Deaths from smoking

Deaths from smoking

in Latvia

Deaths from smokingin Latvia

• Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69)

• Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net

• This presentation provides estimates of the numberof deaths caused by smoking in Latvia

Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000”

• Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data

www.deathsfromsmoking.net

• Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by aninternational team of scientists:

– Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford

– Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland

– Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford

– Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society

Deaths from smoking, 1980 to 2000

• About 75% (70,000) of them were still in middle agewhen they died

• This was about one in four of all the deaths inmiddle age during this period (70,000 out ofthe 293,000 deaths at ages 35-69)


Latvia

• About 93,000 people died from smoking during this20-year period in Latvia

Annual deaths from smoking

• About 3,000 die in middle age from smoking

• Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years

• About 19 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking


Latvia, year 2000

• Smoking kills about 4,200 people a year in Latvia

Smoking causes about as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together


Latvia, year 2000

3,773*non-medical

Murder / assault FallsSuicide DrowningRoad accidents PoisoningPlane crashes FiresTrain crashes Floods / stormsAccidents at work Other natural disastersAccidents at home Other accidents

*in year 2000

4,200smoking

Smoking kills 4,200 people a year,from many different diseases


Latvia, year 2000

*includes 900 (87%) ofthe 1,039 lung cancer deaths

1,400 cancer*

2,000vascular(heart disease,stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins)

300respiratory

500 other

5,600total cancer deaths

About one in four of all cancer deathsis due to smoking


Latvia, year 2000

1,400 (25%) from smoking

3,000male

1,300 (43%) from smoking

2,600female

100 (4%) from smoking

Male deaths in middle age from smoking

• This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age

• The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age


• The main pattern of increase and, eventually,decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women

About one in three of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking*


Latvia, year 2000

*2,700 (31%) of the8,800 deaths at ages 35-69

Of 100 men aged 35 years …


Latvia, year 2000

*risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69

• 53 die in middle age*

53%

• 16 of these 53 deaths are from smoking

16

Male death in middle age: changing hazards*


Latvia, 1985-2000

*risks at period-specificdeath rates for ages 35-69

1985

1990

1995

2000

50%

50%

62%

53%

All causes

18

18

20

16

Smoking

Summary for the whole population

• Smoking kills about 4,200 men and women every year

• About 3,000 die in middle age from smoking

• Smoking causes about as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together

• About one in four of all cancer deaths is due to smoking


Latvia, year 2000

In Latvia:

Messages for the individual smoker

• Those killed in middle age lose many years

• Stopping smoking works– Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have

lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco

– Stopping before middle age works even better


• The risk is big: about half are killed

Deaths from smoking: an electronic resourcewww.deathsfromsmoking.netPublished by International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006

Funded byClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of OxfordInternational Union Against Cancer (UICC)Fogarty International Center, US NIHUK Medical Research CouncilCancer Research UK

Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian BorehamProject management Sinéad JonesAdvice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish CotterDesign bwa-design.co.uk

Documents

Deaths from smoking