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Death from the Skies! Kristi Schneck Stanford Splash Fall 2012

Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

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Page 1: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Death from the Skies!

Kristi Schneck

Stanford Splash

Fall 2012

Page 2: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

The universe is trying to kill us!

Well, not actively...

BUT

• Near-Earth Asteroids

• Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections

• Supernovae

• Gamma Ray Bursts

• Black Holes

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Page 3: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Asteroids and Near-Earth Objects

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Page 4: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Hollywood—Armageddon

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Page 5: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Reality

• The earth is pummeled by 20-40 tons of material every day

• Chicxulub impact–extinction of dinosaurs

• 1908 Tunguska event (air burst of ∼100 m asteroid above Siberia)

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Page 6: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Reality—99942 Apophis

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Page 7: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

The Torino Scale

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Page 8: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

What can we do about this?

• Blow it up (this might create more problems...)• Redirect it with rockets, large masses, or lasers

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Page 9: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

The B612 foundation

http://www.b612foundation.org/

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Page 10: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Death by Sun

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Page 11: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Hollywood—Knowing

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Page 12: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Hollywood (again)—2012

The neutrinos have mutated!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXqUcuE8fNo

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Page 13: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Reality

• Charged particles from CMEs mess with satellites and power grid◦ March 1989—major power outages in NJ and Canada◦ Damage only increases as we use more power

• Depletion of ozone and production of NO2 in atmosphere

• “Little Ice Age” in Europe (17th Century) correlated with very lowsunspot activity

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Page 14: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Supernovae–the death of a star

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Page 15: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Death by supernova?

• ∼20 stars within 1000 ly could potentially become supernovae

• For 20 M� star 10 ly away, 40 million tons of material would hit us◦ < One ounce per square foot over Earth’s surface

• Other stuff: neutrinos, X-rays, gammas◦ Earth-bound people are pretty safe safe, but astronauts?

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Page 16: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Gamma Ray Bursts

• Discovered while looking for a different kind of destruction—Sovietnuclear tests on the moon

• Many of the same effects as SN, but more extreme

• At 100 ly, like one-megaton nuclear bomb per square mile of Earth

No possible GRB sources are anywhere near that close to us!

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Page 17: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Eta Carinae

• Nearest GRB candidate—7500ly away

• Jets are pointed away from us

• But say it was a threat–whatwould happen?◦ Fried electronics◦ >35% depletion of ozone◦ NO2 production dims sun

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Page 18: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

The destructive power of black holes

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Page 19: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Death by black hole

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Page 20: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Death by black hole

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Page 21: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Black holes, LHC and otherwise

• LHC (microscopic) black holes:◦ Could collisions in accelerators

produce microscopic blackholes?

• Astrophysical black holes:◦ Alter orbits of planets◦ Could eat Earth if it got close

enough◦ Radiation if black hole is active

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Page 22: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Why LHC black holes will not destroy the universe

• The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument:◦ Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere for billions of

years◦ If it hasn’t happened yet, it’s probably not going to!

• The Hawking radiation argument:◦ According to theory black holes evaporate through Hawking radiation◦ The smaller the mass, the shorter the lifetime!

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Page 23: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

Inevitabilities we won’t be around for

• Death of the sun

• Milky Way merging with Andromeda

• End of the universe (Big Crunch, Big Rip, Big Chill)

Don’t worry—something else will get us first!

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Page 24: Death from the Skies! - Learning UnlimitedWhy LHC black holes will not destroy the universe The ultra-high energy cosmic ray argument: Cosmic rays have been colliding with the atmosphere

For more information

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