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Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission
Disaster Risk Reduction and Disaster Disaster Risk Reduction and Disaster ManagementManagement
in the Pacific in the Pacific
2
Background
Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission (SOPAC)
• Intergovernmental regional organisation• 21 member countries (4 associates)• 3 technical work programmes
– Ocean and Islands– Community Lifelines incl water, energy and ICT– Community Risk
• Mandate for the coordination of regional disaster risk reduction and disaster management capacity building in the Pacific
Christmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas IslandChristmas Island
Wake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake IslandWake Island
Federated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaFederated States of MicronesiaPalauPalauPalauPalauPalauPalauPalauPalauPalau Marshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall IslandsMarshall Islands
KiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New GuineaPapua New Guinea TuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvaluTuvalu
Solomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSolomon IslandsSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoaSamoa
American SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaAmerican SamoaVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatuVanuatu
French PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFrench PolynesiaFijiFijiFijiFijiFijiFijiFijiFijiFiji NiueNiueNiueNiueNiueNiueNiueNiueNiue Cook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsCook IslandsNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew CaledoniaNew Caledonia TongaTongaTongaTongaTongaTongaTongaTongaTonga
AustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustralia
New ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew Zealand
Norfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk IslandNorfolk Island
GuamGuamGuamGuamGuamGuamGuamGuamGuam
NauruNauruNauruNauruNauruNauruNauruNauruNauru
HawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaiiHawaii
TokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauTokelauKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribati
KiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribatiKiribati
PitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairnPitcairn
Johnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston AtollJohnston Atoll
3Setting the SceneSetting the Scene
4
DRM Investment into Future
• Disasters are a development issue, affects– Economic costs
• assets and infrastructure• basic service delivery – water, health, education• opportunity costs
– Government’s capacity to meet National Development Goals
– Capacity of households to meet their basic needs – water, food and shelter (poverty and hardship)
5
DRM Challenges
• Disaster treated as environmental and or humanitarian issue
• Sectoral and piece-meal approaches• Weak national institutions and governance
structures• Disaster management seen as government/aid
donor responsibility -> reliance on donor support
• Limited national budget allocated for DRR• Perverse incentive to wait for disaster
management support post disaster
6
Setting the Scene
• Ongoing and increasing vulnerability of Pacific Island nations and communities to the impacts of disasters.
• Led to increased national and regional commitments to disaster risk reduction and disaster management on an ‘all hazards’ basis in support of sustainable development
7
Regional and International Commitments wrt DRM
• Yokohama Strategy for a Safer World (1994) and the InternationalStrategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR).
• Forum Economic Ministers and the Forum Leaders acknowledged disaster as a development issue in 2003
• Hyogo Framework for Action 2005 – 2015• Regional Framework for Action for DRR and DM 2005 -2015• Pacific Islands Framework of Action on Climate Change (PIFAC)
2006-2015 • Kalibobo Road Map of the Pacific Plan approved by Forum Leaders
in 2005, called for operationalisation of regional frameworks at the national level to assist member countries to develop national capacity for an integrated DRM approach that focuses on – preventative measures to minimise risks,– preparedness in the event of a hazardous event, – effective and timely post disaster response and rehabilitation
8
Regional Framework for Action
The Framework has an all hazards approach supporting sustainabledevelopment. All phases of disaster risk management cycle are reflected in the six thematic areas of the Framework:
1) Governance – Organisational, Institutional, Policy and Decision-making Frameworks
2) Knowledge, Information, Public Awareness and Education3) Analysis And Evaluation Of Hazards, Vulnerabilities and
Elements at Risk4) Effective Preparedness, Response And Recovery5) Effective, Integrated And People-focused Early Warning Systems6) Reduction Of Underlying Risk Factors
9
• Established in February 2006 to assist PICs implement the Pacific DRM Framework for Action
• ~ thirty regional and international organisations. • committed to assist and support PICs to develop and to implement their
DRM National Action Plans (NAP), which will seek to identify and address national DRM priority needs.
• Main objectives are to:– Provide regional support for the development and implementation of National
Action Plans – Establish and sustain a regional network of partners working in disaster risk
management to improve regional cooperation, coordination and collaboration.– Strengthen the key thematic areas identified in the Pacific Framework for Action – Monitor and evaluate national progress against the targets of these national
action plans.– Reduce duplication of effort and to ensure that assistance is built on the efforts
and experiences of each other
10
National Action Plan (NAP)
• National adaptation of the Regional Framework for Action
• Whole-of-country approach to ensure commitment at national, local and community or village level
• Identify DRR and DM priorities• Develop a 3-year implementation programme
– In line with reporting requirements under the KaliboboRoadmap of the Pacific Plan
• Develop an national indicative programme with specific activities and costs
11
Example from Vanuatu• Theme: Information, Information System and Knowledge
Management • Strategy: Understand hazards, vulnerabilities, and
communities at risk (hazard-scape) as a basis for disaster risk reduction and disaster management
• Action: Conduct hazard and vulnerability assessments, including assessment of potential impacts of particular scale of disaster event on ‘at risk’ communities, for input to sector planning for disaster risk reduction and disaster management.
• Result: Understanding the extent and scale of community vulnerability to hazards, to inform decisions related to DRR&DM.
• Indicator: Adaptation and risk reduction measures implemented.
12
Samoa - Natural Disasters from 1964 - 2005
������� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ��� � � � � �
� � � �� � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ��� � � � � �
� �� �� ! � � � � � " � " # � $ $ � � " � % � � � � � � � � � �
�� � �� � &' � � � $ � � � � � # � � " � " # � $ $ � � " � % � �
( ! � � � � � ) # # � % � � � � � � � � � �
� � �' � � � $ � � � � � # � � ) # # � % � �
��' � � � $ � � ! � � " * � �
* ReportedSource of data: "EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster DatabaseUniversité catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium" / Data version: v06.06
13
Samoa – Recent Events
Damage USD??power lines on Savai'IExtensive tidal damage coastal areasFaleolo International Airport closed during and after cyclone
TC Olaf (2005)
~ US$30 million (about 12% of GDP)[World Bank, 2004]
trees, crops and coastal infrastructure damagedPower, water, transport and other services disruptedseveral houses destroyedno fatalities
TC Heta (2004)
~ USD 4 million[Yeo, 2001]
~ 5,000 affectedFlood (2001)
Estimated Economic Costs (Reported)ImpactsDisaster Type
14
Flood Modelling and Mapping
Flood hydrology• Records of annual maximum flow• >100 years Rainfall intensity data� Model as peak flow (m3/s)Flood modeling • 1-D model – cross sectionsFloodplain mapping• Flood depths and flood hazard map
15
Model of the Vaisigano
River transect across the floodplain using RTK GPS
24.00
23.50
23.00 21.50
21.00
20.00
19.50 18.00
17.00
15.00 13.00
12.00 10.00
8.00
7.00
5.00 4.00
3.00 2.00
0.50
Vaisig 3bridges + 4weirs Plan: 3brdge+4weir 03/08/2006 Cross sections
Leone Bridge
Vaisigano Bridge
Leone Bridge
River flow 1D HEC-RAS
Output of model/CS= water depth, velocity
16
Flood Depth Maps1 in 20 year 1 in 100 year
5,470,500mN
726,000mE 726,500mE
5,469,000mN
5,469,500mN
5,470,000mN
FaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifi
LelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelata
LeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLevili
MalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifa
MaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafou
MotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootua
TufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopa
VaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipuna
VaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisigano
Aai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o Niue
Matautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu Uta
Vaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala Tai
5,470,500mN
726,000mE 726,500mE
5,469,000mN
5,469,500mN
5,470,000mN
FaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifi
LelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelata
LeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLevili
MalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifa
MaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafou
MotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootua
TufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopa
VaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipuna
VaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisigano
Aai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o Niue
Matautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu Uta
Vaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala Tai
Depth of Flooding (m)
0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1.0
1.0 - 2.0
> 2.0
17
Flood Hazard Maps1 in 20 years 1 in 100 years
5,470,500mN
726,000mE 726,500mE
5,469,000mN
5,469,500mN
5,470,000mN
FaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifi
LelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelata
LeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLevili
MalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifa
MaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafou
MotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootua
TufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopa
VaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipuna
VaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisigano
Aai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o Niue
Matautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu Uta
Vaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala Tai
5,470,500mN
726,000mE 726,500mE
5,469,000mN
5,469,500mN
5,470,000mN
FaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuFaatoialemanuLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifi
LelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelata
LeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLevili
MalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifa
MaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafou
MotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootua
TufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopa
VaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipuna
VaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisiganoVaisigano
Aai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o Niue
Matautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu Uta
Vaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala TaiVaiala Tai
Degree of Flood Hazard
Low - Caution
Moderate - Dangerous for children
Signif icant - Dangerous for most people
Extreme - Dangerous for all
Vertical MapperCreate TIN:Flood depth (d)Flood velocity (v)
Grid Tools H = d x v
18
Assessing Flood Risks
35016341 in 100
34215961 in 50
32915361 in 20
29613821 in 5
24411391 in 2
Buildings @ risk(Pacific Cities)
People @ risk(Census)
Return period
• Estimate impacts to people and infrastructure
• Benefit-Cost Analysis
5,470,500m N
726,000m E 726,500m E
5,469,000m N
5,469,500m N
5,470,000m N
Faatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuFaatoia lem anuLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifiLeifiifi
LelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelataLelata
LeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeoneLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLeviliLevili
MalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifaMalifa
MaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafouMaluafou
MotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootuaMotootua
TufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopaTufuiopa
VaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipunaVaipuna
Vais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais iganoVais igano
Aai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o NiueAai o Niue
Matautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu UtaMatautu Uta
Vaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la TaiVaia la Tai
19
Assessing Mitigation Options
• Structural :– Flood walls and
embankments.– By-pass channel.– Upstream flood storage.– Increasing channel
conveyance.– Flood proofing of houses– Improving channel
maintenance.– Pumping.
• Non-Structural– Floodplain zoning &
Development control– Flood forecasting and
warning– Flood insurance– Flood preparedness and
response plans– Public Awareness– Land use change
20
Flood proofing of buildings
• design and construction of buildings. • Raised floor levels above a flood with a
specified return period.
1in 50 year flood level (2% chance of occurring in a year)
Raised floor height
21
����������������� ������������������������������������������ ��
44.382.22
8.070.53
Elevated floor heights:
Existing homesNew homes
1.921.72Improved forecasting system
0.090.01Diversion channel
0.640.11Floodwalls
MaximumMinimumFlood measure
E.g. Estimated for every tala invested in constructing homes with raised floor heights, a minimum WST$2.22 and a maximum of WST$44 is avoided in future flood damages
22
Wave Impacts of TC Heta2004 at Alofi, Niue
22
�Coastal Development Policy
Other activitiesReview of the Niue National Disaster PlanIncluding an operational exercise to testNational, government and village responseplans
23
Landslides Solomon Islands 2007Landslides Solomon Islands 2007
23
Hazard and vulnerability mappingHazard and vulnerability mapping to support to support Earthquake and Tsunami Earthquake and Tsunami -- Recovery and Rehabilitation effortRecovery and Rehabilitation effort
24
Monitoring Coastal Changes
Development planningFeasibility of structural coastal protection,constructing permanent structures near coast
25Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission
Regional DRM Resources Regional DRM Resources
26
Resources
• TA for post disaster assessments• TA for hazard mapping/risk assessment• Support of NAP process • GIS, GPS and remote sensing training• High-resolution satellite imagery• Educational resource materials • Pacific Disaster Net
www.pacificdisaster.net• MapServers• Pacific DRM Training
Programme (TAF/OFD)