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Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries C. Edwin Young Mary Burfisher Frederick Nelson Lorraine Mitchell Economic Research Service United States Department of Agriculture

Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

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Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries. C. Edwin Young Mary Burfisher Frederick Nelson Lorraine Mitchell Economic Research Service United States Department of Agriculture. Where do you draw the line between benign policies and trade distorting policies?. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among

OECD Countries

C. Edwin YoungMary Burfisher

Frederick NelsonLorraine Mitchell

Economic Research ServiceUnited States Department of Agriculture

Page 2: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Where do you draw the line between benign policies and trade distorting policies?

• Classify support into categories – Show differences in the types of programs used to implement

agricultural policy,

– differences in the potential for each program type to distort production and trade, and

– differences in WTO “color”.

• Develop a policy database for 12 OECD countries– from the OECD’s PSE data base for 2000

– from the WTO’s domestic support notifications, and

– best judgement based on program descriptions

• Compare distortions across countries and commodities.

Page 3: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Production and price impacts

• Market price support– Tariffs– Export subsidies

• Output subsidies– Fixed per unit– Deficiency payments– Area payments

• Input subsidies– Capital and credit– Other inputs

• Supply and payment limits• Farm based payments• Other minimally distorting payments

Page 4: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

AMS compared to the PSE

• Neither OECD data nor WTO data are sufficient for a consistent comparison of the use of domestic support policies.

• WTO notifications - considerable lags occur in reporting.

• PSE and AMS measures of market price support are different

• OECD classification – does not distinguish between production distorting and non-

distorting programs. – allocates farm based payments to specific commodities

Page 5: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Combined data set

• 2000 OECD PSE database

• Twelve OECD countries – Australia, Canada, EU, Iceland, Japan, Korea, Mexico,

Norway, New Zealand, Poland, Switzerland, U.S.

• Three countries accounted for about 80 percent of total AMS commitment levels

• Non-OECD countries are omitted

• Limit analysis to major commodities– wheat, coarse grains, oilseeds, rice, sugar, dairy, beef, sheep,

poultry, hogs, EU support for horticulture, and U.S. support for cotton and peanuts

Page 6: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Developing the Domestic Support Database

• Differentiate impacts of different types of domestic support– subsidies linked to output; – subsidies linked to inputs; – whole-farm transfer payments; – sector-specific subsidies to capital inputs; and

– subsidies with minimal trade impacts (e.g., R&D, extension). • Decompose PSE data into WTO classifications• Identify commodities with administered market price

support• De minimis

Page 7: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Share of total support and value of production: selected OECD countries and commodities, 2000*

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Australia

Canada

European Union

Japan

Mexico

United States

Percent

Total support

Trade distorting support **

Value of production

* Shares are based on 12 countries and 13 commodities** Trade distorting support includes all amber box type support, including de minimis

Page 8: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

PSE vs. AMS market price support*

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

All payments,2000

PSE administeredMPS, 2000

1998 AMS MPS

All PSEMPS,2000

$ billion

* Based on 12 countries and 13 commodities

Page 9: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Program payments: selected OECD countries, 2000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Fixed $/unit of output -- amber

Fixed $/unit of output -- blue

Deficiency payments -- amber

Deficiency payments -- blue

Input subsidies -- amber

Input subsidies -- blue

Capital based payments -- amber

Capital based payments -- green

Farm based payments -- amber

Farm based payments -- green

Other minimal impacts - green

$ billion

Page 10: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Commodity share of trade distorting and blue type support: selected OECD countries, 2000 *

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Oilseeds

Sugar

Milk

Beef & sheep

Other meat

Misc.

$ billion

Trade distorting * Blue

* Trade distorting support includes all amber box type support, including de minimis

Page 11: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Commodity share of trade distorting and blue type support: selected OECD countries, 2000

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Wheat

Rice

Coarse

Oilseeds

Sugar

Milk

Beef & sheep

Other meat

Misc.

Percent of value of production

Trade distorting + blueTrade distorting only *

* Trade distorting support includes all amber box type support, including de minimis

Page 12: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Limiting support to 30% of value of production *

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

Australia

Canada

European Union

Iceland

Japan

Korea

Mexico

Norway

New Zealand

Poland

Switzerland

United States

Trade distorting **

Trade distorting + blue

* Shares are based on 12 countries and 13 commodities, and 2000 levels of support** Trade distorting support includes all amber box type support, including de minimis

Page 13: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Limiting support to 30 % of value of production

Where cuts need to be made in trade distorting support, including de minimis

Where cuts need to be made with blue box support

Wheat Rice Coarse Oilseeds Refined Milk Beef & Other meatgrains sugar sheep (pigs, etc.)

Australia 2.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 6.4 4.1 1.0 0.9Canada 5.9 14.4 7.2 60.4 2.9 5.2European Union 2.7 -10.3 5.8 2.9 49.2 41.9 62.0 1.1 with blue box 67.7 8.7 61.5 62.3 49.6 42.3 96.4 1.4Iceland 0.0 158.6 11.9 84.9Japan 84.2 0.0 83.3 0.0 40.2 79.8 27.8 29.9 with blue box 84.2 5.2 83.3 104.9 40.2 83.4 27.8 29.9Korea 0.0 85.7 82.8 91.7 69.4 1.3Mexico 0.2 9.9 17.7 26.7 50.6 0.2 0.2 0.2Norway 63.2 60.2 58.4 32.2 28.4 with blue box 63.5 60.5 137.0 119.6 35.7New Zealand 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.2Poland 16.1 21.0 4.8 3.1 5.2 3.3 24.8Switzerland 54.0 61.4 60.3 74.0 67.5 68.0 45.9United States 19.4 44.9 15.6 22.2 45.7 49.5 0.7 0.0

Page 14: Domestic Support and the WTO: Comparison of Support Among OECD Countries

Concluding remarks

• Type and level of agricultural support varies widely across countries and commodities.

• Distorting effect of policies depends upon – the economic incentives created by programs

– the total amount of support provided

• Milk, sugar and rice most heavily supported, in percentage terms (trade distorting)

• Milk, sugar, wheat and beef/sheep most heavily supported, in % terms (trade distorting plus blue)

• Commodity-based limits will achieve more reform than aggregate limits