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EPIDEMIOLOGIC CHARACTERISTICS OF HIV INFECTION AND AIDS AMONG WOMEN ONTARIO, 1981-2004. Robert S. Remis, Maraki Fikre Merid Department of Public Health Sciences University of Toronto Women and HIV Working Group Toronto, August 25, 2005. Methods: Data sources. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
EPIDEMIOLOGIC CHARACTERISTICS OF EPIDEMIOLOGIC CHARACTERISTICS OF HIV INFECTION AND AIDSHIV INFECTION AND AIDS
AMONG WOMENAMONG WOMENONTARIO, 1981-2004ONTARIO, 1981-2004
Robert S. Remis, Maraki Fikre MeridRobert S. Remis, Maraki Fikre MeridDepartment of Public Health Sciences Department of Public Health Sciences
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto
Women and HIV Working GroupWomen and HIV Working GroupToronto, August 25, 2005 Toronto, August 25, 2005
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Methods: Data sourcesMethods: Data sources
•HIV serodiagnostic data: First-time HIV positive HIV serodiagnostic data: First-time HIV positive diagnoses at HIV Laboratory, Ontario Ministry diagnoses at HIV Laboratory, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care (OMHLTC), of Health and Long-Term Care (OMHLTC), 1985-20041985-2004
•Reported AIDS cases: Cases diagnosed to Reported AIDS cases: Cases diagnosed to December 2003 and reported to December 2003 and reported to Public Health Public Health Division, OMLTC Division, OMLTC by April 2004 by April 2004
•Laboratory Enhancement Study: Data used to Laboratory Enhancement Study: Data used to adjust HIV diagnoses for unknown risk factors adjust HIV diagnoses for unknown risk factors and previous HIV testing and to obtain and previous HIV testing and to obtain estimates of HIV incidence (detuned assay)estimates of HIV incidence (detuned assay)
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Number of first-time HIV diagnoses by Number of first-time HIV diagnoses by sex and proportion female, 1985–2004sex and proportion female, 1985–2004
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Year
Nu
mb
er
HIV
dia
gn
os
es
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Pro
po
rtio
n f
em
ale
(%
)
MalesFemales% female
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Number and proportion of HIV diagnoses Number and proportion of HIV diagnoses (adjusted) by exposure category and sex, (adjusted) by exposure category and sex, Ontario, 1985-2003Ontario, 1985-2003
100% 24,734 100% 3,409 100% 21,325 Total
1.9% 470 6.7% 228 1.1% 242 Other, peri
5.3% 1,314 16% 559 3.5% 755 LR hetero
3.5% 863 20% 683 0.8% 180 HR hetero
8.2% 2,021 33% 1,120 4.2% 901 HIV-endemic
2.8% 701 6.4% 219 2.3% 483 Clot/trans
8.1% 2,010 18% 600 6.6% 1,410 IDU
3.9% 973 4.6% 973 MSM-IDU
66% 16,382 77% 16,382 MSM
%No.%No.%No.
TotalFemalesMales
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
HIV diagnoses among males (n=21,325)HIV diagnoses among males (n=21,325)Ontario, 1985–2003Ontario, 1985–2003
4.2% 1.3%
4.6%6.6%
1.0%
3.5%
0.8%0.8%
0.3%
76.8% MSMMSM-IDUIDUClotting factorTransfusionHIV-endemicHR heteroLR heteroPerinatalOther
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
HIV diagnoses among females (n=3,409)HIV diagnoses among females (n=3,409)Ontario, 1985–2003Ontario, 1985–2003
4.8%5.3%1.1%
32.9%
17.6%1.9%
16.4%
20.0%
IDU
Clotting factor
Transfusion
HIV-endemic
HR hetero
LR hetero
Perinatal
Other
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
HIV diagnoses for selected exposure HIV diagnoses for selected exposure categories among women, 1985–2004categories among women, 1985–2004
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
Nu
mb
er
HIV
dia
gn
os
es Endemic
HeteroIDU
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Proportion HIV diagnoses in selected Proportion HIV diagnoses in selected exposure exposure categories among women, 1985–2004categories among women, 1985–2004
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
Nu
mb
er
HIV
dia
gn
os
es
EndemicHeteroIDU
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
HIV diagnoses by health region and sex, HIV diagnoses by health region and sex, Ontario 1085-2003Ontario 1085-2003
100%19% 2,775 11,614 14,389 Ontario
6.6%19% 184 802 986 Southwest
8.1%24% 226 700 926 Central West
7.3%26% 202 583 785 Central East Other
53%17% 1,472 7,474 8,946 Toronto
3.0%19% 84 368 452 Eastern Other
18%29% 500 1,429 1,929 Ottawa
3.9%29% 107 258 365 Northern
OntariofemaleFemalesMalesBoth sexes
ProportionProportion
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Number of AIDS diagnoses by sex and Number of AIDS diagnoses by sex and proportion female, 1985–2004proportion female, 1985–2004
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
Nu
mb
er
HIV
dia
gn
os
es
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Pro
po
rtio
n f
em
ale
(%
)
MalesFemales% female
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Number and proportion of AIDS cases Number and proportion of AIDS cases by exposure category and sex, Ontario, by exposure category and sex, Ontario, 1981-20031981-2003
* Other includes perinatal, occupational and NIR cases
100%7,514100%551100%6,963TotalTotal
4.4%33410%544.1%280Other*
3.4%25311%592.7%194Clot / trans
8.2%61837%2045.9%414Hetero
5.5%41628%1563.7%260HIV-endemic
4.5%33614%783.7%258IDU
4.0%2994.3%299MSM-IDU
70%5,25876%5,258MSM
%No.%No.%No.
TotalFemalesMales
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Modeled HIV prevalence and diagnoses Modeled HIV prevalence and diagnoses by exposure category, women in Ontario, by exposure category, women in Ontario, 20032003
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
TotalTotal
TransfusionTransfusionClottingClottingHeterosexualHeterosexualHIV-endemicHIV-endemicIDUIDU
64%64%2,2032,203100%100%3,4363,436
100%100%19190.6%0.6%1919100%100%550.1%0.1%55
55%55%96296251%51%1,7431,74375%75%78478430%30%1,0411,04169%69%43343318%18%628628
diagnoseddiagnoseddiagnoseddiagnosedOntarioOntarioprevalenceprevalence
ProportionProportionHIVHIVProportionProportionHIVHIV
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Modeled HIV prevalence by health region and Modeled HIV prevalence by health region and exposure category, women in Ontario, December exposure category, women in Ontario, December 20032003
3,500 25 630 1,040 1,780 Ontario
2600 30 40 190 Southwest
2500 40 40 170 Central West
2805 40 60 180 Central East Other
170015 210 670 800 Toronto
1700 60 20 90 Eastern Other
6505 190 190 260 Ottawa
1700 60 20 90 Northern
TotalOtherIDUEndemicHetero
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Modeled HIV prevalence, proportions (row Modeled HIV prevalence, proportions (row %) %) by health region and exposure categoryby health region and exposure categoryWomen in Ontario, December 2003Women in Ontario, December 2003
100%1%18%30%51%Ontario
100%0%12%15%73%Southwest
100%0%16%16%68%Central West
100%2%14%21%63%Central East Other
100%1%12%40%47%Toronto
100%0%35%12%53%Eastern Other
100%1%29%29%40%Ottawa
100%0%35%12%53%Northern
TotalOtherIDUEndemicHetero
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Overview: Women / heterosexualOverview: Women / heterosexual
•1,780 HIV-infected women (51% of Ontario 1,780 HIV-infected women (51% of Ontario infections), 55% diagnosedinfections), 55% diagnosed
•Toronto (45%); rest throughout OntarioToronto (45%); rest throughout OntarioBoth sexes:Both sexes:•1998-2003 HIV prevalence up 64% (annual 10%)1998-2003 HIV prevalence up 64% (annual 10%)•2000 to 2004, HIV diagnoses increased 70%; 2000 to 2004, HIV diagnoses increased 70%; increased in most regions but especially Central West increased in most regions but especially Central West (+202%), Southwest (+160%) and Toronto (+74%) (+202%), Southwest (+160%) and Toronto (+74%)
•320 new HIV infections in 2003320 new HIV infections in 2003
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Overview: Women / HIV-endemicOverview: Women / HIV-endemic
•1,040 HIV-infected (30% of infections); 75% diagnosed 1,040 HIV-infected (30% of infections); 75% diagnosed •HIV prevalence approximately 0.8%HIV prevalence approximately 0.8%•Most HIV-infected women in Toronto (64%) and Most HIV-infected women in Toronto (64%) and Ottawa (18%)Ottawa (18%)
Both sexes:Both sexes:•1998-2003 prevalence up 86% (annual 13%)1998-2003 prevalence up 86% (annual 13%)•New HIV diagnoses increased 1999 (160) to 2002 New HIV diagnoses increased 1999 (160) to 2002 (280) then decreased somewhat (230 in 2004)(280) then decreased somewhat (230 in 2004)
•330 new HIV infections in 2003 (imported & Canada)330 new HIV infections in 2003 (imported & Canada)
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
Overview: Women / IDUOverview: Women / IDU
•630 HIV-infected (18% of Ontario infections), 69% diagnosed630 HIV-infected (18% of Ontario infections), 69% diagnosed•HIV-infected women in Toronto (33%) and Ottawa (30%)HIV-infected women in Toronto (33%) and Ottawa (30%)Both sexes:Both sexes:•New HIV diagnoses stable overall past five years, though New HIV diagnoses stable overall past five years, though increase in 2004 in Southwest and Northern regionsincrease in 2004 in Southwest and Northern regions
•HIV prevalence 5% (Ottawa 15%, elsewhere 4%)HIV prevalence 5% (Ottawa 15%, elsewhere 4%)•1998-2003 prevalence up 8% (annual 1.5%)1998-2003 prevalence up 8% (annual 1.5%)•80 new infections in 2003; HIV incidence 0.2%80 new infections in 2003; HIV incidence 0.2%•Relatively reassuringRelatively reassuring
Dr. Robert S. RemisPublic Health Sciences, University of Toronto
instructional media centre, Laboratories Branch - 2000
AcknowledgementsAcknowledgements
•Frank McGee, AIDS Bureau, Frank McGee, AIDS Bureau, Ontario Ministry of Health Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care (MOHLTC)and Long Term Care (MOHLTC)
•Maraki Fikre Merid, University of TorontoMaraki Fikre Merid, University of Toronto•Aida Rita Santiago, University of TorontoAida Rita Santiago, University of Toronto•Carol Swantee, HIV Laboratory, MOHLTC Carol Swantee, HIV Laboratory, MOHLTC • Jane Njihia, FSO, PHAC / MOHLTCJane Njihia, FSO, PHAC / MOHLTC•Lorraine Schiedel, Public Health Branch, Lorraine Schiedel, Public Health Branch, MOHLTCMOHLTC •CIDPC, Public Health Agency of Canada and Ontario CIDPC, Public Health Agency of Canada and Ontario HIV Treatment Network (OHTN) for funding the HIV Treatment Network (OHTN) for funding the Laboratory Enhancement StudyLaboratory Enhancement Study