中国家庭能源消费研究报告(2015 - nads.ruc.edu.cnnads.ruc.edu.cn/upfile/file/20160524085312_906914_35342.pdf · 燃料结构,还要改进现有的能源平衡表核算方式,将非商品化能源纳入其中以全

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  • 8 2016 5

    2015

  • 59 A 8

    010-62515049

    http://NADS.ruc.edu.cn

    Email: [email protected]@ruc.edu.cn

    http://nads.ruc.edu.cn/

  • 2012

    2014

    2014 12 65

    3404 2013

    2013 1.12

    384 (

    ) 61%

    ( 44%) 2013

    1324

    1490

    1188.5 1719.8 1280 959.2

    10.7%

    48.4%

  • 20-80

    28

    : 2012 4.39% 8.17%

    6.32%

    2012 2013

  • 2015

  • 1 .............................................................................. 1

    ............................................................................................ 1

    ............................................................................................ 8

    ............................................................................................ 9

    2 ................................................................ 11

    .............................................................................. 11

    .......................................................................................... 14

    .......................................................................................... 22

    .............................................................................. 33

    ...................................................................................... 42

    .......................................................................................... 52

    ...................................................................... 60

    3 ........................................................................ 69

    .............................................................................. 69

    .................................................................. 70

    .............................................................. 70

    .......................................... 77

    ...................................................... 83

    4 ............................................................ 85

    .................................................... 85

    .......................................................... 94

    ........................................................ 104

    ............................................................ 109

    ............................................................................................................ 117

  • 1

    1

    1.

    1978 30

    1-1

    1978 5.74 2011 3.9

    1978

    8 2011 36 1978 113

    2011 8642

    1-1 1978-2011

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

  • 2

    1-2

    1985 10 2006 152

    1985-2011 1.9

    62 0.06 61

    90 2011

    1985 0.8 2011 115

    1-2 1978-2011

    1-3 1985-2011

    55.27 2011

    167.27 4.2% 1985

    43.5%

    2011 40.4%

  • 3

    1-3 1985-2011

    1985 68

    2011 254

    1-4 1985-2011

    2.

    1-5

    1985

    1993

  • 4

    2011 1993 38 22%

    1985-2011 24

    13% 90

    2000 2011 1985

    9.4 8.9%

    1996-2004 2011

    1985 8% 0.3%

    1-5 1985-2011 1985 =1

    1-6 1990-2011

    1990-2007

    1.1% -2.0% 1998 2011

    9.2 18.6%

  • 5

    1-6 1990-2011 1990=1

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

    3.

    1979 87% 62.6%

    1998 2002

    1-7 2001

    98.56% 98.53% 98.4%

  • 6

    1-7 1979-2001

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

    1-1 2005-2011

    26726 45151 69%

    2005 10992MW 2011 62123MW

    5.6 33% 2005

    0.41MW 2011

    1.38MW 5 31%

    2005 1.3GWh 2011 3.89GWh

    20%

    2005

    8% 2010 2011

    24.6%

    1-1 2005-2011

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    26726 27493 27664 44433 44804 44815 45151

    (MW) 10992 12430 13666 51274 55121 59240 62123

    (MW) 0.41 0.45 0.49 1.15 1.23 1.32 1.38

    (GWh) 34839.97 39724.56 40234.58 162759.02 156724.71 204442.58 175668.67

    (GWh) 1.30 1.44 1.45 3.66 3.50 4.56 3.89

    (GWh) 437570 489580 550990 571320 610440 663230 713960

    (%) 7.96 8.11 7.30 28.49 25.67 30.83 24.60

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

    1-2 1992-2006

  • 7

    1992 450

    2006 2180 1997 311m3

    2006 386.7m3

    17.78 m3

    84.1 m3

    18.8%

    1992 30

    m3

    2006 150 m3

    1-2

    1992 1997 1998 2006

    (6-10m3)

    4.5 6.38 6.89 21.8

    5.72 6.02

    m3/

    311 330 386.7

    m3

    1778 1985 8410

    m

    3 300

    1500

    3090

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

    4.

    2005 1 761

    29242 714.18 2012

    256 3817 93.6 387

    1-3

    2005 1 761 29242 16889 11592 714.18

    2007 1694 25

    2008 37 23.28

    2007 71313

    2007 374 20548

    2007 573 28738

    2007 10346

    2007 123 5406

    2007 1983 36.99

    2007 824 28830

    2012 256 3817 93.6

    LBL China Energy Databook V8.0

    2009

  • 8

    2012

    2013

    Chinese Residential Energy Consumption Survey, CRECS 2013

    12 69 3404

    1 2

    3 4

    5 6

    2013 1117.2kgce 384

    kgce 61%

    15% 11 % 7% 3% 2%

    1% 44% 44% 5.9%

    5.7% 0.3%

    2013 1311.8kgce/

    958.3kgce/ 1.37

    1.32 843.3kgce

    1022.1kgce 1467.4kgce

    1.74 1.96

    44%

    2013

    1324

    1490 1188.5 1719.8 1280

    959.2

  • 9

    2013

    1495.1

    48.4% 10.7%

    29.5%

    2013 63.1%

    20-80

    28

  • 10

    : 2012 4.39% 8.17%

    6.32%

    2012 2013

  • 11

    2

    1.

    2014 6-9 2013

    2010

    2872

    5% 26011

    1 2601

    2 162

    3 PPS

    162

    4 162

    5 162 65

    162 162 10530

    PPS 162

    65/N N

    CRECS 2013

    1 Chinese

    General Social Survey,CGSS

  • 12

    1.5-2

    1-1.5

    12

    62 69 4140

    2-1

    2.

    CRECS 2013

  • 13

    1

    1

    1

    5

    1 60-65

    12

    2014 7-8

    3.

  • 14

    2

    10%

    3600 3404

    3404

    1.

    1 4

    3281 2-2

    4 4 775

    23.6% 5 3 703 583

    21.4% 17.7% 2 6 13% 1 7

    8 5%

    2 2013 2200 1200 300

  • 15

    2-2

    2 2

    3274 2-3 2

    1231 37.6% 3 4

    20.6% 16% 1 6

    10%

    2-3

    3 2

    2-4

    2 1163 35.7% 3 4

    20.9% 19.7% 1

  • 16

    14.6% 5 6 7

    5%

    2-4

    2-5

    2 3 4

    2 3

    4 76.3% 74.2% 2

    2-5

  • 17

    2.

    1

    12079 2-6

    26.8% 23.4%

    28.4%

    10%

    1%

    2-6

    2

    11992 6424 53.6%

    5568 46.4%

    51%~52%

    3 60

    2-7

    60 1950

    50 60

    60 80

    80

    90

  • 18

    2-7

    4 2013

    2013 11967 2-8 2013

    44.8%

    19.6% 18% 18.0%

    2-8

  • 19

    5

    2-9 7772 4077 52.5%

    22.6% 6%

    3% 1%

    2-9

    6

    7430 4299

    57.9% 12.5%

    8.9%

    5%

    2-10

  • 20

    2-10

    7

    7289

    2-11

    1802 1271 24.7% 17.4%

    2%

    2-11

  • 21

    8

    11782

    93.6% 276

    2.3% 1%

    9

    2-12

    37.6% 32%

    14.7% 11.1%

    2.6% 1.7%

    2-12

    10 9

    2-13 6 9

    9 9

    27% 6 20.1% 0 15%

    12 16

  • 22

    2-13

    11 2013

    2-14 11309 77% 12

    1 2

    5%

    5%

    2-14 2013

  • 23

    1.

    1

    2-1 3299

    3166 95% /

    75 2.27% / 20

    0.61% / 19 0.58%

    / 17 0.52% 2

    0.06%

    2-1

    %

    3166 95.97

    / 75 2.27

    / 20 0.61

    / 19 0.58

    / 17 0.52

    2 0.06

    3299 100

    2-2

    3297 3137

    95.15%

    81 2.46%

    1%

    2-2

    %

    3137 95.15

    81 2.46

    30 0.91

    26 0.79

    12 0.36

    5 0.15

    2 0.06

    4 0.12

    3297 100

  • 24

    2

    2-15

    2-15

    2107 1

    64.1% 2 1

    3 1

    2-16

    2-16

    90-120]

  • 25

    3

    2000-2009 1098

    1949 21 2000

    1482

    2000-2009

    7

    2-17

    4

    2-3

    %

    3161 96.61

    32 0.98

    21 0.64

    17 0.52

    13 0.4

    7 0.21

    21 0.64

    3272 100

    2-3

    96.61%

  • 26

    7

    0.21%

    3199

    97.68%

    2-4

    2-4

    3075 60 3135

    32 0 32

    18 3 21

    13 3 16

    7 3 10

    5 0 5

    14 6 20

    3164 75 3239

    2.

    1

    2-18

    2-18

  • 27

    11.92%

    5%-8%

    5.01% 0.12%

    2

    2-19

    3307 1450

    34.96% 43.85%

    12.67% 7.35%

  • 28

    3

    2-20

    2-20

    80%

    0.5%

    4

    2-21 /

  • 29

    2-22

    2-23

    2-21 2-23

    3397 2714

    80% 20%

    288 140

    253

    97.51%

    1.84% 0.54%

    2000-2009

  • 30

    2010

    2005-2009

    3.

    1

    2-24

    2-24

    8

    4

    5

    GB50180-93

    2

    1

  • 31

    2

    2-25

    2-26

    3396 88.87%

    2-25 2-26 80%

    2000 2005-2009

    33.66%

    98%

  • 32

    2-27 96.15%

    2.88% 2-28 60.58%

    2005-2013

    2-27

    2-28

    98.77% 2-29

    96.61%

    1.69%

    2000 2010-2013

    2-30

  • 33

    2-29

    2-30

    1.

    3404 4317 1.3

    48.8% /

    22.3%

  • 34

    2-31

    2-32 2655

    77.9%

    15.1% 4.3% 3404 239

    0.07

    2-32

    2-33

    2000-2013 2005-2009 1990

  • 35

    2-33

    6721 93.9% 3.3%

    2-34

    2-35

    2974 300W

    700W 1000W 19.8%

  • 36

    20.2% 500W 700W 1500W

    18% 16.1% 1146.3W

    380W

    2-35

    2-36 2-36 41.2%

    3 30.6% 2 43% 15-30

    29.5% 30-45 2

    36.4

    2-36 2-37

    39.4%

    2 48.1% 15-30

    19.9% 2 32.9% 15-30

    20.4% 1-3 65.8%

  • 37

    15 36.2%

    1 15-30

    2-38 2-39

    2-40

    4166 / 44%

    20.9% 20.1%

    2805 90.2% 94.4%

    2-40