39
Active Tectonics of Himalayan Faults/Thrusts System in Northern India on the basis of recent & and Paleo Earthquake Studies Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute of Department of Science & Technology (Govt. Of India) 33 GMS Road, Dehradun, India (e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]) Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018 1

Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    19

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Active Tectonics of Himalayan Faults/Thrusts System in Northern India on the basis of recent &

and Paleo Earthquake Studies

Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ &Group Head Geophysics

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute of Department of Science & Technology (Govt. Of

India)

33 GMS Road, Dehradun, India(e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected])

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

1

Page 2: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Himalaya rises as a consequence of the collision of Indian Plate with Asian Plate.

Continent-Continent CollisionContinent-Continent Collision

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018 2

Page 3: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 20183

Page 4: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

4

Proposed seismic

Proposed GPS

WIHG Seismic Networks

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20184

Page 5: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20185

Page 6: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

GPS convergence ratesWednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20186

Page 7: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

< 1.01.0 – 1.92.0 – 2.93.0 – 3.94.0 – 4.95.0 – 5.96.0 – 6.9

7.0 – 7.9

M8.0, Kangra earthquake 1905

Magnitude

Kangra-Cham

ba

Punjab-R

eentra

nt

Garhwal-KumaonD

elhi

-Har

idw

ar R

idge

19 October 1991, Mb6.4 Uttarkashi earthquake

29 March 1999, Mw6.6 Chamoli earthquake

Space distribution of Seismic events in the NW Himalaya

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20187

Page 8: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Histogram of the local Seismic activity

527

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20188

Page 9: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 20189

Page 10: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

2930

3132

33

1208040

SEISMICITY OBSERVED DURING 2007-2017

DEPTH(KM)

DEPTH SECTION

10Wednesday, March 21, 2018 India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

Page 11: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201811

Page 12: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201812

Page 13: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Study of attenuation mechanism for Sikkim Himalaya form analysis of coda of 212 aftershocks of September 11, 2011 Sikkim earthquake (M:6.9)

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201813

Page 14: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

14

Continuance data recording 2007-Cont. for earthquake

precursory research

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201814

Page 15: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

MPGO

Map source: USGSEpicenter distance from MPGO: 636 km

Date Time (hrs)(UTC)

Mag.

Lat. Long. Dep Epicentre Distance (km)

25.04.15

06:11:26

7.9 28.147

84.708

15 km

636

Some observations

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 15India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

Page 16: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 16India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

Page 17: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Days

Tot

al M

agn

etic

Fie

ld (

nT)

M7.9

Magnetic field variations as observed by

the Overhauser Magnetometer at MPGOWednesday, March 21, 2018 17

India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

Page 18: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

M7.9

Period 24/04/2015 to 26/04/2015

Gravity variations as observed by the

Superconducting Gravimeter at MPGO

Wednesday, March 21, 2018 18India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 2018

Page 19: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Himalayan frontal fault zone

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201819

Himalayan frontal zone is the active deformation zone that lies between the MBT and the HFT. Deformation and thrusts have migrated to the south. HFT zone show quaternary-Holocene deformation.

Page 20: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Active tectonics of Himalayan frontal zone

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201820

In the frontal active zone between the MBT and HFT, there active frontal anticlined like Mohand and Janauri anticline and the HFT.

Page 21: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Distribution of piedmont fans on both N & S slope; and the faults and drainage pattern in the valley are noticeable.

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201821

Dun is a synclinal valley. South is Mohand anticline . These active faults, out of sequence Bhauwala fault . HFT demarcate a physiographic tectonic break between the frontal Himalaya and Ganga alluvial plain .

Page 22: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

14±2 mm/yr (Weshousky et al. 1999)

Cross-section across Dehradun structures (Thakur et al. 2007)

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201822

This is a cross-section along Dehradun and Mohand based on seismic profiling:a) There is HFT dipping NE . In the front is Mohand anticline of Dehradun in both.b) Shortening and slip rates have been estimated on the HFT using uplifted stretch terraced . The shortening ratio is 142 mm/yr .

Page 23: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

The Himalayan Frontal Thrust (HFT) zone marking the termination of Himalaya

is identified on the basis of topographic break.

Himalayan Frontal Thrust

~3.6 Ka

~9 Ka

~11.9 Ka

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201823

Location of HFT. Dating of strata terrace gravel, used for calculating convergence rate.

Page 24: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Piedmont fault?

Piedmont fault, south of HFT

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201824

South of Himalayan front (HFT) another fault called “ Piedmont fault” has been recognised in the piedmont zone.

Page 25: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

~4.8 Ka

~12 Ka

~9 Ka

OSL dating of Piedmont zone

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201825

These are OSL dating of the piedmont zone south of the HFT .

Page 26: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201826

Tre

nch

site

s fo

r pa

laeo

seis

mol

ogy

Six trenches have been extended on the Himalayan front along the HFT for paleo-seismological study.

Page 27: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

C-1

4 da

ting

con

stra

ints

on

tim

ing

of

disp

lace

men

t

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201827

The data obtained from six trenches have been analysed to to constrain the timing of earthquake event. Based on this paleo-earthquake dating 1500 AD has been found. This earthquake shows evidence of surface ruptured fault extending some 250 km along strike.

Page 28: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

R

aptu

re z

ones

of

hist

oric

al e

arth

quak

es

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201828

This is the summary of rupture zones located along the Himalayan front .

Page 29: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Some great earthquakes along the Himalaya

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201829

This is the rupture areas of historical earthquakes , and slip rates estimated at the Himalayan front.

Page 30: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201830

Page 31: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201831

Seismotectonic model of the NW Himalaya (Garhwal Himalaya) represent that:

1)Segment between HFT and southern extent of Micro-seismicity zone is locked as per GPS measurement.

2)Microseismicity zone represents elastic strain is accumulating there.

3)We get evidence of surface rupture earthquakes in the HFT zone.

4)Inferences that large to great earthquakes take place in locked segment. The rupture produced by the earthquake propagated to south and recorded on the HFT as recorded in the trenches.

5)Future next large to great earthquakes may take place in this locked zone.

Summary

Page 32: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201832

Negishi, H., J. Mori, T. Sato, R. Singh, Sushil Kumar and N. Hirata, 2002. ‘Size and Orientation of the fault plane for the 2001 Gujarat, India Earthquake (Mw 7.7) from Aftershock Observations: A high stress Drop event’, Geophysical Research Letters, vol.29, No.20, 19-49.

Page 33: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

India-Japan Joint Team

NGRI

Univ. Memphis

Station Locations

Page 34: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5

Correlation of station corrections

y = -0.37966 + 1.739x R= 0.97262

P-correction (sec.)S-

corre

ctio

n (s

ec.)

ResultRelocated Hypocenters & Station Corrections

P to S ratio; standard Vp/Vs value

Page 35: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

P and S wave velocity

Velocity (km/s)1.55 1.6 1.65 1.7 1.75 1.8 1.85 1.9 1.95

0

10

20

30

40

50

Vp/Vs

Vp/Vs

Result1-D velocity structure

Afterch

ocks

Vp

Vs

Main

Page 36: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Analysis for 3-D velocity modeling (based on Zhao and Negishi, JGR, 1998)

Grid modeling Raytracing: Pseudo-bending

(modified for low-velocity layers existence)

Determine Vp and Vs simultaneously The result of 1-D inversion is used as an initial model Data for Optimum damping and iteration number are

determined by “Simplified Cross Validation Method” (Inoue et al., PEPI, 1990)

Page 37: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

24N

22.8N

23N

23.2N

23.4N

23.6N

23.8N

69.8E 70E 70.2E 70.4E 70.6E 70.8E 71E

Depth = 25.5km24N

22.8N

23N

23.2N

23.4N

23.6N

23.8N

69.8E 70E 70.2E 70.4E 70.6E 70.8E 71E

Depth = 25.5km24N

22.8N

23N

23.2N

23.4N

23.6N

23.8N

69.8E 70E 70.2E 70.4E 70.6E 70.8E 71E

Depth = 25.5km

Vp/Vs perturbation (%)­7 % +7 %­­5 % +5 %­5 % +5 %

Vp perturbation (%) Vs perturbation (%)

Depth = 25.5 km

Result3-D velocity model

Page 38: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

Vp/Vs perturbation-7.0 % 0.0 +7.0 %

Page 39: Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics€¦ · Dr. Sushil Kumar Scientist ‘F’ & Group Head Geophysics Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology Autonomous institute

THANK YOU for your kind attention

Wednesday, March 21, 2018India-Japan Workshop on Disaster Risk

Reduction on 19-20 March, 201839