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Dutch LTE license Mats Granryd, President and CEO of Tele2 AB
Günther Vogelpoel, Market Area Director Western Europe and CEO of Tele2 Netherlands
December 14, 2012
2 Dutch LTE license 2012
Tele2 Group
EBITDA
SEK 8,288 million
CapEx
SEK 3,858 million
Net sales
SEK 32,451 million
* Group figures; YTD Q3 2012
3 Dutch LTE license 2012
Services Devices Access
Mobile access is the future
4 Dutch LTE license 2012
“Tele2 is driven by its relentless focus
on developing mobile services on its
own infrastructure”
5 Dutch LTE license 2012
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Group revenue breakdown (SEK ’000)
Total revenue Mobile revenue EBITDA (rhs)
Tele2 will continue to be a growth
company, focusing on mobile
business and a good mix of mature
and high growth markets
Revenue per geography Revenue per product area
History of mobile excellence
Mobile
Fixed
broadband
Fixed
telephony Other
Sweden
Russia
Netherlands
Norway
Revenue distribution
6 Dutch LTE license 2012
• Tele2 has done successful business in
the Netherlands for 15 years
• Tele2 has more than ten years of
mobile experience as full MVNO
• More than one million customers
Tele2 Netherlands
* Figures represent contribution to group; YTD Q3 2012
EBITDA CapEx Net sales 12% 14% 8%
7 Dutch LTE license 2012
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12
EBITDA (EUR)
Wholesale
Business
Consumer
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12
Revenue (EUR)
Wholesale
Business
Consumer
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12
Cashflow (cum.) (EUR)
Tele2 NL
Stable financial performance
Dutch Mobile Market
9 Dutch LTE license 2012
Dutch mobile oligopoly
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Dutch Mobile Market Share 2005-2012
KPN
Vodafone
T-Mobile
Result of seven years without a challenger
10 Dutch LTE license 2012
Leading in fixed, lagging in mobile
Source: Analysys Mason
11 Dutch LTE license 2012
No incentive to move from fixed to
mobile
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
KPN NL T-Mobile NL Vodafone NL Denmark Norway Finland Germany Sweden
Mb
/Sec
Max download speed (Mobile internet)
Max 28.8/14.4 Mb/s only available in limited areas of the Netherlands,
average is 7.2 Mb/s or worse
12 Dutch LTE license 2012
High prices & low adoption leave
opportunity for Tele2
Current providers don’t stimulate innovation
13 Dutch LTE license 2012
A cluttered market, but competition is
limited
50+ MVNOs, but brands of 3 MNOs hold 93% of total market share
KPN Vodafone T-Mobile
14 Dutch LTE license 2012
Data will drive market value growth
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2011 2029
Data
Voice
Voice:
CAGR -2.9%
Data: CAGR +4.2%
Market: CAGR +0.7%
2011 (TelecomPaper):
• Market size: 6.1 billion EUR • Penetration: 125% • SIMs: 20.9 million • Blended ARPU: 24.2 EUR • Share of voice revenues: 64%
2029 (Market forecast):
• Market size: 6.9 billion EUR • Penetration: 184% • SIMs: 31.8 million • Blended ARPU: 18.1 EUR • Share of voice revenues: 34%
Sources: Analysys Mason, Northstream, Telecompaper, March 2012
* Excluding M2M market
Dutch License Auction
2012
16 Dutch LTE license 2012
New situation brings back competition Today’s outcome determines Dutch playing-field until 2030
Dutch Mobile spectrum
Situation until 31 December 2012
Situation after Auction (starting January 1st 2013 / 2014)
1x10 MHz
800 MHz
900 MHz
1.8 GHz
1.9GHZ
2.1GHz
2.6GHZ
Reserved for new entrant
2x20 MHz
Vodafone
2x12.5 MHz
KPN
2x12.5 MHz
Free
14.7 MHz unpaired
Vodafone
T-Mobile
2x10 MHz
Vodafone
2x5Mhz
T-Mobile
2x30 MHz
KPN
2x20 MHz
Free
2x10 MHz
Free
2x15 MHz
KPN
2x15 MHz 1x10 MHz
2x10 MHz
2x15 Mhz 1x5 MHz
T-Mobile
Ziggo4
2x20 MHz
1x10 MHz
Tele2
2x20 MHz
Vodafone
1.9GHZ
2.1GHz
1.8 GHz
800 MHzTele2
Free
55 MHz unpaired
900 MHz
2x10 MHz
T-Mobile
2x10 MHz 2x5 MHz 2x10 MHz 2x20 MHz 2x20 MHz2.6GHZ
Vodafone T-Mobile KPN Ziggo4
Vodafone
2x10 MHz
KPN
2x10 MHz
14.7 MHz unpaired
1x5 MHz
T-Mobile
2x15 MHz
Vodafone
T-Mobile
Free
2x20 MHz
KPN
2x10 MHz 2x10 MHz
2x5 Mhz
2x10 Mhz
Vodafone
2x5 MHz
KPN
T-Mobile KPN
25 MHz unpaired 25 MHz Unpaired
2x30 MHz
2x20 MHz
Tele2
KPN
1x10 MHz2x20 MHz
T-Mobile
Vodafone
2x20 Mhz
T-Mobile
2x20Mhz
KPN
2x20 MHz
17 Dutch LTE license 2012
Dutch regulatory requirements Technology neutral
• All frequencies are technology neutral
Minimum roll out requirement for 10 MHz license in 800 MHz band
• 2 year = 2% of geography coverage (616 km2)
• 5 year = 40% of geography coverage (14,942 km2 )
• Free choice in geographical roll out
License duration & effective date
• License duration: 17 years, valid until 2030 in sync with 2.6 GHz licenses
• Licenses may not be sold to other MNOs during the first five years of the license period
• 800 MHz: available January 2013 for all licenses, since this is new spectrum
Access to existing sites
• 11,000 existing sites of which increasing number independent because MNOs sell off
sites
• MNO have obligation for site sharing in towers and cooperation at roof top sites
No need for new site locations (Stratix consulting 2011)
• Government research shows that restructuring current sites with multiband equipment
enables all operators to roll out nationwide network without need of new locations
Why is Tele2 Netherlands
pursuing an MNO status
19 Dutch LTE license 2012
Dutch market needs a challenger
The newcomer reservation created a unique opportunity for Tele2
Natural next step for Tele2 Netherlands
The Dutch mobile market is underdeveloped and overpriced
A new network operator will bring back competition
4G technique will offer new experience to Dutch consumers
Tele2 Netherlands has a growing mobile customer base
Opportunity fits within Tele2 Group strategy
20 Dutch LTE license 2012
MNO building blocks N
etw
ork
C
om
me
rcia
l
1. Frequency license
2. Base stations
3. Mobile switches
4. Backhaul
5. Radio nodes
1. Brand awareness
2. Customer base
3. Ordering + Billing systems
4. Distribution
Greenfield Tele2 NL
• 2x10 MHz 800 + 2x20 MHz 2.6
• Nationwide fiber optic
• 55 radio nodes
• 15 years presence, 47% b.a.
• Over 1 million customers
21 Dutch LTE license 2012
Fixed backbone already in place
Specification of Tele2 Fiber optic
network
1. Total length 5,213 KM
2. Nationwide coverage
3. Connected to 55 Radio Nodes
4. 80% of existing antenna sites
within reach of Tele2’s radio
nodes
5. 40% of existing antenna sites
within reach of Tele2’s fiber
optic access lines
Maximize synergy with existing infrastructure
22 Dutch LTE license 2012
Scenarios for a mobile network
Roll out obligation for 2x10 MHz in
800 MHz band
• 40% of geographical coverage
= 1.000 base stations
Nationwide network
• 100% geographical coverage
= +/- 4.000 base stations
= Tele2’s current Fiber optic Network
23 Dutch LTE license 2012
4G possibilities
Great opportunities for incremental growth
• LTE build on own fiber optic infrastructure, no legacy and successful efficient
organization.
Optimal spectrum mix
• With 2x10 MHz 800 and 2x20 MHz 2,600 Tele2 has acquired the optimal spectrum
mix for capacity, coverage and speeds up to 100 Mb/s
Become a full service MNO
• We will be a full service Voice and Data provider, given the accelerated
implementation of VoLTE in the US and Europe and support of VoLTE on handsets,
we will be able to carry voice over LTE. Where required, we can fallback for Voice on
our 2G/3G MVNO host
Clear opportunity for newcomer
• Market price levels clearly leave room for a newcomer, offering next generation
services, based on a lowest possible cost level
24 Dutch LTE license 2012
Summary
Opportunity fits with group strategy
Utilize Tele2’s experience in network roll out
Differentiate with full focus on 4G
Additional leverage on existing operations
25 Dutch LTE license 2012