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11/20/2017
1
Kwame Nkrumah University of
Science & Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
METE 451
Metallurgical Plant Design and
Operations
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Equipment Cost Estimations
1. Use to estimate capital cost
2. The cost of a standard item is being compared with an
item of similar function but of different design
3. An existing circuit is being expanded, so that additional
equipment must be purchased
4. A new plant is being designed and several alternative
circuits, which provide similar grades/recoveries, must
be compared
5. Existing equipment is worn out and must be replaced
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Equipment Costs Estimations
Cost of equipment depends on factors such as
• Basic item and its mass and/or volume
• The complexity of its design
• The materials of construction
• The choice of accessories and
• The nature and complexity of the drive train and motor.
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PRELIMINARY CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATION
Purpose of estimate
• Useful to engineers who are involved in selection and design.
• An immediate assessment of initial cash requirements is provided.
• A preliminary estimate may serve as the basis for a “go or no-go”
decision.
• The preliminary estimate serves as a way to assess processing
alternatives.
• Participation in feasibility studies, plant expansion, and
presentation of bids.
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PRELIMINARY CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATION
Total Capital Investment =
Fixed Capital (direct cost) + Working Capital (indirect cost)
Total production costs =
operating costs + general expenses
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PRELIMINARY CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATION
Direct Costs:
1. Purchased equipment: Columns, Heat Exchangers, pumps, etc.
2. Equipment Installation
3. Piping (includes insulation)
4. Instruments and Control
5. Electrical Equipment.
6. Buildings: Process, Administration, Maintenance shops, etc.
7. Site Preparation
8. Service Facilities: steam, water, air, fuel, etc. Waste treatment, fire control,
offices, etc.
9. Land
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PRELIMINARY CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATIONTypes of fixed capital cost estimates - AACE
1. Order-of-Magnitude estimate: Extrapolate similar plant cost
(Profitability analysis. Confidence limit: over 30%.
2. Study estimate: Knowledge of major pieces of equipment costs
(Preliminary design). Confidence limit: ±30%.
3. Preliminary estimate: Enough data for budget authorization
(Budget approval). Confidence limit: ±20%.
4. Definitive estimate: Based on basic engineering and quotes from
suppliers and contractors (Construction control). Confidence
limit: ±10%.
5. Detailed estimate: Based on complete Engineering drawings
(Turnkey contract). Confidence limit: ±5%.www.knust.edu.gh
PRELIMINARY CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATIONIndirect Costs:
1. Raw materials inventory (1 month supply at cost)
2. Materials-in-process inventory (1 month supply at cost)
3. Product inventory (1 month at manufactured cost)
4. Accounts receivable (1 month at selling price)
5. Available cash (to meet expenses of wages, raw material,
utilities, supplies for 1 month at manufactured cost)
– Working capital = (1)+(2)+(3)+(4)+(5)
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Classification of working capital cost
Direct capital
• Concerned with the cost of materials related to production
• Utilities like electricity
• Incentives for direct workers (plant or factory workers),
• Administration, maintenance
• Operating suppliers (safety equipment, mobile equipment, etc),
• Laboratory and quality control
• Product packaging and shipping
• Royalties and patents (intellectual property), etc.
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Classification of working capital
cost
Indirect capital
• Concerns those that are not related to production
• Medical services
• Market and sales administration
• Recreational facilities
• Provision of technical service,
• Research and development.
• Indirect costs are normally taken as 50% of the direct cost.
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Equipment Costs Estimations
Cost Indices
• Cost indices are ratios of costs used to estimate current prices of
equipment from obsolete prices.
• Cost indices are based on mean costs over a period of time.
• Their accuracy varies widely for individual items of equipment but
in some cases can be as high as ±10 percent.
• Indices can be very inaccurate after about 5 or 6 years.
(𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡)𝑛𝑜𝑤(𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡)𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛
=(𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥)𝑛𝑜𝑤(𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥)𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛
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Equipment Costs Estimations
Cost Indices
• Cost indices used in process cost estimation include
– Engineering News-Record cost index (ENR)
– The Marshal and Swift cost index (M&S)
– Chemical plant construction cost index (CE)
– Nelson Refinery cost index (NR)
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Equipment Costs Estimations
Cost Indices (as inflation indicators)
Turton et al., 1998
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Equipment Costs Estimations
Cost Indexes (as inflation indicators)
Turton et al., 2009
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Example of Use of Cost Index
• A grinding mill was purchased for $5,000,000 in May
of 1997 when the M&S Index was 1087. What is the
approximate cost of this unit today? Letting “today”
be September, 2001, the M&S Index is 1132.
• Answer ~ $5,207,000
(𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡)𝑛𝑜𝑤(𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡)𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛
=(𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥)𝑛𝑜𝑤(𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥)𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛
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Fixed Capital Cost Estimation For Processing Plants Via Cost Ratio Methods
• Four methods to estimate fixed capital costs:
1. Six-Tenths Rule
2. Plant Cost Ratio Method
3. Equipment Cost Ratio Method
4. Plant Component Cost Ratio Method.
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Fixed Capital Cost Estimation For Processing Plants Via Cost Ratio Methods
• Six-Tenths Rule. To use the six-tenths rule, the fixed capital cost
of a plant of known capacity must be available.
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 2
(𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡)1=
(𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟)2(𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟)1
𝑥
• Gives very satisfactory results when only an approximate cost
within ±20% is required
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Fixed Capital Cost Estimation For Processing Plants Via Cost Ratio Methods
• Plant Cost Ratio Method. This method requires an estimate of the
cost of major items of delivered major process equipment.
• The method is based on the premise that fairly reliable total plant
costs can be obtained by multiplying the cost of the major
equipment by certain factors.
𝐶𝑇 = ℎ𝐶𝐸where CT = total plant cost
h = overall cost factor or sum of individual cost factors
CE = total cost of major equipment
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Fixed Capital Cost Estimation For Processing Plants Via Cost Ratio Methods
• If the total cost of major equipment is equal to CE then:
– Cost of solid process plant = 3.10 (CE)
– Cost of solid-fluid process plant = 3.63 (CE)
– Cost of fluid process plant = 4.74 (CE)
– The multipliers 3.10, 3.63 and 4.74 are known as Lang factors
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Depreciation
• Initial installation cost of metallurgical plant is high
• The fixed cost cannot be considered as an expense to be
fully charged against the revenue obtained in the year in
which the plant was built or purchased
• A portion of the cost charged against revenues for each
year throughout the estimated useful life is termed
depreciation
– The choice of depreciation method depends on the company
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Depreciation
• The cost of the asset purchased should be spread over the periods
in which the asset will benefit a company.
• Thus depreciation is a periodic charge against revenue that
distributes the first cost of a fixed asset over the expected service
life.
• This cost is a capital recovery or a partial regeneration of the first
cost of the fixed asset.
• It is available and can be used as any other accumulated cash.
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Depreciation Methods
1. Straight Line Method
2. Reducing Balance Method
3. Sum of The Years’ Digits Method
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Straight Line Method
• This distributes the cost of the asset uniformly over its
depreciable or useful life.
𝐷 =𝐶 − 𝐿
𝑛
• C = the initial cost of the fixed asset
• L = the estimated residual value
• n = the useful economic life of asset (years)
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Example
Cost of asset = $1200
Residual/scrap/salvage value = $200
Estimated useful life = 4 years
A𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 =𝑆1200−$200
4= $250
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Reducing Balance Method
• Reason
– Greater benefit is to be obtained from the early years of using
an asset
– Appropriate to use the reducing balance method which charges
more in the earlier years.
• Annual Depreciation = Net Book Value x Depreciation Rate
= (Cost –Accumulated Depreciation) x Depreciation Rate
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Example
Depreciation Rate
4 256
100,000x 100%= (1 - )
= (1 – 0.4) x 100%
= 60%
Cost of assets $10,000
Residual value $256
Useful life 4 years
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Annual Depreciation
Year 1 10,000 x 60% = $6,000
Year 2 (10,000 – 6,000) x 60% = $2,400
Year 3 (10,000 – 8,400) x 60% = $ 960
Year 4 (10,000 – 9,360) x 60% =$ 384
Annual Depreciation
= Net Book Value x Depreciation Rate
= (Cost –Accumulated Depreciation) x Depreciation Rate
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Sum of the Year Digit Method
• It provides higher depreciation to be charged in the early years, and
lower depreciation in the later periods.
• Sum of digits = n(n+1) / 2
• Where n = Useful economic life (number of years)