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Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan”. Sept 2, 2010. 3G Has a Strong Evolution Path LTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path. Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services. Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity. CDMA2000 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan”
Sept 2, 2010
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3G Has a Strong Evolution PathLTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path
LTE
Rel-8 Rel-10
LTE Advanced
Rel-9
2010 2012+
Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capacity
Created 04/06/10
CDMA2000
1X Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data
DO AdvancedRev. A
EV-DO Rev. BEV-DORel. 0
Rel-9Rel-7 Rel-8
HSPA
Rel-5 Rel-6
WCDMA
Rel-99
1X Advanced
HSPA+Rel-10 & Beyond
HSPA+
H/W upgradeMulticarrier
2011
Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices
Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services
LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum
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3G Has a Strong Evolution PathLTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path
LTERel-8 Rel-10
LTE AdvancedRel-9
2010 2012+
Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capacity
CDMA2000
1X Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data
DO AdvancedRev. A
EV-DO Rev. BEV-DORel. 0
Rel-9Rel-7 Rel-8
HSPA
Rel-5 Rel-6
WCDMA
Rel-99
1X Advanced
HSPA+Rel-10 & Beyond
HSPA+
H/W upgradeMulticarrier
2011
Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices
Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services
4x increase compared to today’s voice capacity
Best in class voice capacity
DL: 3.1 MbpsUL: 1.8 Mbps
DL: 2.4 MbpsUL: 153 kbps
DL: 14.7 Mbps2
UL: 5.4 MbpsDL: 19.6 Mbps3 and beyondUL: 7.2 Mbps3 and beyond
DL: 9.3 Mbps1
UL: 5.4 Mbps
DL: 384 kbpsUL: 384 kbps
DL: 1.8-14.4 MbpsUL: 384 kbps
DL: 1.8-14.4 MbpsUL: 5.7 Mbps
DL: 28 MbpsUL: 11 Mbps
DL: 42 Mbps4
UL: 11 MbpsDL: 84 Mbps5 (10 MHz)UL: 23 Mbps5 (10 MHz)
DL: 73 – 150 Mbps6 (10 MHz – 20 MHz)UL: 36 – 75 Mbps6 (10 MHz – 20 MHz)
1Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers supported by initial implementation. 2Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with 64QAM in the DL. Rev. B standard supports up to 15 aggregated EV-DO carriers.3DO Advanced peak rate for 4 Rev. B carriers with 64 QAM in DL4R8 will reach 42 Mbps by combining 2x2 MIMO and HOM (64QAM) in 5 MHz, or by utilizing HOM (64QAM) and multicarrier in 10 MHz. 5R9 combines multicarrier and MIMO in 10 MHz to reach 84 Mbps. Uplink multicarrier doubles uplink peak data rate to 23 Mbps in 10 MHz. 6Peak rates for 10 and 20 MHz FDD using 2x2 MIMO, standard supports 4x4 MIMO enabling peak rates of 300 Mbps. TDD rates are a function of up/downlink asymmetry. Peak data rates takes overhead into account, per standards 172 Mbps is achievable in 20 Mhz. 7Peak rates can exceed 300 Mbps by aggregating multiple 20 MHz carriers planned for LTE Advanced (LTE Rel-10). Peak data rate can exceed 1 Gbps using 4x4 MIMO and at least 80 MHz of spectrum
DL: up to 1 Gbps7 (100 MHz)UL: 375+ Mbps7 (100 MHz)
DL: 168 Mbps (20 MHz)UL: 23 Mbps (10 MHz)
Created 04/06/10
LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum
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3G: >1B Wireless Subscribers, 2.8B by 2014 LTE: Continued Support Worldwide 3G Operators committed to combined 3G and LTE Strategy
200520103
Sources: 13G - Wireless Intelligence, as of Q2 ’10. 23G WiMAX - Informa, as of Q2 ‘10 3Wireless Intelligence estimates as of Jul 19 for the quarter ending Jun 30, 2010, GSMA and CDG, Jul 2010 4Global Mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) Aug 26, 2010
3G Operators 3G Subs
160 200Million
3G Operators 3G Subs
665 >1Billion
Mobile WiMAX is approaching 3 million subscribers globally since its existence2
3G adds ~ 3 million approximately every 4 days1
101 operators committed to LTE in 33 countries4
~22 LTE networks expected to be commercially launched by end 2010
3 LTE network launched
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3G Global Handset Shipments Expected to Reach Nearly a Billion by 2013
Sources: Average of Yankee Group : Global Mobile Device Monitor/Forecast (Oct09), Informa Telecoms and
Media (Oct’09)
Note: 3G includes CDMA2000, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA
*Shipments refer to sell-through numbers from Informa and Yankee
Note: CDMA-based technologies device ASPs are for estimated worldwide device shipments including shipments not reported to Qualcomm. Inclusive: 1X/EVDO/WCDMA/HSDPA*Guidance as of November 4, 2009.
Voice–centric devices Growth in CDMA 2000 Focus on mature regions
Transition to data Ramp in WCDMA and EV-DO Significant growth in emerging regions
Continued emerging region growth Continued penetration into GSM base DOrA, DOrB, HSPA+ growth
3G Technologies Wholesale Handset ASP Trend
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LTE: The Global Solution for Unpaired Spectrum
2011 2012+2010
LTE FDD Multimodecommercial launches
LTE FDD single mode
LTE TDD Multimode commercial launches
3G Evolution (HSPA/HSPA+, EV-DO Rev. A/B , 1X/DO Advanced)
LTE TDDtrials
Global TDD Spectrum
LTE TDD operator trials in 2010, Commercial launches mid 2011
1Examples: Clearwire announced LTE trials in press release Aug 4th 2010. Russia’s Yota announced plans to drop WiMAX in favor of LTE in some markets. 2Single mode LTE TDD trials 2H2010, multimode trials 1H 2010 and commercial multimode launch mid 2011
3IMT extension band provides 50 MHz TDD in addition to 70 MHz + 70 MHz FDD in most countries. 2B38 will e.g. be used for India and China, can provide up to 100 MHz, but less spectrum may be available in some markets.
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Driving domestic industry, another perspective
Potential domestic industry from overall creative concept, app development, local content generation, marketing/promotion, system integration, local customization and handset testing.
Gfk Retail Audit Report August 2010:“Local brand acquired ~34.1 % market share incl operator branded”
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Thank You