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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: 65984-BA PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 25.8 MILLION (US$40.00 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA FOR AN IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT PROJECT March 26, 2012 Sustainable Development Department South East Europe Country Unit Europe and Central Asia Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLYdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · Date: 24-Mar-2012 Sectors: Irrigation and drainage (80%), Flood protection (10%), General

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: 65984-BA

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

ON A

PROPOSED CREDIT

IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 25.8 MILLION

(US$40.00 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

FOR AN

IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

March 26, 2012

Sustainable Development Department

South East Europe Country Unit

Europe and Central Asia Region

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the

performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World

Bank authorization.

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective January 25, 2012)

Currency Unit = Bosnian BAM 1 BAM = US$0.669388

US$1 = BAM 1.49390

FISCAL YEAR

January 1 – December 31

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AAA Analytical and Advisory Activities

APCU Agricultural Projects Coordination

Unit (of RS)

IFAD International Fund for Agriculture Development

ARDP Agricultural and Rural

Development Project

IFRs Interim Unaudited Financial Reports

BiH Bosnia and Herzegovina MAFWM Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Water Management

CAP Common Agricultural Policy M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

CGF Gross Capital Formation MIS Management Information System

DA Designated Account MOAWMF Ministry of Agriculture, Water Management and Forestry

DAFWM Department for Agriculture,

Forestry and Water Management

MOFT Ministry of Finance and Treasury (state level)

DB District Brcko MOFTER Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Relations

DoF Department of Finance MOU Memorandum of Understanding

ECA Europe and Central Asia MTR Mid-term Review

EMP Environmental Management Plan NGO Non Governmental Organization

ESMF Environmental and Social

Management Framework

O&M Operations and Maintenance

EU European Union ORAF Operational Risk Assessment Framework

FBiH Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina PDO Project Development Objective

FM Financial Management POM Project Operational Manual

FMS Financial Management Specialist PIM Participatory Irrigation Management

GDP Gross Domestic Product PIU Project Implementation Unit

HACCP Hazard Analysis and Critical

Control Point

RS Republika Srpska

IAS Irrigation Advisory Service SOE Statement of Expenditure

ICB International Competitive Bidding

SP Subproject

ICR Implementation Completion

Report

SSCAD Small Scale Commercial Agriculture Development

IDA International Development

Association

TA Technical Assistance

I&D Irrigation and Drainage WUA Water User Association

Vice President: Philippe Le Houerou

Country Director: Jane Armitage

Sector Director: Laszlo Lovei

Country Manager Anabela Abreu

Sector Manager: Dina Umali-Deininger

Task Team Leader: Guy J. Alaerts

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Table of Contents

I. Strategic Context ............................................................................................................ 1

A. Country and sector issues ............................................................................................... 1

B. Sectoral and Institutional Context .................................................................................. 2

C. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes ............................................... 4

D. Ongoing/Complementary Activities by the Bank and Other Partners ........................... 5

II. Project Development Objectives .................................................................................... 6

Project Beneficiaries ................................................................................................................ 6

III. Project Description ......................................................................................................... 8

A. Project components ......................................................................................................... 8

B. Project Financing ............................................................................................................ 9

C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design .................................................. 10

IV. Implementation ............................................................................................................. 11

A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .......................................................... 11

B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation .............................................................................. 13

C. Sustainability................................................................................................................. 13

V. Key Risks and Mitigation Measures ............................................................................ 14

VI. Appraisal Summary ...................................................................................................... 15

A. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................................. 15

B. Technical ....................................................................................................................... 16

C. Financial Management .................................................................................................. 16

D. Procurement .................................................................................................................. 17

E. Social Sustainability, Gender and Social Safeguards ................................................... 17

F. Environment (including safeguards) ............................................................................. 18

Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring ...................................................................... 20

Annex 2: Detailed Project Description ................................................................................. 21

Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements ............................................................................. 29

Annex 4: Operational Risk Assessment Framework ............................................................. 46

Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan ................................................................................ 50

Annex 6: Team Composition ................................................................................................ 53

Annex 7: Economic and Financial Analysis ........................................................................ 54

Annex 8: Social Development and Sustainability ................................................................. 64

Annex 9: Project Map No. IBRD 39024 ............................................................................... 66

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PAD DATA SHEET

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Irrigation Development Project (P115954)

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT .

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

ECSS1

.

Basic Information

Date: 24-Mar-2012 Sectors: Irrigation and drainage (80%), Flood protection

(10%), General agriculture, fishing and forestry

sector (10%)

Country Director: Jane Armitage Themes: Water resource management (67%), Rural

services and infrastructure (33%) Sector

Manager/Director: Dina Umali-

Deininger/Laszlo

Lovei

Project ID: P115954 EA

Category: B - Partial Assessment

Lending

Instrument: Specific Investment

Loan

Team Leader(s): Guy J. Alaerts

Joint IFC: No .

Borrower: Ministry of Finance and Treasury, Bosnia and Herzegovina

Responsible Agency: RS Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Water Management

Contact: H.E. Miroslav Milovanovic Title: Minister

Telephone No.: +387 051 338 415 Email: [email protected],

[email protected]

Responsible Agency: FBiH Ministry of Agriculture, Water Management and Forestry

Contact: H.E. Jerko Ivanko

Ivanković-Lijanović Title: Minister

Telephone No.: +387 033 443 338 Email: [email protected],

[email protected]

[email protected] .

Project Implementation Period: Start Date: 30-Sep-2012 End Date: 31-Dec-2017

Expected Effectiveness Date: 30-Sep-2012

Expected Closing Date: 31-Dec-2017 .

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Project Financing Data(US$M)

[ ] Loan [ ] Grant [ ] Other

[ X ] Credit [ ] Guarantee

Proposed term: the credit has a final maturity of 25 years including a grace period of 5 years

For Loans/Credits/Others

Total Project Cost (US$M): 47.00

Total Bank Financing (US$M): 40.00 .

Financing Source Amount(US$M)

BORROWER/RECIPIENT 7.00

International Development Association (IDA) 40.00

Total 47.00 .

Expected Disbursements (in USD Million)

Fiscal Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0000 0000 0000

Annual 3.46 12.55 15.96 6.71 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cumulative 3.46 16.01 31.97 38.68 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 .

Project Development Objective(s)

The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve the performance of the irrigation systems and

the irrigation institutions to support agricultural producers in the project areas. .

Components

Component Name Cost (USD Millions)

Component 1: Infrastructure Investment (works,

goods/equipment, consulting services): irrigation and drainage

infrastructure and equipment in around 12 subprojects

38.80

Component 2: Irrigation Modernization (goods/equipment,

consulting services, training): agency level and farm level 5.80

Component 3: Project Implementation Support

(consulting/non-consulting services, goods, training, and

incremental operating costs): PIUs, M&E, ESMF, audits,

procurement and FM training

2.40

.

Compliance

Policy

Does the project depart from the CAS in content or in other significant

respects? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

.

Does the project require any exceptions from Bank policies? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

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Have these been approved by Bank management? Yes [ ] No [ ]

Is approval for any policy exception sought from the Board? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Does the project meet the Regional criteria for readiness for implementation? Yes [ X ] No [ ] .

Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Yes No

Environmental Assessment OP/BP 4.01 X

Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 X

Forests OP/BP 4.36 X

Pest Management OP 4.09 X

Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP 4.11 X

Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 X

Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 X

Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 X

Projects on International Waterways OP/BP 7.50 X

Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 X .

Legal Covenants

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Description of Covenant .

Team Composition

Bank Staff

Name Title Specialization Unit

Guy J. Alaerts Lead Water Resources

Specialist Team Lead ECSS1

Ahmed Shawky M.

Abdel Ghany Sr Water Resources

Spec. Co-TTL and Sr Water

Resources Spec. ECSS1

Daniel P. Gerber Rural Development

Specialist Rural Development

Specialist ECSS1

Samra Bajramovic Program Assistant Program Assistant ECCBM

Mirjana Karahasanovic Operations Officer Operations Officer ECSS3

Naima A Hasci Sr Social Scientist Sr Social Scientist ECSOQ

Nikola Kerleta Procurement Specialist Procurement Specialist ECSO2

Jose C. Janeiro Senior Finance Officer Senior Finance Officer CTRLA

Jasna Mestnik Finance Analyst Finance Analyst CTRLA

Lamija Marijanovic Financial Management

Specialist Financial Management

Specialist ECSO3

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Anneliese Viorela

Voinea Financial Management

Specialist Financial Management

Specialist ECSO3

Iwona Warzecha Senior Financial

Management Specialist Senior Financial

Management Specialist ECSO3

Bekim Imeri Social Scientist Social Scientist ECSS4

Esma Kreso Environmental Specialist Environmental Specialist ECSS3

Adam Shayne Lead Counsel Legal LEGEM

Coral Daphne M. Bird Temporary Temporary ECSS5

Non Bank Staff

Name Title Office Phone City

Kunduz Masylkanova Economist (FAO)

Juan Morreli Economist (FAO)

Luis Samoilov Irrigation Designer

(FAO)

.

Locations

Country First

Administrative

Division

Location Planned Actual Comments

.

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1

I. Strategic Context

A. Country and sector issues

1. Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) has a land area of 51,000 square kilometers (km2) and an

estimated population of 3.9 million. About 50% of the country is covered by forests and 25% by

pastures. It is mostly hilly and mountainous, with only 5% of its territory classified as plains,

24% as hills, 29% as Karst and 42% as mountains. The plain areas have rich, light soils that are

suitable for cultivation of a variety of crops. However they have a tendency to flood during the

rainy periods in fall and spring, while the dry summers make the planting of high value crops

very risky. The slopes and the pre-alpine areas, in turn, have large areas of pasture land suited

for a variety of livestock production and modest cultivation of primarily grains and potatoes.

The climate varies from a mild Mediterranean in the Southwest to a more continental in the

North and Northeast. These agro-climatic conditions allow for a variety of agricultural activities

ranging from intensive irrigated horticulture in the plains and lower plateaus, to extensive

livestock husbandry in the pre-alpine and mountainous regions of the country. The comparative

advantages of BiH‘s agriculture sector lie in its closeness to the European Union (EU), a

moderate continental climate, clean and abundant natural water resources, and relatively low

factor prices. The weak institutional capacity e.g. for extension services, the low investment

rates, and the lack or inoperability of agricultural and rural infrastructure such as reliable

irrigation, however, remain serious constraints to increase the sector‘s productivity.

2. The agriculture sector is and will remain economically important for BiH and is an

integral part of the rural economy, providing important sources of employment for rural

inhabitants and having significant backward and forward linkages to the rest of the economy.

According to official statistics, the primary agriculture sectors still accounts for approximately

9% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employs more than one fifth of the total labor force.

3. Crop yields, and potential options for growing high-value crops and double-cropping, are

restricted without irrigation primarily due to prolonged dry spells during the summer season.

Typical yield losses are estimated to be in the order of 30-40% in the Southwest, while in the

northern areas along the Sava river plain typical yield losses amount to 20-30%, with less in the

central and mountain areas. In addition, in many of the plains and valleys, productivity also

regularly suffers from water logging and inundation. Thus, drainage is as important as irrigation.

4. The BiH Strategic Plan for Harmonization of Agriculture, Food and Rural Development,

the Republika Srpska Strategies for Rural Development and Agriculture, and the Federation of

Bosnia-Herzegovina Strategy for Agriculture, outline their development priorities as follows: (i)

macroeconomic stability; (ii) competitiveness; (iii) sustainable development; (iv) employment

generation; (v) EU integration and (vi) social inclusion. For the agriculture sector, the Strategies

call for investments in technology to improve the efficiency of primary production and to move

towards increased secondary production and processing, to boost employment and added value

in the sector. They also look beyond farming to improve living conditions and diversify the rural

economy and job opportunities. They highlight the priority to be given to environmental

protection, particularly with respect to the management of natural resources such as water, land

and forests.

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2

5. The Dayton Peace Agreement, signed in 1995, established a complex governance

structure governing the two constituent territories as Entities, namely Republika Srpska (RS) and

Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina (FBiH) with a third independent area, namely District Brcko

(DB) (henceforth, the term ―Entities‖ is used to designate the FBiH and RS). The Entities are in

the process of developing, or have completed Rural Development Strategies. These strategies

focus on a set of six broad objectives including: (i) increasing the scope and adjusting the

structure of agricultural and industrial production; (ii) optimal utilization of agrarian resources;

(iii) balanced integrated rural and agrarian development; (iv) supporting a stable market for

agricultural and food related products, with the aim of reducing the share of food related costs in

the structure of family budgets; (v) increasing the level of exports; and (vi) improving the

institutional, material, staff related, technical and technological capacities of agriculture.

6. BiH is working towards candidate status to the EU. The State Council of Ministers and

the Entities as well as DB are in the process of aligning their policies and development programs

with the EU agricultural and environmental acquis including in the water sector, in part with

technical and financial support from the EU, the World Bank and other donors. Climate change

is also likely to lead to higher temperatures in BiH, along with more variable precipitation. Thus

improving water resource management and the performance of the irrigation and drainage (I&D)

systems would be crucial to enable farmers to successfully adapt to the new challenges that the

changing weather and its increased variability would bring. With dryer summers and wetter

springs and falls, in order for BiH to increase or maintain its high value agricultural production

levels, it will need to rely increasingly on supplemental irrigation and better functioning

irrigation systems, while adequately functioning drainage and storage facilities will be needed to

prevent flooding in spring.

B. Sectoral and Institutional Context

7. Harmonized water laws for the FBiH and the RS, developed with the assistance of the

EU, passed into law in September 2006. This legislation provides a broad framework for the

abstraction, use and disposal of water resources. The laws adopted basic aspects of the EU Water

Framework Directive and direct water resource development and management towards more

integrated approaches. In line with the EU acquis, both RS and FBiH have two operational

river-basin based Water Agencies for the Sava basin and for the Adriatic basin, respectively. For

the largest river basins, integrated river basin management plans are being prepared in

accordance with the EU guidelines (those for the Neretva, Trebisnjica and Vrbas with Bank

support). With EU assistance, the preparation of the supporting regulations and establishing a

framework of responsibilities for the various state institutions, agencies and private user groups

for the water sector is on-going. These laws also regulate in broad terms the key aspects of

irrigation.

8. Substantial investment in irrigation was made during the days of former Yugoslavia as

part of the development of vertically integrated Agro Kombinats. However, destruction from the

1992 war, reforms which led to privatization, including the fracturing of the trade links, have left

many irrigation systems under used and dilapidated. Moreover, the country‘s complex

institutional structure, and administrative legacy has left it at the onset with unclear

responsibilities between central, regional, and local government and users in terms of roles and

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3

responsibilities towards the irrigation sector. In the mean time, each Entity has gradually

developed its own institutional and organizational structures that are sufficiently compatible and

complementary1. Also, the new EU funded project ―Support for Water Policies in Bosnia

Herzegovina‖ is assisting to improve the coordination of water policies in order to be able to

prepare State level documents. Notably, many of the components of the Entities‘ strategies and

frameworks are already compatible with EU Directives and guidelines.

9. The RS has formulated a vision and strategy for irrigation development and of

government support in the form of subsidies (40% of costs) for irrigation equipment. The

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management (MAFWM) has produced a

comprehensive plan outlining the irrigation potential in the entity together with a further

publication outlining development potential. The Law on Waters of the RS was recently

amended to accommodate the strategy and the participation of water users in the management of

irrigation systems. Some 115,000 ha of land in RS have good potential for irrigated agriculture

development. By far the largest proportion (at least 95%) of this area is in the plains along

tributaries to the Sava, and along the Sava itself. Previously, irrigation schemes irrigated a total

of about 7,260 ha, of which about 3,440 ha was in the northern inland plain (Sava river basin)

and about 3,820 ha in the southern coastal area (primarily the Neretva and Trebisnjica river

basin). Many irrigation systems have deteriorated, such that currently, functioning schemes

service only about 1,700 ha (23% of the previously existing irrigation areas): 1,470 ha in the

Sava basin area (43% of the previously developed area) and 230 ha in the Mediterranean basin

(6% of the previously developed area).

10. The FBiH formulated a concept note in 2009 on the Programme for Irrigation and

Drainage in the Federation of BiH 2

and a strategy for water management for the period 2010-

2022. Prior to the war, irrigation covered about 20,000 ha. Of this area, about 13,000 ha were in

the northern inland plain (Sava river basin) and about 7,000 ha were in the southern area

(primarily the Neretva and Trebisnjica river basins). The present post-war situation in FBiH is

still being assessed; but it is estimated that around 3,000 ha (15% of the previously developed

area) are currently serviced by irrigation. By contrast, a total of approximately 280,000 ha are

reported to have potential for development of irrigated agriculture, of which about 170,000 ha

could be considered as having more favorable conditions and higher priority.

11. Both Entities have an enabling environment for irrigation development and established

Focal Teams on Irrigation in their respective Ministries to prepare the Irrigation Development

Project (IDP). Procedures are in place for establishing water availability in each catchment area,

and for licensing abstraction and disposal of drainage and wastewater. This would provide

improved security for farmers who wish to develop irrigation systems as well as for other exiting

water users.

1 The experience with both the recently closed SSCADP and the on-going Neretva and Trebisnjica Management

Project suggests that despite the institutional complexity and scope for diverging strategies, both Entities are

remarkably consistent and cooperative at the technical and operational level. 2 Program for irrigation and drainage in the Federation of BiH. Undated (2009). Federal Ministry of Agriculture,

Water Management and Forestry, Federation of Bosnia Herzegovina.

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4

12. Because of the varied terrain comprising mountainous areas as well as wide river plains,

the irrigation systems in BiH are relatively small in area, are rarely interconnected, and have

relatively small carrying capacities. The conveyance systems are in form of concrete canals and

pipes with sprinkler systems and drip irrigation. Where drainage is important as well, earthen

canals with the dual function of drainage in fall and winter and water supply in the summer are

also typically found. Consequently, each irrigation scheme would need to be carefully tailored to

the local water resources and hydrological conditions as well as the demands of the local

community of users and institutional stakeholders in the water sector of that area. In some

locations, the water would need to be drawn from shallow groundwater and in others from

surface waters, or applied through conjunctive water use. The surface water can be drawn in

some locations from small local creeks that may have a highly variable water discharge, whilst in

others it needs to be pumped or abstracted from larger rivers, or reservoirs or tanks.

C. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes

13. The contribution of I&D to the economy remains below its potential. The area equipped

is very small (27,000 ha) and in 2008 only about 5,000 ha were actually irrigated/drained.

Nonetheless, agriculture is economically important (9 % of GDP in 2009) and employs more

than one fifth of the labor force. Over 200,000 ha have good potential for irrigation

development, including land that needs to be drained or protected from floods. Rates of return

on I&D can thus be high. At IDP appraisal, about12 subprojects (SPs) were identified (including

few SPs with drainage problems) as they met a number of socioeconomic, environmental and

cost-sharing criteria, where the lack of knowledge/investment in (supplemental) irrigation has

been the binding constraint. Thereby the Project provides a replicable showcase for any other

country area where I&D is critically lacking (see Annex 2).

14. As BiH agencies and producers learn how to duly utilize I&D, they will help to improve

crop yield, quality, type, by-products, hence enabling them to increase their access to domestic

and EU markets. The World Bank “ECA I&D Strategy Note” (currently in draft) concluded

that: (i) the I&D priority in BiH is to contribute to modernizing agriculture in preparation for EU

entry; (ii) irrigation plays a role in higher value agriculture, but the institutional structure needs

to be clarified, and investment is required into the long term to build capacity at all levels,

including for Water User Associations (WUAs); and (iii) efficient cost sharing arrangements

need to be worked out. The IDP thus builds on these conclusions, and also contributes to the

objectives of the Country Partnership Strategy (CPS, FY2012-2015) which defined irrigation

development as a priority, and deemed competitive agriculture as conducive to growth and

employment:

(i) Improved growth through competitiveness in agriculture: Crop yields/values are

currently low and the challenge is a transition from low capital/technology agriculture

toward a modern sector aligned with those in the EU. High value horticultural crops,

and also industrial field crops such as potato, sugar beets, soya beans and a variety of

oil seeds, can only be profitably achieved if adequate watering is assured. In

combination with proper field preparation, certified inputs of seeds and fertilizers and

proper pest management, adequate irrigation is essential for double cropping and

increasing productivity of commercial farms. With climate change, the longer dry

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5

summers and heavier rain in fall and winter entail reforming the irrigation-water

services and management, to ensure profitable farming, especially with field crops;

(ii) Poverty reduction and job creation: Small farms are currently run as subsistence

operations whose households earn substantial off farm income from either pension or

off farm employment. These farms, given constraints in marketing and supply chain,

often operate low input/output investments and accept minimal returns. With EU

Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance for Rural Development (IPARD) this picture

may change: However, local government, the Entities and donors will facilitate

growing higher value crops and support slow consolidation of land in the hands of

commercial farms. Irrigation in the dry summer is a key input in this transition.

Improved I&D will help small farms to introduce higher-value horticulture under

greenhouses or orchards, thus intensifying production per hectare, which reduces

poverty and adds on-farm labor; and

(iii) Finally, establishing proper water-management roles and responsibilities between

state, entity, cantonal, municipal, and user level will help manage the frequent

droughts and floods, and reduce competition between hydropower and irrigation on

reservoir releases.

D. Ongoing/Complementary Activities by the Bank and Other Partners

15. The Project does not involve formal partnership arrangements, but there is cooperation

between the Bank and the EU in developing the related regulatory framework, to ensure

compliance with the water directives of the EU Aquis Communautaire, including good river

basin management. The country is also participating in the Stabilization and Association Process

(SAP) and is committed to undertaking the necessary reforms that may lead to future accession.

The European Partnership (EP), revised every two years, is an instrument of the SAP which lays

down the principles and medium and short-term priorities to be addressed in the move towards

EU integration. The most recent EP agreement adopted in November 2007 stipulates as the main

priority the adoption of the basic legislative framework for the agriculture sector. To help this

process, BiH had € 226 million available over the period 2007-2009, of which 90% is directed to

projects under the Instrument for Pre-accession Assistance (IPA) Component I - Transition

Assistance and Institution Building – following the priorities established in the EP. The rest will

fund Cross Border Cooperation projects.

16. The World Bank-funded Agricultural and Rural Development Project (ARDP 2007-

2012) aims to support this process through3 strengthening the relevant agricultural institutions

and helping BiH to access future support under the EU IPARD. As part of its ARDP‘s Rural

Development Component, capacities for rural development planning and Monitoring and

Evaluation (M&E) have been developed in each of the Entities to implement rural development

3 ARDP activities include: a) Improving Agricultural Information Systems, based on the European Partnership

agreement that identified as a priority improved collection and management of agricultural data; b) Strengthening

Veterinary, Food Safety and Plant Health Protection to harmonize and enforce veterinary and phytosanitary

regulations, standards and controls compatible with the EU directives on food hygiene, inspection and certification;

c) Strengthening Inspectorate Capacity for EU compliant food safety, plant health and animal health inspection; d)

Strengthening Agricultural Advisory Services; e) Strengthening Rural Development Program Planning and

Coordination through establishing a Rural Development Coordination Unit; and f) Strengthening the systems for

providing rural development payments including the provision of incremental funds.

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6

programs that provide partial investment grants based on applications from farmers to increase

the competitiveness of their operations. Field and related equipment for irrigation could qualify

under this program. In addition, current donor activities such as the FARMA project jointly

funded by USAID and SIDA that supports advisory services and business planning to

commercial farmers and supply chains as well as the ongoing International Fund for Agriculture

Development (IFAD) project implemented through the Project Implementation Unit (PIU)s in

both Entities can be linked with the farmers in the newly irrigated areas. Both of these projects

have been working on improving agricultural production and quality requirements that are

necessary to satisfy the demands of the increasingly discerning and informed local customer, and

accessing EU markets. Such parallel operations will help improve farmer capacity and access to

markets, which in turn will increase the returns on the IDP investments in irrigation systems and

institutions.

II. Project Development Objectives

17. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve the performance of the

irrigation systems and the irrigation institutions to support agricultural producers in the project

areas.

18. The PDO would be achieved through: (i) rehabilitating irrigation and drainage

infrastructure, including construction, reconstruction, upgrading, and modernization, on existing

agricultural land; (ii) introduction of new technologies in irrigated agriculture; and (iii)

institutional development, strengthening of water resources management institutions and

introducing a participatory approach to water management. The project would support better

water resources planning and management for sustainable use of the water resources in irrigation

and drainage, mitigation of the impact of droughts and floods, and in general preparing more

suitable adaptation strategies that can also cope with climate change. Project Beneficiaries

19. Project beneficiaries are primarily commercial farmers, including smallholders operating

slightly above subsistence, but willing to move to a more commercial operation if more assured

water could be made available, reducing the production risks from dry summers. Other direct

beneficiaries are the fairly large commercial agribusinesses that emerged from the privatized

remnants of the former Kombinats4 and still play major role in supporting the local small

farming community. They play a major role in providing; (i) an outlet for marketing of produce

and transport, (ii) discounted machine services for field preparation but also at harvesting, as

well as (iii) input supply of seeds and fertilizer that the companies buy in large bulk quantities

4 The BiH agricultural policy is concerned with its competitiveness in the EU context, and the reality of dealing with

many small holders and still fallow or under-utilized agricultural land resources throughout the country left idle

from the breakup of the former vertically integrated agro-kombinats. However, the ageing rural population is

expected to lead to land consolidation into larger production units and/or pull together farmers associations to share

resources, and involve more mechanization. Similarly, some of the processing capacity that was privatized has

undergone restructuring under new ownership and a series of new companies with full HACCP certification and

modern processing facilities and established markets are looking to increase the share of local produce to fill their

processing capacity.

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for their own use but also sell on to smaller farmers at cost. Indirectly, improved/increased

production will also benefit the agricultural processing industry (value-chain producers and

consumers) which presently imports substantial produce to satisfy its demands for large

quantities. The project beneficiaries also include government irrigation line and local agencies

whose capacity will be enhanced (on subproject selection, design, implementation, Operations

and Maintenance (O&M), tariff design, and irrigation policy).

The PDO-level indicators are:

20. (i) Incremental areas with improved irrigation systems (hectares)5; and (ii) Number of

direct beneficiaries6 without (tail-end) water shortage

7 or (in few SPs) without drainage problems

(this is a ―Core Indicator‖, with the female percentage being a ―Supplemental Indicator‖).

The Intermediary-results indicators are:

21. Component 1: Incremental irrigation-water added8 (in water volume per year, compared

to the additional irrigation-water requirements9 that correspond to crop maximum yield).

22. Component 2: (i) Number of end-user O&M agreements signed and adopted (to improve

water use on-farm, and to undertake or share cost for off-farm O&M); (ii) Improved rate of

O&M fee collection (in percentage) within two seasons after starting the irrigation service; and

(iii) Conducive regulatory framework for irrigation management (Irrigation Rulebooks

finalized).

23. The M&E activity would also monitor the following indicators quantitatively (otherwise,

if data is unavailable, qualitatively through debriefing the beneficiaries): (i) Water reliability in

quantity (e.g. expressed in ―irrigation conveyance and distribution efficiencies‖, and/or in ―water

productivity‖ in US$ per Cubic Meter) and in quality (e.g. expressed in improvement of the

ambient water-quality parameters, and/or in the ―Water Quality Index‖); (ii) incremental

agricultural production; (iii) improved drainage in terms of days of flooding; (iv) WUA

5Ultimate improvements are expected either horizontally (expand area of same crop) and/or vertically (increase yield

per hectare of same crop, switch from cereal to cash crop, grow additional crop i.e. higher cropping intensity, or

inter-cropping). As it is difficult to anticipate these changes or control them under IDP, this PDO indicator would

express only the incremental ―command area‖ associated with the introduced system rehabilitation/modernization. 6The beneficiaries, surveyed annually, include the directly-benefiting irrigators and their households, and the added

on-farm hired labour. The baseline average estimate per hectare is: 2 family members plus 0.25 employed labour,

thus a total of 2.25 capita/ha. Only at the ICR, the indirect beneficiaries may also be added to the survey (e.g. off-

farm labour created due to the improved post-harvest value chain). 7 This indicator would ensure vetting the upstream-to-downstream equity of water distribution within a given SP,

thus inferring the success of integrating both Component 1 and 2 to improve: (i) inter-WUA regulatory role of the

municipality/WUAs; and (ii) intra-WUA optimal use of water. Whereas, Component 1 alone (without integrating

with Component 2) can provide investments that increase production of the entire scheme, but may not suffice in

distributing water equitably within a scheme (e.g. where canal-upstream farmers can expand their area horizontally

or grow additional crop in response to receiving more reliable water due to Component 1, hence limiting

downstream farmers). 8 Added water can be estimated via desk-based methods (e.g. knowing the increased crop yield, then using a yield-

to-water production function); and can also be monitored volumetrically via the equipment funded by Component 2. 9 Rehabilitating the irrigation infrastructure for 10,000 ha may need to add around 40 to 50 Million Cubic Meters of

water per year (or 4,000 to 5,000 CM/ha/year) to help attain the crop maximum yield.

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performance (in terms of on-farm optimal water use and off-farm O&M); (v) percentage of

females participating in WUA membership, WUA administration and decision-making; and (vi)

improving the institutional set up and policies in the irrigation and water-management sectors.

III. Project Description

A. Project components

24. Component 1: Infrastructure Investment (Total US$38.8m, of which IDA is US$32.98m

and counterpart is US$5.82m: includes works, goods/equipment, and consulting services). This

component will finance the implementation of irrigation and drainage infrastructure

rehabilitation of about 12 SPs, of which 6 each located in RS and FBiH. The SPs are selected

from the long-lists of potential sub-projects that were prepared by the two Ministries. In FBiH

this was based notably on proposals submitted by the cantons. The SPs are all located in existing

agricultural land that in the past has been supplied with irrigation. In some of the SPs, the first

priority will be on restoring or improving drainage. The main activities include rehabilitation

with some construction, reconstruction, upgrading and modernization (only for the public/main

and semi-public/secondary parts of the irrigation system, hence not on-farm), and also the

introduction of new technologies that promote water use efficiency such as drip irrigation and

low-pressure sprinklers. The prioritization of SPs is based on a set of criteria, including

economic and financial feasibility (including the willingness of end users and local governments

to pay fees and undertake O&M), environmental and institutional sustainability, clarity of land

tenure, and readiness for implementation. Annex 2 provides a summary of the four priority SPs

selected to be financed in the first year, for which designs have been prepared to a level that is

ready for tendering. The second-phase list of potential SPs (9 SPs) that could be supported have

been pre-identified, but the final list of SPs will be finalized during implementation10

. A Project

map is provided in Annex 9 showing the proposed SPs. Also Component 1 would cover

preparing the designs and other documentation for meritorious sub-projects to be implemented

under other financing sources.

25. Component 2: Irrigation Modernization (Total US$5.8m, of which IDA is US$4.93m and

counterpart is US$0.87m: includes goods/equipment, consulting services and training). This

component would support the capacity strengthening of the Ministries and Water Agencies in RS

and FBiH, and participating municipalities and cantons in addressing: the new sector policies,

and establishing and strengthening WUAs. It will assist in developing O&M arrangements for

the introduced infrastructure/facilities, the fee determination, fee collection and management,

and related water resources and irrigation management. The Component will assist the Entities

with the good practices in irrigation-scheme design, Irrigation Advisory Services (IAS),

Participatory Irrigation Management (PIM), and preparing a regulatory framework for I&D, in

particular supporting finalization of the ―Irrigation Rulebook‖ in both entities in harmony with

EU water directives. Support will be provided to bottom-up end-user groups, including existing

agricultural cooperatives (based on administrative boundaries), or WUAs based on hydrological

boundaries that will be formed under the project. The PIM includes establishing a transparent

fee collection and irrigation payment reporting system that will provide yearly reports to the

10

Taking into account the demand driven activities in Component 2, this may result in changes in the SPs to be

supported in Phase 2.

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annual assembly of each WUA. The IAS includes assisting farmers to access credit and/or

subsidy programs. The FBiH Ministry of Agriculture, Water Management and Forestry

(MOAWMF) and RS Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Water Management (MOAFWM) as

part of their respective rural development support provide co-financing grants for on-farm

equipment and investment tied to efficient and export-oriented production. Component 2 will

strengthen farmer capacity to apply for these grants. Financing will also be available for selective

procurement of on-farm water-monitoring equipment (e.g. soil-moisture monitoring kits, water-

flow meters, ―Total Weather Station‖). The Subcomponents are described in detail in Annex 2.

26. Component 3: Project Implementation Support (Total US$2.4m, of which IDA is

US$2.04m and counterpart is US$0.36m: includes consulting/non-consulting services, goods,

training, and incremental operating costs). This would cover costs of project management

including M&E, safeguards (SP Environmental Management Plans, EMPs), audits, Management

Information System (MIS), the baseline and (final) impact assessment surveys, procurement and

Financial Management (FM) training, and office and mobile equipment.

B. Project Financing

Lending Instrument

27. The total project cost is about US$47.00 million of which US$40 million would be from

an IDA Specific Investment Credit (SIC). In the FBiH the IDA investment amounts to

US$19.50 million and in the RS it amounts to US$20.50 million. The corresponding counterpart

financing is US$7.00 million (15%) and would include contributions from the entities,

cantons/municipalities, and/or end users/WUAs.

28. The private on-farm irrigation facilities will be financed 100% by their end users/WUAs

(hence external to IDP balance sheet and fiduciary, although Component 2 will help farmers to

use these facilities efficiently). The off-farm public good-type assets would be financed 100% by

IDP (Component 1). However, several SPs, particularly in RS, would finance ―semi-public‖

irrigation assets (such as a secondary canal/pipeline), and hence would involve cost sharing of

the capital investments from the pertinent municipality and from the end-users/WUA (e.g. by

20% as per the RS Draft ―Irrigation Guidelines‖, which will be finalized through Technical

Assistance (TA) under Component 2). The Bank and BiH teams would consider that, when

WUAs are expected to contribute to the cost of such semi-public assets, their contribution could

be made ―in kind‖, e.g. by mandating these WUAs to reach-out to the adjacent small farmers for

demonstrating IDP11

and for applying in their farms the extension activities of Component 2.

11

For instance in the Novo Selo SP in RS (622 ha), the design of the introduced off-farm systems was upsized by

20% to add a capacity buffer for any unforeseen losses or to allow adding ―on-demand‖ connections from the

adjacent small-scale farmers (who currently use groundwater to irrigate small farms with a total potentially-irrigable

area of around 2,000 ha).

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Project Cost Table (units in US$000)

C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design

29. Bank experience with development of WUAs in Europe and Central Asia (ECA)

countries has demonstrated both the need to involve water users in the governance, management

and financing of irrigation systems and the need to create a new partnership relationship between

the government, water users and private sector organizations for governance, management,

financing and provision of support services for I&D. Bank experience has also shown that

essential incentives and accountability mechanisms to ensure productive and sustainable

irrigation and drainage systems require that distinctive roles, rights and responsibilities be

designated for government, water users and the private sector.

30. Also, Bank experience has demonstrated that basic and effective water sector reforms

cannot be designed and implemented immediately. Capacity building for strategic change,

stakeholder consultations, studies, pilot interventions and negotiations are all required to identify,

design and implement an acceptable strategy for water sector reform. This requires a step-wise

process of learning and adjustment that stretches over several years. In this project, the Bank

will focus on the preliminary phase of strategic change, which includes capacity building for

strategic change, stakeholder consultations and development of legal and institutional regulations

for WUAs and investment strategies for I&D. The project will benefit from collaborating with

the EU on their work to improve the environmental and agricultural sectors. The Bank will be

able to bring its expertise in irrigation reform and rehabilitation from the ECA region generally,

and the neighboring Balkan countries specifically.

31. The World Bank funded Small-Scale Commercial Agriculture Development (SSCAD

2006-2010) Project included a small component for small-scale irrigation improvements in the

Herzegovina region in RS and in FBiH, including assisting farmers to form new self-financing

water user groups, and strengthening the capacity of existing WUAs in managing the on-farm

Totals Including Contingencies

12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 Total

A. Infrastructure Investment

1. Infrastructure FBIH 1,036 8,014 8,339 663 96 18,147

2. Infrastructure RS 1,276 4,685 8,685 5,939 96 20,681

Subtotal 2,312 12,699 17,023 6,602 192 38,828

B. Irrigation Modernization

1. Irrigation Modernization FBIH 922 933 814 482 520 3,671

2. Irrigation Modernization RS 475 637 428 286 329 2,155

Subtotal 1,397 1,569 1,242 768 850 5,827

C. Project Implementation Support

1. Implementation Support FBIH 225 221 223 226 228 1,122

2. Implementation Support RS 135 279 288 291 288 1,282

Subtotal 360 500 511 517 516 2,404

Total PROJECT COSTS 4,069 14,769 18,777 7,887 1,558 47,059

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irrigation system including O&M. Most schemes were small (micro-schemes), with the largest

covering some 350 ha while works included installation of pump irrigation systems and

extensive repair of a variety of canals. Some 37 WUAs registered in the two entities by mid-

2008. Where drip irrigation systems were installed on lands previously only used for fodder

production, the areas under high value crops increased by 30% on average. Overall the

component was rated as successful where open canal systems reported increases in area irrigated

(+30%) and in crop yields (+20%).

32. Lessons can be learned from SSCAD, notably as to the institutional capability and

commitment of farmers to organize themselves into WUAs to manage part of the system and

financially contribute to the O&M through fees:

(i) While the WUAs and their unions/federations are gaining cohesion and assuming

legal responsibility for irrigation management, the fees collection for the large

systems (several hundred of ha) proved more difficult, especially for those with

public structures and multiple and diverse users. The WUAs at the SSCAD onset

needed to determine the design/implementation priorities together with the local

government, as this helps in developing a sense of ownership;

(ii) Ownership was improved when WUAs undertake/contract the work themselves. A

good approach in SSCAD has been to supply the WUAs with the necessary materials,

while the works are organized by the WUAs, ensuring that the rehabilitation or

proposed expansions are driven by demand from WUA members and farmers12; and

(iii) Because of the need to build capacity it takes few years before WUAs are fully

operational and sustainable. Municipalities needed to be supported through training,

as they had not been well aware that transfer of management responsibility to WUAs

helps to resolve the irrigation problems. The IDP regulatory framework has to

become more specific. That is why in IDP the preparation team ensured that the

eligibility criteria for the selected SPs include farmers predisposition to participate in

selecting the SP design option, form WUAs, and undertake (or pay fees for) O&M.

IV. Implementation

A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

33. The project will be implemented by RS MOAFWM and the FBiH MOAWMF, through

its well-functioning and experienced Agricultural Projects Coordination Unit (APCU) in RS, and

PIU in FBiH, respectively. Both bodies that have served as the focal units for preparing and

12

Farmers across BiH are committed to identifying any such new opportunities to develop local and international

markets. In a growing number of locations initiatives are thriving, creating value chains and conducive financial

environments for farming. These include the structural supply to wholesalers and supermarkets that are active in

southern Europe, contracting with companies that process vegetables and fruits and sell on various outside markets

in Europe, sugar factories, and firms that cater for specialty tourism markets (notably in the south). The experience

with SSCADP and other agricultural projects show a persistent skepticism of farmers toward government and

government-supported cooperatives. However, a substantial number of WUA is established and proven sustainable.

Thus for IDP the capability of the institutions—with the farmers being both stakeholders and partial ―implementers‖

of the project—seems adequate.

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implementing most Donor Agriculture related projects (e.g. on-going World Bank Agriculture

and Rural Development Project). In addition both entities have experience in working with each

other on the same project and in working together to reduce administrative burdens and facilitate

implementation and problem resolution. The APCU and PIU have professional staff for

agriculture and water management, and for procurement, FM and general project oversight.

34. The project activities will be implemented by the entities, as the type of I&D

interventions is localized in nature, where the entity line ministries and local governments have

the needed mandate and adequate capacity. A consultant in each Entity will be hired for project

M&E purposes. In addition, as referred to above, M&E capacity has been built in each Entity

Ministry to monitor rural development investments who would work with these consultants to

keep track of crop patterns, yields and other irrigation and production related variables as part of

the Ministries overall mandate. Information will be compiled in a uniform format for both

entities and shared with Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Relations (MOFTER). A

cross-entity Technical Work Group will be established (by Component 2), whereby the two

Entities would exchange knowledge on Project procedures and lessons learned. See further

details and the organograms in Annex 3.

35. Central level in Sarajevo (FBiH-PIU) and Banja Luka (RS-APCU): The two PIUs are

at close distance from the target SPs, hence can implement Component 1 (around 12

International Competitive Bidding (ICB) works/goods contracts, 1-2 per each SP) in terms of

detailed design, supervision and fiduciary. In doing so they will be supported by: (i) one main

consulting firm (providing design-and-supervision on Component 1 and TA/training on

Component 2) or several firms taking into consideration the phased approach and geographically

dispersed locations of the 12 SPs, and (ii) around 12 individual national/international consultants

(via Component 3) including (1) 5-7 consultants for each PIU (i.e. PIU manager, Procurement

Specialist (PS), Financial Management Specialist (FMS), water engineer/hydrologist,

electro/automation engineer; M&E including safeguards/EMPs); (2) a few local consultants

(extensionists)13

for the 3 field units that will be established by FBiH-MOAWMF (mentioned

hereafter).

36. Decentralized level: The irrigation advisory and WUA formation/capacity building

activities of Component 2 in the SPs will be implemented with the help of existing field

Extension Units of RS-MOAFWM which will be strengthened through the Project, and

supported by creating 3 field units for FBiH-MOAWMF located adjacent to FBiH‘s 6 target SPs.

Those field units will assist in all IDP field activities including assisting the 2 M&E consultants

in accessing field data and debriefing farmers and the indirect (value chain) beneficiaries. The

contract for the design-and-supervision (Component 1) consulting firm may provide cross-

support to Component 2, as its Terms of Reference (TOR) will include TA/training for irrigation

advisory for WUAs, and TA on the irrigation-reform policies for the two line ministries (both

TAs being part of Component 2). If this firm is national rather than international, the PIUs will

strengthen it by hiring few international individual consultants (especially as to the relatively

new topics: irrigation advisory and water management policies).

13

Support from consultants would also be envisaged for the RS extension service under Component 2.

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B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation

37. The PIU and APCU will be responsible for the M&E activities of the project impacts.

This activity will be financed by Components 2 and 314

. In addition, regular M&E surveys will

be coordinated with the M&E personnel of the rural development departments in the Ministries

of each Entity to monitor changes in crop patterns and yields but also farmer investments in

irrigated fields as part of their regular mandate. Information from both Entities will be shared

with MOFTER.

38. The project will finance the M&E activity (mainly under Component 3), facilitated by (i)

hiring one M&E consultant (who will also cover Safeguards/EMPs) in each Entity PIU, and (ii)

establishing MISs in each Entity PIU (in FBiH MOAWMF, RS MAFWM, and MOFTER there

are existing GIS-based databases that will be utilized/enhanced to fulfil the needed MISs in the 2

Entities). The PIU and APCU will seek the good practices for preparing the TOR of the M&E

consultants, and will use the MIS to track progress in project implementation. The M&E activity

will include undertaking baseline and (final) impact assessment surveys, in addition to using the

MIS. The data collected will include crop budgets, water-use data15

, female percentage of the

direct beneficiaries (for the aforementioned PDO Core Indicator), etc.

39. The M&E activity will thus monitor: (i) project physical progress (e.g. works completion

percent versus planned percent) and (ii) evaluate project socioeconomic and environmental

impacts (the aforementioned indicators). The impact studies would be presented in semi-annual

progress reports (to be sent to the Bank and shared with MOFTER). These progress reports

should also include a chapter reporting on safeguards (progress of the EMPs), including a short

―environmental audit‖ of the civil-works contractors to ensure their compliance with the EMPs.

C. Sustainability

Ensuring financial sustainability of the introduced off-farm infrastructure/facilities

40. Component 2 will address this sustainability aspect by providing: (i) TA to RS and FBiH

to help finalize their irrigation-financing ―Rulebooks‖ (guidelines); (ii) strengthen the (on-farm)

Irrigation Advisory Service within the agronomic extension units of MOAWMF, including

helping farmers in IDP target schemes to access credit or demonstration subsidies for the on-

farm equipment and for optimal water use (―more crop per drop‖ and ―less drop per crop‖); (iii)

PIM to form and empower WUAs (as needed in the applicable IDP schemes); and (iv) facilitate

signing tripartite O&M agreements among the end beneficiaries/WUA, the ministry/canton

(assets owner), and the municipality/utility (i.e. the O&M service provider) for the SPs. It is

expected that O&M commitment letters for each of the 4 priority SPs will be signed before IDP

effectiveness, including the: (i) letter by the municipality (or its affiliated utility, or WUA)

entrusted to undertake O&M of the introduced off-farm assets; and (ii) letter by farmers/WUAs

reflecting their predisposition to contribute adequate end-user fees toward these O&M costs.

14

Financed by Component 2 as to the field-based monitoring equipment (e.g. total weather stations), and by

Component 3 as to the M&E consultants and ministry-based MIS. 15

As needed to measure technical indicators such as the incremental water productivity, and also to undertake the

economic analysis for the ICR.

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41. During IDP implementation, the exact O&M fees level and collection mechanism16

will

be identified through (updating) the Project Operation Manual (POM), in consistency with the

(to-be-finalized) Irrigation Rulebooks. These mechanisms will then be legalized through signing

(tripartite) agreements between the end beneficiaries/WUA, the ministry/canton (assets owner),

and the municipality/utility (i.e. the O&M service provider, if not the WUA).

42. Resilience to Climate Change: During Project appraisal the Bank team has undertaken a

fast-tracked study to assess the Project‘s resilience to climate change until the year 2030. The

study suggested that the Project is fairly resilient to climate change, and moreover, its activities

(the ―supply augmentation‖ facilitated by Component 1 and ―demand management‖ facilitated

by Component 2) could improve adaptation to climate change. See details in Annex 2.

V. Key Risks and Mitigation Measures

Risk Ratings Summary Table

Risk Rating

Stakeholder Risk Moderate

Implementing Agency Risk Moderate

- Capacity Moderate

- Governance Low

Project Risk Moderate

- Design Moderate

- Social and Environmental Moderate

- Program and Donor Low

- Delivery Monitoring and Sustainability Moderate

Overall Implementation Risk Moderate

Overall Risk Rating Explanation

43. The overall risk rating is Moderate, likelihood-driven. The economic fundamentals for

the project are sound, and the gradual alignment of BiH‘s agricultural policies with the EU

Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) will further create long-term conducive arrangements,

markets and value chains that will benefit investment in irrigation. Nonetheless, as these reform

processes and the emergence and consolidation of markets can take time, it is possible that the

financial incentives to irrigate certain crops or certain locations can be temporarily affected. A

16

Such fees can be based on: (i) volumetric water metering or (ii) a proxy per area cultivated (per ha) adjusted by

crop type/intensity (practical where collection rates are low, or with open-canal systems where water regulation is

level-based rather than discharge-based). Both approaches are referred to in the FBiH Draft Irrigation Rulebook.

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major risk concerns poor cooperation between the Entities at political level that potentially can

paralyze decision-making at Entity level. On the other hand, the experience is that at the

technical and operational levels the agencies actually do share experience and cooperate, and

make progress by being flexible. In addition, the project does not particularly depend on State

level decisions or interventions for successful implementation. Overall, the institutional

arrangements, implementation capacity and readiness are satisfactory, although on some

regulatory issues such as establishing WUAs and the recovery of irrigation fees, support will be

sought from the Borrower on the strengthening of regulations. In general, at the levels of the

implementing agencies, local governments and farmers, the main risk for IDP concerns some

lack of experience and capacity for certain tasks such as: (i) design and supervision of works and

(ii) post-construction O&M. These will likely create regular, but manageable, challenges during

implementation, that will be mitigated by: (i) engaging farmers and municipalities early in

selecting the design option, and securing up-front written commitment letters as to O&M

(already done by appraisal); and (ii) by providing on-the-job capacity building during

implementation through Component 2 for farmers/WUAs (and through the design-and-

supervision TA under Component 1, for the water ministries and local utilities).

VI. Appraisal Summary

A. Economic and Financial Analysis

44. As the irrigation and drainage SPs to be supported under IDP will be fully determined

during implementation, the economic and financial analysis for selected representative SPs have

been undertaken during the appraisal to illustrate benefits from the project. During the appraisal,

the analysis was made on the Gorazde (FBiH) and Novo Selo (RS) SPs, identified by BiH as two

of the priority SPs selected for IDP support during its early stage. Gorazde is the most expensive

SP under IDP in terms of unit costs per hectare.

45. In Gorazde, investments will install six shared pumping stations, low-cost water

reservoirs, buried PVC pipes to water conveyance, and provide turnouts (hydrants) to groups of

farmers. These off-farm investments would reach US$2.00 million. The area is located in the

Municipality Foča-Ustikolina, Canton Bosansko-Podrinski, and the water source is the Drina

River along the south west banks of Gorazde Town. Total gross benefited area would be about

200 to 300 ha where irrigation has been practiced through small-scale individual irrigation

systems for many years. Crop and farm models (see Annex 7) have been simulated for the

relevant crops using ―with‖ and ―without‖ scenarios, which differ on the expected yields and

production costs as irrigation is made available and reliable. On average, crop yields are

expected to increase by about 50% in the project areas. But for those farmers that initially have

no access to water and due to the project are able to receive irrigation, the increase could be 2 to

3 times their current levels. As farm sizes are small, some land consolidation is expected, as well

as the development of a leasing market for land. These project improvements would allow for

increases in household income by about 55 to 134 %, depending on the farm size and cropping

patterns. The overall economic rate of return (ERR) was estimated at 16.3 %, and the Net Present

Value amounts to US$456,667 using a discount rate of 12 %. The economic analysis considered

costs and benefits from the country‘s perspective. Costs and benefits were valued at market

prices in most of the cases because there are very few significant market distortions in

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agricultural prices in BiH. A shadow pricing conversion factor was used only for the project

investments (0.83) which accounts for an average 17 % of taxes included on all investments.

46. A sensitivity analysis was performed assuming: (i) higher investment costs, and (ii) a

reduction in the level of cropping change/diversification in the area. If all investment costs

would be 20 % above the base assumption, the ERR would be reduced to 13.4 %. If crop

diversification would be reduced to 50% of the base assumption, the ERR would be reduced to

12.5 %. Only when both adverse events occur simultaneously (which is less likely), the ERR

could drop to 9.8 %. Similar results were obtained for the Novo Selo SP in RS (see Annex 7).

Based on these economic, financial and sensitivity analysis, especially for Gorazde SP which is

the most expensive SP (in unit cost) under IDP, it can be concluded that the planned IDP

investments have a high probability of inducing in a significant development impact.

B. Technical

47. Designs for works under the SPs under Phase 1 have been prepared by a team of local

consultants. Designs were revised based on recommendations from the Bank task team.

48. There is a need to increase the irrigation-design capacity in the responsible agencies in

the Entities, to use the current best-practice design parameters in designing the irrigation

systems. Therefore, senior irrigation experts will complement the PIUs to provide assistance with

drafting Terms of Reference, setting appropriate design standards and procedures, and to support

the design-and-supervision firms preparing the preliminary and final designs for the Phase 2 and

Phase 3 SPs. Preliminary designs for Phase 1 SPs are already according to appropriate standards

(as per the due diligence from the Bank team). In addition, under Component 2, a training

program for design-engineering firms will be established in order to increase the knowledge of

both young professionals and senior engineers on modern irrigation standards.

49. Contractors in the region have good experience with implementing piped water supply

systems, also under World Bank-financed projects, like Mostar Water Supply and Sanitation,

Urban Infrastructure and Service Delivery and SSCADP in BiH, IDP in Serbia, and other

infrastructure projects. Construction of piped irrigation systems is fairly similar, and hence there

are no foreseeable obstacles to implementing the civil works according to the schedule. Under

this project, construction supervision firms will be contracted to supervise the works, and also

the capacity and experience of these firms in the region are assessed satisfactorily.

C. Financial Management

50. An assessment of the financial management capacity was carried out by the Bank in

December 2011. The assessment concluded that the financial management arrangements are

acceptable to the Bank and that the overall financial management risk is moderate with the

application of the mitigation measures.

51. The APCU and PIU will maintain a financial management system acceptable to the Bank.

The project financial statements, including Statement of Expenditure (SOEs) and Designated

Account (DA) Statements will be audited by independent auditors acceptable to the Bank and on

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terms of reference acceptable to the Bank. The annual audited financial statements and the audit

report will be provided to the Bank within six months of the end of each fiscal year. The APCU

and PIU shall also prepare and furnish to the Bank not later than forty five (45) days after the end

of each calendar quarter, interim unaudited financial reports for the project covering the quarter,

in form and substance satisfactory to the Bank.

52. Both APCU and PIU are currently implementing the World Bank funded project ARDP.

The ARDP has acceptable FM arrangements. The quarterly Interim Unaudited Financial Reports

(IFRs) are submitted regularly and there are no overdue audit reports.

D. Procurement

53. The APCU and the PIU would oversee all IDP procurement activities. The APCU is

staffed by four staff comprising two PSs, and two FMSs, and the PIU is staffed by four staff

comprising two PSs, and FMSs supported by a FM Assistant. All Procurement Officers, possess

relevant experiences in using Bank‘s procurement procedures, gained under previous projects

and currently staff the procurement function.

54. The Bank PS carried out an assessment of the Implementing Agency‘s capacity to carry

out procurement for IDP. The key issues have been identified, including the fact that few

Procurement Officers have not received formal training, and they might be overloaded. At least

one out of the three ongoing projects under their responsibility is expected to close within the

next year. In order to build-in and maintain strong procurement management capacity in the PIU

and APCU, the following actions will be undertaken:

the relevant staff will be urged to attend training organized by relevant institutions or

by the Bank;

the Bank would carry out a brief training session on procurement during the Project

launch workshop and would also provide the two units with a full set of the most

recent guidelines, bidding, proposal and evaluation documents;

the Bank would provide subsequent follow-up training sessions on procurement

during implementation as deemed necessary.

55. The APCU and the PIU has developed the Procurement Plan for the IDP first 18 months,

which provides the basis for the procurement methods. It would also be available in the Project‘s

database and in the Bank‘s external website. The Procurement Plan would be updated by the

Project Team, as a minimum, annually or as required to reflect the actual implementation needs

and improvements in institutional capacity. The updated Procurement Plan would also be

submitted to the Bank for its approval.

E. Social Sustainability, Gender and Social Safeguards

56. The project expected outcomes anticipate increased inclusion and significant

participation of small and vulnerable farmers, including women. Overall the expansion of

commercial agriculture and the restructuring of semi-subsistence farmers geared to improve the

economic viability of the agricultural holdings will create on-farm and off-farm employment,

help consolidate rural communities, and encourage investment in supporting infrastructure and

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services. The proposed SPs cover a very broad set of beneficiaries reaching from subsistence

farms to agribusiness (see Annex 8 on the first-phase priority SPs). The SPs in phase 2 and 3 will

reflect similar social characteristics and incentives for a more inclusive and equitable services.

57. No land acquisition is foreseen under the project. Provisionally the Bank policy on

Involuntary Resettlement (OP4.12) has been triggered, since the potential areas (other than the

first-year priority SPs) for project interventions have not been specifically identified. In case

land acquisition arises for any specific SP, the project has established an Environmental and

Social Management Framework (ESMF, which includes a Resettlement Policy Framework RPF),

on the basis of which, for this SP, a Land Acquisition Plan will be developed, reviewed, cleared

and disclosed publically prior to the commencement of any physical works. On social risks that

go beyond safeguards, the project will promote establishing participatory WUAs, aiming at

ensuring a more equitable access and use of the improved irrigation systems, particularly in

relation to the needs of smaller farmers, including women.

58. Strengthening Participation of Women: The project will encourage the participation of

women through the social mobilization activities under the PIM (Component 2). It will dedicate

separate sessions for women, aiming at increasing their roles throughout the subproject cycle

(including WUA administration and decision-making). Women‘s involvement in the project will

be monitored as a supplementary indicator of the PDO Core Indicator on Direct Beneficiaries,

and also in terms of female membership in the WUA.

F. Environment (including safeguards)

59. The Project has been classified as a Category B project requiring a Partial Environmental

Assessment. Since some of the schemes/SPs were not known at the time of Appraisal, an ESMF

document has been prepared, while site-specific EMPs have been prepared for five priority SPs.

60. The Project activities focus on: (i) rehabilitating irrigation and drainage infrastructure,

including construction, reconstruction, upgrading, and modernization, on existing agricultural

land; (ii) introduction of new technologies in irrigated agriculture; and (iii) institutional

development, strengthening of water resources management institutions and introducing a

participatory approach to water management. The Project schemes (being of a small size) will

not pose significant additional demands on the water bodies. Therefore, the majority of

environmental impacts associated with the Project are limited to simple and standard

(re)construction works (dust, noise, disruptions, waste generation) with proper maintenance and

decrease of water losses in the system mandated during operation of the systems. An ESMF

document has been prepared and disclosed with meaningful public consultations in country.

Detailed EMPs made for the four priority SPs were attached to the ESMF document with

disclosure and public consultations on sites; and similar detailed SP-specific EMPs will be

prepared for the next-stage SPs.

61. Even though the actual environmental impacts during Project implementation are

minimal, and are reflected in the (re)construction/rehabilitation works with proper mitigation

measures, the positive environmental impacts and effects of the overall Project will be

significant. First and foremost the usage of water for irrigation will be better planned and

organized at the local level. Adequate maintenance of irrigation systems will help decrease the

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water losses within the system, and the water usage will be rationalized through improved

methods of irrigation. Through the establishment of WUAs, the planned and rational method of

water use will be strengthened, and the irrigation users of water will have an organization that

would be able to represent them as an equal partner in future planning of river basin management

or any other discussions between water users among sectors such as power, tourism, water

supply etc.

62. Even though the Pest Management policy (OP4.09) has not been triggered, the ESMF

document provides an overview of the pest management policies in Bosnia and Herzegovina, as

well as the progress in this sector made by the World Bank financed ARDP. The ESMF also

provides a framework for training and education of farmers, if necessary.

Other Safeguards Policies Triggered (if required)

63. International Waterways Policy of the Bank (OP7.50): The current IDP design

provisionally entails triggering OP7.50; however, project analysis suggests there will be no

impact (from the first-stage 4 priority SPs) on the quantity or quality of the water available to the

riparians. Thus, Bank management has agreed that the project falls within the exception to the

notification requirement under paragraph 7(a) of OP7.50. Nevertheless, as per paragraph 7(b) of

OP7.50, the FBiH and RS (MOAWMFs) will remain responsible for examining, and acting on,

any emerging riparian issues (if any) as IDP advances, i.e. depending on the findings of the SP-

specific EMPs for the next-stage SPs.

64. Conditionality

Effectiveness conditions:

1. Project Agreement signed between IDA and either of the two Entities; and

2. For the Entity which met the above condition: (i) Subsidiary Agreement signed between

this Entity and the State (MOFT) and (ii) Project Operation Manual (POM) prepared by

this Entity and accepted by IDA.

Disbursement conditions:

1. Project Agreement signed between IDA and the Entity where disbursement is needed;

2. Subsidiary Agreement signed between the State (MOFT) and the Entity where

disbursement is needed; and

3. Legal opinion stating that these Project and Subsidiary Agreements are authorized.

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Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring

PDO Statement

The Project Development Objectives (PDO) is to improve the performance of the irrigation systems and the irrigation institutions to support agricultural

producers in the project areas. .

Project Development Objective Indicators

Cumulative Target Values Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility for

Data Collection Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 End Target Frequency

Incremental areas with

improved irrigation systems

Yes Hectares 0 0 4,000 6,000 8,000 9,000 Annual

MIS fed by field

visits, baseline and impact assessment

surveys

(Component 3)

PIU and APCU.

Supported by two M&E and

safeguards

consultants

Direct beneficiaries without

(tail-end) water shortage or drainage problems.

Supplemental indicator:

Female percentage

Yes

Number 0 0 8,000 12,000 16,000 18,000 Annual Idem Idem

Incremental

Female percentage 0 0

0

0

5 10 Annual Idem Idem

Intermediate Results Indicators

Cumulative Target Values Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility for

Data Collection Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 End Target Frequency

Incremental irrigation-water added (Component 1)

Million Cubic Meters per Year

0 0 10 15 20 25 Annual

Baseline and impact

assessment surveys. Volumetric

metering or desk-based method.

PIU and APCU.

Supported by two M&E and

safeguards consultants

Number of end-user O&M

agreements signed and

adopted (Component 2)

Number 0 0 2 4 7 10 Annual

MIS fed by field

visits, baseline and impact assessment

surveys.

Idem

Improved rate of O&M fee

collection within two

seasons after starting the irrigation service (Comp. 2)

Percentage 30 (TBC) 30 35 50 60 70

Semi-

annual Idem Idem

Conducive regulatory

framework for irrigation

management (Comp. 2)

Number of

Irrigation Rulebooks

finalized

0 0 0

1

2

2

Annual NA PIU and APCU.

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Annex 2: Detailed Project Description

Subproject selection and planning of interventions

1. Based primarily on slope and soil suitability, around 168,000 ha is considered to have good

potential for irrigation based on a study by the Federal Institute for Agro-Pedology in Sarajevo,

but it is unlikely that all of this area would be feasible on economic grounds. In RS, around 4,500

ha were irrigated in 1991 with some 1,700 ha currently irrigated including some schemes

improved with SSCAD project support. Around 115,000 ha are considered to have good potential

for irrigation based on a study by the autonomous Institute for Water Management in Bijeljina,

RS. Considering the terrain conditions, RS may have an overall larger area that is economically

attractive for irrigation investments than the Federation.

2. Across BiH Crop yields, and potential options for growing high-value crops and double-

cropping, are restricted without irrigation primarily due to prolonged dry spells during summer.

This problem is especially evident in the Mediterranean south-west, where yields may be 30-40%

less. For example, in Ljubuski in FBiH, typical yield reductions are estimated to be in the order of

37%. In the northern areas along the Sava river typical yield reductions may be around 20-30%,

with less in the central and mountain areas.

3. Each irrigation scheme, in effect, would need to be carefully tailored to the local water

resources and hydrological conditions. In some locations, the water would need to be drawn from

groundwater and in others from surface waters, or through conjunctive water use. The surface

water can be drawn in some locations from small local creeks whilst in others it needs to be

pumped or abstracted from larger rivers, or reservoirs. Torrential water flows may also be a

problem in river valleys, such as near Tuzla, requiring flood protection measures. Extensive

drainage is required in the plains areas such as along the Sava and Neretva rivers, with in some

instances the same canalizations to be used for both water adduction and for flood water

management, depending on the season. In a number of locations, also in the Sava plain, the need

emerges to integrate irrigation water development and management into an overall local water

management strategy. For example, in the Bijeljina region, the irrigation takes place in the plain

area bordering the Sava and the Drina rivers in the north and east, respectively, which are running

along the border with neighboring Croatia and Serbia. In the summer, these rivers may in the

future not be able to meet the growing demand from the towns and industry as well as agriculture

without affecting water use rights elsewhere. The plain, however, also receives seasonal high

water discharge from the mountain torrents in the south. To store water in order to provide a

reliable water supply year-round, and simultaneously control peak flood discharge, reservoirs may

become feasible solutions in the medium term. Finally, the quality of the water may increasingly

become an issue, as some surface water is suffering from pollution, whilst the drainage waters

from irrigated fields may also carry excess fertilizer and pesticides into rivers and lakes.

4. Constraints to irrigation improvements include (i) land fragmentation, with parcels often

only 0.2 to 0.3 ha per plot; (ii) the intensive efforts still required to form WUAs, and potential

difficulties in collection of water use fees; (iii) the relatively high cost of schemes partly due to the

dilapidated nature of the former systems; (iv) the environmental issues especially in the Neretva

river valley; and (v) institutional and regulatory issues with respect to water charges. Inadequate

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advisory services, especially in FBiH, lack of available funds for on-farm improvements, and

market limitations are also important constraints.

5. The proposed project thus aims to improve the performance of the irrigation systems and

the irrigation institutions to support agricultural producers in the project areas. This objective

would be achieved through: (i) rehabilitating irrigation and drainage infrastructure, including

construction, reconstruction, upgrading, and modernization, on existing agricultural land; (ii)

introduction of new technologies in irrigated agriculture; and (iii) institutional development,

strengthening of water resources management institutions and introducing a participatory approach

to water management.

6. Component 1: Infrastructure Investment (83% of project cost, US$38.80m). This

component will finance the implementation of I&D infrastructure rehabilitation works in about 12

SPs, of which 6 each located in RS and FBiH. The sub-projects are selected from the long-lists of

potential SPs that were prepared by the two Ministries. In FBiH this was based notably on

proposals submitted by the cantons. The SPs all take place on existing agricultural land that in the

past has been provided for irrigation services In some of the SPs the first priority will be on

restoring or improving drainage to ensure proper water management. The works will comprise

rehabilitating irrigation and drainage infrastructure, including construction, reconstruction,

upgrading, and modernization, on existing agricultural lands; and introduction of new technologies

in irrigated agriculture, especially drip irrigation and low-pressure sprinklers.

7. The RS has prepared a comprehensive Study and the Action Plans tabulating estimated

costs for all existing and potential new schemes17

(SPs); it has also prepared a first study towards

pre-feasibility analysis in 2009. For both entities, in May-September 2010 international

consultants prepared feasibility studies for the pre-selected 12 SPs based on local baseline data,

and crop and farm budgets. Financial Internal Rate of Returns ( FIRRs ) of the 12 SPs vary from

9% to 60% but with a median value of 20-30% (the lower FIRRs relate to drainage projects where

a part of the benefits cannot be quantified without deeper study). The B/C ratios vary from 1.25 to

above 3. Average investment cost per ha varies from US$1,500 to 3,000/ha, with the unit costs

being somewhat higher in RS than in FBiH. In general, the feasibility of the investments seems

robust.

8. The prioritization of SPs thus was based on selection criteria, including economic and

financial feasibility (including the capability and commitment of the users and local governments

to pay fees and for O&M), technical adequacy, environmental and institutional sustainability,

clarity of land tenure, and readiness for implementation. The project will be implemented in three

17

The Action Plan takes a comprehensive approach of all potentially attractive schemes, and specifies, per scheme,

the expenditures for (i) Phase I: Rehabilitation of existing schemes (incl. drainage, main intake and distribution works,

roads, etc.) on 7262 ha; (ii) Phase II, Stage 1: Development of new irrigation areas on 40,203 ha; (iii) Phase II, Stage

2: Hydro-technical melioration (incl. flood protection, drainage, reservoirs, rural roads, etc.); (iv) Phase II: Land

redistribution and agro-technical melioration; and (vi) Phase II: Foundation investment (incl. data and maps, studies,

etc.). The expenditure for Phase I alone already would amount to about KM 147 million (about US$80 million, or

about US$10,000/ha). A multi-criteria analysis is applied to rank the schemes; however, the ranking does not involve

a rigorous economic and institutional feasibility analysis.

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phases. Phase 1 will comprise about 4 schemes18

that would be completely prepared by mid

CY2012 with respect to detail design, institutional readiness, safeguards, environmental and

construction permits, and procurement of contractors, in order to start the works during the first

year of the project. A summary for these 4 SPs is presented in the Table below. About 9

additional sub-projects will be in different stages of readiness by Effectiveness and will be

grouped into Phases 2 and 3. This component will fund the Phase 2 and 3 sub-projects

preparation, as well as for their subsequent implementation. It will be considered whether the

funding can also cover preparing the designs and other documentation for meritorious sub-projects

to be implemented under other financing.

9. Component 2: Irrigation Modernization (12% of project cost, US$5.8m). This

component would support the capacity strengthening of the Ministries, the Water Agencies, the

Irrigation Extension services in RS and FBiH, and participating municipalities and cantons in

addressing: the new sector policies, establishing and strengthening WUAs, the O&M arrangements

for the introduced infrastructure/facilities, the fee determination, fee collection and management,

and related water resources and irrigation management. It will support establishing a transparent

fee collection and irrigation payment reporting system that will provide yearly reports to the

annual assembly of each WUA. The Component will also fund on-farm IAS, PIM, selected on-

farm water monitoring equipment, and assist farmers access to credit and/or subsidy programs for

on-farm equipment for optimizing irrigation use (―more crop per drop‖ and ―less drop per crop‖).

This Component thus includes 3 main Subcomponents.

a. Subcomponent (2a) Agency-level Strengthening: This subcomponent will support

the: (i) Development of the regulatory framework for operating irrigation schemes

(tariff methodology, benchmarking of financial and technical performance, etc); and

(ii) Support the preparation of future irrigation strategies for the Entities. This

subcomponent would also support establishing a Technical Working Group

comprising representatives of both Entities to enhance the learning from experiences

across the country and help improve policy coordination;

b. Subcomponent (2b) Farm-level Irrigation Advisory Service (IAS) and

Modernization: This subcomponent would finance (i) Strengthening the knowledge

of the Entities field-level advisors on IAS, train WUAs on O&M, including on water

quality and environmental aspects of irrigation and drainage); (ii) support on-farm

demonstrations of water-saving good practices (e.g. irrigation re-scheduling, laser

land leveling, help WUAs access subsidy/credit on low-pressure sprinklers and drip

networks); and (iii) finance on-farm water-management equipment for each SP

serving no less than 1,000 ha (soil-moisture monitoring kits, water-flow meters,

―Total Weather Station‖ on specific/demo SPs to help compute the soil-water balance

components, including evapo-transpiration, effective rainfall, upward capillary); and

c. Subcomponent (2c) On-demand training: This will finance demand-driven training

for WUAs, related to improved agricultural technologies and practices and linking to

markets.

18

These are the Novo Selo, in Bijeljina and Pelagicevo (RS), respectively, and Mostarsko polje, Siroki Brijeg and

Gorazde, respectively (FBiH).

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10. Component 3: Project Implementation Support (5% of project cost, US$2.4m). This

would cover costs of project management by each entity/PIU, including M&E, safeguards

(EMPs), audits, MIS, procurement and FM training, office and mobile equipment, and baseline

and (final) impact assessment surveys.

Table A1: Priority Subprojects for the first year of IDP

SP

Salient Features

FBiH RS

Mostarsko polje Gorazde Pilagecevo Novo Selo

Baseline area ha 2,916 ha 153 ha 202 ha 622 ha

Crops Mixed arable, vegetables

(also in greenhouses), fruit

trees.

Foca Municipality:

vegetables open

field, greenhouses,

orchard.

Goradze

Municipality (5

plots): Orchard,

mainly apples

Grains, corn,

sunflower, soya,

industrial tomato.

Grains, alfalfa,

seeds, industrial

tomato, sugar beet,

potatoes, carrots,

corn, sunflower.

Water-user type Five main plots, each being

a big group of individual

farmers.

Several small

farmers. Low

incomes.

Firm (former

kombinat). In two

plots: Gojkovo

(surface-water

source) and Stakica

(tubewell source).

Mainly a firm (622

ha, former

kombinat). Potential

additional

beneficiaries are the

adjacent small

farmers with total

irrigable 2,000ha

(now irrigating only

on groundwater).

Current off-farm

irrigation

system/problems

(onfarm always

privately-owned

piped; not

financed by

IDP).

Short of water. Existing

gravity-based surface-canal

system (main and

secondaries). Two tail-end

plots not left with enough

water (370 households, 200

ha).

No off-farm

distribution system

in place. Farmers

next to river pump

water directly,

whereas distanced

ones move water

from river by trucks.

Outdated piped

system.

Outdated piped

system.

Off-farm

irrigation system

introduced by

IDP.

Renovate 3 dilapidated

Aqueducts. Lining and

extension of main canal and

rehab secondary canals.

Rotational irrigation

delivery (hence a reduced/

rationalized quota for each

plot).

Establish a new

pumping-based

distribution system

from water source to

farms. Includes

adding a low-cost

surface reservoir.

Rotational delivery.

Submerged

centrifugal pumps.

Low pressure

Sprinklers for large

plots and drips for

small plots.

Rotational delivery.

These will use an

existing small

impoundment

(surface reservoir)

for Gojkovo plot.

24 kilometers of

new pipelines. Low-

pressure sprinklers

for large plots and

drips for small plots.

7 new wells up 12m

depth. Design

upsized by 20%

buffer to allow

adding ―on-

demand‖

connections from

the adjacent small-

scale farmers.

Rotational delivery.

Subproject off-

farm investment.

US$5.0 million US$2.00 million US$1.2 million US$2.9 million

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Off-farm O&M

arrangement

Paid by WUA (to be

formed).

O&M performed by water

utility delegated by the

municipality.

Paid by WUA (to be

formed).

O&M performed by

the municipality.

By the firm By the firm

Key IDP impact Tail-end water shortage

eliminated. Improved yields

all over the scheme.

Grow additional

crop. Hired labor

doubled. Improved

value chain.

Grow additional

crop. Hired labor

increased from 36 to

around 60.

Improved value

chain.

Expand horizontally

and vertically.

Much more

industrial tomatoes.

Demo to adjacent

small-scale farmers

(who may thereby

decide to connect).

11. For environmental safeguards purposes, the project would be Category B. For the 4

schemes of Phase 1, EMPs will be prepared. In addition, an ESMF has been prepared to guide

assessment of the environmental impact of Phase 2 and 3 schemes and identification of

environmental mitigation measures needed to address their environmental impact if any. The

activities will include rehabilitation and upgrading of the main and secondary irrigation pipes and

canals, ponds and tanks, and related water conveyance infrastructure; rehabilitation and upgrading

of existing pumping stations; cleaning and rehabilitation of main and secondary drains, gates,

pipes and ancillary structures. No dams will be involved. The Project will focus on existing

agricultural land with existing irrigation schemes, and no conversion of land or works on natural

habitats is envisaged. The Project will finance activities related to agricultural land, and no

activities on forested land are foreseen. The ESMF outlines considerations for determining any

transboundary and watershed related impact (where relevant) and includes a record of public

consultations and major comments. A Site-specific EMP will be prepared for each sub-project, to

include, in addition to issues described in the ESMF, an analysis of the cumulative impact of the

proposed sub-project, including its impact on the water resource from which it draws water, and

on other water users in the (sub-) catchment area. Similarly, land acquisition would be governed

by the RPF (given in the ESMF); no resettlement is anticipated.

12. Climate change: The impact of 3 possible climate change scenarios on the proposed

irrigation systems located in the Sava basin (Novo Selo and Pelagicevo SPs) were analyzed at

Project appraisal. The climate scenarios were based on the regional EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade

University - Princeton Oceanic Model) and on a climate trends analysis done under the World

Bank study on South-Eastern Europe Water and Climate Adaptation.

13. The analysis suggested that the irrigation systems in Novo Selo and in Pelagicevo are

fairly resilient against the climate change scenarios for 2020 and 2030. Due to the relatively small

sizes of the Project's irrigation systems, the overall water balance will not be considerably affected

under these scenarios. Where peak irrigation-water demand in July and August may increase by

10%, this demand increment can be met by increasing the operating hours of the irrigation systems

from a minimum of 15.3 to a maximum of 17.7 hours per day.

14. Two of these 3 scenarios predict an increase in rainfall (i.e. supply) that offsets a

comparable increase in evapo-transpiration (ET, i.e. demand). The most pessimistic scenario of

these 3 scenarios predicts increasing the soil-moisture deficit (i.e. gap between ET and rainfall,

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which warrants increased irrigation) by around 15% by year 2030, but this would still be

manageable as long as:

WUAs/farmers would by this time learn how to adapt to climate change (e.g.

following the PIM and IAS activities introduced by the Project‘s Component 2);

and/or

The concept of enhanced "conjunctive use" between surface and groundwater is

adopted (e.g. facilitated by Project Components 1 and 2), i.e. to pump more

groundwater during the summer peak to utilize the groundwater stored during the

rainy season (especially if climate change would increase rainfall in the non-

summer/winter season, in a way that increases the recharge to groundwater).

15. Selection Criteria for the SPs: Proposed irrigation SPs/schemes will be eligible for

funding under IDP if they meet the criteria set out below. The SPs may include investment and

activities related to drainage and protection of valuable agricultural land and assets from

inundation. An SP is considered to include all infrastructure components corresponding to a

complete operational irrigation (and drainage) system, or in the case of large schemes, to include

all infrastructure systems corresponding to a rational self-contained development phase or portion

of the overall scheme. The selection will be based on a process. The PIU and APCU will prepare

and update a ―long list‖ of potentially qualifying SPs. A first list has been developed for RS and

FBiH as part of the 2010 Pre-feasibility Analysis of Irrigation Schemes. Based on the selection

criteria below, a ranking of priority will be assigned, from where the most meritorious SPs will be

chosen for preparation and implementation, following the Entity and World Bank rules. The

considerations to be applied include the following, but may not be limited to these:

16. Strong local demand and ownership, and readiness. The most convincing indicator for a

successful irrigation investment is that the group of future water users on the site, and their local

government, are fully aware of the selection criteria below, have prepared a convincing proposal,

and show a high degree of commitment and readiness. This commitment and readiness will be

gauged by, in particular:

1. Farmers have already a realistic notion that they will financially contribute by paying

for on-farm investments, and for annual O&M fees. These expenses should be not

more than 25% of the expected benefits from the new or additional crop income

created by the irrigation.

2. Farmers and local government are committing, in writing, to pay a portion of the

main investment costs (10 or 20%, or more). In principle, the higher the committed

local fund, the more preferred the SP.

3. Farmers are able to show concrete specific plans for introducing higher-value crops

and for the improved marketing of their new produce.

4. Where the SP/ scheme will benefit a group of farmers, concrete steps are being taken

to establish a WUA.

5. Each farmer/ water user submits a written letter of commitment that (i) s/he will

become member of the WUA, will use the irrigation water, and agree on jointly

agreed water use rotation plans, (ii) s/he will pay the regular O&M/ water fee as

billed by the local water utility, (iii) s/he will pay for or arrange for the on-farm

investment (everything beyond the standpipe), (iv) s/he will contribute X % (TBD in

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the POM) to the cost of the main system (as applicable), and (v) s/he will abide by

the Irrigation Rulebook and any other relevant regulation.

6. The local government submits a written letter of commitment that (i) it will extend

training and extension support to the water users, and (ii) it will agree with the water

users on the assignment of its water utility, public works department, or other

suitable agency, with the O&M tasks of the system, against which the utility or

agency will collect the O&M fees from the farmers. Alternatively, the WUA can

assume such tasks itself, contract it out to a contractor, or agree with an Entity-level

agency to carry out these tasks.

17. Sound economic and financial feasibility. The SP economic and financial analysis should

be undertaken, comparing the following:

1. Per-hectare investment cost (USD/ha) covering all necessary investment for the main

water supply (pumps, reservoirs, main pipes, site preparation, power connection and

all related costs, but excluding on-farm expenditures to be borne by the water user

such as irrigation beams, pipes and hoses, small tank, etc.). Costs should be below

USD2,000/ha.

2. Economic and financial analysis, to be based on the comparison between the with-

project and without-project, and taking into account the life duration, annual O&M

expenditures and water use cycles of the system, and the qualitative and market-

based information concerning the intended realistic improvements in crop types, crop

yields, and/or cropping area expansions, and the net incremental income that will be

generated that can be directly imputed to the investment. The Economic Rate of

Return should exceed 12% in case of full irrigation, or 9% in case of demonstrable

additional social benefits that may be difficult to quantify, such as in the case of flood

protection or improved drainage that would also benefit non-agricultural interests.

3. The water users/ farmers who will benefit from the investment should have

demonstrably commercially viable farm operations. Larger farms (e.g., larger than 2-

5ha, depending on crop type, livestock presence, and full-time labor input) are more

likely to be able to generate enough annual revenue to pay on-farm investments and

annual O&M fees to run the system. Depending on the case, some smaller farmers

can join the scheme and association. In general, irrigation investments in small areas

of less than 100ha are unfeasible, however, for each case a complete cost-benefit

analysis is necessary. Schemes with limited costs (for minimal rehabilitation or

modernization) and high incremental income, will have higher ERR and are,

therefore, priority.

18. Minimal complexity and environmental and social safeguards issues. Technical,

environmental, social and other complexities can potentially jeopardize or reduce potential

viability:

1. Modest environmental safeguards issues: Possible complexity may arise from non-

secure water supply for the farmers, due to unreliable precipitation or local

hydrological conditions, or due to uncertainty over existing legal rights to the water

by other water users. Sites where water capture and conveyance are difficult, or

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drainage is problematic for example due to uncertainty over longer term water

management decisions, should rank low on the priority list. Other complexity

aspects include the vicinity of Nature parks or Natura 2000 and Ramsar sites. Other

issues to be addressed concern disposal of dirt and materials, and increased use of

pesticides and fertilizer.

2. Secure land tenure. Sites where land ownership is disputed, or where land leases are

shorter than 15 year, are to be avoided.

3. Modest social safeguards issues: Preference will be given to sites without significant

land acquisition or resettlement issues. Preference will be given to schemes where

the benefits of irrigation will accrue to a larger number of people, especially family-

held farms. Agricultural firms are acceptable as beneficiary, but only to a modest

degree.

4. Impact on poverty and social advancement: Preference will be given to schemes

where the irrigation investment will have a demonstrably large impact to lift local

incomes, generate local jobs, contribute to local social cohesion by spreading the

benefits, and contribute to development of commercially viable farms.

5. Sites with potential risks regarding mines or unexploded ordnance cannot be funded.

Areas known to have been mined, should have a certification that they are mine-free.

19. Completeness. The timeframe for implementation, and the scope of the proposed SP/

scheme should be limited in comparison to the overall project. For some of the larger and/or more

complex potential SPs this would result in slicing the SP in smaller self-contained rational discrete

and/or contiguous phases of development of the overall scheme.

20. Regional distribution. As the project aims to offer fair chances for development to all

municipalities, the SPs should aim for a reasonably balanced distribution over the territory of each

Entity, and strictly based on technical and economic selection criteria.

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Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements

1. Project institutional and implementation arrangements

Project administration mechanism

1. Water Management including irrigation is under the responsibility of the two Entities.

Each entity has its own Water code and is responsible for its implementation. Both entities have

developed their own legislation and regulatory framework with the support of EU and have their

own institutional arrangements reflecting the respective administrative levels. Therefore, the legal

framework for water is largely harmonized with the EU one.

2. In RS and FBiH, the project will be implemented by the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry

and Water Management (MoAFWM) and the Ministry of Agriculture, Water Management and

Forestry (MoAWMF) that already have ample experience with projects financed by the Bank

(such as SSCADP and the Neretva-Trebisnjica Project) as well as other financiers (IFAD, bilateral

donors, etc.). They also are the direct counterpart for the EC in matters relating to agriculture and

water management. As an important positive feature for the purpose of IDP implementation, the

Ministries have three essential responsibilities under their purview, namely, water management

(irrigation and the oversight over the Water Agencies), agricultural policies (such as market

development, value chain support, subsidy arrangements, etc.), and agricultural extension services

(operated through a semi-independent Extension Agency). The Ministries have each a well-

functioning and experienced Agricultural Projects Coordination Unit (APCU) in RS, and PIU

(Project Implementation Unit) in FBiH, respectively, that have served as the focal units for

preparation and implementation of all related projects.

3. The Project institutional links and responsibilities are reflected in the two diagrams below

(also see Annex 5 on utilizing government consultants at the central and field levels). The two

ministries assisted by the PIU and APCU have capacity to administer/implement the project at the

central and field levels.

4. Most of the activities proposed under the Project are part of the everyday work of the

Ministries, hence do not require establishing a parallel structure or a full scale Project

Implementation Unit. The two units within FBiH MoAFWM and RS MoAWMF, with the support

of the Ministries, would be responsible for the technical implementation of project activities,

which includes: (i) preparing Terms of Reference (ToRs) and technical specifications; (ii)

designing training programs; (iii) supervising consultants; (iv) analyzing products delivered by

consultants; and (v) participating in procurement evaluation committees. Professionals of these

Ministries (civil servants) would facilitate the technical inputs for specific project implementation

activities and would work directly with the units.

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IDP Implementation and Decision Making Organogram

FBiH

SA

RS SA

MOFT

fFinance

MOF MOF

MAWMF

PIU

MAFWM

APCU Joint Technical

working team

MOFTER

Canton

Municipality

Beneficiaries

Municipality

Beneficiaries

Explanation of the implementation and decision diagram

5. Ministry of Finance and Treasury (MOFT) at the level of the State has subsidiary

agreements with the Ministries of Finance of both entities. The respective Ministries of Finance

(MOF) in both the Republika Srpska (RS) and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH)

ensure that the implementing Ministries, the Ministry of Agriculture Water Management and

Forestry (MAWMF) in the FBiH and the Ministry of Agriculture Forestry and Water Management

(MAFWM) in the RS abide by the legal agreements for the use of credit funds.

6. The Joint technical working group is an informal group of technical specialists from the

various levels of government that will help with developing regulatory framework that is

applicable to both entities in view of streamlining procedures and regulations in so far as practical.

7. The APCU and PIU Directors will report to the Minister of FBiH MoAFWM and RS

MoAWMF respectively. The main role of the Directors will be to coordinate implementing all

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project activities. To ensure smooth coordination of project implementation and communication

among the major stakeholders, the Project Directors will act as main liaison with: (i) the World

Bank; (ii) representatives of the Ministries; and (iii) representatives of the MoF.

8. Procurement, financial management and disbursement issues would remain the

responsibility of the APCU and the PIU within the Line Ministries, which are already in charge of

fiduciary arrangements for another Bank-financed project. The main responsibilities of the units

include: (i) day-to-day project management, (ii) coordination with the Bank and project

stakeholders; (iii) coordination and facilitation of interaction with project stakeholders; (iv)

monitoring and evaluation (M&E) of project activities; (v) preparation of annual progress reports;

(vi) preparation of quarterly unaudited financial reports and annual audited financial statements;

(vii) preparation of procurement plans; and (viii) briefing on the status of project implementation.

Operation and maintenance

9. As for O&M of the introduced investments (see O&M diagram below), during IDP

implementation, the exact O&M arrangements will be identified through updating the Project

Operation Manual (POM), in consistency with the (to-be-finalized) Irrigation Rulebooks. These

O&M arrangements will then be legalized through signing (tripartite) agreements between the end

beneficiaries/WUA, the ministry/canton (assets owner), and the municipality/utility (i.e. the O&M

service provider, if not the WUA). The diagram below illustrates an example for a representative

subproject (the bulk-water source being an open canal).

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Description of O&M and resources flows diagram

10. The diagram shows the flows of resources to ensure adequate O&M of the rehabilitated

systems. The two PIUs will coordinate with the various levels of their respective government

structures for the mobilization of farmers, organizing consultation meetings among stakeholders of

a concerned system to ensure a design that has the widespread support of the community. The two

PIUs will work with beneficiaries and local government to define the roles of each party as it

relates to the construction and later maintenance of the systems including agreeing on a financing

mechanism to ensure O&M expenditures are adequately met. These financing mechanisms will be

Owner

(Entity/Canton/Municipality)

O&M scheme

case 1: open canal

F

Farmer

F

Farmer

F F

WUA

Fee

Fee

Electricity

Company

Water Utility

Company

Irrigation Advisory

Service

Knowledge

Technical assistant

Ministry of

Agriculture Subsidy

Program

Income

Water fee

Connection fee

Irrigation cost

Membership fee

Expenditure

Operation cost

Maintenance cost

Water

Electricity

Administration & Salary P

aym

ent

Pay

men

t

Irrigation cost

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substantially determined by the system design and the jurisdiction under which water abstraction

is made and what services the system provides beyond the immediate beneficiary i.e. farmers who

are members of WUAs and farm enterprises who benefit from the investment. Since the systems

are relatively small and locally contained, emphasis is given to local solutions that provide an

optimal compromise between the Farmers and WUA, the municipality its local water utility, and

the power company in so far as each of these apply. The detailed arrangements will be reflected in

the O&M manual that will be developed for each system in consultation with final beneficiaries

and that will have to be observed by the final users who received the right to operate and use this

infrastructure.

11. The advisory services provided to farmers will be provided in so far as available through

the existing structures of the extension service. As noted previously a nascent agency represented

at the level of each municipality exists in RS. This service will provide the coordination input for

organizing demonstrations, field days and technical advice to farmers to help them optimize their

agricultural production and revenues as a result of the irrigation investments.

12. In the FBiH the PIU will establish temporary local offices staffed with specialists to help

mobilize farmers, support the establishment and registration of WUAs, help organize

demonstrations and provide agronomic advise to local producers. The demands change from one

system to the next, since some areas such as Mostarsko Blato have a vast experience with

horticultural production including access to markets, while new production, such as in Gorazde

will need substantial assistance to farmers in formulating production plans, assist with logistics

for bringing produce to markets and advisory help with production optimization.

13. In FBiH the Cantons and municipalities have substantial local authority and important

roles in agricultural policy implementation. They are able to communicate more readily with

farmers than do the municipalities in RS, where the administration system is more centralized.

Nonetheless, in both RS and FBiH many local governments are vocal in making irrigation (re-)

development a priority. The local governments and notably the Cantons also offer incentive to

promote agriculture and provide agricultural extension services that complement those of the

Ministry. Draft regulations to determine the water pricing structure and mechanism, as well as

registration needs of users have been developed, but will need TA for completion. Cantons and

municipalities do not have much experience in transferring the management responsibility to

WUAs, except limited experience from SSCAD. Thus they will need some training on how to

transfer management responsibility and the benefits of such approach.

14. Besides being beneficiaries, farmers have important role in the project. Their role is to

organize themselves and form WUAs in which they will demonstrate their ownership through

their work (in-kind contribution) on O&M or paying fees. WUAs and their unions/federations

will assume legal responsibility for irrigation management including collection of water fees and

water distribution schedules, participate in decision making on selection of design options.

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Financial Management, Disbursements and Procurement

Financial Management

15. Financial Management Assessment. The financial management arrangements for the

project are acceptable. The significant strengths that provide a basis of reliance on the project‘s

financial management arrangements include:

a. Both APCU and PIU have been implementing a Bank funded project, namely the

Agriculture and Rural Development Project. Furthermore the APCU is also

implementing the Bank-supported (with Trust Fund) Neretva and Trebisnjica River

Basin Management Project,

b. Project fiduciary function has already been fulfilled with experienced consultants.

16. No significant weaknesses were identified before the negotiations. The overall financial

management risk for the project is moderate. The inherent risk of the project is rated as moderate,

while the controls risk is rated as substantial before the mitigation measures. After introduction of

the mitigation measures the control risk is reduced to moderate.

Budgeting and Counterpart Funding Arrangements

17. The Project Coordination Units in the two Entity-level ministries will prepare annual plans

based on detailed procurement planning. Existing FM staff in the FBiH PIU and RS APCU has

adequate capacity for planning and budgeting in terms of human resources, availability of quality

information and IT system. The FBiH PIU and RS APCU will prepare budgets for all Project

components for each Entity separately. The budgets will be entered in the accounting software

and actual versus planned information analyzed and explained. Budgeting and accounting in both

FBiH PIU and RS APCU are appropriate.

Flow of funds

18. The implementation of project activities will be under the APCU and PIU. The APCU and

PIU will manage project implementation and will be responsible for such functions as:

procurement, financial management, monitoring and evaluation, and reporting. The fiduciary

functions would be conducted by hired consultants (possibly extending the contracts of those hired

under the ARDP).

Accounting and Maintenance of Accounting Records

Information systems. The FBiH PIU and RS APCU installed and implemented a

financial accounting and reporting software that is successfully being used in several

Bank-financed Projects. The software has the necessary capabilities to produce the

required reports and maintain a trail of transactions in verifiable manner.

Accounting policies and procedures. Accounting procedures are set out in the FM

Manuals. The FM Manuals contain procedures for the flow of accounting information

and records between the FBiH PIU and RS APCU and other stakeholders.

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Additional accounting policies applied to the Project adhere to the following principles:

Cash accounting as the basis for recording transactions;

Reporting in Euros (reporting currency);

Quarterly IFRs prepared by each FBiH PIU and RS APCU; and

All GCF reflected in the financial reports.

Internal Controls and Internal Audit

19. The FBiH PIU and RS APCU have adequate internal controls for the project. The internal

controls for the project will follow the procedures described in the Financial Management Manual.

Regular reconciliation of bank accounts, adequate segregation of duties, proper accounting

policies and procedures and monthly reconciliation of disbursement summaries of the World Bank

with accounting records will be performed. Designated Accounts reconciliation statements, Client

Connection figures will be reconciled monthly with the accounting records. IFRs would be

reconciled quarterly with the accounting data. The IFRs will be reconciled quarterly with the trial

balance out of which they are prepared, including the relevant bank statements. Evidence of the

reconciliation made will be kept in project records. The APCU and PIU will maintain, print and

store all back up documentation (trial balance, bank statements, journal entries etc.) for the

quarterly IFRs in a file.

Periodic Financial Reporting

20. The FBiH PIU and RS APCU shall prepare and furnish to the Bank not later than forty five

(45) days after the end of each calendar quarter, interim unaudited financial reports ―IFRs‖ for the

project covering the quarter, in form and substance satisfactory to the Bank. The formats of the

IFRs have been agreed and confirmed. Each IFRs which include Project Sources and Uses of

Funds, Uses of Funds by Project Activity, Balance Sheet, Statement of Expenditures and

Designated Account Reconciliation Statement. If the Credit currency differs from the currency of

the Designated Account (DA), the DA reconciliation statement will be presented in the currency

of the relevant DA. Under the on-going projects, quarterly interim un-audited Financial Reports

(IFRs) have been submitted regularly to the Bank and were found acceptable.

External Audit

21. The APCU and PIU will be responsible for the timely compilation of the annual project

financial statements for the independent external audit. Project financial statements (including

SOE and DA activities) will be audited by an independent auditor acceptable to the Bank. Each

audit of the Project Financial Statements shall cover the period of one (1) fiscal year of the

Borrower, commencing with the fiscal year in which the first withdrawal was made under the

Credit. The terms of reference for the audit have been agreed with the Bank, and will be attached

to the Minutes of Negotiation. In addition, the auditors are expected to deliver management letters

in relation to the project. Each management letter will identify internal control deficiencies and

accounting issues, if any. The audit reports, audited financial statements and management letter

will be delivered to the Bank within six months of the end of each fiscal year. The audited Project

Financial Statements will be made publicly available in a timely fashion and in a manner

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acceptable to the Bank. All project audits in Bosnia and Herzegovina are covered by an umbrella

agreement with one audit firm.

Disbursements

22. There will be two Designated Accounts (DA) opened for the Credit proceeds, namely one

for each entity. The DAs will be opened in a commercial bank acceptable to the World Bank.

Credit funds will flow from the World Bank to the Designated Accounts and then from Designated

Accounts to contractors on the basis of the approved invoices. There will also be a possibility to

use special commitments (in case of goods imported) or direct payments methods from World

Bank to contractors for larger payments as indicated in the Disbursement Letter. The project FM

personnel will prepare the application for withdrawals to be submitted to the Bank and the

payment orders for suppliers. Such procedure would be described in detail in the FM chapter of

the Project Operational Manual (POM).

23. Disbursement from the Credit Account will follow the traditional method, either through

reimbursement, direct payment to suppliers, issuance of the Bank‘s Special Commitment,

payments from and replenishment of the DAs with the use of SOEs or with full documentation.

Withdrawal applications for the replenishments of the DAs will be sent to the Bank in accordance

with the Disbursement Letter. Supporting documents for SOEs, including completion reports and

certificates, will be retained by the APCU and PIU and made available to the Bank during project

supervision. Disbursements for expenditures above the SOE threshold levels will be made against

presentation of full documentation relating to the expenditures. The reimbursement of

expenditures from the DAs may be made on the basis of certified SOEs, based on the SOE

thresholds defined in detail in the Disbursement letter. The ceiling and authorized allocation for

the DA will be defined in the project Disbursement Letters. The DAs will be denominated in

EUR.

24. Local contribution under the project would include contributions from the line Ministries,

target Municipalities and end users (WUAs), and would amount to a total US$7.00 million

(around 15% of the total project costs, US$47.00 million).

Withdrawal of the Proceeds of the Credit

Category Amount of the Credit Allocated

(expressed in US$m)

Percentage of Expenditures

to be Financed (Inclusive of

Taxes)

(1) Goods, works, non-consulting services,

consultants‘ services, training, and operating

costs for Part A: FBiH

19.50 85%

(2) Goods, works, non-consulting services,

consultants‘ services, training, and operating

costs for Part B: RS

20.50 85%

TOTAL AMOUNT 40 85%

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Financial Management Conditions and Covenants

25. The APCU and PIU will continue to maintain a project financial management system

acceptable to the Bank. The project financial statements will be audited by independent auditors

acceptable to the Bank and on terms of reference acceptable to the Bank. The annual audited

statements and audit report will be provided to the Bank within six months of the end of each

fiscal year. Quarterly IFRs will be forwarded to the Bank no later than 45 days after the end of

each quarter.

26. There are no conditions for negotiations or project effectiveness.

Supervision Plan

27. As part of its project supervision, the Bank will conduct risk-based financial management

supervisions, at appropriate intervals, in the following ways: (a) review the project‘s quarterly

financial reports, the project‘s annual audited financial statements, the auditor‘s management letter

and remedial actions, if any; and (b) during the Bank‘s on-site supervision missions, review the

following key areas (i) project accounting and internal control systems; (ii) budgeting and

financial planning arrangements; (iii) disbursement management and financial flows, including

counterpart funds, as applicable; and (iv) any incidences of corrupt practices involving project

resources. As required, a Bank-accredited Financial Management Specialist will assist in the

supervision process.

28. Procurement: Procurement for the IDP Project would be carried out in accordance with

the World Bank‘s ―Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Loans‖, dated January

2011, ―Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers‖, dated

January 2011, and the provisions stipulated in the Legal Agreement. For each contract to be

financed by the credit, the different procurement methods or consultant selection methods, the

need for prequalification, estimated costs, prior review requirements, and time frame are agreed

between the Borrower and the Bank project team in the Procurement Plan. The Procurement Plan

would be updated at least annually or as required to reflect the actual project implementation

needs and improvements in institutional capacity.

29. Results of the procurement risks assessment: The APCU and the PIU has been

established within the RS Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management (MoAFWM)

and the Federal Ministry of Agriculture, Water Management and Forestry (MoAWMF). The units

are responsible for the following functions: (i) procurement; (ii) financial management; and (iii)

disbursement and auditing arrangements.

30. The procurement thresholds for procurement of goods, works and consultancy contracts

are set in accordance with the latest ECA regional thresholds. In addition to the prior review

supervision, to be carried out by the World Bank, two supervision missions per year are going to

carry out post review of procurement actions.

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31. All procurement and financial management functions would be delegated to the units. The

APCU is staffed by four key staff comprising a two Procurement Specialists, and a two Financial

Management Specialists. The PIU is staffed by four key staff comprising a two Procurement

Specialists, and a Financial Management Specialist supported by a Financial Management

Assistant. All Procurement Officers, possess relevant experiences in using Bank‘s procurement

procedures, and currently perform the procurement function.

32. A Bank Procurement Specialist carried out an assessment of the capacity of the APCU and

the PIU to implement procurement actions for the IDP Project. The APCU is managing two

IFAD‘s projects, but one of those projects is expected to close in 2012.

33. The key issues and risks concerning procurement for implementation of the Project have

been identified and include the fact that some of Procurement Officers have not received any

formal training (such as by ILO, Turin), and they might be overloaded.

34. As an action plan for building the agency‘s capacity and in order to build-in and maintain

strong procurement management capacity in the APCU / PIU, the Bank recommends the

following actions:

in order to get a better understanding of the Bank‘s new procurement and consultant

guidelines, as well as the new bidding and proposal documents, the relevant staff involved

in the procurement management process should attend appropriate trainings organized by

relevant institutions or by the Bank; and

the Bank would carry out a brief training session on procurement, during the Project

launch workshop, as well as will provide the agency with a full set of the most recent

guidelines, bidding, proposal and evaluation documents.

35. If needed, during implementation the procurement capacity of the APCU / PIU would be

reassessed to determine whether additional supports should be put in place.

36. Given the procurement capacity of the APCU and the PIU, the overall Project risk for

procurement is medium.

37. A General Procurement Notice (GPN) would be published in the mid 2012 issue of

Development Business announcing goods and consulting services to be procured, and inviting

interested eligible suppliers and consultants to express interest and to request any complementary

information from the Borrower.

38. Specific Procurement Notices (SPN) would be published in the on-line edition of the

Development Business for all International Competitive Bidding (ICB) contracts, and in the

printed edition at the option of the Borrower. For goods to be procured through ICB, individual

bidding opportunities would also be advertised in a major local newspaper on the same (or within

five) day(s) of the on-line publication. The local advertisements would be written in English and,

at the option of the Borrower, would also be in the local language. For consultants‘ contracts

above US$200,000, SPN/Request for Expression of Interest will be advertised in the online edition

of the Development Business and in at least one major national newspaper of wide circulation (in

the national and English languages). Civil servants are eligible to be hired as individual

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consultants or as members of a team with financing under the Credit provided they are on leave of

absence without pay and they have not been working for any of the Beneficiary Agencies

immediately prior to taking leave of absence.

39. Procurement of goods: Goods procured under this Project include Information

Technology (IT) comprised of off-the-shelf hardware and software as well as the design and

development of new systems. In addition to the main IT equipment various peripherals would be

procured. Other goods would include pumps, gates, pipes and ancillary structures, office and

laboratory equipment, furniture, small equipment (including office equipment), training and

printing material. All Goods procurement will be done using the Bank‘s Standard Bidding

Document (SBD) for all ICBs. The SBDs for procurement of information systems would be used

for procurements of all IT equipment estimated to cost over US$100,000 per contract, both the

Supply and Installation of Information Systems - Single Stage Bidding or Supply and Installation

of Information Systems - Two Stage Bidding (recent version) document would be used. Major

contracts for IT would also include the delivery of incidental services such as installation,

commissioning and training of beneficiaries in their use and maintenance. In addition, the sample

procurement documents and forms developed in the ECA Region for small value procurement

would be adapted to suit the Project needs for procurement. All goods would be grouped, to the

extent possible, to encourage competitive bidding. The following methods of procurement would

be followed:

ICB: Computer equipment and software, pumps, gates, pipes and ancillary structures, office

and laboratory equipment, furniture, small equipment (including office equipment) under

the Project for contracts above US$100,000 equivalent per contract would be procured

using International Competitive Bidding (ICB). Bid documentation would be prepared

using the latest version of the Bank Standard Bidding Document (SBD) for the

Procurement of Goods. Procurement of large value IT systems including the development

of software would be carried out using the specialized Standard Bidding Documents for

Information Systems, single and two stage bidding, as appropriate;

Standard shopping procedures would be used for readily available off-the-shelf goods,

including office and computer equipment for all project beneficiaries, minor IT equipment,

and for small print runs of publicity materials. All items would have standard

specifications, estimated to cost less US$100,000 equivalent per contract. This procedure

would be based on obtaining and comparing price offers from at least three suppliers from

at least two different countries in accordance with a paragraph 3.5 of Procurement

Guidelines. The regional sample format for shopping ―Invitation to Quote‖ June 2011

would be used. In addition, for the procurement of IT technology it would be mandatory

for the shortlist to be drawn, inter alia, from the companies registered on the ECA

Regional shopping web site: www.worldbank.org/shop-it;

Direct contracting: Where certain goods are available only from a particular supplier or in

cases where compatibility with existing equipment so requires goods may be procured

under direct contracting (single source) with prior approval from the Bank (in accordance

with a paragraph. 3.6 of the Procurement Guidelines).

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40. Procurement of works: Works under the IDP Project envisaged are irrigation and drainage

infrastructure works in the form of about 12 sub-projects, of which 6 each located in RS and

FBiH. To the extent possible, contracts for these works will be grouped into bidding packages

estimated to cost more than: US$500,000.00 equivalent and procured following International

Competitive Bidding (ICB) procedures, using relevant Bank-issued Standard Bidding Documents

for procurement of works. Contracts for works which cannot be grouped into larger bidding

packages and estimated to cost less than US$500,000.00 equivalent per contract may be procured

using NCB procedures and bidding documents for procurement of works satisfactory to the Bank.

41. Selection of consultants: The majority of consultancy services would be procured as

short-term targeted individual consultant inputs or small inputs where a local and foreign adviser

should work together. Where feasible, however, these may be combined into larger tasks where

the benefits of backstopping support may be beneficial. Short lists of consultants for services

estimated to cost less than US$100,000 equivalent per contract may be composed entirely of

national consultants, in accordance with the provisions of paragraph 2.7 of the Consultant

Guidelines and with the prior agreement of the Bank. The following procurement procedures

would be used for selection of consultant services:

Quality and Cost Based Selection (QCBS) procedure, as described in Section II,

paragraphs 2.1 to 2.35 of the Consultant Guidelines would be used if necessary for

assignment under all components of the Project;

Least Cost Selection (LCS) procedure would be used for selection of an auditor to

carry out audits of the financial statements of the Project. The shortlist should comprise

only firms selected from the Bank‘s list of eligible firms;

Selection under a Fixed Budget (FBS) may be used for assignments related to public

relations and institutional campaigns. In accordance with paragraph 3.5 of the

Consultants Guidelines, the Request for Proposals shall indicate the maximum

available budget and a firm would be selected that offers the best quality technical

proposal within that available budget;

Selection Based on Consultants’ Qualifications (CQ) would be used for contracting

firms for certain assignments under all components of the Project for which the value

of the assignments is estimated to cost less than US$100,000 equivalent per contract.

Shortlists will be drawn up in response to an advertisement in the national press or

Development Business;

Individual Consultants (IC): many specialized activities, where specific skills are

needed for short period of time, at scattered intervals and which would not be practical

to package with the assignments for consulting firms described above, would be best

served through the recruitment of individual consultants (both foreign and national) to

assist in capacity building and institutional strengthening within all components of the

Project, and to assist the APCU/PIU in various technical tasks. Selection of individual

consultants would be carried out in accordance with Section V of the Consultant

Guidelines. Individuals would be selected based on their qualifications for the

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assignment, by comparing the CVs obtained in response to an advertisement in the

national press or Development Business;

Sole Source (SS): Consultants and training services may be hired under sole source

contracts with the prior approval of the Bank, in accordance with paragraphs 3.8 to

3.11 of the Consultants Guidelines and following the agreed Procurement Plan.

42. Training activities: Training is an integral element of the Project‘s capacity building

subcomponents. The Credit would finance training programs, including training workshops, study

tours and local training. Expenditures related to such training activities include: means

expenditures incurred in connection with training, workshops, seminars and study tours, and other

training activities not included under goods and service providers‘ contracts, to be carried out

under the Project, including fees, travel costs and per-diem allowances for the trainers and travel

costs and per-diem allowances for the trainees, cost of training materials, space and equipment

rental, and other related expenditures; all such expenditures shall be based on plans adopted by the

APCU/PIU and satisfactory to the Bank, which shall include proposed budgets and terms of

reference.

43. The APCU/PIU would be expected to prepare and submit the training plan to the Bank

every year. This plan would define the agreed procedures that would be used for procurement of

various training services. The estimated budget, list of participants and draft agenda for each

training event would be subject to Bank‘s prior review. However, this may be done through the

Annual Plan. Expenditure items for training activities, including study tours, would be reported

under a statement of expenditures. The status of the training plan would be included as part of the

quarterly progress reports, and would be updated and/or modified as may be mutually agreed

between the units and the Bank.

44. Incremental operating costs means reasonable incremental expenses incurred on account of

Project implementation, management and monitoring, including office supplies, publication of

procurement notices, vehicle operation, office and equipment maintenance and repair,

communication, translation and interpretation, travel and supervision costs, and other

miscellaneous costs directly associated with Project, but excluding salaries of officials and

employees of the Borrower.

45. Procurement Plan: The APCU and the PIU have developed the Procurement Plan for the

first 18 months of project implementation, which provides the basis for the procurement methods.

It would be available in the Project‘s database and in the Bank‘s external website. The

Procurement Plan would be updated by the Project Team, at least annually or as required to reflect

the actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity. Updated

Procurement Plans would also be submitted to the Bank for its approval.

General:

Bank‘s approval date of the Procurement Plan: March 22, 2012.

Date of General Procurement Notice: estimated May 2012.

Period covered by this Procurement Plan: 18 months.

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Goods, works and non-consulting services:

Prior review threshold: procurement decisions subject to prior review by the Bank as

stated in Appendix 1 to the Guidelines for Procurement:

Procurement Method Prior Review Threshold US$ equivalent

Comments

ICB (Goods) > 100,000 All subject to prior review

ICB (Works) packages > 500,000 All subject to prior review

NCB (Works) packages < 500,000 First two works contracts

subject to prior review

(Non-Consultant Services)

packages < 500,000 First two works contracts

subject to prior review

Direct contracting* - All subject to prior review

* all contracts subject to justification.

Reference to (if any) Project Operational Manual: POM.

Any Other Special Procurement Arrangements: none.

Summary of the procurement packages planned during the first 18 months after project

effectiveness (including those that are subject to retroactive financing and advanced

procurement):

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Description

Estimated

Cost

US$

equivalent

Procurement

Method

Domestic

Preference

(yes/no)

Review

by Bank

(Prior /

Post)

Comments

Zone B. Works from fork junction on

aquaduct to aquaduct in Ugrovaca

550,000 ICB No Prior

Zone C. Works from aquaduct in

Ugrovaca to Mokro and Turcinovica

610,000 ICB No Prior

Zone D. Works from Buk-Biograci 710,000 ICB No Prior

Zone H. Works from Biograci-Ljuti

Dolac (expansion of the system)

645,000

ICB No Prior

Zone J. Works from Drainage area D,

E and F

570,000 ICB No Prior

Common infrastructure works-

Drainage (Zones A to E)

1,820,000 ICB No Prior

A. Zones I-A to IIIB Works 3,100,000 ICB No Prior

AL 420 area – Pumping station

building

580,000 ICB No Prior

AL 420 area – Distribution system 1,150,000 ICB No Prior

AL 420 area infrastructure works 2,600,000 ICB No Prior

Novo Selo Stationary Pipe Network 2,200,000 ICB No Prior

Gojkovo Selo infrastructure works 900,000 ICB No Prior

Pustara infrastructure works 1,600,000 ICB No Prior

Popovo Polje distribution system 5,000,000 ICB No Prior Popovo Polje

works will

likely start

after the first

18 months

Popovo Polje drainage system

rehabilitation

3,500,000 ICB No Prior Idem

Popovo Polje Pumping station and

transport system works

1,250,000 ICB No Prior Idem

Selection of consultants:

Prior review threshold: selection decisions subject to prior review by the Bank as stated

in Appendix 1 to the Guidelines Selection and Employment of Consultants: Selection Method Prior Review

Threshold

(US$

equivalent)

Comments

Competitive Methods (Firms) QCBS > 100,000 All subject to prior review

Competitive Methods (Firms) LCS Any amount First contract subject to prior review

Competitive Methods (Firms) CQ > 50,000 All subject to prior review

Competitive Methods (Firms) CQ < 50,000 First two contracts subject to prior review

Individual Consultants (IC) > 50,000 All subject to prior review

Individual Consultants (IC) < 50,000 First two contracts subject to prior review

Single Source (Firms and Individuals)* - All subject to prior review

ToRs for Consulting Contracts All methods

/values

All subject to prior review

* all contracts subject to justification Note: QCBS = Quality and Cost-Based Selection; LCS = Least-Cost Selection; CQ = Selection based on

Consultants‘ Qualifications.

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Short list comprising entirely of national consultants: short list of consultants for

services, estimated to cost less than US$100,000 equivalent per contract, may comprise

entirely of national consultants, in accordance with the provisions of paragraph 2.7 of

the Consultant Guidelines.

Any other special selection arrangements: none.

Consultancy Assignments with Selection Methods:

1 2 3 4 5 6

Ref.

No.

Description of Assignment

Estimated

Cost

US$

equivalent

Selection

Method

Review

by Bank

(Prior /

Post)

Comments

1. Engineering & Supervision

(covering around 10,000 hectares)

Total of 3.25

million in

approx. 14

packages

QCBS Prior Subject to

update in

procurement

plan

2. Audits of Project Financial

Statements Implementation

90,000 LCS Prior

Other:

Ex-post review: All other contracts below Bank‘s prior review threshold are subject to

Bank‘s selective ex-post review. Periodic ex-post review by the Bank would be

undertaken during regular supervision missions. Procurement documents, such as

bidding documents, bids, bid evaluation reports and correspondence related to bids and

contracts would be kept readily available for Bank‘s ex-post review during supervision

missions or at any other points in time.

46. Record keeping: The APCU / PIU would maintain complete procurement files which

would be reviewed by Bank supervision missions. All procurement related documentation that

requires Bank prior review would be cleared by Procurement Accredited Staff and relevant

technical staff. No packages above mandatory review thresholds by RPA are anticipated.

Procurement information would be recorded by the APCU / PIU and submitted to Bank, as part of

the quarterly IFR and annual progress reports. SEPA software is going to be used as the

mechanisms in place to ensure that procurement plans are monitored and updated regularly.

Environmental and Social (including safeguards)

Measures taken to address safeguard issues

47. An Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) has been prepared and

disclosed with meaningful public consultations prior to Appraisal of the Project. The ESMF also

provides a Checklist EMP for future reconstruction works that is meant to facilitate identification

and mitigation of environmental impacts for already existing irrigation schemes. Five site-specific

EMPs have also been prepared for five priority schemes.

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Mechanisms to supervise and monitor agreed plans

48. Almost all of the associated impacts and mitigation measures deal with small-scale

construction impacts and will become the responsibility of the site contractor and supervisor

through the bidding and contractual documents. Majority of the measures during operation will be

the responsibility of the WUAs. The overall compliance with the EMP will be conducted by the

respective PIUs and supervised by the World Bank task team.

Environmental and social risks or issues beyond the coverage of the safeguards policies

49. There are no anticipated negative environmental impacts that go beyond the coverage of

safeguard policies. The positive impacts reflected in more rational and inclusive water use and

better water use planning will definitely go beyond the project and beyond the safeguard policies.

On social risks that go beyond safeguards, the project will promote establishing participatory

WUAs, aiming at ensuring a more equitable access and use of the improved irrigation systems,

particularly in relation to the needs of smaller farmers.

Monitoring & Evaluation

Data sources, client M&E capacity, additional cost/arrangement required to support M&E

50. The project will finance a M&E activity under Component 3, facilitated by (1) hiring one

M&E consultant (who will also cover Safeguards/EMPs) on each Entity PIU, and (2) establishing

Management Information System (MIS) on each Entity PIU (in FBiH MOAWMF there is existing

GIS-based database that will be enhanced to function as MIS for FBiH-IDP). The project

activities including M&E will be implemented with the help of existing field Extension Units of

RS-MOAFWM, whereas supported by creating 3 field units for FBiH-MOAWMF

(consultants/extensionists, few goods, housed in leased units adjacent to FBiH‘s 6 target SPs).

Those field units will assist in all IDP field activities including assisting the 2 M&E consultants in

accessing field data and debriefing farmers and the indirect (value chain) beneficiaries. The M&E

will include undertaking baseline and (final) impact assessment surveys.

How the M&E outcomes will assist in project implementation

51. The M&E activity will monitor: (1) project physical progress (e.g. works completion%

versus planned%) and (2) evaluate project socioeconomic and environmental impacts (Annex 1).

The impact evaluation studies would be presented in semi-annual progress reports (to be sent to

the Bank and MOFTER). These progress reports should include a chapter reporting on safeguards

(progress of the EMPs), including a short ―environmental audit‖ of the civil-works contractors to

ensure their compliance with the EMPs. If by the MTR the M&E outcomes indicate that IDP is

encountering delay in meeting the outputs (works/equipment) or a lack of meeting the

core/intermediary outcomes, the mitigations proposed in ORAF will be introduced, including: (1)

revisiting the procurement plan (e.g. slicing instead of packaging to expedite tendering and

execution); and (2) restructuring (e.g. increase budget allocated to Component 2 using cost

savings/reductions in Component 1).

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Annex 4: Operational Risk Assessment Framework

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Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan

Client implementation capacity

1. Central level in Sarajevo (FBiH-PIU) and Banja Luka (RS-APCU). The two PIUs in

FBiH and RS are within a few hours drive from the target SPs, hence can implement Component

1 (around 12 ICB works/goods contracts, 1-2 per each SP) in terms of detailed design, supervision

and fiduciary. In doing so they will be supported by one major consulting firm (providing design-

and-supervision on Component 1 and TA/training on Component 2) or several consulting firms

taking into consideration phased approach and geographically dispersed locations of irrigation

schemes, and around 12-15 individual national/international consultants (via Component 3)

including: (1) 5-7 consultants for each PIU (i.e. PIU manager, PS, FMS, engineers/hydrologists;

M&E (including safeguards/EMPs); (2) a few local consultants (extensionists) for the 3 field units

that will be established by FBiH-MOAWMF (mentioned hereafter).

2. Decentralized level: The irrigation advisory and WUA formation/capacity building

activities of Component 2 in the SPs will be implemented with the help of existing field Extension

Units of RS-MOAFWM, and supported by creating 3 field units for FBiH-MOAWMF located

adjacent to FBiH‘s 6 target SPs. Those field units will assist in all IDP field activities including

assisting the 2 M&E consultants in accessing field data and debriefing farmers and the indirect

(value chain) beneficiaries. The contract for the design-and-supervision (Component 1) consulting

firm may provide cross-support Component 2, as its TOR will include TA/training for irrigation

advisory for WUAs, and TA on the irrigation-reform policies for the two line ministries (both TAs

being part of Component 2). If this firm is national rather than international, the PIUs will

strengthen it by hiring few international individual consultants (especially as to the relatively new

topics: IAS and water policies).

3. Disbursement and procurement clearances: For each entity ministry, MOFT will open two

Designated Accounts (DA), at a bank acceptable to IDA and in cooperation with the entities, to

receive IDA advances. The two entities will each open a local project account to receive

local/municipality/WUA counterpart contributions in order to co-finance project activities.

Signatories of the Withdrawal Applications from the Credit Account would be key authorized

MOFT officials. The procurement tender and contract clearances will be obtained from the

Federation and RS line ministry officials. The progress of works or supplied goods/equipment

will be co-supervised by the PIUs and ministry staff; and the same will co-sign the

works/equipment receipt certificate and one-year performance certificate.

Implementation Support Plan

4. The Bank team will hold a project-launch workshop once the IDP is declared effective.

Afterwards, the Bank will field semi-annual supervision missions.

5. Coordinating IDP supervision with other missions: The IDP supervision missions would

occasionally be coordinated with missions of the other ongoing projects with the same ministries

in RS and FBiH. The IDP procurement, FM and safeguards missions could be undertaken as part

of the periodic fiduciary support done concurrently across operations of all Bank sectors in BiH

(the PS, FMS and Environmental Specialist are based in the country unit). An exception to the

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latter would be the project-launch workshop, MTR and ICR missions, where it is likely that the

entire task team participates concurrently. Procurement prior reviews will be ongoing whereas

post reviews will be annual.

6. The Bank team will assist the PIUs in drafting the TOR of the M&E consultants, and the

PIUs will use the project MIS to track progress in project implementation. As for safeguards, the

Client will closely follow implementation of the EMF through the following:

i. Ensure that the SP-specific EMPs have been prepared on time and disclosed with

public consultations for all new locations, in line with the EMF or using the Checklist

EMP instead.

ii. All EMPs will be included in respective bidding documents both for construction and

supervision. Contracts for construction and supervision will include provisions binding

the hired party to implement the EMP measures and/or to supervise them, with

adequate reporting submitted to the Client and therefore to the World Bank. iii. World Bank environmental specialist will conduct regular implementation support and

supervision of EMF implementation providing comments and inputs directly to the Client,

including site visits and on-the-spot checks with both the contractor and supervisor during

ongoing works.

I. What would be the main focus in terms of support during project implementation

Time Focus Skills Needed Resource

Estimate

Partner

Role

First

twelve

months

Start of implementation:

Implementation support to

4 pilot schemes

Preparation for the phase

2 (4-5 additional schemes)

M&E establishment

Project management

Operational skills

Irrigation skills

Rural development

skills

FM

Procurement

Environmental and

social safe guards

M&E

$120,000/year NA

12-48

months

Implementation of second and third

phase irrigation schemes:

Implementation support to

9 schemes

M&E

Project management

Operational skills

Irrigation skills

Rural development

skills

FM

Procurement

Environmental and

social safe guards

M&E

$100,000/year NA

Other Design TA

Institutional strengthening

(WUAs, O&M, fees

determination etc.)

Expert in irrigation

design

Expert in institutional

(WUAs O&M, and

tariffs)

$30,000 NA

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II. Skills Mix Required:

Skills Needed Number of

Staff Weeks

Number of Trips Comments

TTL and Irrigation

Specialist

8/year 2 HQ staff

Rural Development

Specialist

3/year 2 HQ staff

Operational Specialist 8/year Local trips Local staff

Procurement specialist 4/year Local trips Local staff

FM Specialist 3/year Local trips Local staff

Environmental Specialist 3/year Local trips Local staff

Social Development

specialist

3/year 1 HQ staff

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Annex 6: Team Composition

World Bank staff and consultants who worked on the project

Name Title Unit

Guy J. Alaerts Lead Water Resources Specialist, Task

Team Leader

Ahmed Shawky Sr. Water Resources Specialist, Co-TTL Daniel Gerber Rural Development Specialist David Meerbach Water Resources Specialist (Institutions) Mirjana Karahasanovic Operations Officer Kunduz Masylkanova Project Economist (FAO-CP) Juan Morreli Project Economist (FAO-CP)

Luis Samoilov Irrigation Designed (FAO-CP) Esma Kreso Environmental Specialist Naima Hasci Sr. Social Specialist Bekim Ymeri Social Scientist Nikola Kerleta Procurement Analyst Iwona Warzecha Senior Financial Management Specialist Anneliese Viorela Voinea Financial Management Specialist Lamija Marijanovic Financial Management Specialist Jose Janeiro Finance Officer Sara Gonzalez-Flavell Sr. Legal Counsel Jesna Mestnik Senior Disbursement Officer Samra Bajramovic Program Assistant Coral Bird Temporary Adam Shayne Lead Counsel

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Annex 7: Economic and Financial Analysis

Background

1. The economic and financial analysis is prepared on the Gorazde (FBiH) and Novo Selo

(RS) Sub-Projects (SP), being two representative SPs in IDP and two of the four priority SPs. The

Component 1 will finance implementation of irrigation and drainage (I&D) infrastructure

rehabilitation of about 12 SPs, of which 6 each located in RS and FBiH. The SPs are selected

from potential SPs identified and prepared by the two Entities‘ line Ministries, and are all located

in existing agricultural land that in the past has been supplied with irrigation. The main activities

include rehabilitating irrigation and drainage infrastructure, including construction, reconstruction,

upgrading, and modernization; and introduction of new technologies in irrigated agriculture. The

prioritization of SPs is to be based on a set of criteria, including economic and financial feasibility,

environmental and institutional sustainability, clarity of land tenure, and readiness for

implementation. Four priority SPs selected to be financed in the first year, for which designs have

been prepared to a level that is ready for tendering. A second-phase list of potential SPs (8 - 9

SPs) that could be supported are pre-identified, but the final list will be finalized during

implementation.

2. The Component 2 will assist the Entities with the good practices in irrigation-scheme

design, Irrigation Advisory Services (IAS), Participatory Irrigation Management (PIM), and

preparing a regulatory framework for I&D in both Entities in harmony with EU water directives.

Support will be provided to user groups, including existing agricultural cooperatives, or WUAs

based on hydrological boundaries that will be formed under the project. The PIM includes

establishing a transparent fee collection and irrigation payment reporting system that will provide

yearly reports to the annual assembly of each WUA. The introduction of new technologies that

promote water use efficiency (drip irrigation and low-pressure sprinklers) will be promoted, and

assistance will be given to farmers in their efforts to improve on-farm investments. The IAS will

assist farmers to access credit and/or subsidy programs. Both components are expected to induce

agricultural production development in the project areas. Beneficiaries would include primarily

commercial farmers and smallholders operating slightly above subsistence, but willing to move to

a more commercial operation if irrigation water could be made available, reducing risks from dry

summers.

3. An economic and financial analysis was prepared for two of the four subprojects to be

financed during the first phase: (i) the Gorazde SP, identified by the FBiH is probably the most

expensive project (in terms of investment per hectare) involving very small and scattered farmers

along the banks of the Drina river, south-west of Gorazde town19

, with a net irrigable area of about

150 ha; and (ii) the Novo Selo SP located in Beijeljina Municipality, which uses groundwater

from the Drina/Sava river basin and was one of the RS prioritized five subprojects selected for

IDP support.

19

The Gorazde SP area is located in the Municipality Foča-Ustikolina, Canton Bosansko-Podrinski.

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55

The Gorazde Subproject

4. In the Gorazde SP investments will install six shared pumping stations, water reservoirs

and buried PVC pipes to water conveyance, and provide turnouts (hydrants) to groups of farmers.

Total gross benefited area would be about 200 to 300 ha where irrigation has been practised

individually through small-scale irrigation devices for many years. However, limited extent of

suitable land, lack of funds for investments, and the turmoil during the Bosnian war, has slowed

the development of agricultural production. The existing local cooperatives have developed good

access to the Sarajevo market for their members‘ good quality fruits. Many farmers also cultivate

vegetables in plastic greenhouses and can grow up to 3 crops a year accessing markets in the early

season when higher prices prevail. At present only 20 ha of the area is being irrigated and existing

systems are on individual basis. The area is about 70% cultivated – mostly rain fed - and yields are

well below its potential because of the water deficits. In the last 5 years near 200 greenhouses have

been installed (100 square meter each), as farmers began to realize the existing potential of the

area.

5. Water demand for the Gorazde scheme will be fully met from the Drina River, one of the

largest tributaries of the Sava River. Peak demand for irrigation (July – Sept) would only divert an

amount of water equivalent to less than 1% of the lowest recorded river flows. Farmers will be

further organised into WUAs for which some progress has already been made. Improved access to,

and a more reliable irrigation system, will allow farmers to increase their cropping intensity and

grow a wider choice of vegetables and fruit crops as microclimate offers comparative advantage in

the area. Average yields are expected to increase by about 50%, and for those farmers that have no

access to water, the increase could be 2 to 3 times their current levels. As farm sizes are small,

some land consolidation is expected, as well as the development of a leasing market for land.

6. The total capital cost for the development of the Gorazde SP has been estimated at BAM

3.0 million (BAM 20,000/ha; USD13,330/ha) and the area under irrigation would be increased

from 20 ha to 150 ha benefiting about 375 farmers with an average farm size of 0.4 ha. For this

financial and economic analysis, crops considered for the ―with‖ and ―without‖ project scenarios

are the same as those being today cultivated as they are well adapted to the area. They include

high value crops (potato, vegetables and fruits). This paves the way for the achievement of good

results from the proposed investments. As farmers start making higher returns with the shared

improved system, they will continue to invest in water saving technologies (sprinklers, drip

irrigation, etc.) that will enable them to cultivate a larger proportion of their land.

7. Crop models for the relevant crops were prepared showing both ―with‖ and ―without‖

scenarios, which differ on the expected yields and production costs as irrigation water is made

available and reliable, and as the IDP second component support the capacity of the participating

municipalities and cantons in addressing the modernization of irrigation practices, and the

development and strengthening of the WUA and cooperatives to support water management,

production and marketing. The resulting net income before and after labor costs, provides an

estimate of the incremental family benefit that would be attained with the relevant crops once the

project improvements are operational. The detailed Tables 1 to 11 in Appendix 1 (project files)

illustrate the 11 crops considered for the analysis. Table 1 below shows the main results using

2011 market farm gate prices. The “without project” columns show the current situation, and the

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56

“with project” columns show the average expected results. Due to the expected increases in yields

from 6 to 67 percent, the net income per hectare would increase from 36 to 664 percent.

8. The expected improved average yields and returns shown in Table 1, together with some

further diversification from cereal and fodder crops towards a higher proportion of fruit and

vegetables, constitutes the basis for the estimation of the financial and economic benefits of the

proposed interventions aimed to improve productivity of farming activities which is the livelihood

basis of most rural families in the area.

Table 1. Average yield and income by crop due to project improvements in Gorazde

Crop/Activity yields (kg/ha) Income after labor costs (BAM/ha)

Crop/Activity Without

Project

With

project

Increase

%

Without

Project

With

Project

Increase

%

1. GRASS CLOVER

2. WHEAT

3. POTATO

4. MAIZE

5. GREEN PEPPER (FIELD)

6. TOMATO (FIELD)

7. GREEN PEPPER (GREENHOUSE)

8. TOMATO (GREENHOUSE)

9. APPLES (EXISTING)

10. RASPBERRIES

11. GRAPES (NEW ORCHARD)

5.5

3.2

18

4.5

10

11

10

11

22

6.7

-

8.0

4.5

25.5

7.5

15

15

15

15

32

7

16

45

41

42

67

50

36

50

36

45

6

-

305

36

2,100

220

1,410

2,200

3,010

3,880

4,820

2,980

-

1,200

275

5,100

300

4,225

3,600

8,260

7,130

11,340

6,240

8,040

293

664

142

36

200

64

174

83

135

109

-

Note: Yield increases are estimates based on a development period of three years after project implementation: i.e. an

increase of 45 percent would imply an annual yield growth of about 15 percent for each of the three years after project

works completion.

9. Farm models combining typical cropping patterns for the Gorazde area were prepared for

representing the existing rural household systems, and for assessing the financial impact of the

project. Production levels before and after the development of the irrigation structures, result in

increases in gross income and in costs of production. Models also incorporate family income from

pensions or off-farm employment to estimate the expected impact on total household net income

(see detailed farm budgets in Project Files, Tables 12 to 14). The following Table 2 summarizes

the expected results on typical beneficiaries in the SP area.

Table 2. Farm models: estimated income increases (in BAM/farm)

Typical farm models in

Targeted areas

Farmers net income

Income

increase

Income

increase

in %

Without

project

With

project

Small farm cultivating field crops

Small farm with potatoes, fodder and greenhouse

Small farm with fruits and vegetables

2,282

6,003

3,853

5,345

11,710

5,964

3,063

5,707

2,111

134

95

55

10. The Table shows that the project improvements would allow for increases in household

income by about 55 to 134 percent, depending on the farm size and cropping patterns. Household

models confirm the financial feasibility of the project interventions and the significant impact that

irrigation development could induce on the beneficiaries’ income.

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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

11. For the economic analysis it was assumed that the cropped area would increase from 120

to 140 ha, and the area under irrigation would be increased from 20 to 140 ha, taking over

previously rain fed areas. Investments are also expected to induce some additional diversification

from traditional field crops like wheat and fodder towards fruits and vegetables. A conservative

diversification rate was assumed given that not many farmers are in financial or capacity

conditions to invest in new orchards. The following Table 3 show the modest cropping pattern

changes assumed for this assessment.

12. Table 4 shows the aggregate economic budget for the Gorazde subproject area. The overall

economic rate of return (ERR) was estimated at 16.3 percent, and the Net Present Value amounts

to BAM 685,000 (US$ 456,667) using a discount rate of 12 percent. The analysis considered costs

and benefits from the country‘s perspective. Costs and benefits were valued at market prices since

there are very few significant market distortions in agricultural prices in BiH. A shadow pricing

conversion factor was used only for the project investments (0.83) which accounts for an average

17 percent of taxes included on all investments.

Gorazde Cropping Pattern Table 3

Without Project With Project Diversification Rate

ha % ha %

Field Crops 50 42% 30 21% 60%

Fodder 20 17% 10 7%

Wheat 15 13% 10 7%

Maize 15 13% 10 7%

Field Roots and Vegetables 60 50% 90 64% 150%

Potatoes 20 17% 30 21%

Tomato 20 17% 30 21%

Green Pepper 20 17% 30 21%

Greenhouse Vegetables 4 3% 8 6% 200%

Tomato 2 2% 4 3%

Green Pepper 2 2% 4 3%

Fruits / Orchards 6 5% 12 9% 200%

Rasberries 1 1% 2 1%

Apples and other orchards 5 4% 10 7%

TOTAL 120 140 117%

Of which under irrigation 20 140 700%

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13. As can be seen in Table 3 the IDP off-farm investments would reach BAM 3 million. On-

farm investments to be done by beneficiaries were estimated at about BAM 300,000. The annual

value of production in the area is expected to be doubled from about BAM 812,000 to BAM 1,75

million. A sensitivity analysis to adverse factors: (i) higher investment costs, and (ii) reduction in

the level of crop diversification was performed, and showed the following results:

If all investment costs would be 20 percent over the estimated BAM 3.3 million

(including the BAM 3 million financed by the project) the ERR could be reduced to

13.4 percent.

If crop diversification would be reduced to 50% of the assumed level, the ERR would

be reduced to 12.5 percent.

If both adverse events would occur simultaneously, the ERR would drop to 9.8 percent.

14. Based on the economic, financial and sensitivity analysis results presented for the Gorazde

SP, which is the most expensive of those to be financed under the IDP, it can be concluded that the

planned IDP investments have a high probability of inducing in a significant development impact.

The Novo Selo Subproject

15. This scheme is located in the Municipality of Bijeljina in mainly a plain and fertile area,

with an average altitude of 90 meters and occupying the end part of the northeastern part of BiH.

Gross area is 693.30 ha, while net irrigation area is 622 ha. Although the irrigation system is still

in function, investments are required to overcome the damages resulting from years of war and

lack of adequate maintenance. The land planned for the irrigation system reconstruction is State

owned, and is currently managed by the Farm ‗Semberija‘ with a granted fifteen-year land lease

contract.

Gorazde Subproject Subproject Model Table 4ECONOMIC BUDGET (AGGREGATED)

(In BKM '000) Without Project With Project

1 3 to 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 to 20

Main Production

Fruits 80.8 88.7 80.8 84.8 91.8 112.3 145.3 168.9 267.5

Potatoes 147.0 176.4 147.0 161.7 177.6 246.2 333.8 366.5 374.9

Vegetables 419.8 464.0 419.8 441.9 491.4 695.9 931.2 1,009.9 1,032.0

Crops 75.5 83.1 75.5 79.3 91.5 87.8 72.2 74.4 74.4

Sub-total Main Production 723.1 812.1 723.1 767.6 852.3 1,142.2 1,482.4 1,619.6 1,748.7

Production Cost

Investments

Rehabilitation/improvement Investments - - 50.0 1,266.1 448.8 249.1 - - -

Institutional Strengthening and TA - - 8.5 234.3 76.3 42.3 - - -

Project Management - - 3.5 93.0 31.4 17.4 - - -

On Farm Investments - - - 29.9 96.3 81.3 16.6 6.6 -

Sub-total Investment Costs - - 62.0 1,623.2 661.0 408.4 53.1 13.6 -

Operating Costs 444.1 485.8 444.1 464.9 500.6 616.6 731.3 746.4 775.9

OUTFLOWS 444.1 485.8 506.0 2,088.1 1,161.7 1,025.1 784.4 759.9 775.9

Cash Flow 279.1 326.4 217.1 -1,320.5 -309.3 117.2 698.0 859.7 972.8

_________________________________

IRR = 16.3%, NPV = 684.81

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16. Agricultural production on the region is orientated towards pastures and crop production to

satisfy the local industry demands. Although various crops are cultivated, their range and yields

are limited due to water stress and poor irrigation. The major crop yields are much lower than

those that could be achieved with adequate supplementary irrigation. Fodder is the main crop

(20%), while grains production occupies most of the rest of the subproject area (wheat, barley,

corn, soybean and sunflower). Corn for fodder is also grown. Regarding vegetables production,

peas and beans for processing are common. The company management has come to agreements in

the recent past with the representatives of ―Sava Semberija‖, a processor from Bijeljina for peas

and beans supply, which can lead to production diversification and growth of the Sub-project

location.

17. Irrigation systems in Novo Selo scheme are supplied with groundwater and a relatively

simple system with large lateral irrigation machines supplied with water from shallow drills using

groundwater from 18 drilled wells, 315 mm in diameter and 6 to 8 m in depth. The distance

between wells varies from 100 to 200 m. Water is pumped from the drills by means of small diesel

pumps, connected to the irrigation machines using flexible polyethylene pipes, 150 mm in

diameter and 100 m in length. Irrigation machines are run by a power generator connected to the

machine. Once the machine reaches the limit of the flexible pipe from one well, the overall system

of portable pumps and pipelines must be moved to the new well, which requires substantial time

and reduces the efficiency of the irrigation machines.

18. In order to cover the overall territory with irrigation, 13 linear irrigation machines are been

used, but only six of them are currently in function. The overall area is currently irrigated, but it is

far from an optimum level, adversely affecting yields. Linear irrigation system operates at a

relatively low pressure (~2.0 kg/m2) and a seven‐ day rotation is applied in the time of the highest

irrigation demands. It is currently estimated that less than 50% of the scheme land is being

provided with less than adequate irrigation. Major problem refers to the insufficient number of

irrigation machines, as well as the costs and time needed to supply the machinery with water.

19. Based on the Irrigation System Revitalization and Modernization Project for Novo Selo, in

October 2011 the Municipality of Bijeljina prepared with the Water Management Institute ―Zavod

za vodoprivredu‖ Bijeljina, the water quantities requirements for irrigation based on the adopted

irrigation norm of 30 mm with 9-day turns for the net irrigation area of 622 ha. Considering 15%

losses on transport and distribution of water in the system and a working time of 16 hours per day,

the total water required for the irrigation system is 422.4 liters/second. The proposed IDP would

reconstruct the irrigation system, and the surface drainage system to ensure sufficient water

quantities, especially for irrigation during summer months, and adequate drainage. Access to

water, water supply reliability and irrigation efficiency would be improved within the frame of this

SP to stimulate commercial agriculture in the area.

20. The construction, reconstruction, upgrading, and modernization activities will include:

(i) Construction of an underground stationary system instead of the mobile distribution

system, subject to movements during irrigation, using HDPE pipes, diameter

110/102, 150/148, 225/208,6, 315/292,2, and 355/329,2, in the length of 18.220 km,

with hydrants for each machine to facilitate irrigation and effective use of machinery,

(ii) Construction of pumping stations and water intakes on wells,

(iii) Installation of two prefabricated tower substations TS 150 kVA and TS 250 kVA,

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(iv) Rehabilitation and repair of existing linear irrigation machinery,

(v) Procurement of new linear irrigation machinery, to replace vandalized and destroyed

machines,

(vi) Surface drainage system cleaning,

(vii) Revitalization of the gravel road network, or extension of existing and construction

of new roads, as well as asphalting of roads on the pipeline route.

21. As in the case of the Gorazde SP, crop models representing the current and proposed

situations show the yields, gross and net revenues of the crops being cultivated and of those that

would be planted as irrigation is rehabilitated to the planned level. A major change in cropping

pattern is scheduled, switching from low profit field crops into higher value vegetables. The only

current crops that would continue to be cultivated are wheat, barley and maize for grain, while

soybeans, rapeseed and alfalfa (grass clover) will be substituted by maize for production of seed,

maize for silage, peas, carrot, potatoes, and green beans; based on contractual arrangements with a

major vegetable processor in the area.

22. Table 5 summarizes the budget results presented in the detailed Tables in Project Files.

Table 5. Average yield and income by crop due to project improvements in Novo Selo

Crop/Activity yields (kg/ha) Income after labor costs (BAM/ha)

Crop/Activity Without

Project

With

project

Increase

%

Without

Project

With

Project

Increase

%

1. GRASS CLOVER

2. WHEAT

3. BARLEY

4. MAIZE GRAIN

5. SOYBEANS

6. RAPESEEDS

7. MAIZE SEED

8. PEAS

9. CARROTS

10. POTATO

11. GREEN BEANS

12. MAIZ SILAGE

6

4.8

5

5.7

2.7

2.8

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

6

5.5

10

-

-

3

6

30

40

7

45

-

25

10

75

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1,355

794

52

220

551

557

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

976

484

1,496

-

-

3,196

2,153

2,686

3,606

2,178

486

-

23

831

580

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Note: Yield increases are estimates based on a development period of three years after project implementation: i.e. an

increase of 75 percent would imply an annual yield growth of about 25 percent for each of the three years after project

works completion.

23. Improved average yields and increased returns due to crop diversification are shown in

Table 5, constituting the basis for the estimation of the financial and economic benefits of the

proposed interventions. Table 6 show the current cropping pattern (without project) including the

substitution of rapeseed for maize for seeds planned even under the present state of the facilities;

and the cropping pattern after the investment of BAM 7.3 million (BAM 11.736 or US$7,824 per

ha), which would allow switching 50 percent of the area to vegetables, as well as the increased

cropping intensity from 100 to 132 percent. The proposed investment includes BAM 5.3 million

(83 percent) for the rehabilitation of the irrigation system financed by IDP and BAM 2 million (27

percent) for renovation of the irrigation machinery to be financed by the benefited company.

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24. Table 7 show that even if the Novo Sela company would have to repay back all IDP

investment in 7 years (with 2 year grace period and 8 percent interest rate), the Financial Rate of

Return (FRR) would be 19.7 percent, and the NPV 1.7 million (12 percent discount rate). This

positive result derives from the possibility to switch to more valuable crops as water is made

available and reliable, and in the required quantities; and to the cropping increased intensity of

production. The annual gross value of production is expected to increase from BAM 1.23 million

to BAM 3.27 million (166 percent), while the company‘s annual net benefits would jump from

BAM 64,000 to BAM 1.3 million.

Novo Selo - Bijeljina Production Plan FM Table 6CROPPING PATTERNS/ACTIVITY LEVELS

(In Hectares) Without Project With Project

Unit 1 2 3 to 20 1 2 3 4 to 20

Cropping Intensity Percent 100. 100 100 100 109 119 132

Cropping Pattern

Existing Technology

Wheat ha 155 155 155 155 30 10 -

Barley ha 97 97 97 97 - - -

Maize Grain ha 191 191 191 191 101 51 -

Soyabeans ha 50 50 50 50 30 10 -

Maize Seed ha - 22 57 - - - -

Grass Clover ha 72 72 72 72 37 - -

Rapeseed ha 57 35 - 57 22 - -

Sub-total Existing Technology 622 622 622 622 220 71 -

New Technology

Wheat ha - - - - 105 105 105

Barley ha - - - - 97 97 97

Maize Grain ha - - - - 50 50 50

Peas ha - - - - 48 98 149

Carrots ha - - - - 20 40 50

Potatoes ha - - - - 20 40 50

Green Beans ha - - - - 50 110 150

Maize Seed ha - - - - 35 72 72

Maize Silage ha - - - - 30 60 100

Sub-total New Technology - - - - 455 672 823

Total Cropped Area 622 622 622 622 675 743 823

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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

25. Table 8 shows the aggregate economic budget for the Novo Selo SP area. The overall

economic rate of return (ERR) was estimated at 18.1 percent, and the Net Present Value amounts

to BAM 2,12 million (US$ 1.4 million) using a discount rate of 12 percent. The analysis

considered all costs (including the company‘s self financed BAM 2 million for renovation of the

linear irrigation machinery) and expected benefits from the country‘s perspective. Costs and

benefits were valued at market prices since there are very few significant market distortions in

agricultural prices in BiH. As with Gorazde scheme, a shadow pricing conversion factor was used

only for the project investments (0.83). A conservative diversification and intensification rate was

used based on existing arrangements with vegetable processors from the scheme area.

NOVO SELO FINANCIAL BUDGET Table 7(In BKM '000) Without Project With Project

1 4 to 20 1 2 3 4 5 to 6 7 8 to 20

Main Production

Potato NS - - - 138 322 460 460 460 460

Vegetables - - - 432 1,061 1,691 1,691 1,691 1,691

Crops 938 1,228 938 972 1,087 1,118 1,118 1,118 1,118

Sub-total Main Production 938 1,228 938 1,542 2,469 3,269 3,269 3,269 3,269

Production Cost

Investment

Rehabilitation/improvement Investments - - 925 3,731 - - - - -

Institutional Strengthening and TA - - 92 373 - - - - -

Project Management - - 31 123 - - - - -

On Farm Investments - - 1,500 500 - - - - -

Sub-total Investment Costs - - 2,548 4,727 - - - - -

Operating

Purchased Inputs

Seeds/Seedlings 90 119 90 251 435 568 568 568 568

Fertilizers 177 203 177 241 328 401 401 401 401

Agrochemicals 44 53 44 57 77 88 88 88 88

Irrigation Costs 194 226 194 277 265 168 168 168 168

Process Inputs 199 199 199 242 318 395 395 395 395

Fixed Costs 350 250 350 200 100 100 100 100 100

Sub-Total Purchased Inputs 1,053 1,049 1,053 1,268 1,522 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721

Hired Labor

Labor 77 86 77 100 140 183 183 183 183

Sub-total Operating Costs 1,130 1,135 1,130 1,368 1,662 1,904 1,904 1,904 1,904

Sub-Total Production Cost 1,130 1,135 3,678 6,095 1,662 1,904 1,904 1,904 1,904

OUTFLOWS 1,130 1,135 3,678 6,095 1,662 1,904 1,904 1,904 1,904

Cash Flow Before Financing -193 93 -2,740 -4,553 807 1,365 1,365 1,365 1,365

Net Financing -28 -28 2,759 3,869 -1,369 -1,378 -1,505 -1,505 -48

Cash Flow After Financing -221 64 18 -684 -562 -13 -140 -140 1,317

Sub-Total Change in Net Worth - - -962 - - - - - -

Farm Family Benefits After Financing -221 64 -944 -684 -562 -13 -140 -140 1,317

_________________________________

IRR = 19.7%, NPV = 1,718.56

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63

26. A sensitivity analysis to adverse factors: (i) higher investment costs, and (ii) a reduction in

the level of crop diversification in the area was done, showing the following results:

If all investment costs would be 20 percent over the estimated BAM 7.3 million the

ERR could be reduced from 18.1 percent to 14.7 percent.

If crop diversification would be reduced to 50% of the assumed level, the ERR would

be reduced to 12.1 percent.

If both adverse events would occur simultaneously, the ERR would drop to 9.3 percent.

27. Based on the economic, financial and sensitivity analysis results presented for the Novo

Selo SP, it can be concluded that the planned RS‘s selected IDP investment has a high probability

of success, even without quantifying the development impact that its improvement could have in

the region where more than fifteen thousand small farmers, with an average size of 3.3 ha, are

farming in excellent soils (class II and I), and where there are also abundant water resources

available without being utilized.

Novo Selo Subproject Subproject Model Table 8

ECONOMIC BUDGET (AGGREGATED)

(In BKM '000) Without Project With Project

1 2 3 to 20 1 2 3 4 to 20

Main Production

Potato NS - - - - 138 322 460

Vegetables - - - - 432 1,061 1,691

Crops 938 1,065 1,228 938 972 1,087 1,118

Sub-total Main Production 938 1,065 1,228 938 1,542 2,469 3,269

Production Cost

Investment

Rehabilitation/improvement Investments - - - 768 3,096 - -

Institutional Strengthening and TA - - - 77 310 - -

Project Management - - - 25 102 - -

On Farm Investments - - - 1,500 500 - -

Sub-total Investment Costs - - - 2,115 3,923 - -

Operating

Purchased Inputs

Seeds/Seedlings 90 101 119 90 251 435 568

Fertilizers 177 188 203 177 241 328 401

Agrochemicals 44 48 53 44 57 77 88

Irrigation Costs 194 206 226 194 277 265 168

Process Inputs 199 200 199 199 242 318 395

Fixed Costs 350 300 250 350 200 100 100

Sub-Total Purchased Inputs 1,053 1,043 1,049 1,053 1,268 1,522 1,721

Labor

Labor 77 81 86 77 100 140 183

Sub-total Operating Costs 1,130 1,124 1,135 1,130 1,368 1,662 1,904

Sub-Total Production Cost 1,130 1,124 1,135 3,245 5,291 1,662 1,904

OUTFLOWS 1,130 1,124 1,135 3,245 5,291 1,662 1,904

Cash Flow -193 -58 93 -2,307 -3,749 807 1,365

_________________________________

IRR = 18.1%, NPV = 2,124.92

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64

Annex 8: Social Development and Sustainability

1. The project expected outputs and outcomes anticipate increased inclusion and active

participation of small and vulnerable farmers in the benefits of the improved irrigation schemes.

Overall the expansion of commercial agriculture and the restructuring of semi-subsistence farmers

geared to improve the economic viability of the agricultural holdings will create on and off-farm

employment, help consolidate rural communities, and encourage investment in supporting

infrastructure and services. The proposed pilot schemes cover a very broad set of beneficiaries

reaching from subsistence farms to agribusiness. The investments in phase 2 and 3 will reflect

similar social characteristics described in the pilot areas below.

2. The area around Gorazde was heavily fought over during the war, which had led to the

flight of much of the population. For a number of years the area benefited from substantial

assistance from NGO and donor support to returning refugees. This aid has been waning over the

past few years and local residents are now increasingly looking at means to earn an income from

local activities. Agriculture is thought to have significant potential and marketing of local produce

benefits form an excellent reputation in the Sarajevo markets. Unlike in many other areas of BiH

the rural residents of Gorazde are relatively young and willing to invest in their land to take

advantage of the production and income opportunities provided by agriculture. The area used to

be under the management of a Kombinat and has a history of agricultural production, but the

system completely collapsed after the war and the community sees the rehabilitation of the

irrigation system as a means to revive the area and provide employment.

3. In Mostarsko Blato, the irrigation systems were built at the time of the Austro Hungarian

Empire and were later part of the irrigation system of a large agrokombinat that managed the

system. With the collapse of the kombinat, the open canal system has fallen into disrepair with

little dedicated resources for operation and maintenance. It is expected that the rehabilitation fo

the canals and improvement of water supply to the tail end in particular with help local farmers

with their production. Irrigation has never really stopped, as the area is one of the most productive

agricultural areas in the country with substantial greenhouse production and know how for

horticultural production. The relative proximity of the wholesale market in Caplijna offers an

opportunity for marketing of the produce in addition to supply the city of Mostar and its

surroundings. A key challenge will be to have farmers gain trust and organize themselves into

functional user groups in order to efficiently manage the distribution of water and forming of

WUAs.

4. In Pelagicevo and Novo Selo the systems both belong to companies that have emerged

from the privatization of the former agrokombinat that used to exist in the area. These companies

still provide substantial employment in their respective community and play a major economic

role in their respective areas. The companies fit into a strategy that aims at reviving the

agricultural sector in the region including rebuilding some of the former processing capacity that

used to be operated by the kombinats. Some of the new processors that have emerged in the area

can fruit and vegetables, process sugar beets, and market their produce across border. The

majority of them heavily invested in modernizing their production and have HACCP certification.

These companies have strong support by the local communities as they provide substantial

benefits to the other farmers in the region including machine services to smaller farmers,

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65

marketing outlets for small farm production, provision of inputs such as seeds and fertilizer as

well as pest management services and advisory support. Contract farming with small farmers

buying young claves for finishing of fattening is also a common activity. The investments would

provide benefits well beyond the direct impact of companies since these contract agreements for

crops and livestock production could be substantially expanded.

5. With regard to social sustainability/safeguards issues the project activities do not anticipate

any significant negative impacts and particularly no resettlement. Provisionally the Bank policy

OP4.12 on Involuntary Resettlement has been triggered. In case land acquisition is envisaged for

any specific SP, the project has established a Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF) as part of the

ESMF, on the basis of which, for this SP, a Land Acquisition Plan will be developed, reviewed,

cleared and disclosed publically prior to the commencement of any physical works. On social

risks that go beyond safeguards, the project will promote establishing participatory WUAs, with

the aim of ensuring a more equitable access and use of the improved irrigation systems,

particularly in relation to the needs of smaller farmers.

6. Strengthening Participation of Women: The project will encourage the participation of

women through the social mobilization activities under the PIM (Component 2). It will dedicate

separate sessions for women, aiming at increasing their roles throughout the subproject cycle

(including WUA administration and decision-making). Women‘s involvement in the project will

be monitored as a supplementary indicator of the PDO Core Indicator on Direct Beneficiaries, and

also in terms of female membership in the WUA.

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AL 420AL 420ODZAK SAMACODZAK SAMAC

PUSTARAPUSTARA

ZIVINICE AZIVINICE A

ZIVINICE BZIVINICE B

ZLATAC-ZLATAC-SOPILJASOPILJA

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GOJKOVO POLJEGOJKOVO POLJE

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GORAZDEGORAZDE ˇ ˇ

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FEDERATION OFFEDERATION OFBOSNIA ANDBOSNIA AND

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16°E

45°N

44°N

43°N

45°N

44°N

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17°E 18°E 19°E

16°E 17°E 18°E 19°E

Brcko DistrictBrcko DistrictˇBrcko Districtˇ

BOSNIA andHERZEGOVINA

This map was produced by the Map Design Unit of The World Bank. The boundaries, colors, denominations and any other informationshown on this map do not imply, on the part of The World BankGroup, any judgment on the legal status of any territory, or anyendorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

IBRD 39024

JANUARY 2012

0 10 20 30 40

0 10 20 30 Miles

50 Kilometers

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

IRRIGATION DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

TOWNS

NATIONAL CAPITAL

MAIN RIVERS

MAIN ROADS

INTER-ENTITY BOUNDARY LINES

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARIES

PRIORITY SUBPROJECTS

SUBPROJECTS TO BE CONFIRMED