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Earth system model of INM RAS Volodin E.M., Galin V.Ya., Diansly N.A., Gusev A.V., Smyshlyaev S.P., Yakovlev N.G. Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS e-mail: [email protected]

Earth system model of INM RAS

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Earth system model of INM RAS Volodin E.M., Galin V.Ya., Diansly N.A., Gusev A.V., Smyshlyaev S.P., Yakovlev N.G. Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS e-mail: [email protected]. Model includes 2 main blocks: atmosphere and ocean. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Earth system model of INM RAS

Earth system model of INM RAS

Volodin E.M., Galin V.Ya., Diansly N.A., Gusev A.V., Smyshlyaev S.P., Yakovlev N.G.

Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS

e-mail: [email protected]

Page 2: Earth system model of INM RAS

Model includes 2 main blocks: atmosphere and ocean.

Atmosphere: spatial resolution is 5х4, 2х1.5 or 1.25х1 degrees in longitude and latitude. In vertical 21 levels (uppermost level at 30 km) or 39 levels (uppermost level at 90 km), or 80 levels (uppermost level at 90 km). Time step is 3-12 minutes.

Equations are solved by finite difference method.

Ocean: spatial resolution is 1x0.5 degrees in longitude and latitude and 40 levels in vertical. Time step is 2 hours. Equations are solved by finite difference method at spherical coordinates with shifted poles. Model includes sea ice dynamics and thermodynamics block.

Exchange between atmosphere and ocean occurs at each time step of ocean model, without flux adjustment.

Page 3: Earth system model of INM RAS

The model can include also:

1. Chemistry block that can take into account 74 spices and about 150 reactions of chlorine, bromine, nitrogenous, oxigenous, hydrogenous, sulfuric cycles.

2. Carbon cycle (calculation of carbon of plants, soil, ocean and atmosphere)

3. Methane cycle (emission from wetlands, atmospheric concentration).

4. Dynamical vegetation.

5. Parameterization of electric phenomena (flashes, ionospheric potential)

Page 4: Earth system model of INM RAS

The model code is written as 3 independent tasks:

Atmospheric dynamics, oceanic dynamics and atmospheric chemistry, that exchanges data through hard disk.

The model with atmospheric resolution 2x1.5L21 and oceanic resolution 1x0.5L40 that is used for CMIP5, runs for 6 years in 1 day at 56 cores of Intel Xeon 2.66 GHz.

Page 5: Earth system model of INM RAS

Annual mean sea surface temperature error

Page 6: Earth system model of INM RAS

Sea ice compactness in March (left) and September (right) in the model (top) and observations (bottom)

Page 7: Earth system model of INM RAS

RMS of SST in El-Nino region for observations (top) and model (bottom)

Page 8: Earth system model of INM RAS

Annual cycle of total ozone (model)

Page 9: Earth system model of INM RAS

Annual cycle of total ozone (TOMS)

Page 10: Earth system model of INM RAS

Model NPP (umol/(m2 s))

Page 11: Earth system model of INM RAS

Estimation of observed NPP

Page 12: Earth system model of INM RAS

OCEAN CARBON (10-3 MOL/M3) AT 3000 M. MODEL.

OBSERVATIONS

Page 13: Earth system model of INM RAS

Methane flux in the model (g/(m2 year))

Page 14: Earth system model of INM RAS

Model flash climatology fl/(km2 year) and amount of flashes cloud - surface

Page 15: Earth system model of INM RAS
Page 16: Earth system model of INM RAS

Model diurnal cycle of ionospheric potential, KV

Page 17: Earth system model of INM RAS

Observed ionospheric potential

Page 18: Earth system model of INM RAS

DJF Near-surface air temperature 1981-2000 minus 1961-1980 for model (top) and NCEP

(bottom)

Page 19: Earth system model of INM RAS

JJA Near-surface air temperature 1981-2000 minus 1961-1980 for model (top) and NCEP (bottom)

Page 20: Earth system model of INM RAS

CARBON EMISSION DUE TO FUEL BURNING (A1B)

СО2

CARBON EMISSION DUE TO LAND USE

Page 21: Earth system model of INM RAS

The percent of absorbed carbon, year 2100.

Model atmosphere land ocean F

HadCM3LC 72(49) 5(30) 24(20) 1.47

IPSL-CM2C 47(40) 22(30) 32(30) 1.17

NCAR-CSM1 54(52) 25(26) 21(22) 1.04

MPI 54(46) 22(30) 24(24) 1.17

LLNL 41(36) 44(49) 15(15) 1.14

FRCGC 63(60) 10(10) 27(30) 1.05

UMD 64(55) 1(6) 35(39) 1.16

UVic-2.7 59(48) 17(28) 23(26) 1.23

CLIMBER 58(52) 22(27) 20(21) 1.12

BERN-CC 48(42) 26(32) 26(26) 1.14

INM 58(49) 20(31) 22(20) 1.19

AVER. 56±8(48±7) 19±11(27±11) 25±5(25±6) 1.17±0.11

Page 22: Earth system model of INM RAS

Near-surface daily maximum temperature change in June-August induced by doubling of CO2 in control run (top), run with decrease evaporation from plants (middle) and the difference (bottom)

Page 23: Earth system model of INM RAS

Near-surface daily maximum temperature change in June-August induced by doubling of CO2 in control run (top), run with decrease evaporation from plants (middle) and the difference (bottom)

Page 24: Earth system model of INM RAS
Page 25: Earth system model of INM RAS

LPJ DGVM coupled to INMCM. Results

Change in boreal forest fractional cover from 1860 to 2100

Page 26: Earth system model of INM RAS

DJFM temperature change induced by geoengineering with stratospheric aerosols

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Relative change of annual mean precipitation

Page 28: Earth system model of INM RAS

Air temperature change

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Total ozone change

Page 30: Earth system model of INM RAS

Change of NPP