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DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System Kasper Jessen, Project Analyst Green Energy

DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

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Page 1: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System

Kasper Jessen, Project Analyst

Green Energy

Page 2: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association

Danish District Heating Association is:

• The Association for more than 400 companies who has a 99% supply of district heating – heat comfort for

1,7 million Danish homes (64%)

• 50 municipality owned utilities and companies who has a supply of 70% of all district heating

• Around 340 cooperatives owned by the consumers. Many are in the process of merging to fewer and larger

cooperatives

• Other members

• 3 transmission companies

• 11 associated members

Page 3: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District Heating is an old invention

Roman legionnaires in Britannia

• Hot geothermal water in Chaudes-Aigues Cantal in France around 500 B.C.

1877 commercial district heating in USA

• First plant in New York – based on steam

1893 first plant in Europe

• Plant in Hamburg with a real utility and distribution grid based on hot cooling water from a power plant.

1903 first plant in Denmark

• Utilization of heat from waste incineration in Frederiksberg, part of Copenhagen

Page 4: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

History: District Heating for 1.7 million homes

From oil and coal to solar and wind via natural gas

• 1920 first plant that utilized surplus heat from power plants.

• 1973 the first oil crises – many heating stations used oil as fuel. The first oil units converted to coal in 1974.

• 1979 the second oil crises – and a new Heating Supply Act.

• 1983 to 1995, deployment of district heat from local CHP units based on natural gas.

• Cogeneration of electricity and heat with a high total efficiency and time of use tariff in many years.

• 2003 - 04, liberalization of the power market. Local CHP was granted 15 years of base-subsidy – until end of 2018.

• Biomass integration and conversion from CHP to boilers consequential declining electricity generation.

• 2006 the first thermal solar plant in Brædstrup for heat cogeneration with a natural gas fired CHP plant –now there are more than 70 thermal solar plants.

Page 5: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District Heating in Denmark

• More than 460 plants and units generate district heating

• Coal, biomass (straw, woodchips and pellets), natural gas, municipality waste, thermal solar and biogas.

• 60.000 km district heating transmission and distribution grid

• 64% of all homes uses district heating.

Page 6: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Ambitious Danish Energy policy

Denmark is going for a 100% renewable (RE) energy system by 2050

2014 2020 2030 2035 2050

39% wind

48% REelectricity

50% wind

70% RE electricity

0% coal and

oil electricity +

heat

100% RE electricity + heat

100% RE energy incl.

transport

Political plans and agreements

2015

Page 7: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District Heating – From oil to multiple fuels

• Change in fuel used for district heating generation 1972 – 2012 (PJ)

Electricity for heat pumps

Coal

Renewable energy

Natural gas

Waste – non biodegradable

Oil

Page 8: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District Heating from CHP – Large and small

Industrial, CHP Industrial, heat only

Page 9: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

CHP – cogeneration of heat and electricity

Page 10: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Thermal Solar energy for district heating – the new area for growth

• Existing (m2)

• Largest 70.000 m2

• Total > 800.000 m2

• Scheduled (m2)

• Largest >150.000 m2

• Total > 500.000 m2

Page 11: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Solar DH in is in growth

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

900.000

1.000.000

1.100.000

1.200.000

1.300.000

1.400.000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017+

Pla

nts

Inst

all

ed

are

a [

m2]

Year

Solar DH in DenmarkSolar Thermal Area and Plants in operation and scheduled

Page 12: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Moving towards low temperature DH and 100% RE

Page 13: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

��

The energy system of tomorrow

Biofuels

Fuel Generation Conversion Transmission Consumption

Electricity

District Heating

Gas (methane)

CHP

Waste

Bio

gas

CHPCHP

Heat

pumps

Fuel

cells

Electro-

lysis

Storage

Wind

Solar

N-gas

Biogas

Waste

Bio-waste

Biomass

Fuel diversification and coherent energy systems calls for Smart Energy

Page 14: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Key role for district heating in the future

• Type of Generation • Origin of Fuel

Solar thermal

Recycle heat

CHP

Heat pumps and el.

boilers

Boilers thermal

He

at

ge

ne

rati

on

(P

J)

He

at

ge

ne

rati

on

(P

J)

Solar

Bio oil

Electricity

N-gas

Recycle heat

Biogas

Pellets

Wood chip

Straw

B-methane

Other fossil

Coal

Waste

Page 15: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Massive growth in electricity generation

Wind power - more than enough to cover the Danish consumption

Calls for electrification and new consumption – option for wind to heat

Wind power by 2023

Offshore wind farms

Near coast wind farms

Onshore wind turbines

Wind power share of

consumptionSolar (PV)

B-methane

Waste

Wind power

Biogas

Other fossil

Biomass

N-gas

Coal

Page 16: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

DISTRICT HEATING IN DENMARK – A BIG

SUCCESS LIKE WIND POWER

64 % of households receives district heating 40 % of electricity consumption from wind power

2020

~ 70 % of households receives district heating

2020

~ 50 % of electricity consumption from wind power

2015 2015

Page 17: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District heating from wind power – excellent match

• Annual wind power

generation and need for heating is

a obvious match

• Heating generated from electric heat

pumps and electric boilers

Jan. Mar. May Jul. Sep. Nov

Need for heating Wind power generation

10 years annual average

Page 18: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Domination of Windpower

33

TWh

13

TWh

19

TWh

5 GW 6

GW

Danmark

128 TWh

2 TWh

4

TWh

1 GW 2 GW

Norge

137

TWh

13

TWh

21

TWh

5 GW

8

GW

Sverige 397

TWh

57

TWh

121

TWh

26

GW

44

GW

prisområde

99

TWh

29

TWh

76

TWh

16

GW

29

GW

Nord-

tyskland

Total for the Nordic Pricing

Area”

Page 19: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

2020 power generation with 50% wind powerDenmark January 2020 forecast - with 50% wind power (p.a.) and CHP

• Power generation will exceed load with 62%

• Power overload (not domestic usage) with 40% of the wind energy

• Need for export of 7,000 MW in dedicated hours

• Export calls for acceptance from neighboring power systems

• Electricity is often exported at a very low market price due to overload

MW

Load Large CHP plants Local CHP units Wind power

www.pfbach.dk

Page 20: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

2020 power generation with thermal boilers• Denmark January 2020 forecast - with 50% wind power (p.a.) little CHP

• Thermal boilers will cover 24% of the heat demand – CHP phase out

• Power overload (not domestic usage) reduction from 40% to 17% of the wind energy

• Need for export of 2,600 MW in dedicated hours

• Investments in new heat only based on biomass will phase out CHP• Many CHP units will be stranded investments!

MW

Load Large CHP plants Local CHP units Wind power

www.pfbach.dk

MW

Load Large CHP plants

www.pfbach.dk

Local CHP units Wind power

Page 21: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

2020 power generation with power to heat• Denmark January 2020 forecast - with 50% wind power (p.a.) no CHP

• Thermal boilers will cover 5% of the heat demand – CHP phased out

• Integration of 900 MW electric heat pumps and 1,500 MW electric boilers

• Power overload (not domestic usage) reduction from 40% to 4% of the wind energy

• Minor export of maximum 2,100 MW in few hours

• CHP units will be used for backup in the power system• Calls for new funding scheme, new types of tariffs and lower taxation

MW

Load Large CHP plants Local CHP units Wind power

www.pfbach.dk

MW

Load Large CHP plants

www.pfbach.dk

Local CHP units Wind power

MW

Classic load

www.pfbach.dk

Power to heat Power overload

Page 22: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Two major challenges

Page 23: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Reduction in Power Plant Capacity towards 2020

Reduction in thermal power plant capacity and growth in wind power capacity together with

extra interconnectors capacity to Norway, Sweden, Germany and Netherland is a substantial

change of the power system.

Some of the power plants will be converted from CHP to biomass boilers

Page 24: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Status• More windpower – less CHP

• Low electricity prices600 full load hours in 2014!

Decentralized CHP, right axis

MW

in

sta

lle

dFull load hours decentralized CHP, left axis

Fu

ll l

oa

d h

ou

rsp

r. y

ea

r

Page 25: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Competition

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

DK

K

Number of CHP in %

Heating Prices incl. VAT for 2015 Acontoprices 367 CHP (18,1 MWh 130 m2 standard house)

DH price Simple average Weighted average Individual oil Individual N-gas

Page 26: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Increase in heating prices from 2019: 2 billion

Page 27: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

District heating can provide the solutions

Accumulation

CHP

”5000 MW +

”2000 MW”

Elec. boilers

400 MW

Heat Pumps

20 MW

1 mio. m3

Page 28: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

STORAGE CAPACITY IN DANISH DISTRICT HEATING - 65 GWH

Total storage capacity: 65 GWh

~ 13 hours of full load operation to fill storage

Electric boilers/heat pumps Thermal storagesWind power

Installed capacity: 4.800 MW

~ storage capacity of 1.000.000 electric vehicles

Page 29: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Only few large scale elec. Heat Pumps in DH today!Danish Energy Agency (ENS) expects 10 PJ in 2020

DEA 2020Total +

expansion

MW

-he

at

Electric HP in DH-systems

MW

-he

at

Qu

an

tity

Quantity Total heat output

Page 30: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Key points to be addressed

District Heating in the core of Smart Energy

• Denmark has shown that it is possible to balance a power system with more than 50% wind power.

• Electricity generation from wind turbines is not fully integrated in the energy systems.

• Storing and balancing wind power using the district heating systems is a profound solution.

• Denmark refrain from harvesting the full environmental benefit of wind power when exported.

• Export of wind power is a socioeconomic loss.

What to do?• Taxes and regulation must be updated to enhance power to heat solutions with heat pumps in 100 MWe class.

• CHP plants need a new business case as back up for wind power and technical balancing of the power system

(ancillary services).

Page 31: DISTRICT HEATING in The Danish Energy System · Green Energy is an analysis department at Danish District Heating Association Danish District Heating Association is: • The Association

Thank you for your attentionThank you for your attentionThank you for your attentionThank you for your attention

Danish District Heating Association

Fjernvarmens Hus

Merkurvej 7

6000 Kolding

Phone +45 76 30 80 00

[email protected]