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ElektroNED 2017 Roland Steinmetz - EVConsult Roland Ferwerda - NKL 7 november 2017

ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

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Page 1: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

ElektroNED

2017Roland Steinmetz - EVConsult

Roland Ferwerda - NKL

7 november 2017

Page 2: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Presentatie ElektroNED

• NKL en EVConsult

• Ontwikkelingen elektrisch vervoer

• EV in Nederland

• Laden elektrische auto’s

• Laden in gebouwde omgeving

Page 3: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

NKL – Kernthema’s

Nationaal Kennisplatform Laadinfrastructuur

Kosten-

besparing

InternationaalWetenschap

& innovatie

Kennis-

ontwikkeling &

- overdracht

Page 4: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Projecten NKL per programma

Ketenoptimalisatie• Benchmark Kosten 2017

• Beheer Basisset

• Kennisloket ism CROW

• Simulatiemodel ABCD

• ARCHI symposium 2017

• Model Beleidsregels

• Ketenoptimalisatie

• Kennisloket CROW

• Marktordening

• ARCHI symposium 2016

• Strategische kaart

• Optimaliseren

aansluitservice

• Analyse doorlooptijden

• Benchmark Kosten 2016

Protocollen en

standaarden • Cybersecurity

• OCPI V2.2

• OCPI Beheer

• CPI EME Call

• Basisset Afspraken

• OCPI Bugfix

Smart Charging • Platform Anders Laden

• Kencijfers Laadinfrastructuur

• Data-analyse

• Variabele netaansluiting

Gebiedsgerichte

Kennisontwikkeling • Aanvraagportaal laadpunten

• Kennistour

• 1 Arbeidsgang

• Pilots bestuurders provincies

en gemeenten

11 sep 2017

Page 5: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k
Page 6: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k
Page 7: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k
Page 8: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k
Page 9: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k
Page 10: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Ontwikkelingen Elektrisch vervoerelektroNEDRoland Steinmetz

November, 2017

Page 11: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

EVConsultMade in Holland

Page 12: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Targets for road transport CO2 reductionNot only passenger vehicles

ICCT, 2014 and SLoCaT Partnership 2050

Page 13: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Low Emission zonesIncreasing City access restrictions

http://urbanaccessregulations.eu/userhome/map

Page 14: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Global EV stock growth (EVI)Norway first, Netherlands second

• 80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %)

• In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k in NL (3%)

Position Dutch EV market was a great head start for EV related companies, not enough for sustainable position in exponential growth

IEA Global EV Outlook 2017

Page 15: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Global passenger EV sales forecastWhat about LEV, LCV and Truck?

Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2017

Elektrisch

Page 16: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

De toekomst van EVPrijs van batterijen daalt

Source: Nykvist, B., & Nilsson, M. (2015). Rapidly falling costs of battery packs for electric vehicles, Nature Climate Change, 2564

Page 17: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Voorbeelden schone voertuigen

Type voertuigen

Hybridvehicles

Plug-in/range extended Full electric Hydrogen

0 - 2 km 20 – 80 km 150 – 500 km 300 km

Page 18: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

EV Value chainFocus areas defined

HD Commercial

Light Electric

Infrastructure and energy services

Verdienpotentieel EV, 2015

Production and materials

Components, battery, drive train

Fabrication and retrofitting

Sales Maintenance Second life Recycling

Testing and licensing Mobility services

Financing services

Policy Development and Implementation

Education

Research and Consultancy

Smart grids & Metering

Production chargingInstallation charging infrastructure

Energy production Energy Distribution

Energy for E-vehicles

Charging services

Page 19: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Economic growth in EV3,200 FTE in 2014

Electromobility’s contribution to the economy is growing

In 2014, electric driving added an estimated 3,200 jobs (FTE), €820 million in production, and €260 million in added value to the Dutch economy.

Source: CBS Statistics Netherlands

Verdienpotentieel EV, 2015

Page 20: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Aantal elektrische voertuigenEV in Nederland

Source RVO, 2015

Aantal EV:Sept 2017: 118.000 (14% FEV)

Doelen:2020: 200.0002025: 1.000.000

Page 21: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Soorten van laden en locatiesPublieke en semi-publieke laadstations

Page 22: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Soorten van laden en locatiesPublieke en semi-publieke laadstations

Semi-publiek

Snelladen

Privaat

Publiek

Page 23: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Vermogen en stekkersStandaard

Type of charging

Power Min/ 100km

Currenttype

Standard Costs charging infrastructure (indicative)

Normalcharging

3- 11 kW 2 - 5 h AC Household/ Type 2 € 50 - € 1,500

Semi-fast 11 - 22 kW 2 – 1 h AC Type 2, Type 2 € 1,500 - € 5,000

Fastcharging

> 50 kW 25 min AC/ DC Combo/ Chademo/ Tesla GBT

€ 10,000 - € 20,000

Ultra fastcharging

150 – 350kW

8 - 4 min DC Combo NNB

Type 2

CCS/ Combo

Chademo

Household

Type 1

Langzaam laden 1 standaard, snelladen 2 standaarden

Page 24: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Of combinatie met PV/ Storage

Source: ABB, edited by EVConsult

Every EV can charge AC

Investment costs for charger +- € 1.000 - € 4.000

Limited power, average 3,7 kW – 11 kW

Not every EV can charge DC

Investment costs for charger € 15.000 - € 30.000

Infrastructure investment shared among users

Large power rating, minimum 50 kW

26

Alternating current (AC) Direct current (DC)

AC of DC laden

Page 25: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Laden in gebouwde omgevingKans voor installatiebranche

Vanaf 2020 al een sterke groei in de behoefte aan thuis- en werklaadpunten wordt verwacht

Er is een belangrijke taak weggelegd voor faciliteren van laadinfrastructuur

Anticiperen op toekomst voorkomt dat hoge kosten moeten worden gemaakt voor het aanpassen van installaties en vergroten van de netaansluiting

Combinaties mogelijk met opwek en opslag van energie

Page 26: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

BouwprocesWie beslist over EV Readiness?

Page 27: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Laden extra vermogensvraagSmart charging

1 laadpunt met laadvermogen van 3,7kW kan op een standaard 3x25A aansluiting

Maar, 15 laadpunten van 11kW vraagt grootverbruik aansluiting met transformatorstation

Oplossingen:

managed charging (niet alle voertuigen tegelijk starten) reduceert aansluiting met bijv. 70%

Gebruik beschikbare vermogen gehele gebouw in plaats van alleen van laadpunten

Eventueel zelf V2G

Page 28: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

Bevindingen onderzoekLaadpunten gebouwde omgeving

E-rijder is niet beslisser over installatie laadpunt

Kostenverdeling niet evenredig, zeker niet bij eerste laadpunten

Kennisniveau over laadinfra is beperkt

Page 29: ElektroNED 2017...Global EV stock growth (EVI) Norway first, Netherlands second •80 million cars sold yearly, of which 0,4 mln in NL (0,5 %) •In 2016 750k EVs sold, of which 24k

EVConsult BV

Netherlands

Overtoom 60

1054 HK AMSTERDAM

NETHERLANDS

Roland Steinmetz

[email protected]

www.evconsult.nl

+31 652663032

Stichting NKL

Nederland

NKL Nederland

Vondellaan 162

3521 GH Utrecht

Roland Ferwerda

[email protected]

www.nklnederland.nl

Wilt u meer weten?Of informatie opvragen