Upload
nilishaggarwal
View
220
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
1/38
MILAN SINGLA
MOHIT MALHOTRA
MOON KHURANA
NILISH AGGARWAL
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
2/38
Lok Sabha Constituencies
S t a t e s C o n s t i t u e n c i e s
U t t a r P r a d e s h 8 0
M a h a r a s h t r a 4 8
A n d h r a P r a d e s h 4 2
We s t B e n g a l 4 2
B i h a r 4 0
Ta m i l N a d u 3 9
M a d h y a P r a d e s h 2 9
K a r n a t a k a 2 8
G u j a r a t 2 6
R a j a s t h a n
2 5
O r i s s a 2 1
Lok Sabha holds 552 seats & been distributed
through India as per the Population/Region
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
3/38
K e r a l a 2 0
A s s a m 1 4
J h a r k h a n d 1 4
P u n j a b 1 3
C h h a t t i s g a r h 1 1
H a r y a n a 1 0
J a m m u a n d K a s h m i r 6
U t t a r a k h a n d 5
H i m a c h a l P r a d e s h 4
A r u n a c h a l P r a d e s h 2
G o a 2
M a n i p u r 2
M e g h a l a y a 2
T r i p u r a 2
M i z o r a m 1
N a g a l a n d 1
S i k k i m 1
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
4/38
U n i o n Te r r i t o r i e s C o n s t i t u e n c i e s
D e l h i 7
A n d a m a n a n d N i c o b a r I s l a n d s 1
C h a n d i g a r h 1
D a d r a a n d N a g a r H a v e l i 1
D a m a n a n d D i u 1
L a k s h a d w e e p 1
P o n d i c h e r r y 1
To t a l 5 4 3
Contd
2 seats are been appointed by the President of India(Anglo-Indians)
7 seats are been reserved for Pakistan Occupied Kashmir
(POK)
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
5/38
Eligibility
He/She should be citizen of India.
Minimum age for contesting in election is 25
years
Candidate should be registered as voter
Candidate should not be a Criminal
background. i.e. he/she should not jailed formore than 2 years imprisonment
Still now, there is no limit on the number of
candidates for contesting from a constituency
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
6/38
Regarding Security deposit (not fees)
To contest for MP election, candidates has todeposit Rs. 10000/- as security deposit, butthere is a concession for a SC/ST candidate
contesting in MP election, he/she has todeposit Rs.5000 as security amount.
For those contesting in assembly elections,he/she has to make Rs. 5000 as securitydeposit, while for SC/ST candidates, it is Rs.2500 only.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
7/38
Election Commission of India
Article 324 of the Constitution of India bestows therelevant powers, duties and functions upon the Election
Commission of India
Section 14 of the Representation of the People Act, 1951provides for conduct of the elections.
Election is a mechanism in which people choose theircandidate involving political mobilization and organizational
complexity.
Election on 543 seats are to be taken care by the ECI.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
8/38
Composition of ECI
Formed: 25thJanuary 1950Agency executives:
Chief Election Commissioner : V.S. Sampath
Election Commissioner: Harishankar Brahma
Sayed Nasim Ahmed
Appointed by the President of India
ECI conducts whole of the elections in the country
ECI provides securities in all the election process.ECI setup all the EVMs & manual booth through
out the country.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
9/38
Tenure of ECI
The chief election commissioner and the 2 election commissioner
are having tenure of
1) 6 years.
2) 65 years age
Whichever is earlier.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
10/38
Key Findings this December
2.6 Crore total active reach of social media buzz in
December 2013
BJP wins big on social media; AAP catching up.
With the victory in Delhi elections, Arvind Kejriwalmade it to the No. 1 position among the politicians
Narendra Modibeaten by Kejriwal in December.Modi slipped to the No. 2 position.
Arvind Kejriwal & AAP are clearly the gainer of buzz
after the Delhi election poll results were declared
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
11/38
Parties
TOP POLITICAL PARTIES
APRIL MAY2014
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
12/38
BHARATIYA
JANATA PARTY
TOP POLITICAL PARTIES
39
6 Bahujan SamajParty
46
5 CPI (M)
48
4 NCP
63
3Indian National
Congress
71
2 Aam Aadmi Party
79
1 Bharatiya JanataParty
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
13/38
United Progressive Alliance (UPA)
COMPOSITION: formed 2004
Indian National Congress
Nationalist Congress Party(Mh.)
Rastriya Lok Dal National Conferrence(J&K), etc
Indian National Congress founded in 1885 by
A.O Hume Holds maximum seats with Mrs. Sonia Gandhi
as Party President.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
14/38
UPAs Election Manifesto
Reservation of jobs in private sectors for tribal.
Selective privatisation of state-owned companies.
Providing employment to every rural household
at a minimum wage for a 100 days every yr.
Increase in allocation on education to 6% of the
GNP.
Revival of Public Distribution System
Revival of the sick Public Sector Industries.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
15/38
NDA: National Democratic Alliance
Composition
Bharitya Janta Party( BJP)
SAD
Shiv Sena Gorkha Janmukti Morcha, Etc.
BJP formed in 1989 by the split of Janta Party,
& registered by Jan Singh Current Party presidentRAJNATH SINGH
PM candidateNARENDRA MODI
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
16/38
Election Manifesto
Creating about million jobs a yr.
To favour equal opportunities and privileges to
all minority sections of the society.
To deal with the cases of communal violence
speedily.
Establish National Security Council for
strengthening the defence of the country.
Review of the Nuclear Weapons Policy.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
17/38
AAM ADMI PARTY ( AAP )
Also known as COMMON MAN PARTY.
Formed on 26thnov,2012
It came into existence with difference inopinion between ANNA HAZARE & ARVIND
KEJRIWAL regarding formation of political
party or not.
Main leaders of AAP- Arvind Kejriwal , Manish
Sasodia, Prashant Bhushan
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
18/38
Election Manifesto
Reduce corruption in throughout india .
Raise all the sections of society .
Raise the power of COMMON MAN. Introduce JANLOKPAL BILL
Curb Black Money.
Bring all the money from swiss bank back intoindia.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
19/38
BJPLEADSWITHAWIDE MARGIN CONSISTENTLY
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
01-12-2013
-20
06-12-2013 11-12-2013 16-12-2013 21-12-2013 26-12-2013 31-12-2013
Indian NationalCongress
Bharatiya Janata Party Aam Aadmi Party Communist Party of India(Marxist)
Daily mentions of the top 4 most mentioned political parties in December,2013
THOUSANDS
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
20/38
TOPTWEETSON BJP
1 3
2 4
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
21/38
TOPTWEETSONAAP
1
2 4
3
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
22/38
TOPTWEETS ON CONGRESS
31
42
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
23/38
Parties by favorabilityscore
Most loved Leastloved
793
1. BHARATATIYAJANATA PARTY
1. JANATA DAL(UNITED)
8
2. COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA(MARXIST)
792. AAM AADMI PARTY
123. NATIONALIST CONGRESSPARTY
303. BIJUJANATA DAL
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
24/38
TOP 10
POLITICIANS
APRILMAY 2014
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
25/38
ARVIND
KEJRIWA
MANMOH
ANSINGHARUN
JAITLEY
HARSH
VARDHAN
TOP 10 POLITICIANS
Arvind
Kejriwal
Narendra
Modi
Rahul
Gandhi
Manmohan
Singh
Sonia
Gandhi
L
8
SheilaDikshit
6
54321
7 ShashiTharoor
8 HarshVardhan
9 RajnathSingh
10 SubramanianSwami
5 FOLD INCREASE ON ARVIND KEJRIWAL POST DELHI
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
26/38
5 FOLD INCREASE ON ARVIND KEJRIWAL POST DELHI
ELECTION RESULTS
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
01-12-2013 06-12-2013 11-12-2013 16-12-2013 21-12-2013 26-12-2013 31-12-20Narendra Modi Arvind
KejriwalRahulGandhi
Sonia Gandhi
Daily mentions of the top 4 most mentioned politicians in December, 2013
THOUSANDS
Average mentions per
day on Arvind Kejriwal
Before the Delhi elections poll result 4,933
After the Delhi elections poll result 31,258
- Arvind Kejriwal has certainly become the rockstar on
social media
ARVIND KEJRIWAL IS CLEARLY THE TOP GAINER AFTER
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
27/38
ARVIND KEJRIWAL IS CLEARLY THE TOP GAINER AFTERTHE DELHI ELECTION POLL RESULT
31258 Average Mentions per day Before DelhiElections poll result
ArvindKejriwal
Narendra Modi Rahul Sonia Gandhi
Delhi Poll result impact analysis: Comparison of number of mentions of a politicianbefore and after the declaration of poll result on Dec 8, 2013.
Mentions on Dec 8 onwards is considered as post poll mentions.
Totalmen
tions
4,933
Average Mentions per day After Delhi
Elections poll result
17,19517,327
70,58
21,60 3,177 2,324
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
28/38
TOPTWEETSON MODI
31
42
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
29/38
TOP TWEETSON ARVIND KEJRIWAL
21
3
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
30/38
TOP TWEETSON RAHULGANDHI
31
2 4
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
31/38
SECURITY ARRANGEMENTS
At Storage place of polled EVMs- TWO tier security arrangements
round the clock at the strong rooms having polled EVMs.
-Innermost perimeter by CPF and outer perimeter by State Armed
Police(SAP).
-The candidates representatives to be allowed to stay outside
-Round the clock control room in a adjacent room with a Gazettedofficer.
- A log book shall be maintained.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
32/38
Contd
- The CPF contingent shall be given a camera to recordsuch visits.
- All entry points of strong room should be under
constant videography using web cam and laptops.
- Round the clock uninterrupted power supply,adequate fire extinguishers etc to be arranged for.
- No vehicle, official or private shall be allowed insidethe secured campus
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
33/38
Persons Can Access Counting Room
Counting supervisors and assistants
Persons authorized by ECI
Public servants on duty in connection with election
Candidates, their election agents and counting agents
Every body inside the counting hall shall have to display his I-card on his/herperson.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
34/38
Persons Are NOT Allowed In Counting
Room
Police personnel, whether in uniform or plain clothed, NOT allowed. Mustremain outside and can enter only when called by RO to come to control
Ministers, State Ministers, Dy. Ministers of Union & state unless theyare candidates
The above cannot be appointed as election or counting or pollingagent of candidate as they require security
Counting agents cannot enter unless s/he has submitted 2ndcopy ofappointment letter after completing and signing declaration
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
35/38
Can social mediaTurn the tables in
Indian Elections 2014?
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
36/38
24% OF ACTUALVOTERSAREON SOCIAL MEDIA
istics.Com
Standard.com
times.com
mes.com
Steps Methodology Calculation Statistics Source
Step 1:Calculationof
People
actual
Voting
Total population of India1,27,00,00,000
WorldPopulationStat
Voting Population 60%76,20,00,000
Business-
Voting Population with card and
availability 70%* 53,34,00,000Assumption
People actual voting 70%*37,33,80,000
Assumption
Step 2:Calculation of
Percentage
of social
media users
in online
population
Total Online Population12,30,00,000
Economictimes.India
% of Total populationTotal Online Population/Total
population of India 10% Calculation
Social media users in India9,10,00,000
TimesofIndia.Indiati
% of social media users in online
population
No.of social media users/total
Online Population 74% Calculation
Step3:
Calculation of
% of actual
voters on
Social
Media
% Social Media Users w.r.t voting
Population
Social media users in
India/Voting Population 12% Calculation
% of actual voters on SocialMedia
Social media users in
India/People actuallyvoting
24% Calculation
http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/social-media/India-may-have-91-million-social-media-users-by-year-end-Report/articleshow/23906601.cmshttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-11-09/news/43855616_1_active-users-twitter-account-social-media-usagehttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.business-standard.com/article/politics/half-of-voting-population-now-composed-of-youth-census-data-113091000145_1.htmlhttp://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/http://www.worldpopulationstatistics.com/8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
37/38
Assumptions/ Surveys
47%
10%
37%
6%
Survey Results as on
13th January, 2014
NDA
UPA
AAP
Any
Other
58%
10%
28%
4%
Survey Results as on
20th January, 2014
NDA
UPA
AAP
Any Other
The survey determined how the preferences changes just in a week.
8/12/2019 Elections 2014 Final
38/38