DOE study on hydro

8/7/2019 DOE study on hydro

1/17

. .Fleet and ResourceAssessments

National Hydropower Association

Annual Conference

April 5, 2011

Capital Hilton

Washington, D.C.

presented by

Brennan T. Smith, Ph.D., P.E.


2/17

National Hydropower AssetAssessment Program (NHAAP)

What: A core geospatial energy-water database

production database

Dynamic linkages to multiple agencies and

federally-chartered energy-water-ecology

data products

o

Authorization, funding, and guidance from DOE

NHAAP team of hydropower engineers, aquatic

,professionals, and geospatial analysts to validate,

integrate, maintain, and disseminate information

Federal agency partners whenever possible,

84,000 Dams

17,000 Stream gages

2 Managed by UT-Battelle

for the U.S. Department of Energy U.S. Hydropower Assessment NHA Annual Meeting 2011

including Reclamation, Corps, and USGS,

1,200 Climatology Stations


3/17

19th Centur H dro ower

Earl 20th Centur H dro ower

De ression Era H dro ower

WWII H dro ower Construction

Post-War H dro ower Develo ment

Late 20th Centur H dro ower Develo ment

H dro ower Develo ment since 1990

The U. S. Hydropower Fleet

pre 1900

u me

1900 - 1929

1930 - 1939

1940 - 1949



1950 - 1969

1970 - 1989

1990 - 2008


4/17

U.S. Hydropower 2011 StatusRated Capacity Number of Units

CorpsReclamation

Non-Fed

Corps21.6 GW

Reclamation

198

TVA116

15.1 GWon- e

4,370

Technology

TVA5.2 GW

Ka lan

Size (Capacity) Distribution

Francis

51 GW

19 GW

720 UnitsPelton

2.6 GW

330 Units

,26 GW

1,501 Units



Bath County (VA) 6@477 MW

Grand Coulee (WA) 3@600 MW, 3@805 MW

Not

Shown:


5/17

The Energy-Water-Environment

Context for National Hydropower Assessmentsssessmen sers:

Project developers Electric and water utilities

Transmission planners

NGOs and resource a encies

Non!Governmental"

Water"&"

Environmental"Federal &

Integrated energy-water-environmental planning is ake to success!

Federal research programming

Water and energy policy analysts

Stewardship

Control &

Stewardship

Electric

Utilities

PublicPrivate

Power!Marketing!

State"

Energy"

Development"Offices"

(e.g."NYSERDA)

DOE!Research!Programs

Federal"&"State"

Resource"&"

Environmental"

Power!System!

Reliability!Orgs!NERC,"WECC,"MRO,"

US!Power!Markets

PJM NY!ISO ISO!NEFederal!Energy!

Administrations:!!BPA,"

WAPA,"SWPA,"SEPA

& Advocacy

(e.g. EPRI, NHA)

Protection,"" ," ,"

SERC,"FRCC

" " "

SPP,"CA!ISO,"MISO,"

ERCOT

Regulatory!Commission

ERCOT,

Eastern, Western



Integrated energy-water-environmental

planning is key to success!

Interconnections


6/17

Hydropower Assessment & Development

Scale

Environmental Planning

Users&

Uses Policy Analysis

Generation PlanningProject Developers

Site-Specific Feasibility

esearc rogramm ng

Transmission PlanningTechnology Deployment

Project Developers

!

Decreasing!Uncertainty

Remote Sensing-

Assessmentar y



o es overnmen Industry


7/17

Classification of Hydropower Assets & Opportunities

!

Resource!Class

! ! !

Existing!Assets National!Hydropower!AssetAssessment!Project!(NHAAP)!

Asset configuration,"monthly"production,"

water"availability,"and"power"system"

" " ! ," ,"

Reclamation,"and"TVA"hydropower"

facilities.

" " " " .

Environmental,"cost,"and"economic"

modules"integrated"in"2011

Public"data"portal"mid!2011

pgra es! !

Expansions

y ropower vancemen !

Project!(HAP) will"assess"

potential"for"increased"

generation"through"efficiency"

improvements"and"uprates"at"50"

n er m" "assessmen "

Best"Practices"Catalog"

Assessment"Manual

Nationwide"Opportunity"Summary"2012

projects"nationwide

Expansion"study"criteria"TBD

Non"Powered Dams Assess"the"amounts of"new"hydropower"energy"resources"

March FY11" Generation"&"Capacity"

Summary"for"US"Non!Powered"Dams

potential"in"existing"non!powered"

dams"(H>10"feet).

Mid"FY11" NPD"Database""available"via"

NHAAP

Late"FY11" Cost"and"Supply"Curve"Report"

for"US"Non!Powered"Dams




8/17

Classification of Hydropower Assets & Opportunities

!

Resource!Class

! ! !

Pumped!Storage Identify the"readily"developable"potential"for"new"large"scale"

FY11"! Baseline"Assessment"of"existing"and"

proposed"PSH

" " "

hydropower"facilities".

" " " " " "

pumped!storage"facility

Constructed! Assess"technically feasible"energy" FY11"Demo"of"Irrigation"System"" " " "

classes"of""constructed"waterways"

" "

New!Sites Assess"energy"resource"potential"from"new,"low!impact"hydropower"

facilities."

FY12"activity"TBD




9/17

Pumped-Storage Hydropower

Pumped Storage Challenges:

Technical? Economic and financial?

Policy?

All of the above?




10/17

Non"Powered!Dam!Potential:!!12.6!GW!at!54,000!Dams


11/17

Non-Powered Dam (NPD)

The NPD Top 10:

3 GW at Corps of Engineers Facilities

1 Mississippi River Facility

1 Alabama River Facility

2 Tombigbee River Facilities

2 Arkansas-Red River Facilities

The NPD Top 100 includes 8 GW

260 MW at Reclamation facilties

In Construction:

Cannelton: 2-unit (44 MW)

Smithland: 2-unit (48 MW)

In Planning or Design:

Willow Island: 3-unit (84 MW):

RC Byrd: 3-unit (76 MW):-


12/17

NHAAP Preliminary EnvironmentalAssessment of Non-Power Dam Potential

Most non-powered dams

can be developed outside

of critical habitat, parks,

Wild & Scenic Rivers

an w erness areas.

Critical Habitats



Federal & Tribal Lands


13/17

Non"Powered!Dam!Potential!With!Other!Renewables Solar Map: NREL

Non-Powered Dam Potential exists in areas with

less than ideal wind and solar resources

Water availability, particularly for regulated

rivers, is NOT correlated with solar availability

(combined firming of capacity)


14/17

Non"Powered!Dam!Potential!With!Other!Renewables Wind Map: NREL

Non-Powered Dam Potential exists in areas with

less than ideal wind and solar resources

Water availability, particularly for regulated

rivers, is NOT correlated with wind availability

(combined firming of capacity)


15/17

Next Steps and Summary ofNon-Powered Dam Efforts

Improvements in Methodology (FY11)

e ne seasona mon y ow s a s cs, ow- ura on ana ys s

Refine gross and net head computations for Top 100

Feasibility Assessment (FY11)

- ,Impaired streams, )

Updated cost estimators for powerhouse construction

3 GW at the Top 10; 8 GW at the Top 100

What are the policy and process barriers to development of these



concen ra e resources


16/17

Acknowledgments and Credits

a ona y ropower sse ssessmen

Project TeamOak Ridge National Laboratory

Boualem Hadjerioua, Ph.D., Hydropower Engineer

a er ower rogram:

Michael Reed, Chief EngineerHoyt Battey, Market Acceleration Leader

Rajesh Dham, P.E., Technology Development Leader

Shih-Chieh Kao, Ph.D., Statistical Hydrologist

Yaxing Wei, Ph.D., Geospatial Analyst

Suresh K. SanthanaVannan, Informatics Specialist

e an ro oreno, ormer ec n ca ea er

Idaho National Laboratory

Doug Hall, Water-Energy Program Manager

. ,

Ranjeet Devarakonda, Interface Development

Dale P. Kaiser, Research Climatologist

Maria G. Martinez, GIS Analyst

Michael J. Sale, M.J. Sale & Associates

Norman Bishop, Knight Piesold

James Parham, Parham & Associates

Rocio Martinez, Ph.D., Resource Economist

Henriette Jager, Ph.D., Fisheries Biologist

Mark S. Bevelhimer, Ph.D., Fisheries Biologist

Glenn F. Cada Ph.D. Fisheries Biolo ist

Thanks to these hydropower industry

reviewers and commenters:

Linda Church-Ciocci, NHA

Jeff Leahe , NHAMichael Starke, Ph.D., Power Systems Engineer

Shelaine Hetrick, PMP, Operations Manager

Brennan T. Smith, Ph.D., P.E., Program Manager &

Andrew Munro, NHA/GCPUD

Rick Miller, HDR | DTA

Dave Culligan, HDR | DTA

Don Erpenbeck, MWH



Eric Van Deuren, Mead & Hunt


17/17

Comments and inquiries:

Brennan T. Smith P. O. Box 2008

Program Manager Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6036

Water Power Technologies (865) 241-5160



Oak Ridge National Laboratory [email protected]

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DOE study on hydro