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Elly Tartati Ratni Climate Change City Team of Blitar City, Indonesia 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience & Adaptation Bonn, Germany, 29 – 31 May 2014

Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

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Page 1: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Elly Tartati Ratni

Climate Change City Team of Blitar City, Indonesia

5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience & Adaptation Bonn, Germany,

29 – 31 May 2014

Page 2: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Location

±160 km Southwest of Surabaya

Area : 32.58 km2

3 Sub Districts and 21 Kelurahan/village Population (2013) Number : 150,670 people Growth 1.23% per year Density : 4,626/km2 Poor Population: 7,.32% Local Budget : USD 503.07 Economic growth : 6.59% GDP : USD 2,273.41 Per capita Income : USD 1.508,87 Most population are officers and merchants Famous of “Bung Karno‘s Graveyard”

A BRIEF DESCRIPTION

Page 3: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Development Pattern in Blitar City (The Change of Landsat Figure)

Page 4: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

ACCCRN-Mercy Corps (2010-now) • Developing Climate Vulnerabi-

lity and Risk Assesment, and City Resilience Strategy

• Training on Climate Vulnerability, Risk, and CRS

• Shared Learned Dialogue (SLD) • Concept Note and Proposal

Training

PAKLIM-GIZ (2011-now) • Developing Integrated City’s

Climate Change Strategy (ICCS) • CC Mitigation and Adaptation

Workshop • City’s GHG Emission Updating • Climate Change Investment

Book (Blue Book)

Climate Change City Team of Blitar City

(Mayor of Blitar Decree No 257 in 2012)

Members : Related Local Government

Agencies, Women Organization, Youth

Organization, University, Journalist, Radio Reporter,

Environment NGO

COOPERATION

Page 5: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Exposure and Sensitivity Level

Adaptive Capacity Level

Vulnerability or Coping Range Index

Exposure and Sensitivity Indicators

Adaptive Capacity Indicators

Extreme Climate Possibility

CLIMATE RISKS INDEX

RISK PROFILES PROCESS

Source : CCROM, 2012

Page 6: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

STEPS OF VULNERABILITY

ASSESSMENT

Understanding the Vulnerability Concept

Understanding the concept of Exposure [E], Sensitivity [S] and Adaptive Capacity [AC]

Searching the Climate Change Impacts/Hazard historical data in the City/Regency Level

Determining Exposure, Sensitivity and Adaptive Capacity Indicators based on data availability

Collecting and processing data based on each indicator at Kelurahan/Villages Level

Determining the weight value for each indicators

1

2

3

4

5

6

7 Counting Sensitivity and Exposure Index (SEI) and Adaptive Capacity Index (ACI)

Developing SEI, ACI and Coping Range Index (CRI-Vulnerability) Maps by using Arc Gis/Arcview

8

Source : CCROM, 2012

Page 7: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Household living near river 0.03

Fraction of Rice Field area 0.03

Buildings near river 0.03

Source of Drinking Water 0.20

Population Density 0.20

Poor household 0.225

SENSITIVITY AND EXPOSURE INDEX (SEI)

River/Lake 0.0

Water Pipe (PDAM) 0.25

Water Sources/River/Lake 0.75

Rain Water/others 1

Pumps/ Wells 0.5

Fraction of agriculture area 0.025

The weight are resulted from the

Climate Change City Team Discussion

Population work in agriculture 0.006

Population aged <15 years agriculture area

0.150

Population aged > 64 years 0.050

SENSITIVITY AND EXPOSURE

INDICATORS (SEI)

Page 8: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Electricity Facility 0.30

Road Infrastructure 0.20

Education Facilities 0.28

Health facilities 0.23

ADAPTIVE CAPACITY INDEX

(ACI)

Elementary 0.2

Senior Hg 0.4

Yunior Hg 0.3

Kindegarten 0.1

Univ 0.5

Integrated Sevice Post 0.2

Community Health Ctr/Policlinic 0.3

Per City/Regency

Per Sub District

Per Village/Kelurahan

Hospital 0.4

ADAPTIVE CAPACITY INDICATORS

(ACI)

The weight are resulted from the Climate

Change City Team Discussion

Page 9: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

SEI, ACI AND CRI (VULNERABILITY) MAPS

Very low (0.01-0.25)

Low (0.26-0.50)

Moderate (0.51–0.75)

High (0.76-1.00)

High(0.76-1)

Moderate (0.51-0.75)

Low (0.26–0.51)

Very Low (0.01-0.26)

Not Vulnerable (1)

Less Vulnerable (2)

Slight Vulnerable (3)

Vulnerable (4)

Very Vulnerable (5)

COPING RANGE INDEX/VULNERABILITY MAP IN 2011

SENSITIVITY AND EXPOSURE MAP

ADAPTIVE CAPACITY MAP

Page 10: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

MULTI HAZARD MAPS OF BLITAR CITY Human Disease Hazard Map Hard Wind Hazard Map

Water Shortage Hazard Map

Water Lodging Hazard Map Agriculture Harvest Failure Hazard Map

Land Slide Hazard Map

Multi Hazard Map

Not Dangerous (1)

Less Dangerous (2)

Slight Dangerous (3)

Dangerous (4)

Very Dangerous (5)

Page 11: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

CLIMATE RISK MAP

Very Low (1)

Low (2)

Moderate (3)

High (4)

Very High (5)

Page 12: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

CC STRATEGY 2012-2020 GOAL

Page 13: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

ACTION PLANS

Smart Driving

Bike To Work

Car Free Day

3 M Dissemination

Surveillance Community Group

Improving Water Quality

Climate Risk Dissemination Tree Planting

Biogas Installation

Climate Village

MITIG

ATIO

N

RESILIEN

CE/AD

APTATION

Organic Urban Farming

Rain Water Harvesting

Biophory

Page 14: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

PRIORITIZING RESILIENCE (Using B/C Analysis)

Action Plan Cost

Score Cost

column Benefit Score

Ben. Colomn

B/C Priority order

Optimizing agriculture field through integrated agriculture system (using natural pesticide and life agent) 7 4.4 22 1.75 2.51 1

Save water movement 6 3.4 17 1.5 2.27 2

Eradication of dengue fever 8 3.6 18 2 1.80 3 Using IT (text message/radio/etc) for giving information to the farmers 4 1.8 9 1 1.80 4

Community Based Surveillance 9 4 20 2.25 1.78 5

Rain water harvesting 11 4 20 2.75 1.45 6

Biogas and Organic Fertilizer from cattle feces 11 4 20 2.75 1.45 7

Environment Sanitation 9 3.2 16 2.25 1.42 8

Disseminatiion of Climate Change Preparedness for students 6 1.6 8 1.5 1.07 9

Developing Water Balance database (water potency and need) 9 2.2 11 2.25 0.98 10

Creative food Industries 13 3 15 3.25 0.92 11

Zoning of Distribution Network Service 15 3.4 17 3.75 0.91 12 Reservoir Construction, Management , Rehabilitation and improving the management quality 17 3.4 17 4.25 0.80 13

Environment education Tourism for Junior and Senior high 11 2.2 11 2.75 0.80 14

Free area surrounding the spring water 16 2.8 14 4.00 0.70 15

Page 15: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

COMMUNAL WASTE WATER TREATMENT with COMMUNITY BASED PARTICIPATION

Community Based Communal Waste Water Treatment that covers about 1.084 households (max cap 3.381

households)

IMPLEMENTATION until 2014

Page 16: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

URBAN ORGANIC FARMING

Organic Farming at Kepanjen Lor Village managed by Woman Organic Community Group

Food Processed from organic

vegetable/fruit from the organic

garden

Organic Farming at Bendogerit Village managed by Green Root Community Forum

The worms (lumbricus terestris) breeding . Worms for fish and the used worm media for organic fertilizer/media

Page 17: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

HYDROPONIC URBAN FARMING COMMUNITY INITIATIVES

Hydroponic Farming on Mesjid Street in Household Scale

Hydroponic Farming at Sudhancho Supriyadi Street in larger Scale

Page 18: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

COMMUNITY GROUP SURVEILLANCE

FOR DENGUE FEVER, THYPOID AND DIARHHEA

Training of Community Group Surveillance by Local Health Agency

The Group met Mrs. Amy Spindler from Mercy Corps Headquarters, USA

Page 19: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

CLIMATE CHANGE CAMPAIGN AND DISSEMINATION

Dissemination using Local Radio “Mayangkara” in Climate Change Talk Show

Dissemination to Woman/housewives Organization/Groups

Dissemination to High Risk and Vulnerable Sub District’s Stakeholders

Campaign in Local Carnival Campaign using banners, stickers and leaflet Dissemination to Senior High School Students

Page 20: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

BIOGAS TO PRESERVE THE CLEAN AND HEALTHY SURROUNDING AND DRINKING WATER SOURCE

Cattle Biogas using for Light in Ngadirejo Village and distributed to 7 households

Cattle Biogas using for Cooking in Pakunden Village, distributed to 6 households

Construction Process of Biogas Digester at “Nurul Ulum” Moslem Boarding School

Biogas from Communal waste Water Treatment r at “Nurul Ulum” Moslem Boarding School used for cooking

the student’s meals (800 students)

Page 21: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

RAIN WATER HARVESTING, ARTESIS WELL AND BIOPHORY FOR SUPPORTING THE

STARFRUIT AGROTOURISM KARANGSARI (SUB GRANT FROM ROCKEFELLER FOUNDATION 2014)

Star fruit Agro Tourism area : 2 hectare, 31 farmers have various numbers of trees in it

Managed by “Kridha Sari” Community Empowerment Group

Syrup, juice, sticky paste (dodol) , crisp, etc Alternative economic activity for

housewives in Karangsari Village

Page 22: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

• The steps taken to develop the assessment are determining The Vulnerability index/map, The Hazard Index/Map and then they are overlaid to get the Climate Risk Index/Map.

• The indicators and sub indicators of Vulnerability (exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) should be adjusted to the data availability in the village/kelurahan level.

• If there is no historical hazard data available, the hazard map can be developed using questionnaire for locals and verified by expert judgment.

• The assessment should be used to formulate The City Resilience Strategy

• The method is suitable for a quick assessment, multi hazard and for region that has relatively similar condition

• Further Disseminating of the maps especially in High Risk and Vulnerability Villages/Kelurahans to encourage community local initiatives in building their own resilience

• Developing concept note/proposal based on the maps and City Resilient Strategy

Page 23: Developing a risk and vulnerability assessment for Blitar City

Blitar City Climate Change City Team www.iklim.blitarkota.net

[email protected]