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Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidity Deutsche Bank: Capital, liquidity and funding Autonomous German Credit Mini Conference, London Alexander von zur Mühlen, Group Treasurer 3 July 2013

Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

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Page 1: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital, liquidity and funding Autonomous German Credit Mini Conference, London

Alexander von zur Mühlen, Group Treasurer

3 July 2013y

Page 2: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Capital is central to deliver on DB’s Strategy 2015+

Alexander von zur MühlenDeutsche BankInvestor Relations

financial transparency. 2

Page 3: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Comprehensively strengthening capital

Deutsche Bank capital structure Generic future capital structure Basel 3 minimum requirementsBasel

2.5Basel 3 (fully loaded)(1)

pro-forma

Total capital ratio: 17.7%

Tier 1 ratio: 16.0%3.8%

hybrid T1

2.0%T2(5)

3.9%hybrid T1

1.7% T2

T2/

CET 1 ti 12 1%11.4%CET1

~0.7%

2.0%

≤ 2.5%

1.5%

12.1%

Issuance of EUR 2.0 bn AT1and T2 CRR compliant capital over the next 12 months

G-SIB additional buffer requirement(2),(3)

Capital conservation

Additional Tier 1

Tier 2

Ex-rightsissue

T2/Addtional

T1

CET 1 ratio: 12.1% ≥10% CET1

CET1 (6,7)

4.5%

2.5%CET 1 8.8%CET 1

Capital conservation buffer(2),(4)

Minimum CET1 requirement

~9.5% CET 1 ratio

Note: Countercyclical buffer not considered(1) Hybrid Tier 1 and Tier 2 as per applicable phase-in rules(2) Pro-rata phased-in between 1 January 2016 and year-end 2018, becoming fully effective on 1 January 2019(3) Gl b l t i ll i t t b k b ff A t l t t t fi d t l l l d d l t ’ j d t f l b l t i i t t th ti

1Q2013 1Q2013pro-forma

Jan 2019

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financial transparency. 3

(3) Global systemically important banks buffer: Actual amount not yet fixed, actual level depends on regulators’ judgment of global systemic importance at the time; based on preliminary judgment buffer varies between 1% and 2.5%, further bucket with 3.5% buffer currently not populated

(4) Should be held outside periods of stress; can be drawn down in periods of stress if discretionary distributions of earnings are reduced

Page 4: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Deutsche Bank’s capitalization in peer context

B3 CET 1 ratio in peer context

31 March 2013, in%(2)

B3 CET 1 ratio development

Pro-forma B3 CT1 ratio (fully loaded), in %

10.1 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.4

~9.6(2)

Peer (1)

average9

10

0.4+0.4

9.6%(2)

9.2%

9.2%8.9%

8.6%

2 0

1.1

1.8

7

8 8.0% 8.8%

7.8%

2.0

5

6 6.8%

6.0%

GS JPM CS BARUBS CitiBoABNP5

30 Jun2012

30 Sep2012

31 Dec2012

31 Mar2013

31 Mar2013

pro-forma

MS SOC

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financial transparency. 4

(1) BoA, Citi, JPM, GS, MS, CS, UBS, BAR, SocGen, BNP(2) Including net impact of ex-rights issue of EUR 2.9 bnSource: Company data

Page 5: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

T i hi hli h

Realisation of €3.0bn capital increase via “ex-rights” issuance Sh i iTransaction highlights Share price reaction

2,500

3,000

35.0

35.5

36.0

XETRA trading before launchLate trading at launch XETRA trading after pricing Ex-rights issue of 90m shares via accelerated bookbuilding

€32.90 placement price determined prior to market opening representing 0% discount to previous close

(1)

1,000

1,500

2,000

33.0

33.5

34.0

34.5

Volume (000s)Sh

are

price

(€)

Placement price:  €32.90

No comparable(1) successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’ capital increases for the last 24 months

Following the capital increase DB’s share price jumped upon market opening on 30 April, reaching an intraday high of €35.70 and closing 6.1% up at €34.91

0

500

31.5

32.0

32.5

Volume (rhs) Share price (lhs)

Price guidance:  €32.00 – 32.90

29-Apr-13 09:00 – 17:35 30-Apr-13 09:00 – 17:35 29-Apr-13 17:35 – 20:00

High trading volume of 27.6m shares (Xetra) on 30 April compared to an average volume of 7m(2)

Gross proceeds of €2,961m resulting in 1Q13 pro-forma fully loaded CT1 ratio increase from 8.8% to 9.6%

f

Source: Bloomberg

Impact 1Q13 on key capital ratios The avoidance of any pricing discount contributed approx. €175m to CT1 capital (~4bp of CT1 ratio)

Simulated EpS shows dilution of 9% from additional shares; nonetheless market cap increase of ~€5bn shows re-rating of DB shares

9.6%21x

CT1 ratio(fully loaded)

Leverage(adjusted)

Endorsement from markets with DB upgraded by six equity analysts

Positive feedback from all rating agencies

8.8%21x 20x

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financial transparency.

1Q13 1Q13pro-forma incl. “ex-rights”

pro-forma incl. “ex-rights”(1) European ‘ex-rights’ transactions exceeding €500m (2) over period of 1 year

5

Page 6: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Integrated framework to liquidity and funding

Operational Tactical StrategicOperational Tactical Strategic

tives

Daily – ongoing

– Safeguard liquidity position

1 day – 1 year

– Access to wholesale funding

1 year – 10 year

– Balanced term liquidity profile

Obj

ec

Safeguard liquidity position (intraday / end of day)

– Collateral / access to central bank

Access to wholesale funding (secured and unsecured)

– Access to liquid assets on B/S (going concern and stress)

Balanced term liquidity profile– Access to capital markets – Funding diversification – Support DB’s credit curve

Limit Setting

Wholesale FundingMaximum Cash Outflowpr

oach

es

Intraday / End-of-

Day

Liquidity PlanningStress Testing

Liquidity Reserves

Issuance Plan /

Funding Matrix

Ap

y

Liquidity Overview Transfer Pricing Issuance Plan /

Funding Strategy

Safeguard our ability to meet all payment obligations when they come due

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financial transparency.

Safeguard our ability to meet all payment obligations when they come due

6

Page 7: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Overview of liquidity reserves(1)

% f t t l

Development through the crisisIn EUR bn

5%% of total adjusted assets 12% 17% 19%

3.5x

19%

150

223 232 230

65

31 Dec 2007 31 Dec 2010 31 Dec 2011 31 Dec 2012 31 Mar 2013

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financial transparency. 7

(1) The bank's liquidity reserves include (a) available excess cash held primarily at central banks, (b) unencumbered central bank eligible business inventory, as well as (c) the strategic liquidity reserve of highly liquid government securities and other central bank eligible assets. Position before Dec 2012 excludes

Page 8: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Funding Profile

31 December 2007 31 March 2013

Capital Markets and Equity1 %

Secured Funding and Shorts

Financing Vehicles2%

61% from most stable funding sources

30% from most stablefunding sources(1)

Capital Markets and Equity

12%

Financing Vehicles

5%

17%

Retail

Discretionary Wholesale

9%

Shorts19%

12%

Retail11%

Transaction Banking

7%

Secured Funding and

Shorts39%

26%

Transaction Banking17%

Other Customers10%Other

Customers13%

Discretionary Wholesale

13%

Total: EUR 1,107 bnTotal: EUR 1,206 bn

Alexander von zur MühlenDeutsche BankInvestor Relations

financial transparency. 8

(1) Dec 2007 has been rebased to ensure consistency with 31 March 2013 presentation and includes Postbank

Page 9: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Issuance strategyCost-effective funding a competitive advantageCost effective funding a competitive advantage

— 2013 Issuance Plan of EUR 18bn

Historical funding activities 2013 funding activitiesIn EUR bn

2

4

Senior Covered Tier 1 and Tier 2— Total issuance YTD EUR 12.2bn at avg. spread of

L+44 and avg. tenor of 4.7 years

— 65% via retail networks and private placement, complemented by EUR 1 25bn 2 year and EUR

45 50

20 21 22

1 2 3

2

2 2

complemented by EUR 1.25bn 2 year and EUR 1.75bn 10 year benchmarks

— Funding spreads remain largely unchanged since beginning of year despite ongoing Eurozone crisis

20 21 22 16

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

— LT2 issuance USD 1.5bn, callable in year 10– DB opens new market segment; first ever benchmark

callable Tier 2 issue in US market– Total order book of USD 5bn, primarily US asset

managers— Consistent access to capital markets during managers– Timing: most attractive issuance point in >2 years; final

pricing of $L+225; currently $L+272– DB‘s first capital issue structured to comply with CRD IV

/ CRR

Consistent access to capital markets during challenging market conditions

— Funding demand stable/declining since 2009

— Figures include Postbank issuance for 2010

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financial transparency. 9

gonwards

Page 10: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Case Study: USD 1.5 bn 4.296% 15NC10 Lower Tier 2

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financial transparency. 10

Page 11: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Balanced Liquidity Profile

Senior Covered Tier 1 and Tier 2(2)

300

Liquidity Profile31 March 13 (in EUR bn)

Capital markets maturity profile(1)

31 March 13 (in EUR bn)

31

12

3

23

11

14

150

200

250

300Assets Equity

Liabilities Surplus

14 13 11 12

5 3 2 2 2 3

1032 3 3 1 0

10 1

0 0 1

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+0

50

100

>1yr >2yr >3yr >4yr >5yr >6yr >7yr >8yr >9yr >10yr

─ Well laddered maturity profile─ No more than EUR 20bn maturing in any bucket for

upcoming years

y y y y y y y y y y

─ Net term liquidity surplus in excess of EUR 20bn in all buckets

─ Reflects all assets and liabilities across the maturity ─ Maturities in future years allow management of

liquidity requirements in light of NCOU derisking─ EUR 14bn of Tier 1 and Tier 2 inflate 2024+ bucket;

call decisions may partially accelerate maturities

yprofile, either on a modelled or contractual basis depending on underlying liquidity characteristics

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financial transparency. 11

(1) Includes Postbank(2) Tier 1 and Tier 2 maturities as per contractual maturity date

Page 12: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Deutsche Bank

Additional InformationAdditional Information

3 July 2013y

Page 13: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

NCOU: Total adjusted assets(1)

31 Dec 2012 31 Mar 2013In EUR bnIn EUR bn

IAS 39 re-classifiedassetsCI

AWM

17.015.41.8

IAS 39 re-classifiedassetsCI

AWM

15.315.6

1.5

Other loans

Monolines

PBC: Other7.3

8 0

4.2 Other loans

Monolines

PBC: Other 6.1

7.4

4.0

Other trading

Monolines

Credit Trading –Correlation Book

PBC: Postbanknon-core

Other

8.0

1.5

12.35.4

22.1

Other trading

Monolines

Credit Trading –Correlation Book

PBC: Postbanknon-core

Other

1.0

10.96.6

17.4

positionsOther

EUR 95 bnpositionsOther

EUR 86 bn

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financial transparency. 13

(1) Total assets according to IFRS adjusted for netting of derivatives and certain other components

Page 14: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Balance sheet and risk weighted assets

272

RWA(1) vs. balance sheet (adj. assets)In EUR bn, as of 31 Mar 2013

XX RWA density incl. operational riskXX RWA density excl. operational risk

1,225272 ~22%

~27%

Avg RWA density

161

2516258Market Risk RWA Non-derivativetrading assets

,

~25%

23%

Avg. RWA density

~27%

395

72

161

31

37

Derivatives(2)

Other

~43%

~23%

~35%

195

395

138

215Credit Risk RWA

Lending(3)

Reverse repo /securities

~35%

~1%

1502 2

Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences(1) RWA excludes Operational Risk RWA of EUR 53 bn

RWA Balance SheetRWA

borrowedCash and deposits

with banks ~1%

~1%~1%

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financial transparency.

(1) RWA excludes Operational Risk RWA of EUR 53 bn(2) Excludes any related Market Risk RWA which has been fully allocated to non-derivatives trading assets(3) RWA includes EUR 32 bn RWA for lending commitments and contingent liabilities

14

Page 15: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Total assets (adjusted)In EUR bn

70 721,209 1,225Derivatives post-

netting

In EUR bn

Positive market valuesfrom derivatives

Derivatives post-netting

127 129 27 25

228 226Trading assets254Trading assets251

Trading securities

Reverse repos / securities borrowed

Financial assets at FV through P&L

Other trading assets

397 395

15 1918 18127

Reverse repos / securities188

Net loans

securities borrowed

Other des. at FVLoans des. at FV

Reverse repos / securities195

149 150

397borrowed

Cash and deposits with banks

borrowed

102 10316 2161 66 Securities borrowed / reverse repos

Other(1)Brokerage & securities rel. receivables

31 Dec 2012 31 Mar 2013

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financial transparency.

Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences(1) Incl. financial assets AfS, equity method investments, property and equipment, goodwill and other intangible assets, income tax assets and other

15

Page 16: Deutsche Bank: Capital liquidityDeutsche Bank: Capital ... · Share price (€) Volume (000s) Placement price: €32.90 No comparable successful pricing observable from European ‘ex-rights’

Cautionary statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historicalfacts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These; y p p y gstatements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of DeutscheBank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation toupdate publicly any of them in light of new information or future events.

By their very nature forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties A number of important factors couldBy their very nature, forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors couldtherefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factorsinclude the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which wederive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development ofasset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of ourstrategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced inour filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form20-F of 15 April 2013 under the heading “Risk Factors.” Copies of this document are readily available upon request orcan be downloaded from www.db.com/ir.

This presentation also contains non-IFRS financial measures. For a reconciliation to directly comparable figures reportedunder IFRS, to the extent such reconciliation is not provided in this presentation, refer to the 1Q2013 Financial DataSupplement, which is accompanying this presentation and available at www.db.com/ir.

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financial transparency. 16