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Essay Commerce
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Mark Thornton [email protected]
An Essay on the
Nature of Commerce
Richard Cantillon
* A New English Translation *
Translated by Chantal Saucier
Edited by Mark Thornton
Saucier/Thornton
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Saucier/Thornton
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An Essay on the Nature of Commerce
Richard Cantillon
Translated by Chantal Saucier
Edited by Mark Thornton
Table of Contents
Introduction by Chantal Saucier and Mark Thornton
Part One: Production, Distribution, and Consumption
Chapter One: Of Wealth
Chapter Two: Of Human Societies
Chapter Three: Of Villages
Chapter Four: Of Market Towns
Chapter Five: Of Cities
Chapter Six: Of Capital Cities
Chapter Seven: The Labor of the Plowman is of less
Value than that of the Artisan
Chapter Eight: Some Artisans earn more, others less,
according to the different Cases and
Circumstances
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Chapter Nine: The Number of Laborers, Artisans and
others, who work in a State is naturally
proportioned to the Demand for them
Chapter Ten: The Price and Intrinsic Value of a Thing
in general is the measure of the Land
and Labor which enter into its
Production
Chapter Eleven: Of the Par or Relation between the Value
of Land and Labor
Chapter Twelve: All Classes and Individuals in a State
subsist or are enriched at the Expense
of the Proprietors of Land
Chapter Thirteen: The Circulation and Exchange of Goods
and Merchandise as well as their
Production are carried on in Europe by
Entrepreneurs, and at a risk
Chapter Fourteen: The Desires, Fashions, and the Ways of
Life of the Prince, and especially of
the Property Owners, determine the Use
to which Land is put in a State and
Cause the Variations in the Market
Prices of all Things
Chapter Fifteen: The Increase and Decrease of the Number
of People in a State chiefly Depends on
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the Taste, the Fashions, and the Ways of
Life Property Owners
Chapter Sixteen: The more Labor there is in a State the
more the State is judged naturally rich
Chapter Seventeen: Of Metals and Money, and especially of
Gold and Silver
Part Two: Money and Interest
Chapter One: Of Barter
Chapter Two: Of Market Prices
Chapter Three: Of the Circulation of Money
Chapter Four: Further Reflection on the Rapidity or
Slowness of the Circulation of Money in
Exchange
Chapter Five: Of the inequality of the circulation of
hard money in a State
Chapter Six: Of the increase and decrease in the
quantity of hard money in a State
Chapter Seven: Continuation of the same subject
Chapter Eight: Further Reflection on the same subject
Chapter Nine: Of the Interest of Money and its Causes
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Chapter Ten: Of the Causes of the Increase and
Decrease of the Interest of Money in a
State
Part Three: International Trade and Business Cycles
Chapter One: Of Foreign Trade
Chapter Two: Of the Exchanges and their Nature
Chapter Three: Further explanations of the nature of
the Exchanges
Chapter Four: Of the variations in the proportion of
values with regard to the Metals which
serve as Money
Chapter Five: Of the augmentation and diminution of
coin in denomination
Chapter Six: Of Banks and their Credit
Chapter Seven: Further explanations and enquiries as to
the utility of a National Bank
Chapter Eight: Of the Refinements of Credit of General
Banks
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Part One: Production, Distribution, and Consumption
Saucier/Thornton
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Chapter One: On Wealth
Abstract: Cantillon defines wealth as the
consumption goods produced by land and labor. This
contrasted with the mercantilists who thought
money was wealth.
Land is the source or matter from which all wealth is drawn;
man’s labor provides the form for its production, and wealth
in itself is nothing but the food, conveniences, and
pleasures of life.
Land produces grass, roots, grain, flax, cotton, hemp,
shrubs and several kinds of trees, with fruits, bark, and
foliage like that of the mulberry tree for silkworms, and it
supplies mines and minerals. From these, the labor of man
creates wealth.
Rivers and seas provide fish for the food of man, and
many other things for his enjoyment. But these seas and
rivers belong to the adjacent lands or are common to all,
and man’s labor extracts fish and other advantages from
them.
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Chapter Two: Of Human Societies
Abstract: All human societies are based on a
system of property rights. The distribution of
rights will necessarily be unequal, and the use to
which property is put will be dependent on the
tastes of the owners.
Whichever way a society of men is formed, the ownership of
the land they inhabit will necessarily belong to a small
number among them.
In nomadic societies like the Tartar hordes1 and Indian
tribes, who go from one place to another with their animals
and families, the king or leader must fix the boundaries for
households and neighborhoods around the camp. Otherwise,
there would always be disputes over living quarters or
access to life’s conveniences such as forests, pastures,
water, etc. However, when the districts and boundaries are
settled for all, it is as good as ownership while they stay
in that place.
In the more settled societies, if a prince at the head
of an army has conquered a country, he will distribute the
1 The Mongols, who under leaders such as Genghis Khan captured territories from the Pacific Ocean to
Poland and from Russia to the Middle East and India and established the Mongol Empire, the largest
contigous empire in world history during the 13th
and 14th
centuries.
Saucier/Thornton
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lands among his officers or friends according to their merit
or his pleasure (as was originally the case in France). He
will then establish laws to maintain property rights for
them and their descendants, or he will reserve the ownership
of the land to himself and employ his officers or friends to
cultivate it. He also may grant the land to them on
condition that they pay an annual royalty or rent, or he may
grant it to them while reserving the right to tax them every
year according to his needs and their capacity. In all these
cases, the officers or friends, whether independent owners
or dependents, whether administrators or supervisors of the
production of the land, will be few in number compared to
all the inhabitants.
Even if the prince distributes the land equally among
all the inhabitants, it will ultimately be divided among a
small number. One man will have several children and will
not be able to leave each of them a portion of land equal to
his own. Another will die without children, and will leave
his portion to someone who has land already, rather than to
one who has none. A third will be lazy, extravagant, or
sickly, and be obliged to sell his portion to someone more
frugal and industrious, who will continually add to his
estate by new purchases on which he will employ the labor of
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those, who having no land of their own, are obliged to offer
him their labor in order to subsist.
At the first settlement of Rome, each citizen was given
two units of land.2 Yet, soon after, there was as great an
inequality among inheritances as what we observe today in
all the countries of Europe. The land eventually was divided
among a few owners.
Assuming then that the lands of a new country belong to
a small number of people, each owner will manage his land
himself, or lease it to one or more farmers. In this
economy, it is essential that the farmers and laborers
should have a living, whether the land is exploited by the
owner or by the farmers. The owner receives the surplus of
the land; and he will give part of it to the prince or the
government, or the farmers will give this part directly to
the prince on behalf of the owner.
As for the use to which the land should be put, the
first necessity is to employ part of it for the maintenance
and food of those who work the land and make it productive.
The rest depends mainly upon the desires and lifestyle of
the prince, the lords of the State, and the property owner.
If they are fond of wine, vineyards must be cultivated; if
2 Cantillon wrote that each person received two “journaux,” which is approximately two acres of land.
Saucier/Thornton
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they are fond of silks, mulberry trees must be planted and
silkworms raised. Moreover, part of the land must be
employed to support those who supply these wants; if they
delight in horses, pastures are needed, and so on.
However, if we assume that the lands belong to no one
in particular, it is difficult to conceive how a society of
men can be formed there. We see, for example, that for the
communal lands of a village, there is a fixed number of
animals that each of the inhabitants are allowed to
maintain, and if the land were left to the first occupier in
a new conquest or discovery of a country, the establishment
of ownership would inevitably have to based on some rule in
order for a society to be establish, whether the rule is
determined by force or by law.
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Chapter Three: Of Villages
Abstract: In this first of four chapters on
economic geography and location theory, Cantillon
explains that settlements are based on the
requirements of production, especially the
quantity of labor, and the extent of the
specialization and division of labor.
However the land is used, whether pasture, wheat, vineyards,
etc., the farmers or laborers who carry on the work must
live nearby. Otherwise the time spent going to their fields
and returning to their houses would consume too much of the
day. Hence the necessity for villages widespread in all the
countryside and cultivated lands, where there also must be
enough blacksmiths and wagon makers for the tools, ploughs,
and carts that are needed, especially when the village is
far from the towns. The size of a village is naturally
proportioned to the number of inhabitants the land requires
for daily work, and to the artisans who find enough
employment there by serving the farmers and laborers.
However, these artisans are not quite so necessary in the
vicinity of towns where the laborers can travel without much
loss of time.
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If one or more of the property owners reside in the
village, the number of inhabitants will be greater in
proportion to the domestic servants and artisans attracted
there, and inns will be established for the convenience of
the domestic servants and workmen who earn a living from the
property owners.
If the land is only suitable for maintaining sheep, as
in the sandy districts and moorlands, the villages will be
fewer and smaller because only a few shepherds are required
on the land.
If the land consists of sandy soil where only trees
grow and there is no grass for livestock, and it is distant
from towns and rivers, the trees will be useless for
consumption. As in many areas of Germany, there will only be
as many houses and villages as are needed to gather acorns
and feed pigs in season. And, if the land is sterile, there
will be no villages or inhabitants.
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Chapter Four: Of Market Towns
Abstract: Entrepreneurs establish markets in
centrally-located villages which provide the
necessary conditions under which prices are
established between supply and demand. The size of
the market town depends on the size of the economy
it serves.
There are villages where markets have been established by
the interest of some property owner or royal resident. These
markets, held once or twice a week, encourage several little
entrepreneurs3 and merchants to establish themselves there.
In the market, they buy the products brought from the
surrounding villages in order to transport them to the large
towns for sale. In the large towns, they exchange them for
iron, salt, sugar and other merchandise, which they sell on
market days to the villagers. Many small artisans, like
locksmiths, cabinetmakers and others, also settle down in
these places to serve the villagers, and, as a result, these
villages become market towns. A market town being located in
the center of the villages whose people come to the market,
3 It was long believed that J.B. Say had introduced the term entrepreneur to economics, but Cantillon was
the first to employ the term extensively in economic analysis.
Saucier/Thornton
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it is natural and easier for the villagers to bring their
products for sale on market days and to buy the articles
they need, than it would be for the merchants and
entrepreneurs to transport the merchandise to the villages
and exchange them for the villagers’ products.
1. For the merchants to go around the villages would
unnecessarily increase the cost of transportation.
2. The merchants would perhaps be obliged to go to several
villages before finding the quality and quantity of
products that they wish to buy.
3. The villagers would generally be in their fields when
the merchants arrived and, not knowing what products
the merchants desired, they would have nothing prepared
and ready for sale.
4. It would be almost impossible to fix the price of the
products and the merchandise in the villages, between
the merchants and the villagers. In one village, the
merchant would refuse the price asked for the products,
hoping to find it cheaper in another village, and the
villager would refuse the price offered for his
merchandise in the hope that another merchant would
come along and take it on better terms.
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All these difficulties are avoided when the villagers
come to town on market days to sell their products and buy
the things they need. Prices are fixed by the proportion
between the products displayed for sale and the money
offered for it; this takes place in the same spot, under the
eyes of all the villagers of different villages and of the
merchants or entrepreneurs of the town. When the price has
been settled between a few, the others follow without
difficulty and so the market price of the day is determined.
The peasant then goes back to his village and resumes his
work.
The size of the market town is naturally proportioned4
to the number of farmers and laborers needed to cultivate
the lands dependent on it, and to the number of artisans and
small merchants that the villages bordering on the market
town employ with their assistants and horses. Finally, it
also depends on the number of persons supported by the
property owners who live in the town.
When the villages associated with a market town (i.e.
those who ordinarily sell their products in a particular
market town) are sizeable and have a large output, the
4 Notice Cantillon‟s use of the phrase “naturally proportional.” He uses the word proportion
throughout the book when he is explaining naturally equilibrating or harmonious human processes
that are self-regulating, especially economic processes, not in the sense of exact ratios and
percentages.
Saucier/Thornton
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market town will become considerable and large in
proportion. However, when the neighboring villages have
little production, the market town also is poor and
insignificant.
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Chapter Five: Of Cities
Abstract: Cities form at sites where large
property owners have decided to live.
Specialization of labor expands to meet the
demands of the wealthy. Cities grow even larger
when manufacturing industries produce for export,
and whose workers are essentially supported by the
production of foreign lands. Cantillon placed a
great deal of emphasis on transportation costs. He
found that property owners who lived far from
their lands would experience a reduction in income
proportional to the cost of transporting their
production to market.
The property owners who only have small estates usually
reside in market towns and villages near their lands and
farmers. The transportation of their production to distant
cities would not enable them to live there comfortably.
However, property owners that own several large estates,
have the means to live at a distance from them and enjoy a
pleasant society with other property owners and nobility of
the same species.
Saucier/Thornton
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If a prince or noble, who has received large grants of
land at the time of a conquest or discovery of a country,
fixes his residence in some pleasant spot, and several other
lords come to live there to be within reach of each other
and to enjoy a pleasant society, this place will become a
city. Great houses will be built for the nobility in
question, and many more will be built for the merchants,
artisans, and people of all sorts of professions who will be
attracted there. These noblemen will require bakers,
butchers, brewers, wine merchants, and manufacturers of all
kinds to service their needs. These entrepreneurs will, in
turn, build houses in this location or will rent houses
built by other entrepreneurs. There is no great nobleman
whose expense upon his house, his retinue and servants, does
not maintain merchants and artisans of all kinds, as may be
seen from the detailed calculations that I had made for the
supplement of this essay.5
All these artisans and entrepreneurs serve each other,
as well as the nobility. The fact that their upkeep
ultimately falls on property owners and nobles is often
overlooked. It is not perceived that all the little houses
in a city, such as we have described, depend upon and
subsist at the expense of the great houses. However, it will
5 This is the first mention of the supplement which has been lost.
Saucier/Thornton
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be shown later that all the classes and inhabitants of a
state live at the expense of the property owners.6 The city
in question will grow larger if the king, or the government,
establishes law courts to which the people of the market
towns and villages of the province must have recourse. An
increased number of entrepreneurs and artisans of every sort
will be needed for the maintenance of the judges and
lawyers.
If in this same city workshops and factories are
established to manufacture beyond home consumption, for
export and sale abroad, the city will be large in proportion
to the workmen and artisans who live there at the expense of
foreigners.
However, if we put aside these considerations, in order
to not complicate our subject, we may say that the gathering
of several rich property owners living in the same place
suffices to form what is called a city. Many cities in
Europe, mainly in the interior, owe the number of their
inhabitants to this assemblage. In this case, the size of a
city is naturally proportioned to the number of property
owners living there, or rather to the production of the land
which belongs to them, minus the cost of transportation to
6 Briefly put, all food and raw materials our produced on the land controlled by property owners. Property
owners sustain farmers and laborers as well as artisans and manufacturing workers to the extent that raw
Saucier/Thornton
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those whose lands are the furthest removed, and the part
that they are obliged to give to the king or the government,
which is usually consumed in the capital.
materials are worked into fine goods. If the owners live in cities far from their lands, they also must support
those (and their horses) who transport the products to the city.
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Chapter Six: Of Capital Cities
Abstract: Wherever a government establishes its
capital, the city will grow in size because the
additional spending attracts labor and businesses
to service the government and its employees and
thus, it becomes a commercial center for the
nation as well.
A capital city is formed in the same way as a provincial
city, with these differences: the largest property owners in
the state reside in the capital; the king or supreme
government is established in it and spends the government’s
revenues there; the supreme courts of justice are located
there; it is the center of the fashions, which all the
provinces take as their model; and the property owners, who
reside in the provinces, occasionally spend time in the
capital, and they send their children there to be educated.
Therefore, all the lands in the state contribute, more or
less, to maintain those who dwell in the capital.
If a sovereign leader leaves a city to establish
residence in another, nobles will follow him and locate
their residence with him in the new city, which will become
great and important at the expense of the first. We have
Saucier/Thornton
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seen a recent example of this in the city of Petersburg to
the disadvantage of Moscow,7 and one sees many old cities,
which were important, fall into ruin and others spring from
their ashes. Great cities usually are built on the seacoast
or on the banks of large rivers for the convenience of
transportation. Water transportation of the products and
merchandise necessary for the subsistence and comfort of the
inhabitants is much cheaper than wagons and land
transportation.8
7 Tsar Peter the Great moved the capital of Russia to Petersburg in 1713.
8 Notice that Cantillon again mentions the importance of transportation costs. Four-wheel wagons were
developed in 12th
century but were mostly used by the wealthy until the late 18th
century.
Saucier/Thornton
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Chapter Seven: The Labor of the Plowman is of Less Value
than that of the Artisan
Abstract: The opportunity cost of becoming a
skilled worker includes both the direct expenses
as well as the foregone labor during the training
period or apprenticeship. As a result, skilled
workers must be paid higher wages than unskilled
workers.
A laborer's son, at seven to twelve years of age, begins to
help his father either in keeping the herds, digging the
ground, or in other sorts of country labor that require no
art or skill.
If his father has him taught a trade, he loses his
assistance during the time of his apprenticeship and is
obligated to clothe him and to pay the expenses of his
apprenticeship for many years.9 The son is thus dependent on
his father and his labor brings in no advantage for several
years. The [working] life of man is estimated at only 10 or
12 years, and as several are lost in learning a trade, most
9 This is where Cantillon explains the opportunity cost of an apprenticeship (similar to the opportunity cost
of college) where the father has to pay for the apprenticeship (college tuition) and loses the child‟s labor for
several years (lost wages). Cantillon includes the cost of clothing (which would not apply in the case of
college) because children who work on the farm help make their own clothing, but children in
apprenticeships do not (See Part 1, Chapter 9, paragraph 3).
Saucier/Thornton
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of which in England require seven years of apprenticeship, a
plowman would never be willing to have a trade taught to his
son if the artisans did not earn more than the plowmen.
Therefore, those who employ artisans or professionals
must pay for their labor at a higher rate than for that of a
plowman or common laborer. Their labor will necessarily be
expensive in proportion to the time lost in learning the
trade, and the cost and risk incurred in becoming
proficient.
The professionals themselves do not make all their
children learn their own trade: there would be too many of
them for the needs of a city or a state and many would not
find enough work. However, the work is naturally better paid
than that of plowmen.
Saucier/Thornton
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Chapter Eight: Some Artisans Earn More, Others Less,
According to the Different Cases and Circumstances
Abstract: In addition to training and the forces
of supply and demand, workers with higher quality
skills, risky jobs, or jobs which require
trustworthy employees will receive higher wages.
This is now known as the theory of compensating
differentials that is often attributed to Adam
Smith.
If two tailors make all the clothes of a village, one may
have more customers than the other, whether from his way of
attracting business, because his products are better or more
durable than the other, or because he follows the fashions
better in the style of his garments.
If one dies, the other, finding himself with more work,
will be able to raise the price of his labor, expediting the
work of some in preference to others, until the villagers
find it to their advantage to have their clothes made in
another village, town or city, losing the time spent in
going and returning, or until another tailor comes to live
in their village and shares the business.
Saucier/Thornton
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The jobs which require the most time in training or
most ingenuity and industry must necessarily be the best
paid. A skillful cabinetmaker must receive a higher price
for his work than an ordinary carpenter, and a good clock
and watchmaker more than a blacksmith.
The arts and occupations, which are accompanied by
risks and dangers, like those of foundry workers, sailors,
silver miners, etc. ought to be paid in proportion to the
risks. When skill is needed, over and above the dangers,
they ought to be paid even more, such as ship pilots,
divers, engineers, etc. When capacity and trustworthiness
are needed, the labor is paid still more highly, as in the
case of jewelers, bookkeepers, cashiers, and others.
By these examples, and a hundred others we could draw
from ordinary experience, it is easily seen that the
differences in the prices paid for labor is based upon
natural and obvious reasons.
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Chapter Nine: The Number of Laborers, Artisans, and Others,
Who Work in a State, is Naturally Proportioned to the Demand
for Them
Abstract: The supply of workers adjusts itself to
the demand for labor, across all professions, via
wage rates, migration, and changes in population.
Prosperity cannot be created by subsidizing job
training.
If all the farm laborers in a village raise several sons to
the same work, there will be too many farm laborers to
cultivate the lands of the village, and the surplus adults
will have to leave in order to seek a livelihood elsewhere,
which they generally find in cities. If some remain with
their fathers—as they will not all find sufficient
employment—they will live in great poverty and will not
marry for lack of means to raise children. If they do marry,
their children will soon die of starvation, with their
parents, as we see every day in France.
Therefore, if the village continues in the same
employment pattern, and derives its living from cultivating
the same area of land, its population will not increase in a
thousand years.
Saucier/Thornton
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It is true that the women and girls of this village
can, when they are not working in the fields, occupy
themselves in spinning, knitting or other work that can be
sold in the cities. However, this rarely suffices to support
the extra children, who leave the village to seek their
fortune elsewhere.
The same may be said of the artisans of a village. If a
tailor makes all the clothes for the villagers and then
raises three sons to the same job, there will only be enough
work for one successor to him and the other two must seek
their livelihood elsewhere. If they do not find employment
in the neighboring town, they must move further away or
change their occupations and earn a living by becoming
servants, soldiers, sailors, etc.
By the same process of reasoning, it is easy to
conceive that the laborers, artisans, and others, who earn
their living by working, must proportion themselves in
number to the employment and demand for them in market towns
and cities.
If four tailors are enough to make all the clothes for
a town and a fifth arrives, he may find some work at the
expense of the other four. Therefore, if the labor is
divided between the five tailors, neither of them will have
enough work, and each one will live more poorly.
Saucier/Thornton
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It often happens that laborers and artisans do not have
enough employment when there are too many of them to share
the business. It also happens that they can be deprived of
work by accidents and by variations in demand, or that they
are overburdened with work, according to the circumstances.
Be that as it may, when they have no work, they leave the
villages, towns or cities where they live in such numbers
and those who remain are always proportioned to the
employment that suffices to maintain them. When there is a
continuous increase of work, there are gains to be made and
others will move in to share the business.
From this, it is easy to understand that the charity
schools in England, and the proposals in France, to increase
the number of artisans, are useless. If the King of France
sent 100,000 of his subjects, at his expense, into Holland
to learn seafaring, they would be of no use when they
returned if no more vessels were sent to sea than before. It
is true that it would be a great advantage for a state to
teach its subjects to produce the manufactured goods that
are customarily drawn from abroad, and all the other
articles bought there, but I am, at present, only
considering a state in relation to itself.10
10
It should be remembered that in Cantillon‟s time, France was suffering under an economic policy of
severe mercantilism where all manufacturing was highly restricted, monopolized, heavily taxed, and
closely regulated. Therefore manufactured goods, primarily textiles, were sold at high prices and this
Saucier/Thornton
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As the artisans earn more than the laborers, they are
better able to raise their children into professions, and
there will never be a lack of artisans in a state when there
is enough work for their constant employment.11
encouraged imports. Cantillon found that subsidizing training was both expensive and unnecessary in a free
economy because skilled labor would be supplied if there was a demand as he stated in the following
paragraph. 11
Cantillon will emphasis throughout the Essai that manufacturing should be allowed to grow to its largest
natural extent because manufacturing labor earns higher wages (as he explained in Part 1 Chapter 7) and
therefore has a higher standard of living.
Saucier/Thornton
32
Chapter ten: The Price and Intrinsic Value of a Thing, in
General, is the Measurement of the Land and Labor, which
enter into its Production
Abstract: The intrinsic value can be measured by
the quantity of land and laborers, taking into
account the quality of land and labor. Some goods
are produced almost entirely with land, others
solely from labor. In the garden example,
intrinsic value is both the direct expenses of the
garden and the foregone value of land. Intrinsic
value of a choice never changes, but market prices
vary according to demand. Cantillon construction
of “intrinsic value” should therefore be
understood as the concept of opportunity cost, not
the essential nature of a thing.
One acre12 of land produces more wheat, or feeds more sheep,
than another. The work of one man is more expensive than
that of another, as I have already explained, according to
superior skill and circumstances of the time. If two acres
of land are of equal quality, one will feed as many sheep
12
Cantillon used the word arpent. In France, from the 16th
to 18th
centuries, the “arpent de Paris” was a unit
of land , which is equal to 0.84 acres.
Saucier/Thornton
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and produce as much wool as the other, assuming the labor to
be the same. In addition, the wool produced by one acre will
be the same, and will sell at the same price, as that
produced by the other.
If the wool of the one acre is made into a suit of
coarse cloth, and the wool of the other into a suit of fine
cloth, the latter will require more work and more expensive
workmanship, and it will sometimes be ten times more
expensive, though both contain the same quantity and quality
of wool. The quantity of the production of the land, and the
quantity as well as the quality of the labor, will
necessarily enter into the price.
A pound of flax processed into fine Brussels’ lace
requires the labor of 14 persons for a year, or of one
person for 14 years, as may be seen in the Supplement from a
calculation of the different processes. We also see that the
price obtained for the lace is sufficient to pay for the
maintenance of one person for 14 years, as well as the
profits of all the entrepreneurs and merchants concerned.
The refined steel spring, which regulates an English
watch, is generally sold at a price that makes the
proportion of material to labor, or of steel to spring, one
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34
to one million.13 In this case, labor makes up nearly all
the value of the spring. See the calculation in the
Supplement.
On the other hand, the price of hay in a field, on the
spot,14 or of trees we wish to cut down, is regulated by the
material production of the land, according to its quality.
The price for taking a jug of water from the Seine
River is nothing, because there is an immense supply, which
does not dry up. However, in the streets of Paris, people
give a sol15 for it, which is the price, or measure, for the
labor of the water carrier.
By these examples and inductions, I believe it will be
understood that the price, or intrinsic value of a thing, is
the measurement of the quantity of land and of labor
entering into its production, having regard to the fertility
or productivity of the land, and to the quality of the
labor.
But it often happens that many things, which actually
have a certain intrinsic value, are not sold in the market
13
The original French edition has “one to one,” but this is considered a scrivener‟s or printer‟s error. The
actual ratio has been estimated several times and “one to one million” is considered the likely or
approximate ratio calculated by Cantillon. 14
Cantillon wrote "rendu sur les lieux" which means, "once on site." Higgs‟s "on the spot" is not perfectly
clear, but Cantillon is clearly writing about hay that is being sold as it stands in the field and whether the
buyer must harvest the hay or is allowed to graze his animals in the field is less clear. 15
A silver, and later copper coin in France.
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35
according to that value: that will depend on the desires and
moods of men, and on their consumption.
If a gentleman digs ditches and raises terraces in his
garden,16 their intrinsic value will be proportional to the
land and labor; but the price, in reality, will not always
follow this proportion. If he offers to sell the garden, it
is possible that no one will give him half the expense he
has incurred. It is also possible that if several persons
desire it, he may be given double the intrinsic value; that
is twice the value of the land and the expense he has
incurred.
If the farmers in a state sow more wheat than usual
(i.e., much more than they should for the year's
consumption), the real and intrinsic value of the wheat will
correspond to the land and labor, which enter into its
production. However, as there is too great an abundance of
it, and there are more sellers than buyers, the market price
of the wheat will necessarily fall below the price or
intrinsic value. If, on the contrary, the farmers sow less
wheat than is needed for consumption, there will be more
16
It was a common practice in 18th
century gardening to raise the level of the garden, delineated by a
retaining wall and then a dry ditch which would keep grazing animals out of the garden without the use of a
fence which might hinder the view. Higgs translated “Si un Seigneur coupe des canaux & éleve des
terrasses dans son Jardin” as “If a gentleman cuts canals and erects terraces in his garden.” Here, Cantillon
seems to be commenting on the value of home improvements.
Saucier/Thornton
36
buyers than sellers, and the market price of wheat will rise
above its intrinsic value.
There is never variation in the intrinsic value of
things, but the impossibility of proportioning the
production of goods and products in a state, to their
consumption, causes a daily variation, and a perpetual ebb
and flow in market prices. However, in well-ordered
societies,17 the market prices of commodities and
merchandise, whose consumption is relatively constant and
uniform, do not vary much from the intrinsic value. In
addition, in years when production is not too meager or too
abundant, the city officials are even able to fix the market
prices of many things, like bread and meat, without anyone
having cause to complain.
Land provides the matter, and labor the form, of all
commodities and merchandise, and as those who work must
subsist on the production of the land, it seems that some
par value or ratio between labor and the production of the
land might be found. This will form the subject of the next
chapter.
17
Cantillon used the phrase “les Sociétés bien réglées” or well-regulated societies. That phrase conjures up
images of a government regulated economy and Cantillon was obviously speaking of the natural order of
the market economy. In the same paragraph he disparages government price controls by noting that the
market works so well that government officials can even fix prices without people complaining.
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37
Chapter eleven: Of the Par Value or Ratio between the Value
of Land and Labor
William Petty set off the search for a par value
between land and labor. Cantillon provides a
theoretical answer (referenced in Adam Smith’s
Wealth of Nations) that property owners must
provide their labor with the production of at
least twice the land necessary to sustain the
worker in order that enough children are raised to
maintain the workforce over time. The amount of
land will actually vary from job to job, person to
person, and among different countries and
societies. Therefore, the practical circumstances
of the world dictate that there is no such “par”
value between land and labor, only money—a “most
certain measure”—be used for income measurements
and comparisons.
It does not appear that Providence gave the right of land
possession to one man over another. The most ancient titles
are founded on violence and conquest. The lands of Mexico
belong today to the Spaniards and those of Jerusalem to the
Turks. But however people come to the ownership and
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38
possession of land, we already have observed that it always
falls into the hands of a small number of people compared to
the total number of inhabitants.
If the owner of a great estate manages it himself, he
will employ slaves or free men to work upon it. If he has
many slaves, he must have supervisors to make them work. He
must likewise have slave artisans to supply goods and life’s
pleasures for himself and his workers, and must have skills
taught to others in order to carry on the work.
In this economy, he must provide his laboring slaves
their subsistence and wherewithal to raise their children.
The supervisors must receive advantages proportional to the
confidence and authority that they possess. The slaves, who
are being taught a craft, must be maintained without any
return during the time of their apprenticeship. In addition,
the artisan slaves and their supervisors, who should be
competent in the crafts, must have a better subsistence than
the laboring slaves, etc., because the loss of an artisan
would be greater than that of a laborer, and more care must
be taken of him given the expense of training another to
take his place.
On this assumption, the labor of an adult slave of the
lowest class is worth at least as much as the quantity of
land that the owner is obliged to allot for his food and
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39
necessities, and also to double the land which serves to
raise a child until he is of age or fit for labor. Knowing
that half of the children born die before the age of 17,
according to the calculations and observations of the
celebrated Dr. Halley18, two children must be reared in
order to maintain one of them until working age, and it
seems that even this would not be enough to ensure a
continuance of the labor force because adult men die at all
ages.
It is true that the one half of the children who die
before 17, more die in the first years after birth than in
the following years, with at least one-third dying in their
first year. This seems to diminish the cost of raising a
child to working age. However, as the mothers lose much time
in nursing their children in illness and infancy, and the
daughters, even when grown up, are not the equals of the
males in work and barely earn their living, it seems that to
maintain one of two children to manhood or working age, as
much land must be employed as for the subsistence of an
adult slave. This is true whether the owner raises the
18
This is no doubt Dr. Edmond Halley (1656-1742) the famous astronomer who predicted in 1705 that a
comet would appear in 1758 based on Newton‟s laws of motion and comet sighting in the years 1531,
1607, and 1682. The comet did indeed return as predicted and was later named in his honor. Dr. Halley is
also credited with the publication of Newton‟s groundbreaking Principia Mathematica because he paid the
publication‟s expenses and corrected the proofs of the book that otherwise might not have been published.
Dr. Halley contributed to Issac Newton‟s Universal arithmetick, or, A treatise of arithmetical composition
Saucier/Thornton
40
children himself in his house or has them raised there, or
if the slave father brings them up in a house or hamlet
apart. Therefore, I conclude that the daily labor of the
lowest slave corresponds in value to double the produce of
the land required to maintain him, whether the owner gives
it to him for his subsistence and that of his family,19 or
provides him and his family subsistence in his own house.
This matter does not allow for an exact calculation, and
exactitude is not very necessary; it suffices to be near
enough to the truth.
If the owner employs the labor of vassals20 or free
peasants, he will probably maintain them better than slaves,
according to the custom of the place where he lives. Yet, in
this case, the work of a free laborer also ought to
correspond in value to double the product of land needed for
his maintenance. However, it will always be more profitable
for the owner to maintain slaves than to maintain free
peasants, because when he has raised too many slaves for his
requirements, he can sell the surplus, as he does his
cattle, and obtain for them a price proportionate to what he
and resolution: To which is added, Dr. Halley's method of finding the roots of aequations arithmetically
(1720). 19
In the Higgs edition (pp. 345-6), the French version of this section is italized, but the English version is
not. Apparently in the original manuscript only the first two words are underlined. This conclusion is
noteworthy because it is a conclusion that Adam Smith attributed to Cantillon in the Wealth of Nations. 20
Someone bonded to the land of a feudal landowner who would provide protection in exchange for the
alligience of the vassal.
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41
has spent in rearing them to manhood or working age, except
in cases of old age or infirmity.21
In the same way, one may appraise the labor of slave
artisans at twice the production of the land that they
consume and that of supervisors likewise, because of the
favors and privileges given to them above those who work
under them.
When the artisans or laborers have their double portion
at their own disposal, they employ one part of it for their
own upkeep, and if they are married, the other for their
children.
If they are unmarried, they set aside a little of their
double portion to enable them to marry and to save a little
for the household, however, most of them will consume the
double portion for their own maintenance.
For example, the married laborer will be satisfied to
live on bread, cheese, vegetables, etc., will rarely eat
meat, will drink little wine or beer, and will have only old
and shabby clothes, which he will wear for as long as he
can. The surplus of his double portion will be used to raise
21
Cantillon reaches the same conclusion as Fogel and Engerman (1974) did two hundred and forty four
years later. Cantillon found that slave labor was more profitable than free labor because the slave owner
can sell off any excess supply of labor and recoup his cost, while a landowner dependent of free labor can
only dismiss the labor and is unable to recoup his costs of rearing free labor. Fogel and Engerman base
their argument on empirical calculations and attribute profits to exploitation. Although both discuss
supervision and the loss of runaway slaves, neither consider the cost of policing a slave labor force which is
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42
and maintain his children. On the other hand, the unmarried
laborer will eat meat as often as he can, will buy himself
new clothes, etc. and use his double portion on his own
maintenance. Thus, he will personally consume twice as much
of the produce of the land as the married man.
I do not here take into account the expense of the
wife. I assume that her labor barely suffices to pay for her
own living, and when one sees a large number of little
children in one of these poor families, I assume that
charitable persons contribute something to their
maintenance. Otherwise, the parents must deprive themselves
of some of their necessities to provide for their children.
To better understand this, it is to be observed that a
poor laborer may maintain himself, at the lowest estimate,
upon the produce of an acre and a half of land, if he lives
on bread and vegetables, wears hemp garments, wooden shoes,
etc. However, if he can allow himself wine, meat, woolen
clothes, etc. he may, without drunkenness or gluttony, or
excess of any kind, consume the product of four to ten acres
of land of average quality, such as the case with most of
the land in Europe. I had some calculations made, which will
be found in the Supplement, in order to determine the yearly
the major difference between supervising a free and slave labor force and which greatly undermines the
profitability of slave labor.
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43
amount of land which one man can consume the product of
under each category of food, clothing, and other necessaries
of life, according to the ways of life found in Europe,
where peasants in different countries often are nourished
and maintained very differently.
This is why I did not determine how much land
corresponds in value to the work of the cheapest peasant or
laborer when I wrote that it was worth double the product of
the land used to maintain him because that varies according
the ways of life in different countries. In some southern
provinces of France, the peasant maintains himself on the
product of one acre and a half of land, and the value of his
labor may be reckoned equal to the product of three acres.
But in the county of Middlesex, the peasant usually consumes
the product of five to eight acres of land and his labor may
be valued at twice as much.
In the country of the Iroquois,22 where the inhabitants
do not plow the land and live entirely by hunting, the
common hunter may consume the product of fifty acres of
land, since it probably requires this amount to maintain the
animals he eats in one year, especially as these savages
have not the industry to grow grass by cutting down some
22
The six native American tribes of Northern and Western New York State lived under a Constitutional
confederacy called the Iroquois nation.
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44
trees, but leave everything to nature.23 The labor of this
hunter may then be reckoned equal in value to the product of
one hundred acres of land.24
In the southern provinces of China, the land yields up
to three crops of rice per year, and can bring in, each
time, up to a hundred times as much as is sown. This is
because of the great care they take with agriculture and the
fertility of the soil, which is never fallow. The peasants,
who work almost naked, live only on rice and drink only rice
water and it appears that one acre can support more than ten
peasants. It is not surprising, therefore, to see
extraordinary population numbers. In any case, it seems from
these examples that nature is altogether indifferent whether
land produces grass, trees, or grain, or maintains a large
or small number of vegetables, animals, or men.
Farmers in Europe seem to correspond to supervisors of
laboring slaves in other countries, and the master artisans,
who employ several journeymen artisans, to the supervisors
of artisan slaves.
23
In the original french version the paragraph ends here. In the Higgs translation he combines the
paragraphs. The natural paragraph break would include the next sentence (as we have done) and start the
next paragraph (which discusses China) with the the sentence that follows. This is possible evidence that
the french edition was made from a copy of the original manuscript. 24
This “nation” consisted of the Iroquois, Mohawk, Oneida, Onondaga, Cayuga and Tuscarora tribes of
western New York and surrounding areas of Pennsylvania and Canada. They actually did practice some
agriculture and are reported to have used the technique of burning down areas of forest lands to increase the
quantity of grass available for the animals that they hunted. They are also known to have used second
growth trees (those that grow after forest fires) to build the structures they lived in called longhouses. In
addition, the Iroquois nation had a very advanced form of constitutional government.
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These master artisans know approximately how much work
a journeyman artisan can do in a day in each craft, and
often pay them in proportion to the work they do, so that
the journeymen work as hard as they can, in their own
interest, without further supervision.
As the farmers and master artisans in Europe are all
entrepreneurs working at risk, some get rich and gain more
than double their subsistence, others are ruined and become
bankrupt, as will be explained more in detail in the
analysis of entrepreneurs [Part 1 Chapter 13]. However, the
majority supports themselves and their families from day to
day, and their labor or supervision may be valued at
approximately three times the product of the land that
serves for their maintenance.
Evidently, these farmers and master artisans, if they
are supervising the labor of ten laborers or journeymen
artisans, would be equally capable of supervising the labor
of twenty, according to the size of their farms or the
number of their customers. This renders uncertain the value
of their labor or supervision.
By these examples, and others of the same sort that
could be added, it is seen that the value of the day's work
has a relation to the product of the soil. The intrinsic
value of any thing may be measured by the quantity of land
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46
used in its production and the quantity of labor which
enters into it, that is to say, by the quantity of land of
which the product is allotted to the laborers. As all the
land belongs to the prince and the property owners, all
things that have this intrinsic value, have it only at their
expense.
The money or coin, which finds the proportion of values
in exchange, is the most certain measure for judging of the
par between land and labor and the ratio of one to the other
in different countries. This par varies according to the
greater or less produce of the land allotted to those who
labor.25
If, for example, one man earns an ounce of silver every
day by his work, and another in the same place earns only
half an ounce, one can conclude that the first has twice the
amount of the production of the land to spend as the second.
Sir William Petty26, in a little manuscript of the year
1685, considers this par or equation between land and labor
as the most important consideration in political arithmetic.
25
This paragraph is italicized in the French version of the Higgs edition, but not in the English version. It
was not underlined in Mirabeau‟s copy of the manuscript. However, it is a noteworthy point in the chapter. 26
William Petty (1623-1687) was an English statistician and political economist, but also was a scientist,
inventor, and entrepreneur. He is mostly known for his survey of Ireland and one of his most famous books
was the one Cantillon alludes to here, Treatise of Taxes and Contributions (1662, 1667 and 1685) although
Petty also discusses „par‟ in The Political Anatomy of Ireland (1691) and declared it the “most important
consideration of political economy.” Cantillon was obviously influenced by Petty, but mostly in the subject
matter, not method or conclusions, because Cantillon is distinctly hostile to Petty throughout. It is
interesting to note that Petty amassed a huge estate in Kerry County, Ireland (and throughout Ireland), the
Saucier/Thornton
47
However, the research he made in passing is fanciful and
remote from natural laws because he has attached himself,
not to causes and principles, but only to effects, as Mr.
Locke27, Mr. Davenant
28, and all the other English authors
who have written on this subject, have done after him.
same County in which the Cantillon family lost its estates. See Aspromourgos (1996) for a detailed analysis
of Petty and Cantillon on the subject of par value. 27
John Locke (1632-1704), English philosopher whose economic works include Some Considerations on
the Consequence of Lowering the Rate of Interest and Raising the Value of Money (1691), Short
Observations on a printed paper entitled, For encouraging the Coining of Silver Money in England, and
after for Keeping it here (1695), and Further Considerations concerning Raising the Value of Money
(1695). 28
Charles Davenant (1656-1714), English economist, lawyer, member of Parliament who was
Commissioner of the Excise (tax) from 1683 to 1689 and Inspector general of Exports and Imports from
1705 until his death in 1714. His important publications include An Essay on the East India Trade (1697),
Two Discourses on the Public Revenues and Trade of England (1698), An Essay on the probable means of
making the people the gainers in the balance of Trade (1699), and A Discourse on Grants and Resumptions
and Essays on the Balance of Power (1701).
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Chapter twelve: All Classes and Individuals in a State
Subsist or Grow Rich at the Expense of the Property Owners
Cantillon develops a circular-flow model of the
economy that shows the distribution of farm
production between property owners, farmers, and
workers. Farm production is exchanged for the
goods and services produced in the cities by
entrepreneurs and artisans. While the property
owners are “independent,” the model demonstrates
the mutual interdependence between all the classes
of people that Smith dubbed the “invisible hand”
in The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759).
There are none but the prince and the property owners who
live independent; all other classes and inhabitants are
hired or are entrepreneurs. The proof and detail of this
will be developed in the next chapter.
If the prince and property owners close their estates
and will not allow them to be cultivated, it is clear that
there would neither be food nor clothing for any of the
inhabitants of the state. Consequently, all the individuals
of the state are supported, not only by the product of the
land that is cultivated for the benefit of the owners, but
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49
also at the expense of these same owners from whose property
they derive all that they have.
The farmers generally have two thirds of the product of
the land: one for their expenses and the maintenance of
their assistants, the other for the profit of their
enterprise. On these two thirds, the farmer generally
provides, directly or indirectly, subsistence for all those
who live in the country, and also for artisans or
entrepreneurs in the city, because of the goods from the
city that are consumed in the countryside.
The owner usually has one third of the product of his
land, and on this third, he maintains all the artisans and
others, whom he employs in the city as well. This often
includes those who bring the goods from the countryside to
the city.
[Insert Cantillon’s Three Rents Diagram here]
It is generally assumed that one-half of the
inhabitants of a state subsist and reside in cities, and the
other half live in the country. That being the case, the
farmer, who has two-thirds or four-sixth of the product of
the land, pays directly or indirectly one-sixth to the city
residents in exchange for the goods he acquires from them.
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50
This sixth, with the one-third or two-sixths that the owner
spends in the city, makes three-sixths or one-half of the
products of the land. This calculation is only to convey a
general idea of the proportion; but in fact, if half of the
inhabitants live in the cities, they consume more than half
of the land's product. They live better than those who
reside in the countryside and consume more of the production
of the land because all artisans and dependents of the
property owners are better maintained than the assistants
and dependents of the farmers.
In any event, if we examine the means by which an
inhabitant is supported, one will always find, when going
back to the source, that their income comes from the owner’s
land, either in the two-thirds of the product reserved by
the farmer, or the one-third that remains with the owner.
[Insert Cantillon’s Circular Flow Diagram]
If a property owner only had enough land for one
farmer, the farmer would get a better living out of it than
the owner would. However, the nobles and large property
owners in the cities sometimes have several hundred farmers
and thus there are very few owners in proportion to all the
inhabitants of the state.
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51
It is true, that there are often several entrepreneurs
and artisans in the large cities who live by foreign trade,
and therefore, at the expense of foreign landowners. But at
present, I am only considering a state with regard to its
production and with its own industry, in order to avoid
cluttering my argument with accidental circumstances.29
The land belongs to the owners but would be useless to
them if it were not cultivated. The more labor is expended
on it, other things being equal,30 the more it produces; and
the more its products are refined, other things being equal,
the more value they have as goods. Therefore, the owners
need the inhabitants as they need the owners.31 However, in
this economy, it is the property owners who have the control
and direction of the landed capital, to give the most
advantageous turn and movement to the whole. Also,
everything in a state depends mainly on the moods, modes and
ways of life of the property owners, as I will try to
clearly show in the remainder of this essay.
Thus, need and necessity enable farmers, artisans of
every kind, merchants, officers, soldiers, sailors, domestic
servants and all the other classes who work or are employed
in the state, to exist. All these working people serve not
29
Here Cantillon employs the “closed economy” assumption, or condition, for his model. 30
Here Cantillon employs ceteris paribus conditions to his model.
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52
only the prince and the property owners, but each other as
well. Many of them do not work directly for the property
owners, and so it is not seen that they subsist on the
capital of these proprietors and live at their expense. As
for those whose professions are not essential, like dancers,
actors, painters, musicians, etc. they are only supported in
the state for pleasure or ornamentation, and their number is
always very small compared to the population.
31
This mutual dependance between the wealthy property owners and labor is what Adam Smith refers to as
the invisible hand in The Theory of Moral Sentiments.
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53
Cantillon’s Three Rents
Property Owner receives 1/3 of Production in Rent
Or
Lender receives 1/3 of Production in Interest
Or
Farmer retains 1/3 of Production in Profit
Farmer retains 1/3 of Production as Income
Labor receives 1/3 of Production as Wages
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Cantillon’s Circular Flow Economy
Property Owners
Farmers Entrepreneurs
Land
Rent
Goods
Commodities
Artisans Labor
Goods
Commodities
Work
Wages
Goods
Profits
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55
Chapter thirteen: The Circulation and Exchange of Goods and
Merchandise, as well as their Production, are Carried On in
Europe by Entrepreneurs, and at a Risk.
Abstract: Here Cantillon introduces, for the first
time, the theory of entrepreneurship.
Entrepreneurs are the prime directors of
resources. Their occupations come with risks due
to uncertainty, especially from competition and
changing tastes. As a result, their income can be
very large, but they also face the prospect of
bankruptcy. The property owner is independent in
having a large income (rent) from the land and the
capitalist, or large money owner, also can live
independent on interest. Everyone else is
ultimately dependent on the expenditures of
property owners for their livelihoods.
The farmer is an entrepreneur who promises to pay the
property owner, for his farm or land, a fixed sum of money
(generally assumed to be equal in value to a third of the
production) without assurance of the profit he will derive
from this enterprise. He employs part of the land to feed
herds, produce grain, wine, hay, etc. according to his
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56
judgment, without being able to foresee which of these will
pay the best price. The price of these products will depend
partly on the weather, partly on the demand; if wheat is
abundant compared to consumption, it will sell at a cheap
price, if there is scarcity, it will be expensive. Who can
predict the number of births or deaths that will occur
during the current year? Who can foresee the increase or
reduction in expenditures that can occur in families? And
yet the price of the farmer's product naturally depends upon
these unforeseen circumstances, and consequently, he
conducts the enterprise of his farm with uncertainty.
The city consumes more than half of the farmer's
products. He carries it to the market or sells it in the
market of the nearest town, or perhaps to entrepreneurs who
provide the transport. They obligate themselves to pay the
farmer a fixed price for his products—the market price of
the day—to receive an uncertain price in the city, which
should nonetheless defray the cost of transport and leave
them a profit. However, the daily variation in the price of
products in the city, though not considerable, makes their
profit uncertain.
The entrepreneur or merchant, who transports the
products of the countryside to the city, cannot stay there
to sell them retail until the products are consumed. No
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57
family in a city will burden itself with the purchase of the
products it may need over time all at once because each
family is susceptible to increase or decrease in size and
consumption, or at least to variation in the choice of
products it will consume. Wine is almost the only article of
consumption stocked by families. In any case, the majority
of citizens live from day to day, and even the largest
consumers will not be able to stock away products from the
countryside.
For this reason, many people set up as merchants or
entrepreneurs in the city, to buy the country products from
those who bring it or to have it brought on their account.
They pay a fixed price for them at the place where they are
purchased, to resell wholesale or retail at an uncertain
price.
Such entrepreneurs are the wholesalers of wool and
grain, and the bakers, butchers, manufacturers and merchants
of all kinds, who buy country production and materials to
work them up and resell them gradually as the inhabitants
require them for consumption.
These entrepreneurs never know how great the demand
will be in their city, nor how long their customers will buy
from them since their rivals will try, by all sorts of
means, to attract their customers. All this causes so much
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uncertainty among these entrepreneurs that every day one
sees some of them go bankrupt.
The manufacturer, who has bought wool from the merchant
or directly from the farmer, cannot know the profit he will
make in selling his cloths and fabrics to the tailor. If the
latter does not have reasonable sales, he will not burden
himself with the cloths and fabrics of the manufacturer,
especially if those fabrics have gone out of fashion.
The draper or clothier is an entrepreneur who buys
cloths and fabrics from the manufacturer at a certain price
in order to sell them again at an uncertain price, because
he cannot foresee the extent of the demand. He can, of
course, fix a price and abstain from selling unless he gets
it. However, if his customers leave him to buy cheaper from
another, he will be consumed by expenses while waiting to
sell at the price he demands, and that will ruin him as
soon, or sooner, than if he sold without profit.
Shopkeepers and retailers of every kind are
entrepreneurs who buy at a certain price and sell in their
shops or the markets at an uncertain price. What encourages
and maintains these entrepreneurs in a state is the fact
that the consumers, who are their customers, prefer paying a
little more to get what they want promptly and in small
quantities, rather than having to stock up. In addition,
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most of them do not have the means to stock up by buying
from wholesalers.
All these entrepreneurs become consumers and customers
of each other, the draper of the wine merchant, and vice
versa. In a state, they proportion themselves to the
customers or their consumption. If there are too many hat
makers in a city or on a street for the number of people who
buy hats, the least patronized must go bankrupt. On the
other hand, if there are too few, it will be a profitable
business, which will encourage new hat makers to open shops
and in this manner, entrepreneurs of all kinds adjust
themselves to risks in a state.
All the other entrepreneurs, like those who take charge
of mines, theaters, buildings, the traders by sea and land,
restaurateurs, pastry cooks, innkeepers, etc., as well as
the entrepreneurs of their own labor who need no capital to
establish themselves, like journeymen artisans,
coppersmiths, seamstresses, chimney sweeps, water
transporters, live with uncertainty and proportion
themselves to their customers. Master craftsmen like
shoemakers, tailors, carpenters, wigmakers, etc., who employ
journeymen according to the work they have, live with the
same uncertainty since their customers may leave them any
day. The entrepreneurs of their own labor in art and
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science, like painters, physicians, lawyers, etc. live in
the same uncertainty. If one attorney or lawyer earns 5,000
livres sterling per year in the service of his clients or in
his practice, and another earns only 500, their income is
just as uncertain as those that employ them.
It may perhaps be urged that entrepreneurs seek to
snatch all they can in their calling and to get the better
of their customers, but this is outside my subject.32
By all these inductions, and an infinity of others that
could be made to extend this matter to the entire population
of the state, it may be established that, except for the
prince and the property owners, all the inhabitants of a
state are dependent. They can be divided into two classes,
entrepreneurs and hired workers. The entrepreneurs are on
unfixed wages while the others are on fixed wages as long as
there is work, although their functions and ranks may be
very unequal. The general who has his pay, the courtier33
his pension and the domestic servant who has wages, all fall
into this last class. All the others are entrepreneurs,
whether they are set up with capital to conduct their
enterprise, or are entrepreneurs of their own labor without
capital, and they may be regarded as living under
32
Here Cantillon avoids the normative and subjective issue of which person gains more in exchange, the
buyer or seller. 33
Someone from the royal family, royal court, or royal appointment.
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uncertainty; even the beggars and the robbers are
entrepreneurs of this class. Finally all the inhabitants of
a state derive their living and their advantages from the
property of the landowners and are dependent.
It is true, however, that if some person on high wages
or some large entrepreneur has saved capital or wealth (that
is if he has reserves of wheat, wool, copper, gold, silver
or some commodity or merchandise in constant use or
circulation in a state having an intrinsic or a real value)
he may be justly considered independent as long as the
capital lasts. He may exchange it to acquire a mortgage, and
receive income from the land and from public loans secured
upon the land. He may even live better than the small
landowners and buy property from some of them.
But commodities and merchandise, even gold and silver,
are much more subject to accident and loss than the
ownership of land. And however one may have earned or saved
them, they are always derived from the land of actual
owners, either by wages or by the saving of wages destined
for one's subsistence.
The number of money owners34 in a large state is often
quite considerable. Though the value of all the money that
circulates in the state barely exceeds the ninth or tenth
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62
part of the value of the production drawn from the soil,
because the proprietors of money lend considerable amounts
for which they receive interest either by a mortgage on land
or the commodities and merchandise of the state, the sums
due to them usually exceed all the money in the state. They
often become so powerful a body that they could, in certain
cases, rival the property owners if the owners were not
often also money owners, and if the owners of large sums of
money did not also seek to become property owners
themselves.
Nevertheless, it is always true that all the sums
earned or saved have been drawn from the land of the current
owners. However, because so many property owners in a state
ruin themselves daily, and those who acquire the property
take their place, the independence given by the ownership of
land applies only to those who keep possession of it. As all
land always has a master or current owner, it is from their
property that all the inhabitants of the state derive their
living and all their wealth. If these owners confined
themselves to living within their rental income, this would
be beyond question, and in that case, it would be much more
difficult for the other inhabitants to grow rich at their
expense.
34
The term capitalist had not been coined when Cantillon wrote the Essai.
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I will therefore establish as a principle that the
property owners alone are naturally independent in a state;
all the other classes are dependent, whether entrepreneurs
or hired, and that all the exchange and circulation of the
state is conducted by the actions of these entrepreneurs.
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64
Chapter Fourteen: The Desires, Fashions, and Ways of Life of
the Prince, and especially of the Property Owners, Determine
the Use to which Land is put in a State, and Cause the
Variations in the Market Prices of all Things
Cantillon constructs a model of the isolated
estate or closed economy where the choices of
property owners determine outputs and prices,
regardless if they manage the isolated estate or
lease it to farmers. Mistakes of the farmers or
changes in demand by the property owners cause
changes in prices, profits and losses, which drive
the economy back to equilibrium. The result is
that the price system directs resources to the
same outcome as that provided by the direct
management of the estate owner, ala Adam Smith’s
use of the “invisible hand” in the Wealth of
Nations.
If the owner of a large estate (that I wish to consider here
as if there were no other in the world)35 cultivated it
himself, he will follow his desires in the uses he puts it
to. (1) He will necessarily use part of it for grain to feed
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65
the laborers, artisans and supervisors who work for him, and
another part to feed the cattle, sheep and other animals
necessary for their clothing and food or other conveniences,
according to the way in which he wishes to maintain them.
(2) He will turn part of the land into parks, gardens, fruit
trees or vines according to his inclinations, and into
meadows for the horses he will use for his pleasure, etc.
Let us now assume that to avoid all the care and
trouble, he makes a deal with the supervisors of the
laborers, gives them farms or pieces of land, and leaves to
them the responsibility for maintaining, in the usual
manner, all the laborers they supervise. The supervisors,
now farmers or entrepreneurs, give the laborers, for working
on the land or farm, another third of the production for
their food, clothing and other requirements, such as they
had when the owner employed them. Assume further that the
owner makes a deal with the supervisors of the artisans for
the food and other conveniences that he gave them, that he
makes the supervisors become master artisans, fixes a common
measure, like silver, to settle the price at which the
farmers will supply them with wool, and they will supply him
with cloth, and that the prices give the master craftsmen
the same advantages and enjoyments they had when they were
35
Closed economy assumption invoked here.
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66
supervisors, and maintain the journeymen artisans the same
as before. The artisans’ work will be paid for by the day or
by the piece, and the merchandise they have made, hats,
stockings, shoes, clothes, etc. will be sold to the property
owner, farmers, laborers, and other artisans reciprocally,
at a prices that leaves all of them with the same advantages
as before. The farmers will sell, at a proportionate price,
their produce and raw material.
It will then come to pass that the supervisors, now
entrepreneurs, will become the absolute masters of those who
work under them, and they will have more care and
satisfaction in working on their own account. We assume that
after this change, all the people on this large estate live
just as they did before, and all the portions and farms of
this great estate will be put to the same use as they
formerly were.
If some of the farmers sowed more grain than usual,
they will feed fewer sheep and have less wool and mutton to
sell. Consequently, there will be too much grain and too
little wool for the consumption of the inhabitants. Wool
will be expensive, which will force the inhabitants to wear
their clothes longer than usual, and there will be too much
grain and a surplus for the following year. And as we assume
that the property owner has stipulated for the payment in
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67
silver for the third of the production of the farm that is
owed to him, the farmers who have too much grain and too
little wool, will not be able to pay him the rent. If he
excuses them, they will plan to have less grain and more
wool for the next year, for farmers always take care to use
their land for the production of those things, which they
think will fetch the best price at market.36 If, however,
next year they have too much wool and too little grain for
the demand, they will not fail to change from year to year
the use of the land, until they arrive at proportioning
their production to the consumption of the inhabitants. Thus
a farmer who has appropriately proportioned his output to
consumption will have part of his farm in grass, for hay,
another for grain, wool and so on, and he will not change
his plan unless he sees some considerable change in demand.
However, in this example, we have assumed that all the
people live approximately in the same way as when the
property owner cultivated the land for himself, and
consequently, the farmers will employ the land for the same
purposes as before.
The owner, who has one-third of the product of the land
at his disposal, is the principal agent in the changes that
36
Cantillon model of the isolated estate where the direction of resources is transferred from the estate
owner to a number of entrepreneurs is probably the basis of Adam Smith use of the invisible hand in the
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may occur in demand. Laborers and artisans, who live from
day to day, change their way of living only out of
necessity. However, some well-to-do farmers, master artisans
and other entrepreneurs, whose expenses and compensations
vary, will always take as their models the nobility and
property owners. They imitate them in their clothing, meals,
and way of life. If the property owners like to wear fine
linen, silk, or lace, the demand for these goods will be
greater than that of the owners themselves.
If a noble or property owner, who has leased out all
his lands to farm, decides to considerably change his way of
life; if, for example, he decreases the number of his
domestic servants and increases the number of his horses,
not only will his servants be forced to leave the estate in
question, but also a proportionate number of artisans and of
laborers who worked to maintain them. The portion of land
that was used to maintain these inhabitants will be turned
into pasture for the new horses, and if all landowners in
the state did the same, they would soon increase the number
of horses and diminish the number of inhabitants.
When a property owner has dismissed a great number of
domestic servants, and increased the number of his horses,
Wealth of Nations. Here is a clear statement of how self interest drives consumer sovereignty in the market
economy.
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69
there will be too much wheat for the needs of the
inhabitants, and so the wheat will be cheap and hay
expensive. That will make the farmers enlarge their pastures
and decrease wheat production to proportion production with
consumption. Thus the demands of the owners determine the
use of the land and when they bring about the variations in
demand, this causes variations of market prices. If all the
property owners of a state cultivated their own estates,
they would use them to produce what they wanted. As the
variations of demand are chiefly caused by their way of
living, the prices that they offer in the market determine,
for the farmers, all the changes that they make in the
employment and use of the land.37
I do not consider here the variations in market prices,
which may arise from the good or bad harvest of the year, or
the extraordinary consumption, which may occur from foreign
troops or other accidents. In order to not complicate my
subject, I am considering only a state in its natural and
uniform condition.38
37
Here again Cantillon is showing how the market economy transmits the demands of consumers and
directs the allocation of resources and the production of goods ala the invisible hand. 38
More simplifying assumptions (or ceteris paribus conditions) regarding weather, crop production, war,
and other conditions.
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70
Chapter Fifteen: The Increase and Decrease of the Number of
People in a State, chiefly Depends on the Taste, the
Fashions, and the Ways of Life of the Property Owners
Abstract: Population is based on the tastes and
choices of property owners. Early versions of the
Malthusian approach to population growth—that it
follows some mathematical formula—are criticized.
This chapter also shows that the opulence and
lavish spending of the prince and absentee
landlords living far from their lands was
responsible for the poverty and declining
population of France, which ultimately led to the
French Revolution.
Experience shows that trees, plants and other kinds of
vegetation can be increased to any quantity, to the extent
that the land allocated to them can support.
The same experience shows that all the animal species
can be multiplied to any quantity, which the land allotted
to them can support. Horses, cattle, sheep can easily be
multiplied up to the number that the land will support. One
can even improve the fields allocated for this purpose by
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irrigation, as in Milan.39 Hay can be grown to raise cattle
in stables and feed them in larger numbers than if they were
allowed to freely roam in the fields. Sheep may be fed on
turnips, as in England, so that more can be fed with an acre
of land than if it were pasture.
In a word, we can multiply all sorts of animals in such
numbers as we wish to maintain, even to infinite numbers if
we could find lands in infinite quantity to nourish them;
and the multiplication of animals has no other bounds than
the greater or lesser means allotted for their subsistence.
There is no doubt that if all land was devoted to the simple
sustenance of man, the race would increase up to the number
that the land would support in the manner to be explained.
There is no country where population is carried to a
greater height than in China. The common people are
supported by rice and rice water; they work almost naked and
in the southern provinces, and they have three plentiful
harvests of rice each year, thanks to the great care they
give to agriculture. The land is never fallow and yields
more than a hundredfold every year.40 Those who wear clothes
generally have cotton clothing, which needs so little land
for its production that an acre of land, it seems, is
39
Here Cantillon notes that technology in the form of irrigation increases the productivity of resources. He
has been critized for ignoring the role of technolical progress. 40
Yields more than one hundred times the amount of seed that is planted.
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capable of producing a quantity of clothing sufficient for
500 adults. The Chinese, by the principles of their
religion, are obliged to marry, and raise as many children
as their means of subsistence will afford. They look upon it
as a crime to use land for pleasure gardens or parks,
defrauding the public of food. They transport travelers in
sedan chairs, and save the work of horses upon all tasks,
which men can perform. Their number is incredible, according
to the descriptions of China’s visitors,41 however, they are
forced to let many of their children die in the cradle, when
they are unable to support them, keeping only the number
they can feed. By hard and persistent labor, they draw from
the rivers an extraordinary quantity of fish, and from the
land, all that is possible.
Nevertheless, when bad years come, they die of hunger
by the thousands in spite of the care of the emperor, who
stores rice for such contingencies. Numerous then as the
people of China are, they are necessarily proportioned to
their means of living and do not exceed the number the
country can support, according to their standard of living;
and on this level, a single acre of land will support many
of them.
41
Higgs translated this as “Relations of Voyages” a common title of books written by travellers and
explorers of foreign lands.
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73
On the other hand, there is no country where the
increase of population is more limited than among the
savages in the interior parts of America. They neglect
agriculture, live in the forests, and live by hunting the
animals found there. As the trees consume the sap and
substance of the earth, there is little pasture for animals,
and since an Indian eats several animals in a year, 50 or
100 acres often supply only enough food for a single Indian.
A small tribe of these Indians will have 40 square
leagues42 for its hunting ground. They wage regular and
bitter wars over these boundaries, and always proportion
their numbers to their means of support from hunting.
The Europeans cultivate the land and draw grain from it
for their subsistence. The wool of their sheep provides them
with clothing. Wheat is the grain on which most of them are
fed, but some peasants make their bread of rye, and in the
north from barley and oats. The food of the peasants and the
people is not the same in all countries of Europe, and land
is often different in quality and fertility.
Most of the land in Flanders,43 and part of that in
Lombardy,44 yields eighteen to twenty times the wheat sown,
without lying idle. The countryside of Naples yields still
42
Roughly 100 square miles. 43
Now located in northern Belgium. 44
Now located in northern Italy.
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more. There are some parts of France, Spain, England and
Germany, which yield the same amount. Cicero tells us that
the land of Sicily in his time yielded tenfold, and the
elder Pliny says that the Leontine45 lands in Sicily yielded
a hundred times the seed sown, those of Babylon a hundred
and fifty times, and some African lands a good deal more.
Today, land in Europe yields on the average six times
what is sown, so that five times the seed remains for the
consumption of the people. Land usually lays fallow the
third year, producing wheat the first year and barley and
oats the second.
In the supplement there are estimates of the amount of
land required to support a man, according to the different
assumptions made about his way of living.
It will be seen there that a man who lives on bread,
garlic and roots, wears only hemp garments, coarse linen,
wooden shoes, and drinks only water, like many peasants in
the south of France, can live on the produce of an acre and
a half of land of average quality, yielding a sixfold
harvest and laying fallow every third year.
On the other hand, an adult man, who wears leather
shoes, stockings, woolen cloth, who lives in a house and has
a change of linen, a bed, chairs, table, and other
45
Leontini was a city state on the east coast of Sicily, just north of Syracuse.
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necessities, moderately drinks beer or wine, eats meat every
day, butter, cheese, bread, vegetables, etc. sufficiently
and yet moderately, needs less than the product of four to
five acres of land of average quality. It is true that in
these estimates no land is allotted for horses, except those
needed to plow and for the transport of the products a
distance of ten miles.
History records that the first Romans each maintained
his family on two journaux46 of land, equal to one Paris
acre, and approximately 330 square feet. They were almost
naked, had no wine or oil, slept in straw, and hardly had
any comforts, but because they intensely cultivated the
land, which is fairly good around Rome, they drew from it
plenty of grains and vegetables.
If the property owners had the desire to increase the
population they would encourage peasants to marry young and
raise children by promising to provide them with
subsistence, devoting the land entirely to that purpose, and
they would doubtless increase the population up to the point
that the land could support, according to the products
allotted for each person, whether those of an acre and a
half, or four to five acres.
46
Higgs did not translate Cantillon‟s journaux, but the Roman jugerum was their unit of land measurement
and is equal to approximately 2/3rds of an English acre.
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But if instead, the prince, or the property owners,
made them use the land for other purposes than the upkeep of
the people: if, by the prices they offer in the market for
commodities and merchandise, they determine that the farmers
will employ the land for other purposes than the maintenance
of men (for we have seen that the prices they offer in the
market and their consumption determine the use made of the
land, just as if they cultivated it themselves), the people
will necessarily decrease in number. Some will be forced to
leave the country for lack of employment while others, not
having the necessary means of raising children, will not
marry or will only marry late, after having saved for the
support of the household.
If the property owners who live in the country move to
the cities far away from their land, horses must be fed for
the transport of food into the city for both the owner and
all the domestic servants, artisans and others, whom their
residence in the city will attract.
The transport of wine from Burgundy to Paris often
costs more than the wine itself costs in Burgundy.
Consequently, the land employed for the upkeep of wagon
horses, and those who look after them, is more considerable
than the land that produces the wine and supports those who
have taken part in its production. The more horses there are
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in a state, the less food will remain for the people. The
upkeep of wagon, hunting, or show horses often takes three
or four acres of land each.
But when the nobility and property owners draw from
foreign manufactures their cloths, silks, laces, etc. and
pay for them by sending to the foreigner their native
products, they significantly diminish the subsistence of the
inhabitants and increase that of foreigners, who often
become enemies of the State.
If a nobleman or property owner in Poland, to whom his
farmers yearly pay a rent equal to about one third of the
product of his land, uses the cloths, linens, etc. of
Holland, he will pay, for these goods, one half of the rent
he receives, and perhaps use the other half for the
subsistence of his family, on other products and rough
manufactures of Poland. However, half his rent, on our
assumption, corresponds to one-sixth of the production of
his land, and this sixth part will be carried away by the
Dutch to whom the farmers of Poland will deliver wheat,
wool, hemp and other products. Here then is a sixth part of
the land of Poland withdrawn from its people, to say nothing
of the feeding of the wagon horses, carriage horses and show
horses maintained in Poland, because of the life style of
the nobility. Furthermore, if out of the two thirds of the
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production of the land allotted to the farmers, the latter,
imitating their masters, consume foreign manufactures that
they also pay to the foreigners in raw products of Poland,
there will be a good third of the production of the land in
Poland removed from the food of the people, and, what is
worse, mostly sent to foreigners and often serving to
support the enemies of the State. If the property owners and
the nobility in Poland would consume only the manufactures
of their own state, bad as they might be at the outset, the
products would soon become better, and it would maintain a
greater number of their own people at work, instead of
giving this advantage to foreigners. And if all states took
precautions not to be the dupes of other states in matters
of commerce, each state would be considerable only in
proportion to its products and the industry of its people.47
If the ladies of Paris enjoy wearing Brussels lace, and
if France pays for this lace with Champagne wine, the
production of a single acre of flax must be paid for with
the production of sixteen thousand acres of vineyards, if my
calculations are correct. This will be more fully explained
elsewhere and the figures are shown in the supplement.
Suffice it to say that in this transaction, a great amount
47
The long distant transportation of bulky commodies entail a reduced purchasing power for property
owners and less sustanance for the local people.
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79
of the production of the land is withdrawn from the
subsistence of the French, and all the products sent abroad,
unless an equally considerable amount of products is brought
back in exchange, tends to diminish the number of people in
the state.48
When I said that the property owners might multiply the
population as far as the land would support them, I assumed
that most men desire nothing better than to marry if they
are set in a position to maintain their families in the same
style as they are content to live themselves. That is, if a
man is satisfied with the production of an acre and a half
of land, he will marry if he is sure of having enough to
maintain his family in the same style. However, if he is
only satisfied with the product of five to ten acres, he
will be in no hurry to marry, unless he thinks he can
support his family in the same manner.
In Europe, the children of the nobility are brought up
in affluence; and as the largest share of the property is
usually given to the eldest sons, the younger sons are in no
hurry to marry. They usually live as bachelors, either in
the army or in the monasteries, but will seldom be found
unwilling to marry if they are offered heiresses and
48
Notice that Cantillon is not arguing over the gains from trade, but that trading necessities for luxuries has
the effect of reducing the population and recall from previous chapters that such reductions involve
poverty, starvation, and emigration.
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80
fortunes, or the means of supporting a family on the level
they consider appropriate and without which, they think they
will make their children unhappy.
In the lower classes of the state, there also are men
who, from pride and from reasons similar to those of the
nobility, prefer to live in celibacy and to live on the
little that they have, rather than settle down in family
life. But most of them would gladly set up a family if they
could count on supporting their family as they wish. They
would consider it an injustice to their children if they
brought them up only to fall into a lower class than
themselves. Only a few men in a state avoid marriage because
of a pure libertine spirit. All the lower classes wish to
live and raise children who can live at least like
themselves. When laborers and artisans do not marry, it is
because they wait until they save enough to enable them to
set up a household or to find some young woman who brings a
little capital for that purpose. Every day, they see others
like themselves who, for lack of such precautions, start a
family and fall into the most frightful poverty, being
obliged to deprive themselves of their own food in order to
nourish their children.
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From the observations of Mr. Halley,49 at Breslaw in
Silesia [a region in Poland], it is found that of all the
females capable of child bearing, from 16 up to 45 years of
age, not one in six actually bears a child every year.
Instead, says Mr. Halley, there ought to be at least four or
six who should have children every year, without including
those who are barren or have stillbirths. The reason why
four women out of six do not bear children every year is
that they cannot marry because of the discouragement and
difficulties in their way. A young woman takes care not to
become a mother if she is not married; she cannot marry
unless she finds a man who is ready to run the risk of it.
Most of the people in a state are hired or are
entrepreneurs; most are dependent and live in uncertainty
whether they will find by their labor or their enterprise
the means of supporting their household on an acceptable
level. Therefore, they do not all marry, or marry so late
that of six women, at least four should produce a child
every year, but there is actually only one in six who
becomes a mother.
If the property owners help to support the families, a
single generation would suffice to push the increase of
49
Edmond Halley, “An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind, drawn from curious Tables of
the Births and Funerals at the City of Breslaw; with an Attempt to ascertain the Price of Annuities upon
Lives,” Philosophical Transactions, 196 (London, 1693), p.596-610.
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population as far as the production of the land will supply
the means of subsistence. Children do not require as much of
the land’s production as adults. Both can live on more or
less according to their consumption. The northern people,
where the land produces little, have been known to live on
so little production that they have sent out colonists and
swarms of men to invade the lands of the south, destroy the
inhabitants, and appropriate their land.50 According to the
different manner of living, 400,000 people might subsist on
the same products of the land, which ordinarily supports
only 100,000. A man who lives on the production of an acre
and a half of land, may be stronger and braver than one who
consumes the production of five or ten acres. Therefore, it
seems pretty clear that the number of inhabitants in a state
depends on their means of subsistence. As the means of
subsistence depend on the method of cultivating the soil,
and this method depends chiefly on the taste, desires, and
manner of living of the property owners, the increase and
decrease of population also stand on the same foundation.
The increase of population can be carried furthest in
the countries where the people are content to live the most
poorly and to consume the least production of the soil. In
countries where all the peasants and laborers are accustomed
50
Cantillon is here refering to the Vikings of Scandanvia.
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to eat meat and drink wine, beer, etc. not many inhabitants
can be supported.
Sir William Petty, and after him Mr. Davenant,
Inspector of the Customs in England, seem to depart from
nature when they try to calculate the propagation of the
race by progressive generations from Adam, the first father.
Their calculations seem to be purely imaginary and to be
drawn up at random. On the basis of what they have seen of
the actual birth rate in certain districts, how could they
explain the decrease of those innumerable people formerly
found in Asia, Egypt, etc. and even in Europe? If 17
centuries ago, there were 26 million people in Italy, now
reduced to 6 millions at most, how can it be determined by
the progressions of Mr. King that England,51 which today
contains 5 or 6 million inhabitants, will probably have 13
millions in a certain number of years? We see daily that
Englishmen, in general, consume more of the product of the
land than their fathers did, and this is the real reason why
there are fewer inhabitants than in the past.
51
This must refer to Gregory King (1648-1712) who was born at Litchfield, England. He was a painter,
engraver, printer, and mapmaker. He later became interested in “political arithmetic” and wrote Natural
and Political Observations and Conclusions upon the State and Condition of England, in 1696. Although
not published for more than a century later, Malthus refers to King‟s population statistics (of 1693) and
seems to have been influenced by them. King‟s calculations indicated that the number of births exceeded
the number of death by a ratio of 115 to 100.
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Men multiply like mice in a barn if they have unlimited
means of subsistence. The English in the colonies will
become more numerous, in proportion, in three generations
than they would in 30 in England, because in the colonies,
they cultivate new tracts of land from which they expel the
savages.52
In all countries at all times, men have waged wars for
the land and the means of subsistence. When wars have
destroyed or diminished the population of a country, the
savages and civilized nations soon repopulate it in times of
peace; especially when the prince and the property owners
lend their encouragement.
A state, which has conquered several provinces, may, by
tribute imposed on the vanquished, acquire an increase of
subsistence for its own people. The Romans drew a great part
of their subsistence from Egypt, Sicily and Africa and that
is why Italy then had so many inhabitants.
A state where mines are found, where manufactures do
not require much of the production of the land to export
their goods to foreign countries, and which receives from
them, in exchange, plentiful merchandise and commodities
from the land, provides a larger subsistence fund for its
subjects.
52
Cantillon‟s forecast is remarkably accurate.
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The Dutch exchange their labor in navigation, fishing
and manufacturing, principally with foreigners, for the
products of their land. Otherwise, Holland could not support
half of its population. England buys from abroad
considerable amounts of timber, hemp and other materials or
products of the soil and consumes much wine for which she
pays in minerals, manufactured goods, etc. That saves the
English a great quantity of the production of their soil.
Without these advantages, the people of England, based on
their standard of living, could not be as numerous as they
are. The coal mines save them several million acres of land,
which would otherwise be needed to grow timber.
But all these advantages are refinements and
exceptional cases, which I mention only incidentally. The
natural and constant way of increasing population in a state
is to find employment for the people there, and to make the
land provide their means of support.
It is also a question outside of my subject whether it
is better to have a great multitude of inhabitants, poor and
badly provided for, or a smaller number with better means; a
million who consume the product of six acres per head or
four million who live on the product of an acre and a half.
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Chapter Sixteen: The more Labor there is in a State, the
more the State is Judged Naturally Rich
Abstract: The wealth of a nation depends on
putting the labor force to work. Those who are
unnecessary for farming can be employed in making
higher quality products and manufactured goods,
particularly durable goods made from metal. Saving
is the key determinant of wealth and gold is a
particularly useful form of savings because it can
purchase all things, even in time of war. The
prince and property owners determine how people
will be employed by their consumption choices,
while the Catholic Church reduces the resources
available to materially sustain the people.
In a long calculation included in the supplement, it is
shown that the labor of 25 adults is sufficient to provide
for 100 others adults with all the necessities of life,
according to the European standard of living. In these
estimates, it is true that food, clothing, housing, etc. are
coarse and rather elementary, but there is ease and
abundance. It may be assumed that a good third of the people
in a state are too young or too old for daily work, and that
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another sixth are property owners, sick, or entrepreneurs of
different sorts, who do not, by the labor of their hands,
contribute to the different needs of men. That makes half
the people without work, or at least without the work in
question. So if 25 persons do all the work needed for the
maintenance of 100 others, there remain 25 persons out of
the 100 who are capable of working but have nothing to do.
The soldiers, and the domestic servants in well-to-do
families, will form part of these 25. And if all the others
are employed refining, by additional labor, the things
necessary for life, like making fine linen, fine cloth,
etc., the state will be judged rich in proportion to this
increase in labor, though it adds nothing to the quantity of
things needed for the subsistence and maintenance of men.
Labor gives an additional taste to food and drink. A
fork, a knife, etc. finely made, are more valuable than
those roughly and hastily made. The same may be said of a
house, a bed, a table, and everything needed for the
comforts of life.
It is true that it is of little difference in a state
whether people are accustomed to wear coarse or fine clothes
if both are equally lasting, and whether people eat nicely
or coarsely if they have enough and are in good health.
Drink, food, clothing, etc. are equally consumed, and
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whether finely or coarsely produced, this type of wealth is
not permanent.
But it is always true to say that the states where fine
cloths, fine linen, etc. are worn, and where people eat
properly and delicately, are considered rich compared to
those where these things are cruder. Furthermore, the states
where one sees more people living in the finest manner are
considered wealthier than those where one sees fewer in
proportion.
But if the 25 persons in 100 of whom we have spoken
were employed to produce durable commodities, like mining
iron, lead, tin, copper, etc. and refining them into tools
and instruments for the use of men, such as bowls, plates
and other useful objects that are much more durable than
earthenware, the state will not only appear to be richer,
but will be in reality.
It will be so, especially if these people are employed
in mining gold and silver from the earth, which are not only
durable metals, but are, so to speak, permanent. Fire itself
cannot destroy them, they are generally accepted as the
measure of value, and they can always be exchanged for any
of the necessities of life. And if these inhabitants work to
bring gold and silver in a state, in exchange for the
manufactures and work that they produce and send abroad,
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their labor will be equally useful and will in reality
improve the state.
The point that seems to determine the comparative
greatness of states is their reserve stock above the yearly
consumption, [i.e., savings] like reserves of cloth, linen,
grain, etc. to be used in times of need, or war. And as gold
and silver can always buy these things, even from the
enemies of the state, gold and silver are the true reserve
stock of a state, and the larger or smaller the actual
quantity of this stock necessarily determines the
comparative greatness of kingdoms and states.53
If it is the practice to import gold and silver from
abroad by exporting the commodities and merchandise of the
state, such as grain, wine, wool, etc., this will enrich the
state, but at the expense of a decrease in population.
However, if gold and silver are imported from abroad in
exchange for the labor of the people, such as manufactured
goods and articles which contain little of the production of
the soil, this will enrich the state in a useful and
essential manner. It is true that in a great state, the 25
persons in 100, of whom we have spoken, cannot all be
employed in making articles for foreign consumption. A
53
Notice that Cantillon does not follow the mercantilist tradition where gold in circulation is viewed as a
source of wealth. He concluded that gold as saving is a source of wealth because it can be traded for
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million men, for example, would make more clothing than
would be annually consumed in the entire commercial world.
Most people in every country are clothed with local
products, and there will seldom be found, in any state,
100,000 persons employed in making clothing for foreigners.
This is shown in the supplement with regard to England,
which, of all the nations of Europe, supplies the most cloth
to foreigners.
In order for the consumption of the manufactures of a
state to become significant in foreign countries, the goods
must be well made and highly respected by a large
consumption inside the state. This is necessary to discredit
all foreign manufactures and give plenty of employment to
the inhabitants.54
If enough employment cannot be found to occupy the 25
persons in 100 with work that is useful and profitable to
the state, I see no objection to encouraging employment
which serves only for ornament or amusement. The state is
not considered less rich for a thousand toys, which serve to
consumption goods in the future, like inventories of capital goods, and that gold has the additional
advantage of being exchangeable for goods from foreign countries in times of war, even from the enemies. 54
Higgs translated Cantillon‟s “il faut y décréditer toutes les Manufactures Etrangeres, & y donner
beaucoup d'emploi aux Habitans” as “It is needful to discourage all foreign manufacturers and to give
plenty of employment to the inhabitants.” Out of context, this is a classic mercantilist statement and Higgs
must have been expecting such statements from a writer from the mercantilist period. In context, however,
it does not make sense. Cantillon has already showed in Part 1 Chapter nine that the king cannot create jobs
via subsidized training, and here, he specifically writes that by first producing quality products that are
valued locally is the manner by which export-related manufacturing jobs are eventually created for the
inhabitants.
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entertain the ladies or even men, or are used in games and
diversions, than it is for useful and serviceable objects.
It is said that Diogenes, at the siege of Corinth, would
roll his barrel so that he might not seem idle while all
others were at work. And we have today societies of men and
women occupied in work and exercise as useless to the state
as that of Diogenes. As long as the labor of a man supplies
ornament or even amusement in a state, it is worth while to
encourage it, unless the man can find a way to employ
himself usefully.
It is always the inspiration of the property owners,
which encourages or discourages the different occupations of
the people, and the different kinds of labor that they
invent.
The example of the prince, followed by his court, is
generally capable of determining the inspiration and tastes
of the other property owners, and the example of these last
naturally influences all the lower ranks. Therefore, and
without a doubt, a prince is able, by his own example and
without any constraint, to give such a turn as he likes to
the labor of his subjects.
If each owner in a state had only a little piece of
land, like that which is usually leased to a single farmer,
there would hardly be any cities. The people would be more
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numerous and the state richer if every owner employed the
inhabitants supported on his land with some useful work.
However, when the nobles have great estates, they
necessarily bring about luxury55 and idleness. Whether an
Abbot at the head of 100 monks living on the produce of
several fine estates, or a nobleman with 50 domestic
servants and horses kept only for his service, live on these
estates, would be indifferent to the state, if it could
remain in constant peace.
But a nobleman with his retinue and his horses is
useful to the state in time of war. He can always be useful
in the judicial system and the keeping of order in the state
in peacetime. And in every case, he is a great ornament to
the country, while the monks are, as people say, neither
useful nor ornamental in peace or war, on this side of
heaven.
The convents of mendicant friars are much more
pernicious to a state than those of the closed orders. The
closed orders usually do no more harm than to occupy estates
which might serve to supply the state with officers and
judges, while the mendicants, who are themselves without
55
Here the use of the word ―luxury‖ seems harmless enough, but it will play an important role in Part Two
and Part Three. For Cantillon was not just refering to luxury goods or a high standard of living, but to what
we might refer to as decedence and opulence as practiced by the French nobility leading up to the French
Revolution. In more recent times we saw similar behavior by the leaders of Enron, WorldCom, and Teco
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useful employment, often interrupt and hinder the labor of
other people. They take from poor people in charity the
subsistence which ought to fortify them for their labor.
They cause them to lose much time in useless conversation,
not to speak of those who involve themselves in families and
those who are malicious. Experience shows that the countries
which have embraced Protestantism, and have neither monks
nor mendicants, have become visibly more powerful. They also
have the advantage of having suppressed a great number of
holy days when no work is done in Roman Catholic countries,
and which diminish the labor of the people by about an
eighth part of the year.
If a state wanted to achieve its full potential, it
might be possible, it seems to me, to diminish the number of
mendicants by incorporating them into the monasteries, as
vacancies or deaths occur. This could be done while still
providing places in the monastery for those who show little
or no aptitude in speculative sciences,56 but who are
capable of advancing the practical arts, i.e. in some area
of mathematics.57 The celibacy of churchmen is not as
Industries. Cantillon explains that political manipulations can cause macroeconomic conditions that lead to
such behavior on a large scale and ultimately to economic chaos or collaspe. 56
Cantillon seems to be referring to the theoretical sciences and philosophy. Aristotle divided the
“speculative sciences” into mathematics, physics and metaphysics. 57
In Catholic areas, monasteries owned a considerable amount of land, produced large amounts of goods,
and contributed significantly in the areas of education, innovation, invention, and practical science.
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disadvantageous as is popularly believed, as is shown in the
preceding chapter, but their idleness is very harmful.
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Chapter Seventeen: Of Metals and Money, and especially of
Gold and Silver
Abstract: Gold and silver were highly valued
before they were used as money. They hold many
advantages over other goods such as durability,
divisibility, transportability, and homogeneity.
These are the reasons which led gold, silver, and
copper to be chosen as money, not “fancy” or
common consent. When princes debase money or issue
imaginary money, they hurt the economy.
As land produces more or less grain, according to its
fertility and the labor expended on it, so does the mines of
iron, lead, tin, gold, silver, etc., produce more or less of
these metals, according to the richness of the mines and the
quantity and quality of the labor expended upon them, in
digging, draining, smelting, refining, etc. Work in silver
mines is expensive because of the mortality it causes, and
rarely does one last more than five or six years in this
work.
The real or intrinsic value of metals is, like
everything else, proportional to the land and labor that
enter into their production. The outlay on the land for this
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production is considerable only so far as the owner of the
mine can obtain a profit from the work of the miners when
the veins are unusually rich. The land needed for the
subsistence of the miners and workers, that is the mining
labor, is the principal expense and often the downfall of
the owner.
The market value of metals, as with other commodities
and merchandise, is sometimes above, sometimes below, the
intrinsic value, and varies with their abundance or
scarcity, according to demand.
If the property owners, and the lower classes in a
state who imitate them, rejected the use of tin and copper,
wrongly supposing that they are injurious to health, and if
they all used dishes and utensils of earthenware, these
metals would be at a very low price in the markets, and the
work that was carried on to extract them from the mine would
be discontinued. But as these metals are found useful, and
are employed in everyday life, they will always have a
market value corresponding to their abundance or scarcity,
and the demand for them. These metals will always be mined
in order to replace what is lost by daily use.
Iron is not only useful for daily life, but may be said
to be, in a certain way, necessary. And if the [native]
Americans, who did not make use of iron before the discovery
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of their continent, had found mines and had known how to use
it, there is little doubt that they would have labored to
produce it whatever the cost.
Gold and silver are capable of serving not only the
same purpose as tin and copper, but also most of the
purposes of lead and iron. They have this further advantage
over other metals in that they are not consumed by fire and
are so durable that they may be considered permanent. It is
not surprising, therefore, that the men who found the other
metals useful, valued gold and silver even before they were
used in exchange. The Romans prized them from the time of
the foundation of Rome and yet only used them as money five
hundred years later. Perhaps all other nations did the same
and only adopted these metals as money long after using them
for other purposes. However, we find from the oldest
historians that from time immemorial, gold and silver were
used as money in Egypt and Asia, and we learn in the Book of
Genesis that silver monies were made in the time of Abraham.
Let us assume that silver was first found in a mine of
Mount Niphates58 in Mesopotamia.
59 It is natural to think
that one or more property owners, finding this metal to be
beautiful and useful, were the first to use it, and
58
Located in modern-day Armenia, north of Iran and east of Turkey. 59
Correspond roughly to modern-day Iraq.
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willingly encouraged the miner or entrepreneur to extract
more of it from the mine, giving him, in return for his work
and that of his assistants, as much of the production of the
land as they needed for their maintenance. This metal became
more and more highly valued in Mesopotamia because as the
large landowners bought ewers60 made of silver, the lower
classes, according to their means or savings, would buy
silver cups. The entrepreneur of the mine, seeing a constant
demand for his goods, certainly placed a value proportional
to its quality or weight against the other commodities or
merchandise which he took in exchange. While everybody
looked on this metal as a precious and durable object and
strove to own a few pieces of it, the entrepreneur, who
alone could supply it, was in a position to demand in
exchange an arbitrary quantity of other commodities and
merchandise.61
Assume now that on the other side of the Tigris River,
and therefore outside Mesopotamia, a new silver mine is
discovered, of which the veins are exceptionally richer and
larger than those of Mount Niphates, and that the working of
this new mine, which was easily drained, required less labor
than that of the first.
60
Decorative water pitcher. 61
Here Cantillon describes the single seller monopolist who must choose the price rather than having it
decided in the marketplace.
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The entrepreneur of this new mine was naturally in a
position to supply silver much cheaper than the entrepreneur
of Mount Niphates. The people of Mesopotamia, who wished to
have pieces and objects of silver, would find it more
advantageous to export their merchandise and give it to the
entrepreneur of the new mine in exchange for silver, rather
than obtaining it from the original entrepreneur. The first
mine owner, finding a smaller demand, would of necessity
reduce his price; but the new entrepreneur lowering his
price in proportion would obligate the first mine owner to
stop his output. Then the price of silver, in exchange for
other commodities and merchandise would necessarily be fixed
by the price at the new mine. Silver would then cost less to
the people beyond the Tigris than to those of Mesopotamia,
who had to bear the cost of transporting their commodities
and merchandise far away to obtain silver.
It is easy to conceive that when several silver mines
were found and the property owners had developed a taste for
this metal, they were imitated by the other classes. The
pieces and fragments of silver, even when not worked up,
were sought after eagerly, because nothing was easier than
to make such articles from them as were desired, according
to their quantity and weight. As this metal was at least
valued at what it cost to produced, a few people who
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possessed some of it, finding themselves in need, could pawn
it to borrow the things they wanted, and later even sell it
outright. Hence there arose the custom of fixing its value
in proportion to its quantity or weight in exchange for all
products and merchandise. But as silver can be combined with
iron, lead, tin, copper, etc., which are more common metals
that are mined at less expense, the exchange of silver was
subject to much fraud. This caused several kingdoms to
establish mints in order to certify, by a public coinage,
the true quantity of silver that each coin contains and to
give to individuals, who bring bars or ingots of silver to
the mint, the same quantity in coins bearing a stamp or
certificate of the true quantity of silver they contain.
The costs of these certificates or coinage are
sometimes paid by the public, or by the prince. It was the
method followed in ancient times in Rome and today in
England. Sometimes, those who take silver to be coined pay
for minting, as is the custom in France.
Pure silver is hardly ever found in the mines. The
ancients did not know the art of refining it to perfection.
They always made their silver coins of fine silver, and yet,
those which remain of the Greeks, Romans, Jews and Asians,
are never perfectly pure. Today, we are more skilled: the
secret for making pure silver has been discovered. However,
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the different methods of refining it are not part of my
subject. Many authors have treated the subject, Mr.
Boizard62 among others. I will only observe that there is a
good deal of expense in refining silver and for this reason,
an ounce of fine silver is generally preferred to two
ounces, which contain one half of copper or other alloy. It
is expensive to separate the alloy and extract the ounce of
pure silver, which is in these two ounces, while by simple
smelting, any other metal can be combined with silver in any
proportion desired. When copper is sometimes used as an
alloy to fine silver, it is only to render it more malleable
and more suitable to make objects out of it. But in the
valuation of all silver, the copper or alloy is reckoned at
nothing, and only the amount of fine pure silver is
considered. For this reason, an assay is always made to
ascertain the amount of pure silver.
Assaying is merely refining a little piece of a bar of
silver, for example, to find how much pure silver it
contains and to judge the whole bar by this small sample. A
small portion of the bar, twelve grains for example, is cut
off and nicely weighed with scales that are so accurate, a
thousandth part of a grain will sometimes turn the scale.
62
Jean Boizard Traité des monoyes de leurs circonstances & dépendances (editions of 1692, 1696, 1711,
1714).
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Then the sample is refined by nitric acid or by fire, and
the copper or alloy separated. When the silver is pure, it
is weighed again in the same scale and if it then weighs
eleven grains instead of twelve, the assayer says that the
bar is eleven parts fine, i.e. it contains eleven parts of
pure silver and one of copper or alloy. This will be more
easily understood by those who have had the curiosity to see
assays carried out. There is nothing mysterious about it.
Gold is assayed in the same way, with the only difference
being that the degrees of fineness of gold are divided into
twenty-four parts called carats, since gold is more
precious; and these carats are divided into thirty-two
parts, while the degrees of fineness of silver are only
divided into twelfths, called deniers,63 and these are each
divided into twenty-four grains.
Usage has conferred upon gold and silver the term
intrinsic value, to designate and signify the quantity of
true gold or silver contained in a bar. However, in this
essay, I have always used the term intrinsic value to
signify the amount of land and labor that are entered into
production, not having found any term more suitable to
express my meaning. I mention this only to avoid
63
Deniers were also a small coin of varying composition and value in western Europe from the eighth
century to the French Revolution and represented a small value.
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misunderstanding. When the subject is not gold or silver,
the term will always apply, without any confusion.64
We have seen that the metals such as gold, silver,
iron, etc., serve several purposes and have a value
proportional to the land and labor that enter into their
production. In the second part of this essay, we will see
that because of trade, men had to use a common measure in
order to find the proportion and the value of the
commodities and merchandise they wished to exchange. The
only question is what commodity or merchandise would be most
suitable for this common measure, and whether it was
necessity, rather that choice, which has given this
preference to gold, silver and copper, which are generally
in use today for this purpose.
Ordinary products like grain, wine, meat, etc. have a
real value and serve the needs of life, but they are all
perishable and difficult to transport, and therefore, are
hardly suitable to serve as a common measure.
Goods such as cloth, linen, leather, etc. are also
perishable and cannot be subdivided without in some way
changing their value for the service of men. Like raw
produce, they cost a good deal to transport and they even
64
Cantillon used the term ―intrinsic value‖ to represent what we now know as ―opportunity cost.‖
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are expensive to store. Consequently, they are unsuitable as
a common measure.
Diamonds and other precious stones, even if they had no
intrinsic value and were demanded only by taste, would be
suitable for a common measure if they were not susceptible
to imitation and if they could be divided without loss. With
these defects, and that of being unserviceable in use, they
cannot serve as a common measure.
Iron, which is always useful and fairly durable, would
not serve badly in absence of anything better. It is
consumed by fire, and is too bulky in large quantities. It
was used from the time of Lycurgus [in Sparta] till the
Peloponnesian War; but as its value was necessarily based
intrinsically, or in proportion to the land and labor that
entered into its production, a great quantity of it was
needed for a small value. It is curious that they spoiled
the quality of the iron coins with vinegar to make them
unfit for other uses other than exchange.65 Thus, it could
only serve the austere Spartans, and they themselves could
not continue after they extended their interaction with
other countries. To ruin the Spartans, one needed only to
find rich iron mines, to make money like theirs, and use it
65
Lycurgus is thought to be the lawgiver and ruler that established the military culture of Sparta and
abolished gold and silver coins in favor of iron. Cantillon reports here that not only was iron unfit for
monetary use, but that the Spartans intentionally made the coins unfit for anything other than monetary use.
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to buy their commodities and merchandise, while they
couldn’t get anything from abroad for their spoiled iron. At
that time, they did not concern themselves with any foreign
trade, but only with war.
Lead and tin have the same disadvantage of bulk as iron
and are consumable by fire, but in case of necessity, they
would not do badly for exchange if copper was not more
suitable and durable.
Copper alone served as money to the Romans until 484
years after the founding of Rome, and in Sweden, it is still
used even for large payments. However, it is too bulky for
very considerable payments, and the Swedes themselves prefer
payment in gold or silver, rather than in copper.
In the American colonies, tobacco, sugar, and cocoa
have been used as money, but these commodities are too
bulky, perishable, and of unequal quality. Therefore, they
are hardly suitable to serve as money or as a common measure
of value.66
Gold and silver alone are of small volume, equal
quality, easily transported, divisible without loss,
convenient to keep, beautiful and brilliant articles are
made from them, and they are almost eternally durable.
Everyone who has used other articles for money returns to
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them as soon as they can get enough for exchange. It is only
in the smallest purchases that gold and silver are
unsuitable. Gold or even silver coins of the value of a
liard or a denier67 would be too small to be handled easily.
It is said that the Chinese, in small transactions, cut off
little pieces with scissors from their plates of silver, and
weigh the pieces. But since their trade with Europe, they
have begun to use copper for such occasions.
It is then not surprising that all countries managed to
use gold and silver as money or a common measure of value,
and copper for small payments. Utility and need decided for
them, and not taste or consent. Silver requires much labor
and expensive labor for its production. Silver miners are
highly paid because they rarely live more than five or six
years at this work, which causes a high mortality.
Therefore, a little silver coin corresponds to as much land
and labor as a large copper coin.
Money, or the common measure of value, must correspond
in fact and reality in terms of land and labor to the
articles exchanged for it. Otherwise it would only have an
imaginary value. For example, if a prince or a republic gave
currency in the state to something that had no real and
66
British mercantilist policies made gold and silver artificially scarce. 67
Both the liard and the denier were small French copper coins.
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intrinsic value, not only would the other states refuse to
accept it on that basis, but the inhabitants themselves
would reject it when they perceived its lack of real value.
When towards the end of the first Punic War, the Romans
wished to give their copper coin, the “as,” which weighed
two ounces, the same value as the “as” of one pound or
twelve ounces had before, it could not long be maintained in
exchange. The history of all times shows that when princes
have debased their money, keeping it at the same nominal
value, all raw commodities and merchandise have gone up in
price in proportion to the debasement of the coinage.
Mr. Locke says that the consent of mankind has given
its value to gold and silver. This cannot be doubted since
absolute necessity had no share in it. It is the same
consent that has given, and does give every day, a value to
lace, linen, fine cloths, copper, and other metals. Man
could subsist without any of these things, but it must not
be concluded that they have only an imaginary value. They
have a value proportional to the land and labor that enter
into their production. Gold and silver, like other goods and
food products, can only be produced at costs roughly
proportional to the value set upon them, and whatever man
produces by labor, this labor must provide his maintenance.
It is the great principle that one hears every day from the
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mouths of the humble classes, who have no part in our
speculations, and who live by their labor or their
enterprise. "Everybody must live."
End of the first part.
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Part Two: Money and Interest
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Chapter One: Barter
Abstract: Because the opportunity cost of a good
cannot be fixed, it is impossible to know the
proper exchange ratios for barter. This problem is
overcome in the market by using commodities that
have marketable characteristics, such as
transportability, durability, and a recognized
economic value, to serve as a medium of exchange.
Prices of goods do not strickly follow the
quantity theory of money.
In part one, an attempt was made to prove that the real
value of everything used by men is proportional to the
quantity of land used for its production, and for the upkeep
of those who produced it. In this part two, I will start by
summing up the different degrees of land fertility in
several countries, and the different kinds of products it
can bring forth in greater abundance, according to its
intrinsic quality. Then, assuming the establishment of towns
and their markets to facilitate the sale of these products,
it will be shown, by comparing exchanges that could be made,
wine for cloth, wheat for shoes, hats, etc., and by the
difficulty involved in transporting these different products
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or merchandises, that it was impossible to fix their
respective intrinsic value. Therefore, it was absolutely
necessary for men to find a substance easily transportable,
not perishable, and having, by weight, a proportion or
value68 equal to the different products and merchandises,
whether needed or convenient. Hence there arose the choice
of gold and silver for large business, and of copper for
small transactions.
These metals are not only durable and easy to
transport, but correspond to the employment of a large area
of land for their production, which gives them the true
value people seek in an equivalent [i.e. a medium of
exchange].69
Mr. Locke who, like all the English writers on this
subject, has looked only to market prices, establishes that
the value of all things is proportional to their abundance
or scarcity, and to the abundance or scarcity of the silver
for which they are exchanged [i.e. the naïve quantity theory
of money]. It is generally known that the prices of products
and merchandise have increased in Europe ever since a great
quantity of silver has been imported from the West Indies.
68
Here again Cantillon makes a direct connection between ―proportional‖ and economic value. 69
In the 1952 French edition of the essay, a note underlines the fact that Cantillon was attached to the idea
that money must first be a good before it can become money. This is an issue that Condillac also stressed.
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However, I think we must not believe, as a general
rule, that the market prices of things ought to be
proportional to their quantity and to the amount of silver
in circulation in a particular place, because the products
and merchandise that are to be exported do not influence the
prices of those which remain. If, for example, there is
twice as much wheat in a market town than what is consumed
there, and we compare the whole quantity of wheat to that of
silver, the wheat would be more abundant, in proportion, to
the silver destined for its purchase. The market price will
be maintained just as if there were only half the quantity
of wheat, since the other half can be, and even must be,
sent into the city, and the cost of transport will be
included in the city price, which is always higher than that
of the town. Nevertheless, apart from the case of hoping to
sell in another market, I consider that Mr. Locke's idea is
correct in the sense of the following chapter, and not
otherwise.
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Chapter Two: Of Market Prices
Abstract: Market prices are determined by the
bargaining between suppliers and demanders. Price
determination by supply and demand is illustrated
with a thought experiment that uses a fixed
quantity of a perishable product (i.e. green peas)
and known maximum valuations of consumers.
Let us assume that there are butchers on one side, and
buyers on the other. The price of meat will be determined
after some bargaining, and a pound of beef will be valued in
silver [i.e. money] approximately the same as all beef
offered for sale in the market [i.e. supply], is to all the
silver brought there to buy beef [i.e. demand].
This proportion [or price] is settled by bargaining.
The butcher sets his price according to the number of buyers
he sees, while the buyers, on their side, offer less if they
think the butcher will make fewer sales. The price set by
some is usually followed by others. Some are cleverer in
marketing their merchandise, others in discrediting them.
This method of fixing market prices has no exact or
geometrical foundation, since it often depends upon the
eagerness or the abilities of a small number of buyers or
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sellers. However, it does not appear that it could be done
in a more suitable way. It is clear that the quantity of
products or merchandise offered for sale, proportioned to
the demand or number of buyers, is the basis on which is
fixed, or always assumed to be fixed, actual market prices.
In general, these prices do not vary much from intrinsic
value.
Let us take another case. Several hotel managers have
been told at the beginning of the season to buy green peas.
One owner has ordered the purchase of 10 quarts for 60
livres, another 10 quarts for 50 livres, a third 10 quarts
for 40 livres, and a fourth 10 quarts for 30 livres. If
these orders are to be carried out, there must be 40 quarts
of green peas in the market. Suppose there are only 20. The
sellers, seeing many buyers, will keep up their prices, and
the buyers will come up to the prices asked, so that those
who offer 60 livres for 10 quarts will be the first served.
The sellers, seeing later that no one will go above 50, will
let the other 10 quarts go at that price. Those who had
orders not to exceed 40 and 30 livres will go away empty
handed.
If instead of 40 quarts there were 400, not only would
the hotel managers get the green peas much below the sums
laid down for them, but the sellers, in order to be
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preferred over the others by the few buyers, will lower
their green peas almost to their intrinsic value, and in
that case, many managers who had no orders will buy some.
It often happens that sellers, who are too stubborn in
keeping up their price in the market, miss the opportunity
of selling their products or merchandise to their advantage
and are thereby losers. It also happens that by sticking to
their prices, they may be able to sell more profitably
another day.
Distant markets can always affect the prices of local
markets: if wheat is extremely expensive in France, its
price will increase in England and in other neighboring
countries.
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116
Chapter Three: The Circulation of Money
Abstract: Farm production produces three rents,
one of which sustains the farm workers, while the
other two can be sold at wholesale to
entrepreneurs who in turn provide property owners
and farmers with goods and merchandise. This is
the circular flow model of the economy. Money
facilitates the flow and timing of rent payments
(i.e. “velocity”) and the rate of the monetary
flow determines the ratio between the quantity of
money and the value of annual production. This
model is then used to explain the implications of
international trade.
It is the general opinion in England that a farmer must make
three rents. The first is the principal and true rent that
he pays to the property owner, which is assumed to be equal
in value to one-third of the farm’s output. A second rent
goes for his maintenance and that of the men and horses he
employs to operate the farm, and a third rent that he keeps
for making the business profitable.
The same idea generally is the norm in other countries
of Europe, though in some states, like Milan, the farmer
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117
gives up half the product instead of a third. It is also
true that many landlords in all countries try to lease their
farms at the highest price they can; but when it is above
one-third of the product, the farmers generally are very
poor. I do not doubt that the Chinese landowner extracts
from his farmer more than three-fourths of the product of
the land.
However, when a farmer has some capital to carry on the
management of this farm, the owner who leases him the farm
for one-third of the product will be sure of payment and
will be better off by such a deal than if he leases his land
at a higher rate to a poor farmer and faces the risk of
losing all his rental income. The larger the farm, the
better off the farmer will be. This is seen in England where
farmers are generally more prosperous than in other
countries where farms are small.
The assumption I shall make in this inquiry of the
circulation of money is that farmers earn three rents and
they spend the third rent to live more comfortably, instead
of saving it. This is indeed the case with most farmers in
all countries.
All the products in the state come directly or
indirectly from the hands of the farmers, as well as all the
materials from which commodities are made. The land produces
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118
everything but fish, and even then, the fishermen who catch
the fish must be maintained by the products of the land.
The three rents of the farmer must therefore be
considered the principal sources or, so to speak, the
mainspring of circulation in the state. The first rent must
be paid to the property owner in cash. For the second and
third rents, cash is needed for the iron, tin, copper, salt,
sugar, cloth, and generally all the products from the city
that are consumed in the countryside. However, all that
hardly exceeds one-sixth of the total of the three rents. As
for the food and drink of the country folks, cash is not
always necessary to obtain them.
The farmer may brew his beer or make his wine without
spending money. He can make his bread, slaughter the oxen,
sheep, pigs, etc. that are eaten in the country. He can pay
most of his assistants in wheat, meat, and drink, not only
laborers, but country artisans as well, by valuing products
at the prices of the nearest markets, and labor at local
wage rates.
The things necessary to life are food, clothing, and
housing. There is no need for cash to obtain food in the
country, as I have just explained. If coarse linen and
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119
cloths are made there70 and if houses are built there, as is
often the case, the labor may be paid in barter by valuation
without cash being needed.
The only cash needed in the countryside is for the rent
payment to the property owner and for the goods obtained
from the city, such as knives, scissors, pins, needles,
cloths for some farmers or other well-to-do people, kitchen
utensils, plates, and generally all that is obtained from
the city for use in the countryside.
I have already noted that it has been estimated that
half the inhabitants of a state live in the cities, and that
consequently, those who live in the city consume more than
half the production of the land. Cash is therefore
necessary, not only for the rent payment to the owner,
corresponding to one-third of the product of the land, but
also for the city merchandise consumed in the country, which
may amount to something more than one-sixth of the product
of the soil. However, one-third and one-sixth amount to half
the product. The cash circulating in the country must
therefore be equal to at least one-half the product of the
land, while the other half, or somewhat less, may be
consumed in the country without need for cash.
70
In Cantillon’s example of the opportunity cost of an apprenticeship, he included the cost of clothing the
apprentice because children on the farm contributed much to the production of their homespun clothing,
while the apprentice does not.
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120
The circulation of this money takes place when the
property owners spend the rents they collected in lump sums
from the farmers on retail purchases in the city. The
entrepreneurs of the cities (e.g. butchers, bakers, brewers,
etc.) then collect this same money, little by little, in
order to buy goods from the farmers, such as cattle, wheat,
barley, etc. In this way, all the large sums of money are
distributed in small amounts, and all the small amounts are
then collected to make payments in large amounts, directly
or indirectly, to the farmers. Therefore this money serves
both in wholesale and retail.
When I stated that the necessary quantity of money for
circulation in the countryside is often equal to half the
product of the land, this is the minimum. For the
circulation in the countryside to be easily conducted, I
will suppose that the cash needed is equal in value to two-
thirds of the farmers’ income, or two-thirds of the product
of the land. It will be seen later that this assumption is
not far from the truth.
Let us now imagine that the money conducting the whole
circulation in a small state is equal to 10,000 ounces of
silver, and that all the payments made with this money,
country to city, and city to country, are made once a year.
In addition, these 10,000 ounces of silver are equal in
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121
value to two of the farmers’ rents, or two-thirds of the
product of the land. The rents collected by the property
owners will correspond to 5,000 ounces, and the whole
circulation of the remaining silver between the people of
the countryside and those of the city, made by annual
payments, also will correspond to 5,000 ounces.
However, if the owners stipulate that their farmers
make payments every six months instead of once a year, and
if the other debtors also make their payments every six
months, this will alter the pace of circulation. While
10,000 ounces were needed to make the annual payments, only
5,000 will now be required because 5,000 ounces paid twice
over will have the same effect as 10,000 ounces paid once.
Furthermore, if the owners stipulate that their farmers
make quarterly payments, or if they are satisfied to receive
payments from the farmers as the four seasons enable them to
sell their products, and if all other payments are made
quarterly, only 2,500 ounces will be needed for the same
circulation that would have required 10,000 ounces paid
annually. Therefore, supposing that all payments are made
quarterly in the small state in question, the proportion of
the value of the money needed for the circulation is to the
annual product of the soil (or the three rents), as 2,500
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livres is to 15,000 livres, or 1 to 6, so that money would
correspond to a one-sixth of the annual production.
However, considering that each branch of the
circulation [i.e. the economy] in the cities is carried out
by entrepreneurs, and that the consumption of food is paid
for daily, weekly, or monthly, and that clothing purchased
once or twice a year by families is paid for at different
times by different people; and considering also that the
expenditure on beverages is usually made daily, and that
payment for beer, coal, and a thousand other articles of
consumption is very prompt, then it would seem that the
proportion we have established for quarterly payments would
be too high and that the circulation of products estimated
at 15,000 ounces of silver in value could be conducted with
much less than 2,500 ounces of silver coins.
However, because farmers have to make large payments to
the owners at least every quarter and that the taxes
collected by the prince or the State upon consumption goods
are accumulated by the tax collectors to make large payments
to the Receivers-General, there must be enough cash in
circulation to make these large payments without difficulty,
and without hindering the circulation of currencies for the
food and clothing of the people.
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123
It will be understood from this that the proportion of
the amount of money needed for circulation in a state is not
incomprehensible, and that this amount may be greater or
less in a state depending on the mode of living and the
speed of payments. It is very difficult to lay down anything
definite about this quantity in general, as the proportion
may vary in different countries. Therefore, it is only
conjectural when I say that generally, "the cash or money
necessary to carry on the circulation and exchange in a
state is roughly equal in value to one-third of all the
owners’ annual rents of the said state."
Whether money is scarce or plentiful in a state, this
proportion will not change much, because where money is
abundant, land is leased at higher rates and at lower rates
where money is scarce. This rule will always be true, at all
times. In states where money is scarcer, there usually is
more barter by valuation, than in those where money is
plentiful, and circulation is more prompt and less sluggish
than in those where money is not so scarce. Thus it is
always necessary, when estimating the amount of money in
circulation, to take into account the speed of its
circulation.
Assuming that the money in circulation is equal to one-
third of all the owners’ rents and that these rents equal to
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124
one-third of the annual product of the land, it follows that
"the money circulating in a state is equal in value to the
one-ninth of all the annual product of the land."
Sir William Petty, in a 1685 manuscript, frequently
assumes that the money in circulation is equal to one-tenth
of the product of the land without explaining his reasoning.
I believe he formed this opinion from experience and from
his practical knowledge of both the money circulating in
Ireland (a country he had measured as a surveyor) and of
production, which he estimated from observation. I am not
far removed from his idea, however, I chose to compare the
money circulating to the owners' rents, which are ordinarily
paid in cash and easily ascertainable by a uniform land tax,
rather than to the products of the land because of their
daily price variations in the markets, and the fact that a
large part of the product is consumed without ever entering
the markets. In the next chapter, I shall give several
reasons, supported by examples, to strengthen my conclusion.
I think this rule is useful, even if it is not
mathematically exact in any country. It is sufficient if it
is near the truth and if it prevents governors of states
from forming extravagant ideas about the amount of money in
circulation. There is no branch of knowledge in which one is
more subject to error than statistics when they are based on
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125
one’s imagination, and none is more informative when they
are based upon detailed facts.
Some cities and states, which have no land to call
their own, subsist by exchanging their labor and
manufactured goods for the products of other lands. For
example, in Hamburg, Dantzig, several other cities of the
Empire, and even part of Holland, it seems more difficult to
estimate the amount of cash in circulation. However, if we
could estimate the amount of foreign land used for their
subsistence, the calculation would probably not differ from
the one I made for the other states that chiefly subsist on
their own products, and which are the subject of this essay.
As to the cash needed to carry on foreign trade, it
seems that no more is required than what is in circulation
in the state when the balance of foreign trade is equal,
that is when the products and merchandise sent abroad are
equal in value to those imported.
If France sends cloth to Holland and receives spices of
equal value in return, the property owner who consumes these
spices pays their value to the grocer, who pays the same
amount to the cloth maker, to whom the same amount is due in
Holland for the cloth he sent there. This is done using
bills of exchange, which I will explain later. These two
payments take place in France, unconnected to the rent of
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126
the property owner, and no money leaves France because of
these transactions. All other classes of society consuming
Dutch spices similarly pay the grocer. Those living on the
first rent, that is the property owners, pay from this rent,
and those who live on the other two rents, in the country or
the city, pay the grocer, directly or indirectly, out of the
money that conducts the circulation of these rents. The
grocer again pays this money to the manufacturer in Holland
for his bill of exchange and when the balance is equal, no
increase of money is needed for circulation in the state due
to foreign trade. But if it is not equal, if more
merchandise is sold to Holland than is bought back, or vice
versa, money is needed for the surplus that Holland must
send to France or France to Holland. This will increase or
diminish the amount of money circulating in France.
It may even occur that when the balance with the
foreigner is equal to the trade with him, commerce with this
foreigner may slow down the circulation of currencies, and
consequently, a greater quantity of money is required
because of this commerce.
For example, if the French ladies who wear French
fabrics wish to wear Dutch velvets paid for by the cloth
sent to Holland, they will buy these velvets from the
merchants who imported them from Holland, and these
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127
merchants will pay the cloth manufacturers. The money thus
passes through more hands than if these ladies took their
money to the cloth manufacturers and contented themselves
with French fabrics. When the same money passes through the
hands of several entrepreneurs, the rapidity of circulation
is slowed down. But it is difficult to make an exact
estimate of this sort of delay, which depends upon various
circumstances. Thus, in the present example, if the ladies
pay the merchant for the velvet today, and the merchant pays
his bill with the manufacturer in Holland tomorrow, and if
the manufacturer pays the wool merchant the next day, and
this last pays the farmer the day after, it is possible that
the farmer will keep the money in hand more than two months
to make up the quarter's rent he owes to his landlord. This
money might, in two months, have circulated through the
hands of a hundred entrepreneurs without slowing down the
circulation needed in the state.
After all, we must consider the rent collected by the
property owner as the most necessary and considerable part
of the money in circulation. If the owner lives in the city
and the farmer sells all his production and buys all the
goods needed in the country in the same city, the money may
always remain in the city. The farmer will sell products
there exceeding half the output of his farm and will pay his
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128
landlord the money value of one-third of his product and the
rest to merchants or entrepreneurs for goods to be consumed
in the country. Even here, however, as the farmer sells his
products for lump sums, which are subsequently distributed
in retail purchases, and are again collected to serve for
lump payments to the farmers, the circulation always has the
same effect (subject to its rapidity) as if the farmer took
the money received for his products to the country, and sent
it back again to the city.
The circulation always consists of the large sums,
received by the farmer for his products, being distributed
at retail, and being brought together again to make large
payments. Whether part of this money leaves the city, or
remains there entirely, may be regarded as the circulation
between city and country. All the circulation takes place
between the inhabitants of the state, and they are all fed
and maintained in any event from the product of the land and
raw materials of the country.
It is true that the wool, for example, which is brought
from the country, is worth four times its former value when
made up into cloth in the city. However, this increase of
value, which is the price of the workmen’s labor and
manufactures in the city, is again exchanged for the country
products that serve for the laborer’s maintenance.
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Chapter Four: Further Reflection on the Rapidity or Slowness
of the Circulation of Money in Exchange
Abstract: Large transactions can be accomplished
with the use of bills of exchange or barter, which
reduces the demand for money. Ordinary
transactions by people require actual coin money
in circulation. A variety of factors, therefore,
affect the flow of money in circulation and this
in turn affects the amount of money in
circulation.
Let us assume that the farmer pays 1,300 ounces of silver
every quarter to the property owner, who pays, every week,
100 ounces to the baker, butcher, etc. and that these, in
turn, pay the farmer 100 ounces every week, so that the
farmer collects every week as much money as the property
owner spends. In this case there will be only 100 ounces in
constant circulation; the other 1,200 ounces will remain
held partly by the property owner and partly by the farmer.
However, it rarely happens that the property owners
spend their rents in a fixed and regular proportion. In
London, as soon as a property owner receives his rent, he
deposits most of it with a goldsmith or banker, who lends it
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at interest, so that this part is in circulation. Or else
the property owner spends a large part of it on the many
things he needs for his household. He may even borrow money
before he gets his next quarter's rent. Thus the money of
the first quarter's rent will circulate in a thousand ways
before it is accumulated by the farmer to make his second
quarter payment.
When it comes time to pay the second quarter rent, the
farmer will sell his products in large amounts. Those who
buy his cattle, wheat, hay, etc. will already have collected
the price of these goods from their retail sales. Thus, the
money of the first quarter will have circulated in the
retail trade for nearly three months before being collected
by the retail dealers, and given to the farmer who will use
it to make his second quarter payment. It would seem from
this that less money would suffice for the circulation in a
state than we have assumed.
Barter does not require much cash because goods can be
evaluated at the market price on the day of delivery. If a
brewer supplies a tailor with beer for his family, and if
the tailor in turn supplies the brewer with the clothes he
needs, the only cash needed between these two traders is the
amount of the difference between the two transactions.
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131
If a merchant in a market town sends commodities to an
entrepreneur in the city, and in return the entrepreneur
sends the merchant products from the city to be consumed in
the country, throughout the year, business between these two
dealers, and mutual confidence leads them to account for
their commodities and merchandise at their respective market
prices, and the only money needed for this commerce will be
the balance that one owes to the other at the end of the
year. Even then, this balance may be carried forward to the
next year, without the actual payment of any money. All the
entrepreneurs of a city who continually do business with
each other may practice this method. Barter exchange by
valuation does seem to reduce the cash in circulation, or at
least to accelerate its movement by making it unnecessary
when people have confidence in each other and can use this
method of exchange by valuation. It is not without reason,
as is commonly said, that trust in commerce makes money less
scarce.
Goldsmiths and bankers, whose tickets71 serve as
payment like coin money, also add to the speed of
circulation, which would be retarded if money was required
for payments where tickets now suffice. And although these
71
Goldsmiths issued warehouse receipts for gold deposited with them while bankers issued banknotes.
These were the paper money of the time, but both represented a legal claim for gold and they were typically
accepted as payment if the issuers were considered trustworthy.
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goldsmiths and bankers always keep on hand a large part of
the coin money they have received for their tickets, they
also put into circulation a considerable amount of this
effective money as I shall explain later when dealing with
public banks.
All these reflections seem to prove that the
circulation in a state could be conducted with much less
coin money than what I previously assumed was necessary.
However, the following inductions appear to counterbalance
them and to contribute to the slowing down of circulation.
I will first observe that all commodities are produced
by labor that may possibly—strictly speaking—be carried on
with little or no actual money, as I have often suggested.
But the workers who make goods in cities or market towns
must be paid in coin money. If a house has cost 100,000
ounces of silver to build, all this sum or most of it, must
have been paid in small amounts on a weekly basis to the
brick maker, masons, carpenters, etc., directly or
indirectly. The expenditures of small families, which are
always more numerous in cities, must be made with coin
money. With such small purchases, credit, barter, and
tickets, like banknotes do not work. Merchants and
entrepreneurs demand cash for the things they supply, and if
they give credit to a family for a few days or months, they
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133
require a substantial down payment. A wagon builder, who
sells a wagon for 400 ounces of silver in notes, will have
to convert them into coin money to pay for all the materials
and the men who have worked on the wagon if they have worked
on credit. If he has paid them already, the money will be
used to pay them to start working on a new one. The sale of
the wagon will leave him the profit of his enterprise and he
will spend this profit to maintain his family. He could not
be satisfied with notes, unless he can afford to put
something aside or deposit it to earn interest.
The consumption of the inhabitants of a state is, in a
sense, entirely for food. Lodging, clothing, furniture, etc.
correspond to the food of the men who have worked upon them,
and in the cities, all beverages and food are necessarily
paid for in coin money. In the families of landowners, who
live in the city, food is paid for every day or every week.
In their families, wine is paid for every week or every
month; hats, stockings, shoes, etc. are ordinarily paid for
in coin money, at least the payments correspond to cash for
the men who have worked upon them. All the sums used to make
large payments are divided, distributed, and spread in small
payments corresponding to the maintenance of the workmen,
servants, etc., and all these sums are necessarily collected
and reunited by the entrepreneurs and retailers, who are
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employed in providing the subsistence of the inhabitants, to
make large payments when they buy commodities from the
farmers. An alehouse keeper collects by sols and livres the
sums he pays to the brewer, who uses them to pay for all the
grain and materials he buys from the country. One cannot
imagine that anything could be purchased for cash in a
state, like furniture, merchandise, etc. at a value that
does not correspond to the maintenance of those who have
produced it.
Circulation in the cities is carried out by
entrepreneurs and always corresponds, directly or
indirectly, to the subsistence of the servants, workmen,
etc. It is inconceivable that the circulation in small
retail businesses could be conducted without cash. Notes may
serve as counters in large payments for a certain time; but
when the large sums come to be distributed and spread into
small transactions, as is always the case sooner or later in
the course of circulation in a city, notes cannot serve this
purpose and cash is needed.
All this presupposes that all the classes in a state
who practice some economy, save and keep out of circulation
small amounts of cash until they have enough to invest at
interest or profit.
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Many miserly and timid people will bury and hoard cash
for considerable periods of time.
Many property owners, entrepreneurs and others, always
keep some cash in their pockets or safes so that they do not
run out of money and to protect them against unforeseen
emergencies. If a gentleman says that he never had less than
20 louis72 in his pocket throughout the whole year, it may
be said that this pocket has kept 20 louis out of
circulation for a year. No one likes to spend to their last
penny or to be completely without money. People like to
receive a new payment before paying debt, even if they have
the money.
The funds of minors and of litigants are often
deposited in cash and kept out of circulation.
Beside the large quarterly payments that pass through
the hands of the farmers, there are wholesale transactions
between entrepreneurs and payments from borrowers to lenders
that occur at different times. All these sums are collected
in the retail trade, are dispersed again, only to come back
to the farmer sooner or later. However, they would seem to
require a larger amount of cash for circulation than if
these large payments were made at times different from those
when the farmers are paid for their commodities.
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In conclusion, there is such a great a variety in the
organization of the inhabitants in the state, and in the
corresponding circulation of coin money, that it seems
impossible to lay down anything precise or exact about the
proportion of money sufficient for circulation. I have
produced so many examples and inductions which make it clear
that I am not far from the truth in my conclusion "that the
actual money necessary for the circulation of the state
corresponds nearly to the value of the third of all the
annual rents of the property owners." When the owners have a
rent that amounts to half the production, or more than a
third, a greater quantity of coin money is needed for
circulation, other things being equal. When there is great
confidence in the banks and in book credits, or when the
speed of circulation is accelerated in any way, less money
will suffice. However, I shall show later that public banks
do not bring as many advantages as is usually assumed.
72
A French gold coin.
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Chapter Five: On the Inequality of the Circulation of Money
in a State
Abstract: Rural France was impoverished because
commodities had to be sent to the capital and
major cities to pay taxes to the state and rents
to the property owners living there. It is argued
here that if factories were permitted in rural
areas, basic commodities could be turned into
goods, which could then be sent to the cities at a
much lower transport cost. This would save
resources in transportation and benefit both rural
populations and property owners.
The city always supplies various goods to the country, and
the property owners who reside in the city should always
receive about one-third of the production of their land. The
country thus owes to the city more than half the production
of the land. This debt would always exceed one-half if all
property owners lived in the city, but because most owners
with less significant land holdings live in the country, I
suppose that the balance or debt, which continually returns
from the country to the city, is equal to half the
production of the land and is paid to the city with half of
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the commodities transported from the countryside and sold to
pay this debt.
The countryside of a state or kingdom owes a constant
balance to the capital to pay rents to the great property
owners who reside there, and to pay taxes to the State or
crown, most of which are spent in the capital. All the
provincial cities owe a constant balance to the capital, for
the State’s property and consumption taxes, and for the
different goods that they obtain from the capital. It is
also the case that several individuals and property owners,
who live in the provincial cities, will spend some time in
the capital for pleasure, or for the judgment of their
lawsuits in final appeal, or because they send their
children there for an elite education. Consequently, all
these expenses incurred in the capital are drawn from the
provincial cities.
It may therefore be said that all the countryside and
cities of a state regularly owe an annual balance or debt to
the capital. However, because such payments are made in
money, it is clear that the provinces always owe
considerable sums to the capital. The products and
commodities that the provinces send to the capital are sold
to pay for these debts and balances.
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Now assume that the circulation of money in the
provinces and in the capital is equal both in terms of the
quantity of money and the speed of circulation. The balance
will be first sent to the capital in cash and this will
decrease the quantity of money in the provinces and increase
it in the capital. Consequently, products and goods will be
more expensive in the capital than in the provinces because
of the greater abundance of money in the capital. The
difference between the prices in the capital and the
provinces must pay for the costs and risks of transport,
otherwise cash will be sent to the capital to pay the
balance and this will continue until the differences in
prices between the capital and the provinces cover the costs
and risks of transport. Then the merchants and entrepreneurs
of the market towns will buy the products of the villages at
a low price and will have them transported to the capital to
be sold at a higher price. This difference in price will of
necessity pay for the maintenance of the horses and
employees of the entrepreneur, plus profit, or else he would
cease his enterprise.
As a result, the price of farm products of equal
quality will always be higher in areas that are closer to
the capital than in those more distant in proportion to the
costs and risks of transport. In addition, areas that are
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adjacent to seas and rivers flowing into the capital will
get a better price for their products relative to those
which are distant (other things being equal), because water
transport is considerably less expensive than land
transport. On the other hand, there are certain foods and
goods that cannot be consumed in the capital because they
are not suitable or cannot be sent there on account of their
bulk, or because they would be spoiled on the way. These
will be infinitely cheaper in the country and distant
provinces than in the capital, because of the much smaller
amount of money in circulation in the distant provinces.
Therefore fresh eggs, game, fresh butter, firewood,
etc. will generally be much cheaper in the province of
Poitou,73 while wheat, cattle and horses will be more
expensive in Paris, the difference being the cost and risk
of transport, and the fees for entering the city.
It would be easy to make an infinite number of
inductions of the same kind to justify by experience the
necessity of an inequality in the circulation of money in
the different provinces of a great state or kingdom, and to
show that this inequality is always relative to the balance
or debt, which belongs to the capital.
73
A province in southwestern France, just north of Bordeaux.
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If we assume that the balance owed to the capital
amounts to one-fourth of the production of the land of all
the provinces of the state, the best use that can be made of
the land would be to employ the country bordering on the
capital to produce the kinds of products which could not be
drawn from distant provinces without much expense or
deterioration. This is in fact what always takes place. The
market prices in the capital regulate how the farmers employ
the land for this or that purpose. They use the closest
lands, when suitable, for market gardens, pasture, etc.
Therefore, when possible, factories for cloth, linen,
lace, etc. ought to be set up in remote provinces and
factories to make tools of iron, tin, copper, etc. should be
located in the neighborhood of coal mines or forests, which
are otherwise useless because of their distance. In this
way, finished manufactured goods could be sent to the
capital with much lower transportation cost than by sending
the raw materials to be manufactured in the capital, as well
as the subsistence of the artisans who manufacture them.
This would save a large quantity of horses and transport
workers who could be better employed for the benefit of the
state. The land could serve to maintain the nearby workmen
and useful artisans and a multitude of horses could be saved
that are now used for unnecessary transportation. In this
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way, the remote areas would yield higher rents to property
owners and the inequality of circulation between the
provinces and the capital would be considerably less and
better proportioned.
Nevertheless, to set up manufacturing in this way
requires not only much encouragement and capital funds, but
also some way to ensure a regular and constant demand,
either in the capital itself or in foreign countries.
Exports to foreign countries serve the capital by either
paying for the goods it imports, or with the money it gets
in return.
When these factories are established, perfection is not
attained immediately. If some other province produces the
goods better or cheaper, or has an advantage in
transportation costs because it is closer to the capital or
can resort to river and sea transportation, the new
manufactures will not succeed. All these circumstances have
to be considered when setting up a factory. My intention in
this essay is not to explain these issues, but only to
suggest that so far as practicable, significant
manufacturing should be set up in provinces far from the
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capital to produce a less unequal distribution of money
between rural areas and the capital.74
For when a distant province has no factories and
produces only ordinary foodstuffs and is without water
communication to the capital or the ocean, it is surprising
how scarce money is compared to that which circulates in the
capital, and how little revenue the prince and the property
owners who reside in the capital receive from even their
best lands.
The wines of Provence and Languedoc75 that are sent to
the north, must be sent on the long and difficult route
around the Straits of Gibraltar and after having passed
through the hands of several entrepreneurs, yield very
little to the property owners living in Paris.
However, these distant provinces must send their
commodities to the capital or elsewhere (either within the
state or to foreign countries), despite all the
disadvantages of transport and distance, in order to pay the
balance owed to the capital. If there were rural factories
to pay this balance, the commodities would be mostly
74
Advocating rural manufacturing is usually considered a mercantilist or interventionist policy and this
passage has been used to label Cantillon a mercantilist. However, under the French mercantilist regulatory
regime, factories in the capitol and cities were given monopolies and were tightly regulated. These rules
and regulations made it virtually impossible to set up substantial manufacturing in rural areas. People in
rural areas made their own cloths but were largely prohibited from manufacturing clothing for sale in the
cities and capital. 75
Two provinces in Southern France on the Mediterranian Sea
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consumed locally and in that case, the rural population
would be much larger.
When a province pays its balance only with commodities
that yield little in the capital because of transport costs,
it is clear that the property owners living in the capital
give up the production of a large amount of land in the
country to receive little in the capital. This arises from
the inequality of money, and this inequality results from
the constant balance owed to the capital by the province.
Currently, if a state or kingdom supplies foreign
countries with goods from its own factories and does enough
of this commerce to draw in a constant balance of money from
abroad every year, money will be more plentiful and the
circulation will become more substantial than in foreign
countries, and consequently, land and labor will gradually
command a higher price. It therefore follows that in all the
branches of commerce, this state will exchange a smaller
amount of land and labor with the foreigner for a larger
amount, so long as these circumstances continue.76
But if a foreigner resides in the state in question, he
will be in roughly the same situation and circumstances as
the citizen of Paris who owns land in distant provinces.
76
The mercantilists argued for a positive balance of trade as well, but as Cantillon explains, the actual
advantages of a positive balance of trade—here in terms of the ―terms of trade argument‖—happen only
under certain economic conditions and cannot last indefinately.
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Beginning in 1646,77 factories for making cloth and
other goods were built in France and it appeared to trade,
at least in part, in the way I described. Since the decay of
France, England has taken possession of this trade; and all
states appear to flourish by it to a larger or lesser
extent. The inequality of the circulation of money in the
different states represents the inequality of their
comparative power, other things being equal, and this
inequality of circulation is always related to the balance
of foreign trade.78
It is easy to judge from what has been said in this
chapter that the assessment of taxes by the royal tithe, as
suggested by Mr. de Vauban, would be neither advantageous,
nor practicable. If taxes on land were levied in money, in
proportion to the rents of the property owners, it would be
fairer. But I must not stray from my subject to show the
inconveniences and impossibility of Mr. de Vauban's
proposal.79
77
This date marks the beginning of a period of tolerance in France for the Huguenots who were heavily
involved in the textile industry. 78
This again appears to be a mercantilist-like statement. However, Cantillon is referring to the Hugonots
and their role in textile manufacturing. During the second quarter of the 17th
century, protestantism was
tolerated in France and the Hugonots launched the cotton textile business. Around 1660, King Louis VIX’s
minister Colbert launched government factories in Paris and other cities drawing in astisans from around
France. Subsequently, there was more intolerance of the Hugonots and in 1685, Protestantism was banned
as was the production of cotton textiles. Most Hugonots converted nominally to Catholicism, but the
factory owners took their skills and whatever capital they could and emmigrated, mostly to England. 79
Sebastien de Vauban was an engineer and Marshall in the French military who built fortification and
developed a successful system of seige warfare and he could be also considered the grandfather of the
French civil engineering tradition. Interestingly, he was a vocal opponent on economic grounds of the
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Chapter Six: The Increase and Decrease of the Quantity of
Money in a State
Abstract: Here Cantillon uses his price-specie
flow mechanism to analyze some of the effects of
inflation. Increasing the supply of money by
mining hurts some people and benefits others
because certain prices and incomes rise faster
than others. However, if the new money is
accumulated and saved by those who successfully
export goods, either because of superior quality
or more efficient transportation, it will lead to
higher standards of living.
If gold or silver mines were found in a state, and
considerable quantities of minerals were extracted from
them, the owners of these mines, the entrepreneurs, and all
those who work there, will increase their expenditures in
proportion to the wealth and profit they make. They will
also lend the money they have over and above what they need
for their expenses and earn interest.
repeal of the edict of Nantes and the subsequent persecution of the Hugonots. In 1707, he wrote Projet
d'une dixme royale qui, supprimant la taille, les aydes, les doüanes d'une province à l'autre, les décimes du
Clergé, les affaires extraordinaires... produiroit au Roy un revenu certain et suffisant where he called for a
10% tax on all land and trade. Cantillon is probably correct to suggest that a single tax on land rents would
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All this money, whether lent or spent, will enter into
circulation and will not fail to raise the price of
commodities and goods in all the channels of circulation it
enters. Increased money will bring about increased
expenditure, and this will cause an increase of market
prices in the good years and to a lesser degree in bad
years.
Everybody agrees that the abundance of money, or an
increase in its use in exchange, raises the price of
everything. This truth is substantiated in experience by the
quantity of money brought to Europe from America for the
last two centuries.80
Mr. Locke lays it down as a fundamental maxim that the
quantity of goods in proportion to the quantity of money is
a regulator of market prices. I have tried to elucidate his
idea in the preceding chapters: he has clearly seen that the
abundance of money makes everything more expensive, but he
has not considered how this happens. The great difficulty of
this question consists in knowing in what way and in what
proportion the increase of money raises the price of things.
be more economical and fairer. Presumably he is thinking that a tax on trade would decrease ―circulation‖
and reduce France’s relative power. 80
Cantillon refers here to the Spanish Conquests in the Americas and the fact that they took tons of gold
and silver back to Spain during the 1500s and 1600s. These imports resulted in substantially higher prices
throughout Europe.
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I have already noted that acceleration or a greater
pace in the circulation of money in exchange, is equivalent
to, to a certain degree, an increase of actual money. I have
also noted that an increase or decrease of prices in a
distant market, domestic or foreign, influences the local
market prices. On the other hand, money flows through so
many retail channels that it seems impossible not to lose
sight of it, seeing that having been amassed to make large
sums, it is distributed in small amounts in exchange, and
then gradually accumulated again to make large payments. For
these operations, it is necessary to constantly exchange
between gold, silver and copper money, according to the
requirements of exchange. It is also usually the case that
the increase or decrease of hard money in a state is not
perceived because it comes into a state from foreign
countries by such imperceptible means and proportions that
it is impossible to know exactly the quantity which enters
or leaves the state.
However, all these operations happen before our eyes
and everybody takes a direct part in them. I therefore
venture to offer a few observations on the subject, even
though I may not be able to give an exact and precise
account.
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In general, an increase of hard money in a state will
cause a corresponding increase in consumption and this will
gradually produce increased prices.
If the increase of hard money comes from gold and
silver mines within the state, the owner of these mines, the
entrepreneurs, the smelters, refiners, and all the other
workers will increase their expenses in proportion to their
profits. Their households will consume more meat, wine, or
beer than before. They will become accustomed to wearing
better clothes, having finer linens, and to having more
ornate houses and other desirable goods. Consequently, they
will give employment to several artisans who did not have
that much work before and who, for the same reason, will
increase their expenditures. All this increased expenditures
on meat, wine, wool, etc. necessarily reduces the share of
the other inhabitants in the state who do not participate at
first in the wealth of the mines in question. The bargaining
process of the market, with the demand for meat, wine, wool,
etc. being stronger than usual, will not fail to increase
their prices. These high prices will encourage farmers to
employ more land to produce the following year, and these
same farmers will profit from the increased prices and will
increase their expenditure on their families like the
others. Those who will suffer from these higher prices and
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increased consumption will be, first of all, the property
owners, during the term of their leases, then their domestic
servants and all the workmen or fixed wage earners who
support their families on a salary. They all must diminish
their expenditures in proportion to the new consumption,
which will compel a large number of them to emigrate and to
seek a living elsewhere. The property owners will dismiss
many of them, and the rest will demand a wage increase in
order to live as before. It is in this manner that a
considerable increase of money from mines increases
consumption and, by diminishing the number of inhabitants,
greater expenditures result by those who remain.
If money continues to be extracted from the mines, the
abundance of money will increase all prices to such a point
that not only will the property owners raise their rents
considerably when the leases expire and resume their old
lifestyle, increasing their servants’ wages proportionally,
but the artisans and workmen will increase the prices of the
articles they produce so high that there will be a
considerable gains in buying them from foreigners who makes
them much cheaper. This will naturally encourage several
people to import products at lower prices from foreign
factories, and this will gradually ruin the artisans and
manufacturers of the state who will be unable to sustain
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themselves by working at such low rates because of the high
cost of living.
When the over abundance of money from the mines has
diminished the number of inhabitants in a state, accustomed
those who remain to excessive expenditures, raised the
prices of farm products and the wages for labor to high
levels, and ruined the manufactures of the state by the
purchase of foreign products by property owners and mine
workers, the money produced by the mines will necessarily go
abroad to pay for the imports. This will gradually
impoverish the state and make it, in a way, dependent on
foreigners to whom it is obliged to send money every year as
it is extracted from the mines. The great circulation of
money, which was widespread in the beginning, ceases;
poverty and misery follow and the exploitation of the mines
appears to be only advantageous to those employed in them
and to the foreigners who profit thereby.
This is approximately what has happened to Spain since
the discovery of the Indies.81 As for the Portuguese, since
the discovery of gold mines in Brazil, they have nearly
always used foreign articles and manufactured goods; and it
seems that they worked the mines only for the account and
advantage of foreigners. All the gold and silver that these
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152
two states extract from the mines does not supply them with
more precious metal in circulation than others. England and
France usually have even more.
Now, if the increase of money in the state comes from a
balance of foreign trade (i.e. from sending abroad articles
and manufactured goods of greater value and quantity than is
imported and consequently receiving the surplus in money),
this annual increase of money will enrich a great number of
merchants and entrepreneurs in the state, and will give
employment to numerous artisans and workmen who provide the
goods sent to the foreigner from whom money is drawn. This
will gradually increase the consumption of these industrious
inhabitants and will raise the price of land and labor. But
the industrious people who are eager to acquire property
will not at first increase their expenditures: they will
wait until they have accumulated a large sum from which they
can draw a secure interest income, independent of their
occupation. Once a large number of inhabitants have acquired
considerable fortunes from this money, which enters the
state regularly and annually, they will not fail to increase
their consumption and raise the price of everything.
Although these higher prices result in greater expenditures
than they at first contemplated, they will, for the most
81
Particularly Mexico and the Inca Empire in South America.
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153
part, continue so long as their capital lasts; for nothing
is easier or more pleasant than to increase the family
expenditures, and nothing is more difficult or unpleasant
than to decrease them.
If an annual and continuous balance has caused a
considerable increase of money in a state, it will not fail
to increase consumption, raise the price of everything and
even diminish the number of inhabitants, unless additional
products are drawn from abroad proportionate to the
increased consumption. Moreover, in states that have
acquired a considerable abundance of money, it is natural to
import many goods from neighboring countries where money is
rare and consequently everything is cheap. However, as money
must be exchanged for these products, the balance of trade
will become smaller. The cheapness of land and labor in
foreign countries where money is rare will naturally cause
the building of factories and businesses similar to those of
the state, but which will not, at first, be as perfect or as
highly valued.
In this situation, the state can retain its abundance
of money, consume all its own products and a great deal of
foreign products and, over and above all this, maintain a
small balance of trade against the foreigner or at least
keep the balance leveled for many years. In other words, the
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state will import, in exchange for its commodities and
manufactured goods, as much money from these foreign
countries as it sends to them for the goods or products of
the land it takes from them. If the state is a maritime
state, the easiness and low cost of its shipping for the
transport of its commodities and manufactured goods to
foreign countries may compensate, in some way, for the high
cost of labor caused by the over abundance of money.
Therefore, the commodities and manufactured goods of this
state, expensive though they may be, will continue to sell
in foreign countries, and sometimes will be cheaper than the
manufactured goods of another state where labor is paid
less.
The cost of transport greatly increases the prices of
goods sent to distant countries. However, these costs are
very moderate in maritime states, where there is regular
shipping to all foreign ports and ships are nearly always
found there ready to sail, taking on board all cargoes
entrusted to them at a very reasonable freight.
This is not so in states where navigation does not
flourish. There, it is necessary to build ships especially
for the transportation of goods and this sometimes absorbs
all the profit; and transportation there is always very
expensive, which entirely discourages commerce.
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England today consumes not only most of its own small
production, but also a large amount of foreign products,
such as silks, wines, fruits, linens in great quantity, etc.
Meanwhile, she sends abroad the products of her mines and
manufactured goods, for the most part. No matter how
expensive labor is due to the abundance of money, she does
not fail to sell her products to distant countries, because
of her maritime advantage, at prices as reasonable as those
of France, where these same products are cheaper.
The increased quantity of money in a state may also be
caused, without a balance of trade, by subsidies paid to
this state by foreign powers, by the expenditures of several
ambassadors or travelers wanting to stay there for political
reasons, curiosity, or pleasure, or by the transfer of the
property and wealth of families who choose to leave their
country to seek religious freedom or for other reasons, and
to settle down in this state. In all these cases, the sums
entering the state always cause an increase in expenditures
and consumption and consequently, increase the prices of all
goods in the channels of exchange where money enters.82
Before the increase in the quantity of money, suppose
that a quarter of the inhabitants of the state consume meat,
82
In Cantillon’s time, many Irish Catholics left Ireland for France and Spain after Cromwell’s Conquest
during which half the population died due to war, disease, and famine. These emmigrants lost their land,
but did bring their money with them.
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wine, beer, etc. on a daily basis and frequently acquire
clothes, linens, etc., but that after the increase, a third
or half of the inhabitants consume these same things. Prices
for these goods will increase and the high price of meat
will convince several of those who formed the original
quarter, to consume less meat than usual. A man who eats
three pounds of meat daily will manage with two pounds, but
he feels the reduction. Meanwhile, the other half of the
inhabitants who hardly ate any meat at all will not feel the
reduction. The price of bread will increase gradually
because of increased consumption, as I have often suggested,
but it will be proportionally less expensive than meat. The
increase in the price of meat is noticeably felt because it
causes a reduction in consumption on the part of a small
portion of the people, but the increased price of bread is
less noticeable because the decreased consumption is spread
across the entire population. If 100,000 extra people move
to a state with 10 millions inhabitants, their extra
consumption of bread will amount to only one pound in 100,
which must be subtracted from the old inhabitants. But when
a man consumes 99 pounds of bread for his subsistence
instead of 100, he hardly feels the reduction.
When the consumption of meat increases, farmers
increase the size of their pastures to produce more meat,
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and this diminishes cropland, and consequently the amount of
wheat produced. However, what generally causes meat to
become proportionally more expensive than bread is that
imports of foreign wheat are usually permitted while imports
of beef are absolutely forbidden, as is the case in England,
or heavy import duties are imposed as in other states. This
is the reason why the rents for meadows and pastures rise in
England, with the abundance of money, three times more than
the rents of cropland.
There is no doubt that when ambassadors, travelers, and
families move to a state, the increased consumption will
cause higher prices in all the markets where they spend
their money.
As for the subsidies the state has received from
foreign powers, they are either hoarded for state
necessities or are put into circulation. If we assume they
are hoarded, they do not concern my argument for I am
considering only money in circulation. Hoarded money,
silverware, churches’ money, etc., are resources that the
state turns to in emergency situations, but are of no
present utility. If the state puts these funds into
circulation, it can only do so by spending them and this
will certainly increase consumption and raise the price of
all goods. Whoever receives this money will set it in motion
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the principal business of life—which is the food—either for
himself or someone else, since everything is connected to
this, directly or indirectly.
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Chapter Seven: More on the Increase and Decrease in the
Quantity of Money in a State.
Abstract: When there is an increase in the
quantity of money, prices will increase depending
on how the new money holders decide to spend their
money. The price changes will also be affected by
such things as regulations on trade and the
perishability of the products that are traded. In
other words the simple quantity theory of money is
naïve in proposing that a doubling of the quantity
of money would double all prices equally. Changes
in the quantity of money will change relative
prices and have real effects on the economy, a
phenomenon now know as the Cantillon Effects.
Where gold, silver, and copper are extracted from the mines,
they have an intrinsic value proportional to the land and
labor that enter into their production. States that have no
mines have the added cost of importing the metal. The
quantity of money, like that of all other commodities,
determines its value against all other goods in the
bargaining process of the marketplace.
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If England begins for the first time to make use of
gold, silver, and copper in exchanges, money will be valued
according to the quantity in circulation, proportionally to
its power of exchange against all other merchandise and
products. The bargaining process of the market will
determine this estimation of value. On the basis of this
estimation, the property owners and entrepreneurs will set
the wages of their domestic servants and workmen at so much
a day or a year, so that they and their families may be able
to live on the wages they receive.
Let us now assume that because of ambassadors and
foreign travelers residing in England, as much money has
been introduced into circulation as there was before
[thereby doubling the quantity of money]. This money will
pass first into the hands of various artisans, servants,
entrepreneurs and others who have had a share in providing
transportation, amusements, etc. for these foreigners.
Manufacturers, farmers, and other entrepreneurs will feel
the effect of the increased money, which will increase the
expenditures of a great number of people, and this will in
turn increase market prices. Even the children of these
entrepreneurs and artisans will enter into new expenditures.
With this abundance of money, their fathers will give them a
little money for their petty pleasures and they will buy
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cakes and meat pies, etc. This new quantity of money will be
distributed so that many who lived without using money
before will now have some. Many exchanges, which used to be
made on credit by valuation, will now be made with cash, and
that will increase the pace of the circulation of money in
England compared to before.
I conclude from all this that by doubling the quantity
of money in a state, the prices of products and merchandise
are not always doubled. The river, which runs and winds
about in its bed, will not flow with double the speed when
the amount of water is doubled.
The change in relative prices,83 introduced by the
increased quantity of money in the state, will depend on how
this money is directed at consumption and circulation. No
matter who obtains the new money, it will naturally increase
consumption. However, this consumption will be greater or
less, according to circumstances. It will more or less be
directed to certain kinds of commodities or merchandise,
according to the judgment of those who acquire the money.
Market prices will increase more for certain goods than for
others, however abundant the money may be. In England, the
83
Cantillon used the phrase ―proportion of the dearness,” but he is clearly describing what we now refer to
as the change in relative prices.
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price of meat might triple, but the price of wheat might
increase less than one fourth.
In England, it is still permitted to import wheat from
foreign countries, but not cattle. For this reason, however
great the increase of money may be in England, the price of
wheat can only be raised, above the price in other countries
where money is scarce, by the cost and risks of importing
wheat from these foreign countries.
It is not the same with the price of cattle, which will
necessarily be proportioned to the quantity of money offered
for meat, in relation to the quantity of meat and the number
of cattle raised there.
An ox weighing 800 pounds sells in Poland and Hungary
for two or three ounces of silver, but commonly sells in the
London market for more than 40. Yet the bushel of flour does
not sell in London for even double the price in Poland and
Hungary.
An increase of money only increases the price of
commodities and merchandise by the difference of the cost of
transport, when this transport is allowed. But in many
cases, transportation would cost more than the good is
worth, therefore, for example, timber is useless in many
places. This cost of transportation is also the reason why
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163
milk, fresh butter, lettuce, game, etc. are almost given
away in the provinces distant from the capital.
I conclude that an increase of actual money in a state
always causes an increase of consumption and a routine of
greater expenditures. But the higher prices caused by this
money does not affect all commodities and merchandise
equally. Prices do not rise proportionally to the quantity
of money, unless what has been added continues in the same
circulation channels as before. In other words, those who
offered one ounce of silver in the market would be the same
and only ones to offer two ounces when the amount of money
in circulation is doubled, and that is hardly ever the case.
I recognize that when a large surplus of money is introduced
in a state, the new money gives a new direction to
consumption, and even a new speed to circulation. However,
it is not possible to say exactly to what extent.84
84
Here, Cantillon has debunked the naïve Quantity Theory of Money which concludes that the real
economy is unaffected by inflation.
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Chapter Eight: Further Reflections on the Increase and
Decrease of Money in a State
Abstract: Increases in the supply of money from a
balance of trade eventually causes prices to rise.
This in turn puts pressure on domestic producers
and increases imports. The result is that the
balance of trade is reduced and eventually is
negative. This is Cantillon’s price specie-flow
mechanism which demonstrates the reasons for the
tendency for equilibrium in international monetary
flows. The balance of trade can result in economic
power, but this also causes the economy to lapse
into luxury and decline.
We have seen that the quantity of money circulating in a
state may be increased by working its mines, by subsidies
from foreign powers, by the immigration of foreign families,
by the residence of ambassadors and travelers, but above
all, by a regular and annual balance of trade, from
supplying goods to foreigners, and by receiving from them at
least part of the price in gold and silver. It is by this
last means that a state grows most substantially, especially
when its trade is accompanied and supported by ample
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shipping and by a significant output of the raw materials
necessary for the production of exported manufactured goods.
However, the continuation of this commerce gradually
introduces a great abundance of money and, little by little,
increases consumption. Foreign products must be imported to
meet this demand and must be paid for by a reduction in the
annual balance of trade. On the other hand, increased
expenditures increase the cost of labor and the prices of
manufactured goods. It often happens that some foreign
countries try to set up the same kinds of factories for
themselves, in which case, they stop buying those of the
state in question. Although these newly established
factories and manufactures are not perfect at first, they
reduce and even prevent the export of those goods from the
neighboring state into their own country, where they can be
acquired at a better price.
In this manner, the state begins to lose some branches
of its profitable trade and many of its workmen and artisans
who lose their jobs will leave the state to find employment
in new foreign factories. In spite of this diminution in the
balance of trade, the custom of importing various products
will continue. If the manufactured products of a state have
a great reputation and can be shiped to distant countries at
low cost, the state will maintain its advantage over the new
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foreign manufacturers for many years and will maintain a
small balance of trade, or at least keep it even. If,
however, some other maritime state tries to perfect the same
articles and its navigation at the same time, it will,
because of the cheapness of its manufactures, take away
several branches of trade from the state in question.
Consequently, this state will begin to lose its balance of
trade and will be forced to send a part of its money abroad
every year in order to pay for its imports.
Moreover, even if the state in question could keep a
balance of trade and its greater abundance of money, it is
reasonable to suppose that this abundance will plunge many
wealthy individuals into luxury. They will buy paintings,
precious stones from abroad, they will want silks and rare
objects, and they set such an example of luxury in the state
that in spite of the advantage of its ordinary trade, its
money will flow abroad annually to pay for this luxury. This
will gradually impoverish the state and cause it to pass
from a great power to great weakness.
When a state has arrived at the highest point of
wealth, and I always assume that the comparative wealth of
states consists mainly in their respective quantities of
money, it will inevitably fall back into poverty by the
ordinary course of things. The too great abundance of money,
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which gives power to states so long as it lasts, throws them
back imperceptibly, but naturally, into poverty. Thus it
would seem that when a state expands by trade, and the
abundance of money raises the price of land and labor, the
prince or the legislator ought to withdraw money from
circulation, keep it for emergencies, and try to slow down
its circulation by every means, except compulsion and bad
faith, to prevent its goods from becoming too expensive and
avoid the drawbacks of luxury.
However, it is not easy to perceive the opportune time
for this, or to know when money has become more abundant
than it ought to be for the good and preservation of the
advantages of the state. Therefore, princes and heads of
republics do not concern themselves much with this sort of
knowledge and strive only to make use of the abundance of
their state revenues, to extend their power and to insult
other countries on the most frivolous pretexts. All things
considered, working to perpetuate the glory of their reigns
and administration and to leaving monuments of their power
and wealth is perhaps the best they can do because according
to the natural course of humanity, the state must collapse
on its own, they only accelerate its fall a little.
Nevertheless, it seems that they should try to make their
power last during the time of their own administration.
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Few years are needed to raise abundance to the highest
point in a state, however still fewer are needed to bring it
to poverty for lack of commerce and manufacturing. Without
speaking of the rise and fall of the Venice Republic,
Hanseatic cities,85 Flanders and Brabant, the Dutch
Republic, etc. who have succeeded each other in profitable
branches of trade, one may say that France’s power has only
been on the rise from 1646 (when factories were established
to produce clothing which had previously been imported) to
1684 when a number of Protestant entrepreneurs and artisans
were driven out of France.86 That kingdom has done nothing
but recede since this last date.
I know no better measure than the leases and rents of
property owners to judge the abundance and scarcity of money
in circulation. When land is leased at high rates, it is a
sign that there is plenty of money in the state; but when
land has to be leased at much lower rates, it shows, other
things being equal, that money is scarce. I have read in The
State of France87 that acres of vineyard near Mantes—not far
from the French capital—which leased for 200 livres
85
The Hanseatic League was an association of several independent cities of northern Europe. 86
Cantillon is here referring to the explusion of the Hugonots who dominated the cotton clothing business
and which was relinquished to Indian imports. 87
Pierre le Pesant, sieur de Boisguilbert or Boisguillebert (17 February 1646 - 10 October 1714) In 1695,
Boisguilbert published Le Detail de la France; la cause de la diminution de ses biens, et la facilité du
remède in which he described the economic ruination of France caused by merchantist economic policy. He
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tournois88 of full weight in 1660, only leased for 100
livres tournois of lighter money in 1700. However, the
silver brought from the West Indies in the interval should
naturally have raised the price of land in Europe.
The author [of the State of France] attributes this
fall in rent to defective consumption. In fact, it seems
that he observed a reduction in wine consumption. However, I
think he has mistaken the effect for the cause. The cause
was a greater rarity of money in France, and the effect of
this was naturally a decrease in consumption. In this essay,
I have always suggested, on the contrary, that an abundance
of money naturally increases consumption and contributes
above everything else to a higher valuation of the land.
When abundant money raises products to honest prices, the
inhabitants eagerly work to acquire them; although they do
not show the same eagerness to acquire food and merchandise
beyond what is needed for their maintenance.
It is clear that a state with more money in circulation
than its neighbors has an advantage over them, so long as it
maintains this abundance of money.89
was an antimercantist who blamed the country’s problems on its fiscal policy while Cantillon was a
antimercantist who blamed France’s economic decline on both fiscal and monetary policies. 88
Livres tournois were coins made in Tours which were made of 1/5 less silver than livres made in Paris.
Here Cantillon indicates that the livres tournois were debased, or reduced in silver content between 1660
and 1700. 89
This statement by Cantillon sounds very mercantilist but is less so when placed in its historical context.
From the late 1680s to the late 1720s, the French government caused the exportation of money, the
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In the first place, given that the price of land and
labor are calculated in terms of money, the state where
money is most abundant will give up less land and labor than
it receives in all areas of trade. Thus the state in
question sometimes receives the product of two acres of land
in exchange for that of one acre, and the work of two men
for that of only one. It is because of this abundance of
money in circulation in London that the work of one English
embroiderer costs more than that of 10 Chinese embroiderers,
though the Chinese embroider much better and turn out more
work in a day. In Europe, people are amazed that these
people can live by working so cheap and that the wonderful
fabrics they send us cost so little.
Secondly, tax revenues are more easily raised in a
state where money is plentiful, and in relatively larger
amounts. This gives the state, in case of war or dispute,
the means to gain all sorts of advantages over its
adversaries with whom money is scarce.
If there are two princes at war over the sovereignty or
conquest of a state, where one has much money and the other
has little money but many estates worth twice the money of
his enemy, the first will be better able to attract generals
devaluation of currency, and the near destruction of private capital markets. What amounted to a series of
forced monetary deflations, led to lower real prices, and lower asset prices. See Hoffman et al. (2000,
chapter 3).
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171
and officers with gifts of money than the second will be by
giving twice the value in lands and estates. Grants of land
are subject to challenge and revocation and cannot be relied
upon like money. With money, munitions of war and food can
be bought, even from the enemies of the state. Money can be
given for secret services without witnesses, but land,
produce and goods would not serve for these purposes, not
even jewels or diamonds, because they are easily recognized.
After all, it seems to me that the comparative power and
wealth of states consist, other things being equal, in the
greater or less abundance of money circulating in them hic
et nunc.90
I still have to mention two other methods of increasing
the amount of money circulating in a state. The first is
when entrepreneurs and private individuals borrow money from
their foreign correspondents at interest, or when foreigners
send their money into the state to buy shares or government
stocks. This often amounts to very considerable sums on
which the state must annually pay interest to these
foreigners. These methods for increasing money in the state
do make it more abundant and diminish the rate of interest.
With this money, the entrepreneurs in the state find it
90
Latin phrase for ―here and now‖ suggesting that this otherwise merchantist-sounding pronouncment
applies to the short run.
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possible to borrow more cheaply, to provide work, and to
establish factories with the anticipation of a profit. The
artisans, and all those whose hands this money passes
through, consume more than they would have done if they had
not been employed by means of this money. This consequently
increases prices just as if the money belonged to the state
and through the increased consumption or expenditures this
causes, public revenues derived from taxes on consumption
are increased. Money lent to the state in this manner brings
many advantages with it, but in the end, it is always
burdensome and harmful. The state must pay the interest to
the foreigners every year and, aside from this loss, the
state is at the mercy of the foreigners who can always cause
trouble if they decide to withdraw their capital. Surely,
they will want to withdraw their capital when the state
needs it the most, as when preparing for war and defeat is
feared. The interest paid to the foreigner is always much
more considerable than the increase in pubic revenue caused
by this money. One can observe these loans passing from one
country to another, according to investors’ confidence in
the states to which they are sent. But in reality, states
that have paid heavy interest on these loans for many years,
will often find themselves bankrupt and unable to repay the
capital. When trust is shaken, shares or public stocks fall;
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foreign shareholders do not like to sustain losses,
preferring to content themselves with collecting interest,
while waiting for confidence to return. But sometimes it
does not return. In declining states, the principal
objective of public administrators usually is to restore
confidence in order to attract foreign loans. If the
ministry does not act in bad faith and keeps its
obligations, the money of the subjects will circulate
without interruption. In this case, money from abroad has
the power of increasing the quantity of money in a state.
But the borrowing road, which holds an advantage in the
present, leads to a dead end and is but a flash in the pan.
To restore a poor state with a shortage of money, a constant
and real balance of trade is needed on an annual basis, as
is the development, through navigation, of the articles and
manufactures produced cheaper and thereby suitable for
exportation.91 Merchants are the first to make their
fortunes, then the lawyers may get part of it, the prince
and tax collectors get a share at the expense of all the
others, and distribute their graces as they please. When
money becomes too plentiful in the state, luxury will follow
and the state will fall into poverty.
91
Cantillon’s recipe for economic success would appear to be production by skilled labor, trade, and
saving.
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This is roughly the cycle that may be experienced by a
large state which has both capital and industrious
inhabitants. A talented public administrator is always able
to begin the cycle over again. Not many years are needed to
see it tried and succeed, at least in the beginning, which
makes for the most interesting situation. The increased
quantity of money in circulation will be brought about by
several factors that my argument does not allow me to
examine now.
As for states without much capital and where capital
can only be increased by accidents or by particular
circumstances of the times, it is difficult to find the
means that would allow them to flourish by trade. No
administrator can restore the Republics of Venice and
Holland to the brilliant situation from which they have
fallen. But Italy, Spain, France, and England, however poor
they may be, are still capable of attaining a high degree of
power by trade alone if led by a good administration and if
they operate separately. If all these states were equally
well administered, they would be great only in proportion to
their respective capital and to the greater or lesser
industriousness of their people.92
92
Here Cantillon recognizes a basic fallacy of mercantilism which is that if one nation wins, another must
lose. Here all nations can benefit from trade (when there are no political administrative advantages) and
that benefits to all increase in proportion to the amount of capital and labor.
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The last method I can think of to increase the quantity
of money actually circulating in a state is by violence and
arms, and this method is often blended with the others,
since in all peace treaties one will try to maintain trading
rights and other privileges one could obtain. When a state
mandates contributions or makes several other states
tributary to it, this is a very sure method of obtaining
their money. I will not examine the methods of putting this
theory into practice, but I will say that all the nations
who have flourished in this manner have not failed to
decline, like states that have flourished through their
commerce. The ancient Romans were more powerful in this
manner than all the other peoples we know of. Nevertheless,
these same Romans, before losing an inch of the land of
their vast states, fell into decadence through luxury and
impoverished themselves by the reduction of money which
circulated among them, and it was this luxury that caused
their empire to pass into the hands of the eastern nations
of the Orient.
So long as Romans’ luxury (which did not begin until
after the defeat of Antiochus, King of Asia, around A.U.C.
564)93 came from the product of the land and the labor of
93
King Antiochus III the Great was ruler of the Seleucid Empire (eastern half of Alexander’s Empire
including modern Turkey to Persia and other parts of the Middle East). Antiochus was defeated by a much
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all the vast estates of their dominion, the circulation of
money only increased instead of decreasing. The public was
in possession of all the gold, silver, and copper mines in
the empire. They had the gold mines of Asia, Macedonia,
Aquileia94 and the rich mines, both gold and silver, of
Spain and other countries. They had several mints where
gold, silver and copper coins were struck. In Rome, the
consumption of all the goods and merchandise drawn from
their vast provinces did not diminish the circulation of
money, any more than the pictures, statues and jewels
themselves. Although the wealthy landlords spent excessive
amounts for their feasts, and paid 15,000 ounces of silver
for a single fish, all that did not diminish the quantity of
money circulating in Rome, given that the provinces made
tributes regularly, not to mention the money brought in by
lenders and by governors with their extortions. The amounts
annually extracted from the mines increased the circulation
in Rome during Augustus’ whole reign. However, luxury was
already on a very great scale, and there was much eagerness,
not only for curiosities produced in the empire, but also
for jewels from India, pepper and spices, and all the
rarities of Arabia. Silks, which were not made in the
larger Roman army in Greece at the Battle of Thermopylae in 191 B.C. and the decisive Battle of Magnesia
which was fought in Asia Minor in 190 B.C. (a.k.a. A.U.C. 564)
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empire, began to be in demand there. Nevertheless, the money
drawn from the mines still exceeded the sums sent out of the
empire to buy all these things. However, under Tiberius,
money became scarce when that emperor collected 2.7 billion
sesterces95 in his Treasury. To restore an abundant
circulation, he only needed to borrow 300 million on a
mortgage of his estates. After his death, Caligula spent all
of Tiberius treasure in less than one year, and it was then
that the abundance of money in circulation was at its
highest in Rome and the wind of luxury kept on blowing. The
historian Pliny96 estimated that in his time the empire
exported at least 100 million sesterces annually. This was
more than was drawn from the mines. Under Trajan, land
prices fell by one-third or more, according to the younger
Pliny, and money continued to decrease until the time of the
Emperor Septimus Severus.97 Money was then so scarce in Rome
that the emperor collected enormous quantities of wheat,
being unable to collect enough tax money for his
enterprises. Thus the Roman Empire declined through the loss
of its money before losing any of its estates. That is what
94
Founded by the Romans as a defensive outpost in northeast Italy (near Venice) it developed into a center
of commerce after gold was discovered in the region. 95
Roman money: one sesterce was worth one quarter or a ―denier.‖ Originally a small silver coin, it was
converted into a larger bronze coin during Augustus coinage reform of 23 B.C. 96
Gaius Plinius Caecilius Secundus (63-ca. 113 AD) as known as Pliny the Younger was a lawyer and
author and the great nephew of Pliny the Elder (23-79 AD). 97
Emperor of Rome from 193 to 211 A.D.
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luxury brought about, and what it always will bring about in
similar circumstances.
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Chapter Nine: Of Interest on Money and its Causes
Abstract: Interest is established in the market by
lenders and borrowers and the interest rate on a
particular loan is determined by the risk of
default. A loan is repaid from the income
generated from capital investments and the
interest paid is equivalent to the profits of
fully capitalized enterprises. Small entrepreneurs
pay high rates whether they borrow cash or
purchase goods to be paid at a later date, based
on risk and their propensity to spend beyond their
means. Thereby, interest rates on loans are
connected with an individual’s time preference.
Just as the prices of goods are set by the bargaining
process in the market and by the quantity of goods offered
for sale relative to the quantity of money offered for them,
or in other words, by the relative number of sellers and
buyers, so in the same way the interest on loans in a state
is settled by the relative number of lenders and borrowers.
Although money serves as a medium of exchange, it does
not multiply itself or earn interest simply by being in
circulation. It is the needs of mankind that seem to have
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introduced the usage of interest. A man who lends money
backed by good securities or a mortgage only runs the risk
of the ill will of the borrower, or of expenses, lawsuits,
and losses. However, when he lends without collateral, he
runs the risk of losing everything. For this reason, needy
men must have begun by tempting lenders with profit as bait
and this profit must have been proportionate to the needs of
the borrowers and the fear and avarice of the lenders. This
seems to be the origin of interest although its continued
use in states seems to be based upon the profits that
entrepreneurs can make from it.
Land aided by human labor, naturally produces 4, 10,
20, 50, 100, 150 times the amount of wheat sown, depending
on the fertility of the soil and the industry of the
inhabitants. It also produces fruits and cattle. The farmer
who runs the operation generally keeps two-thirds of the
production, with one third paying his expenses and upkeep
and the other being the profit for his enterprise.
If the farmer has enough capital for this enterprise,
such as the necessary tools, horses for plowing, cattle to
increase the value of the land,98 etc., he will keep for
himself, after paying all expenses, one-third of the farm’s
98
In the era before chemical fertilizer, cattle manure was often crucial as a fertilizer for maintaining the
productivity of agricultural land.
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production. But if a competent laborer, who lives on his
wages from day to day and who has no land, can find someone
willing to lease land or the money to buy some, he will be
able to give the lender all of the third rent, or one-third
of the production of the farm over which he will become the
farmer or entrepreneur. However, he will see his condition
improved because he will obtain his upkeep in the second
rent, and will become master instead of employee. If he can
save and do without some necessities, he can gradually
accumulate some capital and have less to borrow every year.
Eventually, he will manage to keep all of the third rent.
If this new entrepreneur can buy wheat or cattle on
credit that will be paid back long term when he sells his
farm products for money, he will gladly pay more than the
cash market price. This is the same things as if he borrowed
cash to buy wheat, with the interest paid being the
difference between the cash price and the price payable at a
future date. However, whether he borrows cash or goods,
there must be enough left over for his upkeep, or he will
become bankrupt. This risk is the reason why he will be
required to pay 20 or 30 percent profit or interest on the
amount of money or value of the goods he borrows.
In a similar manner, a master hat maker who has capital
to carry on his manufacture of hats; to rent a house, buy
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beaver skins,99 wool, dye, etc. and to pay for the
subsistence of his workmen every week, should obtain his own
upkeep from this enterprise and a profit similar to that of
the farmer who keeps one-third of his farm’s output as
profit. This upkeep and the profit should come from the sale
of the hats, the price of which ought to cover not only the
materials, but also the upkeep of the hatter and his
workmen, and also the profit in question.
A capable journeyman hatter with no capital may
undertake the same business by borrowing money and materials
and giving the profit to anybody who is willing to lend him
the money or entrust him with the beaver, wool, etc. for
which he will pay sometime later when he has sold his hats.
If, when his bills are due, the lender requires his capital
back, or if the wool merchant and other lenders will not
grant him further credit, he must give up his business, in
which case he may prefer to go bankrupt. But if he is
prudent and industrious, he may be able to show his
creditors that he has, in cash or in hats, about the same
value that he has borrowed, and they will probably choose to
continue to give him credit and be satisfied, for the time
being, with their interest or profit. In this way, he will
99
Beaver skin hats were fashionable in Europe from the mid-sixteenth to mid-nineteenth century. Beavers
were a stimulate to colonization in North America where they were nearly made extinct.
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carry on and will perhaps gradually save some capital by
cutting back upon his necessities. In this manner, he will
have less to borrow every year, and when he has collected
enough capital to conduct his business (which will always be
proportional to his sales) he will keep his entire profit
and grow rich if he does not increase his expenditures.
It is useful to observe that the upkeep of such a
manufacturer is small compared to the sums he borrows for
his business or to the value of materials entrusted to him.
Therefore, the lenders run no great risk of losing their
capital if the borrower is respectable and hard working.
However, as he may not be, the lenders will always require a
profit or interest of 20 to 30 percent of the value of their
loan. Even then, only those who have a good opinion of him
will trust him. The same inductions may be made with regard
to all the masters, artisans, manufacturers and other
entrepreneurs in the state, who carry on enterprises in
which the capital considerably exceeds the value of their
annual upkeep.
However, if a water-carrier in Paris sets himself up as
the entrepreneur of his own work, all the capital he needs
is the price of two buckets, which he can buy for one ounce
of silver, after which all his gains are profit. If he earns
50 ounces of silver a year by his labor, the amount of his
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capital or borrowing relative to his profit is 1 to 50. That
is, he will earn 5000 percent, while the hatter will earn
only 50 percent and will also have to pay 20 or 30 percent
to the lender.
Nevertheless, a moneylender will prefer to lend 1000
ounces of silver to a hat maker at 20 percent interest,
rather than lend 1000 ounces to 1000 water carriers at 500
percent interest. The water carriers will quickly spend on
their maintenance, not only the money they gain by their
daily labor, but all that is lent to them. These amounts of
capital are small compared with what they need for their
maintenance: however much or little they work, they can
easily spend all that they earn. Therefore, it is difficult
to determine the profitability of small entrepreneurs. It
may well be that a water carrier earns 5,000 percent of the
value of the buckets that are the capital of his company. He
could even earn 10,000 percent, if by hard work he earns 100
ounces of silver a year. However, because he could easily
spend 100 ounces on himself just as easily as 50, it is only
by knowing what he devotes to his upkeep that we can
determine how much clear profit has been made.
It is always necessary to deduct the subsistence and
maintenance of the entrepreneur before determining their
profit. We have done this in the example of the farmer and
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of the hat maker. However, we have shown that this is
difficult to determine in the case of the smallest
entrepreneurs, the majority of whom will eventually go
bankrupt.
Ordinarily, brewers in London will lend a few kegs of
beer to pub owners and when they pay for the first kegs,
they continue to lend them more. If these pubs do a brisk
business, the brewers can make an annual profit of 500
percent; and I have heard that the big brewers grow rich
when no more than half the pubs go bankrupt on them in the
course of the year.
All the merchants in a state are in the habit of
lending merchandise or products to retailers. They
proportion the amount of their profit or interest to that of
their risk. The risk is always considerable when the
proportion of the borrower's maintenance is high relative to
the amount of the loan. If the borrower or retailer does not
have a prompt flow of sales in his small business, he will
quickly be ruined and will spend all he has borrowed on his
own subsistence and will consequently be forced into
bankruptcy.
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The fish merchant, who buys fish at Billingsgate100 in
London to sell again in other areas of the city, generally
pays, under a contract made by a professional writer, one
shilling per guinea or per twenty-one shillings of interest
per week, which amounts to 260 percent per year.101 The
market-women in Paris, whose business is smaller, pay five
sols102
for the week's interest on an ecu103 of three livres,
which exceeds 430 percent per year.104 And yet, there are few
lenders who make a fortune from such high interest.
These high rates of interest are not only tolerated but
are in a way useful and necessary in a state. Those who buy
fish in the streets pay for these high interest rates with
an increase in the price they charge. They provide a
convenience for their customers who do not consider it a
loss. In the same manner, an artisan who drinks a beer and
pays a price that gives the brewer his 500 percent profit,
is satisfied with this convenience and does not feel the
loss of this small detail.
The Casuists, who hardly seem suitable to judge the
nature of interest and matters of trade, have created a
100
Billingsgate was the location of a fish market that developed during the sixteenth and seventeenth
centuries in the southeastern part of London, on the docks located on the north bank of the Thames River. 101
One shilling interest per twenty-shillings borrowed equals (1/21) or 4.76% per week or 248% simple
interest per year. 102
One sol was worth 1/20 of a livre. 103
A French silver coin originally worth three livres.
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concept (damnum emergens) through which they will tolerate
these high interest rates. Rather than disrupt its use and
suitability to business, they have agreed to allow those who
lend at great risk to charge a proportionally high rate of
interest. And there is no limit, for they would be at a loss
to find any definite limit because in reality, this business
depends on the fears of the lenders and the needs of the
borrowers.105
Maritime merchants are praised when they can generate a
profit from their enterprise’s capital, even though it is as
high as 10,000 percent; and whatever profit wholesale
merchants make or demand for selling products or merchandise
to smaller retail merchants on long credit, I have not heard
the Casuists declare it a crime. They are, or seem to be, a
little more scrupulous about loans of money even though it
is essentially the same thing. They even tolerate these
loans by a distinction (lucrum cessans) that they invented.
I understand this means that a man who usually makes a 500
104
Five sols interest per sixty sols borrowed (3 livres * 20 sols per livre) equals 8.3% interest per week or
433% simple interest per year. 105
The Casuists were scholastic theologians who wrote on the topic of usury. Starting from the position of
―just price‖ where any interest was illegitimate and unjust, the scholastics gradually moved towards
accepting the concept of interest, the charging of high rates of interest, and eventually to the position that
any rate determined in the market and agreed to by both parties was a just price for a loan. Cantillon
mentioned two concepts the Casuists developed, lucrum cessans and damnum emergens, which supported
the payment of interest against charges of usury. Lucrum cessans provided an exception whereby a lender
could legitimately receive interest from a borrower equal to the same return he could have made from an
alternative use of his money had he not lent it to the borrower. Similarly, damnum emergens provided an
exception whereby a lender could be compensated for any damages suffered because of the absence of the
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188
percent profit in his business may demand this rate when he
lends money to another. Nothing is more entertaining than
the multitude of laws and rules made in every century on the
subject of the interest of money—always unnecessarily—by
wiseacres who hardly understand the facts of commerce.
From these examples and inductions, it seems that there
are many classes and pathways of interest or profit in a
state. In the lowest classes, interest is always highest in
proportion to the greater risk, and it diminishes, from
class to class, up to the highest which is that of rich
merchants who are known to be creditworthy. The interest
stipulated for this class is called the current rate of
interest in the state and it differs little from the
interest rate charged on land mortgages. A bill of exchange
from a solvent and solid merchant is as well regarded, at
least in the short run, as a mortgage on land, because the
possibility of a lawsuit or a dispute involving the mortgage
is equivalent to the possibility of the merchant’s
bankruptcy.
If entrepreneurs in a state could not make a profit on
the money or goods that they borrow, the use of interest
would probably be less frequent than it is. Only extravagant
money lent. Both concepts justified the charging of interest and recognized the existence of the opportunity
cost of money.
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189
people and spendthrifts would contract for loans. But
accustomed as everyone is to depend on entrepreneurs, there
is a constant source for loans and consequently for
interest. Entrepreneurs are the ones who cultivate the land
and supply bread, meat, clothes, etc. to all the inhabitants
of a city. Those who work on wages for these entrepreneurs,
also seek to set themselves up as entrepreneurs, in
emulation of each other. The multitude of entrepreneurs is
much greater among the Chinese as they have a lively spirit,
a genius for enterprise, and a determination to achieve
their goals. There are among them many entrepreneurs whose
work here is done by people on fixed wages. They even supply
meals for laborers in the fields. It is perhaps this large
number of small entrepreneurs and others, from the various
classes, who earn a living from consumption without injuring
the consumer, that keeps the rate of interest for the
highest classes at 30 percent, while it hardly exceeds 5
percent in Europe. At Athens, in Solon’s time,106
interest
was at 18 percent. In the Roman Republic, it was most
commonly 12 percent, but has also been known to be 48, 20,
8, 6, and its lowest was 4 percent. It was never so low in
the free market as towards the end of the Republic and under
106
Solon (638 BC–558 BC), a foreign trader, wrote the first Constitution of Athens in which he established
a civic democracy based on wealth rather than social position or family ties. He also abolished slavery and
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Augustus after the conquest of Egypt.107 The Emperor
Antoninus108 and Alexander Severus
109 only reduced interest to
4 percent by lending public money on the mortgage of land.
serfdom and instituted trial by jury. He also eliminated all debts, which may have had an impact on interest
rates. 107
Egypt became part of the Roman Empire 31 BC. Augustus reigned from 27 BC to AD 14 and instituted
a relatively free market economy. 108
Antoninus was Roman emperor from 138 AD to 161 AD. 109
Alexander Severus, also known as Marcus Aurelius was a Roman emperor (222 AD – 235 AD)
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Chapter 10: The Causes of Increases and Decreases of the
Interest Rate on Money in a State
Abstract: The interest rate is determined by the
supply and demand for loanable funds, not the
supply of money. Savings and frugality decrease
the interest rate while lavish spending increases
it. War increases the interest rate, peace
decreases it. Paying off the national debt
decreases the interest rate. A positive balance of
trade decreases the interest rate, but the
government cannot effectively lower the interest
by a usury law. The interest rate is a critical
factor in the valuation of assets such as land.
It is a common idea, accepted by all those who have written
on commerce, that an increased quantity of money in a state
decreases the rate of interest, because when money is
abundant it is easier to find some to borrow. This idea is
not always true or accurate. For proof, we need only to
remember that in 1720, nearly all the money in England was
brought to London. In addition, the number of notes in
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circulation further accelerated the movement of money to an
extraordinarily level.110
However, this abundance of money and increased
circulation did not decrease the interest rate, which had
been running at 5 percent or lower. It only served to raise
the rate, which increased up to 50 and 60 percent. It is
easy to account for this increased rate of interest by the
principles and the causes of interest that I established in
the previous chapter. The reason is that everyone had become
an entrepreneur in the South Sea scheme and wanted to borrow
money to buy shares, expecting to make an immense profit
with which it would be easy to pay this high rate of
interest.111
If the abundance of money in the state comes from the
hands of moneylenders, the increase in the number of lenders
will probably lower the rate of interest. However, if the
abundance comes from the hands of people who will spend it,
this will have just the opposite effect and will raise the
rate of interest by increasing the number of entrepreneurs
who go into business as a result of this increased spending,
110
Cantillon is referring here to an increase in the amount of bills of exchange, what is now called the
―velocity of money,‖ during the South Sea Bubble of 1720. 111
Cantillon may have been the first author to clearly distinguish between the purchasing power of money
and the interest rate on loans. This was one of the most critical elements of Cantillon’s overall assault on
mercantilist doctrine.
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193
and will need to supply their businesses by borrowing at all
types of interest.
The abundance or scarcity of money in a state always
raises or lowers the price of everything in markets, without
any necessary connection to the rate of interest which may
very well be high in states where there is plenty of money,
and low in those where money is scarcer; high where
everything is expensive, and low where everything is cheap;
high in London, low in Genoa.
The rate of interest rises and falls every day from
mere rumors, which might decrease or increase the confidence
of lenders, without affecting the prices of product in
markets.
The most constant source for a high rate of interest in
a state is the great expenditures of nobles, property
owners, and other rich people. Entrepreneurs and master
craftsmen supply the great houses with all the elements of
this spending and entrepreneurs almost always need to borrow
money in order to supply them. When the nobles consume
beyond their income and borrow money, they doubly contribute
to raising the interest rate.
In contrast, when the nobles of the state live frugally
and buy first hand [without middlemen] as often as they can,
they will acquire many products from their servants without
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dealing with entrepreneurs. This diminishes profits and the
numbers of entrepreneurs in the state and it consequently
reduces the number of borrowers, as well as the interest
rate. Because these entrepreneurs work with their own
capital, borrowing as little as they can, and content
themselves with small profits, they prevent those who have
no capital from starting similar enterprises with borrowed
money. Such is the case today in the Republics of Genoa and
Holland, where interest is sometimes at two percent, or
lower for the upper classes. Meanwhile, in Germany, Poland,
France, Spain, England and other countries, the affluence
and expenses of noblemen and property owners has kept the
country’s entrepreneurs and master artisans accustomed to
large profits, enabling them to pay a high rate of interest,
which is higher still when they import everything from
abroad with the added risk for the enterprises.
When the prince or the state incurs heavy expenses,
such as when making war, the rate of interest increases for
two reasons. The first is that it increases the number of
entrepreneurs with several new large enterprises for war
supplies, and it therefore increases borrowing. The second
is because of the greater risk that war always brings.
On the contrary, when the war is over, risk diminishes,
the number of entrepreneurs decreases, and war-contractors
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who go out of business, reduce their expenditures and become
lenders of the money they have gained. In this situation, if
the prince, or state, offers to repay part of the public
debt, it will reduce the rate of interest significantly.
This will truly have an effect if part of the debt can be
paid off without borrowing elsewhere, because the repayments
increase the number of lenders in the highest class of
interest [i.e. the prime rate], which will affect all the
other classes.
When the abundance of money in the state is caused by a
continuous (positive) balance of trade, this money first
passes through the hands of entrepreneurs. And although it
increases consumption, it does not fail to lower the rate of
interest because most of the entrepreneurs will acquire
enough capital to conduct their business without borrowing,
and even become lenders of the amount they have gained
beyond what they need to operate their business. If the
state does not have a great number of nobles and rich people
who spend lavishly, the abundance of money will certainly
lower the interest rate, while increasing the price of goods
and merchandise exchanged. This is what usually happens in
republics that have neither much capital nor considerable
land, and which grow rich only by foreign trade. But in
states that have considerable capital and large property
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196
owners, the money brought in by foreign trade increases
their rents, and enables them to spend heavily, which
maintains several entrepreneurs and artisans besides those
who engage in the foreign trade. This always keeps interest
rates high despite the abundance of money.
When a noble or property owner ruins himself by
extravagant expenditures, the lender who holds the mortgages
on the property often acquires the absolute ownership to it.
It may also be the case in a state that lenders provide more
credit than money in circulation. In this case, they are
subordinate owners of the land, and its production, which
have been mortgaged as security. Without which, the lenders’
capital would be lost by the bankrupcy of the borrowers.
In the same manner, one may consider the owners of
public debt to be the subordinate owners of state revenues,
which is used to pay them interest. However, if the
legislature was compelled by the needs of the state to use
these revenues for other purposes, the owners of public debt
would lose everything, while the amount of money circulating
in the state would not diminish by a single coin.
If the prince or the administrators of the state want
to regulate the current interest rate by law, the regulation
must be established on the basis of the current market rate
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in the highest class, or thereabout.112
Otherwise the law
will be useless because entrepreneurs are obedient to the
forces of competition, or the current price as settled by
the proportion of lenders to borrowers, and as a result,
they will resort to secret deals. This legal constraint will
only hamper trade and raise the interest rate, instead of
fixing it. Historically, the Romans, after passing several
laws to restrict interest rates, passed one to prevent the
lending of money altogether. This law had no more success
than its predecessors. Justinian’s law, which restrained
well-to-do people from taking more than 4 percent, those of
a lower order 6 percent, and traders 8 percent, was equally
amusing and unjust, because it was not forbidden to make 50
and 100 percent profit in all sorts of enterprises.113
If it is allowable and respectable for a property owner
to lease a farm to a poor farmer at a high rent, risking the
loss of the rent for a whole year, it seems that it should
be permissible for a lender to lend money to a needy
borrower, at the risk of not only losing his interest or
profit, but also his capital, and to stipulate any interest
112
Cantillon seems to disparage usury laws in general but here stipulates that if they are used, they must
conform to the market rate of the highest class of interest. This would allow the state, property owners, and
the most trustworthy borrowers to continue to borrow without interferance. Entrepreneurs could finance
their businesses by purchases supplies and inputs where the price to be paid in the future includes a return
on interest. Private individuals could continue to borrow and easily evade the law. Therefore, usuary laws
based on market rates would cause little ―embarassment.‖
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rate that the borrower will freely consent to pay. It is
true that loans of this type can make lenders worse off;
they can lose both the interest and their capital because
they are far less likely to recoup losses compared to the
property owner who cannot lose the land he rents. Because
bankruptcy laws are relatively favorable to debtors and
allow them to start again, it seems that usury laws should
always be adjusted to market rates, as is the case in
Holland.
The current interest rate in a state seems to serve as
a basis for establishing the market price of land. If the
current rate is 5 percent or one-twentieth part, the price
of land should be the same [i.e. twenty times the amount of
interest paid per year on the mortgage of similar land].
However, because ownership of land gives a certain status
and rights in some states, it will be the case that when
interest is 5 percent or one-twentieth part, the price of
land is set at 1/24 or 1/25 [25 times], although the
mortgage rate on the same land hardly exceeds the current
interest rate.
After all, the price of land, like all other prices, is
regulated naturally by the proportion of sellers to buyers,
113
Justinian I (483AD – 565AD) was an Eastern Roman Emperor and is considered one fo the most
important of the later emperors. He is most remembered for the codification of Roman law that he initiated
and which subsequently became the basis of European legal systems.
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etc. And as there will be many more buyers in London, for
example, than in the provinces, and as these buyers who live
in the capital will prefer to buy land in their locality
rather than in distant provinces, they would rather buy land
in their vicinity at 1/30 or 1/35, than distant lands at
1/25 or 1/22. There are often other acceptable reasons
affecting land prices, unnecessary to mention here, since
they do not invalidate our explanations of the nature of
interest.114
114
Cantillon here seems to be suggesting a capital asset pricing model where the value of land is 22 to 35
times the annual interest or income derived from the land, and that the ratio is adjusted according to the
benefits of its location.
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Part Three: International Trade and Business Cycles
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201
Chapter One: On Foreign Trade
Abstract: Here the circular flow economy is
extended to international trade. Instead of barter
or exchange with money, Cantillon explains how
international trade takes place on the basis of
bills of exchange. He shows that a state which
accumulates money will enjoy a temporary gain in
international trade, but that states where
manufacturing industries develop will enjoy a
higher standard of living. The only clear
exception Cantillon makes to free trade is his
famous endorsement of the English Navigation Acts,
where domestic shipping is protected, not in its
own right, but to provide ships and sailors during
wartime.
When a state exchanges a small product of land for a larger
in foreign trade, it seems to have the advantage; and if
money is more abundant than abroad, it will always exchange
a smaller product of land for a greater one.
When the state exchanges its labor for foreign
products, it seems to have the advantage, because its
inhabitants are fed at the foreigner's expense.
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When a state exchanges products and labor for a larger
amount of foreign products, that require an equal or greater
amount of labor, it seems again to have the advantage.
If the ladies of Paris annually consume lace from
Brussels valued at 100,000 ounces of silver, it will require
a quarter of an acre of land in Brabant, to grow the 150
pounds of flax necessary to make the fine lace in Brussels.
It will require the labor of approximately 2,000 people in
Brabant during the year for the several tasks involved, from
the sowing of the flax to the final perfection of the lace.
The lace merchant or entrepreneur in Brussels will advance
the capital. He will, directly or indirectly, pay all the
spinners and lace-makers, and a portion of the labor of
those who make their tools. All those who have taken part in
the work will then buy, directly or indirectly, their
sustenance from the farmer in Brabant, who will use the
money to cover part of his rent to the property owner. In
this economy, if one estimates that these 2000 persons need
three acre of land per capita for their maintenance as well
as that of their families, then six thousand acre of land in
Brabant will be required to support those who have worked on
the lace, at the expense of the ladies in Paris who will buy
and wear the lace.
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The ladies of Paris will pay the 100,000 ounces of
silver, each according to the quantity of lace she has
bought. All this silver must be sent to Brussels in specie,
less only the cost of shipping. The entrepreneur in Brussels
must find that it not only pays of all his advances and the
interest on the money that he has perhaps borrowed, but also
a profit for his enterprise and the upkeep of his family. If
the price paid by the ladies for the lace does not cover all
the costs and profits, there will be no incentive for this
business, and the entrepreneurs will cease production or
become bankrupt. However, if we assume that this
manufacturing continues, all costs must be covered by the
prices paid by the ladies of Paris, and that 100,000 ounces
of silver must be sent to Brussels, if the people of Brabant
receive no commodities from France as compensation.
However, if the inhabitants of Brabant are fond of
Champagne115 wine and consume 100,000 ounces of silver worth
of wine every year, the wine products will compensate for
the lace, and the balance of trade for these two branches
will be equal. This compensation and circulation will be
achieved through entrepreneurs and bankers who will
participate in this trade.
115
Region of France located just east of Paris.
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The ladies in Paris will pay 100,000 ounces to whoever
sells and delivers the lace to them; the seller will then
give the money to a banker who, in exchange, will give him
one or more bills of exchange116 redeemable by the
institution’s correspondent bank in Brussels. The Paris
banker will then give the money to the Champagne wine
merchants who have accumulated 100,000 ounces of silver in
the Brussels bank. In return, the wine merchants give the
Paris bank their bills of exchange—of the same amount—to be
redeemed from their account with the correspondent bank in
Brussels. Thus the 100,000 ounces paid for the Champagne
wine in Brussels will compensate for the 100,000 ounces paid
for the lace in Paris, and in this way, the trouble of
sending to Brussels the money acquired in Paris, and to
Paris the money acquired in Brussels, will be avoided. This
compensation is achieved by using bills of exchange, the
nature of which I will try to explain in the next chapter.
From this example, we can see that the 100,000 ounces
paid by the ladies of Paris for lace comes into the hands of
the merchants who send Champagne wine to Brussels; and that
the 100,000 ounces consumers paid for Champagne wine in
Brussels comes into the hands of lace merchants. The
116
A check or bank draft used in international trade that is an order written by one person to pay another a
specific sum on a specific date in the future. In this case the Paris bank is giving the lace dealer a bill of
exchange that can be cashed at the Brussels bank.
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205
entrepreneurs on each side distribute this money to those
who work for them, either in the wine or the lace business.
It is clear from this example that the ladies in Paris
support and maintain all those who produce the lace in
Brabant and that they cause money to circulate there. It is
also clear that the consumers of Champagne wine in Brussels
support and maintain, in Champagne, not only the winemakers
and others who work in the production of the wine, but also
the wagon makers, blacksmiths, and wagon drivers, etc. who
take part in its transport, as well as the horses they use.
They also pay for the value of the land used to produce the
wine, and cause a circulation of money in Champagne.
However, this circulation or trade in Champagne, which
is so stimulating and which maintains the winemaker, the
farmer, the wagon makers, blacksmiths, and wagon drivers
etc., and which pays the rent of the vineyard owner as well
as that of the owner of the pastures that serve to feed the
wagon horses, is, in the present case, an expensive and
disadvantageous trade for France when taking the effects it
produces into consideration.117
117
French apparell and luxury goods industries were highly regulated and monopolized by French
mercantile policy during this time period so that such luxury goods had to be imported even though France
probably had a comparative advantage in them.
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If a barrel of wine118 sells for sixty ounces of silver
in Brussels and if we assume that one acre of vineyard
produces four barrels, the production of 4166.5 acres of
land must be sent to Brussels to equal 100,000 ounces of
silver, and about 2000 acres of pasture and cropland must be
employed for the hay and oats consumed by the wagon horses,
if they are solely used for this purpose year round.
Therefore, approximately 6000 acres of land will be
relinquished from the subsistence of Frenchmen and the
people of Brabant will gain the production of over 4,000
acres, since the Champagne wine they drink saves them more
than 4,000 acres of land they would likely use to produce
beer, if they did not consume wine. However, the lace used
to pay for all this costs the people of Brabant only one
quarter of an acre of flax. Therefore, with the production
of one acre--combined with their labor--the people of
Brabant buy more than 16,000 acres worth (combined with less
labor) from the French. They obtain an increase in
subsistence and only give an article of luxury, which brings
no real advantage to France since the lace is worn and
consumed and cannot be exchanged for anything useful
afterward. Following the rule of intrinsic values, the land
used in Champagne for wine production, the maintenance of
118
A ―muid‖ or barrel of wine contains 288 pints or 36 US gallons.
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the winemakers, the coopers, the wagon makers, blacksmiths,
wagon drivers horses, etc., ought to equal the land used in
Brabant for the production of the flax, the support of the
spinners and lace makers, and all those who have taken part
in the production of the lace.
But if money in circulation is more abundant in Brabant
than Champagne, land and labor will be at higher prices
there and, as a result of the valuation in terms of money
that takes place on both sides, the French will lose even
more.119
In this example, we see a branch of trade that
strengthens the foreigner, lessens the number of inhabitants
in the state, and, without causing any money in circulation
to leave, weakens this same state. I’ve chosen this example
to better show how one state may be the dupe of another in
trade, and to show the method of judging the advantages and
disadvantages of foreign trade.
It is by the examination of the effects of each
particular branch of commerce that foreign trade can be
usefully regulated.120 It cannot be distinctly known with
generalizations.
119
Cantillon would later show that there is a market mechanism that regulates the flow and circulation of
money between nations. However, France suffered several bouts of artificial shortages of money resulting
from attempts to exploit money holders by the monarchy. 120
The word ―regulated‖ does not imply government regulation of international trade. When Cantillon used
the word ―régler‖ he was usually refering to some form of market harmonization ala supply and demand.
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208
One will always find, when examining particular cases,
that the exportation of any manufactured goods is
advantageous to the state because the foreigner always pays
and supports workers who are useful to the state. The best
returns or payments which one receives are in specie, and in
default of specie, foreign products that require less labor.
By these trading methods, states that have very little raw
materials can support a large number of inhabitants at the
expense of foreigners, and large states can maintain their
inhabitants in greater ease and abundance.121
Great states have no need to increase the number of
their inhabitants; they only need to support their citizens
with domestic production, and in more ease and comfort, and
to increase the strength of the state in terms of defense
and security. To achieve the same result by foreign trade,
the exportation of the state’s products and manufactured
goods must be strongly encouraged, in exchange—as often as
possible—for gold and silver. If an abundant harvest creates
a surplus of production in the state above the usual annual
consumption, it would be advantageous to encourage its
exportation in return for its value in gold and silver.
These metals are non-perishable, they do not spoil like
121
Cantillon has previously demonstrated why manufacturing workers receive higher wages than unskilled
workers and how those wage rates are harmonized by market forces.
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209
agricultural products, and gold and silver can always be
used to import into the state what it does not have.
However, it would not be advantageous for the state to
annually send great quantities of its agricultural products
abroad in return for foreign manufactured goods. This would
both weaken and decrease the number of inhabitants and the
armed forces of the state.
It is not my intention to describe the branches of
trade that should be encouraged for the good of the state.
I’ll simply say that the importation of money should be the
goal.
An increase in the quantity of money circulating in a
state provides great advantages in foreign trade, so long as
this abundance of money lasts. This allows the state to
exchange a small quantity of products and labor for a
greater one. It levies its taxes more easily and finds no
difficulty in raising money in case of public need.
It is true that the continued increase of money will,
in time, and by its abundance, cause land and labor costs to
rise in the state. Products and manufactured goods will, in
the long run, cost so much that the foreigner will gradually
cease to buy them, and will adjust to buying them cheaper
elsewhere. By imperceptible degrees, this will ruin the
businesses and manufactures of the state. This same cause
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210
(the abundance of money) will raise the rents of property
owners and will put them into the habit of importing many
articles from foreign countries where they can be purchased
for less. These are natural consequences. The wealth
acquired by a state through trade, labor, and economy will
gradually plunge it into luxury.122
States that rise by trade
do not fail to sink afterwards. There are steps that might
be, but are not, taken to stop this decline. But it is
always true that when the state has a positive balance of
trade and an abundance of money, it seems powerful, and it
really is as long as this abundance continues.
Infinite inductions could be added to justify these
ideas of foreign trade and the advantages of abundant money.
The disproportion of money in circulation in England and in
China is astonishing. Despite an eighteen months sea
voyage, goods from the Indies, like silks, colored calicoes,
muslins, etc. sell for a very low price in England, and
could be paid for with the thirtieth part of her articles
and goods, if the Indians would buy them. But they are not
so foolish as to pay extravagant prices for our products
while work is done better and infinitely cheaper in their
own country. So they sell us their goods only for cash
122
Cantillon was not opposed to luxury goods and fine living. Indeed he seemed to be a luxury goods
enthusiast. When he uses the term luxury what he seems to be refering to decadence and living beyond
one’s means.
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211
money, which we annually carry to them, increasing their
wealth and diminishing our own.123
Indian goods consumed in
Europe only reduce our money and the work done by our own
manufactures.
A [Native] American who sells beaver skins to a
European is surprised, and rightly so, to learn that woolen
hats are as good as those made of beaver, and that all the
difference, which causes so long a sea journey, is in the
mind of those who think that beaver hats are lighter and
more pleasant to the eye and the touch. However, as these
beaver skins are ordinarily paid for to the American in
articles of iron, steel, etc. and not in money, this trade
is not injurious to Europe, especially since it supports
workers and particularly sailors, who are very useful to the
state, while the commerce of goods from the East Indies
exports money and diminishes the number of workers in
Europe.
It must be acknowledged that the East Indian trade is
profitable to the Dutch Republic and that she makes the loss
fall on the rest of Europe by selling the spices and goods
in Germany, Italy, Spain and the New World, for a profit
well beyond the amount she sends to the Indies. Holland even
finds it useful to clothe her women and other inhabitants
123
Asians have traditionally saved by accumulating jewelry made of precious metals (see Rissman 1988).
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212
with Indian fabrics rather than with English or French
fabrics. It suits the Dutch better to enrich the Indians
rather than their neighbors, who could use it to oppress
them. Moreover, they sell the cloths and small manufactured
goods that they produce to other Europeans for more than
what they pay for the Indian goods consumed in Holland.
England and France would be mistaken to imitate the
Dutch in this respect. These kingdoms have the means to
clothe their women with their own products, and though their
fabrics are more expensive than Indian made ones, they
should prevent their people from wearing foreign fabrics.
They ought to prevent a reduction of their own articles and
goods and not become dependent on the foreigner, still less
allow their money to be taken away for that purpose.124
But as the Dutch find means to sell Indian goods in the
other states of Europe, English and French should do the
same, whether to reduce Holland’s naval power or to increase
their own, and above all, to do without Holland’s aid in the
branches of consumption that a bad habit has made necessary
in these kingdoms. It is a visible disadvantage to allow the
wearing of Indian fabrics in the kingdoms of Europe that
124
France was practicing a severe form of mercantilism at the time, which, among other things, made the
manufacture of cloth and fabric very expensive; the industry was tightly regulated and heavily
monopolized. For example, the type of cotton fabrics that were being imported into Europe and smuggled
into France—printed cotton calicos—were prohibited from being manufactured in the country (see Ekelund
and Tollison, 1981).
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213
have the means to clothe their people with their own
products.125
Just as it is disadvantageous for a state to encourage
foreign manufactures, so it is also to encourage foreign
navigation. When a state sends its articles and goods
abroad, it can obtain the full advantage if it sends them in
its own ships. This way, trade supports a large number of
sailors, who are as useful to the state as workers. If it
leaves ocean transportation to foreign vessels, it
strengthens foreign navies and weakens its own.126
Navigation is an essential aspect of foreign trade. In
all of Europe, the Dutch are those who build ships the
cheapest. In addition to the rivers that they use to float
timber downstream, their proximity to the north127 supplies
them with less expensive masts, wood, pitch, rope, etc.
Their mills for sawing wood facilitate the production. In
addition, they navigate with smaller crews and their sailors
live very cheaply. One of their windmills for sawing wood
saves the labor of eighty men a day.
125
This would appear to be an implied criticism of French mercantile policy that restricted the production
of certain fabrics in an age when direct criticism of the monarchy would land you in jail or worse. 126
This was a time period when England, France, Holland, and Spain were all involved in a mercantilist
war, each vying to dominate the world’s oceans, colonies, and trade routes. A most important component of
a country’s navy was its merchant marine, which could easily be transformed into commerce raiders during
a war. A nation that lacked a merchant marine would be greatly disadvantaged. 127
Here Cantillon is probably referring to the lowland countries of Belgium and Holland, the area now
known as Germany, as well as the Kingdoms of Denmark and Sweden.
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214
With these advantages, they would be the only sea
carriers in Europe if cost alone mattered. And if they had
enough resources to develop an extensive commerce, they
would doubtless have the most flourishing merchant marine in
Europe. However, their large number of sailors is not
sufficient to make them a superior naval power because their
state lacks internal strength. Even if they had the large
revenues necessary to build and man war vessels, they would
not do so because they profit from the expansion of trade.128
In order to prevent the Dutch—with their low-cost
advantage—from expanding their shipping business, England
has forbidden any nation from importing goods that it did
not produce. This precludes the Dutch from shipping to
England and thereby strengthens the English shipping
business. The English do ship at a greater cost than the
Dutch, but the wealth of their overseas cargoes offsets some
of these costs.129
France and Spain are maritime states that have a large
part of their production sent to the north, from which they
also acquire goods and merchandise. It is not surprising
128
It is important to understand that the merchant marine was a vital component of a nation’s naval forces.
In times of war, a nation’s merchant ships could be converted into commerce raiders and these raiders
could, and often did, cripple an opponent’s ability to engage in international commerce and to resupply its
Armies overseas. 129
Cantillon is endorsing the English Navigation Acts which targeted Dutch shipping and increased the
merchant marine of the British empire. This endorsement, which was latter echoed by Adam Smith, is not
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215
that their navies are insignificant in proportion to their
production and the extent of their coasts, since they leave
it to foreign vessels to import all the goods they receive
from the north and to export the goods they send to northern
states.
These states, France and Spain, do not take
advantageous trade considerations into account in their
policy. Most merchants in France and Spain who deal in
foreign trade are usually the agents or clerks of foreign
merchants, and are not entrepreneurs carrying on trade with
their own funds.
It is true that northern states, by their location and
proximity to countries that produce all that is needed for
shipbuilding, are in a position to transport everything
cheaper than France and Spain. However, this should not
prevent these two kingdoms from taking steps to strengthen
their shipping. England has long shown them the example.
They have at home and in their colonies all that is needed
for the construction of ships and it would not be difficult
to get ships built there. There are a variety of methods
that could be used to make such a policy successful if the
legislature or state department would work towards that
made on the basis of protecting domestic shipping, but as a measure that would help ensure that there
would be enough sailors and ships in times of war.
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216
goal. My subject does not allow me, in this essay, to
examine these methods in detail. I will simply say that in
countries where trade does not support a large number of
ships and sailors, it is almost impossible for the prince to
maintain a flourishing navy without ruining the state
treasury with large expenditures.
I will conclude by pointing out that the most important
form of trade for the increase or decrease of a state’s
power is foreign trade. The domestic trade is not equally
important politically. Foreign trade is only half heartedly
supported when attention is not paid to increasing and
maintaining large merchants who are natives of the country,
ships, sailors, workers and manufacturers. Above all, a
balance of trade must be maintained against the foreigner.
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217
Chapter Two: On Bills of Exchanges and their Nature
Abstract: There is an expense associated with
transporting money based on the distance, risks,
and other transaction costs. Bills of Exchange are
a type of contract that can reduce this cost by
avoiding shipments that are offsetting between two
locations. When money must be sent, bankers charge
a fee for arranging the shipment and providing
their customers with a bill of exchange, or check,
that can be drawn or cashed at a correspondent
bank where the money is sent. When the exchange
rate is above par, it indicates a balance of
payments deficit and when the exchange rate is
below par, it indicates a balance of payments
surplus.
In the city of Paris, transporting money from one place to
another usually costs five sols per bag of 1000 livres.130 If
it were necessary to carry it from the Faubourg St. Antoine
to the Invalides,131
it would cost more than twice as much,
130
The livre tournois was equal to 20 sols so that the transport charge would be ¼ livre or 2.5 one
hundreths of one percent. 131
Faubough Saint Antoine was a suburb of Paris to the east and north of the River Seine. Hôtel des
Invalides was a complex of buildings founded in 1671 by Louis XIV who was providing housing for
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218
and if there were no generally trustworthy money couriers,
it would cost even more. If there were likely to be robbers
on the road, the money would be sent in large amounts, with
an escort, at greater cost, and when someone bares the cost
and risks of transport, he will require payment in
proportion to these costs and risks. Therefore, the cost of
transport from Rouen132 to Paris and from Paris to Rouen
generally amounts to 50 sols per bag of 1000 livres,133
which, in the language of the bankers, is 1/4 percent.
Bankers generally send money in strongboxes134 which robbers
have difficulty taking because of the iron and the weight,
and as there are always mail coaches on this route, the
costs are negligible on large sums sent between these two
places.
Assume that, every year, the city of Châlons-sur-
Marne135
pays 10,000 ounces of silver to the king’s tax
collector, and wine merchants from Châlons and the
surrounding areas sell to Paris, through their distributors,
Champagne wine for a total of 10,000 ounces of silver. If
the ounce of silver is worth five livres in France, the
disabled war veterans. At the time, it was located in western Paris south of the River Seine, but is now east
of the Eiffel Tower. 132
Rouen is located in the province of Normandy near Paris. 133
The 50 sols was the equivalent of two and a half livres or one quarter of one percent. 134
Cantillon uses a phrase that translates literally as double barrels which Higgs translated as ―strong kegs‖. 135
Châlons-sur-Marnes was renamed Châlons-en-Champagne in 1998 and is the capital of the Champagne-
Ardenne region.
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10,000 ounces in question will be worth 50,000 livres in
both Paris and Châlons.
The tax collector, in this example, has 50,000 livres
to send to Paris, and the distributors have 50,000 livres to
send to Châlons’ wine merchants. This double transaction, or
transport, may be avoided by an exchange contract known as
bills of exchange, if the parties get together and arrange
for it.
In this example, let each wine distributor take his
portion of the 50,000 livres to the cashier of the tax
collector’s office in Paris and in return he will be given a
check or bill of exchange payable to the Châlons’ tax
collector. When these checks are endorsed and transferred to
the Châlons’ tax office, the tax obligations of the Châlons’
wine merchants of 50,000 livres will be paid. In this
manner, the 50,000 livres in Paris will be paid to the
cashier of the tax department in Paris and the wine
merchants of Châlons will, in effect, be paid, and by this
exchange or offset, the trouble of sending this money from
one city to the other is avoided. Or else, let Châlons’ wine
merchants, who have 50,000 livres in Paris, offer bills of
exchange from their distributors to their tax collector and
endorse them to the cashier of the tax office in Paris, who
will in turn collect from the distributors the amount of
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220
50,000 livres, which they owed to the merchants of Châlons
for the bills of exchange. Whichever way this offsetting is
achieved, whether the bills of exchange are drawn from Paris
on Châlons or, as in this example, from Châlons on Paris,
ounce for ounce, or 50,000 livres for 50,000 livres, is
paid, and the exchange is said to be at par.
The same method might be adopted between Châlons’ wine
merchants and the rent collector for the nobility in Paris
who own land in the Châlons district, and the wine
merchants, or other merchants in Châlons who have sent goods
or merchandise to Paris and have money there, and other
merchants who have purchased goods from Paris and sold them
in Châlons. If there is a large trade between these two
cities, bankers will set up in Paris and Châlons, they will
enter into relationships with the interested parties on both
sides, and will become the agents or intermediaries for the
payments that would otherwise have to be sent from one city
to the other. Now if all the wine and other goods and
merchandise, which have been sent from Châlons to Paris and
have actually been sold there for cash, exceed in value the
total receipts of the taxes in Châlons, plus the rents from
Paris’ nobility owning property in the Châlons district, as
well as the value of the goods and merchandise sent from
Paris to Châlons and sold there for cash, by 5,000 ounces of
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221
silver or 25,000 livres, it will be necessary for the banker
in Paris to send this amount to Châlons in cash. This sum
will be the excess or balance of trade between these two
cities. This sum must be sent to Châlons in cash and this
operation will be carried out in the following way or in
some similar fashion.
The agents or distributors of the Châlons’ wine
merchants, and others, who have sent goods or merchandise to
Paris, have money from these sales in Paris and that must be
sent to Châlons. They are not in the habit of transporting
the money—at risk—and will go the tax office’s cashier to
obtain a check or bill of exchange (generally at par) for
the tax office in Châlons, up to the amount which it has
available in Châlons. If they need to send additional sums
to Châlons, they will go to the banker who has, at his
disposal, the rents of the Paris nobility who own estates in
that district. This banker will furnish them, like the tax
office’s cashier, with bills of exchange to be cashed with
his correspondent banker in Châlons, up to the amount which
he has at his disposal and that must otherwise be sent from
Châlons to Paris. This offsetting will also be made at par
between the agents who request that their money be sent to
Châlons, as well as from the nobility who ask to have their
money brought to Paris from Châlons, unless the banker tries
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222
to make a small profit from the transaction for his trouble.
If the banker also has at his disposal money in Châlons from
the sale of the merchandise imported from Paris, he will
also furnish bills of exchange for this amount.
However, in our example, the agents for the Châlons’
merchants still have 25,000 livres in Paris, which they must
send to Châlons, in addition to all the sums mentioned
above. If they offer this money to the tax office’s cashier,
he will reply that he has no more funds in Châlons, and that
he cannot supply them with bills of exchange or checks to
that city. If they offer the money to the banker, he will
tell them that he has no more funds in Châlons from which he
can draw, but if they will pay him three percent of the
exchange, he will provide a bill of exchange. They will
offer one or two percent, and will settle at two and half,
unable to do better. At this price, the Banker will give
them bills of exchange, that is if they pay him two livres
ten sols in Paris, he will supply a bill of exchange for 100
livres to be cashed by his correspondent bank in Châlons,
payable in 10 or 15 days, so as to put his correspondent in
a position to make the 25,000 livres payment he is obtaining
from him. At this rate of exchange, he will send him the
money by messenger or stagecoach in gold or, in absence of
gold, in silver. This delivery of gold will cost ten livres
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223
for each bag of 1,000 livres, or in banker’s jargon, one
percent. He will pay his correspondent in Châlons a
commission of five livres per bag of 1,000 livres, or one
half percent, and he will keep one percent for his own
profit. On this basis, the exchange between Paris and
Châlons is at two and half percent above par, because one
pays two livres ten sols for every 100 livres exchanged.
In a similar manner, the balance of trade is
transported from one city to the other through bankers, and
generally on a large scale. Not all those who bear the name
of bankers are accustomed to these transactions, and many of
them deal only in commissions and bank speculations. I will
only count among bankers those who transmit money. They are
the people who regulate such exchanges, where the price is
based on the costs and risks of transporting currencies in
different cases.
The exchange premium between Paris and Châlons is
rarely more than two and half or three percent over or under
par. But from Paris to Amsterdam, the exchange premium will
be up to five or six percent when currencies have to be
sent. The journey is longer, the risk is greater, and more
correspondents and commission agents are involved. From
India to England, the price for transport will be ten to
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224
twelve percent. From London to Amsterdam, the exchange
premium will hardly exceed two percent in times of peace.
In our present example, it could be said that the
exchange in Paris for Châlons is two and half percent above
par, and in Châlons, it could be said that the exchange for
Paris is two and half percent below par, because in these
circumstances, those who provide money in Châlons for a bill
of exchange for Paris will give only 97 livres 10 sols to
receive 100 livres in Paris. And it is evident that the city
or place where the exchange is above par is in debt to that
where it is below par, as long as the exchange premiums
continue on this basis. Exchanging money from Paris to
Châlons is two and half percent above par because Paris is
in debt to Châlons and the money for this debt must be
transported from Paris to Châlons. This is why when the
exchange premium is commonly below par in one city as
compared with another, it may be concluded that this first
city has a balance of trade with the other.136 When the
exchange premium in Madrid or Lisbon is above par for all
136
Higgs wrote that ―when exchange is commonly seen to be below par in one city as compared with
another it may be concluded that this first city owes a balance of trade to the other.‖ This would be a
mistake as the first city has a positive balance of trade in that it provided the other city more goods than it
received and is owed this balance. The mistake is also in the original French edition. Hayek attributes the
mistake to a printers error, which is possible, but not as likely as an error by a manuscript copiest. We have
strong reasons to believe the French edition is not based on Cantillon’s own manuscript, but on a copy.
This is a common error, but it is highly unlikely that Cantillon himself would make such an error because
of his familiarity with and experience in these markets.
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225
other countries, it shows that these two capitals must send
specie to these other countries.
[Insert Châlons Balance of Trade with Paris here]
In all places and cities that use the same money and
the same gold and silver specie like Paris and Châlons-sur-
Marne, or London and Bristol, the exchange premium is known
and expressed by giving and taking a certain percent above
or below par. When 98 livres are paid in one place to
receive 100 livres in another, it is said that exchange
premium is about two percent below par. When 102 livres are
paid in one place to receive only 100 livres in another, it
is said that the exchange premium is exactly two percent
above par. When 100 livres are given in one place for 100
livres in another, it is said that the exchange is at par.
There is no difficulty or mystery in all this.
When the regulation137 of exchange occurs between two
cities or places where the money is different, where the
coins have different sizes, fineness, forms, and names, the
nature of exchange seems at first more difficult to explain,
though in reality, this exchange differs from that between
137
Remember that when he uses the work regulation he is not speaking of government regulation, but of
market regulation.
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226
Paris and Châlons only in the jargon used by bankers. In
Paris, one speaks of the Dutch exchange premium by reckoning
the écu (equal to three livres) against so many Dutch
deniers, but the parity of exchange between Paris and
Amsterdam is always 100 ounces of gold or silver against 100
ounces of gold or silver of the same weight and fineness.
One hundred and two ounces paid in Paris to receive 100
ounces in Amsterdam always comes to two percent above par.
The banker who transports the balance of trade must always
know how to calculate parity. But in the language of foreign
exchange, the price of exchange in London with Amsterdam is
made by giving a pound sterling in London to receive 35
escalins at a Dutch bank: with Paris, by giving 30 deniers
or pence sterling in London to receive one écu or three
livres tournois in Paris. This way of speaking does not
reveal whether exchange is above or below par, but the
banker who transmits the balance of trade understands it and
knows how much foreign money he will receive for specie of
his own country, which he is transporting.
Whether we fix the exchange premium in London for
English silver in rubles from Moscow, in Marks from Hamburg,
in Rixdollars138
from Germany, in Livres from Flanders, in
138
Rixdollar was the English term for silver coins used throughout northern Europe which were originally
based on the Reichsthaler. The Reichsthaler was a standard thaler of the Holy Roman Empire and the
mispronouciation of thaler in the American colonies is the basis for the word ―dollar.‖
Saucier/Thornton
227
Ducats from Venice, in Piastres from Genoa or Leghorn,139 in
Millreis or Crusadoes from Portugal, in Pieces of Eight from
Spain, or Pistoles, etc., the parity of exchange for all
these countries will be always 100 ounces of gold or silver
against 100 ounces; and if, in the language of exchange, one
gives more or less than this parity, it is the same as
saying that the exchange is so much above or below par, and
we will always know whether or not England owes a balance to
the place with which the exchange is settled, just as we
know in our example between Paris and Châlons.
139
The city of Livorno Italy, just southeast of Genoa on the Mediterranean Sea.
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228
Châlons Balance of Trade with Paris
Paris Châlons
30,000 oz. silver Wine from Châlons
-5,000 oz. silver Parisian goods
-10,000 oz. silver paid in taxes
-10,000 oz. silver paid in rents
5,000 oz. silver balance of trade owed to Châlons
Châlons wineries sell 30,000 oz. of silver worth of wine to
the people of Paris who, in turn, sell the people of Châlons
5,000 oz. of goods. Of the 30,000 oz. on account in Paris,
5,000 oz. are transferred to the merchants who sold goods
to the people of Châlons, 10,000 is transferred to the
government to pay the taxes for the people of Châlons, and
10,000 oz. are transferred to the property owners living in
Paris to pay the rents they are owed. All this is done by the
use of bills of exchange. The remaining 5,000 oz. must be
paid in silver, which must be physically moved from Paris
to Châlons. Châlons has a balance of trade and Paris owes a
balance of trade. The banker gives bills of exchange to the
wine merchants for a 2.5% fee who in turn sends them to
the winery owners who can then cash them at local banks
after the silver arrives from Paris.
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229
Chapter Three
Further Explanations on the Nature of Exchanges
Abstract: Exchange rates are explained as a
function of the balance of trade and other
factors. A trade deficit can cause your money to
exchange below par, while a trade surplus will
cause it to exchange above par. In fact, the
exchange rate, above and below par, is an
indicator of the general balance of trade in a
country. An attempt to prohibit the export of gold
necessary to pay for deficits only hurts the
economy.
We have seen that exchanges are regulated by the intrinsic
value of specie, i.e. at par, and that their variation
arises from the costs and risks of transporting money from
one place to another when a balance of trade has to be sent
in specie. There is no need for reasoning with something we
can observe in fact and practice. Bankers sometimes
introduce refinements into this practice.
If England owes France 100,000 ounces of silver for the
balance of trade, if France owes 100,000 ounces to Holland,
and Holland 100,000 ounces to England, these three amounts
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230
may be offset by bills of exchange between the respective
bankers of these three states, without the need to send
silver on any side.
If Holland sends goods worth 100,000 ounces of silver
to England in January and England only sends goods worth
50,000 ounces to Holland during the same month (I’m assuming
that the sale and payment are made in January on both
sides), a balance of trade of 50,000 ounces will be due to
Holland, and the exchange rate with Amsterdam, in January,
will be two or three percent above par in London, or in the
language of exchange, the exchange rate with Holland, which
was at par or at 35 escalins to the pound sterling in London
in December, will rise to about 36 escalins in January.
However, after the bankers send this balance of 50,000
ounces to Holland, the exchange rate with Amsterdam will
naturally fall back to par in London, or to 35 escalins.
However, an English banker may foresee in January, if
an extraordinary quantity of goods is being sent to Holland,
that Holland will owe a considerable amount to England at
the time of payment in March. Instead of sending the 50,000
écus or ounces due to Holland in January, he may provide
bills of exchange on his Amsterdam correspondent bank that
will be payable two months later. By this method, he will
profit on the exchange, which was above par in January and
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231
will be below par in March, and gain doubly without sending
a sol to Holland.
This is what bankers call speculations, which often
cause variations in the exchange rates for short periods of
time, independently of the balance of trade. In the long
run, however, we must return to this balance which makes the
rules of exchange constant and uniform. And though the
speculations and credits of bankers may sometimes delay the
transport of the sums that one city or state owes to
another, in the end, it is always necessary to pay the debt
and send the balance of trade in specie to the place where
it is due.
If England regularly gains a balance of trade with
Portugal and always loses a balance with Holland, the
exchange rate premium between Holland and Portugal will make
this evident. In London, the exchange rate with Lisbon will
be below par as Portugal is in debt to England. It will also
be evident that the exchange rate with Amsterdam is above
par because England is in debt to Holland. However, the
amount of the debt cannot be seen from the exchange rates.
It cannot be seen whether the balance of silver withdrawn
from Portugal will be greater or less than what has to be
sent to Holland.
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However, there is one thing which will always be
apparent in London, whether England gains or loses the
general balance of her trade (the general balance should be
understood as the net balance between England and all the
foreign states which trade with her), as seen in the price
of gold and silver, but especially of gold (now that the
proportion between gold and silver in coined money differs
from the market rate, as will be explained in the next
chapter). If the price of gold in the London market, which
is the center of English trade, is lower than the price at
the Tower140 where guineas
141 or gold coins are minted, or at
the same price as these coins intrinsically, and if gold is
taken to the Tower in exchange for their value in guineas or
minted coins, it is a certain proof that England is a gainer
in the general balance of her trade. It proves that the gold
taken from Portugal suffices not only to pay the balance
which England sends into Holland, Sweden, Muscovy,142
and the
other states where she is indebted, but that there remains
some gold to be sent to the Mint, and the amount or sum of
this general balance of trade is known from the amount of
specie coined at the Tower of London.
140
The Tower refers to the Tower of London where the mint was housed. 141
A gold coin nicknamed after the place in Africa where much of the gold came from. 142
This refers to Moscow or the Grand Dutchy of Moscow, but by Cantillon’s time it was used to describe
the Russian Empire of Peter the Great.
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But if gold is sold in the London market above the
Tower price, which is usually £3.18.0 an ounce, the metal
will no longer be taken to the Mint, and this is a certain
sign that not enough gold is being received from abroad
(from Portugal for instance) compared to the amount
necessary to send to other countries that England is in debt
to. This is proof that the general balance of trade is
against England. However, this would not be known except for
the prohibition in England against sending gold coins out of
the country. This prohibition is the reason why the timid
London bankers prefer to buy gold metal (which they are
allowed to send abroad) at £3.18.0 up to £4 an ounce for
export rather than sending out guineas or gold coins at
£3.18.0 illegally at the risk of confiscation. Some of them
take this risk, others melt the gold coins to send out as
bullion, so that it is impossible to judge how much gold
England loses when the general balance of trade is against
her.
In France, they deduct the cost of minting, which is
usually 1.5 percent. In other words, the price for coins is
always higher than that of uncoined metal. To know whether
France loses in the general balance of her trade, one only
needs to know whether bankers send French coins abroad. If
they do so, it is a proof that they cannot purchase enough
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234
bullion to export, since the bullion, though at a lower
price than coined money in France, is of greater value than
these coins in foreign countries by at least 1.5 percent.
Exchange rates rarely diverge from the balance of trade
between one country and all others, and this balance is
merely the difference in value between the commodities and
merchandise which a state sends to other countries and
receives from them. Yet, there are often circumstances and
incidental causes for which considerable sums are conveyed
from one state to another aside from the question of
merchandise or trade, and these causes affect the exchange
rates just as the balance of trade would do.
The sums of money which one state sends into another
for its secret services and political purposes, subsidies to
allies, the upkeep of troops, ambassadors, noblemen who
travel, etc., the capital which the inhabitants of one state
send to another to invest in public or private projects, the
interest which these inhabitants receive annually from such
investments, etc. are all of this nature. The exchange rates
fluctuate with all these incidental causes and follow the
same rule as the transportation of money. In considering the
balance of trade, matters of this kind are not separated,
and indeed it would be very difficult to separate them. They
have most certainly an influence on the increase and
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235
decrease of money circulating in a state and on its
comparative strength and power.
My subject does not allow me to further develop the
effects of these incidental causes: I confine myself always
to the simple views of commerce so as to not complicate my
subject, which is already complex by the multiplicity of
related facts.
Exchange rates rise more or less above par in
proportion to the greater or smaller costs and risks of
transporting money. That being said, they naturally rise
much more above par in cities or states where it is
forbidden to export money than in those where its export is
free.
Assume that Portugal annually consumes considerable
quantities of woolen and other manufactured goods from
England, for its own people as well as for those of Brazil.
It pays for them partly in wine, oils, etc., but for the
surplus payment, there is a regular balance of trade sent
from Lisbon to London. If the king of Portugal strictly
prohibits under penalty, not only of confiscation but also
of life, the transport of any gold or silver out of his
states, the terror of this prohibition will, in the first
place, stop the bankers from sending the balance. The money
for English manufactures will be kept in Lisbon. English
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236
merchants, unable to receive payments from Lisbon, will stop
sending cloth there. The result will be that cloth will
become extraordinarily expensive. Though their price has not
gone up in England, they cease to be sent to Lisbon because
their value cannot be recovered. In order to have these
cloths, the Portuguese nobility, and others who cannot do
without them, will offer twice the usual price, but as they
cannot get enough of them without sending money out of
Portugal, the increased price of cloth will become the
profit of any one who, in spite of the prohibition, will
export gold or silver. This will encourage various Jews143
and others to take gold and silver to English vessels in the
port of Lisbon, even at the risk of their lives. At first,
they will gain 50 to 100 percent in this traffic and this
profit is paid by the Portuguese in the high price they give
for the cloth. They will gradually familiarize themselves
with this maneuver, after having often practiced it
successfully, and eventually, money will be put on board
English ships for a payment of one to two percent.
The king of Portugal lays down the law or prohibition.
His subjects, even his courtiers, pay the cost of the risk
run to circumvent and elude it. Therefore, no advantage is
143
Jews were traditionally active in the money and banking trade due to the prohibition of usury imposed
by the Catholic Church in Spain and Portugal.
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237
gained by such a law. On the contrary, it causes a real loss
to Portugal since more of the state’s money is sent abroad
than if there was no such law.
Those who gain by this maneuver, whether Jews or
others, often send their profits abroad, and when they have
enough of them or when they get scared, they often follow
their money abroad.
If some of these lawbreakers were caught in the act,
their goods confiscated and their lives taken, these events,
instead of stopping the export of money, would only increase
it, because those who formerly were satisfied with one or
two percent for exporting money, will ask 20 or 50 percent,
and so the export must always go on to pay the balance.
I do not know whether I have succeeded in making these
reasons clear to those who have no knowledge of trade. I
know that for those who understand exchange rates, nothing
is easier to comprehend, and they are rightly astonished
that those who govern states and administer the finances of
great kingdoms have so little knowledge of the nature of
exchange rates as to forbid the export of bullion and coins
of gold and silver.
The only way to keep them in a state is to conduct
foreign trade so that the balance is not adverse to the
state.
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239
Chapter Four: Of the Variations in the Proportion of Values
with Regard to the Metals Used as Money
Abstract: The price of gold and silver and the
ratio between them is determined by markets and is
also based on their usefulness, cost of
production, and transportation costs. When
government mints establish a fix ratio between
gold and silver money that is not based on market
prices, the overvalued metal will be driven from
circulation. This is commonly referred to as
“Gresham’s Law” where bad money drives out good
money.
If metals were found as easily as water commonly is,
everyone would take what he wanted and they would hardly
have any value. The most abundant metals that cost the least
to produce are also the cheapest. Iron seems the most
necessary, but as it is commonly found in Europe and
produced with less trouble and labor than copper, it is much
cheaper.
Copper, silver, and gold are the three metals generally
used as money. Copper mines are the most abundant and cost
less in land and labor to produce. The richest copper mines
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today are in Sweden and more than 80 ounces of copper are
needed there to pay for an ounce of silver. It is also to be
observed that the copper extracted from some mines is more
perfect and lustrous than what is obtained from others. The
copper of Japan and Sweden is brighter than that of England.
That of Spain was, in the time of the Romans, better than
that of Cyprus. But gold and silver, regardless of where
they are extracted, are always of the same perfection when
refined.
The value of copper, as with everything else, is
proportional to the land and labor which enter into its
production. Beside the ordinary uses to which it is put,
like pots and pans, kitchen utensils, locks, etc. copper is
used as money in most states for small purchases. In Sweden
it is even used in large payments when silver is scarce.
During the first five centuries of Rome, it was the only
money. Silver only began to be employed in exchange in the
year [of Rome or AUC144] 484 (269 BC). The ratio of copper to
silver was then rated in the mints at 72 to 1; in the
coinage of 512 (241 BC) at 80 to 1; in 537 (216 BC), 64 to
1; in 586 (167 BC) at 48 to 1; in 663 (90 BC) by Drusus and
672 (81 BC) by Sulla at 53 to 1; in 712 (42 BC) by Marcus
Antonius and 724 (30 BC) by Augustus at 56 to 1; in 54 AD
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under Nero at 60 to 1; in 160 AD under Antoninus at 64 to 1;
in the time of Constantine 330 AD at 120 and 125 to 1; in
the age of Justinian about 550 AD at 100 to 1. Since then,
it has always varied below the ratio of 100 to 1 in the
European mints.145
Today, because copper is only used as money for small
purchases, whether alloyed with carbon to make brass as in
England, or with a small portion of silver as in France and
Germany, it is generally rated in the proportion of 40 to 1,
though the market price of copper to that of silver is
ordinarily at 80 or 100 to 1. The reason is that the cost of
coining is generally deducted from the weight of the copper.
When there is not too much of this small money in
circulation for small transactions in the state, coins of
copper or copper and alloy are used without difficulty in
spite of their defect in intrinsic value. However, when
being used for exchanges with a foreign country, they will
only be taken for the weight of the copper and the silver
alloy. Even in states where there is too much copper in
circulation for small transactions, when the greed or
ignorance of the governors mandate laws that require a
certain amount be received in large payments, it is
144
An alternative dating system which begins with the establishment of Rome in 753 BC. 145
The dates given above which are not followed by AD are in terms of AUC (Anno Urbis conditae) or in
the years of Rome where the year one is 753 BC. Hence the year 484 is 269 BC and the year 724 is 30 BC.
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unwillingly accepted. Small coins lose a certain percentage
when traded for silver, as is the case with billon coins and
ardites in Spain,146
or when they are used for large
payments. Yet small coins can always be used without
difficulty for small purchases because the value of the
payments is small and therefore the loss is even smaller.
This is why they are accepted without difficulty, and why
copper is exchanged for small silver coins above the weight
and intrinsic value of copper within a state, but not with
other states, because each state has the wherewithal to
carry on its small exchanges with its own copper coins.
Gold and silver, like copper, have a value proportional
to the land and labor necessary for their production. If the
public assumes the cost of minting these metals, their value
as bars and coins is identical, their market value and their
mint value are the same, and their value in the state and in
foreign countries is always alike, depending on the weight
and fineness; that is on weight alone if the metals are pure
and without alloy.
Silver mines have always been found to be more abundant
than those of gold, but not equally in all countries or at
all times. Several ounces of silver have always been needed
146
Billon coins were small copper coins that were used in France and that were similar to Spain’s ardite
coins.
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to buy one ounce of gold, sometimes more sometimes less,
according to the abundance of these metals and the demand
for them. In the year AUC 310 (443 BC), 13 ounces of silver
were needed in Greece to buy an ounce of gold, i.e. gold was
to silver as 1 to 13; AUC 400 (353 BC) or thereabouts, 1 to
12; AUC 460 (393 BC), 1 to 10 in Greece, Italy, and the
whole of Europe. This ratio of 1 to 10 seems to have
persisted for three centuries to the death of Augustus, AUC
767 or 14 AD. Under Tiberius, gold became scarce or silver
more plentiful, and the ratio gradually rose to 1 to 12, 12
1⁄2, and 13. Under Constantine, 330 AD, and Justinian, 550
AD, it was 1 to 14 2/5. Later history is more obscure. Some
authors think it was 1 to 18 under certain French kings. In
840 AD, under Charles the Bald, gold and silver coins were
struck at 1 to 12. Under St Louis, who died in 1270, the
ratio was 1 to 10; in 1361, 1 to 12; in 1421, over 1 to 11;
in 1500, under 1 to 12; about 1600, 1 to 12; in 1641, 1 to
14; in 1700, 1 to 15; in 1730, 1 to 14 1⁄2.
The quantity of gold and silver brought from Mexico and
Peru in the last century has not only made these metals more
plentiful, but has also increased the value of gold compared
to silver, which has been more abundant, so that in the
Spanish mints, following the market prices, the ratio is
fixed at 1 to 16. The other European states have closely
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followed the Spanish price in their mints, some at 1 to 15
7/8, others at 15 3/4, 15 5/8, etc., following the ideas and
views of the directors of the Mints. But since Portugal has
drawn great quantities of gold from Brazil, the ratio has
begun to fall again if not in the Mints at least in the
markets, and this gives a greater value to silver than in
the past. Moreover, a good deal of gold is often brought
from the East Indies in exchange for the silver sent there
from Europe, because the ratio is much lower in India.
In Japan, where abundant silver mines are found, the
ratio of gold to silver is today 1 to 8; in China 1 to 10;
in the other countries this side of the Indies 1 to 11, 1 to
12, 1 to 13, and 1 to 14, as we get nearer to the West and
to Europe. But if the mines of Brazil continue to supply so
much gold, the ratio may eventually fall to 1 to 10, even in
Europe, which seems natural to me, if anything but chance is
the guide for the ratio. When the Roman republic exploited
all the gold and silver mines in Europe, Asia and Africa,
the ratio of 1 to 10 was the most consistent.
If all the gold mines regularly produced a tenth of
what the silver mines produce, the ratio between these two
metals would not necessarily be 1 to 10. The ratio always
depends on the demand and on the market price. Rich people
might prefer to carry gold coins in their pockets rather
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245
than silver, or they might develop a taste for gildings and
gold ornaments rather than silver, thus increasing the
market price of gold.
Neither could the ratio between these metals be
determined by considering the quantity found in a state.
Assume that the ratio is 1 to 10 in England and that the
quantity of gold and silver in circulation is 20 million
ounces of silver and 2 million ounces of gold; that would be
equal to 40 million ounces of silver. Now assume that 1
million ounces of gold are exported from England out of the
2 million, and 10 million ounces of silver are imported in
exchange, there would then be 30 million ounces of silver
and only 1 million ounces of gold, still equivalent in all
to 40 million ounces of silver. If there are 30 million
ounces of silver and 1 million ounces of gold, and if the
quantity of the two metals decided the ratio, it would be 1
to 30, but that is impossible. The ratio in the neighboring
countries is 1 to 10, and it would therefore cost only 10
million ounces of silver, with a little extra for the cost
of transportation, to bring back 1 million ounces of gold to
the state in exchange for 10 million ounces of silver.
Therefore, to determine the ratio between gold and silver,
the market price is alone decisive: the number of those who
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need one metal in exchange for the other, and of those who
are willing to make such an exchange, determines the ratio.
It often depends on the attitudes of men: the bargaining is
done approximately and not geometrically. But, I do not
believe that one can imagine any rule but this one to
determine the ratio. At least we know that in practice, it
is the one which decides, as in the price and value of
everything else. Foreign markets affect the price of gold
and silver more than they do the price of any other goods or
merchandise because nothing is transported with greater ease
and less waste. If there were a free and regular trade
between England and Japan and if a number of ships were
regularly employed in this trade and the balance of trade
were in all respects equal, i.e. if the goods exported from
England to Japan were equal to the goods imported from Japan
in terms of price and value, it would cause gold to be
exported from Japan in exchange for silver, and the ratio
between gold and silver in Japan would be made the same as
it is in England, subject only to the risks of navigation,
because the costs of transportation is assumed here to be
paid by the trade in goods.
Taking the ratio at 1 to 15 in England and 1 to 8 in
Japan, there would be more than 87 percent to gain by
carrying silver from England to Japan and bringing back
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gold. But this difference is not enough to pay for the costs
of such a long and difficult voyage. It pays better to bring
back merchandise from Japan rather than gold in exchange for
silver. It is only the costs and risks of the transport of
gold and silver that can make a difference in the ratio
between these metals in different states. In the nearest
state, the ratio will differ very little, with a difference
from one state to another of 1, 2 or 3 percent, but from
England to Japan, the total of all these differences will
amount to more than 87 percent.
It is the market price which decides the ratio of the
value of gold to that of silver. The market price is the
base for this proportion in the value assigned to gold and
silver coins. If the market price varies considerably, the
coinage must be reformed to follow the market rate. If this
is not done, confusion and disorder will emerge because the
price of one or the other metal coins will rise above its
specified monetary value. There are an infinite number of
examples of this in antiquity. There is a quite recent one
in England under the laws made at the London Mint. There an
ounce of silver, eleven-twelfths fine, was worth 5 shillings
2 pence sterling. Since the ratio of gold to silver (which
had been fixed at 1 to 16 in imitation of Spain) has fallen
to 1 to 15 and 1 to 14 1⁄2, an ounce of silver sold at 5
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248
shillings 6 pence sterling, while the gold guinea continued
to circulate at 21 shillings 6 pence sterling. This caused
the export from England of all the silver crowns, shillings
and sixpences which were not worn by circulation. Silver
money became so scarce in 1728 (only the most worn pieces
remained) that people had to exchange a guinea at a loss of
nearly 5 percent. The trouble and confusion thus produced in
trade and circulation forced the Treasury to request that
the celebrated Sir Isaac Newton, director of the Tower Mint,
make a report on the measures he thought most suitable to
remedy this chaos.
Nothing could have been easier. It only required
following the market price of silver in coining silver at
the Tower. Whereas the ratio of gold to silver was
traditionally by the laws and regulations of the Tower Mint
set at 1 to 15 3⁄4, it was only necessary to make the silver
coins lighter in the proportion of the market price, which
had fallen below 1 to 15, and then to anticipate the changes
which the gold from Brazil would bring in the ratio between
these two metals. It might even have been possible to fix it
on the basis of 1 to 14 1⁄2, as was done in 1725 in France,
and as they will be forced to later do in England.
It is true that the coinage in England might equally
have been adjusted to the market price and ratio by
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249
diminishing the nominal value of gold coins. This was the
policy adopted by Sir Isaac Newton in his report, and by the
Parliament in response to this report. But, as I shall
explain, it was the least natural and the most
disadvantageous policy. Firstly, it was more natural to
raise the price of silver coins, because the public had
already done so in the market. The ounce of silver, which
was worth only 62 pence sterling at the Mint, was worth more
than 65 pence in the market, and all the silver money was
being exported except for the coins that were considerably
reduced in weight due to wear in circulation. On the other
hand, it was less disadvantageous to the English nation to
raise the silver money than to lower the gold money when
considering the sums that England owes to foreigners.
If it is assumed that England owes foreigners 5 million
sterling of capital, invested in the public funds, it may be
equally assumed that foreigners paid this amount in gold at
the rate of 21 shillings 6 pence a guinea or in silver at 65
pence sterling the ounce, according to the market price.
These 5 millions have therefore cost foreigners
4,651,163 guineas, at 21 shillings 6 pence per guinea; but
now that the guinea is reduced to 21 shilling, the capital
to be repaid is 4,761,904 guineas, a loss to England of
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250
110,741 guineas, without counting the loss on the annual
interest paid.
Newton told me in answer to this objection that
according to the fundamental laws of the Kingdom, silver was
the true and only monetary standard and that as such, it
could not be altered.
It is easy to answer that the public has altered this
law by their practice and the price of the market and
therefore, it had ceased to be a law. Under these
circumstances, there was no need to adhere scrupulously to
it to the detriment of the nation and to pay foreigners more
than their due. If gold had not been considered true money,
it would have adjusted to the change, as in Holland and
China where gold is considered merchandise rather than
money. If the silver coins had been raised to their market
price without touching gold, there would have been no loss
to the foreigners, and there would have been plenty of
silver coins in circulation. They would have been coined at
the Mint, whereas now no more will be coined until some new
arrangement is made.
By reducing the value of gold (brought about by
Newton's report from 21 shillings 6 pence to 21 shillings),
an ounce of silver which was sold in the London market
before at 65 pence and 65 1⁄2 pence, only truly sold at 64
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251
pence. But as it was coined at the Tower, an ounce was
valued in the market at 64 pence and if it was taken to the
Tower to be coined, it would be worth no more than 62 pence,
so no more was taken there. A few shillings or fifths of
crowns have been struck at the expense of the South Sea
Company, losing the difference of the market price; but they
disappeared as soon as they were put into circulation.
Today, no silver coins of full mint weight can be seen in
circulation, only worn coins that do not exceed the market
price in weight are circulating.
However, the value of silver continues to rise
imperceptibly in the market. The ounce, which was worth only
64 pence after the reduction of which we have spoken, has
risen again to 65 1⁄2 and 66 in the market; and in order to
have silver coins in circulation and coined at the Tower, it
would be necessary again to reduce the value of the gold
guinea from 21 shillings to 20 shillings and to lose to
foreigners double of what is lost already, unless it is
decided to follow the natural course and to adjust silver
coins to the market price. Only the market price can set the
ratio of the value of gold and silver, as is the case for
all other values. Newton's reduction of the guinea to 21
shillings was designed only to prevent the disappearance of
the light and worn coins which remained in circulation, and
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252
not to fix gold and silver coins on the true ratio of their
price. I mean by their true ratio that which is fixed by
market prices. This price is always the touchstone in these
matters. Its variations are slow enough to allow time to
regulate the mints and prevent disorders in the circulation.
In some centuries, the value of silver rises slowly
against gold, while in others the value of gold rises
against silver. This was the case in the age of Constantine,
who reduced all values to that of gold as the more
permanent. However, the value of silver is generally the
more permanent and gold is more subject to variation.
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Chapter Five: Of the Augmentation and Diminution of the
Denomination of Money
Abstract: Raising and lowering the nominal value
of money is shown not to undermine the theory of
the value of money. In contrast, such measures are
shown to be methods by which the prince acquires
resources by deceiving individuals about the value
of money. The process causes chaos in the market.
According to the principles we have established, the
quantity of money in circulation fixes and determines the
price of everything in a state, taking into account the
speed of circulation.
We often see, however, in the augmentations and
diminutions practiced in France, such strange variations
that it might be assumed that market prices correspond to
the coin’s nominal value rather than to its quantity in
exchange; the quantity of livres tournois in money of
account147
rather than the quantity of marks and ounces, and
this seems directly opposed to our principles.
147
During this time period, they had a money of account and all sorts of money of exchange. Today it
would be like buying a Toyota for $30,000 but paying for it with $30,000 worth of Japanese Yen.
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Assume, as happened in 1714, that the one ounce silver
coin, the ecu, which was valued at 5 livres is lowered by an
order of the king at a rate of one percent per month over a
period of 20 months to a nominal value of 4 livres instead
of 5. Let us see what will be the natural consequences of
this with respect to the genius of the nation.
All those who owe money will quickly pay their debts so
as not to lose by the diminutions. Entrepreneurs and
merchants find it easy to borrow money so that even the
least able and the least credit worthy will expand their
business. They borrow money with what they believe is no
interest and load themselves with merchandise at current
prices. The strength of their demand even causes prices to
rise. These merchants then find they have a hard time
selling their merchandise for money that is losing its
nominal value. They even turn towards foreign merchandise
and import considerable quantities of it for the consumption
of several years. All this causes money to circulate more
rapidly and raises the price of everything. Then, high
prices prevent the foreigner from importing merchandise from
France as usual. France keeps her own merchandise and at the
same time imports great quantities. This double operation is
the reason why considerable amounts of specie must be sent
abroad to pay the balance.
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255
The exchange rates never fail to show this
disadvantage. Exchange rates are commonly seen at six and
ten percent against France during these diminutions.
Informed people in France hoard their money during these
times. The king finds means to borrow a large amount of
money on which he willingly loses from the diminution
because he plans to compensate himself by an augmentation at
the end of the diminutions.
To this end, after several diminutions, they begin to
hoard money in the king's treasury by postponing payments,
pensions, and army pay. In these circumstances, money
becomes extremely rare at the end of the diminutions both
because of the sums hoarded by the king and various
individuals, and because the nominal value of the coin is
diminished. The amounts sent abroad also contribute greatly
to the scarcity of money, and this scarcity gradually
reduces the prices of the merchandise (which entrepreneurs
had stock up on) by 50 or 60 percent below the prices
prevailing at the time of the first diminutions. Circulation
[i.e. the economy] falls into convulsions. Hardly enough
money can be found to send to market. Many entrepreneurs and
merchants go bankrupt and their merchandise is sold at
bargain prices.
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256
Then the king increases anew the coinage, setting the
new ecu, or new issue of one ounce silver coins, equal to 5
livres, and begins to use this new coinage to pay the troops
and the pensions. The old coins are taken out of circulation
and received at the mint at a lower nominal value and
therefore the king profits by the difference.
But all the sums of new coinage that come from the mint
do not restore the abundance of money in circulation. The
amounts kept hoarded by individuals and those sent abroad
greatly exceed the nominal increase on the coinage that
comes from the mint.
The cheapness of goods in France begins to draw in
money from foreigners, who find them 50 or 60 or more
percent cheaper, so gold and silver are sent to France to
buy them. In this way the foreigner who sends his bullion to
the mint easily recoups the fees paid at the mint. He finds
the double advantage of the low price of the goods he buys,
and the loss of the mint charge really falls on the French
in the sale of their goods to the foreigners. They have
enough merchandise for several years' consumption. They
resell to the Dutch, for example, the spices which they
bought from them for two thirds of what they paid. All this
takes place gradually, and the foreigner decides to buy
these goods from France only because of their cheapness. The
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257
balance of trade, which was against France at the time of
the diminutions, turns in her favor at the time of the
augmentation, and the king is able to profit by 20 percent
or more on all the bullion brought into France and taken to
the mint. As foreigners now owe a trade balance to France
and do not have in their country coins of the new issue,
they must take their bullion and coins of the old issue to
the mint to obtain new coins for payment. But this trade
balance, which foreigners owe to France, arises only from
the goods that they import from it at low prices.
France is all round the dupe of these operations. She
pays very high prices for foreign goods during the
diminutions and sells them back to the same foreigners at
very low prices at the time of the augmentation. She sells
her own merchandise at low prices, which she had kept so
high during the diminutions, and so it would be difficult
for all the money which left France during the diminutions
to come back during the augmentation. If coins of the new
issue are counterfeited abroad, as is nearly always the
case, France loses the 20 percent which the king has
established as the mint charge. The gain goes again to the
foreigner, who also profits by the low prices of goods in
France.
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258
The king makes a considerable profit by the mint tax,
but it costs France three times as much to enable him to
make this profit.
It is well understood that when there is a current
balance of trade in favor of France against the foreigner,
the king is able to raise a tax of 20 percent or more by a
new coinage and an increase in the nominal value of coins.
But if the trade balance was against France at the time of
this new coinage and augmentation, the operation would have
no success and the king would not derive a great profit from
it. The reason is that in this case, it is necessary to
continually send money abroad. But the old ecu is as good as
the new in foreign countries. That being so, Jews and
bankers will give a premium or bonus in secret for the old
coins and the individual who can sell them above the mint
price will not take them there. At the mint they give him
only about 4 livres for his ecu, but the banker will give
him at first 4 livres 5 sols, and then 4 livres 10, and at
last 4 livres 15. And this is how it may happen that an
augmentation of the coinage may lack success. It can hardly
happen when the augmentation is made after the diminutions
indicated, because then the balance naturally turns in favor
of France, as we have explained.
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The experience of the augmentation of 1726 may serve to
confirm all this. The diminutions that had preceded this
augmentation were made suddenly and without warning, which
prevented the ordinary operations of diminutions. This
prevented the trade balance from turning strongly in favor
of France at the augmentation of 1726. Few people took their
old coins to the mint, and the profit of the mint tax, which
was in view, had to be abandoned.
It is not within my subject to explain the reasoning of
public administrators for lowering the coinage suddenly, nor
the reasons that deceived them in their project of the
augmentation of 1726. I have mentioned the increases and
decreases in France only because their results seem to
sometimes clash with the principles I have established in
that the abundance or scarcity of money in a state raises or
lowers all prices proportionally.
After explaining the effects of lowering and raising
the coinage, as practiced in France, I maintain that they
neither destroy nor weaken my principles. If I am told that
what cost 20 livres or 5 ounces of silver before the
lowering described above does not even cost 4 ounces or 20
livres of the new money after the augmentation, I will
assent to this without departing from my principles because,
as I have just explained, there is less money in circulation
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260
than there was before the diminutions. The difficulties of
exchange during the times of these operations cause
variations in the prices of things and the interest rate on
money which cannot be taken as a rule in the ordinary
principles of circulation and exchange.
The change in the nominal value of money has always
been brought about by some disaster or famine in the state,
or by the ambition of some prince or individuals. In the
year 157 AUC (596 BC), Solon increased the nominal value of
the drachma of Athens after a sedition and abolition of
debt. Between 490 and 512 AUC (263-241 BC), the Roman
Republic increased the nominal value of its copper coins
several times, so that their “as” [i.e. coin] came to be
worth six. The pretext was to provide for the needs of the
state and to pay the debts incurred in the first Punic War.
This did not fail to cause great confusion. In 663 AUC (90
BC), Livius Drusus, Tribune of the people, increased the
nominal value of coins by one-eighth, reducing its
fineness148
by the same, which gave counterfeiters an
occasion to introduce confusion into the economy. In 712 AUC
(41 BC), Mark Antony increased the nominal of silver by 5
percent by mixing iron with the silver in order to meet the
148
Fineness refers to purity or the percentage of precious metal (i.e. gold or silver) in the coin. So here
Cantillon is referring to debasement.
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needs of the Triumvirate.149
Many Emperors subsequently
debased or increased the nominal value of their coins. The
kings of France at different times have done likewise. This
is why the livre tournois, which was once worth one pound of
silver, has sunk to so little value. These proceedings have
never failed to cause disorder in states. The nominal value
of coins matters little or not at all provided it be
permanent. The pistole of Spain is worth 9 livres or florins
in Holland, about 18 livres in France, 37 livres 10 sols in
Venice, 50 livres in Parma. Values are exchanged between
these different countries in the same proportion. The price
of everything increases gradually when the nominal value of
coins increases. The actual quantity in terms of weight and
fineness of the coins is the base and regulator of values,
taking into account the rapidity of circulation. A state
neither gains nor loses by the raising or lowering [of the
nominal value] of these coins so long as it keeps the
quantity of them the same, though individuals may gain or
lose depending on their circumstances. People are full of
false prejudices and misconceptions about the nominal value
of their coins. We have shown in the chapter on exchanges
that the price and fineness of the coins of different
149
The Triumvirate represented the government established in 43 BC where the Empire was divided
between Mark Anthony, Octavian, and Lepidus
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262
countries, marc for marc and ounce for ounce, is what
ultimately rules. If an increase or decrease of the nominal
value changes this rule for a time in France, it only causes
a temporary crisis or time of difficulty in trade. It always
returns, little by little, to intrinsic values, on which
prices are necessarily established, both in the market and
in foreign trade.
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Chapter Six: Of Banks and their Credit
Abstract: Fractional reserve banking is a system
where the banks lend some of its deposits and earn
interest. This increases the amount of money in
circulation compared to warehouse or 100% reserve
banking. This utility of banking comes at the risk
of being unable to withdraw your deposits. The
amount that can be lent into circulation depends
on the type of bank and the needs of the
depositors. There are goldsmith-bankers, the
typical banker who issues banknotes, and the
national bank.
If one hundred thrifty gentlemen or property owners who
save money every year to occasionally buy land deposit
10,000 ounces of silver with a goldsmith or banker in
London, they will receive in return notes payable on demand.
They do this to avoid the trouble of keeping this money in
their houses and to prevent thefts. They will often leave
their money there for a long time, and when they make a
purchase, they will notify the banker some time in advance
to have their money ready when the formalities and legal
documents are complete.
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264
In these circumstances, the banker will often be able
to lend throughout the year 90,000 ounces of the 100,000150
he owes and will only need to keep on hand 10,000 ounces to
meet all the withdrawals. He deals with wealthy and
economical persons; so as fast as one thousand ounces is
demanded of him from one hand, another thousand is brought
to him from another hand. It is enough, as a rule, for him
to keep on hand one tenth of his deposits. There have been
examples and experiences of this in London. Instead of the
individuals in question keeping on hand the greatest part of
100,000 ounces all year round, the custom of depositing it
with a banker causes 90,000 ounces of the 100,000 to be put
back into circulation. This is the primary idea one can
derive regarding the utility of this sort of bank. The
bankers or goldsmiths contribute to the acceleration of the
circulation of money. They lend it out at interest at their
own risk and peril, and yet they are, or ought to be, always
ready to cash their notes when on demand.
If an individual needs to pay 1,000 ounces to another,
he will give him a banker's note for that amount. This other
person will perhaps not demand the money of the banker. He
will keep the note and later give it to a third person in
150
This is a calculation error. One hundred people depositing 10,000 ounces would result in 1,000,000 in
deposits. This is probably a manuscript calculation error and it might be that they deposited 1,000 ounces,
rather than 10,000.
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265
payment, and this note may pass through several hands for
large payments and for a long time without any one demanding
the money from the banker. It will be only someone who does
not have complete confidence, or someone who has several
small sums to pay who will demand the money. In this first
example, the cash reserve of a banker is only one tenth of
his business.
If 100 individuals or property owners deposit their
income with a banker every six months as it is received, and
then demand their money back when they have a need to spend
it, the banker will be in a position to lend much more of
the money that he owes and receives at the beginning of the
half years, for a short term of some months, than he will be
towards the end of these periods. And his experience with
the conduct of his clients will teach him that he can hardly
lend during the whole year more than about one half of the
sums that he owes. Bankers of this kind will see their
credit ruined if they fail for one instant to redeem the
notes on their first presentation. When they are short of
cash on hand, they will give anything to obtain money
immediately. That is to say, they will pay a much higher
interest than they receive on the sums they have lent.
Hence, they make it a rule based on their experience to
always keep enough money on hand to meet demands, and more
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266
rather than less. Many bankers of this kind (and they are
the greatest in number) always keep on hand half the amounts
deposited with them and lend the other half at interest and
put it into circulation. In this second example, the banker
causes his notes of 100,000 ounces or écus to circulate with
50,000 écus.151
If he has a great flow of deposits and great credit, it
increases confidence in his notes, and makes people less
eager to cash them. However, it only delays his payments a
few days or weeks or until the notes fall into the hands of
persons who are not accustomed to dealing with him. He ought
to always manage his business according to the practices of
those who are accustomed to entrust their money to him. If
his notes fall into the hands of those in his own business
[i.e. banking], they will immediately want to withdraw the
money from him.
If those who deposit money with the banker are
entrepreneurs and merchants who regularly deposit large sums
and soon thereafter draw them out, it will likely be the
case that if the banker diverts more than one third of his
cash he will find it difficult to meet these demands.
151
This banker causes 100,000 in notes and 50,000 in silver to circulate while keeping 50,000 in silver on
reserve at the bank to redeem deposits. This is the first step in what is now know as the money multiplier
process. If the 50,000 of silver put into circulation were actually redeposited in other banks and all these
banks kept 50% reserves the money multiplier would be two and ultimately the money supply could be
brought to a total of 200,000 from the original 100,000 deposited.
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267
It is easy to understand by these examples that the
sums of money which a goldsmith or a banker can lend at
interest or divert from his cash are naturally proportional
to the practices and conduct of his clients. While we have
seen bankers who were safe with a cash reserve of one-tenth,
others must keep nearly one half or even two-thirds, though
their credit might be as good as that of the first.
Some trust one banker, some another. The most fortunate
is the banker whose clients are rich gentlemen looking for a
safe place for their money without wishing to invest it at
interest while they wait.
A general national bank has this advantage over the
bank of a single goldsmith because there is always more
confidence in it. The largest deposits are willingly brought
to it, even from the most remote quarters of the city, and
this generally leaves small bankers with only the deposits
of petty sums from their neighborhood. Even the revenues of
the State are deposited in it in countries where the prince
is not absolute. And this, far from injuring credit and
confidence in it, only serves to increase them.
If payments in a national bank are made by transfers or
book credits, the advantage is that they are not subject to
forgeries. But if the bank issues notes, false notes may be
made and cause chaos. There will also be a disadvantage for
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268
those in the city who live far from the bank and who would
rather pay and receive in money and not travel to the bank.
This is especially so for those who live in the country. But
if the bank notes are dispersed, they can be used near and
far. In the national banks of Venice and Amsterdam, payment
is only made in book credits, but in the one in London, it
is made in credit, in notes, and in money, according to
individual preferences. Today, London is the strongest bank.
Therefore, it should be understood that the advantage
of all banks in a city, public or private, is to accelerate
the circulation of money and to prevent so much of it from
being hoarded, as it would naturally be for long time
intervals.152
152
The final three chapters of the Essai are a thinly-veiled attack on John Law and the
Mississippi Company. Cantillon first shows that banks, including national banks, have
some utility in accelerating the circulation of money. The mercantilists often thought that
banks decreased circulation and that banks hurt the economy. Ultimately, Cantillon
concludes that national banks, such as Law’s, were of little utility in a large country like
France and would ultimately be very harmful.
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269
Chapter Seven
Further Explanations and Enquiries as to the Utility of a
National Bank
Abstract: National Banks are of little utility and
can be the source of economic chaos. The increase
in the supply of money that they provide is
relatively small and offers the same disadvantages
as increases in real money. They are therefore
unnecessary and potentially very harmful, as in
the cases of the Bank of Venice and the Bank of
London. The role of legal tender laws, fractional
reserve banking, and regional trade fairs are
described.
It is of little importance to examine why the Bank of Venice
and that of Amsterdam keep their books in moneys of account
different from current [i.e. silver coin] money, and why
there is always a fee for converting these book credits into
currency. It is not a point of any usefulness for
circulation. The Bank of London has not followed them in
this regard. Its accounts, notes, and payments are made and
are kept in current coins, which seem to me more uniform,
more natural and no less useful.
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270
I have not been able to obtain accurate information
about the quantities of money ordinarily brought to these
banks, nor the amount of their notes and accounts, loans,
and sums kept as reserve. Someone who is better informed on
these points will be better able to discuss them.
However, I know fairly well that these sums are not as
large as commonly assumed, so I will briefly discuss the
subject.
Assume that the bills and notes of the Bank of London,
which seems to me the most considerable, amount to a weekly
average of four million ounces of silver or about one
million sterling. If they regularly keep a quarter or
£250,000 sterling or one million ounces of silver in coins
in reserve, the utility of this bank to the circulation
corresponds to an increase of the money of the state of
three million ounces or £750,000 sterling, which is without
doubt a very large sum and of very great utility for the
circulation when it needs to be accelerated. However, I have
noted elsewhere [e.g. part 2, chapter 8] that there are
cases where it is better for the welfare of the state to
slow down the circulation rather than to accelerate it. I
have heard that the notes and bills of the Bank of London
have risen in some cases to two millions sterling, but it
seems to me this can only have been by extraordinary
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271
accident. And I think the utility of this bank corresponds
in general to only about one-tenth of all the money in
circulation in England.
If the general explanations I received in 1719 about
the revenues of the Bank of Venice are correct, it may be
said that the utility of national banks generally does not
match one-tenth of the money circulating in a state. This is
more or less what I’ve learned.
` The revenues of the state in Venice may amount annually
to four million ounces of silver, which must be paid in
banknotes, and the collectors hired for that purpose, who
receive money at Bergamo and in the most distant places for
taxes, have to change it into banknotes when they make the
payments to the republic.
In Venice, all payments for negotiations—purchases and
sales above a certain modest sum—must, by law, be made in
banknotes. Therefore, all the retailers who have collected
money in their business are compelled to buy banknotes to
make large payments. Those who need money for their expenses
or retail purchases have to sell their banknotes for money.
The sellers and buyers of banknotes are usually equal
when the total of all the credits or accounts on the bank’s
books do not exceed the value of approximately 800,000
ounces of silver.
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272
Time and experience (according to my informant)
provided this knowledge to the Venetians. When the bank was
first set up, individuals brought their money there to have
credit at the bank for the same value. The money that was
deposited at the bank was later spent on the needs of the
republic [i.e. the government] and yet, banknotes preserved
their original value because there were as many people
needing to buy them as those needing to sell them. Finally,
the state, in need of money, gave credits to war contractors
in banknotes instead of silver, doubling the amount of its
credits.
Then with the number of sellers of banknotes being much
greater than number of buyers, the notes began to lose value
and fell twenty percent against silver. By this discredit,
the revenue of the republic fell by one-fifth and the only
remedy found for this chaos was to pledge part of the
state’s revenues to borrow banknotes at interest. With these
loans of banknotes half of them were cancelled and then with
the sellers and buyers being about equal, the bank regained
its original credit and the total of banknotes was brought
back to 800,000 ounces of silver.
In this manner, it has been ascertained that the
usefulness of the Bank of Venice, in terms of money in
circulation, corresponds to about 800,000 ounces of silver.
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273
If we assume that all the money in the states of that
republic amount to eight million ounces of silver, the
usefulness of the bank corresponds to one-tenth of that
silver.
A national bank in the capital of a great kingdom or
state must, it seems, contribute less to the circulation
than one in a small state because of its distance from the
provinces. When money circulates in greater abundance than
among its neighbors, a national bank does more harm than
good. An abundance of fictitious and imaginary money causes
the same disadvantages as an increase of real money in
circulation, by raising the price of land and labor, or by
changing the value of money and goods only to cause
subsequent losses. This furtive or unnatural abundance
vanishes at the first gust of scandal and precipitates
economic chaos.
Towards the middle of the reign of Louis XIV [1638-
1715], there was more money in circulation in France than in
neighboring countries, and the king's revenue was collected
without the help of a bank, as easily and conveniently as it
is collected today in England with the help of the Bank of
London.
If exchanges in Lyons during one of its four trading
fairs amounted to 80 millions of livres, and if they are
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274
begun and finished with one million in cash money, they are
certainly of great convenience. Because everyone is in the
same location, an infinite number of transactions can take
place and it saves the expense of transporting silver from
one place to the other. Normally, it might take three months
for this same million of cash to conduct 80 million in
payments.
The Paris bankers have often observed that the same bag
of money has come back to them four or five times in the
same day when they had a good deal to pay out and receive.
I think that public banks are useful in small states
and in those where silver is rather scarce, but of little
utility in giving a solid advantage to a large state.
The emperor Tiberius, a strict and economical leader,
saved 2.7 billion sesterces, equal to 25 million sterling or
100 million ounces of silver in the imperial treasury. This
was an enormous sum for those times and even for today. It
is true that in tying up so much money, he disturbed the
circulation and silver became scarcer in Rome than it had
ever been.
Tiberius, who attributed this scarcity to the monopoly
of contractors and financiers who farmed the empire revenues
[i.e. private tax collectors], ordered by an edict that they
should buy land with at least two thirds of their capital.
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275
Instead of stimulating the circulation of money, his edict
threw it completely into chaos. All the financiers hoarded
and called in their capital under the pretext of putting
themselves into a position to obey the edict by buying land,
which instead of rising in value, sunk to a much lower price
owing to the scarcity of silver in circulation. Tiberius
remedied this scarcity by lending to individuals on good
security, but only 300 million sesterces, or one-ninth of
the money he had in his treasury.
If the ninth part of the treasury sufficed in Rome to
re-establish the circulation, it would seem that the
establishment of a general bank in a great kingdom where its
utility would never correspond to one-tenth of the money in
circulation, when it is not hoarded, would be of no real and
permanent advantage, and when considered for its intrinsic
value, it can only be regarded as a mean for saving time.
However, a real increase in the quantity of circulating
money is of a different nature. We have covered this before
[in part 2, chapter 6] and Tiberius’ treasury gives us
another opportunity to touch the subject. This treasure of
2.7 billion of sesterces, left at the death of Tiberius, was
squandered by his successor, emperor Caligula, in less than
a year. Money was never seen so abundant in Rome. What was
the result? All this money plunged the Romans into luxury
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276
and into all sorts of crimes to pay for it. More than
600,000 pounds sterling left the empire every year to buy
merchandise from the Indies, and in less than 30 years, the
empire grew poor and silver became very scarce, without the
loss of a single province.
Though I consider that a general bank is not of great
utility in a large state, I allow that there are
circumstances in which a bank may have effects that seem
astonishing.
In a city where there are public debts for considerable
amounts, the presence of a bank enables one to buy and sell
capital stock in an instant, and for enormous sums, without
causing any disturbance in the circulation. In London, if a
person sells his South Sea stock to buy stock in the bank153
or in the East India Company, or hoping that in a short time
he will be able to buy at a lower price stock in the same
South Sea Company, he always takes banknotes, and will
generally not ask for money in exchange for these notes,
except for the value of the interest. Capital is hardly ever
spent so there is no need to change it into coins, but one
does need to ask the bank for money to live on because cash
is needed for small transactions.
153
He is referring to the Bank of London, now the Bank of England.
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277
If a property owner who has 1000 ounces of silver pays
200 ounces for the ownership of public stock to earn
interest and spends 800 ounces for himself, the thousand
ounces will always require coins. This owner will spend 800
ounces and the owners of the stocks will spend 200 of them.
But when these owners are in the habit of speculating—buying
and selling public stocks—no silver is needed for these
operations and banknotes suffice. If it were necessary to
draw cash out of circulation to be used in these purchases
and sales, it would amount to a great sum and would often
impede the circulation, and if this were the case, stocks
could not be sold and bought so often.
The origin of this capital is money that is deposited
in the bank and is rarely drawn out, such as when an owner
of capital engages in transactions and needs cash. This
explains why the bank keeps in reserve only one-fourth or
one-sixth of the silver against which it issues notes. If
the bank did not have the funds of this type of capital, it
would, in the ordinary course of circulation, find itself
compelled, like private banks, to keep half its deposits on
hand to be solvent. It is true that we cannot determine from
the bank books and from its operations the quantity of
capital that passes through several hands in the sales and
purchases made in Change Alley. These notes are often
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278
renewed at the bank and changed against others in purchases.
But the experience of stock purchases and sales clearly
shows that the quantity is considerable, and without these
purchases and sales, the sums deposited at the bank would
likely be smaller.
This means that when a state is not in debt, and has no
need of purchases and sales of stock, the assistance of a
bank will be less necessary and less important.
In 1720, the capital of public stock of enterprises of
private companies in London, which were bubbles and scams,
rose to the value of 800 million sterling. Yet, purchases
and sales of such venomous stocks were carried out without
difficulty by the quantity of notes of all kinds that were
issued and the same paper money was accepted in payment of
interest. However, as soon as the idea of great fortunes
induced many individuals to increase their expenses, to buy
carriages or foreign linen and silk, cash was needed for all
that, i.e. for the spending of interest, and this broke all
the systems up in pieces.
This example shows that the paper and credit of public
and private banks may cause surprising results in everything
which does not concern ordinary expenditure for drink, food,
clothing, and other family requirements. In the regular
course of the circulation, the help of banks and credit of
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279
this kind is much smaller and less solid than is generally
assumed. Silver alone is the true lifeblood of circulation
[i.e. the economy].
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280
Chapter Eight
Of the Refinements of Credit of General Banks
Abstract: When the government’s national bank
inflates the money supply by increasing the supply
of banknotes, it reduces the rate of interest and
can increase the price of stocks. This is a
corrupt process and when the notes are redeemed,
the price of stocks falls and can result in bank
runs and economic chaos. This is now known as the
business cycle.
The national Bank of London is composed of a large number of
shareholders who elect a board of directors to govern its
operations. Their main task consisted in making a yearly
distribution of the profits from interest on the money lent
against the bank deposits. Later, the public debt was
incorporated with it, on which the State pays interest
annually.
In spite of such a solid foundation, once the bank had
made large advances to the State and the holders of notes
were apprehensive that the bank was in difficulties, a run
on the bank took place and holders of notes went in crowds
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281
to withdraw money. The same thing happened during the
collapse of the South Sea Company in 1720.
The refinements introduced to support the bank and limit
its discredit were first to set up a number of clerks to
count out the money to those bringing in notes, to pay out
large amounts in sixpences and shillings to gain time,154 and
to pay some portion to individual holders who had been
waiting all day to be paid. However, the most considerable
sums were paid to friends who took them away and secretly
brought them back to the bank only to repeat the same
maneuver the next day. In this way, the bank saved its
appearance and gained time until the panic abated. But when
this did not suffice, the bank opened a stock subscription,
engaging trusty and solvent people to join as guarantors of
large amounts, in order to maintain the credit and
circulation of the bank notes.
It was by this last refinement that the credit of the
bank was maintained in 1720 when the South Sea Company
collapsed. As soon as it was publicly known that wealthy and
powerful people were on the subscription list, the run on
the bank ceased and deposits were brought in as usual.
154
The bank was essentially redeeming its notes with small change in order to delay and discourage
redemption.
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282
If a Minister of State in England,155 seeking to lower
the interest rate, or for other reasons, increases the price
of public stock in London, and if he has enough credit with
the directors of the bank to get them to issue a quantity of
banknotes without backing (under the obligation of
indemnifying them in case of loss), begging them to use
these notes to buy several blocks of shares of public stock,
this stock’s price will increase due to these operations.
And those who have sold stock, seeing that high prices
continue, will perhaps decide to buy it back at a higher
price than they sold it for, so as not to leave their
banknotes idle and believing rumors that the interest rate
will fall and that the stock’s price will rise further. If
several people imitate the agents of the banks and buy this
stock, hoping to profit like them, the public funds will
increase in price to the point that the minister wishes. And
it may be that the bank will cleverly resell at a higher
price all the stock purchased at the minister's request, and
will not only make a large profit on it, but will retire and
cancel all the extraordinary banknotes that were issued.
If the bank alone makes the price of public stock rise
by buying it, it will make it fall when it sells it in order
155
Cantillon is probably referring to Robert Walpole who was in the English cabinet at the time and who
would become, in the wake of the scandal, the First Lord of the Treasury, Chancellor of the Exchequer and
Leader of the House of Commons. He was the first ―Prime Minister‖ of England.
Saucier/Thornton
283
to cancel its extraordinary notes. However, many individuals
usually follow the agents of the bank in their operations
and contribute in keeping the price high. Some of them get
caught because they do not understand these operations, in
which are found infinite refinements or rather trickery,
which lie outside my subject.
It is then evident that a bank, with the complicity of a
public administrator, is able to raise and support the price
of public stock, and to lower the rate of interest in the
state at the pleasure of this administrator. When the steps
are taken discreetly, it can pay off the state’s debt. But
these refinements, which open the door to making large
fortunes, are rarely carried out for the sole advantage of
the state, and those who take part in them are generally
corrupted. The excess banknotes, made and issued on these
occasions, do not upset the circulation because they are
used for the buying and selling of stock. They are not used
for household expenses and are not exchanged into silver.
But if some panic or unforeseen crisis drove note holders to
demand silver from the bank, the bomb would burst and it
would be seen that these are dangerous operations.