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Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

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Page 1: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck
Page 2: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Disclosures/Conflicts

Consulting:

GE Healthcare

Bayer

Abbott

Elan/Janssen

Synarc

Genentech

Merck

Page 3: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

ADNI PET Achievements

Literature-defined prespecified ROIs

Statistically defined ROIs

Multivariate approaches to prediction of conversion/decline

Cross-sectional and longitudinal PIB studies

Biomarker comparisons (PIB-CSF)

Page 4: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Statistically Defined ROIs in AD and MCI for Longitudinal Progression

AD

MCI

12 month trial, 25% treatment effect (power = 0.8, =

0.05, 2-tailed)

61 AD patients/arm

217 MCI patients/arm

Chen et al, Neuroimage 2010

Page 5: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

26 MCI patients with a higher HCI71 MCI patients with a lower HCI

21 MCI patients with a smaller hippo vol76 MCI patients with a larger hippo vol

20 MCI patients with both a higher HCI & smaller hippo vol

38 MCI patients with neither a higher HCI or smaller hippo vol

Chen et al, submitted

Page 6: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Enrollment in ADNI PiB Studies to June 2010(All Data Are Available On The LONI Website)

Baseline – 103 Subjects at 14 PET Sites• NL: 19, 78±5 y/o, MMSE 29±1• MCI: 65, 75±8 y/o, MMSE 27±2• AD: 19, 73±9 y/o, MMSE 22±3

1 Yr Longitudinal Studies – 80 Subjects• NL: 17/19 (89%)• MCI: 50/65 (77%)• AD: 13/19 (68%)

PiB Baseline Entry Times• 20 subjects at ADNI true baseline• 69 subjects at ADNI 12 months• 14 subjects at ADNI 24 months

3 Yr Longitudinal Studies – 2 Subjects

• NL: 2• MCI: 0• AD: 0

2 Yr Longitudinal Studies – 39 Subjects

• NL: 11• MCI: 26• AD: 2

Total 224 PiB Scans

Mathis, Univ Pittsburgh

Page 7: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Baseline PiB

Longitudinal PiB

9/19 Normals PiB+47/65 MCI PiB+17/19 AD PiB+

MCI Converters (1-2 years)

21/47 PiB+ 3/18 PiB-

Mathis, Univ Pittsburgh

Page 8: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Extent of Hypometabolism as a Predictor of MCI Conversion

Timing of conversion

associated with more

hypometabolic voxels

Foster, Univ Utah

Page 9: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

L Angular Gyrus

R Angular Gyrus

R Inf Temporal

Gyrus

L Inf Temporal

Gyrus

Post Cingulate

Gyrus

ROI Generation

Identification of ROIs from voxelwise analyses in the literature

Peak voxels plotted in MNI coordinates, smoothed, thresholded

Page 10: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Jagust et al, Neurology 2009

Page 11: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Landau et al, Neurology 2010

FDG AVLT

Combined = 12 fold higher risk of conversion

Page 12: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Prediction of Cognitive Decline in Normal ADNI Participants

Define normal/abnormal cutoffs using external samples

Classification of each subject as normal/abnormal on each marker

Determine whether normal/abnormal status predicts cognitive change

Page 13: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Participants

92 cognitively normal ADNI participants (FDG-PET, structural MRI, and ApoE genotyping)

Mean followup 2.7 +/- 0.8 yrs

Age 75.8 +/- 4.8 yrsEducation 15.9 +/- 3.2 yrsFemale 39%ApoE4 carriers 23%MMSE 28.9 +/- 1.1

Page 14: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

FDG-PET (UC Berkeley)

Alzheimer’s patients

N = 35Age = 67.2 +/- 10.4

57% Female

Normal older subjects

N = 39Age = 73.1 +/- 5.8

62% Female

Mean FDG ROI uptake (relative to cerebellum/vermis region)

Sensitivity = 90%Specificity = 93%

Page 15: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Hippocampal volumes (UCSF)

Alzheimer’s patients

N = 51Age = 78.6 +/- 8.5

43% Female

Normal older subjects

N = 53Age = 74.3 +/- 7.5

53% Female

Bilateral hippocampal volume (adjusted for total intracranial volume)

Sensitivity = 94%Specificity = 95%

Page 16: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Normals stratified into high/low memory

No association between high/low

performer status and status on any of the

normal/abnormal markers

Neither group showed significant ADAS-cog

change

Median split of normals into high/low performers based on baseline performance on the Auditory Verbal

Learning Test (free recall)

Auditory Verbal Learning Test

Page 17: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

FDG-PET imaging

Baseline

Hippocampal volume

age, sex, education

ApoE4 carrier status

Parameter estimate p-value

1.31 +/- 0.58

ns

0.03

0.99 +/- 0.66 0.03

ADAS-cog decline

Statistical analyses – multivariateLow performers

Abnormal hipp volume and ApoE4 carriers 2.3 pts/yr decline relative to normal

Page 18: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Defining the Technical Sources of Variability in ADNI PET Data

What is the effect of changing scanners in a longitudinal study?

How variable are longitudinal measurements on different scanners?

How does instrument variation compare to site variation?

What is the effect of processing on variation?

Page 19: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Effects of Scanner Switch in a Longitudinal Study

Rate of FDG Change (in ROI)

Normals MCI AD

Stable Switch Switch SwitchStable Stable

Page 20: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

Variability by Scanner

Normal MCI AD

SD of Rate of Change

HRRT

616

7

2

2

Page 21: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

The Future: ADNI2 and GO

Cross-sectional and longitudinal studies of A deposition with AV-45

Comparison with other biomarkers in prediction/multivariate approaches

Comparison with other biomarkers as outcomes

Replication of statistical ROI approach using identical ROI

Further investigate sources of variability

Page 22: Disclosures/Conflicts Consulting: GE Healthcare Bayer Abbott Elan/Janssen Synarc Genentech Merck

AcknowledgementsSusan LandauBob KoeppeEric ReimanKewei ChenChet Mathis

The ADNI Executive Committee, Site Investigators, ParticipantsNational Institute on Aging/Neil Buckholtz

ISAB Alzheimer’s Association

Julie PriceNorman FosterDan BandyDanielle HarveyNorbert SchuffMike Weiner