) The relative population growth rate of New York City over time reveals periods of accelerated (superexponential) growth. Successive shorter periods of super exponential growth appear, separated by brief periods of deceleration. (Inset) tc for each of these periods vs. population at the onset of the cycle. Observations are well fit by Eq. 4, with β = 1.09 (green line).
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwistOP18P7WAhXQZlAKHS46ACsQjRwIBw&url=https://beyondgrowth.co.uk/problems/limits/&psig=AOvVaw3Ung8PvK255F2raVxhkyZo&ust=1508577927426650https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwistOP18P7WAhXQZlAKHS46ACsQjRwIBw&url=https://beyondgrowth.co.uk/problems/limits/&psig=AOvVaw3Ung8PvK255F2raVxhkyZo&ust=1508577927426650
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi8-_OY5f7WAhWKLFAKHTs9CWIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v%3DrpeQquYo2v8&psig=AOvVaw1xNSspkvK7NUXiK3YlR7mh&ust=1508574784817779https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi8-_OY5f7WAhWKLFAKHTs9CWIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v%3DrpeQquYo2v8&psig=AOvVaw1xNSspkvK7NUXiK3YlR7mh&ust=1508574784817779
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjDvPqS1ZrXAhWJrRoKHRhlDJoQjRwIBw&url=https://www.amazon.com/Lifeboat-Cities-Making-New-World/dp/1742231241&psig=AOvVaw2qkxuIMetYqkpJm-P1H1zH&ust=1509532558553408https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjDvPqS1ZrXAhWJrRoKHRhlDJoQjRwIBw&url=https://www.amazon.com/Lifeboat-Cities-Making-New-World/dp/1742231241&psig=AOvVaw2qkxuIMetYqkpJm-P1H1zH&ust=1509532558553408
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjVmoTI3f7WAhVOJFAKHS9FD00QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/andrefaria/antifragile-16611267&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjVmoTI3f7WAhVOJFAKHS9FD00QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/andrefaria/antifragile-16611267&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiC-O3d3f7WAhVCIlAKHdoICE4QjRwIBw&url=https://developers.redhat.com/blog/2016/07/20/from-fragile-to-antifragile-software/&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiC-O3d3f7WAhVCIlAKHdoICE4QjRwIBw&url=https://developers.redhat.com/blog/2016/07/20/from-fragile-to-antifragile-software/&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233
http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjRsoqI3v7WAhXFbVAKHZiJCV0QjRwIBw&url=http://www.mcssl.com/mail/view/67D865E434104115A49A13E22C3CBE88&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjRsoqI3v7WAhXFbVAKHZiJCV0QjRwIBw&url=http://www.mcssl.com/mail/view/67D865E434104115A49A13E22C3CBE88&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233
Mobiliteit in de stad van de toekomst kan verschillende gedaanten aannemen:
• Sommige particuliere auto’s worden zelfsturend;
• SDV’s regeren de straten;
• Robo/taxi’s nemen over;
• De deelauto-revolutie.
http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiA_PyNwaLWAhWPa1AKHc1VCRMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0745696538.html&psig=AFQjCNHLH6_2-JX9lLE_Jzp1mEao1v6ZCw&ust=1505404005904955http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiA_PyNwaLWAhWPa1AKHc1VCRMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0745696538.html&psig=AFQjCNHLH6_2-JX9lLE_Jzp1mEao1v6ZCw&ust=1505404005904955
A Post-Car System?
• Shifts in transport policies in cities away from predict and provide;
• New fuel systems for cars, vans and buses;
• Smart vehicles;
• Deprivatise cars through city-wide car sharing;
• ‘Smart card’ technology to transfer information from car to home, tobus, to train…;
• New social practices;
Toekomstscenario’s voor steden
• Fast-Mobility City;
• Digital City;
• Liveable City
• Fortress City
Fast-Mobility City
http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjM2Y6Xw-jWAhXRKVAKHZPrDgEQjRwIBw&url=http://architecturalmoleskine.blogspot.com/2011/10/metabolist-movement.html&psig=AOvVaw1lGw_6xx1Pf47jdZTn_atR&ust=1507809716884459http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjM2Y6Xw-jWAhXRKVAKHZPrDgEQjRwIBw&url=http://architecturalmoleskine.blogspot.com/2011/10/metabolist-movement.html&psig=AOvVaw1lGw_6xx1Pf47jdZTn_atR&ust=1507809716884459
Digital City
Liveable City
http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjs-qyEtr7PAhVGsxQKHcn-DbYQjRwIBw&url=http://urbantoronto.ca/news/2015/08/toronto-streets-transformed-paved-parks-open-streets&psig=AFQjCNFw4s3R47_YO1S7Meph3wZXmYAjrw&ust=1475576749508494http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjs-qyEtr7PAhVGsxQKHcn-DbYQjRwIBw&url=http://urbantoronto.ca/news/2015/08/toronto-streets-transformed-paved-parks-open-streets&psig=AFQjCNFw4s3R47_YO1S7Meph3wZXmYAjrw&ust=1475576749508494
Fortress City
https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwieoPvIwujWAhUSY1AKHZDQAjMQjRwIBw&url=https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/smart-city-kiosks-intelligent-nodes-jon-salisbury&psig=AOvVaw1vpBCBb277l9FB2mfAr7ID&ust=1507809577736661https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwieoPvIwujWAhUSY1AKHZDQAjMQjRwIBw&url=https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/smart-city-kiosks-intelligent-nodes-jon-salisbury&psig=AOvVaw1vpBCBb277l9FB2mfAr7ID&ust=1507809577736661