34
1 Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 1 of 34

Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

1

Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives

Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 1 of 34

Page 2: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

2

Updated Table 1: Counts and Percentages of Detained and Total Age-Outs with Evidence of Potential Risk Factors—October 17, 2018 – May 24, 2019

Detained Age-Outs All Age-Outs

Evidence Indicated in AORFs CountShare of Detained

Age-Outs (%) CountShare of All Age-

Outs (%)

Total Age-Outs 285 100.0% 1,005 100.0%

1. No Evidence Indicating Danger to Community 254 89.1% 943 93.8%

2. Additionally, No Evidence Indicating Danger to Self 248 87.0% 929 92.4%

3. Additionally, Availability of Potential Sponsor 231 81.1% 911 90.6%

4. Additionally, No Evidence Indicating Risk of FlightThat Would Not Be Addressed by a Sponsor 229 80.4% 908 90.3%

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 007Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 2 of 34

Page 3: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

3

Updated Table 2:Available Potential Sponsors for Detained Age-Outs

Evidence Indicated by Data Source

Count ofDetained Age-

OutsShare of Detained

Age-Outs (%)

Count ofDetained Age-Outs with NoEvidence ofDanger to

Community or Self

Share of DetainedAge-Outs withNo Evidence of

Danger toCommunity or

Self

All Detained Age Outs 285 100.0% 248 100.0%

Sponsor Listed 153 53.7% 130 52.4%

Sponsor Listed or Group Sponsor Available 268 94.0% 231 93.1%Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 008Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 3 of 34

Page 4: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

4

Updated Supplemental Table 1:Detained Age-Outs Who Were Subsequently Released, by Type of Release—January 1, 2018 - May 24, 2019

Release Status Age-Outs PercentageBonded Out 466 61.9%

Order of recognizance 262 34.8%

Paroled 19 2.5%

Order of supervision 6 0.8%

Note: Chart from Expert Report was updated to reflect that being “Removed” is different than being “Released”

Source: RFP #18 Data and Interrogatory #6 Data.

Pls.' Demo 009Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 4 of 34

Page 5: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

5

Updated Supplemental Table 2:Detention Durations Among Detained Age-Outs—January 1, 2018 - May 24, 2019

Length-of-Stay Count PercentageDetained 1+ days 1,342 88.3%

Detained 7+ days 1,281 84.3%

Detained 14+ days 1,174 77.3%

Detained 30+ days 977 64.3%

Detained 60+ days 597 39.3%

Detained 90+ days 327 21.5%Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 010Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 5 of 34

Page 6: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

6

Updated Supplemental Table 3: Detention Durations Among Detained Age-OutsWho Were Subsequently Released—January 1, 2018 - May 24, 2019

Length-of-Stay Count PercentageDetained 1+ days 583 80.1%

Detained 7+ days 543 74.6%

Detained 14+ days 468 64.3%

Detained 30+ days 356 48.9%

Detained 60+ days 186 25.5%

Detained 90+ days 91 12.5%Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 011Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 6 of 34

Page 7: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

7

Updated Exhibit 4:Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2)

Share of UACs Detained

AORDate of Age Out (May Differ from Date of Detention)

Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17Atlanta 0% 0% 17Baltimore 0% 0%Boston 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%BuffaloChicago 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 71% 86% 100% 100% 100% 67% 100% 100% 100% 67% 100% 100% 100%Dallas 0% 0% 0% 0%Denver 0%Detroit 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%El Paso 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9% 31% 38% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Harlingen 96% 71% 63% 76% 71% 78% 85% 2% 78% 80% 87% 32% 44% 50% 67% 77% 58% 84%Houston 80% 31% 14% 93% 5% 48% 83% 39% 100% 93% 57% 86% 100% 80% 36% 0% 88% 100%Los Angeles 0% 0% 14% 50% 0% 25% 0% 0% 67% 33% 100% 50%Miami 0% 100% 100% 89% 0% 100% 100% 85% 83% 0% 100% 50% 100%New Orleans 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%New York 33% 100% 100% 100% 60% 50% 50% 67% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 67% 88%Newark 0%Philadelphia 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%Phoenix 60% 75% 90% 82% 75% 60% 86% 67% 46% 37% 25% 27% 0% 50% 50% 50% 45% 24%San Antonio 0% 0% 0% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 15% 0% 50%San Diego 50% 100% 100% 50% 33% 0% 0% 100% 100% 0% 67%San Francisco 50% 100% 100% 100% 67% 75% 80% 50% 50% 100% 50% 100% 40% 100% 50%Seattle 0% 50% 33% 100% 57% 33% 50% 33% 25% 67% 0% 0% 50%Washington DC 33% 67% 50% 33% 25% 60% 100% 0% 17% 25% 67% 33% 20% 100% 0% 75% 67% 0%Total 63% 45% 55% 64% 47% 52% 62% 27% 60% 58% 51% 38% 57% 50% 38% 49% 60% 59%

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 012Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 7 of 34

Page 8: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

7A

Updated Exhibit 4A: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019

Share of UACs Detained

AORDate of Age Out (May Differ from Date of Detention)

Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17AtlantaBaltimore 100%Boston 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%BuffaloChicago 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 71% 100% 100% 67% 100% 67% 100% 100% 100% 67% 100% 100% 100% 100% 86% 100%DallasDenverDetroit 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%El Paso 0% 0% 0% 0% 11% 0% 0% 0% 8% 15% 89% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 50% 100% 100%Harlingen 96% 75% 89% 79% 88% 88% 59% 2% 9% 3% 14% 94% 80% 63% 80% 91% 78% 72% 92% 75% 55%Houston 100% 100% 93% 100% 95% 95% 83% 94% 83% 96% 86% 86% 100% 80% 100% 100% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100%Los Angeles 33% 0% 17% 0% 50% 0% 38% 0% 0% 100% 33% 50% 50% 50% 67% 100%Miami 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 86% 100% 100% 50% 100% 0% 100%New OrleansNew York 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 67% 100% 100% 89% 100%Newark 100%Philadelphia 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 33% 0% 0%Phoenix 100% 88% 90% 82% 81% 73% 86% 73% 69% 56% 17% 50% 0% 50% 44% 83% 73% 41% 80% 88% 100%San Antonio 0% 17% 0% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% 0% 0% 7% 14% 0% 22% 7% 0% 0%San Diego 100% 0% 100% 0% 67% 100% 33% 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 83% 100% 50%San Francisco 67% 100% 100% 100% 67% 75% 80% 50% 67% 100% 50% 100% 33% 100% 50% 100% 100% 100%Seattle 0% 33% 67% 100% 57% 50% 100% 50% 0% 67% 0% 0% 0% 50% 67% 100% 0%Washington DC 67% 67% 50% 25% 50% 29% 50% 0% 17% 29% 67% 33% 14% 100% 0% 75% 50% 0% 50% 50% 0%

Total 71% 63% 70%

63% 67% 62% 54% 38% 36% 41% 47% 56% 63% 51% 51% 65% 67% 59% 66% 69% 61%

Source: Updated Exhibit 4A of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 012ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 8 of 34

Page 9: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

8

Updated Exhibit 4:Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 2 of 2)

Share of UACs DetainedDate of Age Out (May Differ from Date of Detention)

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Total0% 0%

0% 0% 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 25% 0% 0% 0% 22%50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%

0% 0%80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 100% 80% 40% 17% 33% 0% 8% 0% 25% 0% 50% 0% 64%

0% 0% 0%0%

100% 100% 0% 0% 0% 13%75% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 80% 67% 63% 100% 100% 90% 100% 100% 100% 56%93% 95% 84% 84% 97% 98% 84% 86% 85% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 46%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 100% 100% 100% 95% 90% 94% 100% 100% 100% 92% 100% 100% 80%100% 67% 100% 0% 50% 100% 100% 60% 100% 86% 100% 50% 100% 33% 60% 67% 75% 52%100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 79% 100% 100% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 92%

0% 0%100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 71% 100% 100% 100% 67% 80% 100% 50% 88% 100% 75% 75% 84%

0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 25%0% 100% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%

75% 62% 55% 71% 77% 80% 88% 84% 63% 78% 42% 54% 71% 71% 91% 100% 71% 100% 100% 66%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% 8% 0% 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 8% 3%0% 50% 17% 0% 25% 50% 33% 20% 67% 67% 100% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 46%

75% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 50% 50% 100% 25% 0% 0% 50% 60% 100% 100% 69%100% 67% 100% 0% 50% 50% 50% 50% 100% 100% 33% 0% 0% 100% 49%75% 20% 78% 83% 80% 100% 80% 40% 33% 100% 50% 20% 100% 100% 100% 20% 50% 45%74% 68% 69% 71% 74% 78% 80% 76% 71% 38% 31% 27% 30% 29% 36% 35% 32% 34% 61% 52%

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

AOR Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17Atlanta 0% 0%Baltimore 100%BostonBuffaloChicago 100% 56% 100%Dallas 0%DenverDetroit 0% 0%El Paso 100% 100% 100%Harlingen 75% 82% 50%Houston 50% 88% 100%Los Angeles 50% 67% 100%Miami 0% 67%New Orleans 0%New York 100% 80% 100%Newark 100%Philadelphia 33% 0% 0%Phoenix 64% 67% 88%San Antonio 9% 0% 0%San Diego 33% 50% 20%San Francisco 100% 100% 67%Seattle 67% 100% 0%Washington DC 33% 50% 0%Total 53% 65% 54%

Pls.' Demo 013Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 9 of 34

Page 10: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

8A

Updated Exhibit 4A: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019

Share of UACs Detained

AORDate of Age Out (May Differ from Date of Detention)

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 TotalAtlantaBaltimore 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 25% 0% 0% 0% 19%Boston 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Buffalo 0% 0%Chicago 80% 100% 100% 100% 75% 75% 100% 83% 40% 17% 25% 0% 8% 0% 25% 0% 50% 0% 63%Dallas 0% 0% 0%DenverDetroit 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 8%El Paso 75% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 80% 90% 67% 63% 100% 100% 90% 100% 100% 100% 59%Harlingen 100% 86% 97% 78% 79% 96% 93% 97% 82% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 41%Houston 100% 100% 88% 86% 100% 100% 94% 100% 95% 100% 95% 95% 94% 100% 100% 100% 92% 100% 100% 96%Los Angeles 100% 67% 50% 0% 50% 100% 100% 60% 100% 86% 100% 50% 75% 33% 60% 67% 75% 54%Miami 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 96%New OrleansNew York 89% 100% 75% 100% 100% 86% 100% 100% 100% 67% 80% 100% 75% 88% 100% 75% 75% 90%Newark 0% 0% 0% 0% 17%Philadelphia 0% 100% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%Phoenix 95% 96% 91% 96% 97% 92% 100% 100% 94% 91% 88% 92% 93% 86% 91% 100% 71% 100% 100% 84%San Antonio 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 8% 0% 6% 4% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 3%San Diego 100% 100% 83% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%San Francisco 50% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 57% 50% 100% 50% 100% 67% 50% 60% 100% 100% 74%Seattle 100% 67% 100% 0% 60% 50% 75% 22% 100% 100% 33% 0% 0% 100% 48%Washington DC 80% 20% 89% 80% 80% 100% 75% 80% 33% 100% 80% 67% 100% 100% 100% 20% 50% 49%

71% 75% 71% 73% 83% 83% 82% 73% 42% 38% 31% 33% 30% 36% 35% 32% 34% 61% 55% J. LSource: Updated Exhibit 4A of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 013ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 10 of 34

Page 11: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

9

Updated Exhibit 5:Detention Rates by Field Office—October 17, 2018 to May 24, 2019

Field OfficeTotal Age-

OutsDetainedAge-Outs

PercentageDetained

Detention Percentage Statistically Higher than

SNA?Harlingen 405 2 .05% No

San Antonio 117 3 2.6% No

Houston 101 98 97.0% Yes

Phoenix 72 34 47.2% Yes

Chicago 65 9 13.8% Yes

Miami 52 50 96.2% Yes

El Paso 35 28 80.0% Yes

Philadelphia 32 0 0.0% No

New York 31 24 77.4% Yes

Los Angeles 29 21 72.4% Yes

Washington, DC 17 5 29.4% Yes

San Francisco 16 4 25.0% Yes

Baltimore 10 0 0.0% No

Seattle 8 5 62.5% Yes

San Diego 6 2 33.3% Yes

Boston 5 0 0.0% No

Detroit 3 0 0.0% No

Newark 1 0 0.0% No

Total 1005 285 28.4%Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 014Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 11 of 34

Page 12: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

10

Updated Exhibit 6: Detention Rates by Field Office Among Age-Outs with No Evidence of Risk Factors—October 17, 2018 to May 24, 2019

Field OfficeTotal Age-

OutsDetainedAge-Outs

PercentageDetained

Detention Percentage Statistically Higher than

SNA?Harlingen 398 2 0.5% No

San Antonio 106 0 0.0% No

Houston 100 98 98.0% Yes

Phoenix 70 33 47.1% Yes

Chicago 59 6 10.2% Yes

Miami 47 46 97.9% Yes

El Paso 33 27 81.8% Yes

Philadelphia 31 0 0.0% No

New York 17 12 70.6% Yes

Los Angeles 9 3 33.3% Yes

Washington, DC 7 0 0.0% No

San Francisco 6 0 0.0% No

Baltimore 9 0 0.0% No

Seattle 3 1 33.3% No

San Diego 5 1 20.0% No

Boston 4 0 0.0% No

Detroit 3 0 0.0% No

Newark 1 0 0.0% No

Total 908 229 25.2%Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 015Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 12 of 34

Page 13: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

11

Updated Exhibit 7: Regression Results

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 016Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 13 of 34

Page 14: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

12

Updated Exhibit 7: Regression Results

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 017Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 14 of 34

Page 15: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

13

Updated Exhibit 8: Effects Analysis

Probit Model with Combination 1 of the Risk Factors

Characteristic of Age-Out Estimated Effect on Probability ofBeing Detained

95% Confidence Interval forEffect on Probability of Being

DetainedEvidence of Danger to the Community 0.9% -4.9% - 7.9%Evidence of Danger to Self -2.6% -8.2% - 3.9%Evidence of Lack of Sponsor or Risk of FlightUnaddressed by Release to Sponsor 32.2% 19.1% - 46.8%

Evidence of All the Above Factors 28.0% 16.8% - 41.6%

Aged-Out of El Paso AOR 80.2% 67.9% - 87.6%Aged-Out of Houston AOR 94.2% 88.5% - 96.6%Aged-Out of Los Angeles AOR 34.6% 17.6% - 54.6%Aged-Out of Miami AOR 93.8% 86.2% - 96.7%Aged-Out of New York City AOR 66.2% 49.9% - 78.6%Aged-Out of Phoenix AOR 46.1% 36.7% - 54.8%

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Pls.' Demo 018Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 15 of 34

Page 16: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

14

Updated Exhibit 8: Effects Analysis

Source: Updated Expert Report and Exhibits of J. Lenzo

Probit Model with Combination 2 of the Risk Factors

Characteristic of Age-Out Estimated Effect on Probability ofBeing Detained

95% Confidence Interval forEffect on Probability of Being

DetainedEvidence of Any Risk Factor 12.7% 8.1% - 18.4%

Aged-Out of El Paso AOR 80.6% 68.8% - 88.1%Aged-Out of Houston AOR 95.2% 90.0% - 97.4%Aged-Out of Los Angeles AOR 51.5% 35.1% - 68.7%Aged-Out of Miami AOR 94.3% 87.6% - 97.1%Aged-Out of New York City AOR 62.0% 45.3% - 75.6%Aged-Out of Phoenix AOR 47.8% 38.3% - 56.3%

Pls.' Demo 019Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 16 of 34

Page 17: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

15

Comparison of In-Absentia Rates

Year

Non-UAC [1] UAC [1] Age-Outs, Never Detained [2]Age-Outs, Detained But Subsequently

Released [2]

Total

In-Absentia Removal Orders

Percent In-Absentia Total

In-Absentia Removal Orders

Percent In-Absentia Total

In-Absentia Removal Orders

Percent In-Absentia Total

In-Absentia Removal Orders

Percent In-Absentia

2014 73,165 23,678 32% 3,331 2,112 63%

2015 76,881 31,000 40% 13,554 7,198 53%

2016 75,277 27,800 37% 14,785 6,408 43%

2017 82,711 35,115 42% 13,331 6,799 51%

2018 106,763 39,353 37% 12,545 6,705 53% 481 26 5% 447 46 10%

2019 118,685 52,041 44% 9,116 5,498 60% 414 10 2% 111 3 3%

Source:[1] Executive Office for Immigration Review.[2] RFP 18, RFP 21, IROG 6, In-Absentia Data.

Pls.' Demo 020Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 17 of 34

Page 18: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

16

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: San Antonio

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

0% 0% 0%

11%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

15%

0%

50%

9%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

8%

0%

8%

0%

6% 5%

0% 0% 0%

6%

0%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 021Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 18 of 34

Page 19: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

16A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: San Antonio

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

0%

17%

0%

17%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

8%

0% 0% 0%

7%

14%

0%

22%

7%

0% 0% 0% 0%

5%

0% 0%

8%

0%

6% 4%

0%

5%

0% 0% 0%

6%

0% 0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 021ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 19 of 34

Page 20: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

17

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Harlingen

96%

71%

63%

76%

71%

78%

85%

2%

78%80%

87%

32%

44%

50%

67%

77%

58%

84%

75%

82%

50%

93%95%

84% 84%

97% 98%

84%86% 85%

1% 1% 2%0% 0% 0%

2%0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 022Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 20 of 34

Page 21: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

17A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Harlingen

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

96%

75%

89%

79%

88% 88%

59%

2%

9%

3%

14%

94%

80%

63%

80%

91%

78%

72%

92%

75%

55%

100%

86%

97%

78% 79%

96%93%

97%

82%

4%1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 022ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 21 of 34

Page 22: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

18

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Chicago100%100%100%100%

71%

86%

100%100%100%

67%

100%100%100%

67%

100%100%100%100%100%

56%

100%

80%

100%100%100%100%

75%

100%

80%

40%

17%

33%

0%

8%

0%

25%

0%

50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 023Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 22 of 34

Page 23: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

18A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Chicago

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

71%

100% 100%

67%

100%

67%

100% 100% 100%

67%

100% 100% 100% 100%

86%

100%

80%

100% 100% 100%

75% 75%

100%

83%

40%

17%

25%

0%

8%

0%

25%

0%

50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 023ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 23 of 34

Page 24: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

19

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Houston

80%

31%

14%

93%

5%

48%

83%

39%

100%

93%

57%

86%

100%

80%

36%

0%

88%

100%

50%

88%

100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

94%

100%100%100%95%

90%

94%

100%100%100%

92%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 024Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 24 of 34

Page 25: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

19A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Houston

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

100% 100%

93%

100%

95% 95%

83%

94%

83%

96%

86% 86%

100%

80%

100% 100%

86%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

88%86%

100% 100%

94%

100%

95%

100%

95% 95% 94%

100% 100% 100%

92%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 024ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 25 of 34

Page 26: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

20

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Miami

0%

100%100%

89%

0%

100%100%

85%83%

0%

100%

50%

100%

0%

67%

100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

79%

100%100%95%

100%100%100%100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 025Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 26 of 34

Page 27: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

20A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Miami

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

0%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

86%

100% 100%

50%

100%

0%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

86%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

* * * * * *

*No age-outs reported this month

**

Pls.' Demo 025ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 27 of 34

Page 28: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

21

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: El Paso

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

9%

31%

38%

100%100%100% 100%100%100%100%100%100%

75%

100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

75%

80%

67%

63%

100%100%

90%

100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 026Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 28 of 34

Page 29: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

21A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: El Paso

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

0% 0% 0% 0%

11%

0% 0% 0%

8%

15%

89%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

50%

100% 100%

75%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

80%

90%

67%

63%

100% 100%

90%

100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

*

*No age-outs reported this month

Pls.' Demo 026ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 29 of 34

Page 30: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

22

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: New York

33%

100%100% 100%

60%

50% 50%

67%

0%

100%

0%

100% 100%100%

67%

88%

80%

100%100%100%100%100%100%

71%

100%100%100%

67%

80%

100%

50%

88%

100%

75% 75%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17; Sources: Age Out Review Forms and Monthly Age Out Reports; Responses to RFP 18 and 21.

Pls.' Demo 027Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 30 of 34

Page 31: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

22A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: New York

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

100% 100% 100% 100%

75%

100% 100% 100%

0%

100% 100% 100% 100%

67%

100% 100%

89%

100%

89%

100%

75%

100% 100%

86%

100% 100% 100%

67%

80%

100%

75%

88%

100%

75% 75%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

* * *

*No age-outs reported this month

Pls.' Demo 027ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 31 of 34

Page 32: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

23

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019

63%

45%

55%

64%

47%

52%

62%

27%

60%58%

51%

38%

57%

50%

38%

49%

60% 59%

53%

65%

54%

74%

68% 69%71%

74%

78%80%

76%

71%

38%

31%

27%30% 29%

36% 35%32%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ex. 4 at 17

Pls.' Demo 028Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 32 of 34

Page 33: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

23A

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Total

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

71%

63%

70%

63%

67%

62%

54%

38%36%

41%

47%

56%

63%

51% 51%

65%67%

59%

66%69%

61%

78%

71%

75%

71%73%

83% 83% 82%

73%

42%38%

31%33%

30%

36% 35%32%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 028ACase 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 33 of 34

Page 34: Dr. Justin Lenzo Demonstratives · Updated Exhibit 4: Share of UACs That Have Been Detained, by AOR and Month— April 2016 - July 2019 (Page 1 of 2) Share of UACs Detained AOR Date

Monthly Detention Rate, April 2016 - May 2019: Phoenix

Sources: Responses to RFP 21.

100%

88%90%

82% 81%

73%

86%

73%

69%

56%

17%

50%

0%

50%

44%

83%

73%

41%

80%

88%

100%

95%96%

91%

96% 97%

92%

100% 100%

94%91%

88%92% 93%

86%

91%

100%

71%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pls.' Demo 064Case 1:18-cv-00508-RC Document 260-1 Filed 12/01/19 Page 34 of 34