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Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

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Page 1: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist

Iowa Land Value Survey2014

Page 2: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

$7,943

Statewide Average

down -8.9%

down -$773

Page 3: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

High Grade Land

$9,854down -9.0%

down -$974

Page 4: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Medium Grade Land

$7,359down -8.5%

down -$688

Page 5: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Low Grade Land

$4,878down -7.9%

down -$420

Page 6: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Northwest

up 2.8%up $83

$9,615high 11,201$ med 8,698$ low 6,091$

down -12.3%

down -$1,345

Page 7: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

North Central

$8,536

down -13.1%

down -$1,282

high 9,630$ med 7,874$ low 5,428$

Page 8: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Northeast

$8,151high 10,083$ med 7,591$ low 5,256$

down -11.0%

down -$1,010

Page 9: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

West Central

$8,424high 10,275$ med 7,827$

low 5,173$ down -10.8%

down -$1,024

Page 10: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Central

$9,087high 10,780$ med 8,327$ low 5,582$

down -8.0%

down -$790

Page 11: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

East Central

$9,008high 11,034$ med 8,388$ low 5,479$

down -3.4%

down -$319

Page 12: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Southwest

$6,513high 8,482$ med 6,108$ low 3,860$

down -13.5%

down -$1,018

Page 13: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

South Central

$4,475high 6,663$ med 4,318$ low 2,808$

down -6.6%

down -$317

Page 14: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

Southeast

$7,215high 10,150$ med 6,715$ low 3,891$

up 3.2%

up $221

Page 15: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

AVERAGE VALUESall grades 1950−2014

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

Page 16: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

PERCENTAGE CHANGE from previous year, 1951−2014

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

Page 17: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

AVERAGE VALUESadjusted for inflation

 $0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

Page 18: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

PERCENTAGE CHANGE adjusted for inflation

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

Page 19: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

2014 AVERAGE VALUES

Page 20: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

PERCENTAGE CHANGE

Page 21: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

POSITIVE FACTORSaffecting land values

Interest rates Land availability Cash available Strong yields Livestock returns0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

62%

28%

21%18% 18%

Page 22: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

NEGATIVE FACTORS affecting land values

Low commodity prices High input prices Uncertain ag future0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

94%

20%14%

Page 23: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

WHO PURCHASED farmland

Existing Farmers; 78%

Investors; 18%

New Farmers; 3% Others; 1%

Page 24: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

WHO PURCHASED farmland

19891990

19911992

19931994

19951996

19971998

19992000

20012002

20032004

20052006

20072008

20092010

20112012

20132014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Farmers Investors New Farmers Other

Page 25: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

SALES ACTIVITYrelative to previous year

19861987

19881989

19901991

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

20102011

20122013

20140%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

More Less Same

Page 26: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

sales activity from previous yearCHANGE IN

More - 14%Less - 45%

Same - 41%

More - 17%Less - 47%

Same - 36%

More - 13%Less - 52%

Same - 34%

More - 7%Less - 69%

Same - 23%

More - 8%Less - 68%

Same - 24%

More - 14%Less - 62%

Same - 24%

More - 5%Less - 86%

Same - 9%

More - 8%Less - 60%

Same - 32%

More - 11%Less - 62%

Same - 27%

Page 27: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

SUMMARY• 8.9 percent decrease largest decrease since 1986

• Land values are still 18 percent higher than in 2011

• Southeast Iowa continued to increase in value, the only area in the state to do so

• Number of sales dropped considerably

• Farm income and interest rates will be keys to watch

Page 28: Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2014

For more information, visit

www.card.iastate.edu