DSA Alert April-2011

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    1/50

    APRIL 2011

    SAARC COUNTRIES : US$ 20REST OF THE WORLD : US$ 25

    VOLUME 2 ISSUE 7

    9 7 7 0 9 7 6 2 0 6 0 0 3

    ISSN 0976-206X

    INDIA : 120`

    Pakistan Special

    OMINOUS CLOUDS!NO SILVER LINING?

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    2/50

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    3/50

    do--h

    The Raymond Davis affair truly captures the current situation, predicament, of Pakistan like no other has done in therecent past. A perplexing incident that leaves more questions unanswered than it reveals. The shadowy operationsthat the Pakistani intelligence agencies undertake with their counterparts from the United States of America. The loss

    of Pakistani lives in circumstances that were as mysterious as they are avoidable. Then the whole drama about the legal

    status of Raymond Davis, diplomatic or otherwise. Passions heightened by the selectivity of media leaks that ranged fromthe conspiratorial to the bizarre. Vast public participation in the case as a daily dose of legalese, international relations andnational security affairs. A last minute change of legal representatives for the victim families. And the closing chapter inwhich the acquittal happened by recourse to Sharia law that has the country in a bind in any case. All of this nally endedwith the ight out of Pakistan for Raymond Davis and family members of those that died from his gunre.

    All of this happened in the bright glare of media attention, but for the nal closing chapter that was cloaked in a dramaticdenouement that would have put even the most addicted conspiracy theorists to shame. There was a hype about the casethat had the entire country riveted, even shutting out those that spoke for a different approach to relations with the greatest

    benefactor of Pakistan, the United States of America. The shrillness of the campaign to punish Raymond Davis was led byintelligence briengs and leaks to the media that bordered on being completely off the wall. Why a CIA contractor wouldwant to take photographs of Pakistan army bunkers on the Indian border when better resolution images are available onUS military satellites! This was amongst the more bizarre leaks that the Pakistani agencies indulged in. All the while raisinghopes amongst the Pakistani public that their country was not going to succumb to the sustained pressure of the US to releasea CIA contractor caught for murder. But all the while various organisations, institutions and families in Pakistan were quietlycutting a deal with powers in Washington.

    Amongst the more fantastic allegations ying around web world is the one about the Director General of the ISI getting yetanother extension on account of this deal. He was clearly in the picture as negotiations began to unravel a seriously vexing

    issue. As were the two main political parties in Pakistan, who joined hands with the army leadership in nding a way out ofthis maze. The judiciary were in the loop, of course. And a lawyer to do the nal bidding with the families. None of this wasin the know of the people of Pakistan, who had been fed on strange stories about Pakistani bunkers being compromised et al.Since Sharia law was used to arrive at a settlement even the highly vocal mullahs cant say much about it. There were dealswith various players, but for the people of Pakistan and that is the reality of that country today.

    April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 1

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    4/50

    disclaimer

    l rights reserved. reproduction and

    anslation in any language in whole or in

    art by any means without permission from

    efence and Security Alert is prohibited.

    pinions expressed are those of the

    dividual writers and do not necessarily

    ect those of the publisher and /

    editors. all disputes are subject to

    risdiction of delhi courts.

    efence and security alert is printed, published

    d owned by pawan agrawal and printed

    graphic world, 1686, kucha dakhini rai,

    arya ganj, new delhi-110002 and published

    4/19 asaf ali road, new delhi (india).

    itor: manvendra singh.

    pbh vw

    AN N OUN CES MAY 201 1 AS S PECIAL IS S UE ON

    In Internal Security

    Science And Technology

    Available at all leading bookstores

    CROSSWORD

    LANDMARK LTD. SPENCERS

    ODYSSEY OM BOOK SHOP

    [email protected] for subscription: [email protected]

    SHATHE SHATHYAM SAMACHARET: TIT FOR TAT!

    Is the Islamic Republic of Pakistan really a pak (pious) Stateas it was visualised by its progenitor Mohammad Ali Jinnah?It was crafted out of India with a vision of establishing a much

    better nation-State, a haven for t he Muslims of the sub-continent,but what the world is witnessing today is a mockery of all that isIslamic, humane and inclusive.

    What progress has Pakistan made in the last 64 years of itsexistence? Not much. In fact it stands (singularly alone amongthe comity of nations) on the brink of becoming a failed State.Ominous clouds look down upon Pakistan menacingly and it

    has reached that stage of dark existence where everybody is looking for some silver lining.All in vain. Right from its inception till date the scenario has been worsening by the dayfor one reason or the other. It has now reached a stage where there is little hope of anytransformation or recovery at all.

    There is no signicant development in any sector in the last six decades whether it iseducation or health, industry or business. There have been no new measures taken by any ofthe past or present governments for the welfare and well-being of the people in any manner.

    The education and the health sectors are so weak and dogma ridden that they have beenhijacked by the fundamentalists to create a new breed of Muslims who are bloodthirsty andbereft of the milk of human kindness that the Prophet (Peace be upon him) sought to create byhis teachings.

    As a consequence the only industry that has ourished in the past decades is that ofterrorism which is thriving in Pakistan. All the previous governments and the present onehave contributed by acts of commission and omission to the promotion of the businessof terrorism which has now attained global proportions. It has become a multinationalcorporation in every sense of the term. All the politicians, defence personnel, bureaucratsand diplomats have become purveyors of the cult of terrorism as is seen in the mannerin which they singly and collectively spring to the defence of the terrorist and try to

    justify the existence of this cult and his/her acts with such coinage as Islamophobia andMuslim-baiters.

    Today, Pakistan and terrorism have become synonymous and innocent Muslims all overthe world suffer the consequences of an image that has been superimposed on Islam forgeopolitical, not spiritual, purposes. This state of affairs is a matter of great concern for thewhole world as it is affecting everyone. The masterminds propagating the cult of violenceand terrorism spend time and big money researching and developing the most potentdevices and products like jihad, human bombs and terrorism which are being shipped toall parts of the world. And India being the neighbour and a peace loving country is affectedthe most. We have seen the conspiracies being hatched and implemented by Pakistan onmany occasions and we are really disturbed because of this. Thousands of Indians havebeen sacriced in the macabre mechanisations and ill-advised conceit relentlessly pursuedby Pakistan.

    How long can India keep suffering and forgiving? How long can India wait for Pakistanto realise the futility of its self-destructive ambition? The time has come for India to act.And act decisively. What are we waiting for? The most opportune time?Are we scared ofthe international community or we are scared that if we take strong steps against Pakistanthen the Arab world is going to stop all oil supplies to India? Lets take a rm decision nowotherwise these attacks on India will never stop.

    We are witnessing what is going on in the Arab world. They themselves are in bad shapeand we should not be scared of imagined consequences. India must not delay nding apermanent solution to the Pakistani menace. Whatever the cost. Lets not waste our energy,time and money on Pakistani nationals like Kasab or Pakistan-indoctrinated and motivatedanti-nationals like Afzal Guru and make them pay for their crimes against our motherland.

    Lets pray for the well-being of the State of Pakistan and its people but be prepared toannihilate its non-State actors and other perpetrators of crimes against India and peaceloving Indians.

    Jai Hind!

    aom

    hairmanyam sunder

    ublisher & ceowan agrawal

    itor-in-chiefanvendra singhrectorshir bhushanrporate consultantsinght consultant

    vya guptantral saint martins college of art & design,iversity of arts, londonrporate communications

    onika kanchand-salesanish upadhyaypresentative J&Kil sharmaeativeek anand pantrrespondent (europe)minika cosicoductionshad & dabeerebmasterndar rawathotographerbhashrculation & distributionay bhatianjeetstem administratoras

    mail: (first name)@dsalert.orgfo: [email protected]: [email protected]: [email protected]

    nline edition: [email protected]:[email protected]

    itorial & business office19 asaf ali roadw delhi-110002 (India)+91-011-23243999,23287999,[email protected]

    ww.dsalert.org

    2 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    5/50

    F E A T U R E S

    d: pod pda 64

    a p 78

    Volume 2 Issue 7 April 2011

    for online edition of Defence and Security Alert (DSA)

    log on to: www.dsalert.org

    A R T I C L E S

    PAKISTAN SPECIAL ISSUE April 2011

    o

    Follow DSA on : DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT

    Follow DSA on : DSALERT

    contentsiam k: goba mpao 6G. Pahaaah

    Pak-us ao 10Po. P. M. Kamah

    gaog o a ogah 14Bg. (rd.) Gm Kawa

    h wo-ao ho: a amopho da 21Po. Kam Bahad

    Paka 2020: pob ao 24Bg. (rd.) rah K. Bho

    h d o Jah dam? 30D. Pm shaka Jha

    cha cba? 32Maj. G. (rd.) D. G. D. Bakh

    k: jhad had o gg? 37D. Hah V. Pa

    adaao: goba ha 40Maj. G. (rd.) A Kam

    ba m apab 43

    D. Avd Kma

    ma po: ppo ad a 46cmd. (rd.) raj ra

    pag o ag dph 50D. Jagmoha Mh

    Paka' dog: mda h mo o 55-advd o?Bg. (rd.) chaja sawa

    Pak-cha-n.Koa x 60D. rajv naa

    ram rahm Paha! 67V Adma (rd.) Ba Bhaaha

    dg q o pa 71

    D. tj Paap sgh

    addg h ooad 74l. G. (rd.) O. P. Kahk

    goba wa o o: o va 80D. rajda Paad

    oahad o o: ra qao 84roh K. Mha

    4 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 5

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    6/50

    G. Parthasarathy

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Islamic nukes: global implications

    Kargil has shown that there is space beneath thenuclear overhang for a limited war. But that episode alsounderscored that such a limited war places unacceptablerestrictions on manoeuvre as a means to bring about a swiftand successful culmination of a military campaign. Thisleaves India at a disadvantage in the face of both Pakistanand Chinas attempts at salami slicing and nibbling ofterritory all along the Himalayas. It is also necessary to beabundantly clear that there have been freelance contactsbetween Pakistans nuclear scientists and military personnelwith the masterminds of terrorism to coordinate and strategise

    their respective roles and, like Kargil illustrated, there isno sanctity of any written agreement and one will have toplay it by ear if and when the crunch comes.

    6 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 7

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    7/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    8 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 9

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    8/50

    Today, more than ever, Pakistans geographical position isbringing in geopolitical dividends far beyond what it receivedin the Cold War years. The amazing aspect is not that thebillions of dollars shovelled by the US into Pakistani coffershave grown exponentially but that it is happening in theteeth of unparalled Islamic fundamentalism baring its fangsboth inside Pakistan and in neighbouring Afghanistan. TheUS-sponsored Global War On Terror appears to be in reversegear, adding to the general perception that the US is a nationin decline.

    Prof. P. M. Kamath

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    PAK-US RELATIONSinternational terrorism, since Talibanwhich ruled Afghanistan refused tohand over Al Qaeda supreme leader,Osama bin Laden to the US. Onceagain, geopolitical location of Pakistanhelped it to come closer to the US.

    Locational advantage

    Thus, Pakistans relations with theUS since its birth have been a matter of

    mutual convenience never based on anylasting principles. And the fundamentalprinciple propelling to two together hasbeen Pakistans geopolitical location.Stephen Cohen, an American experton Pakistan never gets tired of sayingthat US leans on Pakistan becauseof its geopolitical location. He addsfurther pepper to salt by stating that ifthat crucial territory was with India, itwould have been critical to American

    interest in Persian Gulf!

    Global war on terrorism

    As stated earlier, George W. Bushwas forced to cement an alliance withPakistan, soon after 9/11 primarilyto seek a launching pad againstTaliban-ruled Afghanistan and captureOsama bin Laden, mastermind behind9/11 attacks alive or dead. During

    10 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 11

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    9/50

    The civilian government has not been able to improve respect for human rights in Pakistan.Mullahs are setting the goal of orthodox Islamic rule as evident in kill ing of Punjabs GovernorSalmaanTaseer and Shabaz Bhatti, Islamabads minister for minority affairs for their criticismof controversial Blasphemy Law and support to a more liberal and tolerant society. Though thevictims were members of the ruling Pakistan Peoples Party, government has been impotentagainst those preaching religious intolerance. The US has neither condemned Pakistansmove towards religious intolerance nor for its human rights violations!

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    12 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 13

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    10/50

    Much as the rest of the world has a distinctly negative impression of the

    Pakistan army, the people (both politicians and others) have a love-hate

    relationship with their hatchet-arm. It is not for nothing that the Pakistan army

    Inter-Services Intelligence is the nucleus of Pakistans jihadist tendencies.

    Every civilian politician from Qaid-e-Azam Mohammad Ali Jinnah down to

    current Head of State Asif Ali Zardari have depended on it at crucial moments

    of Pakistans turbulent history. The iconic Benazir Bhutto found great comfort

    in the troika arrangement in which the army played the puppet master from

    behind the scene. The Zardari - Gilani combine dare not repeal the Blasphemy

    Law till the army nods approval. Zardaris early comments on Kashmir have

    met with stony silence in General HQ and every attempt to whitewash the

    terror-stained image of Pakistan has been stonewalled by the army be it Indias

    Mumbai carnage or Americas Times Square zzler.

    Brig. (Retd.) Gurmeet Kanwal

    genealogy ofan oligarchy

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    14 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 15

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    11/50

    While Kayani has ostensibly maintained a hands off approach, the army still calls the shotson Pakistans Kashmir and nuclear policies, does not allow any meddling in senior levelappointments and the annual budget and follows its own policy in dealing with the Taliban inAfghanistan. The situation is unlikely to improve till the 5,50,000 strong army is cut to sizein keeping with Pakistans legitimate national security requirements

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    16 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 17

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    12/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    The C-17 Globemaster III is the worlds most capable airlifter, able to

    perform the full range of both tactical and strategic airlift requirements.

    Whether its transporting out-sized cargo and personnel or delivering

    humanitarian relief into virtually any environment, the C-17 provides one-

    of-a-kind mission flexibility. A world of capability and value, ready now.

    C-17. TODAY, MORE THAN EVER.

    18 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    13/50

    Prof. Kalim Bahadur

    t h e twona t i on t h eo ry :-

    an amo rphou s i d ea With no greater rationale for its existence than the false assumption that allMuslims wanted a separate nation-State, Pakistan tried to scavange on India

    by seeking a resonance among those who opted to remain within a Union of

    India by encouraging rst the Sikhs to create a Khalistan so that the two-nation

    theory can gain some post ipso facto legitimacy. The frequent attempts to delink

    the Muslim-majority Kashmir Valley is based on that same illegitimate logic

    hence the recurrent need to inltrate and coerce the local population leading

    to a series of wars that have only left Pakistan dismembered and stewing in its

    own juice.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Security of the citizens at peace time is very importantbecause State is the only saviour of the men and womenwho get affected only because of the negligence of the State.

    April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 21

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    14/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    22 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 23

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    15/50

    Brig. (Retd.) Rahul K. Bhonsle

    Pakistan 2020: possible scenarios

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    There has long been a perception in some quarters in Indiaas well as among Pakistans friends that if India panders toPakistans demands, especially concessions in Kashmir, therewill be peace and tranquillity between the two countries.That this perception militates against the experience ofEurope and its accommodation of Hitlers lebensraumconcept has been lost on the protagonists of this perniciousidea. Peace and tranquillity depends on a radical change ofheart in the Pakistani military establishment, which, as longas it has jihadist elements holding the levers of power - theso-called moderate in the military as Musharraf portrayed

    himself is an oxymoron (Kargil happened because of him) -Indians should not allow themselves to be deluded by suchstrategic thinkers.

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    16/50

    In incidents of terrorism from a high

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Despite the overwhelming indicators of a variety of internal and external forces at play there

    is too much emphasis on Indo-Pakistan dtente as a solution to the latters structural crisis. As

    the scenarios built indicate there is more to Pakistans debility than its differences with India.

    While this is not an argument against engagement of Pakistan, there is a need to highlight that

    this will have limited impact on the overall effort to positively restructure Pakistans trajectory

    towards 2020. The main change has to come from within

    26 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 27

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    17/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    28 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    18/50

    The Pakistan nation is in a state of stasis, petried by the Islamicfundamentalist Frankenstein it has handfed and burnished sinceZia-ul Haq inducted a Saudi Arabian midwife to raise a newCaliphate. To expect the Pakistan army to rectify itself is likeasking the Devil to read the scriptures. It has, in fact, shown all thesigns of being the eunuch-bodyguard of the seraglio consistingof the Al Qaeda, the Taliban and its several splinter groups andthe United Jihad Council onetime frontline ghters againstthe Soviet army in Afghanistan. The US will do itself and theworld a favour if it, even at this late stage of the Af-Pak farce,shuts off all military aid to the Pakistan army.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Dr. Prem Shankar Jha

    the end of Jinnahs dream?

    30 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 31

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    19/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Dr. G. D. Bakshi

    China has created in Pakistan a proxy that has reached a stateof hallucination by the frequent infusion of opiates likenuclear weapons and missiles. It is not just a danger to thenation-States around it, more particularly India, but is fastreaching the stage of critical implosion brought about by the

    combustible mix of jihad and nuclear weapons. Chinese policyin Pakistan is turning out to be as dangerous as the American useof Islamist fundamentalists against the Soviet occupying forcesin Afghanistan in the 80s.

    32 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 33

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    20/50

    China had ably utilised Pakistan to deny India a peaceful periphery for its economic growthand keep it destabilised and off balance within the geographical confines of South Asia. Inanalogical terms, Pakistan has been Chinas Cuba in South Asia

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    34 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 35

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    21/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Dr. Harsh V. Pant

    nuke s : j i h ad i h and on t r i g g e r?The recent slaying of the provincial governor of Punjaband minister for Minority Affairs by the diehard Islamicfundamentalists brought to the fore what was till then onlya subliminal fear of the direction in which the Pakistanisociety was drifting. Now it is out in the open that the jihadis

    have taken control of the soul of Jinnahs Pakistan and theso-called moderates in civil society are so intimidatedthat their contribution to the national debate is both mutedand ignored. The west has only itself to blame not just forinternational proliferation of nuclear weapons throughPakistan but also the looming possibility that the progeny ofthe madrassas could lay their hands on Pakistans nukes.

    36 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 37

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    22/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    38 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 39

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    23/50

    Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Afsir Karim

    r a d i c a l i s a t i o n : g l o b a l t h r e a t

    It is often easily forgotten that the radicalisation ofPakistan began with the Pakistan army. That was thecradle in which military dictator Zia-ul Haq incubated theSaudi Arabian version of Wahabism. Three decades is ageneration in any heirarchical establishment so it shouldbe expected that the current GHQ is made up completely ofdyed-in-the-wool jihadis. The man who shot the governor ofthe Punjab province for his liberal views is not the exceptionbut the existing widespread reality of Pakistan.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    40 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 41

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    24/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Dr. Arvind Kumar

    ba l l i s t i c m iss i l e capab i l i t yWith a nuclear arsenal already touted to be larger than Indias(more than 100 compared to Indias 60 plus) the expandingrange of Pakistans delivery systems is intended to cover mostof the Indian hinterland. If India is to remain credible withits minimum deterrence it must be able to hit several Chinese

    vital areas Beijing, Shanghai and its bustling ports on thePacic seaboard. Pakistan, with its measley strategic depth(even if it places its assets in Afghanistan and Iran) would becovered in toto. Concommitantly, a ballistic missile defencecapable of exo-atmosphere interception at a greater heightwill be a gamechanger in its own right.

    42 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 43

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    25/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    44 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 45

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    26/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Even as Pakistan is feverishly enlarging its nuclear weaponsstockpile it has built up a huge echelon of sub-conventionalnon-State actors with a jihadi bent of mind to counter Indiasconventional forces. More and more it is this sub-conventionalforce led and directed by regular army ofcers that is used toprovoke India with terrorist attacks in the sure knowledge thatIndia will not cross the international border or even the Line ofControl to ease the pressure out of apprehension about Pakistansnuclear weapons.

    Cmde.(Retd.) Ranjit Rai

    military postures: perceptions and reality

    46 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 47

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    27/50

    Indias moves to further the Peace Dialogue with Pakistan and attempts by India to resolve

    issues, are thwarted by Pakistan's army as it would lose primacy. Even when Prime Minister

    Yousuf Raza Gillani met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in Thimphu in April 2010, the

    discussion on resumption of dialogue between India and Pakistan was hopeful when Gillani

    said he would ensure that the perpetrators of the 26/11 Mumbai attack would be punished

    and added, "The army supports me," but the reality was different. Soon thereafter vitriolic

    statements emanated from Pakistan and vitiated the atmosphere

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    48 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 49

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    28/50

    Pakistans game plan in Afghanistan has all the hallmarks of Fascist Germanys

    lebensraum gambit. In a yearning for strategic depth Hitler transformed the

    German people into Fascists just as Pakistan has created a talibanised society in

    Pakistan and in the Afghan hinterland with the avowed intention of extending

    that ideology into the former Communist Soviet Union. If America and its

    allies have to win the global war on terror they must stamp it out in Pakistan

    and not encourage the application of the concept on landlocked Afghanistan.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Dr. Jagmohan Meher

    playing for strategic depth

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    29/50

    But one repurcussion of the Pakistani game plan - which the military establishment inRawalpindi is seemingly not serious about - is the country's own peril. As it is seen from theongoing violence in different parts of Pakistan emanating from its own terrorists and otherorganisations which the successive military and political leadership helped create, the countryhas been engulfed in the clutches of the fundamentalists and extremists and is on the vergeof implosion from within

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    52 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 53

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    30/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Brig. (Retd.) Chitranjan Sawant

    Pakistan'sundoing:

    mediathemonsterorill-advisedconce

    it?

    Nothing emphasises the dismal state of Pakistani society than the reactionsof inuential sections to the murders of Punjab province governorSalmaan Taseer and minister for minorities affairsMr. Shahbaz Bhatti. You had lawyers showering rose petals on thekiller and there was Sherry Rehman of the Pakistan Peoples Partyshamefacedly withdrawing her amendment to the blasphemy law thatwould have removed the causes that led to the assassination of Taseer. NowAsma Jehangir, Pakistans indomitable human rights activist, is under threatfor seeking the abolition of this draconian Islamist-oriented law. Internationalpublic opinion was shocked out of its wits. And the media reected thatreaction.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    54 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 55

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    31/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    56 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 57

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    32/50

    GSA Exhibitions organised the fourth successful Global Security Asia 2011 at Singapore from

    15-17 March, 2011. It was an International Exhibition and Conference on Homeland Security

    and the theme for GSA 2011 was Prevention and Protection Safeguarding People, Property and

    Infrastructure.

    The GSA show was very well organised by team GSA. The excellent oor plan was superbly executed

    ensuring easy visibility and prominence to each and every Booth.

    GSA serves the International Community and presents a platform for Industry, Governments and

    Security professionals to interact and develop solutions to build their respective Security structures

    and platforms to protect their borders and infrastructure to counter the ongoing threat of Terrorism

    and civil unrest.

    The leading international magazine Defence and Security Alert (DSA) was the ofcial media

    partner for GSA 2011.

    DSA Booth at GSA 2011 was the centre of attraction and attracted dignitaries, visitors and industry

    professionals like a magnet. DSA was the most popular and sought after industry magazine at

    GSA 2011. Its world class content, presentation and overall production quality were appreciated by all

    especially the industry professionals.

    All the International participants showed great interest in India and expressed keen desire to promote

    and project their products, technologies and services in the booming Indian market. Many of them

    discussed with teamDSA their plans to enter the Indian market usingDSA platform to advertise and

    showcase their products and services.

    Team DSA gratefully acknowledges and thanks Mr. Roger Marriott, Chairman,

    Mr. Andrew Marriott, MD and Ms. Sandy Wong of GSA Exhibitions Pte. Ltd. for providing this

    opportunity and exposure toDSA in the Asia Pacic region and for their wholehearted support and

    generous hospitality during GSA 2011.

    We all atDSA pledge to continue our endeavours to make our beautiful world more safe

    and secure for all.

    GlOBAl Presence

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    33/50

    Dr. Rajiv Nayan

    Very much in the manner in which the US has helped create andsustain a jihadi terrorist network centred in Pakistan and is sufferingthe consequences by such acts as the 9/11 attack on its economicand military hubs another, more dangerous, phenomenon is in themaking. The willful and mindboggling denial of Chinas role inglobal proliferation of nuclear weapons and the means of delivery ofnuclear warheads in Asia and the Pacic has already burgeoned intoNorth Koreas overt threats to use nuclear weapons if the US assertedits authority in its adjoining seas. China has revised its nucleardoctrine to make it clear that if what it perceives as its nationalinterests are threatened it will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons(in the context of Jammu and Kashmir and Arunachal Pradesh). This

    read with the stasis recently demonstrated by Pakistans civil societyin the face of jihadi terrorism over the Blasphemy laws ought to drivesome sense into American heads. They will not need to send to askfor whom the bell tolls. It tolls for them.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    60 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 61

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    34/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    62 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 63

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    35/50

    tecHsHOWd

    64 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 65

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    36/50

    Vice Admiral (Retd.) Barry Bharathan

    R A M R A H I M P A R E S H A N !Among the questions that prick peoples minds thesedays on the sub-continent is whether trying to forge aconsensus among the nations of the inadequately described

    South Asia be an exercise in putting Humpty-Dumptytogether again. All of Indias neighbours profess a fear of beingovershadowed by India in a Europe-like conglomeration. IfFrance and Germany can now hit it off together (like a houseon re!) cannot India, Pakistan and Bangladesh take somesteps towards greater trade and commerce if not the dreadedconfederation that was once mentioned and shot down?

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    South Asia is akin to a horse. Indiathinks it is on the saddle. Chinacontrols the reins. Pakistan uses

    the whip. Bangladesh clings to thesaddle. America is a self imposedgroom and a confused punter.

    History, statistics are vulnerableto distortion and distension. Anillustrative example is the futile artice

    tecHsHOWd

    66 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 67

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    37/50

    Aggregate South Asian economic development is the need of the decade. Afull stomach is the key to reducing tensions. Motivating the polity to thinkdifferently is the need of today. Putting all disputes aside to achieve peoplesustenance is the start that the sub-continent can readily make without loss ofconstituent political face

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    38/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Dr. Tej Pratap Singh

    unending quest for parityIt is a fact of history and relations between nations thatthere is always an element of rivalry or competition in themanagement of their interaction. It is out of the necessity of

    evolving such relationships that great minds like Chanakyaand Clausewitz and Bismarck and even the much-reviledHitler developed strategies to deal with issues of war andof peace. Pakistan, having been part of India for centuries,has not had time to bring forth an eminence grise who couldchart a future for the nation-State within the context of goodneighbourliness. Jinnahs legacy of the two-nation theorycarried within itself the seeds of rivalry and divisiveness thatwere like poison in potency. Pakistan may well succumb tothe gall of disappointments vis-a-vis India that it has had toexperience in its short history of existence.

    70 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 71

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    39/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    72 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 73

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    40/50

    Lt. Gen. (Retd .) O. P. Kaushik

    stradd l ing the crossroadsPakistan has taken full advantage of straddling the conuenceof lines of communication and egress on the roof of theworld. It was not for nothing that the Great Game betweenTsarist Empire and the British Raj of control and dominationwas played out through its territory long before Pakistanitself became a reality. How much it can become a benigninuence and contribute towards the goal of a multipolarworld is, as yet, a work in progress. The potential is therebut the circumstances of its birth, its descent into Islamicfundamentalist depths and its congenital enmity with Indiamay yet circumscribe its role.

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    74 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 75

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    41/50

    Indias concern in the strategic factors of the region is natural. Pakistan is a continuation oflarge Indian mass and was separated artificially through an imaginary line. India remainsdeeply interested in the developments taking place in Afghanistan and Central Asian Republicsbecause of deep cultural, psychological, emotional, economic and political relationship. Wecannot forget the historical fact that the Muslim and Mughal invaders came through theKhyber Pass. Even earlier than that from 1,500 BC the country was invaded by Aryans, Greeksand Persians. Arabs arrived in the AD 700, bringing the Muslim religion with them. All thesehistorical developments took place through the territories which now comprise Pakistan. We,therefore, share the strategic concerns with Pakistan in this region and because of this reasonalone a strategic partnership between India and Pakistan is called for

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    76 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 77

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    42/50

    Always be aware and alert.

    Install and maintain proper re alarms and smoke detectors with automatic dialing facility. Also store the phone

    numbers of nearest re station, ambulance and your mobile number in the automatic dialing facility.

    Install re exit doors on every oor of the building.

    Install re extinguishers on the lobby of every oor.

    Have regular re drills to train all residents and family members in handling re emergencies, understand evacuation

    plans and recognise sound of re alarms.

    Get all your belongings and home suitably insured.

    Check the gas nozzles every night and keep them in the switched-off mode.

    When an electric or electronic gadget is not in use, make sure it is unplugged.

    Ensure that electric wiring is done by qualied and certied electrical contractors.

    Always insist on and install safety electrical devices like MCB / ELCB switches etc.

    Teach and educate children / youngsters the do's and don'ts in case of a re emergency.

    Plan and x the assembly point and inform everyone.

    Take extra precaution during festivals and monitor children when bursting re crackers etc.

    Always be aware and alert.

    Do not panic.

    Call the city / locality re service and ambulance immediately.

    Feed the re emergency numbers in the speed dial of the re alarm systems for immediate communication.

    Alert all the family members and neighbours / residents without creating panic.

    Never use the lift during a re in your building or apartment. Leave the premises by the nearest available exit as quickly

    as you can using the staircase.

    If you are trapped in your room or building during a re try to stop the smoke and re from getting into your room. Use

    wet towels, blankets or spare clothes to block the gaps in the doors and open all windows.

    If your clothes catch re, drop yourself down and roll on the ground. Do not panic or run, it will make the re burn faster

    and lead to more injuries or burns.

    When trying to escape from a room engulfed with smoke, protect yourself from choking. Crawl through the room on your

    knees, as cool and clean air can be found a few inches from the oor.

    TeamDSA

    sAfety MeAsurespoo

    78 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 79

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    43/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    The endgame in Afghanistan remains obscure given that theUS-led global war on terror has not achieved its objectives eitherinside Afghanistan or against the jihadi diaspora. One thing is clear,the mid 2011 deadline for withdrawal is impracticable and couldeasily lend itself to the interpretation that it is a defeat of the US. Bytrying to invest greater trust on Pakistan as the arbiter in Afghanistan,the US may extricate itself locally but there is no guarantee that theglobalised jihadi would declare a ceasere and come to terms withAmerican hegemony.

    Dr. Rajendra Prasad

    global war on terror: role reversal

    80 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 81

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    44/50

    TUMULTUOUS JOURNEYPakstan

    82 April 2011 DEfENcE AND SEcURiTY ALERT

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    45/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    Moscows engagement with Islamabad can best be describedas realpolitik in the face of the threat of Chechen and Islamicfundamentalists to the Russian heartland as well as theCentral Asian region. It grows out of a realisation that bothglobal terrorism as well as nuclear proliferation have theirepicentre in Pakistan and Moscow cannot but be chary ofChechens getting their hands on Pakistani nuclear knowhowand materials. Also, there can be no gainsaying the fact thatPakistans location straddles the pathway that Russian oiland gas can traverse to India. Much depends on Pakistansability to deliver on the global war on terrorism, especially

    after the US begins its withdrawal from Afghanistan. If andwhen the Taliban returns to Kabul, Moscow will need arestaining hand to prevent the mullahs from inltrating theMuslim-dominated Central Asian Republics and threatenMoscow itself.

    Rohit K. Mishra

    fountainhead of terror: Russian equation

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    46/50

    tuMultuOus JOurneyPaka

    86 April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert April 2011 Defence AnD security Alert 87

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    47/50

    PAWITRA INTERNATIONAL PRIVATE LIMITED, NEW DELHI, INDIA www.pawitra.comfor all queries contact: [email protected]

    den texture 20 ft. high Auditorium Standard texture

    Benefits of

    Easy Shelters

    ?

    ?Maintenance free and economical

    ?Portable

    ?Durable

    ?Easy to erect

    ?Easy to install in terrains

    ?Easy to install at high altitude

    ?Easy to install at coastal areas

    prone to high tides

    Low-cost and affordable

    ?Easy to dismantle

    Easy Shelters are

    ?

    ?No mildew

    ?No rot

    ?No shingles

    ?No corrosion

    No painting

    Easy Shelters are

    maintenance free

    ?

    ?No weathering

    ?No termites

    ?No deterioration

    No rust

    ?

    ?Firemen shelters for forests

    ?Defence personnel in coastal areas

    ?Defence personnel in mountains and high

    altitude areas

    ?Defence personnel in deserts and terrains

    ?Barracks for the police and security

    forces

    ?Railway disaster mobile rooms

    ?Police control rooms

    Disaster relief shelters ?

    ?Communication shelters

    (radio, mobile

    communications)

    ?Transit camps

    ?Storage for agriculture

    yield

    ?Municipal offices

    ?Old-age homes

    ?Schools in remote areas

    Aircraft hangers ?

    centres

    ?Libraries

    ?Guest houses for

    employees

    ?Warehouses

    ?Cold homes

    ?Trade fair stalls

    ?Pilgrimage shelters

    ?Milk booths

    Primary health

    Usage of Easy Shelters inGovernment Departments

    Easy Sheltersin ajiff y!

    ?Portable

    ?Fire retardant

    ?Environment friendly

    ?Energy efficient

    ?Zero maintenance

    ?Insulated

    ?Customisable design (size andlooks)

    ?Highly durable

    ?High impact resistance (>8,000 psi)

    ?High structural load capacity

    enhances the life

    ?Can hold up to 5,000 litres water

    tank on top

    ?High wind resistant

    ?UV proof

    ?Light weight

    ?Quick erection time: takes 6-7 hrs

    only to erect 1,000 sq.ft. and 4-5

    hrsto dismantle

    International Pvt. Ltd.

    Pawitra

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    48/50

    iday 1st April 2011 Sunday 3rd April 2011vil Protecera Bolzano,olzano, Italy

    onday 4th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011OMEX - 4th International Police Trade Fair and

    onference Messe und Congress Centrum Hallensterland, Munster, Germany

    uesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011ffshore Patrol Vessels Asia-Pacic 2011,rand Hyatt Singapore, Singapore

    uesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011he Safety Show - Workplace Safety Exhibitionelbourne Exhibition & Convention Centre,elbourne, Australia

    uesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011C Westnds Expo Convention Center,

    as Vegas, USA

    uesday 5th April 2011 - Thursday 7th April 2011he Safety Show Sydney 2011elbourne Exhibition & Convention Centre,elbourne, Australia

    onday 11th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011aritime Homeland Security Summit,

    enaissance Baltimore Harbourplace Hotel,altimore, MD, USA

    uesday 12th April 2011 Friday 15th April 2011hina Sourcing Fair: Security ProductssiaWorld-Expo, Hong Kong,ong Kong

    ednesday 13th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011efence IT 2011,istol Marriott Hotel City Centre,istol, UK,

    Wednesday 13th April 2011 - Thursday 14th April 2011Search and RescueBournemouth International Centre,Bournemouth, United Kingdom

    Friday 15th April 2011IDEF 09- 9th International Defence Industry FairUSA

    Sunday 17th April 2011 - Wednesday 20th April 2011International Symposium on Air DefenseBeijing, China

    Tuesday 19th April 2011 - Wednesday 20th April 2011Counter Terror Expo 2011,Olympia Conference and Exhibition Centre,London, UK,

    Tuesday 19th April 2011 Wednesday20th April 2011Counter Terror ExpoOlympia Conference & Exhibition Centre,London, United Kingdom

    Tuesday 19th April 2011 - Thursday 21st April 2011Safety EXPOCosumnes River College,Sacramento, USA

    Tuesday 26th April 2011 - Thursday 28th April 2011Security Beijing - Beijing International Exhibition forPublic Security ProductsChina International Exhibition Center CIEC,Beijing, China

    Tuesday 26th April 2011 - Thursday 28th April 2011International Security Conference & ExpositionExpo Center Norte,Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Friday 29th April 2011 - Saturday 30th April 2011Greentech Fire, Safety & Security India Conference & Exp oShangri La HotelNew Delhi, India

    www.pawitra.comCourtesy: Pawitra International Private Limited, New Delhi

    GLOBAL DEFENCE AND SECURITY EVENTS / SHOWSAPRIL 2011

    Yes, I would like to avail the Subscription of DSA 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years

    I would like to subscribe for

    Gift a Subscription

    Name (Personal)......................................................................... .................................................................Sex.................

    E du cat io n / Q ua li fic ati on G ra du ate P ost -Gr ad ua te P ro fe ss io na l A ny O th er

    Profession Organisation

    B il li ng Address .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . C it y. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

    Shi pp ing Address .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. C it y. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

    State.........................................Pin..............................................Tel......................................Mob.........................................................

    Your Birth Date.................... .............................. Marriage Anniversary... ..............................(Optional)

    DD / Cheque No..........................................................................Dated.................................Drawn on.................................................

    for ....................................... ..in favour of OCEAN MEDIA PRIVATE LIMITED, Payable at New Delhi

    Or Please Charge ................................(in words).................. .........through my credit card to my:

    Choose any one:

    Credit Card No........... .............Expires................................Signature of CC Holder............................

    * Please attach your ID proof with your signature in case of credit card payment.

    * Please add 50 for all outstation cheques.

    All payments in favour ofOcean Media Private Limited, payable at New Delhi. * Condition applies.

    Organisation

    ................................................................................... .......................................................................................

    ............................................................................................

    .............................................................................................

    ......................... .......................

    ` ....................................................

    ` ......................................................

    ....................................................

    `

    Minimum subscription is for one year (12 Issues). Your subscription will start with the next available issue after th e receipt of your payments.DSA will be despatched through Postal / Courier Services.

    Packing and forwarding charges will be borne by DSA. Online edition ofDSA shall be complimentary to all subscribers of Print Edition for single user. Please mention your subscription ID in all

    your future communications. Please forward us the completed subscription form with all the required details. DSA will not be responsible for any miscarriage or delay, if postal address is in correct.

    Please inform our subscription department non-receipt of your copy latest by 15th day of the month, fa iling which the request for re-despatch will not be entertained. This subscription form supersedes

    all the previous. Please address all your subscription related queries through Email:[email protected] or call us at: +91-011-23243999, 23287999, or fax at: +91-11-23259666 or write to us at:

    Subscription department, Ocean Media Private Limited, 4/19 Asaf Ali Road, New Delhi - 110002 (INDIA)

    The terms and conditions may change without any prior notice. This offer is for new subscribers only. Subscription form can also be downloaded from our portal www.dsalert.org

    Terms and Conditions:

    Cover Price

    1 year 12 ` 1440 US$ 240 US$ 300

    2 years 24 ` 2880 US$ 480 US$ 600

    3 years 36 ` 4320 US$ 720 US$ 900

    Discounted Price

    1 year 12 `1296 US$ 216 US$ 270

    2 years 24 `2448 US$ 408 US$ 510

    3 years 36 `3456 US$ 576 US$ 720

    Tenure Issues For India For SAARC Countries For Rest of the World

    Tenure Issues For India For SAARC Countries For Rest of the World

    March 2011

    F o r a l l d i s t r i b u t i o n a n d s u b s c r i p t i o n q u e r i e s p l e a s e c o n t a c t : + 9 1 9 2 1 0 2 1 8 3 5 5 .

    Subscribe Now!

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    49/50

  • 7/30/2019 DSA Alert April-2011

    50/50

    International representation of

    products, technologies and services in

    Defence, Security and Renewable energy

    International Pvt. Ltd.

    Pawitra

    >VOLUM

    E2

    >ISSUE7

    >APRIL

    2011