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Exposure Analysis for Risk Assessment Dr. V. Sudershan Rao National Institute of Nutrition Hyderabad Seminar on Regulatory Practices: Interpretation and Compliance, 18 th April,2016

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Exposure Analysis for Risk Assessment Dr. V. Sudershan Rao National Institute of Nutrition Hyderabad

Seminar on Regulatory Practices: Interpretation and Compliance, 18th April,2016

Exposure analysis

Nutrients Macro RDA Micro RDA & ULs Non –Nutrients Additives Permitted Levels ADI Contaminants Metal & Crop contaminants Tolerance limits PTWI/TDI Residues Pesticide Residues, Antibiotic & pharmacologically active substances MRLs- ADI Toxins Naturally occurring toxins Tolerance Limits

A typical diet survey Age 18 years male Sedentary worker ( 2320 calories)

Milk 200ml+ 10 grams sugar Rice 243 g Brinjal curry :Brinjal 45.0g +onion 3.3g+3.94 oil+13.3 dry chillies+0.3g Turmeric +1.31g iodized salt) Tea : Milk 88.9+ sugar 8.9g Chapatti : wheat flour 112.5g +2.5g salt+oil 10.0g Curry for chapathi :Potato 82.0g+onion 9.0g+Green chillies3.5g+ salt 2.3g+ oil 4.7g + zeera 1.1g+Curry leaves 1.17g+Turmeric 0.5g.

Food group wise consumption Cereals and millets 355g Leafy vegetables 1.1 g Other vegetables 65.0g Roots & Tubers 94.0 g Condiments 19.0 g Fats 18.1g Sugar 18.9g Other foods 6.1g

Nutrient wise intake (Using NVIF, NIN) Calories 1916 Thiamin 1.0mg Protein 46.0g Riboflavin 0.8mg Fats (invisible) 41.0g Niacin 11.6mg Fats visible 18.1 g Vitamin C 44.7mg Calcium 745.0 mg Iron 9.9mg Phosphorus 1255.0mg Folic acid 111.1mg Vitamin A 202.0 Zinc 6.9mg

Average Intake of Foodstuffs (per CU/day) as % of RDA by Period of Survey

110

85

20

90

77

112

7077

102

80

23

82

61

82

65

9798

68

38

78

57

88

60

70

86

70

40

82

55

120

70

47

8380

43

75

59

116

80

43

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Cereals Pulses GLV O.Veg. MMP Roots Fats Sugar

1975-77 1988-90 1996-97 2005-06 2011-12

Percent

Achieve energy balance and a healthy weight • limit energy intake from total fats and shift fat consumption away from saturated fats to unsaturated fats and towards the elimination of trans-fatty acids • increase consumption of fruits and vegetables, and legumes, whole grains and nuts • limit the intake of free sugars • limit salt (sodium) consumption from all sources and ensure that salt is iodized.

Limit Fat and Sugar and Salt

Recommendations for populations and individuals should include

the following:

Global Strategy On Diet, Physical Activity And Health

Average Consumption of food groups among the various sections (actual consumers)

FOODS HIG

Mean (SD) MIG

Mean (SD) LIG

Mean (SD) Ind. Laborers

Mean (SD) Slum Dwellers

Mean (SD)

Cereals 245.5(85.31) 284.97 (116.94) 285.88 (116.04) 332.70 136.35) 342.56(155.50)

Pulse 40.5 (20.41) 49.61(37.39) 33.13 (20.60) 34.96(27.17) 42.03 (23.69)

Leafy Veg. 35.0(13.19) 49.45(20.80) 28.25(17.97) 14.62 (3.70) 36.26(18.55 )

Roots n tubers 66.8 (32.13) 90.39 (40.93) 107.32 (73.77) 80.93 (48.41) 85.44 (45.74)

Other Veg. 191.1 (106.70) 216.19 (123.26) 156.12 (88.75) 167.87 (88.97) 174.94 (91.46)

Milk 289.9(135.78) 269.74(121.57 140.14(95.67) 118.86 89.63) 172.41(109.01

Fruits 101.52(100.71) 98.61 (76.55) 52.19(160.89) 38.93 (37.90) 69.98 (50.20)

Oils n fats 32.16 (15.13) 35.13 (12.26) 31.56 (12.07) 28.53 (12.07) 29.12 (14.90)

Non Veg. 30.64 (43.15) 36.96 (30.50) 28.87 (64.86) 18.28 (29.02) 35.61(43.97)

Sugars 26.06(12.69) 30.97(14.24) 28.62(26.44) 18.37(11.86) 21.88(9.57)

Spices 13.72 (4.23) 13.63 (5.99) 12.62 (2.31) 9.20 (4.40) 10.81 (3.23)

Breakfast Cereals

39.93(28.97) 41.67 (32.55) 12.73(11.24) 16.24 (11.84) 22.20(19.52)

Ready to Eat 34.36(19.38) 43.55 (42.73) 27.86(23.52) 29.00(33.05) 50.69 (49.69)

Bakery Items 30.00 (30.01) 26.93(32.28) 21.67(20.81) 19.52 (15.98) 36.43(25.83)

Carb. Bev 38.73(29.99) 47.95(46.33) 21.71(13.90) 21.62 (27.18) 38.09(19.08)

Health Drinks 16.06 (7.46) 14.91 (7.50) 13.00 (8.31) 10.20 (4.44) 15.78 (10.44)

Betsy, 2015

Major foods contributing to fat intake (g/day)

FOODS HIG MIG LIG IL SD

Wheat 0.8 ± 0.56 0.9 ± .64 0.9 ± 1.08 0.6 ± 0.86 0.6 ± 0.48

Rice 0.9 ± 0.35 1.1 ±0.46 1.1 ± 0.46 1.4 ± 0.60 1.4 ± 0.71

Milk (toned) 11.9+ 5.56 11.1 ±4.98 4.7 ± 4.19 4.6 ± 3.76 7.1 ± 4.47

Cooking oil 30.4 ± 15.58 32.2 ±10.51

27.7 ±

13.75

25.6 ±

10.99 28.5 ± 15.35

Other fats 2.9 ± 5.00 2.9 ± 5.01 2.0 ± 4.22 2.9 ± 5.91 0.6 ± 1.48

Egg (hen) 1.3 ± 1.79 1.8 ± 1.59 2.9 ± 2.75 1.5 ± 1.45 2.2 ± 1.64

Goat meat 0.3 ± 0.59 0.3 ± 0.37 0.4 ± 0.47 0.3 ± 0.36 0.8 ± 0.89

Red chili pwdr 0.5 ± 0.40 0.3 ± 0.19 0.3 ± 0.23 0.4 ± 0.32 0.5 ± 0.39

Pastries 1.0+ 3.95 0.1 ± 0.23 0.04 ± 0.01 0.1 ± 0.31 0.2 ± 0.48

Puffs 1.1+ 2.28 0.2 ± 0.45 0.05 ± 0.19 0.4 ± 0.87 0.3 ± 0.71

Bakery

Biscuits 5.8+ 6.87 5.8 ± 6.87 3.7 ± 5.56 2.9 ± 2.83 3.7 ± 6.42

Potato chips 1.5+ 4.36 1.5 ± 4.36 0.4 ± 1.04 0.2 ± 0.94 0.5 ± 1.70

Health drinks 1.1+ 0.93 1.1 ± 0.93 0.4 ± 0.74 0.2 ± 0.42 0.4 ± 0.89

Total 47.46 63.82 47.29 43.03 49.94 Betsy, 2015

Major foods contributing to energy intake Foods HIG MIG LIG IL SD

Wheat 187.8 ± 127.69 214.5 ± 146.86

215.0 ±

249.37 129.8 ± 197.86

139.3 ±

110.57

Rice 597.1 ± 241.60 750.3 ± 315.81

729.7 ±

321.47 993.3 ± 415.12

997.6 ±

490.31

Redgram dhal 74.5 ± 49.45 107.4 ± 101.76 48.9 ± 35.44 57.2 ± 49.17 78.3 ± 56.33

Black gr.Dhal 40.2 ± 32.74 65.2 ± 59.33 14.2 ± 21.48 17.0 ± 25.08 18.5 ± 37.78

Milk (toned) 194.3 ± 91.00 180.7 ± 81.45 77.3 ± 68.42 74.3 ± 61.36 115.5 ± 73.04

Banana 77.3 ± 61.26 51.9 ± 45.19 74.5 ± 56.66 41.3 ± 44.74 58.8 ± 48.40

Mango 24.2 ± 16.63 25.7 ± 18.65 23.8 ± 19.76 11.1 ± 11.01 25.0 ± 17.85

Cooking oil 265.5 ± 124.82 290.0 ± 94.58

249.9 ±

123.72 230.4 ± 98.95

256.8 ±

138.17

Egg (hen) 34.3 ± 30.78 23.9 ± 20.67 38.1 ± 35.77 18.9 ± 18.82 28.0 ± 21.34

Goat meat 12.8 ± 20.65 9.7 ± 12.10 12.9 ± 15.56 9.2 ± 11.81 24.5 ± 29.16

Fowl 30.5 ± 23.85 18.5 ± 17.84 23.2 ± 34.68 16.6 ± 13.55 25.1 ± 25.43

Fish 2.7 ± 6.41 7.45± 11.30 7.5 ± 12.73 6.9 ± 18.33 14.3 ± 15.32

Cane sugar 98.1 ± 43.40 109.8 ± 51.17 95.5 ± 105.40 72.8 ± 47.15 82.6 ± 36.84

Green chillies 2.2 ± 1.19 2.7 ± 2.15 1.9 ± 1.67 2.1 ± 1.58 1.9 ± 2.14

Red chilli pow 11.8 ± 8.94 10.6 ± 7.38 11.4 ± 9.16 15.7 ± 12.72 18.3 ± 15.39

Bread 39.1 ± 39.00 36.2 ± 70.73 11.9 ± 28.58 16.1 ± 33.09 21.2 ± 29.85

Carbonated bev 79.8 ± 78.04 82.4 ± 111.98 22.7 ± 35.30 47.5 ± 66.73 66.4 ± 60.46

Health drinks 67.5 ± 30.98 45.9 ± 40.42 16.6 ± 32.19 7.4 ± 18.24 19.3 ± 38.83

Total 2081.6 2299.5 1919.3 1977.4 2226.3

Betsy, 2015

Most commonly consumed Processed Foods among SE sections (g or mL/person/day)

Foods HIG MIG LIG IL SD

Corn Flakes 13 10 2 - -

Semolina 8 7 6 7 8

Vermicelli 10 6 - - -

Bread 16 15 5 7 9

Noodles 5 8 4 2 6

Pastries 3 2 - 2 5

Biscuits 6 3 4 4 3

Veg Puffs 6 2 3 3 3

Potato chips 3 2 2 2 2

Health Drinks 16 15 13 10 16

Carbonated Bev 39 48 22 22 38

Food Mean Median 95th Percentile

Biscuits 18.06 8.14 52.0

Candies 1.17 0.50 4.57

Carbonated beverages

11.78

6.67 35.71

Chocolates 4.08 2.29 13.71

Malted & other beverages 29.12 5.0 200.0

Ice cream 4.63 1.67 14.29

Jam 1.22 0.86 4.29

Chips 6.74 2.83 22.86

Rural India (g or ml/day)

Food Mean Median 95th Percentile

Biscuits 6.79 5.71 24.0

Candies 2.00 2.00 2.00

Carbonated beverages

26.56

8.30 200.00

Chocolates 4.24 2.67 14.29

Malted & other beverages

52.72 20.00 250.0

Ice cream 7.99 5.00 28.57

Jam 4.62 1.43 20.00

Chips 8.90 4.29 28.57

Urban India-HIG (g or ml/day)

Salt – Sodium intake About 10g/day- ≈4000mg Recommended 6g/day- ≈ 2400mg

processed foods

home cooking

table

natural from foods

12% 5%

6%

76%

Source of Dietary Sodium for Americans (CDC, 2014)

Source of calories to US population( 2012)

61 % from Highly processed foods* 16% from Moderately processed foods ** *Multi ingredient industrially processed foods **Foods still recognizable with original plant or animal sources with additives

Poti etal AJCN 101(6): 1251-1262, 2015

Home cooked

Natural from food

90%

10%

Sources of Dietary Sodium for Indians*

*Report of expert group of ICMR, 2010

Nutrition Facts of Snacks

For All Students at All Times of Day (Tier 1)

IOM Guidelines

• Fruits, vegetables, whole grains, combination products, fat-

free and low-fat milk and milk products, lactose-free and soy beverages, per portion as packaged: ≤200 calories; ≤35% of total calories from fat; <10% of calories from saturated fats; Zero trans fat (≤ 0.5 g per serving); ≤35% of calories from total sugars; and ≤200 mg sodium.

For High School Students, After School

Only (Tier 2) IOM Guidelines

Any foods or beverages from Tier 1. Snack foods that are ≤200 calories per portion as packaged, and

• ≤35% of total calories from fat; • <10% of calories from saturated fats; • Zero trans fat (≤ 0.5 g per serving); • ≤35% of calories from total sugars; and • ≤200 mg sodium.

Sugar-free, caffeine-free beverages with

• Nonnutritive sweeteners; • Not vitamin- or nutrient-fortified; and • <5 calories per portion as packaged.

Nutrition Facts Per 100 gram

Product* Energy (Kcal)

Protein (g)

Carbohydrate (g)

Sugar (g)

Fat (g)

Sodium (mg)

Product 1 464 6.3 73.6 8.8 16 740

Product 2 460 11 65 6 17 1100

451 17.5 62.1 5.6 14.7 851

Product 3 444 9 72 6.8 13.3 900 Product 4 444 7.9 69.9 8 14.8 1258 Product 5 430 8 72.3 3 12.1 1007

Product 6 459 7.4 72.7 10.5 15.4 607

Product 7 459 7.4 72.7 9.4 15.4 729

Product 8 459 7.4 72.7 8.7 15.4 661

Product 9 471 8.1 71 2.4 17.4 495 Product 10

410 20 60 0 10 890

*Popular pre packaged snacks available in the market

Satisfying IOM guidelines for approx. serving size for Sodium

Product Approx. Serving

size (gm)

Energy (Kcal)

Protein (%)

Carbohydrate

(%)

Sugar (%)

Fat (%)

Sodium (mg)

Product 1 28.30 125.41 5.43 63.45 7.59 31.03 200 Product 1 18.00 83.64 9.57 56.52 5.22 33.26 200 Product 2 23.48 105.99 15.52 55.08 4.97 29.33 200 Product 3 22.47 98.67 8.11 64.86 6.13 26.96 200 Product 4 15.99 70.59 7.12 62.97 7.21 30.00 200 Product 5 18.95 85.40 7.44 67.26 2.79 25.33 200 Product 6 34.93 151.24 6.45 63.36 9.15 30.20 200

Product 7 28.78 125.93 6.45 63.36 8.19 30.20 200

Product 8 31.53 138.88 6.45 63.36 7.58 30.20 200

Product 9 39.96 190.30 6.88 60.30 2.04 33.25 200 Product 10

20.22 92.13 19.51 58.54 0.00 21.95 200

Nutritional facts of Common Sweets

Commonly available Sweets – Nutritional Information (Energy)

Kheer (30g)

Energy-49.5kcal

Fat-1.77g

Mysore Pak (30g)

Energy-130.29kcal

Fat-8.16g

Kaju katli (30g)

Energy-131.85kcal

Fat-8.79g

Badusha (30g)

Energy-138.9kcal

Fat-3.78g

Besan Ladoo (30g)

Energy-147.48kcal

Fat-7.98g

Rasagulla (30g)

Energy-74.73kcal

Fat-4.71g

Boondi Ladoo (30g)

Energy-116.28kcal

Fat-3.24g

Coconut milk sweet (30g)

Energy-180.42kcal

Fat-11.43g

Gajar halwa(30g)

Energy-125.34kcal

Fat-4.71g

Jalebi(30g)

Energy-135.66kcal

Fat-4.44g

Rebecca& AV Kurpad, 2015

Commonly available Sweets – Nutritional Information (CHO)

Kheer (30g)

CHO - 7.26g

Mysore Pak (30g)

CHO - 12.6g

Kaju katli (30g)

CHO - 10.47g

Badusha (30g)

CHO – 24.3g

Besan Ladoo (30g)

CHO - 16.38g

Rasagulla (30g)

CHO – 3.84g

Boondi Ladoo (30g)

CHO – 20.46g

Coconut milk sweet (30g)

CHO – 17.79g

Gajar halwa(30g)

CHO – 18.99g

Jalebi(30g)

CHO – 22.83g

Commonly available Sweets – Nutritional Information (SFA)

Kheer (30g)

SFA – 1.02g

Mysore Pak (30g)

SFA – 5.01g

Kaju katli (30g)

SFA – 3.03g

Badusha (30g)

SFA – 1.8g

Besan Ladoo (30g)

SFA – 5.04g

Rasagulla (30g)

SFA – 3.27g

Boondi Ladoo (30g)

SFA – 0.69g

Coconut milk sweet (30g)

SFA – 9.87g

Gajar halwa(30g)

SFA – 3.06g

Jalebi(30g)

SFA – 0.99g

SFA: < 10% E (WHO/FAO) Ex: 2000 kcal - < 22 g of SFA/ day

3.1% 4.5% 4.6% 8.1%

13.7% 13.9% 14.8%

22.7% 22.9% 44.8%

Some thing is good, more is more good Does it apply to vitamins and minerals ? Dietary supplements RDA ULs

Average Intake of Nutrients (per CU/day) as % of RDA by Period of Survey

10397

152

108

97.5

41

57.1

125

91.99794

141

97 92.5

47

64.3

108.3

88.89087

130

89

100

5064.3

100

79.48276

110

53

110

4343

100 92

84.577

106

53.2

113

49 50

108

90.6

0

40

80

120

160

Protein Energy Calcium Iron Vit. C Vit. A RiboflavinThiamin Niacin

1975-79 1988-90 1996-97 2005-06 2011-12

Percent

Dietary Reference Intakes (DRIs): Tolerable Upper Intake Levels, Vitamins

ND – Not Determinable

Due to a lack of suitable data, ULs could not be established for vitamin K, thiamin, riboflavin, vitamin B12,

pantothenic acid, biotin, and carotenoids.

Source -IOM

Dietary Reference Intakes (DRIs): Tolerable Upper Intake Levels, Elements

ND – Not Determinable

Source IOM

Acceptable Daily Intake

The Acceptable Daily Intake (ADI) is an estimate by JECFA of the amount of a food additive,expressed on a body weight basis, that can be ingested daily over a lifetime without appreciable health risk(standard man - 60 Kg) (WHO Environmental Health Criteria document N° 70, Principles for the SafetyAssessment of food Additives and Contaminants in Food, Geneva, 1987). The ADI is expressed in milligrams of the additive per kilogram of body weight.For this purpose, "without appreciable risk" is taken to mean the practical certaintycertainty that injury will not result even after a life-time's exposure (Report of the 1975 JMPR, TRS 592, WHO, 1976).

A group of 700 substances categorized as GRAS ("generally recognized as safe"), which are so classified because of extensive past use without harmful side effects

Standard man for setting additives in India is 50kg

Estimates of intakes of BHT (Example) First level screening by Budget method ----- Exceeded the ADI Estimates provided by 10 countries - using GSFA levels of use - consistently exceeded ADI Mean intake 230 % ADI China 240% ADI US High intake 600-2000 % ADI

% of ADI Method of estimate

30 Poundage method

20-30 Household surveys and sales data

10-30 Model diet

0.1-30 Individual data

0.003 Total diet study (Japan)

Intake estimates using national levels of use

Conclusion : Unlikely to exceed ADI Recommendation: May review MLs potentially contributing to high intake ie Fats and oils free from water, chewing gum & processed fish and fish products

To conclude

Understand the major sources of exposures for risk assessment Need to carry out Total diet studies for realistic exposures

Thank you for your attention