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Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury using Eulerian method Fumitake Shido, Yasuhiro Yamanaka, Shin-ichi Ito, Taketo Hashioka, Daiki Mukai, and Michio J. Kishi Oct 17 th ’2006 PICES 15 th in Yokohama, JAPAN

Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

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Page 1: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of

Pacific saury using Eulerian method

Fumitake Shido, Yasuhiro Yamanaka, Shin-ichi Ito, Taketo Hashioka, Daiki Mukai, and Michio J. Kishi

Oct 17th ’2006 PICES 15th in Yokohama, JAPAN

Page 2: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

Introduction

(Sugisaki and Kurita, 2004, Ito et al., 2004)

Life history

• Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan.

Aug Oct

Observed distribution of Pacific saury catches [Kosaka 2000]

[Photo] Pacific saury (Cololabis saira)

Japanese name: samma

Larval and juvenile hatched in winter are advected by Kuroshio and its extension

Young saury migrates northward, and stays around here with its growth until summer.

Page 3: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

In this study,We developed 2-D model to simulate geological distribution and growth using Eularian method.

• We adopted fish biomass concentration by Eulerian method, because we have intent to deal with an interaction of zooplankton biomass with fish biomass as a two-way coupling in the predator-prey system in near future.

Page 4: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

NEMURO.FISH of PICES

•We developed a 2-D model based on NEMURO.FISH (Ito et al., 2004)•For our 2-D simulation, we used zooplankton distributions calculated by 3D NEMURO (Hashioka and Yamanaka, in press)

PhytoplanktonLarge (diatom)

Phytoplankton Small

ZooplanktonPredator

ZooplanktonLarge

ZooplanktonSmall

Saury

NEMURO

Page 5: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

Equations for Eulerian Model

2N N Nt

κ∂= −∇ ⋅ + ∇

∂v

2B B W N G Bt

κ∂= −∇ ⋅ + ∇ + ⋅

∂v

with assumption without mortality

B: Biomass(=N・W) [g/km2]W: Weight [g]N: Number density [/km2]v: fish advection [km/day]κ: diffusion coefficient G: fish growth rate [/day]

Swimming direction is as follows

2-D extended Bioenergetics model:

Population dynamics model:

,

,

(1) Feb01-Mar31: no swimming,(2) Apr01-Aug31: toward high growth rate region,(3) Sep01-Jun31: toward the hatched position,

along high growth rate region.

Model domain: 20-50oN and 120-170oE Horizontal resolution: 1/4o x 1/6o

We used the following data sets:(1)temperature and zooplankton(0-20m)

(Hashioka and Yamanaka , in press)(2) zooplankton(0-200m)(WOA01)(3) ocean currents (Sakamoto et al., 2005)

Page 6: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

The local growth rate for Pacific saury

1 [ ( )] z

f

CALdWG C E F S R PW dt CAL

= = − + + + +         Consumption (increase weight)

FecesExcretory weste

SDA Respiration

(PICES MODEL/REX TASK TEAM, 2002, Ito et al., 2004)

Egg Production(decrease weight)

v = vswim + vadv[migration]= [Swimming] + [Advection by current]

Swimming speed is defined as a function of wet weight of saury. (Ito et al., 2004)

|vswim| = 12.3 x W0.33

Migration velocity of saury (v)

Wet weight(g)

Growth rate

Page 7: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

The results by Eulerian model(1)

020406080

100120140160

Feb-

01

Apr-

01

Jun-

01

Aug-

01

Oct-

01

Dec-

01

Feb-

02

Apr-

02

Jun-

02

Aug-

02

Oct-

02

Dec-

02

Eulerian model successfully simulated the observed wet weight of saury during two

years.

Our Model Observation

[Ito et al., 2004]

Page 8: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 9: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 10: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 11: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 12: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 13: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 14: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 15: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 16: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 17: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 18: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 19: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 20: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific
Page 21: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

The results by Eulerian model(3)

40N

Apr15th (Weight)

Observed Distribution (catches) (Kosaka 2000 )

→ 1m/s

150E 160E140EObserved Distribution of young saury (Kosaka 2000)

40N

Aug

150E

Apr15th (Number density)

Jul15th

Aug15th

Jul

Eulerian model successfully simulated the observed geological distributions with the seasonal migration.

Page 22: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

Case studyMigration toward optimal temperatureinstead of high growth rate until summer

Aug Dec

Migration toward optimal growth rate for its larvae instead of hatched point in autumn

Most of saury is located along the isothermal line, dose not have patch-like distribution like the control case.

Most of saury migrates eastward, 160E or more east

As the observed distribution of saury expands the entire North Pacific, this assumption might not be unrealistic.

This result suggest that horizontal fluctuation of zooplankton density is important to make patch-like saury distribution.

Page 23: Development of a two-dimensional fish model to simulate biomass of Pacific saury … · • Pacific saury is a famous commercial fish in Japan. Aug Oct Observed distribution of Pacific

Conclusions and future plan

• Eulerian model successfully simulated the observed geological distributions with the seasonal migration.

• We are going to deal with an interaction of zooplankton biomass with fish biomass as a two-way coupling in the predator-prey system in near future.

• We need to adopt population dynamics model with realistic mortality rate for more realistic simulation.