1
! Beltsville 0.68 Padonia 0.3 Fairhill 0.95 Aldino 0.7 Edgewood 0.77 Essex 0.79 HCHO Fairhill Beltsville 1 Padonia 0.86 Fairhill 0.82 Aldino 0.51 Edgewood 0.42 Essex 0.48 HCHO Beltsville Beltsville 0.42 Padonia 0.69 Fairhill 1 Aldino 0.75 Edgewood 0.82 Essex 0.85 HCHO Chesapeake Bay Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1 Beltsville 0.68 Padonia 0.77 Fairhill 0.14 Aldino 0.71 Edgewood 0.22 Essex 0.62 NO2 Padonia Beltsville 0.23 Padonia 0.15 Fairhill 0.06 Aldino 0.01 Edgewood 0.42 Essex 0.39 NO2 Chesapeake Bay Beltsville 0 Padonia 0.26 Fairhill 0.86 Aldino 0.32 Edgewood 0.12 Essex 0.03 NO2 Fairhill Beltsville 0.95 Padonia 0.19 Fairhill 0.12 Aldino 0.41 Edgewood 0.24 Essex 0.59 NO2 Beltsville Notice: Chesapeake Bay samples show more isolation of lowest levels and lower correlation. Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1 Relevant horizontal resolution for O 3 can be rather coarse in many (!) instances. Relevant horizontal resolution for NO 2 and HCHO is finer. 2 3 . 2 0.2-1.2 km average NO2 NO Color-codes are shown left on spirals map Previous Motivating Results: Chatfield and EssweinAtmos. Environ, 2012, shows that 0-3 km layer-average ozone often provides excellent estimates of near-surface “relevant” O 3 in a 0.1-0.5 layer. Correlation coefficients, r , shown below, range from ca. 0.79 to 0.94. Low r values occur in regions of known strong layering. Data came from O 3 -sondes launched by NASA (A. Thompson et al. ), NOAA (S.Oltmans et al.), and Environment Canada (D. Tarasick et al.). However, many stations were rural and the variability of retrieval skill/relevance in a complex urbanized setting could not be explored. 3 2 1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 z, km What can be sensed remotely What is relevant to air pollution concerns Differential advection may change air composition Daytime convec- tive eddies Nocturnal shear- driven eddies Subsidence and calm may allow minimal change in air composition time Noon Noon Noon MN MN MN MN Residual layer top Mixed layer top Relative calm and subsidence conditions 0 1 2 3 4 5 1000 800 600 400 200 Sensitivity: cumulative DoFS from surface Pressure, hPa Ultraviolet+Infrared Ultraviolet+Visbile UV, Vis, and IR ° ° ° Infrared 39.8 39.6 Fairhill 39.4 Padonia Aldino 39.2 Beltsville Edgewood Essex 39.0 38.8 -77.0 -76.8 -76.6 -76.4 -76.2 -76.0 -75.8 -75.6 Washington DC Downwind Suburb Doubled (Internal) BL: due to Bay Breeze Rural: out of plumes Quick characterizaDon of sites relaDve to metropolitan area. ColorGcodes are used below to idenDfy local influences on HCHO and NO 2 . Time%sequence of ver0cal climbs and descents … all day. Color%coded. 6:30 AM: Scien0sts going on%board P%3B aircraD for the day’s measurements take dramamine against air%sickness. DISCOVER-AQ: D eriving I nformation on S urface C onditions from CO lumn and VE rtically R esolved O bservations R elevant to A ir Q uality, Hundreds of aircraft profiles around an urbanized region area • reveal smog in detail and provide a testbed for retrieabality studies and relevance. Near-surface pollution is one of the most challenging problems for Earth observations from space… Investigation Rationale Near-surface information must be inferred from column-integrated quantities obtained by passive remote sensing from downward-looking satellite instruments. Some constituents have large relative concentrations in the stratosphere and/or free troposphere (e.g., O 3 and NO 2 ) making it difficult to distinguish the near-surface contribution to the total column. 22 Height of the box matters It matters about how well the pollution is mixed From space, the size of the measurement pixel matters If we knew these well, ground concentrations would relate well to space measurements The DISCOVER-AQ airborne study repeatedly made spirals over various urban, industrial, transportation, and rural sites in detail around the Baltimore-Washington area in July, 2011. We compare mixing ratios appropriately averaged for thin layers at the bottom of the spirals, 0.2-0.5 km, the relevant, with those over a deeper layer, “the retrievable,” which, for O 3 , was over a 0.2-3.0 altitude. For NO 2 and HCHO, the region 0.2 – 1.2 km was found during the study to be more appropriate, based on observed patterns rather than retrievability studies — these species were limited to lower altidtudes. O3 (ppb) (Weinheimer) layer mean Time range: 4.0 to 18.0 hrs EST Time bin (for each flight): 120 minutes 20 40 60 80 100 0.0 to 3.0 km 20 40 60 80 100 0.2 to 0.5 km Corr 0.93 0 km 20 ppb 75 ppb 120 ppb 1 km 2 km 3 km 1 2 5 10 11 14 16 20 21 22 26 27 28 29 Ozone profiles DISCOVER-AQ 1-29 July 2011 0-3 km 20-120 ppbv Daily obs in yellow All profiles in gray 0 km 20 ppb 75 ppb 120 ppb 1 km 2 km 3 km 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 0-3 km average HCHO 0.2-0.5 km average HCHO overall: r = 0.79 HCHO deep-layer to near sfc conversions vary consistently by location Beltsville Padonia Fairhill Aldino Edgewood Essex Highway Chesapeake Bay UMBC 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 0-3 km average NO2 0.2-1.2 km average NO2 overall: r = 0.97 Good representation of PBL except near sources, with Bay Breeze Beltsville Padonia Fairhill Aldino Edgewood Essex Highway Chesapeake Bay UMBC 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 0-3 km average NO2 0.2-0.5 km average NO2 overall: r = 0.85 scattered NO2 deep-layer to 0.2-0.5 km relations despite good representation of PBL Beltsville Padonia Fairhill Aldino Edgewood Essex Highway Chesapeake Bay UMBC Beltsville 0.68 Padonia 0.77 Fairhill 0.14 Aldino 0.71 Edgewood 0.22 Essex 0.62 NO2 Padonia Beltsville 0.23 Padonia 0.15 Fairhill 0.06 Aldino 0.01 Edgewood 0.42 Essex 0.39 NO2 Chesapeake Bay Beltsville 0 Padonia 0.26 Fairhill 0.86 Aldino 0.32 Edgewood 0.12 Essex 0.03 NO2 Fairhill Beltsville 0.95 Padonia 0.19 Fairhill 0.12 Aldino 0.41 Edgewood 0.24 Essex 0.59 NO2 Beltsville How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? NO 2 correlation drops rapidly with distance, although better correlations result if 0–1.2 km averages may be used. The latter layer appears to be most significant for daily smog ozone production and loss, although ozone itself is correlated up to deeper layers, e.g. 3 km. Notice: Chesapeake Bay samples show more isolation of lowest levels and lower correlation. Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1 Beltsville 0.68 Padonia 0.3 Fairhill 0.95 Aldino 0.7 Edgewood 0.77 Essex 0.79 HCHO Fairhill Beltsville 1 Padonia 0.86 Fairhill 0.82 Aldino 0.51 Edgewood 0.42 Essex 0.48 HCHO Beltsville Beltsville 0.42 Padonia 0.69 Fairhill 1 Aldino 0.75 Edgewood 0.82 Essex 0.85 HCHO Chesapeake Bay How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? The drop of HCHO spatial correlation is less significant than NO 2 ; proximity tends to increase the correlation, but features like the Chesapeake-to-Fairhill correlation are unexplained. Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1 NO 2 4ºx8º DISCOVER-AQ AIRBORNE MEASUREMENTS QUANTIFY HOW SATELLITE-RETRIEVABLE BECOMES HEALTH-RELEVANT SMOG OZONE AND ITS FORMATION HCHO Beltsville 0.33 Padonia 0.61 Fairhill 0.55 Aldino 0.47 Edgewood 0.41 Essex 0.54 O3 Chesapeake Bay Beltsville 0.88 Padonia 0.83 Fairhill 0.87 Aldino 0.92 Edgewood 0.96 Essex 0.91 O3 Edgewood Beltsville 0.84 Padonia 0.8 Fairhill 0.93 Aldino 0.89 Edgewood 0.83 Essex 0.75 O3 Fairhill Blue%red scale runs from 0 to 1. ude (ft) 8000 10000 Beltsville Padonia Fairhill Aldino Ed d DISCOVER-AQ 10July 2011 Pressure Altitu 2000 4000 6000 Edgewood Essex CO 2 (ppmv) 370 380 390 400 410 0 2000 5 6 7 1 1 2 4 5 12 5 Red numeral shows the number of ground stations with excedances: July had the most: 12 of 15 stations Symbol connects flight day with scatterplot values for O 3 shown below left Excedance days: thanks to J. Hains, MD Dept. of Environ. The Challenge: remote sensing gives lower tropospheric information, but air pollution concerns emphasize near-surface concentrations. These can differ. Is the “retrievable” (possible) actually relevant to air pollution/health concerns? We find: Unusually informative maps showing health-relevant surface smog pollution may be expected from developing multi-wavelength retrievals from space, e.g., in upcoming missions being planned by the United States “TEMPO” (launch 2018, and “GEO-CAPE”, implemented 2021) and by European and Asian agencies. The key is that ozone and its precursors are vertically correlated in layers deep enough that to allow be, at least when appropriate situation-to- situation correlations are computed. Also: concentrations in the lower troposphere tend to mirror 0.2 – 1 km concentrations. This may be due to lofting and dilution of fresh influences. Use of simple meteorological understandings and site-knowledge improve the accuracy of the correlation analysis. We also assert: Concentrations of O 3 and NO 2 at surface monitors may be so influenced by local sources (e.g., a congested traffic intersection) that they are less relevant to ozone production and general ozone levels of a region than PBL averages. Even with the development of sophisticated new algorithms combining UV and Visible wavelengths, TEMPO aspires to a precision of ±10 ppb in the region 0–2 km (K. Chance personal communication), and with fully resolved (integrated DoFS from surface up) layers closer to 3 km deep, as shown in Chafield and Esswein (Atmos. Environ., 2012) and Natraj et al. (Atmos. Environ., 2011). These estimates are useful for North American situations near sea level, excluding the Intermountain West and Front Range. These are the encouraging results from the “DISCOVER- AQ” studies of July, 2012. They reinforce the conclusions of Chatfield and Esswein, 2012. Relevant: We chose as relevant a region 200–500 m based on (a) the practical fact that this was the lowest region in which the DISCOVER-AQ made measurements (see the typical flight altitude graph) and (b) the that these pollutants decay significantly altitude above ~1.2 or 1.5 km. (c) The choice of the lower 200–500 m layer focuses on concentrations that • describe well a well-mixed region during high-PBL-top afternoon periods • describe the near-surface concentrations during lower-PBL-top periods • describe a region with sufficient mass to be relevant to transport-and-chemistry evaluations of PBL concentrations. TEMPO is an exciting developmental stage that opens opportunites for the GEO-CAPE mission, Proposed NASA Geostationary satellite: C A P E : Coastal and Air Pollution E vents Air Pollution Instruments: UV-Vis Spectrometer: O 3 , NO 2 , HCHO, SO 2 , Aerosol (PM 2.5 ) Solar-IR: CO, CH 4 . Thermal IR: O 3 , NH 3 , … Shown in the figure are estimates of resolution of successive independent layers starting at sea level. TEMPO will have capabilities that exceed those shown in the orange (Ultraviolet+Visible) line above. It exploits the uniquely large sensitivity of the visible due to Rayleigh scattering in regions very near sea level (note rapid increase of orange line). Are these layers informative for nose-level ozone? In our comparisons, we will integrate the ozone in the aircraft soundings to give estimates of what the satellite can resolve (the retrievable layer, shown in yellow) and the layer or air pollution relevance (the relevant layer. shown in green). We then examine the correlations of these layer's averaged ozone amounts and find them useful and reasonable in light of simple meteorology. (3) Now correlate the deep-column averaged mixing ratio (retrievable) at one station (the circled one) to the shallow (relavant) correlation at all stations, including distant ones. Notice the large horizontal correlation scales of O 3 (despite the many variations seen in the profiles above). Note also the rapid fall-off of correlation for NO 2 . HCHO shows similar but less dramatic fall-off of correlation, and also shows some weather response like O 3 . Denver ... most of conven.onally polluted USA deeper layer P(O 3 )~ f ( j HCHO->rads x HCHO , NO ) HCHO and j HCHO->rads are measurable (j is ~ UV reflected radiation) NO derivable from NO 2 , O 3 , if O 3 is known! Can we measure smog ozone production from space? [NO] = j NO2 / ( k N [O 3 ] + k H [HO 2 ] ) Most likely, satellite instruments provide checksums on models, showing that vertical integrals of key precursors are understood, … or not A caricature: how complex it can be How simple it can be small correction (1) Main variations in ozone correlations are due to weather , day to dayl Days alternate in mixing deeply and responding to subsidence. Match symbols on scatterplot and "swarm" profiles above to confirm the effects of weather. (2) Main variations in NOx and HCHO correlations are due to geographical location, with regions experiencing Bay breezes and similar air-mass transitions showing lower, ... or different, correlations. This agrees with the findings in Chatfield and Esswein (2012) regarding a similar analysis of cities near the Great Lakes or the Western coastline, also with low correlation. How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? Maps below show the correlation coefficient between 0–3 km “retrievable” average at the circled location and the 0.2–0.5 km average at other spiral locations. While correlations over land are high, diminishing with distance, correlations with the 0.2–0.5 km average for samples over the Chesapeake Bay are small. Conclusions: > Satellite retrieval methods are useful in determining ozone and ozone-producing chemicals for regions determining general surface-level conditions, even if they do not resolve very local variations due to surface- layer emissions. > Extended observations: Geostationary satellite sensing allows even better inference based on analysis of, e.g., time-of-day (mixed-layer growth) variations if the meteorology of mixing can be brought in. Characterizations of the lower 1–2 km are typical of the whole budget of a day’s pollutant loading, including significant material in the “residual layer” above early morning mixing tops. This large mass of pollutant is essentially unmeasured by surface monitors. > Satellite missions such as the upcoming TEMPO EV-I mission and the proposed US mission GEO-CAPE can provide considerably more information useful for environmental analysis and indicate the most economic modes of amelioration of smog air pollution. > Correlations of layer-averages of O 3 and HCHO in the horizontal provide significant information beyond the "footprint" sampling area of a satellite (up to 20 km for O 3 ) in many situations, although land-water boundaries can interrupt this correlation. Results are consistent with the ozonesond studies, mostly non-urban, reported by Chatfield and Esswein (Atmospheric Environment, 2012) > However, the more reactive species nitrogen dioxide and formaldehyde tend always to require much more detailed geographical sampling. > Useful quantitative estimates of the layer-mean ozone chemical production rate P 0 (O 3 ) also appear possible, since organic reactivity and NO concentrations may be inferred from products measurable by remote sensing. > Large areas of the United States suffering from ozone above 70–75 ppb, the high-altitude West, are not sampled well according to theory developed so far. They lack sufficient Rayleigh scattering for effective visible-band response due to their altitude. > TEMPO should provide remarkable pollution data relevant to health, but the EV-I mission inherently cannot rise to answer the questions that they raise. Fortunately, these answers can now be more economically answered with modest added research and then added remote-sensing instrumentation. Colored profiles show growth of PBL and pollution during one day. Robert F. Esswein 1,2 , Robert B Chatfield 2 , James H Crawford 3 , Andrew Weinheimer 4 , Alan Fried 5 , John D W Barrick 3 1. Bay Area Environmental Reasearch Institute, Moffett Field , CA, United States. 2. Atmospheric Science, NASA (Ames), Moffett Field, CA, United States. 3. NASA (Langley), Hampton, VA, VA, United States. 4. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States. 5. Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States. This comparison shows that the average of detailed pollutant concentrations in the equations to the left is very close to the calculations made with column averages, for 3-km averages. Hence satellite retrievals may be used to estimate ozone chemical production. Ozone chemical production rate calculated using organic reactivity and NO concentrations following Chatfield et al, Atmos. Environ. 2010, and 2013 (submitted this month). P3-B spirals (helices) shown right and sample ozone profiles left.

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!

Beltsville 0.68

Padonia 0.3

Fairhill 0.95

Aldino 0.7

Edgewood 0.77

Essex 0.79

HCHO Fairhill

Beltsville 1

Padonia 0.86

Fairhill 0.82

Aldino 0.51

Edgewood 0.42

Essex 0.48

HCHO Beltsville

Beltsville −0.42

Padonia −0.69

Fairhill 1

Aldino 0.75

Edgewood 0.82

Essex 0.85

HCHO Chesapeake Bay

How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used?The drop of HCHO spatial correlation is less significant than NO2; proximity tends to increase the correlation, but features like the Chesapeake-to-Fairhill correlation are

unexplained.

Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1

Beltsville 0.68

Padonia 0.77

Fairhill 0.14

Aldino 0.71

Edgewood 0.22

Essex 0.62

NO2 Padonia

Beltsville 0.23

Padonia −0.15

Fairhill −0.06

Aldino −0.01

Edgewood −0.42

Essex 0.39

NO2 Chesapeake Bay

Beltsville 0

Padonia 0.26

Fairhill 0.86

Aldino 0.32

Edgewood −0.12

Essex −0.03

NO2 Fairhill

Beltsville 0.95

Padonia 0.19

Fairhill −0.12

Aldino 0.41

Edgewood 0.24

Essex 0.59

NO2 Beltsville

How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used?NO correlation drops rapidly with distance, although better correlations result if 0–1.2 km averages

may be used. The latter layer appears to be most significant for daily smog ozone production and loss, although ozone itself is correlated up to deeper layers, e.g. 3 km.

Notice: Chesapeake Bay samples show more isolation of lowest levels and lower correlation.

Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1

Relevant horizontal resolution for O3 can be rather coarse in many (!) instances. Relevant horizontal resolution for NO2 and HCHO is finer.

2

3.

2

0.2-1.2 km average NO2

NO2

Color-codes are shown left on spirals map

Previous Motivating Results:Chatfield and EssweinAtmos. Environ, 2012, shows that 0-3 km layer-average ozone often provides excellent estimates of near-surface “relevant” O3 in a 0.1-0.5 layer. Correlation coefficients, r, shown below, range from ca. 0.79 to 0.94. Low r values occur in regions of known strong layering. Data came from O3-sondes launched by NASA (A. Thompson et al. ),

NOAA (S.Oltmans et al.), and Environment Canada (D. Tarasick et al.). However, many stations were rural and the variability of retrieval skill/relevance in a complex urbanized setting could not be explored.

3

2

1

0.2

0.5

0.2

0.50.5

z, km

What can be sensedremotely

What is relevantto air pollutionconcerns

Differentialadvectionmay changeair composition

Daytime convec-tive eddies

Nocturnal shear-driven eddies

Subsidence and calm may allow minimal change in air composition

timeNoon Noon NoonMN MN MN MN

Residual layer top

Mixed layer top

Relative calm and subsidence conditions

0 1 2 3 4 5

1000

800

600

400

200

Sensitivity: cumulative DoFS from surface

Pre

ssur

e, h

Pa

Ultraviolet+Infrared/Ultraviolet+Visbile/

UV,/Vis,/and/IR/°/°/°/

Infrared/

39.8

2011Ͳ07Ͳ02�RF02�Loop�2

39.6

Fairhill

39.4

Padonia

Aldino

39.2

Beltsville Edgewood

Essex

39.0

38.8

-77.0 -76.8 -76.6 -76.4 -76.2 -76.0 -75.8 -75.60 6 8 6 6 6 6 6 0 5 8 5 6

Washington*DC!

*Downwind*Suburb!

*Doubled**(Internal)*BL:*due*to*Bay*Breeze!

*Rural:*out*of*plumes!

Quick*characterizaDon*of*sites*relaDve*to*metropolitan*area.*ColorGcodes*are*used*below*to*idenDfy*local*influences*on*HCHO*and*NO2.**

Time%sequence+of+ver0cal+climbs+and+descents+…+all+day.+Color%coded.++

6:30+AM:+Scien0sts+going+on%board+P%3B+aircraD+for+the+day’s+measurements++take+dramamine+against+air%sickness.++

DISCOVER-AQ: Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from COlumn and VErtically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality, Hundreds of aircraft profiles around an urbanized region area • reveal smog in detail and provide a testbed for retrieabality studies and relevance. Near-surface pollution is one of the most challenging problems for Earth

observations from space…

Investigation Rationale

Near-surface information must be inferred from column-integrated quantities obtained by passive remote sensing from downward-looking satellite instruments.

Some constituents have large relative concentrations in the stratosphere and/or free troposphere (e.g., O3 and NO2) making it difficult to distinguish the near-surface contribution to the total column.

22

Height of the box matters

It matters about how well the pollution is mixed

From space, the size of the measurement pixel matters

If we knew these well, ground concentrations would relate well to space measurements

The DISCOVER-AQ airborne study repeatedly made spirals over various urban,

industrial, transportation, and rural sites in detail around the Baltimore-Washington area

in July, 2011. We compare mixing ratios appropriately averaged for thin layers at the

bottom of the spirals, 0.2-0.5 km, the relevant, with those over a deeper layer, “the

retrievable,” which, for O3, was over a 0.2-3.0 altitude. For NO2 and HCHO, the region

0.2 – 1.2 km was found during the study to be more appropriate, based on observed

patterns rather than retrievability studies — these species were limited to lower

altidtudes.!

O3 (ppb) (Weinheimer) layer meanTime range: 4.0 to 18.0 hrs EST

Time bin (for each flight): 120 minutes

20 40 60 80 1000.0 to 3.0 km

20

40

60

80

100

0.2

to 0

.5 k

m

Corr 0.93

1 2 5 10

11 14 16

20 21 22

26 27 28 29

Ozone profiles DISCOVER-AQ 1-29 July 2011 0-3 km 20-120 ppbv Daily obs in yellow All profiles in gray

0 km

20 ppb 75 ppb 120 ppb

1 km

2 km

3 km1 2 5 10

11 14 16

20 21 22

26 27 28 29

Ozone profiles DISCOVER-AQ 1-29 July 2011 0-3 km 20-120 ppbv Daily obs in yellow All profiles in gray

0 km

20 ppb 75 ppb 120 ppb

1 km

2 km

3 km

0 2 4 6 8 10

02

46

810

0-3 km average HCHO

0.2-

0.5

km a

vera

ge H

CH

O overall: r = 0.79

HCHO deep-layer to near sfc conversions vary consistently by location

BeltsvillePadoniaFairhillAldinoEdgewoodEssexHighwayChesapeake BayUMBC

0 5 10 15 20 25

05

1015

2025

0-3 km average NO2

0.2-

1.2

km a

vera

ge N

O2 overall: r = 0.97

Good representation of PBL except near sources, with Bay Breeze

BeltsvillePadoniaFairhillAldinoEdgewoodEssexHighwayChesapeake BayUMBC

0 5 10 15 20 25

05

1015

2025

0-3 km average NO2

0.2-

0.5

km a

vera

ge N

O2 overall: r = 0.85

scattered NO2 deep-layer to 0.2-0.5 km relations despite good representation of PBL

BeltsvillePadoniaFairhillAldinoEdgewoodEssexHighwayChesapeake BayUMBC

Beltsville 0.68

Padonia 0.77

Fairhill 0.14

Aldino 0.71

Edgewood 0.22

Essex 0.62

NO2 Padonia

Beltsville 0.23

Padonia −0.15

Fairhill −0.06

Aldino −0.01

Edgewood −0.42

Essex 0.39

NO2 Chesapeake Bay

Beltsville 0

Padonia 0.26

Fairhill 0.86

Aldino 0.32

Edgewood −0.12

Essex −0.03

NO2 Fairhill

Beltsville 0.95

Padonia 0.19

Fairhill −0.12

Aldino 0.41

Edgewood 0.24

Essex 0.59

NO2 Beltsville

How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? NO2 correlation drops rapidly with distance, although better correlations result if 0–1.2 km averages

may be used. The latter layer appears to be most significant for daily smog ozone production and loss,

although ozone itself is correlated up to deeper layers, e.g. 3 km.!

Notice: Chesapeake Bay samples show more

isolation of lowest levels and lower correlation.

Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1

Beltsville 0.68

Padonia 0.3

Fairhill 0.95

Aldino 0.7

Edgewood 0.77

Essex 0.79

HCHO Fairhill

Beltsville 1

Padonia 0.86

Fairhill 0.82

Aldino 0.51

Edgewood 0.42

Essex 0.48

HCHO Beltsville

Beltsville −0.42

Padonia −0.69

Fairhill 1

Aldino 0.75

Edgewood 0.82

Essex 0.85

HCHO Chesapeake Bay

How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? The drop of HCHO spatial correlation is less significant than NO2; proximity tends to increase the correlation, but features like the Chesapeake-to-Fairhill correlation are unexplained.!

Blue-red scale runs from –1 to 1

NO2!

4ºx8º%

DISCOVER-AQ AIRBORNE MEASUREMENTS QUANTIFY HOW SATELLITE-RETRIEVABLE BECOMES HEALTH-RELEVANT

SMOG OZONE AND ITS FORMATION

HCHO !

Beltsville 0.33

Padonia 0.61

Fairhill 0.55

Aldino 0.47

Edgewood 0.41

Essex 0.54

O3 Chesapeake Bay

Beltsville 0.88

Padonia 0.83

Fairhill 0.87

Aldino 0.92

Edgewood 0.96

Essex 0.91

O3 Edgewood

Beltsville 0.84

Padonia 0.8

Fairhill 0.93

Aldino 0.89

Edgewood 0.83

Essex 0.75

O3 Fairhill

Blue%red(scale(runs(from(0(to(1.!

ude

(ft) 8000

10000

BeltsvillePadoniaFairhillAldinoEd d

DISCOVER-AQ 10July 2011

Pre

ssur

e A

ltitu

2000

4000

6000 EdgewoodEssex

CO2 (ppmv)370 380 390 400 410

0

2000

5

6 7

1 1 2

4

5 12 5

Red numeral shows the number of ground stations with excedances: July had the most: 12 of 15 stations

Symbol connects flight day with scatterplot values for O3 shown below left

Excedance days: thanks to J. Hains, MD Dept. of Environ.

The Challenge: remote sensing gives lower tropospheric information, but air pollution concerns emphasize near-surface concentrations. These can differ.

Is the “retrievable” (possible) actually relevant to air pollution/health concerns?

We find:Unusually informative maps showing health-relevant surface smog

pollution may be expected from developing multi-wavelength retrievals from space, e.g., in upcoming missions being planned by the United States “TEMPO” (launch 2018, and “GEO-CAPE”, implemented 2021) and by European and Asian agencies.

The key is that ozone and its precursors are vertically correlated in layers deep enough that to allow be, at least when appropriate situation-to-situation correlations are computed.

Also: concentrations in the lower troposphere tend to mirror 0.2 – 1 km concentrations. This may be due to lofting and dilution of fresh influences.

Use of simple meteorological understandings and site-knowledge improve the accuracy of the correlation analysis.

We also assert: Concentrations of O3 and NO2 at surface monitors may be

so influenced by local sources (e.g., a congested traffic intersection) that they are less relevant to ozone production and general ozone levels of a region than PBL averages.

Even with the development of sophisticated new algorithms combining UV and Visible wavelengths, TEMPO aspires to a precision of ±10 ppb in the region 0–2 km (K. Chance personal communication), and with fully resolved (integrated DoFS from surface up) layers closer to 3 km deep, as shown in Chafield and Esswein (Atmos. Environ., 2012) and Natraj et al. (Atmos. Environ., 2011). These estimates are useful for North American situations near sea level, excluding the Intermountain West and Front Range.

These are the encouraging results from the “DISCOVER- AQ” studies of July, 2012. They reinforce the conclusions of Chatfield and Esswein, 2012.

Relevant:We chose as relevant a region 200–500 m based on (a) the practical fact that this was the lowest region in which the DISCOVER-AQ made measurements (see the typical flight altitude graph) and (b) the that these pollutants decay significantly altitude above ~1.2 or 1.5 km. (c) The choice of the lower 200–500 m layer focuses on concentrations that • describe well a well-mixed region during high-PBL-top afternoon periods • describe the near-surface concentrations during lower-PBL-top periods• describe a region with sufficient mass to be relevant to transport-and-chemistry evaluations of PBL concentrations.

TEMPO is an exciting developmental stage that opens opportunites for theGEO-CAPE mission, Proposed NASA Geostationary satellite: C A P E : Coastal and Air Pollution EventsAir Pollution Instruments: UV-Vis Spectrometer: O3, NO2, HCHO, SO2, Aerosol

(PM2.5) Solar-IR: CO, CH4. Thermal IR: O3, NH3, …

Shown in the figure are estimates of resolution of successive independent layers starting at sea level. TEMPO will have capabilities that exceed those shown in the orange (Ultraviolet+Visible) line above. It exploits the uniquely large sensitivity of the visible due to Rayleigh scattering in regions very near sea level (note rapid increase of orange line). Are these layers informative for nose-level ozone?

In our comparisons, we will integrate the ozone in the aircraft soundings to give estimates of what the satellite can resolve (the retrievable layer, shown in yellow) and the layer or air pollution relevance (the relevant layer. shown in green). We then examine the correlations of these layer's averaged ozone amounts and find them useful and reasonable in light of simple meteorology.

(3) Now correlate the deep-column averaged mixing ratio (retrievable) at one station (the circled one) to the shallow (relavant) correlation at all stations, including distant ones. Notice the large horizontal correlation scales of O3 (despite the many variations

seen in the profiles above). Note also the rapid fall-off of correlation for NO2. HCHO

shows similar but less dramatic fall-off of correlation, and also shows some weather response like O3.

Denver&...

most&of&conven.onally&polluted&USA

deeperlayer •  P(O3)~ f ( jHCHO->rads x HCHO , NO ) !

•  HCHO and jHCHO->rads are !measurable !

(j is ~ UV reflected radiation) "•  NO derivable from NO2, O3, "•  if O3 is known!"

Can we measure smog ozone production from space?

![NO] =

jNO2 / ( kN[O3] + kH[HO2] )

Most likely, satellite instruments provide checksums on models, showing that vertical integrals of key precursors are understood, … or not"

A caricature: how complex it can be "

How simple it can be "

small correction"

(1) Main variations in ozone correlations are due to weather, day to dayl Days alternate in mixing deeply and responding to subsidence. Match symbols on scatterplot and "swarm" profiles above to confirm the effects of weather.

(2) Main variations in NOx and HCHO correlations are due to geographical location, with regions experiencing Bay breezes and similar air-mass transitions showing lower, ... or different, correlations. This agrees with the findings in Chatfield and Esswein (2012) regarding a similar analysis of cities near the Great Lakes or the Western coastline, also with low correlation.

How far away from the retrieved site can this layer average be used? Maps below show the correlation coefficient between 0–3 km “retrievable” average at the circled location and the 0.2–0.5 km average at other spiral locations. While correlations over land are high, diminishing with distance, correlations with the 0.2–0.5 km average for samples over the Chesapeake Bay are small.

Conclusions:&

> Satellite retrieval methods are useful in determining ozone and ozone-producing chemicals for regions determining general surface-level conditions, even if they do not resolve very local variations due to surface-layer emissions. > Extended observations: Geostationary satellite sensing allows even better inference based on analysis of, e.g., time-of-day (mixed-layer growth) variations if the meteorology of mixing can be brought in. Characterizations of the lower 1–2 km are typical of the whole budget of a day’s pollutant loading, including significant material in the “residual layer” above early morning mixing tops. This large mass of pollutant is essentially unmeasured by surface monitors.

> Satellite missions such as the upcoming TEMPO EV-I mission and the proposed US mission GEO-CAPE can provide considerably more information useful for environmental analysis and indicate the most economic modes of amelioration of smog air pollution.> Correlations of layer-averages of O3 and HCHO in the horizontal provide significant information beyond the "footprint" sampling area of a satellite (up to 20 km for O3) in many situations, although land-water boundaries can interrupt this correlation. Results are consistent with the ozonesond studies, mostly non-urban, reported by Chatfield and Esswein (Atmospheric Environment, 2012)> However, the more reactive species nitrogen dioxide and formaldehyde tend always to require much more detailed geographical sampling.

> Useful quantitative estimates of the layer-mean ozone chemical production rate P0(O3) also appear possible, since organic reactivity and NO concentrations may be inferred from products measurable by remote sensing.

> Large areas of the United States suffering from ozone above 70–75 ppb, the high-altitude West, are not sampled well according to theory developed so far. They lack sufficient Rayleigh scattering for effective visible-band response due to their altitude.

> TEMPO should provide remarkable pollution data relevant to health, but the EV-I mission inherently cannot rise to answer the questions that they raise. Fortunately, these answers can now be more economically answered with modest added research and then added remote-sensing instrumentation.

Colored profiles show growth of PBL and pollution during one day.

Robert F. Esswein1,2, Robert B Chatfield2, James H Crawford3,

Andrew Weinheimer4, Alan Fried5, John D W Barrick3

1. Bay Area Environmental Reasearch Institute, Moffett Field , CA, United States.

2. Atmospheric Science, NASA (Ames), Moffett Field, CA, United States.3. NASA (Langley), Hampton, VA, VA, United States.4. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States.

5. Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States.

This comparison shows that theaverage of detailed pollutant concentrations in the equations to the left is very close to the calculations made with column averages, for 3-km averages. Hence satellite retrievals may be used to estimate ozone chemical production.

Ozone chemical production rate calculated using organic reactivity and NO concentrations following Chatfield et al, Atmos. Environ. 2010, and 2013 (submitted this month).

P3-B spirals (helices) shown right and sample ozone profiles left.