Diagnosis of Type 2 Diabetes at an Older Age.pdf

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    privation category (12) (an area-basedmeasure of material deprivation).

    RESULTS There were 3,594 peoplewith type 2 diabetes (48% male) and7,188 matched comparators identied inthe study. Subject survival is presentedseparately for men and women in Fig. 1.Over a mean follow-up period of 4.6 2.9 years, 909 (25.3%) patients in the di-abetic cohort and 1,651 (23.0%) in thenondiabetic cohortdied. Formen, therel-ative risk for mortality in the diabetic co-hort compared with the nondiabeticcohort, adjusted for deprivation, was1.06(95% CI 0.941.19). There were no dif-

    ferences when patients were stratied byageat diagnosis. Forwomen, theadjustedrelative risk for mortality in the diabetic

    cohort compared with the nondiabeticcohort was 1.29 (1.151.45). The risksfor those diagnosed with diabetes at6574 years, 7584 years, and 85 yearswere 1.47 (1.211.78), 1.15 (0.971.38), and 1.36 (1.061.73), respec-tively. Cardiovascular deaths accountedfor 49.4% of the deaths in people withdiabetes and 45.2% in those without (ad- justed relative risk 1.01 [0.931.10]).

    CONCLUSIONS In th is s tudy,men diagnosed with type 2 diabetes after

    65 years of age had no increased risk of mortality compared with nondiabeticmen of the same age. This result contrastssharply with the signicant effect of dia-betes on mortality in a population of olderdiabetic people that included newly diag-nosed individuals and those with a longerduration of disease (5). Studies that havefound small differences in mortality, evenin men diagnosed at a later age, have notadjusted for the confounding effect of de-privation (possibly independently associ-ated with diabetes prevalence [13] andmortality).

    Our data came from a validated dia-betes system and are known to be reliable(9). The mean follow-up of almost 5 yearswas similar to that of an Italian study (7).It may be that mortality of diabetic andnondiabetic men diverges in later years

    after diagnosis, although this did not oc-cur for at least 7 years following diagnosisin our study. A weakness of the study wasthat we were unable to adjust for cardio-vascular risk factors at baseline. However,we might expect a poorer prole in thediabetic cohort (14,15), with adjustmentresulting in even less of a difference be-tween the two cohorts. The proportion of cardiovascular deaths was relatively low;however, we used underlying cause of death to determine whether a death hada cardiovascular cause, and this may un-derestimate cardiovascular mortality. Wealso acknowledge that there may be a de-greeof under-ascertainmentof diabetes inthe nondiabetic cohort.

    Our result may be due to a survivoreffect, with men with more severe diabe-tes having presented and died before theage of 65 years. However, this does notdetract from the important clinical point:that the effects of diabetes (in this case,mortality) in those diagnosed at an olderage clearly differs markedly from thosediagnosed when younger.

    In contrast to men, women diagnosed

    with type2 diabetesat an older age had anincreased risk of mortality compared witholder nondiabetic women. This was evi-dent 3 years after diagnosis, particularlyfor women aged 6574 years. Diabetesmay be a stronger risk factor for womencompared with men (as our results sug-gest), although whether this can be ac-counted for by a higher prevalence of classic cardiovascular risk factors in dia-betic women compared with diabeticmen is still controversial (16). We wereunable to adjust for cardiovascular risk

    Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier survival curves of older female ( top ) and male ( bottom ) individualswith type 2 diabetes and their nondiabetic comparators during 19932002.

    Diabetes diagnosis in older individuals

    2798 DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 27, NUMBER 12, DECEMBER 2004

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    factors, but our study suggests that theeffects of diabetes may vary according tosex, even in older individuals.

    This study therefore highlights theimportance of recognizing the heteroge-neity of the older diabetic population.

    Acknowledgments The authors thankmembers of the DARTS/MEMO Collaborationand members of the DARTS Steering Groupfor their support.

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    Tan and Associates

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