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Electric vehicles and battery technology a game changer Sohail Hasnie Principal Energy Specialist Southeast Asia Department Asian Development Bank

Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

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Presentations from the International Workshop on Energy Storage Technologies and Applications, April 2013, ADB Headquarters, Manila

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Page 1: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Electric vehicles and

battery technology –

a game changer

Sohail Hasnie Principal Energy Specialist Southeast Asia Department Asian Development Bank

Page 2: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Outline

• Paradigm Shift

• E-trike Pilot

• Scale up in the Philippines

• Scale up in the ASEAN region

Page 3: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

We cannot solve our

problems

(Climate Change)

with the

same thinking

we used when

we created them.

Paradigm Shift!

Page 4: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Electric Car

Source: David Beeton

Page 5: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Paradigm Shift: Electric cars are not so slow!

Source: http://www.teslamotors.com/

Page 6: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie
Page 7: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Where?

Page 8: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/electric_vehicles/pdfs/eveverywhere_blueprint.pdf

Page 9: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Cost of batteries

Source: http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/the_cost_of_portable_power

Page 10: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

How much for Lithium Ion battery:

$/kWh? $500/kWh or $1000 / kWh

Tesla: 40 kWh $20,000 ----- $40,000

Nissan Leaf: 24 kWh $12,000 ---- $24,000

Philippine e-Trike: 3 kWh $1,500 ---- $3,000

Page 11: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Paradigm Shift

Data storage (kbytes)

vs

Energy storage (kWhs)

Page 12: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Density changes: data storage

40 KB (1982)

1.4 MB (1988)

2012

30 years

6,400,000 times increase!!!

256,000,000 KB

Page 13: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Price changes: data storage!!

Source: http://www.kotzendes-einhorn.de/blog/2011-06/the-hard-disk-youve-been-waiting-for-na-endlich/ say $256!

20 years!!

$300 /MB

to 0.1 c/MB

Page 14: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Storage Technology

• Price say about $400- $600 / kWh

• 24 kWh weighs 300 kg

• 80 Wh per kg

• If it reduces to say

• $50 / kWh

• 1000 Wh per kg

• Where will be renewable energy?

Page 15: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Skepticism? Denial?

Source: IEA

Source: unknown

“ever” !!!

Page 16: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Source:

Page 17: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Source:

Page 18: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Source:

Page 19: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

• Question?

• How will your world will look like with

$50 / kWh

1000 Wh / kg

Page 20: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Car replacing remote distribution lines??

240 kWh can light up

1200, 20 Watt LEDs for 10 hours

One light every 50 meter …

60 km of public lighting!!!

Page 21: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Largest Battery Storage?

140 MW of wind and solar 1400 MW

36 MWh of storage 360 MWh

Goal: stable electricity supply using renewable energy

Source: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20111230005239/en/China%E2%80%99s-State-Grid-BYD-Launch-World%E2%80%99s-Largest

Page 22: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Hybrid Car Carrier: Emerald Ace

Source: http://www.marinelink.com/news/completed-carrier-hybrid345892.aspx

Completed June 2012 • equipped with a hybrid electric power supply system

• 160kW solar generation system

• 2.2 MWh Lithium-ion battery storage

• when the ship is in berth, the batteries provide all the electricity

Page 23: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Electric boats?

Source: wikitravel

Source: wikipedia-Passenger solar boat Solifleur, Switzerland 1995

Source: http://www.aquawatt.at/en/electric-yacht-717.php

Commercially available

Page 24: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

2 ferreis

900 ton ship

150 passengers

23 cars

six ton of Lithium Ion batteries

22 million pounds

Electric Ferries

Page 25: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Philippine E-Trike Project

•February 2013

Philippine E-Trike Project

Page 26: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Solution Space: Electric Vehicles

Range: 35-50 km Speed: 45 km/h NO Air-conditioners

Minimum Safety Standards

Price: $3,000 to 4,000 as

$4 per day 3-years Standard Warranty

24 kWh battery

160 km range

3 kWh battery

45 km range

Range: 350 km Speed: 200 km/h Air-conditioners Best Possible Safety Standards

Price: $35,000 3-years or 100,000 km Standard Warranty

Top of the Pyramid

Bottom of the Pyramid

Page 27: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Battery Choices Lead Acid

$800 Life: 200 charges

140 kg

slow-charge only

Lithium Ion

$1,500 Life: 2,000 charges

40 kg

slow and fast-charge

Pilot 1 (Dec 2010)

72% lighter

Page 28: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

The 20 Unit Pilot

(April 2011 – ongoing)

More than

600,000 km

Page 29: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

The 20 Unit Pilot

• Range test (continuous running)

A1: 72.53 km

A2: 90.33 km

B7: 41.89 km

B4: 62.21 km

A1: 72.53 km

A2: 90.33 km

B7: 41.89 km

B4: 62.21 km

Page 30: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Boracay

• 507 tricycles • Fare P75 to P100 per trip or P20 per passenger for an average of 10 passengers per trip. • Average fuel consumption: 6 liters per day • Pump price: P 64 per liter • Average P 700 net daily income daily • 40% drivers own tricycles: tricycle is shared by two to three drivers in a day. • Maximum of 9 passengers (3 front, 4 at the back, and 2 passengers behind the driver) • Luggage on the roof.

Proposed location for

charging stations

Page 31: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

The 20 Unit Pilot • Grade test in Antipolo

Page 32: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

The 20 Unit Pilot

Page 33: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Which one? side by side comparison (5-years of operation)

•Cost: $5,000 •Cost: $2,000

•Electricity: $3,000 •Gasoline: $7,000

Drivers save about $2,000over 5 years!!* * In addition e-trike may increase income by $9,000 over the 5-years

•Other maintenance: $2,000 •Other maintenance: $1,000

Total cost: $11,000 Total cost: $9,000

Page 34: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Source: David Beeton

Page 35: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Transformation through Energy Efficient

Electric Vehicle Systems – delivering an

end-to-end infrastructure solution

100,000 electric tricycles

Cost $500.0 million

Savings: $185 million per year

(500,000 liters/ day $500,000 / day)

Avoided CO2 emissions

• 400,000 tons per year

Electricity Demand

Demand: 6-60 MW peak

Energy: 300,000 MWh

Emissions: 160,000 tons

Page 36: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie
Page 37: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Design Contest Awards

Page 38: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

E-trike Design

• “Sushi Concept”

Page 39: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

2. Dimensions

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Page 40: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

3. Space of Driver and Passenger Area

1260mm

Communicative interior

space

150mm 282mm

375mm

1055mm

1050mm 1560mm

1320mm

1420mm 1430mm

Getting on and off easily by low floor and step

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Page 41: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

4. Materials of Picture Model

Front Roof Panel

GFRP

Windshield

Acrylic resin

Under Body Panel

Wood Panel

Rear Fender

GFRP

Canvas Top

Tarpaulin

Face Cowl

GFRP

Handle Bar

Moto bike handle bar

Front Fender

GFRP

Body Side Panel

GFRP

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Seat Leather

Synthetic leather

Rear Box

GFRP

Front Dash Cover

Wood panel

Floor

Wood panel

Page 42: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

5. Rear Gate Utility

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Extra Storage

Box

Rope

Tools Box

Emergency Kit

First-aid Kit

Capacity : 32L

H : 430mm

W : 470mm

D : 160mm

90

°

Page 43: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

6. Instrument Display Panel

Turn Signals

Battery Warning

Parking Brake

Menu Button

Turn Signals

Emergency

Indicator

High Beam Light

Odometer & Trip Meter Battery

Gauge

Speed Meter Position Display

D – N – R - P

Menu Button

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Page 44: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Communicative & Open air feeling

7. Scene Images

♪ ♪

Inside ⇔ Outside

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Page 45: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie
Page 46: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

1-3. Confirmation Points

• 1. Basic dimensions

• 2. Driver's seating position and passengers’ cabin layout

• 3. Getting “IN & OUT” accessibility

Copyright 2012 Ichiro Hatayama

Page 47: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Over 3.5M gas-fed Tricycles/Motorcycles

nationwide

20 E-Trike units Pilot Project in Mandaluyong

100,000 E-Trikes

Planned Transformation 2012-2016

Page 48: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Project Scale-Up

CO2 emissions

Replacing one gasoline trike with an e-trike will

save:

3.8 tons of CO2 per year

if electricity is from solar or wind or hydro sources

2.6 tons of CO2 per year

if electricity comes from the Philippine Grid

1.8 tons of CO2 per year

if electricity comes from 100% coal

Source: Asian Development Bank

Page 49: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Communications

• Website

• www.adb.org/etrike

• Facebook

• www.facebook.com/etrikephl

• Twitter

• www.twitter.com/etrikePHL

For more information on the project you may visit below

websites;

Page 50: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

“Like” Us

Page 51: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Bidding process underway

Page 52: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Solar powered

e-Trikes!!

Page 53: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Next?

Page 54: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Project implemented over three stages (scale up – e-trike approach)

• Grant Financed Pilot

• (same as the Mandaluyong Pilot for 20 e-trikes)

• Tranche 1

• (same as phase 1: 20,000 e-trikes)

• Tranche 2

• (same as phase 2: 80,000 e-trikes)

Page 56: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Assumptions

Assumptions

Prices

Passenger car (lease) 5000 per year per car

Tricycles (own with 5-year warranty) 5000 e-trikes

Motorcycles (purchase with 5-year warranty) 3000 e-motorcycles

Page 57: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

Allocation by Country (number and type of vehicles)

Allocated Quantitities (number of vehicles)Pilot (grant) Type of vehicle Tranche 1 (loan) Tranche 2 (loan)

Philippines 50 Passenger car 10,000 25,000

Malaysia 50 Passenger car 5,000 10,000

Cambodia 100 e-trikes 10,000 20,000

Lao, PDR 100 e-trikes 5,000 10,000

Myanmar 100 e-trikes 5,000 10,000

Indonesia 500 e-motorcycles 100,000 200,000

Vietnam 500 e-motorcycles 100,000 200,000

Page 58: Electric vehicles and battery technology – a game changer - Sohail Hasnie

We cannot solve our

problems

(Climate Change)

with the

same thinking

we used when

we created them.

Paradigm Shift!