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Diego Lopez Yu Wu Steven Wisnoski Bryan Fritz. Agenda. Thesis/Catalysts Company Overview Financials Comparables Risks DCF Model. Thesis. Earnings Announcement: 10/30 Expansion for Fendt German Manufacturing Facility and Massey Ferguson in France. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Diego LopezYu Wu
Steven WisnoskiBryan Fritz
Agenda• Thesis/Catalysts• Company Overview• Financialso Comparables
• Risks• DCF Model
Thesis• Earnings Announcement: 10/30
• Expansion for Fendt German Manufacturing Facility and Massey Ferguson in France.o $223 Million investment towards expansion
• General increase in population means continual agricultural growth.
AGCO OverviewFounded in 1991, HQ in Duluth, Georgia
Stock price at time of pitch: $47.36
Fair Value: $66.36
Operates under four brands:1. Challenger2. Valtra3. Fendt4. Massey Ferguson
• Products are marketed towards large-scale farmers and contractors
• Pride themselves on higher output with lower operating costs
• Based in Finland and growing reputation in South America
• Superior because tractors are specifically designed for each individual customer
• Customization possibilities
• Offers a full range of tractors from ruggedly simple to high-specification
• Technological enhancements like Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) and satellite-based automatic steering
• 20M expansion investment in France, announced 9/12
• Headquartered in Germany and is the leading high tech brand for customers
• New Vario 700 Tractor offers the cutting edge technology in a lower horsepower model
• $223M expansion in Germany, currently in effect
Quarterly Sales By Region
Regional Growth
Population Growth
Brazil
• Large growth forecast in agriculture productiono Large Infrastructure needs to reach
this growth forecast • Agricultural exports have grown nearly 5x
since 2001o Creating large agricultural
economic presence
Brazil• AGCO had announced that it will invest
approximately $55 million through end of 2012 to modernize 3 plants in Brazil.
• This expansion posted higher sales in Brazil on Q2 2012 with an 8.2% compared increase to the first six months of 2011 on a currency basis.
Risks• Seasonality of agricultural industry
o Drastic U.S. sales increase• Exchange rate• Europe• Regulatory
o Externality costs Engineering, capital expense.
Acquisition
• In 2011, AGCO acquired GSI Holding Corp. for $932.2M.o $0.45 EPS accretion expected from GSI Holding
Corp.
• Acquired 80% of Dafeng Machinery Company for about $27M
• Acquired the remaining 50% interest of Laverda Spa for about $88.3M
• Acquired 50% of AGCO-Amity JV for about $25M
Earnings
Insider Activities
Long-Term Performance
Competitor Analysis
Questions?
Ticker: AGCOPrice at Time of Pitch: $47.93
Fair Value: $71.16
Diego LopezYu Wu
Steven WisnoskiBryan Fritz