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Dr Stephen Pavis NHS National Services Scotland [email protected]

Dr Stephen Pavis NHS National Services Scotland … · High rates of morbidity of common complex disease Unique patient identifier . 1911197119311951 2011 1991 Source: Scotland 2011

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Dr Stephen Pavis

NHS National Services Scotland

[email protected]

The next 25 minutes

Brief overview of Scotland and its health service

Scotland’s vision around data use

The Farr Institute

What it is?

How we use data?

Case studies

Scottish population and our National Health Service

Scottish Healthcare context

Population 5.29M

Single health care provider

14 Territorial Boards

6 Special Health Boards

38 Hospitals, 1020 General Practices

High rates of morbidity of common complex disease

Unique patient identifier

1911 1931 1951 1971

1991 2011

Source: Scotland 2011 Census

Scotland’s Demographics 1911 - 2011

Population-based study

1.75M people in Scotland

More people have 2 or more CDs

than one

“Management of patients with

several chronic diseases is now

the most important task facing

health services in developed

countries, which presents a

fundamental challenge to the

single-disease focus that

pervades medicine”

Lancet May 15th 2012

£170 Million

40% 15%

28 62

11% 40%

214 1,621

81.0yrs 70.1yrs

84.2yrs 76.8yrs

2011/12 allocations to NHS for Health Inequlities

Exclusive breastfeeding rate at 6-8 weeks

GP consultations for anxiety (per 1000)

% adult smokers

Alcohol-related hospital

admissions per 100,000

Average life expectancy

of men

Average life expectancy of

women

Least deprived areas Most deprived areas

Source: Audit Scotland, October 2013

Key Trends

Population: 5.3 million

% aged 75+ : 7.9%

Budget £12.2 bn in 2016

Circa £2,100 per person

Inputs

• Acute Beds in 2011/12:

16,500 (NHS)

• Doctors in 2012: 12,000

(NHS WTE)

• Nurses / Midwifes in 2012:

56,600 (NHS WTE)

The Scottish Health Service on a Slide

2012/13

5 year Change

Estimated GP Patient Contacts

16,539,000 3.3%

Estimated Practice Nurse Patient Contacts

7,627,000 10.5%

New A&E Attendances

1,561,529 6.8%

Total Outpatient Attendances

4,699,868 4.7%

Total Inpatient/Day Case Discharges

1,582,305 6.8%

Day Case Discharges

448,782 10.6%

Routine Inpatient Discharges

441,024 9.5%

Non-Routine (emergency) Inpatient Discharges

540,890 6.4%

Health and Social Care in Scotland The case for change

population profile

pattern of illness – prevalence of long-term conditions in the elderly

the accumulated burden of long term conditions reduced independence and functioning, resulting in a shift from predominantly medical to predominantly social care

unacceptable health inequalities: amongst men, the life expectancy for the most deprived is only 71.3 years - ten years less than the most affluent; the most deprived group of men are likely to experience 23 years of ill-health before their death

technology and the development of medicines brings benefits, but it also often brings significant cost increases;

the opportunity to reduce “failure demand”. This occurs when there has been a delay in presentation, a failure of early diagnosis or poor initial management, resulting in a need for more invasive, risky and expensive treatment at a later date.

Challenge : Better Quality at Reduced Cost

Scotland’s vision and use of data

Integration of patient and heterogeneous data - essential for the future of medicine

E-Health Record

Imaging GP record Hospital

admission

Laboratory

data

Genomic

data

Quality Health

Care and Research

Personal

Health

Data

The Future? “4P” Medicine

Predictive Customise diagnosis and treatment

Pre-emptive Better than curative

Personalised Determine risk profiles, predict outcomes

Participatory Involve patients

Made Possible by:

• Genomics • Phenotyping • Informatics • Analytics • New social contract

World Class

Patient care

Translation

Trials and

Innovation

Our Thesis Quality Health Care and Research: From Cell to Community

Excellence

In Life

Sciences

Community Cell

Convergence of Care with Research

Data science

Data Sharing – Underpinning policy

A Data Vision for Scotland - supports trustworthy uses of data for public benefit, continuing our reputation for the safe, secure and transparent use of data.

The Data Linkage Strategy – ‘Joined Up Data for Better Decisions’ sets out our ambitions for making better use of data that already exists in Scotland through linkage.

The Data Linkage Framework – established to deliver the Strategy, the Framework supports collaborative working, sharing of best practice and joined-up approaches to resource investment across a number of key public sector organisations across Scotland. The Framework comprises:

The Scottish Informatics and Linkage Collaboration (SILC) – comprises services and facilities to support data linkage across all sectors to ensure that Scotland realises the benefits that can be derived from legal, ethical and carefully controlled use of data. The wider SILC network includes Farr and the ADRC.

The Guiding Principles for Data Linkage – supports the secure and efficient sharing and linkage of data for research and statistical purposes in the public interest.

The Safe Haven Charter

Public Benefit and Privacy Panel

Farr Institute

Who is Farr? “Diseases are more easily prevented than cured and

the first step to their prevention is the discovery

of their exciting causes.”

William Farr

The Farr Institute -UK

£39M investment

Our Vision

“To harness health data for patient and public benefit by setting

the international standard in trustworthy reuse of electronic patient records and related linkable data for large-scale

research.”

Discovery

Science

Citizen-driven Health

Public Health

Learning Health Systems

Precision Medicine

Governance

Interdisciplinary Skills & Capabilities

National Strategy & Leadership

Partnerships

Data Analytics

Safe Havens:

One in each of the four NHS Research Scotland nodes

National Safe Haven

These providing services and support to other units

Data enclaves – queries through remote access

• Working to common security and data sharing principles and standard

• Work collaboratively – allows data sharing, inter-operability

• External accreditation to provide assurance to data controllers, patients and the public

20

Federated Network of Safe havens “Diameter of Trust”

Public Benefits and Privacy Risk Assessment

Proportionate Governance

Category 1: Low impact No further review: standard terms and conditions

Category 2: Medium impact Fast track review – possible further conditions

Category 3: High impact full review possible further conditions

Category 0: Public domain

No further conditions

Public Benefit and Privacy Panel

Data Resources by Location

Maternity

BIRTH DEATH Neonatal Record

Child health surveillance Immunisation

Dental Out patients

(4.4m annually)

A&E

Hospital Admissions

( 1.4m annually) HAI

Prescribing

(90m annually) Screening

Social care

Cancer registrations

(47k annually) Suicide

Substance misuse

Education Looked after children

Community care Care homes BIRTH

Marriage

DEATH

HMRC Tax

DWP Work & Pensions

Census (Scotland & UK)

Housing

Primary care

Imaging data Pathology

Blood tests

Clinical observations

DEATHS BIRTHS

Hospital

BMI data Smoking

Read/Snomed

ct data

National data - Scotland

“Personal Analytics” Community Health Number

Date of Birth Sex Check

07 10 64 02 5 0

Data controllers and public trust

One way mirror:

Questions in the public’s mind WHY: Is it for a particular public benefit and not just private profit? WHO: Can the people using my data be trusted to produce a public benefit? WHAT: Am I giving sensitive data? Could it be linked back to me? HOW: Are there safeguards in place to keep my data private and secure?

Ipsos Mori 2016

Safe People

(approved researchers)

Safe Places

(secure data

centres)

Safe Data

(limited de identified

data)

Public Engagement and Communication

Securing Trust: Data Controllers and Public

Worthwhile projects Public Benefit, scientifically and ethically sound

& approved

Safe Outputs

(SDC prior to release of results)

Dat

a co

ntr

oll

ers

op

t in

to

eac

h p

roje

ct D

ata con

trollers o

pt in

to each

pro

ject

The eDRIS Service

Help with study design

Provide expert advice on coding, terminology,

meta data and study feasibility

Agree deliverables and timelines

Facilitate completion of

required permissions

Liaison with technical

infrastructure (safe havens)

Liaison with data suppliers to secure data

Provide analyses, interpretation and

intelligence about data (where required)

Support projects from start to

finish

Build relationship between data suppliers and

customers

Single point of entry for health

research

A named

Person from

start to finish

1

2

3

4 5

6

7

8

Scale and Customers

Programme No. of live projects

No. of eDRIS staff

Farr Institute 269 14

ADRC-S 40 3

Scottish Gov. 16 2

UBDC 1 1

PBPP non research applications

41 0

Total 367

Customer Percentage

Academic 69

NHS and Scottish Government

26

Commercial/industry 2

Charities 2

Examples of research studies Public Health Smoking ban http://www.farrinstitute.org/public-engagement-involvement/100-ways-of-using-data-to-make-lives-

better/case-study/did-the-smoking-ban-work

Epidemiology Acute Pancreatitis http://www.farrinstitute.org/public-engagement-involvement/100-ways-of-using-data-to-make-

lives-better/case-study/predicting-which-patients-in-scotland-might-need-critical-care

Clinical Trial follow-up WOSOPS http://www.farrinstitute.org/public-engagement-involvement/100-ways-of-using-data-to-make-lives-

better/case-study/how-good-are-statins-at-preventing-heart-disease

Safety of Medicines ( and phase 4) New anticoagulant – European Institute of Innovation and Technology

Policy and service improvement Cardiac arrest strategy – Scottish Government http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2015/03/7484

Machine learning Lungsolve – http://www.hra.nhs.uk/news/research-summaries/lung-solve-version-3/

Farr Institute : 100 ways of using data to make lives better

Dr Stephen Pavis

NHS National Services Scotland

[email protected]