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19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle View Does the Economy Self- Correct? New Classical View of Self-Correction Rules or Discretion Rationale for Monetary Rule Key Terms Previous Slide Next Slide End Show Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy C H A P T E R

Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

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Page 1: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 1Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Disputes Over Macro

Theory and Policy

C H A P T E R

Page 2: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 2Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND KEYNES

Classical Economics

Adam Smith - 1776

Laissez-faire

The Classical View

Vertical Aggregate Supply Curve

Stable Aggregate Demand

Real Output Depends Upon…•Quantity of money possessed by

households & businesses

•Purchasing power of money is

determined by the price level

Page 3: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 3Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Classical Theory

P1

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

Page 4: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 4Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Classical Theory

P1

Q1

P2

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

AD2

Page 5: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 5Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND KEYNES

Keynesian Economics

John Maynard Keynes, 1930s

The Keynesian View

Prices and Wages Downwardly

Inflexible

Active Government Policy

Required to Stabilize the

Economy

Horizontal Aggregate Supply

Curve to Full-Employment

Unstable Aggregate Demand

Page 6: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 6Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Keynesian View

P1

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

Page 7: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 7Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Keynesian View

P1

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

AD2

Q2

Page 8: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 8Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

CAUSES OF MACRO INSTABILITY

Ca + Ig + Xn + G = GDP

Equation of Exchange

M V = P Q = GDP

Changes in Investment

Mainstream View

Monetarist View

Adverse Aggregate Supply

Shocks

Stable Velocity

Page 9: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 9Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

CAUSES OF MACRO INSTABILITY

Instability of Investment is the

Main Cause of Output Changes

Monetary Policy is a

Stabilizing Factor

Mainstream View

Monetarist View

With a Stable Velocity,

Nominal GDP Depends Upon

the Money Supply

Summary

Page 10: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 10Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

Q1

Page 11: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 11Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

Q1

ASLR2

Page 12: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 12Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1AD2

Q1

ASLR2

Recession

With Stable

Price Levels

Page 13: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 13Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1AD2

Q1

ASLR2

Recession

With Stable

Price LevelsCoordination

Failures

Coordination

Failures

Page 14: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 14Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

DOES THE ECONOMY SELF-CORRECT?

New Classical View

Self-Correction?

Rational Expectations Theory

Speed of Adjustment

Unanticipated Price Changes

“Price Level Surprises”

Fully Anticipated Price-Level

Changes

Page 15: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 15Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in AD

AS1

Self-

Correction

a

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 16: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 16Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

P2

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AD2

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in AD

AS1

Self-

Correction

a

b

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 17: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 17Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

P2

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output

AD2

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in AD

AS1AS2

P3Self-

Correction

a

b

c

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 18: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 18Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Mainstream View

Downward Wage Inflexibility

Efficiency Wage Theory

•Greater Work Effort

•Lower Supervision Costs

•Reduced Job Turnover

Insider-Outsider Theory and

Relationships

DOES THE ECONOMY SELF-CORRECT?

Page 19: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 19Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

RULES OR DISCRETION?

Monetary Rule

Balanced Budget

In Support of Policy Rules

In Defense of Discretionary

Stabilization Policy

Discretionary Monetary

Policy

Discretionary Fiscal Policy

Increased Macro Stability

Page 20: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 20Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

RATIONALE FOR A MONETARY RULEFederal Reserve Increases Money Supply at

the Long-Run Growth Rate of GDP

P1

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output, GDP

AD1Q2

ASLR1

Fed Increases

The Money

Supply

Resulting in…

ASLR2

P2

Page 21: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 21Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

RATIONALE FOR A MONETARY RULEFederal Reserve Increases Money Supply at

the Long-Run Growth Rate of GDP

P1

Q1

Price Level

Real Domestic Output, GDP

ASLR2

AD2AD1

Q2

ASLR1

Growth

Without

Inflation or

Deflation

P2

Page 22: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 22Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

RULES OR DISCRETION?

Summary of Alternative Views

Chapter Conclusions

Page 23: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

classical view

Keynesian view

monetarism

equation of exchange

velocity

real-business-cycle theory

coordination failures

rational expectations theory

new classical economics

price-level surprises

efficiency wage

insider-outsider theory

monetary ruleENDBACKCopyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin 2002

Page 24: Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy

19 - 24Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics

and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro

Instability

Real Business Cycle

View

Does the Economy Self-

Correct?

New Classical View of

Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary

Rule

Key Terms

Previous

Slide

Next

Slide

End

Show

Next:

Supply

And

DemandElasticities And

Government-Set Prices

Chapter 20