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ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”. ECOOP Consensus and planning meeting 16-17 March 2005. Contents. WP5 Aims and Objectives WP5 Scope: systems, regions,……. WP5 Tasks, interfaces to other WPs Example ……. ECOOP WP5. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: ‘EuroMISS’ - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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© Crown copyright 2005 Page 1
ECOOP WP5 overview“Forecast Production and Information Systems”
ECOOP Consensus and planning meeting
16-17 March 2005
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 2
Contents
WP5 Aims and Objectives WP5 Scope: systems, regions,……. WP5 Tasks, interfaces to other WPs Example …….
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 3
ECOOP WP5
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: ‘EuroMISS’
To build up integrated coastal ocean forecast production and
dissemination capacity based on existing systems,
providing improved services for GMES
Define initial European Regional and Coastal Seas operational
forecast modelling systems ECOOPSYS V0 (as MERSEA WP9)
providing contributions to GMES Services
Synthesise existing forecast model outputs and observations into
value-added information products for GMES services
Implement developments to ECOOPSYS arising from WP1, WP4
and the Development WPs through WP13
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 4
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
SCOPE: systems
Priority: GMES Services: water quality, HAB, oil spill drift
forecasting
3D circulation modelling including physical-ecosystem
?? BUT NOT ??
Storm Surges Waves
Except where these are coupled to a 3D physical-ecosystem model
eg waves
OR include minimal waves / surges portal to existing systems
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 5
ECOOP WP5
SCOPE: regions COASTAL plus regional
ECOOP operational systems from : Southern North Sea North Sea German Bight
English Channel / SW Approaches Irish Sea Liverpool Bay
Aegean Sea Adriatic
Cyprus CYCOFOS Southern Mediterranean ? Black Sea
Bay of Biscay ESEOO Spanish waters
Skagerrak Baltic Gulf of Bothnia / Gulf of Riga ??
Barents Sea OsloFjord
MERSEA covers Mediterranean; NW Shelf, Baltic
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 6
Suggested TASKS
Integration and definition of regional / coastal
forecasting systems
Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to
ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services
Generation and dissemination of value added
information products for GMES services, based on
ECOOP observations and modelling
Particular links to WP3, WP13,…..
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 7
Suggested PRODUCTS: issues
Build on existing capability (MERSEA LAS / DISMAR /
national initiatives………….)
Harmonise and integrate across regional seas
systems
value added products
Dialogue with users; links to GMES Service Element
activity
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 8
Suggested PRODUCTS
Gridded model datasets: MERSEA LAS
Synthesised model and observed parameters,
including marine ecosystem, eutrophication indices,
harmful algal bloom likelihood:
Web based delivery such as (building on) MONCOZE
or POL Coastal Observatory or POSEIDON
Include links to existing systems for wave, surge
forecasts
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 9
Suggested PRODUCTS examples
Drawn from NOOS
Other systems are also available
MONCOZE
POLCOBS
HAB index example for North West shelf
Eutrophication index southern North Sea
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
MONCOZE project: Monitoring the Norwegian Coastal Zone EnvironmentPOMS: a web tool for uniform presentation of near-real-time observations and model products – to facilitate monitoring and analysis.
A Norwegian national project: MONCOZE
Pilot Ocean Monitoring System (POMS) http://moncoze.met.no
POL Irish Sea Coastal Observatory Web site - http://coastobs.pol.ac.uk
Different levels
for
Researchers
Managers
Public
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 12
Products under development from Met OfficePOLCOMS-ERSEM MRCS model
Early April N to P ratio (left) and the corresponding phaeocystis warning map (right)showing some regions of elevated risk along Welsh and French coastlines
PML POLCOLMS_ERSEM
Eutrophication in southern N Sea 1988
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 14
SUMMARY: Suggested TASKS
Integration and definition of regional / coastal
forecasting systems
Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to
ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services
Generation and dissemination of value added
information products for GMES services
ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 15
12km
Ex-Hurricane Irene October 1999
Jonswap Gamma (colour) / windsea Hs (contours)
Identifies regions with high sea state AND actively growing waves
POL Irish Sea: JNCC Irish Sea Pilot Project , model derived ecological units
Bed stress frequency of stratification positions of fronts
Real-time model results Ocean-shelf model (12km), Irish Sea model (1.8km)
e.g. sea surface temperaturepoint and click for profile
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 18
ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides:
MERSEA V0 Arctic : TOPAZ : (North Atlantic, Nordic Seas and Arctic), HYCOM,
resolution is 18-35 km. Includes ice and ecosystem model, Assimilates SSH, SST, ice concentration, ARGO floats. Assimilation scheme is EnKF, weekly assimilation cycle.
Baltic : DMI BSH-cmod + OI, resolution of 6-1 nm, twice daily. Mediterranean : MFS : 1/16o, assimilates sea level surface temperature
and profile data using ROOI scheme on weekly basis. NE Atlantic : FOAM 1/9o N Atlantic, ocean and sea-ice model: nested
inside Atlantic model ; assimilation of surface height, temperature and salinity profile data and sea-ice concentration fields using modified analysis correction scheme. POLCOMS system for NE Atlantic shelf using 12 km grid and no assimilation. Both are run daily.
MERSEA V1 Arctic : Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Assimilation of ocean
colour data. Baltic : BSH-cmod + OI, res. 3-1 nm, twice daily, with boundary
conditions from NE Atlantic model Mediterranean Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Transition to
daily operation. NE Atlantic : POLCOMS 1/32o no assimilation, nested in global daily.
© Crown copyright 2005 Page 19
ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides:
Mersea Integrated System V.2 Month 36 = Mar 2007 Arctic : horizontal resolution 9-18 km. Assimilation of Cryosat ice
thickness data. [Ecosystem model upgraded.] Transition to daily real-time operations at meto.no underway.
Baltic : increased vertical resolution, data assimilation in test version.
Mediterranean trial nesting of Mediterranean model within the Mersea global; ecosystem demo.
NE Atlantic : OPA/EOMF, 1/32o with tides, assimilation, daily, nested in "global".
Mersea Integrated System V.3 March 2008 All models include ecosystems and delivered, fully nested ; ready
for production Arctic : Final system running operationally at met.no. Baltic : Data assimilation fully operational. Mediterranean: full operational implementation of nesting NE Atlantic : ecosystem model included.