[ECON]105macro.e Dev. of China

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  • 7/29/2019 [ECON]105macro.e Dev. of China

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    Countrys data at a glance

    China

    Region: East Asia and Pacific

    Income level: Upper Middle Income

    Population, total: 1,338,299,512(2010)

    GDP(current US$): $5,878,629,246,677(2010)

    GDP growth(annual %): 10.3%(2010)

    Inflation, GDP deflator(annual%): 5.8%

    China has had a remarkable period of rapid growth shifting from

    a centrally planned to a market based economy. Today, China is

    a lower middle-income country that has complex development

    needs, where the Bank continues to play an importantdevelopment role. Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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    Reasons of China's rapid economic development in a

    quarter of a century

    Since the beginning of 1970s, China has entered a historical period of economic reform,

    opening up and modernization. Within a timeframe of 25 years, the Chinese economy has

    consistently maintained its rapid growth momentum. During such a period, China's annual GDP

    growth rate was averaged at 9.4 percent, the income and living standard of urban and rural

    residents continuously improved, and foreign trade volume expanded by 16 percent each year.Utilized foreign direct investment reached USD676.9 billion and the official foreign exchange

    reserves increased from USD19.4 billion to USD403.3 billion. China now is the 2th largest

    economy in the world, with its overall economic strength markedly improved. Per capita GDP

    was quadrupled in 20 years up to the end of last century.

    There are several reasons for the eye-catching achievements in terms of social and economic

    development in China.

    www.pbc.gov.cn/publish/english/956/1940/19405/19405_.html

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    Reasons of China's rapid economic development in a

    quarter of a century

    Second, steadfast in advancing economic opening up to integrate into the world economic

    development. We have ended China's isolation from the world economic development and

    opened the Chinese economy to the outside world at different levels on a broad scale. Efforts

    have been made to take full advantage of both the internal and external resources and markets to

    effect China's competitive advantage in the global economy. On November 11, 2001, Chinajoined the WTO, marking an important step forward for China's economic opening up and reform.

    In 2003, China's total goods trade volume amounted to USD851.2 billion, ranking the 4th place in

    the world. Inflow of FDI totaled USD53.5 billion, topping all the developing nations. Rapid

    growth of trade and continuous increase of FDI have not only contributed to the expansion of

    export and job creation, but also substantially increased the import of much needed scarce

    resources and equipments. Furthermore, the inflow of advanced technology and managementskills has helped to boost China's technology and competitiveness, providing additional support

    to economic reform.

    www.pbc.gov.cn/publish/english/956/1940/19405/19405_.html

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    Reasons of China's rapid economic development in a

    quarter of a century

    Third, we have always been conscious of striking a balance between reform, development and

    stability. China is a big developing country with a population of 1.4 billion and large disparities

    in terms of regional economic development. It is by no means an easy job to press ahead with

    economic reform and modernization and make everyone live a comfortable life in such a country.

    One important piece of our experiences is that adequate attention must be paid to handle therelationship between reform, development and stability. In our view, stability, namely the social,

    political and economic stability constitutes the prerequisite to ensure steady progress of economic

    reform and development. Since reform will more or less affect the interests of almost all the

    parties in the society, it is important to make the reform endurable to the individuals, enterprises

    and all other social sectors. Under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party and taking into

    consideration of the Chinese situation, we have embarked on a path of reform gradualism to builda socialist market economic system with Chinese characteristics. That is to say, we will on the

    one hand stick to the mandate of socialist market economic reform, while on the other hand give

    full consideration to the endurance of all walks of life, and strive to make the reform benefit most

    of the people in the society.

    www.pbc.gov.cn/publish/english/956/1940/19405/19405_.html

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    Reasons of China's rapid economic development in a

    quarter of a century

    In practice, sweeping reforms are usually introduced when favorable conditions arise, and the

    pace of reform will be slowed down if conflicts intensify. All in all, in the process of economic

    and social development, we have always made the harmony between the strength of reform, the

    speed of development and the endurance of the general public a top priority, and targeted a

    persistent improvement of the people's living standard as the lock-point for handling relationshipamong the three factors. Such a consensus has contributed to the mutually re-enforcement of

    reform, development and social stability.

    www.pbc.gov.cn/publish/english/956/1940/19405/19405_.html

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    Reasons of China's rapid economic development in a

    quarter of a century

    Despite the outstanding achievements mentioned above, we should remain clear about the fact

    that China is still a developing country with large population. Though large in absolute size,

    China's GDP measured by per capita is still very low, with the 2003 figure just exceeding

    USD1000. Myriads of problems, including slow growth of the farmers' income, pressures on

    employment and social security system, regional development disparity, widening gap of incomedistribution and degradation of environment etc., remain to be conquered on our way moving

    forward. Since these problems emerge in the process of development, they must only be

    addressed in the process of development.

    National Poverty Rate of China

    Year Rate(%)

    1996 6

    1998 4.6

    2004 2.8

    Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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    1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    China's GDP Growth Rate(%)

    China's GDP Growth Rate

    Year Rate(%) Year Rate(%) Year Rate(%)

    1961 -27.1 1989 4.1 2000 8.4

    1962 -6.1 1990 3.8 2001 8.3

    1963 10.3 1991 9.2 2002 9.1

    1964 15.8 1992 14.2 2003 10

    1965 16.4 1993 14 2004 10.1

    1966 10.7 1994 13.1 2005 11.3

    1967 -5.7 1995 10.9 2006 12.7

    1968 -4.1 1996 10 2007 14.2

    1969 16.9 1997 9.3 2008 9.6

    1970 19.4 1998 7.8 2009 9.2

    1971 7 1999 7.6 2010 10.3

    1972 3.8

    1973 7.91974 2.3

    1975 8.7

    1976 -1.6

    1977 7.6

    1978 11.7

    1979 7.6

    1980 7.81981 5.2

    1982 9.1

    1983 10.9

    1984 15.2

    1985 13.5

    1986 8.8

    1987 11.6

    1988 11.3

    Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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    1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990

    Merchandise Trade Percentage at GDP ofChina Percentage(%)

    Merchandise Trade Percentage at GDP of China

    Year Percentage Year Percentage Year Percentage

    1960 8.50 1988 33.21 1999 33.29

    1961 7.36 1989 32.47 2000 39.57

    1962 7.07 1990 32.34 2001 38.47

    1963 6.92 1991 35.76 2002 42.70

    1964 6.76 1992 39.16 2003 51.86

    1965 6.90 1993 44.43 2004 59.77

    1966 6.80 1994 42.31 2005 63.00

    1967 6.33 1995 38.58 2006 64.89

    1968 6.30 1996 33.86 2007 62.29

    1969 5.52 1997 34.13 2008 56.69

    1970 5.01 1998 31.78 2009 44.22

    1971 4.98

    1972 5.83

    1973 8.10

    1974 10.47

    1975 9.69

    1976 8.97

    1977 8.51

    1978 14.23

    1979 16.55

    1980 20.08

    1981 22.68

    1982 20.48

    1983 19.09

    1984 20.80

    1985 22.70

    1986 24.79

    1987 30.57 Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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    1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    Exchange rate from US Dollar to Chinese Yuan()

    Exchange rate from US Dollar to Chinese Yuan

    Year Rate() Year Rate() Year Rate() Year Rate()

    1971 2.462 1981 1.705 1991 5.323 2001 8.277

    1972 2.245 1982 1.893 1992 5.516 2002 8.277

    1973 1.989 1983 1.976 1993 5.762 2003 8.277

    1974 1.961 1984 2.32 1994 8.619 2005 8.0702

    1975 1.859 1985 2.937 1995 8.351 2006 7.8087

    1976 1.941 1986 3.453 1996 8.314 2007 7.304

    1977 1.858 1987 3.722 1997 8.29 2008 6.8447

    1978 1.684 1988 3.722 1998 8.279 2009 6.82702

    1979 1.555 1989 3.765 1999 8.278 2010 6.60231

    1980 1.498 1990 4.783 2000 8.279 2011.11.14 6.35574

    Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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    1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990

    Unemployment Rate of China(%)

    Unemployment Rate of China

    Year Rate(%) Year Rate(%) Year Rate(%)

    1980 4.9 1990 2.5 2000 3.1

    1981 3.8 1991 2.3 2001 3.6

    1982 3.2 1992 2.3 2002 4

    1983 2.3 1993 2.6 2003 4.3

    1984 1.9 1994 2.8 2004 4.2

    1985 1.8 1995 2.9 2005 4.2

    1986 2 1996 3 2006 4.1

    1987 2 1997 3.1 2007 4

    1988 2 1998 3.1 2009 4.3

    1989 2.6 1999 3.1

    World Unemployment Rate

    Year Rate(%)

    1994 5.29

    1995 5.30

    1996 5.08

    1997 5.40

    1998 5.60

    2000 5.58

    2004 6.59

    2005 6.17

    Sources from: www.worldbank.org

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