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Burck Smith
Econ 101, Free Trade and Higher Ed
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 2
the shortest distance between you and your degree
About Me…
• Background in non-profits and public policy.
• Former education journalist
• Founded SMARTHINKING in 1999
• Founded StraighterLine in 2008
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 3
the shortest distance between you and your degree
Despite massive investments in technology in post‐secondary education and K‐12, why have costs gone up and quality gone
down?
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 4
the shortest distance between you and your degree
1/3 of all students transfer.
1/3 of all students took at least one online course.
2/3 of colleges offered online courses.
93% of colleges charge the same or more for online.
Elements of Online Course Market
Credit is fungible.
Many providers
High profit margins
Credit for online is widespread
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 5
the shortest distance between you and your degree
Online courses should be much cheaper than f2f courses
You no longer need to be a college to offer a college course
MOOC = MCPM
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 6
the shortest distance between you and your degree
(in $b) Direct Indirect
Student $52 $35
College $73 $20+
$200 BillionAnnual Higher Education Subsidies
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the shortest distance between you and your degree
Subsidy
• State allocation• Federal student grants/subsidized loans• Non-profit tax status• Tax preferred plans• Competitive advantages
Accredited Colleges
• Only degrees can be accredited, not courses• Accreditation measures inputs, not outcomes• Colleges set own, subjective articulation policies• Accrediting agencies are staffed and financed by colleges
Competitive Barriers
• Colleges cannot easily be “disaggregated”• Colleges must look similar to each other• Standards set and enforced by those that would be undermined by changes
Accreditation Keeps Competition Out
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 8
the shortest distance between you and your degree
Barrier Example Higher EdPublic Subsidization US & Sugar
EU & AirbusState support, tax preferences, grants and loans.
Standard Setting Raw milk cheese, Apple/Microsoft
Articulation policies.
Tariffs Vary by country and by product
Fees. Degree Requirements.
Dumping ASTAC Shrimp, Electronics
Free MOOCs
“Trade” Barriers and Higher Ed
Tuition
Student Funding Sources
Can I repay the debt?
Can I get a job?
Students are Shoppers!
VastlyMore Choices
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 10
the shortest distance between you and your degree
Provider Higher Ed PartnerType
Value
Coursera/Udacity Elite Colleges Brand extension.Credit export w/o import.
“MOOC2Degree” from Academic Partnerships
Regional, 4 year public, online.
Lead generation
Gen Ed courses from StraighterLine
Any regionallyaccredited college
Marketing channelfor partners
MCPMs and College Marketing
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the shortest distance between you and your degree
• Provides affordable, well-supported, flexible online general education college courses.
• $99 per month + $49 per course started. Almost 90% sign up for the subscription.
• Will serve 12,000 students next fiscal year this year.
• At WGU, 90% of SL students are still enrolled after twelve months.
Partner college awards credits for the coursework
Student Advisor forwards student records to partner college
Students choose and are admitted to partner college or use ACE Credit
Student successfully completes a series of rigorous assessments and receives a final grade
Student enrolls
StraighterLine
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 12
the shortest distance between you and your degree
More StudentsMore
Students
After StraighterLine a student will need to complete the majority of his or
her degree.
More Valuable Students
More Valuable Students
These students are very likely to
persist
They will likely be out‐of‐state and using distance education
Referral PartnerReferral Partner
Colleges refer students that they cannot serve to StraighterLine
Students can receive discount. Co‐market with
college.
Value to a Partner College
13
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the shortest distance between you and your degree
More than 400 Colleges…
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the shortest distance between you and your degree
Closing Thoughts• Disruption is coming, just slower.• Non‐traditional students will have vast choices on price and credential.
• Colleges are competing with vastly larger group of competitors and collaborators.
• Political pressure from policymakers and market pressure from students will grow.
• Cross‐subsidies from online are not sustainable.• MCPM’s are best used as marketing vehicles.
6/24/2013 www.straighterline.com 17
the shortest distance between you and your degree
Burck [email protected]
Twitter: @burckBlog: http://www.straighterline.com/ceo-corner
Questions?