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1/29/2018 1 www.inquiry2improvement.com Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways 1 Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College January 2018 www.inquiry2improvement.com National Center for Inquiry & Improvement Agenda A Story of Hope: Georgia State University Building Urgency and the Case for Change Equality of Opportunity Project National Data Guided Pathways Introduction & Brief Exploration www.inquiry2improvement.com Georgia State University – A Reason for Optimism www.inquiry2improvement.com National Center for Inquiry & Improvement A Mystery… The graduation rate at Georgia State University was 31% in the early 2000s Not unusual for an urban, regional 4year state university So they looked at a common metric – FalltoFall retention, but didn’t stop there…

Equity, Economic Mobility Agenda Guided Pathways · 2018-01-30 · 1/29/2018 1 Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways 1 Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College January 2018 National

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Page 1: Equity, Economic Mobility Agenda Guided Pathways · 2018-01-30 · 1/29/2018 1 Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways 1 Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College January 2018 National

1/29/2018

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www.inquiry2improvement.com

Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways

1

Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College

January 2018

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Agenda

• A Story of Hope: Georgia State University

• Building Urgency and the Case for Change• Equality of Opportunity Project National Data

• Guided Pathways Introduction & Brief Exploration

www.inquiry2improvement.com

Georgia State University –A Reason for Optimism

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

A Mystery…

• The graduation rate at Georgia State University was 31% in the early 2000s

• Not unusual for an urban, regional 4‐year state university

• So they looked at a common metric –Fall‐to‐Fall retention, but didn’t stop there…

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www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

First Year to Second Year Retention, Georgia State University

5

80% 82% 81% 83% 80% 81% 82% 83% 83%

FALL '00 FALL '01 FALL '02 FALL '03 FALL '04 FALL '05 FALL '06 FALL '07 FALL '08

Retention

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

First Year Retention & Sophomore Status Rates ‐ Georgia State University

6

80% 82% 81% 83% 80% 81% 82% 83% 83%

22%27% 28%

33% 35%39%

49%

62%67%

FALL '00 FALL '01 FALL '02 FALL '03 FALL '04 FALL '05 FALL '06 FALL '07 FALL '08

Retention Retained & Sophomore

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity ‐Georgia State University

7

32%26%

22%

50%

58% 58%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

WHITE AFRICAN AMERICAN HISPANIC

2003 2016

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity –GSU + Clearinghouse Graduation Data

8

32%26%

22%

50%

58% 58%

76% 78% 77%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

WHITE AFRICAN AMERICAN HISPANIC

2003 GSU 2016 GSU 2016 GSU+Clearinghouse

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www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Some High‐Impact Strategies at GSU

•Advising model’s use of predictive analytics and a system of 800+ alertsAdded financial indicators and alerts in 2016

• Panther Retention Grants 

• Summer Success Academy

• Keep Hope Alive

•Meta‐Majors

9www.inquiry2improvement.com

Building Urgency and the Case for Change

www.inquiry2improvement.com

Economic Mobility & Higher Education:

The Equality of Opportunity Project

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Economic Mobility & Equity…

• It’s true that higher education may be about more than just economic mobility. But: What % of your students attend your college 

solely because of the love of learning?• I would argue 98%+ of your students are “career focused”

• Doesn’t mean liberal arts ed. isn’t impt. ‐might be more so

Economic mobility is particularly important to the lower half of the income spectrum – which describes a majority of our CC students

Unfortunate correlation in U.S. between race and income level – this is 100% an exploration of equity

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www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Incredible work…

• Check out the resources at http://www.equality‐of‐opportunity.org/

• Collaboration between Stanford, Brown and Harvard Other contributors – UC Berkeley, MIT, 

Cambridge

• Papers, slides, executive summaries, data sets

Top 1%3.0%

5.3%8.1%

13.2%

70.3%

02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

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1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

15.4%

Parent Income Distribution at Harvard1980-82 Child Birth Cohorts

05

10

15

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

Note: “Ivy Plus” = Ivy League, Chicago, Stanford, MIT, Duke

14.5% of students from top 1%

05

10

15

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rce

nt

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tud

en

ts

0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

Note: “Ivy Plus” = Ivy League, Chicago, Stanford, MIT, Duke

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14.5% of students from top 1%

05

10

15

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

13.5% of students from bottom 50%

14.5% of students from top 1%

05

10

15

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

13.5% of students from bottom 50%

More students from the top 1% than the bottom 50%

3.8% of students from bottom 20%

14.5% of students from top 1%

05

10

15

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

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0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Probability of attending an elite private college is77 times higher for children in the top 1% compared to the bottom 20%

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

3.8% of students from bottom 20%

14.5% of students from top 1%

05

10

15

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

0 20 40 60 80 100Parent Rank

Parent Income Distribution by PercentileIvy Plus Colleges

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02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

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ts

1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

Harvard University

Parent Income Distributions by Quintile for 1980-82 Birth CohortsAt Selected Colleges

02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

Harvard University

UC Berkeley

Parent Income Distributions by Quintile for 1980-82 Birth CohortsAt Selected Colleges

02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

Harvard University

UC Berkeley

SUNY-Stony Brook

Parent Income Distributions by Quintile for 1980-82 Birth CohortsAt Selected Colleges

02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

nt

of S

tud

en

ts

1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

Harvard University

UC Berkeley

SUNY-Stony Brook

Glendale Community College

Parent Income Distributions by Quintile for 1980-82 Birth CohortsAt Selected Colleges

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02

04

06

08

0

Pe

rce

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1 2 3 4 5Parent Income Quintile

Mobility Report CardsColumbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook

SUNY-Stony Brook

Columbia

www.inquiry2improvement.com

Our Best Chance for Equity:Guided Pathways & Financial Stability

Approaches

Lost in a Maze

GENERAL EDUCATION REQUIREMENTS(Select 12 courses from this list of more than 300)

28

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11223344

FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEU

FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEUD FAMILY FEwww.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Round 1: What Do New Students Ask 

Advisors?

https://ensemble.irsc.edu/Watch/Gk5c6J2N

Page 9: Equity, Economic Mobility Agenda Guided Pathways · 2018-01-30 · 1/29/2018 1 Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways 1 Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College January 2018 National

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31

25

18

14

9

3

Career Options

What Courses Should I Take?How long will

it take?How much will

it cost?

How much fin.Aid can I get?

Will my creditsTransfer?

Cheer SilenceLoseWin Boo

Round 1

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Why Losing Students to For‐Profit Institutions is an Equity Issue

• Students at for profits default on their student loans at 2x the rate of those taking loans at CCs ‐ 52% vs. 26%*

• Worse, because students at for profits have to take loans more, the rate of default among all entrants at for‐profits is 4x as high as entrants at CCs – 47% vs. 13%*

• Even more disturbing when you dive in – White students not at for‐profits have a 4% default rate vs. Black non‐completers at for‐profits with a 67% default rate*

• Bottom line?  We in the CC system need to be better for all students but perhaps most importantly for low‐income URM students – and we absolutely can do so…

34* Judith Scott-Clayton’s Brookings Report (Jan 2018)

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Round 2: Why Are _______ So Successful?

https://ensemble.irsc.edu/Watch/Gk5c6J2N

24

20

17

14

11

7

5

2

Motivation

Clear coursePaths

Chair / Coach

MandatorySupport

Peer support

Ticking time clock

Discipline / accountability

Uniforms

Cheer SilenceLoseWin Boo

Round 2

Page 10: Equity, Economic Mobility Agenda Guided Pathways · 2018-01-30 · 1/29/2018 1 Equity, Economic Mobility & Guided Pathways 1 Dr. Rob Johnstone Santa Monica College January 2018 National

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www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Guided Pathways Overview

https://ensemble.irsc.edu/Watch/Gk5c6J2N

What I Knew We provide all students what they want, when they 

want, where they want and how they want.

Students, faculty, and staff understand how it is all connected

Students should have max flexibility, meaning can opt in or out (orientation, college success course, overriding placement results)

Maximum choice provides maximum flexibility

Students use tutoring and coaching as they need it

Students reach out for help when need it (if you have it, they will come)

Curriculum listed in catalog is sufficient direction to student

Students know what their goals are

We are in the education business so services needed outside of education are the responsibility of others (food, housing, mental health, income)

Part‐time student needs same as full‐time students (children are little adults)

Processes and services should be available and applied equally to all

What I Know Now What we had was fragmented and informed by 

many varied beliefs and experiences (depended who you talk to or worked with)

Default decision is to make no choice

What you think is obvious is not always obvious to others 

To many, seeking help is an admission of failure

Natural tendency is accept failure, overestimate ability, or wait too long

Wrap around services part of business of education

Equality         Equity

“We are Already Doing It”(Don’t Need Another State or National Initiative)

COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

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COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

Rethinking Mapping Programs

Career programs vs. academic transfer programs

A lá carte courses (distribution requirements and electives)

Algebra as default math path

Certificates vs. degrees

Academic / career communities (“meta-majors”)

Program maps with course sequences, critical courses, co-curricular requirements

Program/field-specific math paths

Degree pathways with embedded certificates/certifications

From: To:

COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

Rethinking Student On-boarding

Job/transfer support for near completers

Current semester schedule

Academic assessment

Pre-requisite remediation

Algebra and English comp

A lá carte dual HS credit

From: To:

Career/college exploration and planning for all from the start

Full-program plan

Holistic assessment

Co-requisite academic support

Critical program courses

Exploration of program pathways beginning in HS

COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

Rethinking Student Advising

Info “dump” at orientation

Advising vs. teaching

Full-time vs. part-time

Scheduling available courses to suit college schedule

JIT support for major decisions along the path

Advisors teach and faculty advise

On-plan vs. off-plan

Scheduling courses on the student’s plan to suit their schedule

From: To:

COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

Rethinking Teaching and Learning

Gen ed learning outcomes

Generic gen eds

In-class learning

Meta-major learning outcomes

Contextualized gen eds

Curricular + co-curricular learning

Student transcripts Portfolios

From: To:

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Rethinking Financial Supports…

Traditional financial aid (grants, loans, scholarships)

Waiting for students to askfor assistance

Holistic supports (public benefits like SNAP, housing assistance)

Standard intake / screening form

Off-campus referrals to community partners

On-campus partner presentations and individualized assistance

From: To:

Isolated services Bundled, integrated services

COMMUNITY COLLEGE RESEARCH CENTER

•What are my career options?

•Which college offers programs in my field of interest?

•How much will it cost and how will I pay?

•How will I get the financial supports I need to be able to attend/succeed?

CONNECTIONFrom interest to application

•What are my program options?

•What are program requirements?

•Which program is a good fit?

•What will I take?•Will credits transfer?•How much time and money to finish?

•What if I change my mind about a major?

ENTRYFrom entry to passing program gatekeeper 

courses

• Am I making progress?

• How do I get related work experience?

• What if I want to change majors?

• What if I am struggling academically?

• How much time and money to complete?

• How do I balance my other obligations? 

PROGRESSFrom program entry to completion of program 

requirements

Major Decisions Along the Path

• How do I transfer?

• How do I get a job in my field of interest?

COMPLETION / TRANSITION

From program completion to career advancement and 

further education

www.inquiry2improvement.com

A Brief Exploration of Advising Under Pathways

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Pathways Summarized: College Videos

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Links to Videos

• St. Petersburg College (3:34 running time) St. Petersburg Video

• Sinclair Community College (5:16 running time) Sinclair Video

• Indian River State College (0:55 running time) Indian River Video

https://ensemble.irsc.edu/Watch/Gk5c6J2N

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Conclusion

• Economic mobility matters – and it matters most to your FTIC and low‐income students

•Guided pathways can be a strong lever for helping more students complete college and enter the workforce and achieve family security, personal growth and professional advancement.

Strengthening the financial stability of students can improve their chances of staying on path and succeeding

• Excitement about the next five years – especially when we tie guided pathways reforms to financial stability (teeing up the next session!).

www.inquiry2improvement.comNational  Center  for  Inquiry  &  Improvement

Find Out More

52

• NCII & CCRC websites:www.ncii‐improve.com & ccrc.tc.columbia.edu

• Dr. Davis Jenkins, Sr. Research Fellow, CCRC 

[email protected]

• Dr. Rob Johnstone, Founder & President, NCIIrob@ncii‐improve.com