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Electric Power Update for Mindanao by NGCP February 2012
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MINDANAO GRIDPOWER SITUATION UPDATEAs of February 20, 2012
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
LAKE ELEVATION
STATUS OF POWER PLANTS
DEMAND & SUPPLY ASSUMPTIONS
POWER PLANTS’ MAINT. SCHEDULE
2012 LOAD CURVE & RESERVE PROFILES
FEB 2012 LOAD TO MAINTAIN MATRIX
2011-2014 POWER PROJECTS
Actual Lake Lanao ElevationAs of February 20, 2012
700
700.2
700.4
700.6
700.8
701
701.2
701.4
M E T E R S
January-March 2011 Lake Elev.700.74m As of 6am Feb 20, 2012
Actual Lake Lanao ElevationAs of February 20, 2012
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC697
697.5
698
698.5
699
699.5
700
700.5
701
701.5
702
699.15m Critical Operating Level
698.15m Agus Plants will Shutdown
2011 Rule Curve
2011 Lake Elevation
2010 Lake Elevation
700.73as of Feb 20, 2012
M E T E R S
Status of Hydro Power Plants As of February 20, 2012
HYDRO PLANTS
INSTALLED CAPACITY, MW
PEAKING CAPABILITY, MW
AGUS 1 80 45
AGUS 2 180 90
AGUS 4 158 127
AGUS 5 55 48
AGUS 6 200 130
AGUS 7 54 27
PULANGI 4 255 168
T O T A L 982 635
Agus 7 unit 2 (27mw) on forced outage since October 28, 2010 Agus 6 unit 2 (25mw) on forced outage since January 15, 2011
Status of Thermal Power PlantsAs of February 20, 2012
THERMAL PLANTS INSTALLED CAPACITY, MW
PEAKING CAPABILITY, MW
MT. APO GEO. 108 97
STEAG STATE POWER 210 200
WMPC 110 80
SPPC 55 50
POWER BARGE 104 32 10
TMI - MOBILE 1 100 *75
TMI - MOBILE 2 100 **48
T O T A L 715 560
PB104 unit 3 - on forced outage since March 2011; PB 104 unit 4 - on PMS February 06-27, 2012WMPC unit 7&8 - on PMS February 13-25, 2012;*75mw - Aggregate Demand delivered by Mobile 1 to customers with BPS contract **48mw - NGCP contracted ASPA with Mobile 2 (until February 28, 2012 only)
Mindanao Grid TotalAs of February 20, 2012
PLANT TYPE INSTALLED CAPACITY, MW
PEAKING CAPABILITY, MW
HYDRO 982 635
COAL 210 200
GEOTHERMAL 108 97
DIESEL 397 263
T O T A L 1,697 1,195
NPC Contracted Demandversus NPC Capacity NominationAs of February 20, 2012
Philippine Milling Corporation (PILMICO) Agusan del Norte Electric Cooperative (ANECO) Agusan del Sur Electric Cooperative (ASELCO) Surigao del Norte Electric Cooperative (SURNECO) Agusan del Sur Electric Cooperative I (SURSECO I) Agusan del Sur Electric Cooperative II (SURSECO II) Davao Light and Power Company (DLPC) Davao del Norte Electric Cooperative (DANECO) Davao Oriental Electric Cooperative (DORECO) Davao del Sur Electric Cooperative (DASURECO) Philippine Sinter Corporation (PSC) South Cotabato Electric Cooperative II (SOCOTECO II)
Contracted Capacity of TMI Customers with ERC PA Approval
2012 TYPICAL LOAD CURVE
TYPICAL DAILY LOAD CURVE
Mindanao Grid2012 Reserve Profiles
Assumptions CY2012 Demand Forecast as per DOE -> 1,347mw System Capability excludes 200mw TMI Power Barges effective
March 2012 IDPP assumed to operate as follows:
• Jul-25mw Aug-35mw• Sep-35mw Oct-50mw • Nov-80mw Dec-100mw
Transfer of 2 power barges from Visayas in Oct. 2012 & Nov. 2012 (firm capability10mw/barge)
Agus 6 unit 2 (25mw) & Agus 7 unit 2 (27mw) on forced outage. Est. time of commencement (ETC) March 2012 for Agus 6 Unit 2 and May 2012 for Agus 7 unit 2.
Hydro Plants' capability based on NPC-Mingen nomination 2012 GOP considered : Pulangi 4 HEP (255mw) total plant
shutdown April 09 – May 09, 2012
2012 Grid Operating Schedule
2012 Maintenance Schedule
1st Quarter 2012 Reserve Profile, MWJanuary-March
2nd Quarter 2012 Reserve Profile, MWApril-June
Pulangi 4 HEP Plant Shutdown April 2012
Agus 4 , Agus 5 & Agus 6 one uniteach on scheduled PMS June 2012
Holy Week
3rd Quarter 2012 Reserve Profile, MWJuly-September
Agus 1 , 5, 6 PMS one unit each Plant & Mt Apo 1 on scheduled PMS June 2012
STEAG unit 1 on scheduled PMS Aug 5-6
4th Quarter 2012 Reserve Profile, MWOctober-December
STEAG unit 1 on scheduled PMS October 06-31
STEAG total plant shutdown
Oct 29-Nov 04
Mindanao Grid 2012 Reserve Profile, MW
REQ. DISPATCHABLE RESERVE
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
(350)
(250)
(150)
(50)
50
150
250
(40)
(129)
(170)
(345)
(165)
(251)
(139) (147)(131)
(285)
(152)
(81)
REQ. CONTINGENCY RESERVE
REQ. REGULATING RESERVE