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Downtown Demographics Grocery
Citation preview
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Dow
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Dem
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A Note to the Reader:
Information from the 2011 Canadian Census has just begun to be released. For Winnipeg’s Downtown, demographic information has only been released at the census-tract level. This level includes neighbourhoods whose boundaries extend outside of the downtown. Information at the Dissemination-Area level, and for within the Official Downtown Area, has not yet been released. Use of census-tract level data would result in the inclusion of information for areas outside of the downtown, which would skew the overall downtown picture. Census tracts that extend beyond the downtown include parts of West Broadway, South Point Douglas, West Alexander, Centennial, and Logan.
Therefore, demographic data will be used from the 2006 census, as it conforms to the officially designated Winnipeg Downtown Boundaries. Emerging data from the 2011 census (for selected areas) will be included to help fill in the picture of an evolving downtown.
Full 2011 census data for Winnipeg’s Officially Designated Downtown is expected, at the earliest, in July, 2013.
Demographics: (Source: 2006 Census)• Total 2006 population was 13,470 people.• After a period of slight population loss in the 1990s, the downtown is again growing strongly, with sustained growth of 5% over the
last decade.• Projected population from the 2011 Census is over 14,000 people.• Compared to Winnipeg, residents of downtown are younger, more ethnically diverse, less affluent, and more likely to be single.• Significantly more people aged 20-35 live downtown (33.7%), than citywide (20.9%).
• This is partially from the high number of students living downtown. • Downtown, 16.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal, compared to 10.2% citywide.• Downtown, 35.2% of residents identify as a Visible Minority, 16.3% citywide.• Downtown, 55.4% of residents identify as single, compared to 35.5% citywide.
Employment / Income: (Source: “Housing in Winnipeg’s Downtown: Issues and Opportunities”, 2008)• 2001: Downtown had 57,000 jobs – about 25% of the CMA workforce.• 2006 unemployment rate downtown (for those 25 years and older)
was 10.1% compared to 3.9% citywide.• Average employment income downtown (2005) was $26,197
compared to $33,518 citywide.• A a significantly higher percentage of the downtown population earns
less than $20,000 / year compared to the citywide average. • Income varies widely across the downtown with both the highest
average incomes (the Exchange District) and lowest income side by side.
Winnipeg Downtown Demographics:
2011 Census Data: 2011 Census data for three Census-tracts is presented here as a preview to what the full release is expected to show later this year. The Census tracts are:• 0014.00 (Bordered by Osborne, York, Main, and Assiniboine): an area larger than the Broadway-Assiniboine neighbourhood• 0023.00 (Bordered by Balmoral, Portage and Notre Dame): the Central Park and Portage-Ellice neighbourhoods grouped together• 0024.00 (Bordered by Portage East, Main, Higgins, and the Red River):includes parts of the neighbouhoods of the Exchange District, Civic Centre and all of South Point Douglas.
2011 Census Profile Variables for Three Downtown of Census Tracts and Winnipeg
Area
Census Tract
NumberPopulation
2011Population
2006Percentage
Change
Pop. Density
km2Land Area
km2
Total Population 15
& Older
Ttl Pop., 15 & Older,
MarriedTtl Pop., 15
& Older, SingleTotal Private
DwellingsDwellings Occupied by Usual Residents
Total Number of Private
Households
Single Detached
HouseApartment:
5 Storey +
Semi-Detached
HouseApartment less
than 5 StoreyHousehold
Size: 1 Household
Size: 2Household
Size: 3Household
Size: 4Household
Size: 5Household
Size: 6Household
Size: Average
Winnipeg Total 0 730018 694668 5.1 138 5303.09 605175 332515 272660 304779 291316 291315 183245 35460 10400 46755 86685 93630 44265 41495 16135 9105 2.5Bounded by Osborne, York, Main, and Assiniboine 14 5539 5611 -1.3 8195 0.68 5245 1655 3590 4400 3885 3885 5 2915 0 965 2625 990 200 55 10 5 1.4Bounded by Balmoral, Portage and Notre Dame 23 5231 4956 5.5 12003 0.44 4355 1615 2740 2761 2396 2395 10 2010 5 370 1165 635 290 190 65 45 2Bounded by Portage East, Main, Higgins, Red River 24 1163 762 52.6 1193 0.97 no data no data no data 423 362 no data no data no data no data no data no data no data no data no data no data no data no data
year Class A Class B Class C Overall2003 7.4 3.2 2.4 4.42004 10.0 4.3 4.4 6.12005 8.4 5.9 5.3 6.62006 9.0 5.1 3.4 6.02007 5.7 7.4 1.7 5.82008 5.1 3.0 2.5 3.72009 3.8 7.1 4.2 5.42010 4.8 7.0 5.6 6.02011 5.1 7.8 6.7 6.72012 4.3 8.9 7.6 7.2
year Rate2003 11.32004 12.12005 12.42006 12.72007 10.72008 9.52009 10.22010 11.02011 11.12012 12.1
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
Downtown Population
Housing: (Source: “Housing in Winnipeg’s Downtown: Issues and Opportunities”, 2008):• Approximately 9,375 dwelling units• Downtown is approximately 91% rentals, compared to 35% citywide.• However, the rental market downtown shrank by 2% between 2001 and 2006, as more people moved into condos.• Ownership increased by 11% over this same period. • 38% of all downtown residents live in the Broadway-Assiniboine district of the downtown.• 14% live in the South Portage district.• 26% live in the Central Park district.• 6% Colony, 8% Portage-Ellice, 5% Chinatown, and 4% Exchange District.• About 62% of downtown households are single person households. • About 1800 units of residential housing were built in the downtown between 2005 and 2013. (Source: IUS)• About 400 additional units are currently proposed or being planned. (Source: IUS)
Projected Growth: (Source: “Housing in Winnipeg’s Downtown: Issues and Opportunities”, 2008):• Winnipeg is expected to grow to 850,000 people by 2031 (Source: “Our Winnipeg”, 2010).• This is an addition of 70,000 people by 2021, and 174,000 by 2031.• The City hopes the downtown will capture between 13% and 22% of this growth.• This will result in 2500-4100 of expected new housing units downtown by 2021.• The City projects the downtown to grow by 4700-6700 people between 2006 and 2021. A rate of 1.9-2.4% per year.
Most new growth is expected to occur in three main areas: the Exchange District, some in Broadway-Assiniboine, and the largest amount at the north end of Waterfront Drive into South Point Douglas. Remaining areas are expected to see Minor Infill or Minor Redevelopment.
Office & Retail Market Data: (Source: The Johnson Report: 2012 Year-End Market Report
Downtown Residential Sales Stats:(Source: MLSR)
Downtown: Year-End Class ‘A’ to ‘C’ Vacancy RatesDowntown: Year-EndRetail Vacancy Rates Downtown Residential Sales - 2012
List Price Sold PriceMin $49,000 $37,500Max $599,000 $577,000Avg $247,204 $242,020Sum $16,809,849 $16,457,390
List Price Sold PriceMin $499,000 $50,000Max $249,900 $200,000Ave $122,636 $114,436Sum $1,349,000 $1,258,800
Property Type: Condominium (68 Sales)
Property Type: Residential (11 Sales)