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Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn UW Madison Spring 2018

Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

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Page 1: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Economics 442Macroeconomic Policy

Lecture 113/5/2018

Instructor: Prof. Menzie ChinnUW MadisonSpring 2018

Page 2: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Outline

• Eggertson and Mehrotra• Slow Productivity Growth

Page 3: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn
Page 4: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Summary

• Young borrow to consume• Middle age save for retirement• Old consume and dis‐save

• Key: Exogenous borrowing constraint on young

Page 5: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Dt, gt exogenous

Page 6: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn
Page 7: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn
Page 8: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Deleveraging Shock

• A sudden and permanent reduction in  D.• The Young generation borrows less than before.

• When they become the Middle aged generation, they have less debt, and have more to save.

• The resulting lower interest rate loosens constraint for young, induces more spending for Middle

Page 9: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn
Page 10: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

An Aging Society

Page 11: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

An Aging Society

• Aging society is represented by reduction in parameter g

• Recall  loan demand equation has g parameter in it

Page 12: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

g’ < g

Page 13: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Income Inequality

Page 14: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Income Inequality

Page 15: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Income Inequality

Page 16: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

g’ < g

Page 17: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Endogenous Output, Permanent Inflation, ZLB

Page 18: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

AD Shift

Page 19: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Supply Side Economics?

Page 20: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Inflation Targeting

Page 21: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Fiscal Policy

Page 22: Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy - SSCC - Homemchinn/e442_lecture11_s18.pdf · 2018-03-06 · Economics 442 Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 11 3/5/2018 Instructor: Prof. Menzie Chinn

Capital Goods Price