Enhanced Strategic Planning. Alcohol Risk Factors Protective Factors Workgroup Input Develop Action Plan What? (Prevalen ce) Why? Root Causes (Weighted

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2 + 2 = ?

Two Plus Two Might Not Always Equal Four

Enhanced Strategic PlanningLogic ModelAlcoholRisk FactorsProtective Factors

WorkgroupInputDevelop Action PlanWhat? (Prevalence)Why? Root Causes(Weighted factors)Why Here?Local factorsImplementationEvaluationEvaluationLogic ModelAlcoholWhat? (Prevalence)What? The problemJust like Chicken Little -

Problems often seem to fall from the sky.or in the case of prevention planning..

from the survey.

4What? The ProblemWhat we measure is often determined by what we are concerned aboutor (in some cases), someone elses pre-determined concerns or priorities.

Groups are then formed because of that issue/problem.

Logic ModelAlcoholRisk FactorsProtective Factors

What? (Prevalence)Why? Root Causes(Weighted factors)Logic Model: Why? Quantitative (data-driven) MeasuresInterventions are usually planned based only on prevalence of risk and protective factors.

Unfortunately this is where most planning stops.

Strategic Planning EnhancementThe determination of the problem and its intervention is based on quantitative measurement of not only:

Prevalence Predictionof risk and of problemprotective behaviorfactors but also For ExampleFavorable Attitudes Toward Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=320Favorable Attitudes Toward Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32012.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level87.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk levelPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorFavorable Attitudes Toward Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32012.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level87.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level63% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.PrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorFavorable Attitudes Toward Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32012.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level87.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level63% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.22.3% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorFavorable Attitudes Toward Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32012.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level87.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level63% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.22.3% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who have favorable attitudes toward drugs were 2.56 times more likely (63%/22.3%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorAntisocial BehaviorAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=3206.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level93.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level64% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.24.8% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who have favorable attitudes toward drugs were 2.56 times more likely (64%/24.8%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorFriends Use DrugsAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32013.1% of students surveyed scored at the risk level86.9% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level57% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.23.0% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who have favorable attitudes toward drugs were 2.48 times more likely (57%/23%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorLack Perceived Risks of Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32018.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level81.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level50% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.22.3% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who have favorable attitudes toward drugs were 2.24 times more likely (50%/22.3%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorParental Attitudes Favorable to Drug UseAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32013.8% of students surveyed scored at the risk level86.2% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level52.3% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.23.6% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who perceive their parents have attitudes that favor drug use were 2.2 times more likely (52.3%/23.6%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorLack of rewards for Pro-social Involvement in the CommunityAnystate, USA

Total number of Students surveyed:N=32032.5% of students surveyed scored at the risk level64.5% of students surveyed did not score at the risk level27.8% of students who scored at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 days.26.9% of students who did not score at the risk level reported drinking alcohol in the past 30 daysThereforeStudents who lack rewards for pro-social involvement in their community were less likely (27.8%/26.9%) to report drinking in the last 30 daysPrevalencePrediction of Problem BehaviorLogic ModelAlcoholRisk FactorsProtective Factors

WorkgroupInputWhat? (Prevalence)Why? Root Causes(Weighted factors)Why Here?Local factorsLogic Model: Why Here? Why Now?Combining Quantitative and Qualitative measuresAnytown USA RatingHigh School Students - 2011 N=320 (1-10)Favorable Attitudes Toward Drug Use (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Antisocial Behavior (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Friend Use Drugs (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Lack Perceived Risks of Drug Use (Protective Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Parental Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use (Risk Factor Family Domain)Perceived Availability of Drugs (Risk Factor Community Domain)Sensation Seeking (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)BusinessParentCivic/VolunteerReligious/FraternalHealthcareSchoolLaw EnforcementState/Local/Tribal GovernmentMediaYouthOther Substance AbuseYouth-Serving OrganizationAnytown USAStrategic PlanningFactor Rankings I (Importance Scale)

Give each of the following factors a score from 1 to 10 to represent how significant or important it is as a problem in your community. A score of 1 represents little or no significance and a score of 10 means it is a very significant problem for your sector. Rate each factor separately. More than one factor can have the same rating or score.Date of Rating _______________________________________________Rater name __________________________________________________Rater sector (Check all that apply) Other ___________________________________________________________Activity: What We Need or What We Should Do?Break up into groups based on your sector.In your group answer the following question:How does this factor manifest itself in your work and how important is it to you as you do your job?3. Fill out the Factor Rating 1 form Dos: You can speculate as to why young people have this factor.Donts: You cannot discuss how to address the factoryet. (no solutions)

Community ReadinessAware of the issue.Concerned about the issue.Informed about the issue.Motivated to act.Informed about strategies.Committed to action.Informed of results.

Anytown USA RatingHigh School Students - 2011 N=320 (1-10)Favorable Attitudes Toward Drug Use (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Antisocial Behavior (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Friend Use Drugs (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Lack Perceived Risks of Drug Use (Protective Factor Peer/Individual Domain)Parental Attitudes Favorable to Drug Use (Risk Factor Family Domain)Perceived Availability of Drugs (Risk Factor Community Domain)Sensation Seeking (Risk Factor Peer/Individual Domain)BusinessParentCivic/VolunteerReligious/FraternalHealthcareSchoolLaw EnforcementState/Local/Tribal GovernmentMediaYouthOther Substance AbuseYouth-Serving OrganizationAnytown USAStrategic PlanningFactor Rankings II (Viability Scale)Give each of the following factors a score from 1 to 10 to represent the extent to which your community ready to influence the factor if resources were available. A score of 1 represents little or no significance and a score of 10 means it is a very significant problem for your sector. Rate each factor separately. More than one factor can have the same rating or score. Other ___________________________________________________________Date of Rating _______________________________________________Rater name __________________________________________________Rater sector (Check all that apply)Activity: What We Need or What We Should Do? Part IIIn your same groups discuss and respond to the following question:Rate the extent to which you or your organization,, are ready to have an impact on the identified factors.3. Fill out the Factor Rating II form Dos: You may talk about how you see you or your organizations readiness to address this factorDonts: You may not discuss the limit